Cnotes NBA January Trends/News/ Stats/ All You Need To Know !

[CNOTES]

Friday's Tip Sheet


January 16, 2015


Hawks at Raptors – 7:35 PM EST


Atlanta has started to rest players of late and it still hasn’t affected its winning ways. The Hawks have won 24 of their past 26, including 10 in a row after stomping on the Celtics, 105-91 on Wednesday as 5 ½-point road favorites. Al Horford rested on the second of a back-to-back, while Jeff Teague and Paul Millsap sat out in the front-end on Tuesday in Philadelphia. The Hawks have covered 10 straight games away from Philips Arena, but Mike Budenholtzer’s team is playing with double-revenge after losing to the Raptors twice early in the season.


DeMar DeRozan returned following a 21-game absence in Wednesday’s 100-84 victory over the 76ers, but Toronto failed to cash as 17 ½-point favorites. DeRozan scored 20 points, as the Raptors have won just twice in their past seven games following a 24-7 start. During this cold stretch, Toronto has cashed only once in seven tries, while Dwane Casey’s team is 2-4 ATS in the previous six as a single-digit home favorite.


Warriors at Thunder – 8:05 PM EST


For as many as the headlines Atlanta is receiving recently, some people are forgetting about Golden State, who has won eight straight games to improve to a league-best 31-5. All eight victories during this winning streak are by double-digits for Steve Kerr’s team, which includes a 116-105 triumph at Utah on Tuesday to snap a three-game road losing skid. Golden State has owned Oklahoma City this season, winning all three matchups, even though Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook missed the first loss back in November due to injury.


The Thunder fell behind early and never recovered in a 112-101 setback at Houston last night, allowing 40 points in the first quarter. Since losing at Golden State on December 18, Oklahoma City has spun out of control from an ATS standpoint by posting a 2-10-1 ATS mark in the previous 13 games, which includes a 1-4-1 ATS record at Chesapeake Energy Arena. Since Thanksgiving, the Thunder has played just three times with no rest, winning all three games, even though Durant sat out two of those victories with injury.


Nuggets at Mavericks – 8:35 PM EST

These teams wrap up a home-and-home set at the American Airlines Center after Denver took care of Dallas, 114-107 on Wednesday night at the Pepsi Center. The Nuggets picked up their fifth straight win to cash as five-point favorites, but the Mavs sat out several starters following an overtime victory at Sacramento the previous night as Dirk Nowitzki, Rajon Rondo, and Tyson Chandler all rested. The Nuggets’ offense is kicking into gear by topping the 100-point mark eight times in the past nine games, while covering each of its last three road contests.


The Mavs return from a three-game road trip as Rick Carlisle’s club won just once, while allowing at least 114 points in the two losses. Dallas is back home for only tonight’s game before a pair of road games at Memphis and Minnesota next week, as the Mavs have covered three of their previous 12 home contests dating back to late November. The ‘under’ is 6-1 in Dallas’ last seven games at the American Airlines Center, which includes a 4-1 mark on totals of 210 or higher.


Blazers at Spurs – 8:35 PM EST


Portland owns two victories over the defending champions this season as the Blazers look to bounce back from a home loss to the Clippers on Wednesday. A four-game winning streak for Terry Stotts’ team went into flames following a 100-94 defeat to L.A. as 3 ½-point favorites, as the Blazers try to avoid consecutive losses for just the third time this season. Portland has won five of its past six games away from the Moda Center, while picking up a 129-119 triple-overtime triumph at the AT&T Center on December 19 as 4 ½-point favorites, led by Damian Lillard’s 43 points.


The Spurs are back home after grabbing two of three games on its road trip, capped off by a 98-93 win at Charlotte. San Antonio’s defense has stepped up of late, allowing 95 points or less in six of the last eight contests, while the Spurs will receive a big boost tonight with the return of forward Kawhi Leonard, who missed 15 games with a hand injury (7-8 SU and 6-8-1 ATS). Since dropping that triple-overtime to thriller to Portland in December, the Spurs have won five of their last seven games at the AT&T Center.


Cavaliers at Clippers – 10:35 PM EST


Cleveland plays its second game at Staples Center in as many nights as the Cavaliers finally snapped their six-game skid in Thursday’s 109-102 victory over the Lakers. The Cavs also covered for the first time in seven contests as LeBron James led Cleveland with 36 points, while the bench contributed just 16 points. David Blatt’s team cashed an ‘over’ ticket for the first time in nine tries last night, while Cleveland enters tonight’s game at 0-9 SU/ATS in its past nine opportunities in the underdog role.


The Clippers return home following a quick stop in Portland on Wednesday in a six-point victory over the Blazers, snapping a five-game road skid. Doc Rivers’ club has drilled the ‘under’ in eight of the last 10 games, but its last three losses have come to Eastern Conference opponents (Miami, Atlanta, and Toronto). In the time James played in Miami from 2010 through 2014, the Cavaliers actually hung with the Clippers, cashing five of seven times, including a pair of covers at Staples Center in 2011 and 2013.

 

[CNOTES]

Don't count out Cavs

January 16, 2015

Vegas is not buying the media hype surrounding the demise of the 20-20 Cleveland Cavaliers. The self-anointed Cavs were tabbed the World Champions before the season started when they assembled the new "Big 3" with LeBron James, Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love. Unfortunately for the Cavs, they've suffered through the first part of the season with a new coach, players trying to fit in and of course an injury to James. After losing six straight games they're proclaimed DONE by the media! They have no chance to win a Championship and the franchise is in serious trouble at the end of the season with LeBron and Love having opt-out clauses in their contracts.

HOLD THE PRESSES! Despite everything that's gone wrong in Cleveland the guys "in-the-know" in Vegas have them the favorite at 2/1 to win the East. That's right, the 20-20 Cavs are the odds on favorite to represent the East in the Finals over the 31-8 Hawks, 27-12 Wizards, 26-14 Bulls and 26-12 Raptors.

According to our rankings the schedules of the Bulls (28th), Raptors (27th), Wizards (26th) and Hawks (21st) are some of the weakest in the entire NBA. Cleveland on the other hand has played the 14th toughest schedule in our opinion having faced 19 teams that currently have a .500 or better record.

In their next ten games the Cavs will face six opponents that currently have losing records and they should be favored in at least eight of those games. A good opportunity to play on the Cavaliers is January 25th when they host the Thunder as they might be a slight home dog in this matchup. The Cavs will be rested while the Thunder will be playing their 5th straight road game and their fourth game in a six-day span.

I'm not 'buying' the Cavaliers right now to win the East because there isn't any value with them at 2/1, but something tells me (and the oddsmakers agree) the Cavaliers will figure it out before the end of the season and will be in the hunt to win the East.

