Cnotes Sports Page For Friday October 2nd Best Bets-Trends-News !

[CNOTES]

FRIDAY OCTOBER 2, 2015


Miami
@
Philadelphia
Game 951-952
October 2, 2015 @ 7:05 pm


Dunkel Rating: Miami
(Niclino) 15.119
Philadelphia
(Harang) 13.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Miami
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Miami
-135
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami
(-135); Under


Kansas City
@
Minnesota
Game 973-974
October 2, 2015 @ 8:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Kansas City
(Young) 17.723
Minnesota
(Santana) 16.131
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Kansas City
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Minnesota
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City
(+105); Under


Cincinnati
@
Pittsburgh
Game 953-954
October 2, 2015 @ 7:05 pm


Dunkel Rating: Cincinnati
(Sampson) 14.092
Pittsburgh
(Liriano) 17.085
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Pittsburgh
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Pittsburgh
-250
7
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh
(-250); Over


Detroit
@
Chicago White Sox
Game 975-976
October 2, 2015 @ 8:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Detroit
(Simon) 15.294
Chicago White Sox
(Sale) 14.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Detroit
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Chicago White Sox
-200
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit
(+170); Over


Washington
@
NY Mets
Game 955-956
October 2, 2015 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Washington
(Gonzalez) 15.722
NY Mets
(Syndrgrd) 14.613
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Washington
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Mets
-140
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington
(+120); Under


Oakland
@
Seattle
Game 977-978
October 2, 2015 @ 10:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Oakland
(Brooks) 14.327
Seattle
(Iwakuma) 16.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Seattle
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Seattle
-190
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle
(-190); Under


St. Louis
@
Atlanta
Game 957-958
October 2, 2015 @ 7:35 pm


Dunkel Rating: St. Louis
(Garcia) 13.861
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Atlanta
by 1
8 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: St. Louis
-140
7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta
(+120); Over


Chicago Cubs
@
Milwaukee
Game 959-960
October 2, 2015 @ 8:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 16.525
Milwaukee
(Pena) 15.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
7 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Chicago Cubs
-230
7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs
(-230); Over


San Diego
@
LA Dodgers
Game 961-962
October 2, 2015 @ 10:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: San Diego
(Kelly) 15.512
LA Dodgers
(Wood) 16.939
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: LA Dodgers
by 1 1/2
6 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: LA Dodgers
-200
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers
(-200); Under


Colorado
@
San Francisco
Game 963-964
October 2, 2015 @ 10:15 pm


Dunkel Rating: Colorado
(Kendrick) 13.703
San Francisco
(Heston) 15.229
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: San Francisco
by 1 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: San Francisco
-180
7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco
(-180); Under


NY Yankees
@
Baltimore
Game 965-966
October 2, 2015 @ 7:05 pm


Dunkel Rating: NY Yankees
(Severino) 18.892
Baltimore
(Chen) 17.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: NY Yankees
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: NY Yankees
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees
N/A


Boston
@
Cleveland
Game 967-968
October 2, 2015 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Boston
14.786
Cleveland
(Tomlin) 13.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Boston
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Cleveland
-130
8
Dunkel Pick: Boston
(+110); Under


Toronto
@
Tampa Bay
Game 969-970
October 2, 2015 @ 7:10 pm


Dunkel Rating: Toronto
(Buehrle) 13.610
Tampa Bay
(Ramirez) 16.064
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Tampa Bay
by 2 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Toronto
-125
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay
(+105); Over


LA Angels
@
Texas
Game 971-972
October 2, 2015 @ 8:05 pm


Dunkel Rating: LA Angels
(Weaver) 14.294
Texas
(Perez) 17.327
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total: Texas
by 3
9 1/2
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total: Texas
-130
9
Dunkel Pick: Texas
(-130); Over

 

[CNOTES]

MLB MONEYLINE


MLB > (955) WASHINGTON@ (956) NY METS | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play ON NY METS using money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150
The record is 16 Wins and 1 Losses for the this season (+14.75 units)


MLB > (977) OAKLAND@ (978) SEATTLE | 2015-10-02 22:10:00 - 2015-10-02 22:10:00
Play AGAINST SEATTLE using money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 18 Wins and 30 Losses for the last three seasons (-28 units)


MLB > (971) LA ANGELS@ (972) TEXAS | 2015-10-02 20:05:00 - 2015-10-02 20:05:00
Play ON TEXAS using money line in night games
The record is 65 Wins and 49 Losses for the this season (+28.62 units)


MLB > (953) CINCINNATI@ (954) PITTSBURGH | 2015-10-02 19:05:00 - 2015-10-02 19:05:00
Play ON PITTSBURGH using money line when playing on Friday
The record is 21 Wins and 4 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.2 units)


MLB > (963) COLORADO@ (964) SAN FRANCISCO | 2015-10-02 22:15:00 - 2015-10-02 22:15:00
Play AGAINST COLORADO using money line in night games
The record is 30 Wins and 82 Losses for the last two seasons (-43.01 units)


MLB > (967) BOSTON@ (968) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play AGAINST CLEVELAND using money line against left-handed starters
The record is 9 Wins and 18 Losses for the this season (-16.2 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Play ON MINNESOTA using money line in all games
The record is 83 Wins and 76 Losses for the this season (+23.7 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB RUNLINE


MLB > (967) BOSTON@ (968) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play AGAINST BOSTON when playing with a day off
The record is 8 Wins and 28 Losses for the last two seasons (-25.55 units)


MLB > (969) TORONTO@ (970) TAMPA BAY | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play ON TAMPA BAY when playing on Friday
The record is 18 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+17.6 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Play ON KANSAS CITY when playing with a day off
The record is 29 Wins and 11 Losses for the last two seasons (+24.1 units)


MLB > (957) ST LOUIS@ (958) ATLANTA | 2015-10-02 19:35:00 - 2015-10-02 19:35:00
Play AGAINST ATLANTA when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 11 Wins and 27 Losses for the this season (-20.2 units)


MLB > (979) HOUSTON@ (980) ARIZONA | 2015-10-02 21:40:00 - 2015-10-02 21:40:00
Play AGAINST HOUSTON when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 16 Wins and 30 Losses for the this season (-21 units)


MLB > (955) WASHINGTON@ (956) NY METS | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play AGAINST WASHINGTON when the total is 7 or less
The record is 28 Wins and 54 Losses for the this season (-34.35 units)


MLB > (971) LA ANGELS@ (972) TEXAS | 2015-10-02 20:05:00 - 2015-10-02 20:05:00
Play ON TEXAS when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 48 Wins and 21 Losses for the this season (+22.15 units)


MLB > (963) COLORADO@ (964) SAN FRANCISCO | 2015-10-02 22:15:00 - 2015-10-02 22:15:00
Play ON SAN FRANCISCO in night games
The record is 66 Wins and 40 Losses for the this season (+26.7 units)


MLB > (959) CHICAGO CUBS@ (960) MILWAUKEE | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Play ON CHICAGO CUBS on the road when the total is 7 or less
The record is 22 Wins and 7 Losses for the this season (+15.8 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB TOTALS


MLB > (979) HOUSTON@ (980) ARIZONA | 2015-10-02 21:40:00 - 2015-10-02 21:40:00
Play OVER ARIZONA on the total after 3 or more consecutive wins
The record is 12 Overs and 2 Unders for the this season (+10.1 units)


