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Monday, October 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Boston - 7:05 PM ET NY Yankees -231 500
NY Yankees - Over 8 500

Atlanta - 7:05 PM ET Atlanta -147 500
Pittsburgh - Under 7.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:05 PM ET Philadelphia +134 500
Washington - Over 8.5 500

Chi. White Sox - 7:05 PM ET Cleveland +101 500
Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

Minnesota - 7:07 PM ET Toronto -134 500
Toronto - Over 9 500

Baltimore - 7:10 PM ET Baltimore +116 500
Tampa Bay - Under 7.5 500

NY Mets - 7:10 PM ET NY Mets +146 500
Miami - Under 8 500

Houston - 8:05 PM ET Houston -102 500
Chi. Cubs - Over 7.5 500

Detroit - 8:10 PM ET Detroit -121 500
Kansas City - Over 9 500

San Diego - 8:10 PM ET San Diego +138 500
Milwaukee - Under 8.5 500

Cincinnati - 8:15 PM ET St. Louis -155 500
St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

Colorado - 9:40 PM ET Colorado +185 500
Arizona - Over 9 500

Texas - 10:05 PM ET Oakland -147 500
Oakland - Under 8 500

LA Angels - 10:10 PM ET Seattle -107 500
Seattle - Under 6.5 500

San Francisco - 10:10 PM ET San Francisco -105 500
LA Dodgers - Under 7 500
 

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Diamond Trends - Monday

October 1, 2012

SU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Astros are 0-13 since April 28, 2012 on the road after scoring 6+ runs for a net profit of $1300 when playing against.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Royals are 0-12-2 OU since May 19, 2011 as a home dog when they lost the last time they faced this starting pitcher, if they didn’t go to extra innings last game for a net profit of $1210 when playing the under.

STARTER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Cardinals are 9-0 OU since June 14, 2011 when Jaime Garcia starts as a favorite vs a team that lost their starters last two starts for a net profit of $905 when playing the over.

MLB BIBLE TREND OF THE DAY:

-- C.C Sabathia has produced a team record of 16-0 (4.8 rpg) since May 2009 as a favorite when his team is in the first game of a series with no rest, if he allowed fewer than 7 runs in his last start. 2-1 this season.

TODAY’S TRENDS:

-- The Cardinals are 7-0 since September 03, 2011 when Jaime Garcia starts as a home favorite after August for a net profit of $700.

-- The Angels are 6-0 since April 30, 2012 when C.J. Wilson starts vs a team that lost their starters last three starts for a net profit of $600.
 

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Hot & Not

October 1, 2012

Say what you want about the extra wild card added to this season’s race for the playoffs, but it’s no doubt added more excitement for all MLB bettors with both races coming down to the wire. There might only be three games left in the regular season, but there’s a ton still to decide. The following is a look at which teams have risen to the occasion and closed shop as we near the second season.
Money-Makers

Detroit Tigers (6-1, $466): As up and down the Tigers have had over the course of the last six months, it’s nice to finally see this supposed runaway AL Central winner playing its best ball of the season when it matters most. Either trailing or holding a two or less game lead in the division, manager Jim Leyland’s squad are a win or a White Sox loss away from wrapping up the division and heading back to the postseason in successive campaigns for the first time since 1934-35.

On The Docket: Detroit will attempt to put an end to their disappointing regular season effort and charge full steam ahead into the second season by snagging at least one win from the Royals over the next three days. They just swept KC in four straight at home last week and have won six of their L/9 away from Comerica Park ($234).

Tampa Bay Rays (5-1, $408): On paper, it looks to be too little too late for manager Joe Maddon’s Rays whose elimination number now sits at one with only three home games remaining against the AL East or Wild Card hopeful Baltimore Orioles. Even if they hold up their end of the bargain and win their next three, they’ll be partaking in some late night scoreboard watching in hopes of Texas going into Oakland and busting out the brooms.

On The Docket: The Rays have dropped nine of their 15 overall clashes with the Orioles, and they’ve split the six overall match-ups with them at home. Making the Rays postseason hopes all the more grim is the fact that they only sit 10-games over. 500 as a host and have cost their MLB betting backers $511 in those contests. That said, Tampa’s won 10 of its L/11 overall and each of its L/5 in the Trop.

Los Angeles Dodgers (5-1, $393): Faced with a similar fate as the Rays but not as dire, the Dodgers currently sit two games behind the St. Louis Cardinals for the play-in Wild Card slot. With that the case, manager Don Mattingly’s troops must at the very least win two of their next three at home over the next three days and hope the Redbirds drop two of three in their final home series of the regular season. If that occurs, LA will host a one-game Wild Card-determining tiebreaker.

On The Docket: The Dodgers will enter Game 1 of Monday night’s crucial home series with the current NL West-champion San Francisco Giants winners of five in a row, but that came against the sub .500 Padres and Rockies. LA’s just 2-7 as a host versus the L/9 +.500 opponents they’ve faced and have dropped five of the L/6 versus their hated rivals.