 

[CNOTES]

Hot and Not Report


January 16, 2015


The 2014-15 NBA betting season is wearing on, and today at VegasInsider.com, we're going to be taking a close look at the teams who are falling flat on the hardwood as we start the new year.


Oklahoma City Thunder (0-6-1 ATS in L/7) – Some of this just isn't the fault of the Thunder. Russell Westbrook and Kevin Durant are consistently hyped up as the saviors for Oklahoma City, and they very well could end up playing that role. However, we have to remember that they are still only two players on a team which really isn't all that great, yet the oddsmakers feel that this is a truly elite team which will contend in the Western Conference this year. As a result, a 4-3 SU run in which the wins have come by five, seven, three, and eight points isn't good enough for a single cover. The Thunder are going to run into that problem for the rest of the year for as long as Durant and Westbrook are healthy. Perhaps the time will come that these two stars will be healthy enough to really make those big spreads seem warranted, but for now, you've got to stay away from the Thunder.


New York Knicks (1-9-1 ATS in L/11) – Heading over to London didn't help the Knicks any either. Can you imagine how bad this team would be if Carmelo Anthony didn't end up resigning in the Big Apple last offseason? My goodness! New York has lost 16 straight games, and the last nine of those losses have come by double digits. The Knicks haven't been favored in a game since November 22nd, and that doesn't look or feel like it is going to change any time in the near future. The only quarter of basketball which New York has been good in this year has been the fourth quarter, and the only reason for that is because other teams are laughing too hard at how badly they have outscored the Knicks through three quarters. New York has the worst margin in the league through three quarters in the NBA at -10.1 points per game, and it's really tough to cover spreads when you're constantly down by double digits heading into the fourth quarter.


Cleveland Cavaliers (1-9 ATS in L/10) – The Cavaliers have really simply failed on both ends of the court, and it is really their defense that is putting their offense into so many problems. Rebounding has been a big issue, particularly in terms of allowing offensive rebounds, and David Blatt's defense is getting extended as a result. The team has lost seven straight games, and by the time Cleveland gets back from this West Coast trip, it could be right on the cut line of the playoffs in the Eastern Conference. When LeBron James and Kevin Love joined forces with Kyrie Irving in Cleveland, it wasn't supposed to be like this. It might very well take some more time to get the Cavaliers going, but for the time being, they are really a devastating team to try to watch play.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Top six college basketball conferences, according to kenpom.com

6) Pac-12-- Utah/Arizona are only locks for NCAA tourney.

5) SEC-- Can anyone beat Kentucky? Two have already come close.

4) Big 14-- Maryland is tied for top in its first year in the league.

3) ACC-- Looks like at least a six-bid league; lot of good teams.

2) Big East-- Cannibalizing each other; Villanova only lock for NCAAs

1) Big X-- TCU was 13-0 in pre-conference, is 0-3 in league but dangerous.

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Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here.......

13) Curious that 49ers hired a head coach from wthin, then fired all other assistant coaches but one, longtime Niner player Tom Rathman. Biggest hire they have is a new offensive coordinator who will be charged with improving Kaepernick's passing.

12) Detroit Tigers already have just under $117M tied up in only six players:
Cabrera-Verlander-Sanchez-Martinez-Price-Kinsler. Pauroll is going to be very high; am guessing a few minimum salary guys make it.

11) UTEP wanted to play Kentucky next year in Maryland, to commemorate 50th anniversary of the famous 1966 title game the Miners won, but negotiuations broke down, probably because the Wildcats don't like playing games away from home, not even at neutral sites. Or maybe they don't like being reminded they lost that game. .

10) Larry Brown won the 1988 NCAA title with Kansas, bolted to the NBA right after, or right before the NCAA put the Jayhawks on probation. Brown was out of college coaching for 25 years, but now, before his SMU team even got to the NCAAs, the Mustangs appear headed to probation too.

SMU took a chance on a coach in his 70's with a checkered past and it looks like it is going to blow up in their face. Brown will just skip town and hide behind his North Carolina pedigree, but fact of the matter is, they should've known this was coming.

9) Every high school/college basketball player should watch D-League showcase on NBAtv this weekend; see how many really good college players are toiling in virtual obscurity now, getting paid but not that much. If some of these kids stayed in school another year, they could've refined their skills and had a better chance at making an NBA roster. Nothing wrong with having an education to fall back on, either.

8) Greedy bastard update: Haven't done one of these in a while, but gas is down to $2.49 a gallon at the station I go to; price actually dropped 20 cents in one day last week. For the first time in at least ten years, the Mobil station I go to had a cheaper price than the Sunoco station across the street. Sunoco station always keeps their price 2-5 cents lower than the Mobil station, but they got caught napping last week.

Gas was $3.69 a gallon almost all summer, so $2.49 is a pretty big drop. Good.

7) Giants gave Nori Aoki $4.7M for one year, good move by them; he has almost no power, but plays a good outfield and will be happier back in the National League. .

6) Peyton Manning's wife owns 5% of the Memphis Grizzlies. Seriously. In other Grizzlies news, turns out they have a "mental endurance coach". I need one of those.

5) Why is the Duke-Louisville game on at noon? Thought that would be the 9pm game to cap off a basketball Saturday.

4) ESPN is broadcasting about 45 college basketball games with their announcers not actually at the game, but in an ESPN studio in Connecticut, like they did with soccer games overseas. Cost cutting measures they say; they don't make enough money?

3) "If I were you, I wouldn't come here." Thats what Jim Boeheim told a young Mark Jackson on his recruiting visit almost 30 years ago. Syracuse had Pearl Washington, so point guard was spoken for and kids strayed in school longer back then, so Jackson went to St John's, where things worked out pretty darn well for him.

2) Rory McIlroy has ten holes-in-one, but got his first in a pro tournament Friday on the 15th hole at Abu Dhabi. Must be fun being that good at something.

1) Pretty cool time of year for me, since I stay up very late writing all this; golf from Abu Dhabi, tennis from Australia, Lot of live events to amuse me while I write.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 17

Hot Teams
-- Hornets won four of last five games, covered five of last six (5-7 HF).
-- Detroit won ten of its last twelve games (1-9 HF). 76ers are 4-3 in last seven games, 5-2 vs spread (8-12 AU).
-- Hawks won 26 of last 29 games, are 8-0-1 vs spread in last nine (5-1-2 AF).
-- Warriors won eight of their last nine games (3-1 AU). Rockets won five of last six games (7-3 last ten HF).
-- Wizards won five of last seven games (5-3 AF).
-- Nuggets won five of their last six games (3-1 last four HF).
-- Memphis won last three games by 12-11-10 points (2-5 last seven HF)

Cold Teams
-- Pacers lost four of last five games (7-2-1 last ten AU).
-- Chicago lost four of its last six games (0-1 HU).
-- Nets lost seven of last eight games (1-6 HU).
-- Minnesota lost 16 of its last 17 games (5-1 last six AU).
-- Portland lost last two games by 6-14 points (5-3 AU).
-- Clippers lost five of their last six road games (0-3 last three AF). Kings lost 13 of their last 18 games (4-5 HU).