MLB > (961) SAN DIEGO@ (962) LA DODGERS | 2015-10-02 22:10:00 - 2015-10-02 22:10:00
Play OVER SAN DIEGO on the total in all games
The record is 92 Overs and 61 Unders for the this season (+29.45 units)


MLB > (957) ST LOUIS@ (958) ATLANTA | 2015-10-02 19:35:00 - 2015-10-02 19:35:00
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the total after getting shut out
The record is 6 Overs and 23 Unders for the last two seasons (+15.9 units)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY@ (974) MINNESOTA | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Play UNDER KANSAS CITY on the total when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 15 Overs and 35 Unders for the this season (+17.65 units)


MLB > (977) OAKLAND@ (978) SEATTLE | 2015-10-02 22:10:00 - 2015-10-02 22:10:00
Play OVER SEATTLE on the total when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 20 Overs and 7 Unders for the this season (+12.7 units)

MLB > (975) DETROIT@ (976) CHI WHITE SOX | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Play OVER DETROIT on the total against division opponents
The record is 46 Overs and 23 Unders for the last two seasons (+21.95 units)


MLB > (951) MIAMI@ (952) PHILADELPHIA | 2015-10-02 19:05:00 - 2015-10-02 19:05:00
Play OVER PHILADELPHIA on the total in night games
The record is 59 Overs and 39 Unders for the this season (+18.95 units)


MLB > (967) BOSTON@ (968) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Play OVER BOSTON on the total when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 26 Overs and 13 Unders for the this season (+13.25 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB TOP POWERLINES


MLB > (953) CINCINNATI @ (954) PITTSBURGH | 2015-10-02 19:05:00 - 2015-10-02 19:05:00
Line: PITTSBURGH-250 BTB PowerLine: PITTSBURGH-288
Edge On: PITTSBURGH (38)


MLB > (951) MIAMI @ (952) PHILADELPHIA | 2015-10-02 19:05:00 - 2015-10-02 19:05:00
Line: PHILADELPHIA+110 BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA-104
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA (14)


MLB > (955) WASHINGTON @ (956) NY METS | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Line: WASHINGTON BTB PowerLine: WASHINGTON-120
Edge On: WASHINGTON (15)


MLB > (967) BOSTON @ (968) CLEVELAND | 2015-10-02 19:10:00 - 2015-10-02 19:10:00
Line: BOSTON BTB PowerLine: BOSTON-104
Edge On: BOSTON (18)


MLB > (957) ST LOUIS @ (958) ATLANTA | 2015-10-02 19:35:00 - 2015-10-02 19:35:00
Line: ST LOUIS BTB PowerLine: ST LOUIS223
Edge On: ST LOUIS (89)


MLB > (971) LA ANGELS @ (972) TEXAS | 2015-10-02 20:05:00 - 2015-10-02 20:05:00
Line: LA ANGELS BTB PowerLine: LA ANGELS-117
Edge On: LA ANGELS (13)


MLB > (975) DETROIT @ (976) CHI WHITE SOX | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Line: DETROIT BTB PowerLine: DETROIT-185
Edge On: DETROIT (25)


MLB > (959) CHICAGO CUBS @ (960) MILWAUKEE | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Line: CHICAGO CUBS BTB PowerLine: CHICAGO CUBS185
Edge On: CHICAGO CUBS (5)


MLB > (973) KANSAS CITY @ (974) MINNESOTA | 2015-10-02 20:10:00 - 2015-10-02 20:10:00
Line: KANSAS CITY BTB PowerLine: KANSAS CITY103
Edge On: KANSAS CITY (8)


MLB > (979) HOUSTON @ (980) ARIZONA | 2015-10-02 21:40:00 - 2015-10-02 21:40:00
Line: HOUSTON BTB PowerLine: HOUSTON176
Edge On: HOUSTON (21)


MLB > (977) OAKLAND @ (978) SEATTLE | 2015-10-02 22:10:00 - 2015-10-02 22:10:00
Line: OAKLAND BTB PowerLine: OAKLAND-162
Edge On: OAKLAND (23)


MLB > (961) SAN DIEGO @ (962) LA DODGERS | 2015-10-02 22:10:00 - 2015-10-02 22:10:00
Line: SAN DIEGO BTB PowerLine: SAN DIEGO-177
Edge On: SAN DIEGO (23)

 

[CNOTES]

Diamond Trends - Friday


October 2, 2015




SU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Pirates are 12-0 since Aug 11, 2014 vs a team that has lost at least their last two games and it is the first game of a series after a home game.



PITCHER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Cubs are 12-0 SU since Jul 30, 2015 when Jake Arrieta starts.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Rays are 0-11 OU since May 27, 2005 after a win in which they did not draw a walk and in the first game of a series.


CHOICE TREND:


-- The Twins are 10-0 since Jul 24, 2015 when it is the first game of the series after an away game.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Rangers are 10-0 since Aug 04, 2015 after a win in which they came back from a defici and it is not the first game of a series.


-- The Nationals are 0-11 since Aug 10, 2014 as a dog after a win in which they never trailed.

 

[CNOTES]

LEADING OFF: Resting up, rainy forecast, AL West scramble


October 1, 2015


A look at what's happening around the major leagues Friday:


REST `EM UP


Sure, the Blue Jays would like to hold off Kansas City for the best record in the American League and lock up home-field advantage throughout the postseason. But Toronto manager John Gibbons says it's more important to get his team ready for the playoffs, and that can mean resting his regulars in the final week. Star sluggers Jose Bautista, Josh Donaldson and Edwin Encarnacion didn't play Thursday at Baltimore, and no telling who will be in the lineup for the series opener at Tampa Bay.


''I've got to do what's best for these guys - not what some bozo out there in fantasy land thinks,'' Gibbons said.


WEATHER OR NOT


Heavy rain is the forecast for the East Coast, and Hurricane Joaquin could bring even more trouble. Start times in Baltimore and Philadelphia were moved up several hours Thursday, and games at Camden Yards, Citizens Bank Park and Citi Field could be affected this weekend.


UP FOR GRABS


The AL West is the only division that hasn't been settled. Texas leads, and will pitch 24-year-old lefty Martin Perez (3-6, 4.77 ERA) at home against Jered Weaver and the playoff-hopeful Angels. The Astros, still in the thick of the races for the division and second AL wild card, start 19-game winner Dallas Keuchel at Arizona.


RIGHT AT HOME


The Pirates try to bring the NL wild-card game to PNC Park when they host Cincinnati this weekend. Francisco Liriano, 8-1 in his last 15 starts, pitches the opener for Pittsburgh. The Cubs have clinched the other NL wild-card spot, but need a lot to go right to get that one-game matchup at Wrigley Field.


TUNING UP


Cubs ace Jake Arrieta, leading the majors with 21 wins, makes his final regular-season start when he pitches at Milwaukee.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack


-- NFL teams train in obscure places: the Clippers are training in Las Vegas. Oy.


-- Texas Longhorns are a 16-point home dog this week, first time in at least 38 years they've been a double digit home underdog.


-- Former Dolphin coach Tony Sparano is interim coach of the Oakland Raiders.


-- Oregon Ducks played four games before classes started in Eugene; how big an advantage was that for the Ducks, if at all?


-- Former pro wrestler/turned actor Dwayne Johnson was once on practice squad of the Calgary Stampeders of the CFL.


-- Braves' hitting coach Greg Walker "resigned", a scapegoat for the front office stupidly signing the Upton brothers to big money contracts.


**********


Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Our bottom 5, top 8 in NFL......


32) Raiders (0-4)-- When you fire your coach (by telephone) four games into the season when you’re starting a rookie QB, you’re the worst team in the league. Good news; they won’t lose this week, its their bye week.


31) Jaguars (0-4)—Saw reason for optimism with rookie QB Bortles in his first start, but the defense needs work; Chargers easily could’ve scored 50 points against them Sunday- they kicked FG on all four red zone drives. .


30) Titans (1-3)—Three lopsided losses since opening win, Locker is hurt already. Look for LSU rookie Mettenberger to emerge as their #1 QB.


29) Jets (1-3)—Vikings are only NFC North team that hasn’t beaten them and that is only because they haven’t played yet. If Geno Smith doesn’t stop turning ball over, he’s going to be playing for a new coach and GM next season.


28) Rams (1-2)—Blew 21-point lead at home to Dallas is Week 3; am encouraged by new QB Austin Davis, but at some point, this group needs to learn how to win.


8) Ravens (3-1)—Pitta’s injury is big blow to offense that likes tight ends to catch the ball. Imagine the media’s outrage if Ray Rice somehow gets reinstated? The Internet might implode.


7) Cowboys (3-1)—Jones Family could be unusual; son Steven might be wiser than his old man, who wanted to draft Johnny Manziel. In most of these rich families that own franchises, the kids turn out to be nitwits. Steven Jones is the Dallas voice of reason and they’ve improved.


6) Eagles (3-1)—Have been behind by 10+ points in all three wins; reason for concern that Foles might not finish season behind shaky OL.


5) Broncos (2-1)—The rich get richer: Peyton Manning goes to Denver, buys a few Papa John’s pizza places, marijuana gets legalized in Colorado, and #18 gets even wealthier. I’d say luck favors the prepared, but then you’d think I was talking about the Colts.


4) Seahawks (2-1)—Dicey Monday nighter in nation’s capitol, against Redskin team that turned ball over six times vs Giants last Thursday. Washington is 6-3 in last nine series games; all three losses came in playoffs.


3) Chargers (3-1)—Will be pass-oriented until they get Mathews healthy. Already on their third center this season.


2) Cardinals (3-0)—7-point underdog in Denver this week, despite their unbeaten record. Bruce Arians almost never got a chance to be an NFL head coach; in his 60’s now, he’s proving to be a very good one.


1) Bengals (3-0)—Will get stern test from New England Sunday night in Foxboro, after Patriots’ debacle in Arrowhead. Not ready to bury Pats yet; Cincy will get their best shot this week.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet


September 30, 2015




**Memphis at South Florida**


-- As of Wednesday, most betting shops had Memphis (4-0 straight up, 2-2 against the spread) installed as a nine-point favorite with a total of 61.5. The Bulls were +280 on the money line (risk $100 to win $280).


-- South Florida (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) has had two weeks to prepare for its AAC opener. Willie Taggart is in the third season of his tenure at USF since replacing Skip Holtz after a successful run at Western Kentucky. However, wins have been tough to come by for the Bulls, who are now 7-20 SU and 13-14 ATS on his watch. This is a critical year for Taggart, who needs a win in the worst way on the national stage Friday night.


-- Job security isn't an issue at all for Memphis head coach Justin Fuente, who has turned this moribund program into one that's on the cusp of cracking the national rankings. In fact, if the Tigers can take care of business at Raymond James Stadium, they'll be undefeated with two weeks to prepare for a home game against Ole Miss. Fuente took Memphis to its first bowl game since 2008 last year. The Tigers beat BYU 55-48 in double overtime to finish 10-3 SU and 8-4-1 versus the number.


-- Memphis captured a thrilling victory over Cincinnati last Thursday night, providing the Liberty Bowl with one of its most thrilling games over the last decade. The 99 combined points sailed 'over' the 70-point total, but the Tigers failed to cover the spread as 7.5-point home 'chalk.' There were two ties and 12 lead changes.


-- Cincinnati produced 752 yards of total offense despite losing starting QB Gunner Kiel to a scary head injury early in the first half. But the Bearcats lost the turnover battle 3-1 and after knotting the score at 46-46 with 5:56 remaining, they couldn't keep Memphis out of the end zone in the final minute. Sam Craft's three-yard touchdown run with 53 ticks left lifted the Tigers into the win column.


-- Memphis junior QB Paxton Lynch was the catalyst in the win over Cincy, completing 24-of-36 passes for 412 yards and two TDs without an interception Lynch also rushed 11 times for 52 yards. Craft had 12 carries for 50 rushing yards and two TDs. Anthony Miller was Lynch's favorite target, hauling in five receptions for 156 yards and one TD.


-- For the season, Lynch has completed 73.5 percent of his passes for 1,230 yards and eight TDs without an interception. He also has 110 rushing yards.


-- USF has dropped back-to-back games at Florida State (34-14) and at Maryland (35-17) since opening the season with a 51-3 win over FAMU as a 28-point home favorite. The Bulls took the cash in Tallahassee as 28.5-point underdogs, and the score was actually tied at 7-7 at halftime. In the second half, however, USF signal caller Quinton Flowers repeatedly missed opener WRs down the field to squander golden offensive opportunities.


-- USF went to College Park in Week 3 as a six-point road underdog. The Bulls took an early 7-0 advantage when Flowers found Rodney Adams for a four-yard scoring strike, but the Terrapins would respond with 14 unanswered points. USF trimmed the deficit to 14-10 with 59 seconds left until halftime, but then it allowed Maryland to go ahead 21-10 at intermission thanks to a 49-second TD drive. Flowers would score on a seven-yard TD run to pull to within 28-17 late in the third quarter, but the Terps put the game on ice and clinched the spread cover with a Caleb Rowe TD pass with 10:06 remaining.


-- USF running back Marlon Mack rushed 12 times for 71 yards at Maryland. In three games this year, Mack has rushed for 285 yards and one TD while averaging 5.4 yards per carry.


-- USF has compiled a 3-7 spread record in 10 games as a home underdog during Taggart's tenure.


-- Memphis owns a 4-3 spread record in seven games as a road 'chalk' on Fuente's watch. The Tigers took the money as 12-point favorites in a 55-23 win at Kansas in Week 2. However, they failed to hook up their backers in a 44-41 win at Bowling Green as 3.5-point road favorites.


-- Since both schools joined the AAC in 2013, Memphis has won both head-to-head encounters, including a 23-10 win as a 1.5-point road favorite in Tampa two years ago. Memphis prevailed 31-20 last season, but the Bulls got the cash as 19.5-point road underdogs. The 'under' has gone 4-1 in five meetings going back to 2003.


-- The 'over' is a perfect 4-0 for the Tigers, who already have a pair of road wins at Kansas and at Bowling Green which saw 78 and 85 combined points, respectively. They have seen their four games average a combined score of 83.0 points per game.


-- Totals have been a wash for USF, going 1-1-1 overall.


-- Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN2.


**Temple at Charlotte**


-- As of Wednesday, most books had Temple (3-0 SU, 2-1 ATS) listed as a 23.5-point favorite with a total of 45. We should note that the total dipped from 48 late Tuesday afternoon to 45 by early afternoon on Wednesday.


-- Matt Rhule's team appears to be en route to its first postseason invite since 2011. Temple started the season with a dominant 27-10 win vs. Penn State as a six-point home underdog. Then in Week 2, the Owls went to Cincy and won a 34-26 decision as six-point road underdogs. In Week 3, they got a last-minute field goal to escape Gillette Stadium with a 25-23 triumph over UMass.