Series Records
-- Pacers won 15 of last 17 games with Charlotte.
-- 76ers won last two games with Detroit, after losing six of previous seven games with the Pistons.
-- Bulls won seven of last eight games with Chicago.
-- Warriors won last three games with Houston by 3-11-12 points.
-- Wizards won three of last four games with Brooklyn, but lost to Nets by 22 at home last night.
-- Nuggets won five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Grizzlies won six of last seven games with Portland.
-- Clippers won nine of last eleven games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Five of last seven Charlotte home games stayed under.
-- 13 of last 17 Philly road games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Golden State road games went over.
-- Six of last nine Washington road games went over.
-- Six of last seven Minnesota road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Memphis home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Clipper road games went over total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Pacers are 6-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 6-3 if they played night before; Detroit is 3-0 vs spread if it won the night before.
-- Hawks are 6-3-1 if they played night before; Chicago is 5-4.
-- Warriors are 3-3-1 if they played night before.
-- Wizards are 4-2 on road if they played night before, 2-3 if they lost. Brooklyn is 3-4 if it played the night before.
-- Minnesota is 2-5 if it played the night before. Denver is 0-3 at home if it played night before.
-- Portland is 6-2 if it played night before. Memphis is 3-4.
-- Clippers are 3-2 on road if they played night before. Kings are 2-5 if they played the night before.

East vs West
SU: West 128-78 ATS: West 110-94-2
East teams HF vs West: 26-27
East teams HU vs West: 19-32
West teams HF vs East: 44-42-2
West teams HU vs East: 7-7

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, January 17

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
INDIANA vs. CHARLOTTE
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Indiana
Charlotte is 2-15 SU in its last 17 games when playing Indiana

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Detroit
Philadelphia is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Detroit is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. BROOKLYN
Washington is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Washington is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Washington

8:00 PM
ATLANTA vs. CHICAGO
Atlanta is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Chicago is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games

8:00 PM
GOLDEN STATE vs. HOUSTON
Golden State is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Houston
Golden State is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DENVER
Minnesota is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Denver
Minnesota is 3-13 SU in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games at home
Denver is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

9:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. MEMPHIS
Portland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Portland is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
Memphis is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games at home

10:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of the LA Clippers last 11 games
LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
Sacramento is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, January 17


Joakim Noah, Chicago - Ques Sat

Noah suffered a right ankle sprain during Wednesday's game and did not play Friday. He is questionable for Saturday's game against the Hawks.


Mike Conley, Memphis - Ques Sat

Conley is suffering from an ankle injury and did not play Friday. He is questionable for Saturday's game against the Trail Blazers.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 17

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INDIANA (15 - 26) at CHARLOTTE (15 - 25) - 1/17/2015, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 31) at DETROIT (15 - 25) - 1/17/2015, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-42 ATS (-17.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 53-69 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games this season.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in a home game where where the total is between 195 and 199.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 57-90 ATS (-42.0 Units) in home games when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DETROIT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (32 - 8) at CHICAGO (27 - 14) - 1/17/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in road games this season.
ATLANTA is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in January games this season.
ATLANTA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
ATLANTA is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ATLANTA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
ATLANTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 42-69 ATS (-33.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (27 - 13) at BROOKLYN (17 - 23) - 1/17/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-4 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (31 - 6) at HOUSTON (28 - 12) - 1/17/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (6 - 32) at DENVER (18 - 21) - 1/17/2015, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 23-36 ATS (-16.6 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 31-44 ATS (-17.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 24-8 ATS (+15.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
DENVER is 148-197 ATS (-68.7 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (30 - 10) at MEMPHIS (28 - 11) - 1/17/2015, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-3 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (26 - 14) at SACRAMENTO (16 - 23) - 1/17/2015, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Golden State at Houston
The Warriors head to Houston tonight following a 127-115 defeat in OKC last night and come into the contest with a 23-8-1 ATS record in their last 32 games after allowing more than 125 points in the previous game. Golden State is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Warriors favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 17

Game 501-502: Indiana at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 118.178; Charlotte 117.022
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+2); N/A

Game 503-504: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 111.505; Detroit 120.249
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 9; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 13; 194
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+13); Under

Game 505-506: Atlanta at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 129.730; Chicago 121.951
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 200 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Washington at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.552; Brooklyn 113.776
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 7; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 4 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-4 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Golden State at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 126.570; Houston 124.929
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 1 1/2; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 212 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+2 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Minnesota at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 111.632; Denver 121.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+12); Over

Game 513-514: Portland at Memphis (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.555; Memphis 126.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 5 1/2; 187
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-3 1/2); N/A

Game 515-516: LA Clippers at Sacramento (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 120.949; Sacramento 112.328
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 8 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 6; No Total
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-6); N/A

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

College basketball conferences #7-12, according to kenpom.com

12) Mountain West-- Down year; this could easily be a one-bid league.

11) MAC-- Bobby Hurley's Buffalo Bulls are highest rated team at #77.

10) MVC-- Looks like Wichita State and Northern Iowa to NCAAs.

9) American-- Tulsa is in first place; SMU is heading towards probation.

8) WCC-- Gonzaga will be better in NCAAs because league is tougher now.

7) Atlantic 14-- VCU will be in NCAAs; will anyone else be joining them?

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Duke 63, Louisville 52-- Blue Devils played zone, which almost never happens, but it might be going to happen lot more the rest of this season. Louisville was 4-25 on the arc, 14-36 inside it; they could use a shooter or two.

12) Kansas State 63, Baylor 61-- Bears have weird team- their best scorer, Taurean Price, doesn't start. K-State is temporarily atop the Big X at 4-1.

11) VCU 70, Duquesne 64-- Rams have won ten in row, are by far best team in A-14.

10) Notre Dame 75, Miami 70-- Nasty scheduling spot for Hurricanes, tough road game after they blasted Duke in Cameron- they're better than the Irish.

9) Having 14 of 15 teams in a basketball conference makes no sense; too many teams. The best leagues have home/home series, where rivalries can form. You play a team once a year in basketball, hard for that to grow into a serious rivalry.

8) Wyoming 70, Fresno State 65 3OT-- Game of the Day. Cowboys are 16-3 and might be best team in a down Mountain West.