-- Temple enjoyed an open date after surviving the scare in Foxboro. With 1:20 remaining, UMass took a 23-20 advantage thanks to a 16-yard scoring strike from QB Blake Frohnapfel to Jamal Wilson. However, not only was the extra-point kick missed (to take a four-point lead), but the blocked kick was returned the distance by Will Hayes for two points. This set the Owls up with a chance to win outright if they could get into field-goal range. They did just that and Austin Jones was true from 32 yards to secure the victory.


-- Junior QB P.J. Walker threw for 391 yards and one TD against the Minutumen, but he was intercepted twice. For the season, Walker has completed 63.6 percent of his passes for 615 yards with a 3/2 TD-INT ratio. He also has one rushing score.


-- Temple's defense is led by senior LB Tyler Matakevich, a first-team All-AAC selection last year when he paced his team with 117 tackles. Matakevich is likely on his way to earning All-American honors if he continues to play like he did in the first three games. Matakevich had three sacks against PSU and a pair of interceptions at Cincy. He has 29 tackles for the year.


-- Temple is 2-2 ATS in four games as a road favorite on Rhule's watch.


-- Charlotte (2-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) is only in its third season of fielding a program and is participating in the FBS for the first year. The 49ers are competing in C-USA. They won their first two games, prevailing 23-20 at Georgia State as seven-point underdogs in their opener. Next, Brad Lambert's squad won a 34-10 decision over Presbyterian in a non-lined affair.


-- Charlotte suffered its first loss in Week 3 when it was on the wrong end of a 73-14 beatdown at Middle Tennessee as an 18-point underdog. Then last week, the 49ers lost 17-7 to FAU as 9.5-point home underdogs. This was a true defensive battle with a pair of pick-sixes accounting for 14 of the 24 combined points. Charlotte got a 28-yard interception return from Tank Norman to pull to within 10-7 with 10:58 remaining. However, with a chance to win late in the fourth quarter, Charlotte's hopes were dashed by FAU's Ocie Rose, who had a 60-yard interception return for a TD to seal the game. The 49ers' QB combination of Matt Johnson and Lee McNeill were intercepted six times.


-- The 'under' is 2-1 overall for the Owls, 1-1 in their road assignments. They have seen their combined scores average 48.3 PPG.


-- The 'under' is 2-1 overall for Charlotte, 1-0 in its lone lined home outing.


-- Kickoff is slated for 7:00 p.m. Eastern on CBS Sports College.


**B.E.'s Bonus Nuggets**


-- There are three lined games on Friday, including UConn at BYU. As of Wednesday, most spots had the Cougars favored by 17.5 points with a total of 44.5. -- Virginia Tech suffered another crushing injury loss this week when All-ACC DB Kendall Fuller decided to undergo surgery for a torn meniscus sustained in August. Fuller had played through the injury for the first four games. He had 54 tackles, two sacks, two interceptions and 15 passes broken up in 2014.


-- Arizona could be without its two most important offensive players at Stanford. QB Anu Solomon (concussion) and RB Nick Wilson (undisclosed) are listed as 'questionable.'


-- Missouri will be without two offensive starters at home Saturday vs. South Carolina. QB Maty Mauk has been suspended for one game (at least), while starting TE Sean Culkin is out for at least two weeks with a knee injury.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday's Top Action


September 29, 2015




MEMPHIS TIGERS (4-0) at SOUTH FLORIDA BULLS (1-2)


Raymond James Stadium - Tampa, FL
Kickoff: Friday, 7:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Memphis -11.5


After a wild win last Thursday, Memphis looks to improve to 5-0 on Friday night when it visits conference foe South Florida.


The Tigers have scored at least 44 points in each of their four victories, but the past two contests have been too close for comfort, with both resulting in ATS defeats. After edging Bowling Green by three points, they escaped past Cincinnati last week by a 53-46 score. The Bulls are eager to open AAC play after dropping a pair of tough non-conference road games at Florida State (34-14) and at Maryland (35-17) before last week's bye.


These schools are meeting for the third time as conference rivals with Memphis taking the first two matchups by double-digits, 23-10 at South Florida in 2013 and 31-20 as the host team last year. Although the Bulls dominated time of possession (36:47 to 23:13), the Tigers outrushed them 238-95 to secure the victory.


Memphis' stellar 16-6 ATS mark on the road versus bad teams (25% to 40% win pct.) since 1992 makes it a great wager to make it three straight wins in this series. But South Florida falls under the category of underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points going 26-5 ATS (84%) in the past 10 seasons after scoring 17 or less in two straight games against an opponent after two straight games where 60+ points were scored. The only notable injury for either school is questionable Bulls WR A.J. Legree (foot).


The Memphis offense has been quite potent this season with 53.7 PPG on 570 total YPG. The star has been QB Paxton Lynch who has completed 74% of his passes for 1,230 yards (10.9 YPA), 8 TD and 0 INT. The 6-foot-7 junior has been sacked only five times all season and rushed for 52 yards on 11 carries in last week's win versus Cincinnati, giving him 464 total yards in that high-scoring affair. Lynch was nearly perfect versus South Florida last season when he completed 18-of-23 throws for 232 yards (10.1 YPA), 2 TD and 0 INT, while adding 44 yards and 2 TD on the ground. Lynch has been so effective this year because he has spread the ball around to his receivers.


Five different players already have at least nine catches and at least 164 yards, led by senior WR Mose Frazier (19 rec) and sophomore WR Anthony Miller (268 rec yds). Last week, Miller torched the Bearcats for 156 yards on just five catches (31.2 avg), including an 82-yard TD grab, and Frazier had a game-high 82 receiving yards and a touchdown in the 2014 win versus USF. Lynch has also been great because he has a productive ground game taking the pressure off him. The Tigers are averaging a strong 228 rushing YPG on 4.6 YPC this season, led by sophomore RB Jarvis Cooper, who has run for 223 yards on 45 carries (5.0 YPC) and four touchdowns.


The Memphis defense continues to struggle this season, allowing 454 total YPG and 29.2 PPG. The unit surrendered 752 total yards last week, which included 620 yards through the air. But the one positive was that the Tigers recorded three interceptions, which helped the team stay unbeaten.


South Florida will try to control this game on the ground with a rushing attack averaging a strong 221 YPG on 5.0 YPC. Sophomore RB Marlon Mack has 285 rushing yards on 5.4 YPC, and has rumbled for at least 71 yards and 4.6 YPC in all three games this season. Mack single-handedly kept his team in the meeting at Memphis last season when he rushed for 102 yards (6.4 YPC) and caught eight passes for 57 yards, while opening the second quarter with a 75-yard touchdown run. The Bulls are trying to use him as weapon through the air this year too, but Mack has a mere 22 yards on his eight receptions.


The passing game has not been too much trouble for opponents, as South Florida is throwing for 155 YPG on 6.5 YPA. Most of this production came in the season-opening win versus lowly Florida A&M (281 pass yards), and in the two games combined at FSU and Maryland, the Bulls completed only 22-of-46 passes (48%) for 185 yards. Sophomore QB Quinton Flowers has a subpar 53% completion rate in his career, but he has used his legs more effectively this season with 186 yards (4.1 YPC) and a pair of touchdowns. The Bulls have only one player with at least 10 catches this year, and that is sophomore RB D'Ernest Johnson (10 rec, 193 yds) who has four touchdown grabs including one from 71 yards. The team's top wideout is sophomore WR Ryeshene Bronson who has gained a mere 41 receiving yards.