7) I can't tolerate Dick Vitale's announcing anymore; he works from the same script most every game. He got wealthy and turned into an elitist, though the work he does for the V Foundation is outstanding. ESPN has done a poor job of cultivating its younger announcers- having Jay Bilas as its new #1 analyst is a bad idea.

6) St Mary's 82, BYU 77-- Randy Bennett has the Gaels challenging Gonzaga atop the WCC standings again. He's bringing in three more Australians next year, will have a total of six on next year's squad.

5) Golfer Martin Kaymer is jogging to an easy win in Abu Dhabi as I type this, but Charl Schwartzel has the prettiest caddy- his wife, who was forced into duty when Schwartzel's regular caddy couldn't get a visa in time for this week's tournament.

4) There is a basketball Hall of Fame in Springfield, MA and there is a college Hall of Fame in Kansas City, which somehow hasn't inducted Jerry Tarkanian. Norm Stewart and Gene Keady are in it, but no Tark-- not a lot of credibility there. Tarkanian is in the Springfioeld Hall of Fame, as he should be.

3) ESPN amalyst Jay Williams referred to Duke as "we" on the air Saturday night; of the Dukies on TV and there are many, Williams is by far the worst of the lot. How they decided to put him on their Saturday morning show is beyond me.

2) Clemson 66, Syracuse 53-- Orangemen used two subs a total of seven minutes. If I ever do a list of the most overrated people in America, Jim Boeheim is sure to be on the list. Before Carmelo Anthony spent his seven months in Syracuse and won a national title, Boeheim was best known for his underwhelming NCAA appearances.

Now supposedly he is responsible for teaching Mike Krzyzewski the 2-3 zone, as if the Duke coach didn't know how it worked before he met Boeheim. Its the simplest thing in the damn world; the tricky part is recruiting the great athletes to play in it.

This game was 39-18 at halftime; how does an ACC team have this thin a bench? He lost two kids for the year to injuries, but still.....

1) Arizona 69, Utah 51-- Utes are supposed to give Arizona a run for their money in the Pac-12 this season; this game was the opposite of that.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (19 - 20) at TORONTO (26 - 13) - 1/18/2015, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (19 - 20) at ORLANDO (15 - 28) - 1/18/2015, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games this season.
ORLANDO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 66-46 ATS (+15.4 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 4-0 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (14 - 26) at SAN ANTONIO (25 - 16) - 1/18/2015, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 879-769 ATS (+33.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 694-592 ATS (+42.8 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 447-375 ATS (+34.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 178-135 ATS (+29.5 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 250-203 ATS (+26.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 352-285 ATS (+38.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, January 18

Hot Teams
-- San Antonio won four of its last five games (8-11-1 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Pelicans lost four of their last six games (5-0 last five AU). Toronto lost six of its last eight games (1-5 last six HF).
-- Thunder lost three of last five games, are 1-6-1 vs spread in last eight (2-3 AF). Orlando lost seven of last nine games (4-8 HU).
-- Jazz lost three of last four but covered nine of last 11 on road.

Series Records
-- Raptors won eight of last nine games with New Orleans.
-- Thunder won five of last six games with Orlando.
-- Spurs won 16 of last 19 games with Utah.

Totals
-- Four of last five Pelican road games stayed under.
-- Last five Orlando home games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Utah road games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- None

East vs West
SU: West 128-78 ATS: West 110-94-2
East teams HF vs West: 26-27
East teams HU vs West: 19-32
West teams HF vs East: 44-42-2
West teams HU vs East: 7-7




NBA


Sunday, January 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

3:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. TORONTO
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
New Orleans is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

6:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Oklahoma City's last 21 games when playing Orlando
Oklahoma City is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Orlando is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:00 PM
UTAH vs. SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Utah is 5-15-1 ATS in its last 21 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
San Antonio is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 6 games when playing Utah


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Sunday, January 18

NBA game roundup: Grizzlies win slugfest vs. Blazers

MEMPHIS, Tenn. -- It was very nearly a perfect night for Memphis Grizzlies backup point guard Beno Udrih.

Starting his second straight game in place of injured Mike Conley, Udrih scored 17 points, including the key bucket with 8.7 seconds left, to help Memphis beat the Portland Trail Blazers 102-98 on Saturday night in a battle of division-leading teams at FedExForum.

Udrih finished 7 of 7 from the field, and his 18-footer came after guard Damian Lillard had pulled the Trail Blazers within three at 99-96 by making a 3-pointer with 27.3 seconds left.

Forward Zach Randolph had 20 points and 15 rebounds and guard Courtney Lee and reserve forward Jeff Green added 17 points apiece for Memphis (29-11), which saw Portland rally from a 20-point hole in the third quarter behind Lillard (23 points, six assists), guard Wesley Matthews (25 points) and forward LaMarcus Aldridge (32 points, nine rebounds).

Clippers 117, Kings 108

SACRAMENTO, Calif. -- Forward Blake Griffin scored 30 points, and forward Matt Barnes finished with 26 points and 10 rebounds as Los Angeles held on to beat shorthanded Sacramento at Sleep Train Arena.

Barnes scored 22 in the first half, and guard Jamal Crawford scored eight straight points during a quarter-opening 8-1 run to start the final period, and the Clippers won in Sacramento for the fourth straight time.

Crawford finished with 13 points, and helped the Clippers stretch an 83-78 lead at the end of three quarters to 102-90 early in the fourth quarter. The Kings got as close as 103-97 down the stretch but still lost for the third straight time and finished a six-game homestand at 2-4.

Warriors 131, Rockets106

HOUSTON -- Klay Thompson produced a brilliant two-way performance and Golden State turned a pair of runs into an easy win over Houston at Toyota Center.

Thompson scored 27 points and posted a career-high five blocked shots while effectively shutting down the league's leading scorer, Rockets guard James Harden. While the Warriors opened a 22-point lead entering the fourth quarter, Harden scored only seven points on 2-for-12 shooting. Harden finished with 12 points, 15 off his average.

Warriors guard Steph Curry added 27 points, 11 assists and seven rebounds while forwards David Lee and Marreese Speights added 18 and 15 points off the bench. Golden State improved to 3-0 against Houston with the season series finale set for Wednesday in Oakland.

Timberwolves 113, Nuggets 105

DENVER -- Rookie forward Andrew Wiggins scored a season-high 31 points and grabbed nine rebounds, and Minnesota beat Denver Saturday night.

Forward Thaddeus Young had 22 and forward Robbie Hummel had 15 points and 13 rebounds for the Timberwolves.

Minnesota has won two of its last three following a 15-game losing streak. Both of the wins have come on the road.

Pistons 107, 76ers 89

AUBURN HILLS, Mich. -- Kyle Singler fired in a career-high six 3-pointers and Detroit continued its hot streak with a thumping of Philadelphia Saturday night at The Palace.

Singler, Detroit's starting small forward, finished with a game-high 20 points. His previous high of five 3-pointers was set against Memphis on Nov. 15.

Shooting guard Kentavious Caldwell-Pope tossed in 17 points and reserve forward Anthony Tolliver contributed a season-high 16 points and six rebounds for the Pistons (16-25), who never trailed while winning for the 11th time in their last 13 games.

Hornets 80, Pacers 71

CHARLOTTE, N.C. -- Guard Gerald Henderson scored 20 points and injury-riddled Charlotte rallied for an overtime victory over.

The Hornets trailed most of the night, but forced overtime and then scored the first 10 points of the extra session to take control. They held the Pacers scoreless on their first eight possessions of the overtime, and wound up outscoring the Pacers 12-3 in the extra session.

It was a struggle offensively for both teams throughout the game. The Hornets shot just 30.7 percent from the field, while the Pacers committed 20 turnovers and shot just 35.7 from the field.

Hawks 107, Bulls 99

CHICAGO -- Atlanta matched its second-longest winning streak in franchise history Saturday night by beating Chicago at the United Center for their 12th straight victory.

Former Bulls guard Kyle Korver hit 7 of 9 from the 3-point line and scored 24 points to lead four Hawks in double figures.

Center Al Horford scored 22 points and grabbed nine rebounds, guard Jeff Teague scored 17 points and had 11 assists, and guard Paul Millsap finished with 16 points for Atlanta (33-8), which never trailed.

Wizards 99, Nets 90

NEW YORK -- Forward Nene scored 20 points and Washington made enough plays down the stretch to beat Brooklyn.

Guard Bradley Beal added 17 points while point guard John Wall contributed 11 as the Wizards shot 51.9 percent and reached the halfway mark of the season with a 28-13 record. Former Nets forward Kris Humphries added 13 off the bench and forward Marcin Gortat collected 10 and 16 rebounds.

Guard Jarrett Jack had his second straight 20-point night, leading Brooklyn with 16 of his 22 after halftime. Forward Joe Johnson and reserve center Brook Lopez added 15 apiece but were a combined 11-of-30 as the Nets reached the halfway point at 16-24 with losses in seven of their last eight games.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Oklahoma City at Orlando
The Thunder head to Orlando tonight following a 127-115 win over Golden State on Friday and come into the contest with a 6-1-1 ATS record in their last 8 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game. Oklahoma City is the pick (-9) according to Dunkel, which has the Thunder favored by 12. Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

SUNDAY, JANUARY 18

Game 801-802: New Orleans at Toronto (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 115.403; Toronto 124.786
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7; No Total
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-7); N/A

Game 803-804: Oklahoma City at Orlando (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.966; Orlando 113.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 12; 217
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 210 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-9); Over

Game 805-806: Utah at San Antonio (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 118.951; San Antonio 126.597
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 11 1/2; 196
Dunkel Pick: Utah (+11 1/2); Under

NBA
Short Sheet

Sunday, January 18

New Orleans at Toronto, 3:35 ET
New Orleans: 13-3 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 ATS
Toronto: 1-4 ATS after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games

Oklahoma City at Orlando, 6:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 24-9 ATS after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 ATS
Orlando: 1-8 ATS in home games when playing 6 or more games in 10 days

Utah at San Antonio, 7:05 ET
Utah: 22-41 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
San Antonio: 21-9 ATS after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

College basketball conferences #13-18, according to kenpom.com

18) Sun Belt-- Wide-open as always; Georgia State is banged up right now.

17) CAA-- Wm&Mary was down 20 at half, won last week; they're tied for 1st.

16) C-USA-- Former Sun Belters La Tech/Western Kentucky are both 5-0.

15) Horizon-- Green Bay/Valparaiso/Cleveland State all tied at the top.

14) Ivy-- Haven't really started yet; Harvard is the heavy favorite.

13) Big West-- Cal-Davis has Hersey Hawkins' son, is in first right now.

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend.......

13) Seahawks 28, Packers 22 OT-- Green Bay had the ball and a 19-7 lead with 5:04 left. From that point on, Seattle ran 17 plays for 206 yards, scoring three TDs as they pulled a rabbit out of a hat and won the NFC title with this unlikely win. Seahawks' first TD scored on a freakin' fake FG after they had converted a 3rd-and-19.

Its going to be a longer, colder than usual winter in Wisconsin.

12) Green Bay kicked 18 and 19-yard FGs in the first quarter, meaning they had two drives that stalled inside the 3-yard line; lot of people are criticizing McCarthy for kicking those FGs instead of going for TDs, but he had a 19-7 lead and the ball in the last 5:00-- things that went on in the first quarter aren't why they lost this game.

11) Seahawks are first team since the '82 Jets to win a postseason game in which they turned the ball over five times. Teams had lost 45 consecutive playoff games in which they turned the ball over five times.

10) Patriots 45, Colts 7-- These teams play again next season; please TV gurus, keep it off national TV, so I don't have to watch this carnage again. New England won its last six games against Indy, scoring 42.3 ppg in last four. This was an awful game.

9) As I type this late at night (did you know its summer in Australia and quite warm there today?), Super Bowl line has both teams favored by a point in various sports books, while other have game pick 'em.

This will be third time in last five years Super Bowl spread was less than three points, when there hadn't been any such games in the decade before that.

8) NFC won four of last five Super Bowls, if that matters to you.

7) Pete Carroll went 28-23 as coach of the Patriots from 1997-99, making playoffs two of three years, going 8-8 the third year, but he got fired, so New England could hire......Bill Belichick. I know its the Super Bowl and you don't need extra motivation, but how sweet would it be for Carroll to keep the Pats title-less since 2004?

6) This is only second time in last 20 years (Saints-Colts in '09) that both #1 seeds made it to the Super Bowl.

Hey, there's other stuff going on........
5) Last night I mentioned Martin Kaymer jogging to an easy win in Abu Dhabi; he had a 10-stroke lead with 13 holes to play. He lost.

After going 47 holes without a bogey, Kaymer went +6 in one 8-hole stretch. Oy.

4) Last week, Gary Kubiak issued a statement about how happy he was in Baltimore, helping John Harbaugh and the Ravens; then the Broncos lost and John Fox got fired. Now, Kubiak is the new coach of the Broncos. Go figure.

Baltimore at Denver would be a fun primetime game next season.

3) Washington Nationals signed Max Scherzer to a 7-year contract, meaning they will probably be trading Jordan Zimmerman/Ian Desmond soon.

2) DePaul 71, St John's 67-- Blue Demons are 4-2 in Big East, after going 10-98 the previous six conference seasons. Not sure if DePaul is that much better or of the Big East is that much worse, but good for Oliver Purnell.