Defensively, USF has limited opponents to 24.0 PPG and 345 total YPG. Both the run-stop unit (135 YPG, 3.5 YPC) and passing defense (210 YPG, 6.4 YPA) have generally been effective this year, but Florida State ran for 278 yards on the Bulls, and Maryland threw for 297 yards last week. South Florida has forced five turnovers so far this season, including three in the loss to the Terrapins.


CONNECTICUT HUSKIES (2-2) at BYU COUGARS (2-2)

LaVell Edwards Stadium - Provo, UT
Kickoff: Friday, 10:15 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: BYU -17.5


A pair of slumping teams look to turn their fortunes around on Friday night when Connecticut visits BYU.


Both schools enter Friday with two straight losses. The Huskies opened the season with a pair of home wins over Villanova and Army, but then dropped a 9-6 nail-biter as a three-touchdown underdog at Missouri before falling by a 28-18 score versus Navy last Saturday. The Cougars opened the season 3-0 ATS with three tight games (SU wins at Nebraska and versus Boise State, SU loss at UCLA), but were shut out 31-0 at Michigan last Saturday. UConn is an even heavier underdog in this matchup than it was for last season's opener when it was drilled at home 35-10 by BYU, which led 28-7 at half and cruised to victory.


Bettors for the Huskies can point to their opponent's woeful 7-28 ATS (20%) mark after a two-game road trip since 1992, while those wagering on the Cougars should know that underdogs of 10.5 to 21 points with a completion percentage of 62% or better, after allowing 8+ YPA last game, are just 57-110 (34%) in this same timeframe. Connecticut's only new injury is LB Marquise Vann (leg), who is listed as questionable, while BYU is most concerned about a thin secondary that will likely be without DB Jordan Preator (suspension) and will definitely not have the services of DB Garrett Juergens (collarbone) for Friday's game.


Connecticut really needs to get its offense going after averaging a mere 12.0 PPG and 279 total YPG during its two-game losing skid. QB Bryant Shirreffs has been very accurate all year (65% completions), and has not tossed an interception in three straight games. The 6-foot-2 sophomore is averaging a solid 8.2 YPA, but that number has dipped to 6.5 YPA during the losing skid. He needs to stop relying solely on junior WR Noel Thomas, who has more than twice as many receiving yards (286) as any other teammate (132) this season. Although Thomas has caught 19 passes, he has yet to score a touchdown.


The Huskies have done a horrible job picking up yards on the ground, rushing for a mere 108 YPG on a pitiful 2.9 YPC. But sophomore RB Arkeel Newsome is coming off a big game last week when he rushed for 69 yards on 14 carries (4.9 YPC) and caught five passes for 51 yards. Newsome got only three carries for 10 yards against BYU last season, and watched helplessly as the rest of his teammates ran for only 61 yards on 28 carries (2.2 YPC).


The UConn defense has played pretty well in 2015, allowing only 17.2 PPG on 295 total YPG. The run-stop unit (170 YPG, 4.2 YPC) hasn't been as impressive as the passing defense (125 YPG, 6.5 YPA), but head coach Bob Diaco would like to see his defense force more turnovers than the four takeaways the Huskies have amassed through five games.


BYU had little trouble moving the football against Connecticut last year, but no longer has the services of injured starting QB Taysom Hill (foot) who accounted for an eye-popping 405 total yards and 5 TD (3 passing, 2 rushing) in that 25-point romp. While backup freshman QB Tanner Mangum played well in his first road start two weeks ago (244 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT at UCLA), he got nothing going against Michigan last Saturday. Mangum completed only 12-of-28 passes for 55 yards (2.0 YPA) with 0 TD and 0 INT against the Wolverines.


It also didn't help that the Cougars ground game rushed for a mere 50 yards on 22 carries, which was a far cry from the 161 yards they gained at UCLA the week before. But BYU did run for 205 yards on 37 carries (5.5 YPC) and 2 TD against the Huskies last year, and will need to keep feeding senior workhorse RB Adam Hine, who already has 312 rushing yards on 5.8 YPC. UConn limited Hine to 15 yards on six carries in the 2014 meeting, but Hine did manage to catch three passes for 25 yards, including a 7-yard TD reception.


Defensively, BYU has struggled at times in allowing 26.7 PPG and 414 total YPG, but UConn is clearly the weakest offense the unit will have faced this year. The Cougars forced eight turnovers in their first three games of the 2015 season, and also produced two takeaways in the win versus the Huskies last year.

 

[CNOTES]

At the Gate - Friday


October 2, 2015


Keeneland opens this afternoon for their fall meeting, and we have the first two of seven Breeders’ Cup Challenge “Win and You’re In” races today. This year’s Breeders’ Cup will be held for the first time at Keeneland, the two-day championship event getting underway on Oct. 30.

The $250,000 Phoenix (G3) drew a field of 12 with the winner securing a spot in the field for the Breeders’ Cup Sprint (G1). Work All Week is the defending champion of both the Phoenix and the Sprint and is the 2-1 second choice on the morning line.

The gelding looks back on track after an eight-length romp at Mountaineer Park in his last outing, snapping a two race losing streak.


He faces Runhappy, who ran huge winning the King’s Bishop (G1) at Saratoga on Aug. 24. The colt earned a 113 Beyer Speed Figure for his first stakes win.

The $400,000 Darley Alcibiades (G1) winner earns a fee-expenses trip to the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Fillies (G1) and drew a field of 11. My selections and analysis for the race are below.

We have a huge day of Breeders’ Cup prep races coming up on Saturday including the $1 million Jockey Club Gold Cup (G1) and the $1 million Shadwell Turf Mile (G1), both of which will be televised live on NBC at 5:00 ET.

There will be coverage on Sunday on NBC as well, featuring the $250,000 Dixiana Bourbon Stakes (G3) and the $500,000 Juddmonte Spinster (G1), both Breeders’ Cup Challenge races.

Selections for all of the Breeders’ Cup Challenge races can be found in my Best Plays Report each day.

Here is today’s opener from Belmont Park to get the day off to a good start:

BEL Race 1 Clm $16,000N2L (12:55 ET)
#3 Special Agent 3-1
#1 Stevie's Moonshot 6-5
#2 Lyrical Miracle 12-1
#4 Bossmon 4-1

Analysis: Special Agent was not a threat last out in a seventh place finish against open $35,000 claimers and finds a better spot here tagged for $16,000 and facing non-winners of two. He has not been on the main track since last year, but he has a solid off track pedigree, by Medaglia's d'Oro out of an A.P. Indy mare.

Stevie's Moonshot was a decent third three back in the slop in a race washed off the turf versus $40,000 non-winners of two. He did not have good trips in his last two starts on turf and now drops into a softer spot here for Pletcher.

Wagering
WIN: #3 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,3 / 1,2,3
TRI: no play

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Keeneland:

KEE Race 9 The Alcibades G1 (5:30 ET)
#1 Gomo 3-1
#9 Dothraki Queen 5-2
#11 Just Wicked 3-1
#8 Lookout Sister 6-1

Analysis: Gomo returns to dirt here after a third last out in the Juvenile Fillies Turf at Del Mar going a mile. The Beyer (66) is coming up on the light side while the BRIS number is the second highest number in the field. By Uncle Mo out of an Elusive Quality mare, she seems better suited to two turns on dirt and this will be her first try.

Dothraki Queen romped in her debut to win by seven lengths at Ellis Park on turf and then was sent off at 7-1 in her dirt debut in the Pocahontas (G2) with lasix added and she pulled off the mile upset. She raced near the back of the pack, made a god middle move, had to wait briefly for some running room at the quarterpole and took over shortly after for the win. The McPeek barn has won this race three times, the most recent with Dream Express in 2008.