1) Major League Baseball is bizarre; they named Mets' owner Fred Wilpon head of baseball's finance committee; this is same guy who was in bed with Bernie Madoff and has been running the Mets like they were the Toledo Mud Hens ever since. Oy.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, January 19

Hot Teams
-- Charlotte won five of last six games (5-7 HF).
-- Washington won six of last eight games (8-11 HF). 76ers split last eight games (5-3 vs spread, 2-6 last eight AU).
-- Atlanta won last 11 games, are 9-0-1 vs spread in last ten (8-3 last 11 HF). Pistons won 11 of last 13 games (8-1 last nine AU).
-- Clippers won six of last nine games (9-14 HF).
-- Warriors won nine of last ten games (5-0-1 last six HF).
-- Memphis won/covered its last four games (3-0 last three HF).
-- Rockets won five of last seven games (7-4 last 11 HF).
-- Cleveland won last two games after losing nine of previous 10 (1-5 last six HF).
-- Bucks won seven of last 11 games, but lost four of last five at home.
-- Suns won 12 of their last 16 games (4-1 last five AU).

Cold Teams
-- Minnesota lost 16 of last 18 games, covered last three (6-1 last 7 AU).
-- Celtics lost 11 of their last 14 games (3-1 last four AU).
-- Nuggets lost eight of last ten road games (3-6-1 last ten AU).
-- Dallas lost three of last five games (0-3 last three A).
-- Pelicans lost six of last eight road games, are 15-7 vs spread in last 22 games overall. Knicks lost last 16 games (1-8 vs spread in last nine).
-- Pacers lost last four gams, are 0-6 vs spread in last six.
-- Bulls lost five of their last seven games (2-4 last six AU).
-- Raptors lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Lakers lost six of their last seven games (5-2 last seven AU).
-- Kings lost 14 of last 19 games (7-5 AU). Portland lost last three games by 6-4-14 points (1-4 last five HF).

Series Records
-- Hornets won three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Wizards won last three games with Philly by 14-8-19 points.
-- Hawks won five of last seven games with Detroit.
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Boston.
-- Nuggets won six of last nine games with Golden State.
-- Grizzlies are 9-4 in last thirteen games with Dallas.
-- Knicks won nine of last 12 games with New Orleans.
-- Pacers won four of last five games with Houston.
-- Bulls won 10 of last 13 games vs Cleveland (3-3 last six).
-- Raptors won their last five games with Milwaukee.
-- Lakers lost seven of last eight games with Phoenix.
-- Kings are 6-5 in last 11 games with Portland, winning last two here.

Totals
-- Six of last eight Minnesota road games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Washington road games stayed under.
-- Three of last four Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Eight of last eleven Clipper home games stayed under.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Golden State games.
-- Six of last eight Dallas road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Pelican road games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Houston games went over the total.
-- Last six Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Five of last seven Toronto road games went over.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Laker road games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Portland home games.

Back-to-Backs
-- New Orleans is 9-0 vs spread if they played the day before.
-- Toronto is 5-2 vs spread if it played the day before.

East vs West
SU: West 130-78 ATS: West 112-94-2
East teams HF vs West: 26-28
East teams HU vs West: 19-33
West teams HF vs East: 44-42-2
West teams HU vs East: 7-7

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, January 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

2:00 PM
MINNESOTA vs. CHARLOTTE
Minnesota is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

2:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 21 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
Washington is 3-12 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia

2:30 PM
DETROIT vs. ATLANTA
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Detroit is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games at home
Atlanta is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Detroit

3:30 PM
BOSTON vs. LA CLIPPERS
Boston is 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
LA Clippers are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 games when playing at home against Boston

4:00 PM
DENVER vs. GOLDEN STATE
Denver is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Denver is 6-10-2 ATS in its last 18 games
Golden State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games

5:00 PM
DALLAS vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

5:30 PM
INDIANA vs. HOUSTON
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Indiana's last 19 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games when playing Indiana

5:30 PM
NEW ORLEANS vs. NEW YORK
New Orleans is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games when playing New York
New Orleans is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing New York
New York is 1-9-1 ATS in its last 11 games
New York is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. CLEVELAND
Chicago is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Chicago is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games at home
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
TORONTO vs. MILWAUKEE
Toronto is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Toronto is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games at home

10:00 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 11 games when playing on the road against Portland
Sacramento is 4-13-1 ATS in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Sacramento

10:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. PHOENIX
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 8 games
LA Lakers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games
Phoenix is 11-4-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, January 19


NBA game roundup: Evans, Pelicans tip Raptors

TORONTO -- Guard Tyreke Evans made the winning hook shot with 1.6 seconds left, and he finished with 26 points as the New Orleans Pelicans defeated the Toronto Raptors 95-93 Sunday.

Reserve center Alexis Ajinca added 22 points for the Pelicans, who led by 16 points early in the second half and trailed by 12 in the fourth quarter. Guard Eric Gordon added 14 points for the Pelicans, and center Omer Asik scored 11 points and grabbed nine rebounds.

Guard DeMar DeRozan scored 22 points to lead the Raptors, who lost for the seventh time in nine games and finished a six-game homestand 2-4. DeRozan's jumper tied the game at 91 with 1:31 to play. Gordon gave New Orleans a two-point lead with 56 seconds left. DeRozan tied it 14 seconds later by sinking two free throws.

Guard Lou Williams added 17 points for Toronto, and guard Greivis Vasquez had 16. Forward Amir Johnson contributed 14 points and grabbed 10 rebounds, while forward Patrick Patterson scored 10 points.

Spurs 89, Jazz 69

SAN ANTONIO -- Center Tiago Splitter became the 12th player to lead San Antonio in scoring this season, producing 14 points during the Spurs' victory over Utah.

The Spurs won an eighth consecutive home game against Utah, last losing to the Jazz in San Antonio in January 2010.

Guard Danny Green scored 13 for the Spurs, all in the fourth quarter, when he made three 3-point baskets. Forward Kawhi Leonard, the team leader with 15.4 points a game before Sunday, had 12 points and nine rebounds. Reserve center Rudy Gobert led Utah with 13 points, a career-best 18 rebounds and four blocks.

Thunder 127, Magic 99

ORLANDO -- Forward Kevin Durant had 21 points, 11 rebounds and eight assists in just 27 minutes, leading Oklahoma City to a victory over Orlando.

The Thunder built a 38-point lead in the first half, then coasted through the second, giving them an easier-than expected start to a five-game, Eastern Conference road trip.

Oklahoma City guard Russell Westbrook had 17 points and six assists in 24 minutes. Forward Serge Ibaka had 16 points, including four 3-pointers, and eight rebounds in 28 minutes. Guard Victor Oladipo led the Magic with 23 points.

 

[CNOTES]

MLK Day Matinee Betting Cheat Sheet

Minnesota Timberwolves at Charlotte Hornets (OFF, OFF)

An injury-stricken Charlotte squad may have to forge on without leading scorer Kemba Walker when it hosts Minnesota in a Monday matinee. Walker missed Saturday's 80-71 overtime win against Indiana - the Hornets' sixth win in seven games - due to a cyst in his left knee and it is unclear how long the soreness will linger for one of the league's hottest players. The veteran had averaged 29.8 points over his last six games, but now joins center Al Jefferson on the Hornets' ever-crowded injury list.

Jefferson, who has missed nine games due to a groin strain, may be back for Wednesday's home game against Miami while reserve guard Jannero Pargo (back) is due to miss his 13th consecutive game. The Timberwolves know all about injuries as three-fifths of their starting lineup has missed most of the season and replacement starter Shabazz Muhammad (oblique) was out for the fourth straight time at Denver on Saturday, when Minnesota improved to 2-1 on its current road trip with a 113-105 win. Monday marks the Timberwolves' seventh chance at recording their first winning streak this season.

TRENDS:

* The Hornets are 6-1 ATS in their last seven overall
* The Timberwolves are 1-7 ATS in their last eight vs. the Eastern Conference
* The Timberwolves are 5-2 ATS in their last seven following an ATS win


Philadelphia 76ers at Washington Wizards (-14, 192.5)

The Washington Wizards stand second in the Eastern Conference at the midway point of their regular season and look to continue their surge toward the top when they host the Philadelphia 76ers on Monday afternoon. The Wizards have won six of their last eight games after a victory at Brooklyn on Saturday to remain five games behind East-leading Atlanta. Philadelphia, which dropped its first 17 contests this season, has split its last eight games after a 107-89 loss at Detroit on Saturday.

It will be the first clash this season for two of the league’s top young point guards as Michael Carter-Williams faces off against Washington’s John Wall. Carter-Williams, in his second season, has scored 21.5 per game over his last four outings while the 24-year-old Wall averages a double-double (17.1 points, 10 assists). The Wizards, who beat the 76ers in their last three meetings in 2013-14, boast 17 home victories – most in the conference.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 6-1 in the Wizards' last seven home games
*The Under is 7-1 in the 76ers' last eight overall
*The 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last four games following a SU loss


Detroit Pistons at Atlanta Hawks (-7.5, 204)

The two hottest teams in the Eastern Conference go head-to-head Monday afternoon when the Atlanta Hawks host the Detroit Pistons. The Hawks have won 12 straight and 26 of 28 to move atop the East standings and continue their best start in franchise history. The Pistons, meanwhile, have won 11 of their last 13 following a 5-23 start and are within a game of the Brooklyn Nets for the eighth and final playoff spot in the East.

Atlanta’s winning streak has been especially impressive considering it includes victories at the Portland and the Los Angeles Clippers, two of the more difficult teams to beat at home, as well as wins against Eastern Division pursuers Chicago, Toronto, Washington and Cleveland. The Hawks also beat Detroit during the current run, ending its seven-game winning streak. Stopping point guard Jeff Teague will be a priority for the Pistons after he lit them up for 28 points in a 99-89 win Nov. 21 in Atlanta.

TRENDS:

* The Pistons are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 overall
* The Under is 5-2 in the Pistons' last seven road games
* The favorite is 5-2 ATS in their last seven meetings


Boston Celtics at Los Angeles Clippers (-12, 212.5)

The Los Angeles Clippers look to snap a rare home losing streak when they host reeling Boston in a Monday matinee. After a 126-121 loss to Cleveland on Friday, the Clippers had dropped two in a row at the Staples Center for the first time since the beginning of the 2012-13 season. Los Angeles, which bounced back with a 117-108 victory at Sacramento on Saturday, has also lost three straight at home against Eastern Conference foes as part of a 4-3 stretch overall.

Matt Barnes scored 22 points in the first half en route to 26 while Blake Griffin had 18 of his 30 in the second half for the Clippers against the Kings. While Los Angeles finished strong in that one, the Celtics faded late in a 119-104 loss to Chicago at home on Friday, their 11th loss in 14 games. Boston, which is 4-12 away from home on the season and has lost 23 in a row against Western Conference opponents, is beginning a season-high six-game road swing against the West.

TRENDS:

* The Underdog is 9-2 in their last 11 meetings
* The Celtics are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 contests
* The Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss


Denver Nuggets at Golden State Warriors (-14, 218)

The Golden State Warriors have been making history all season and will have a chance to do it again when they host the Denver Nuggets on Monday. The Warriors need one more victory to break the franchise record of 15 straight home wins set by the 1989-90 squad. Denver had been working on a winning streak of its own with five straight before running into trouble over the weekend in back-to-back losses.

The Warriors stumbled briefly in a 127-115 loss at Oklahoma State on Friday that ended an eight-game winning streak by bounced right back by slamming the Houston Rockets 131-106 to close out the two-game excursion on Saturday. “We just wanted to get back to our identity,” Golden State guard Klay Thompson told reporters. “It felt good to get back to what we do best.” The Nuggets are coming off a 113-105 home loss to the Western Conference-worst Minnesota Timberwolves.

TRENDS:

* The Nuggets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight games overall
* The Underdog is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 meetings
* The road side is 4-0 ATS in their last four matchups

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, January 19

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MINNESOTA (7 - 32) at CHARLOTTE (16 - 25) - 1/19/2015, 2:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (8 - 32) at WASHINGTON (28 - 13) - 1/19/2015, 2:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 332-401 ATS (-109.1 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (16 - 25) at ATLANTA (33 - 8) - 1/19/2015, 2:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 54-69 ATS (-21.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
ATLANTA is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) in January games this season.
ATLANTA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
ATLANTA is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
ATLANTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 114-79 ATS (+27.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
DETROIT is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (13 - 25) at LA CLIPPERS (27 - 14) - 1/19/2015, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games in January games since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 217-270 ATS (-80.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 2-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (18 - 22) at GOLDEN STATE (32 - 6) - 1/19/2015, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) after allowing 105 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) after scoring 105 points or more this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-7 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (28 - 13) at MEMPHIS (29 - 11) - 1/19/2015, 5:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (20 - 20) at NEW YORK (5 - 36) - 1/19/2015, 5:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (15 - 27) at HOUSTON (28 - 13) - 1/19/2015, 5:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (27 - 15) at CLEVELAND (21 - 20) - 1/19/2015, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (26 - 14) at MILWAUKEE (21 - 19) - 1/19/2015, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
TORONTO is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 47-79 ATS (-39.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 5-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (12 - 29) at PHOENIX (24 - 18) - 1/19/2015, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 7-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (16 - 24) at PORTLAND (30 - 11) - 1/19/2015, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Chicago at Cleveland
The Bulls head to Cleveland tonight to face the Cavaliers and come into the contest with a 2-7 ATS record in their last 9 games versus Eastern Conference opponents. Cleveland is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