Wagering
WIN: #1 to win at 5-2 or better.
EX: 1,9 / 1,8,9,11
TRI: 1,9 / 1,8,9,11 / 1,6,8,9,11

Today’s Featured Race of the Day from Belmont Park:

BEL Race 8 Alw $62,000N1X (4:46 ET)
#2 Giantinthemoonlite 5-2
#1 True Bet 6-1
#5 Little Popsie 6-1
#7 David Rocks 3-1

Analysis: Giantinthemoonlite stalked the early pace and was interfered with in the stretch when a foe drifted in on him, checking in fourth and place third via DQ. Two back off a 4 1/2 month break he was beaten just a head in a game effort. He makes his third start of his current form cycle, has done his best running over the main track here, and has run well on wet tracks if the rains come.

True Bet faces winners for the first time after a sharp maiden win last out in his ninth career start. Two back over the main track here he ran a good second behind repeat winner So Noted, who came back to beat state bred Alw-1 foes in his next outing on Aug. 2 at the Spa. The gelding looks headed in the right direction and this is not a real tough spot for his first go against winners.

Wagering
WIN: #2 to win at 2-1 or better.
EX: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7
TRI: 1,2 / 1,2,5,7 / 1,2,3,5,7

Live Longshots:
These are price plays for exotic players looking to find a couple of extra contenders to use in their trifecta and superfecta wagers. Or for those with smaller bankrolls, you might want to get in a small win-place wager.

Belmont Park
R1: #2 Lyrical Miracle 12-1
R4: #6 Kitten 12-1
R6: #4 Queen of the Spa 8-1
R7: #1 Saint Finian 12-1
R9: #8 Ask the Lonely 10-1

Good luck today!

 

[CNOTES]

Warriors HC Kerr takes leave of absence


October 1, 2015


OAKLAND, Calif. (AP) Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr will take a leave of absence as he recovers from back surgery and will be replaced on an interim basis by Luke Walton.


The Warriors announced Thursday that Kerr will need time off for rehabilitation and recovery. Kerr underwent back surgery to repair a ruptured disc in late July and had follow-up surgery in September.


''After the first two days of training camp, I realized I need to take a step back and focus on my rehabilitation in order to be ready for the grind of another NBA season,'' Kerr said in a statement. ''As I noted last week, my summer was difficult and no fun due to the multiple back surgeries. At this point, I simply want to get healthy and back to my normal daily routine on and off the court.''


The Warriors said they don't know yet how long Kerr will be out.


''At this point, the most important thing is to make sure Steve is healthy, completely recovered and ready for not only the rigors of a long NBA season, but day-to-day life in general,'' general manager Bob Myers said. ''We don't anticipate the recovery process will be long term, but as of today we don't know the exact timeframe. We'll evaluate his progress daily and provide updates as necessary.''


Kerr originally tweaked his back during the NBA Finals last June. He had planned to take a back seat during training camp and said after the first practice that he had only been cleared to ''walk around and yell at people, talk to the press.''


When he was asked about swingman Andre Iguodala's recent trip to Germany to receive injections in his knees, Kerr joked: ''It worked. I'm going to be on my way to Germany tomorrow for my whole body.''


The Warriors won their first NBA title in 40 years in Kerr's first year as coach last season.


Walton was an assistant for Golden State last season and moved into the lead assistant role this summer after Alvin Gentry left to take the head coaching job in New Orleans.


Walton, the son of Hall of Famer Bill Walton, played collegiately at Arizona under Lute Olson and spent 10 years in the NBA. He was part of two championship teams with the Los Angeles Lakers under Phil Jackson.


''Luke is fortunate enough to have played and coached under some great coaches,'' Myers said last week. ''He has an innate ability to think the game, to learn the game and also to communicate the game.''

 

[CNOTES]

2015-16 Division Odds


October 1, 2015


The 2015-16 NBA regular season tips off on Tuesday, Oct. 27 and oddsmakers are already starting to forecast the future for 30 teams.


Sportsbook.ag, a major offshore betting shop, has recently released Divisional Odds for the upcoming season on all six groups.


As expected, four of the division winners from the previous season are expected to repeat this season.


Atlantic – Toronto (Raptors also won in 2013-14 season)


Central – Cleveland (LeBron James has won 7 straight division titles- Cavs, Heat, Cavs)


Southeast – Atlanta (Charlotte and Washington have never won the division)


Pacific – Golden State


The only changes occur in Southwest and Northwest divisions.


Houston captured the Southwest last year, which was the most competitive group in the NBA as all five teams made the playoffs.


This year’s favorite to win the Southwest is San Antonio, who beefed up its roster with superstar free agent LaMarcus Aldridge. Prior to the Rockets winning the division last season, the Spurs had won the four previous Southwest titles.


Oklahoma City failed to make the postseason last year due to numerous missed games by its star players and the oddsmakers expect them to be healthy and run away with the division this season.


The Thunder are an overwhelming 1/50 favorite (Bet $100 to win $2) to capture the Northwest. If you believe the injury bug or trades will derail this team again, you can take a shot with the Jazz at 12/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $1,200) or the remaining three clubs (Trail Blazers, Nuggets, Timberwolves) at 100/1 odds.


The most competitive division based on the odds is the Southeast where the Hawks are the favorite (7/5) but the Heat and Wizards are right behind Atlanta at 11/5 odds (Bet $100 to win $220).


Listed below are all of the division odds per Sportsbook.ag.


Odds to win Atlanta Division
2014 Winner - Toronto


Raptors 5/8
Celtics 9/5
Knicks 12/1
Nets 30/1
76ers 100/1


Odds to win Central Division
2014 Winner - Cleveland


Cavaliers 1/4
Bulls 5/1
Bucks 15/1
Pacers 20/1
Pistons 100/1


Odds to win Southeast Division
2014 Winner - Atlanta


Hawks 7/5
Heat 11/5
Wizards 11/5
Hornets 40/1
Magic 40/1


Odds to win Southwest Division
2014 Winner - Houston


Spurs 5/8
Rockets 16/5
Grizzlies 7/1
Pelicans 8/1
Mavericks 50/1


Odds to win Northwest Division
2014 Winner - Portland


Thunder 1/50
Jazz 12/1
Trail Blazers 100/1
Nuggets 100/1
Timberwolves 100/1


Odds to win Pacific Division
2014 Winner - Golden State


Warriors 1/2
Clippers 8/5
Suns 80/1
Kings 100/1
Lakers 200/1


Odds Subject to Change - Updated 10.1.15

 

[CNOTES]

Point Totals & Division Odds


September 24, 2015


The 2015-16 NHL regular season drops the puck on Wednesday Oct. 7 as the Chicago Blackhawks will look to win their second straight Stanley Cup Championship and third in the last four seasons.


Despite winning the title last season, oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag have the Blackhawks listed as the second choice to win the Central Division at 3/1 odds. St. Louis, a 5/2 betting choice has been listed as the favorite.


Tampa Bay, last year’s runner up to Chicago, is a 7/5 favorite to win the Atlantic Division.


The Lightning defeated the Rangers in last year’s Eastern Conference Finals. New York is a 3/1 betting choice to win the Metropolitan Division, behind Pittsburgh which sits at 5/2 odds.


According to Sportsbook.ag, Tampa Bay is expected to earn the most points (106.5) in the regular season. The Lightning earned 108 points last season.


The lowest expectations for this season have been assigned to Toronto, who has a regular season point total listed at 67.5.


Listed below are Regular Season Point Totals and Division Odds per Sportsbook.ag


2015-16 Regular Season Points Total
Teams Must Play 82 Games


Anaheim Ducks: 104.5
Arizona Coyotes: 64.5
Boston Bruins: 88.5
Buffalo Sabres: 76.5
Calgary Flames: 94.5
Carolina Hurricanes: 73.5
Chicago Blackhawks: 99.5
Colorado Avalanche: 85.5
Columbus Blue Jackets: 98.5
Dallas Stars: 96.5
Detroit Red Wings: 97.5
Edmonton Oilers: 87.5
Florida Panthers: 86.5
Los Angeles Kings: 100.5
Minnesota Wild: 97.5
Montreal Canadiens: 99.5
Nashville Predators: 95.5
New Jersey Devils: 75.5
New York Islanders: 99.5
New York Rangers: 100.5
Ottawa Senators: 94.5
Philadelphia Flyers: 88.5
Pittsburgh Penguins: 103.5
San Jose Sharks: 93.5
St. Louis Blues: 102.5
Tampa Bay Lightning: 106.5
Toronto Maple Leafs: 67.5
Vancouver Canucks: 85.5
Washington Capitals: 99.5
Winnipeg Jets: 95.5


Odds to win 2015-16 Atlantic Division


Tampa Bay Lightning 7/5
Montreal Canadiens 5/2
Detroit Red Wings 9/2
Ottawa Senators 8/1
Florida Panthers 12/1
Boston Bruins 15/1
Buffalo Sabres 25/1
Toronto Maple Leafs 100/1


Odds to win 2015-16 Metropolitan Division


Pittsburgh Penguins 5/2
New York Rangers 3/1
Colombus Blue Jackets 4/1
New York Islanders 9/2
Washington Capitals 9/2
Philadelphia Flyers 20/1
Carolina Hurricanes 60/1
New Jersey Devils 60/1


Odds to win 2015-16 Central Division


St Louis Blues 5/2
Chicago Blackhawks 3/1
Dallas Stars 5/1
Minnesota Wild 5/1
Winnipeg Jets 6/1
Nashville Predators 7/1
Colorado Avalanche 20/1


Odds to win 2015-16 Pacific Division


Anaheim Ducks 7/5
Los Angeles Kings 2/1
Calgary Flames 5/1
San Jose Sharks 13/2
Edmonton Oilers 12/1
Vancouver Canucks 20/1
Arizona Coyotes 100/1


Odds Subject to Change - Updated 9.24.15

 

[CNOTES]

RECAPPING THURSDAY'S ACTION:


MLB: 5 - 3 - 0


WNBA: 0 - 0 - 0


CFL: 0 - 0 - 0


CFB: 1 - 1 - 0


NFL: 1 - 0 - 1



WNBA RECORD FOR JUNE/JULY/AUGUST/SEPTEMBER :


*****...............................35 - 28 - 2
DOUBLE PLAY....................69 - 56 - 1
TRIPLE PLAY......................39 - 32 - 0
SLAM DUNK.......................40 - 37 - 1


MLB RECORD FOR JUNE/JULY/AUGUST/SEPTEMBER :


*****.............................146 - 166 - 1 .....................,......- 16.85
double play......................251 - 260 - 4 ............................- 11.74
triple play........................132 - 132 - 2 ............................ - 61,94
grand slam......................125 - 119 - 4...................,.,........- 55.08
double grand slam.............39 - 30..................................... +43.13
underdog of the year.........0 - 1...........................................+ 9.36




CFL JUNE/JULY/ AUGUST/SEPTEMBER RECORD:


SINGLE PLAY.................................35 - 27
DOUBLE PLAY................................13 - 18
TRIPLE PLAY..................................20 - 10 - 1
BLOW OUT.....................................5 - 3

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 1

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MONTREAL (5 - 7) at OTTAWA (7 - 5) - 10/1/2015, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, October 2

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CALGARY (10 - 3) at HAMILTON (8 - 4) - 10/2/2015, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HAMILTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
HAMILTON is 96-70 ATS (+19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 4-2 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Saturday, October 3

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EDMONTON (9 - 4) at WINNIPEG (4 - 9) - 10/3/2015, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 31-50 ATS (-24.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1996.
EDMONTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
EDMONTON is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
EDMONTON is 5-0 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 5-0 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SASKATCHEWAN (2 - 11) at BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 8) - 10/3/2015, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SASKATCHEWAN is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 118-83 ATS (+26.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 109-75 ATS (+26.5 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-3 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 4-4 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CFL

Week 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 1

7:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. OTTAWA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing Ottawa
Montreal is 3-4-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 5 games when playing Montreal


Friday, October 2

7:30 PM
CALGARY vs. HAMILTON
Calgary is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Hamilton
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Hamilton's last 17 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Hamilton's last 17 games at home


Saturday, October 3

4:00 PM
EDMONTON vs. WINNIPEG
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Edmonton's last 17 games when playing on the road against Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Winnipeg's last 17 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Winnipeg is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Edmonton

7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. BRITISH COLUMBIA
Saskatchewan is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saskatchewan's last 11 games when playing on the road against British Columbia
British Columbia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of British Columbia's last 5 games when playing Saskatchewan

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Dunkel

Week 15


Montreal @ Ottawa

Game 291-292
October 1, 2015 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
112.649
Ottawa
111.215
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Montreal
by 1 1/2
57
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ottawa
by 2 1/2
47
Dunkel Pick:
Montreal
(+2 1/2); Over



Calgary @ Hamilton

Game 293-294
October 2, 2015 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Calgary
114.968
Hamilton
123.744
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hamilton
by 9
45
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Calgary
by 2 1/2
48
Dunkel Pick:
Hamilton
(+2 1/2); Under



Edmonton @ Winnipeg

Game 295-296
October 3, 2015 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Edmonton
121.112
Winnipeg
107.073
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Edmonton
by 14
52
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Edmonton
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
Edmonton
(-6); Over

Saskatchewan @ BC Lions

Game 297-298
October 3, 2015 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Saskatchewan
107.851
BC Lions
112.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
BC Lions
by 5
48
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
BC Lions
by 3
51 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
BC Lions
(-3); Under

 

[CNOTES]

CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 15

Montreal (5-7) @ Ottawa (7-5)-- RedBlacks (+2) upset Montreal twice this year; 20-16 in opener at Montreal (+8), 26-23 at home (+2) in Week 7, its first wins in five series games (under 4-1). Ottawa won three of its last four games overall, covered six of last eight; they're 4-1 SU at home, 1-1 as home favorites- six of its last eight games went over. Montreal lost in Regina last week; they're 2-4 on road, 4-0 as road underdogs- dogs covered all six of their road games. Last two Alouette games went over, after nine of first ten stayed under.

Calgary (10-3) @ Hamilton (8-4)-- TigerCats (+6) lost season opener 24-23 (+6) at Calgary, its 8th straight series loss, which includes LY's Grey Cup (20-16). Last six series games stayed under total. Stampeders won seven of last eight games but are 1-4 as road favorites- their road wins (4-3) are by 3-28-2 points, with big win at Winnipeg. Hamilton won seven of last nine games, but both losses came in last three home games; they're 2-1 as an underdog this year. Under is 3-1-1 in last five Stampeder games, 3-1 in last four Hamilton games.