MONDAY, JANUARY 19

Game 701-702: Minnesota at Charlotte (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 113.885; Charlotte 123.610
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 9 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 5; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (-5); Over

Game 703-704: Philadelphia at Washington (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 107.579; Washington 123.941
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 16 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 13 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-13 1/2); Over

Game 705-706: Detroit at Atlanta (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 124.175; Atlanta 130.352
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 203
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+8); Under

Game 707-708: Boston at LA Clippers (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 114.807; LA Clippers 123.712
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 9; 205
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 12 1/2; 213
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+12 1/2); Under

Game 709-710: Denver at Golden State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 1158.582; Golden State 128.126
Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 9 1/2; 223
Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 13 1/2; 218
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+13 1/2); Over

Game 711-712: Dallas at Memphis (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 120.453; Memphis 120.678
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 713-714: New Orleans at New York (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.853; New York 107.989
Dunkel Line & Total: New Orleans by 10; 186
Vegas Line & Total: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 190 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Indiana at Houston (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 113.670; Houston 124.886
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 11; 189
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 9 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-9 1/2); Under

Game 717-718: Chicago at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 116.329; Cleveland 122.462
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 6; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 3 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-3 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Toronto at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 125.418; Milwaukee 117.375
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 8; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-1 1/2); Over

Game 721-722: LA Lakers at Phoenix (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 112.873; Phoenix 120.918
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 10 1/2; 214
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (+10 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Sacramento at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 114.166; Portland 122.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 9; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 11 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+11 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

Inside the Paint - Monday


January 19, 2015


Golden State owns the longest winning streak in the NBA this season at 16 games, which ended in mid-December. Even more impressive about that run is the Warriors produced an 11-5 record against the spread for bettors.


Fast forward a month and Atlanta is putting forth an eye opening streak of its own. The Hawks have not only won 12 games straight up, but they’ve also covered all 12 games as well.


What’s really amazing about the run is that the Hawks played nine of those games on the road. Some pundits will question the competition but that’s not the case at all. Delving into the 12 opponents further, eight of them are projected to be in this year’s postseason.


It’s safe to say that Atlanta is a legit contender and the oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag have taken notice, moving the Hawks down to an 11/5 (Bet $100 to win $220) top betting choice to win the Eastern Conference.


On Monday, head coach Mike Budenholzer and the Hawks host another hot team in Detroit, who has turned the corner since it release veteran Josh Smith. Coincidentally, Smith once played for Atlanta and they’re doing pretty well since he left Georgia as well.


Since dumping Smith, Detroit has gone 11-2 SU and 10-3 ATS. Similar to the Hawks, the Pistons have been beasts on the road during this stretch, going 7-0 both SU and ATS.


These teams just met in Detroit on Jan. 9 and Atlanta earned a 106-103 road victory as a 2 ½-point favorite. The Hawks jumped out to a 29-point lead (64-45) and managed to hold off the Pistons. In late November, Atlanta earned a 99-89 win over Detroit as a six-point home favorite. The pair will meet for the fourth and final time on Mar. 31 from Detroit.


Oddsmakers opened Atlanta as an eight-point favorite over Detroit for Monday’s affair with a total of 204. The Hawks have gone 16-3 SU and 12-7 ATS at Philips Arena this season.


ESPN will provide national coverage of this game at 2:35 p.m. ET.


Along with the Detroit-Atlanta matchup, bettors have seven other early games to bet on Monday’s holiday.


Be sure to check the latest odds and injuries and be sure to follow us on Twitter for late scratches, updates and much more in the NBA.


Here’s my quick handicap on each game.


Minnesota at Charlotte: No overnight number posted on this game due to key injuries, in particular the Hornets’ Kemba Walker. This will be the first meeting between the pair this season. Charlotte has won three of the past four (2-2 ATS) against Minnesota. Even though the Hornets have struggled against the West (4-14 SU, 7-11 ATS) this season, hard to ignore their current form (6-1 SU, 6-1 ATS) coming into this game.


Philadelphia at Washington: The Wizards are laying a heavy price (-14) for this matchup. The club is 3-0 SU and 1-2 ATS as a double-digit favorite this season. It should be noted that the 76ers went 1-1 SU and 2-0 ATS in their two trips to D.C. last season. Including a loss at Detroit on Saturday, Philadelphia is a respectable 4-4 SU and 5-3 ATS in its last eight. Washington has won and covered three of its last four games.


Boston at L.A. Clippers: Another heavy line (-12.5) here and almost seems like a pass. Los Angeles swept the season series (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) against Boston last season. The Celtics started the season with eight straight losses against the West but have since gone 4-1 both SU and ATS in its last five.


Denver at Golden State: The Warriors are laying two touchdowns (-14) to the Nuggets and bettors should be aware that the visitor went 4-0 both SU and ATS in the four encounters last season. Golden State is a league-best 17-1 at home (13-4-1 ATS) this season.


Dallas at Memphis: Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley (ankle) could miss this game, which is why there is no overnight. Memphis has won and covered four straight while Dallas holds a solid 7-3 mark (5-4-1 ATS) in its last 10 games. In early December, Memphis earned a 114-105 victory against Dallas as a 2 ½-point home favorite. Prior to this win, Dallas had gone 5-1 SU and 6-0 ATS in its last six encounters against the Grizzlies.


Indiana at Houston: Another healthy line and understandably. The Pacers have lost four straight and five of their last six games. The Rockets are just 1-2 in their last three and the defense was torched in the two losses (120, 131). Indiana has played 20 games versus the West this season and has gone 6-14 SU and 10-9-1 ATS. Houston 11-4 SU and 8-7 ATS versus the East, which includes a 5-2 record at home. We’ll have different players on the floor for the Pacers but it should be noted that Indiana has won and covered four of their last five encounters against the Rockets.


New Orleans at New York: Great win on Sunday for the Pelicans, who upset the Raptors 95-93 as 11-point road underdogs without Anthony Davis or Jrue Holiday. New Orleans is just 5-9 SU and 7-7 ATS versus the Eastern Conference this season. The Pelicans ran past the Knicks 104-93 on Dec. 9 as 6 ½-point home favorites. New York is 1-15 SU and 6-9-1 ATS against the West. The Knicks have dropped 16 straight (2-13-1 ATS) games and have looked embarrassing at times. Bettors should note a strong trend for New Orleans on zero days rest this season. Despite going 5-4 SU, the Pelicans are 9-0 ATS in back-to-back spots.