Edmonton (9-4) @ Winnipeg (4-9)-- Eskimos (-5.5) crushed Winnipeg 32-3 at home back in Week 5, its fifth straight series win, with four of five wins by 18+ points (under 4-1). Edmonton won its last three games, is 3-3 SU on road, 1-2 as road favorite, with wins by 11-3-7 points. Eskimos won last two visits here, 35-27ot/26-3. Winnipeg lost six of its last seven games but covered two of last three; they're 3-4 SU at home, 2-2 as home underdogs. Under is 8-2-1 in last 11 Blue Bomber games, 3-1 in last four Edmonton games.

Saskatchewan (2-11) @ BCLions (4-8)-- Lions beat Saskatchewan by FG on consecutive weekends in Weeks 3-4, after Roughriders had won four of previous five meetings. Riders won two of last three in Vancouver but are 0-5 on road this year (1-2-1 as road underdogs), losing away games by 3-25-4-22-15 points. Lions lost last three games, allowing 31.3 ppg; they're 0-5-1 vs spread when favored this season, 0-3-1 at home. BC is 2-3 SU at home, with both wins by a FG. Over is 3-2 in BC home tilts, 5-2 in last seven Saskatchewan games.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL Betting Notes - Week 15


October 1, 2015


The CFL is closing in on the start of this year’s playoffs heading into Week 15 of the regular season as teams continue to jockey for position in their quest to win this season’s Grey Cup title. Defending champion Calgary strengthened its grip on the West Division title with last Friday’s 25-23 squeaker over Winnipeg, but it came nowhere close to covering against the spread as an 8 ½-point road favorite.


Saturday’s CFL slate featured a double-header of action starting with Edmonton getting by British Columbia 29-23, but the Eskimos could not cover as 12-point favorites at home. The upsets continued with Toronto carving-out a key 35-26 victory against Ottawa as a 2 ½-point road underdog. Week 14 closed things out with Saskatchewan doubling-up its straight-up wins for the year with a 33-21 victory against Montreal as a 2 ½-point home underdog.


Thursday, Oct. 1


Montreal Alouettes (5-7 SU, 6-5-1 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (7-5 SU, 8-4 ATS)
Point-spread: Ottawa -3
Total: 47 ½


Game Overview


Montreal has sunk to the bottom of the East Division with last week’s loss, but it still has the edge for a playoff spot as a possible crossover team. Quarterback play is becoming an issue with the Alouettes after an ineffective Jonathan Crompton was replaced in the second of Sunday’s loss by Rakeem Cato. Both players tossed multiple interceptions to hurt their team’s cause.


The RedBlacks’ three-game SU winning streak (four games ATS) came to an end with the loss to Toronto, but they are still is very good shape to make the playoffs in just their second season as an expansion team. Veteran quarterback Henry Burris continues to put up some big passing numbers from week-to-week and after throwing for 313 yards and two scores in a Week 14 losing cause, he now leads the CFL in total passing yards this season with 3,611.


Betting Trends


Ottawa has won two previous meetings this season both SU and ATS with the total evenly split at 1-1. Last season, Montreal swept the series 3-0 SU (2-0-1 ATS) with the total staying UNDER in all three games.


Friday, Oct. 2


Calgary Stampeders (10-3 SU, 3-10 ATS) vs. Hamilton Tiger-Cats (8-4 SU, 9-3 ATS)
Point-spread: Hamilton -3
Total: 49 ½


Game Overview


Calgary has defined the term winning ugly this year with exactly opposite records ATS then SU, but it still controls its own destiny in the West Division title race. The Stampeders have now failed to cover in their last three games and the total has gone OVER in its last two outings. Bo Levi Mitchell completed 27-of-35 passing attempts for 333 yards and a score in last week’s win against Winnipeg.


The Tiger-Cats are coming off a much needed bye week after quarterback Zach Collaros injured his knee in a 25-18 loss to Edmonton in Week 13 as 5 ½-point home favorites. Both Jeff Mathews and Jacory Harris played in relief in the loss to the Eskimos and with Collaros done for the season with a torn ACL, they each would each have a huge hole to fill as the new starter.


Betting Trends


Hamilton has lost its last five games against Calgary SU, but the Tiger-Cats are still 5-2 ATS over the course of the last seven meetings. The total has stayed UNDER in eight of the last nine meetings in Hamilton.


Saturday, Oct. 3


Edmonton Eskimos (9-4 SU, 8-5 ATS) vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers (4-9 SU, 5-7-1 ATS)
Point-spread: Edmonton -5 ½
Total: 46 ½


Game Overview


Edmonton remains one game off the pace in the West following its win against the Lions, which was its third in a row SU. The Eskimos continue to boast the stingiest defense in the CFL in points allowed (18.3) and their offense is putting up an average of 25.1 points a game. Wide Receiver Derel Walker pulled-in eight receptions for 121 yards and a score in last week’s win.


The Blue Bombers have posted just one SU victory in their last seven games, but they have covered ATS in two of their last three outings. The total has gone OVER in three of their last four games while giving-up an average of 26 points even with a 22-7 Week 12 win against Saskatchewan included in this same stretch. Winnipeg is 3-6-2 ATS in its last 11 home games.


Betting Trends


Edmonton is 5-12 SU in its last 17 road games against Winnipeg and the total has stayed UNDER in 12 of the last 17 meetings here.


Saskatchewan Roughriders (2-11 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. British Columbia Lions (4-8 SU, 6-6 ATS)
Point-spread: BC -3
Total: 51 ½


Game Overview


Saskatchewan has just two SU wins all season long; however it comes into this West Division rivalry 2-2 both SU and ATS in its last four games. Kevin Glenn completed just 45.2 of his 31 attempts in Sunday’s win for 212 yards and a score, but Jerome Messam did a good job running the ball with 111 yards rushing and a score on 15 attempts.


The Lions have just one SU win in their last six games, but they are 3-1 ATS in their last four contests. Jonathon Jennings did a good job throwing the ball in the loss to Edmonton last week with 281 yards passing and two touchdown throws, but BC’s ground game went nowhere with just 37 total rushing yards on 17 carries.


Betting Trends


BC won two previous meetings this season both SU and ATS. It is now 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings overall and 5-2 ATS in its last seven home games against the Roughriders. The total has stayed UNDER in six of the last seven meetings in BC.

 

[CNOTES]

CFL


2015 Regular Season Standings



West Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK


x - Calgary 13 10 3 0 20 347 270 7 - 0 - 0 3 - 3 - 0 6 - 1 - 0 W2


Edmonton 13 9 4 0 18 326 238 6 - 1 - 0 3 - 3 - 0 4 - 2 - 0 W3

BC 12 4 8 0 8 268 345 2 - 3 - 0 2 - 5 - 0 3 - 3 - 0 L3


Winnipeg 13 4 9 0 8 246 377 3 - 4 - 0 1 - 5 - 0 3 - 5 - 0 L2


Saskatchewan 13 2 11 0 4 322 386 2 - 6 - 0 0 - 5 - 0 1 - 6 - 0 W1


East Division

GP W L T PTS F A HOME AWAY DIV STREAK


Hamilton 12 8 4 0 16 410 246 4 - 2 - 0 4 - 2 - 0 3 - 2 - 0 L1


Ottawa 13 8 5 0 16 319 338 5 - 2 - 0 3 - 3 - 0 3 - 2 - 0 W1


Toronto 12 7 5 0 14 312 348 3 - 1 - 0 4 - 4 - 0 2 - 3 - 0 W1


Montreal 13 5 8 0 10 280 282 3 - 3 - 0 2 - 5 - 0 2 - 3 - 0 L2