Honorable Mentions: Oakland A’s (5-2, $364), Atlanta Braves (5-1, $331), Cleveland Indians (4-2, $293), New York Mets (4-3, $161), ), San Francisco Giants (4-2, $138), St. Louis Cardinals (4-2, $105), Los Angeles Angels (4-2, $102)

Money-Burners

Boston Red Sox (0-5, -$500): Thankfully the end of the regular season has arrived for the Boston Red Sox who are now the not so proud owners of the worst money mark in all of baseball having cost their wagering supporters a whopping -$3,385 on the year. The first year of the Bobby Valentine era was an epic fail in Beantown as the club could possibly finish up 20-games ‘under’ its predicted win total of 89’.

On The Docket: The BoSox could possibly have a say in the final standings with them going into the Bronx for their final three games with the Yankees in a dogfight with the Orioles for the AL East pennant. However, Boston has tallied just one win in its L/10 games played and has dropped 39 of its L/55 overall. Crazier things have happened, but it seems far-fetched that they’ll even be remotely competitive here with reservations to golf courses having already been made weeks ago.

Kansas City Royals (1-6, -$481): I have a bone to pick with Kansas City. They were one of the teams I targeted as possibly being a huge money-maker this year. With the gobs of young talent the team possessed and the way Manager Ned Yost’s squad closed out 2011, it seemed like a no brainer. Yet 159 games into the season, KC has a year-long deficit of -$267 and though it stands 33-36 within the division and gave the White Sox headaches all season long, it never once challenged for division supremacy.

On The Docket: The Royals will not only have the few that pack the stands at Kauffman Stadium in their corner over the next three days, but they’ll also have the White Sox rooting them on in hopes that they pull off the sweep. While KC either swept or got swept in its two home series versus the Tigers, the odds of another broom job occurring for either team over the next three days are extremely long.

Chicago White Sox (2-5, -$462): Nobody expected the White Sox to be a player this season. Not even the linemakers who set their season win ‘total’ at 75 ½ games. While the Palehose toppled that tally by registering 83 wins heading into their final series of the regular season, missing out on the postseason will be a tough pill to swallow for South Siders after their beloved team held a lead atop the division for a majority of the L/6 months.

On The Docket: For Paul Konerko and his mates to have any shot of catapulting themselves into the second season, they must win all three of their games at Progressive Field – a venue they’re 4-2 in to date – and hope the Royals do them a solid by pulling off an unthinkable sweep of the Tigers with a trip to the playoffs and the AL Central pennant on the line. If that scenario fails to occur, Chicago will have only itself to blame after dropping 10 of its L/12 games.

Dishonorable Mentions: Seattle Mariners (1-5, -$315), San Diego Padres (2-4, -$207), Pittsburgh Pirates (2-5, -$291), Chicago Cubs (1-5, -$329), Miami Marlins (1-5, -$363)
 

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MLB Betting Notes

October 1, 2012

With only a few days before the season ends, we can look back over the first 159 games and reflect back on what might be the greatest story of the season. We’ve had seven no-hitters, the Tigers’ Miguel Cabrera trying for the first “Triple Crown” since 1967 and an Angels’ rookie in Mike Trout that took our breath away nightly with one spectacular play after another.
But when I look back, what brings the biggest smile to my face is the rise of Oakland A’s and Baltimore Orioles, while at the same time watching big money teams like the Red Sox and Phillies take a season off.

At the beginning of the season, only the Astros at 300/1 had longer odds to win the World Series than the A’s at 200/1. Oakland’s ‘over-under’ season win total was 71 ½, now here they are, on their way to a Wild Card game with a 91-68 record doing the impossible with the second-lowest payroll in baseball.

The LVH currently has the A’s at 16/1 odds to win the World Series and even if they go no further than the Wild Card game this week, it has been a blast watching them daily.

Baltimore was 100/1 to start the season and it’s currently in a battle with the Yankees for the AL East, which is huge because the winner doesn’t have to play in the one-and-done Wild Card game. They were only expected to win 69 ½ games this season, less than the A’s, only because they play in the tough AL East with the mighty Yankees, Rays and Red Sox.

Before the season started, you could have also had 80/1 odds on the Orioles to win the division with a decision that will be posted on Wednesday.

With three games to go, the Orioles are 16/1 to win the World Series. They have secured their first winning season since 1997, which was also the last time they made the postseason. They have also done it with a payroll of just over $81 million, which is in the bottom third of MLB salaries. It’s not quite the $55 million of the A’s, but it’s still worth noting because three of the top four salaries in baseball will not be making the playoffs.

The Phillies ($174M), Red Sox ($173M) and Angels ($154M) will be watching two teams in the postseason that don’t have a combined salary as fat as any of theirs. It’s a nice change!

Outside of the Orioles possibly winning the AL East, most of the divisions fell into place with the favorites winning with the exception being Baltimore‘s neighbor, the Washington Nationals. The Nats were 15/2 to win the division behind the Phillies at heavy ¼ odds (Bet $400 to win $100), the Braves at 4/1 and the Marlins at 6/1.

Remember the Marlins hype with the new stadium, high priced free-agent signings, and Showtime following them around doing reality TV, how’d that all work out? Try last place at 67-92 through Sunday’s games.

The LVH Super Book did a wonderful job of providing the most intense list of odds in Nevada for the 2012 season with hundreds of Players Props. Here’s a look at some of them fared:

Most Home Runs - 42 ½: Cabrera and Josh Hamilton each have 43.

Most RBIs - 128 ½: Cabrera (136) has topped the number with Hamilton close at 127.

Most Hits - 213 ½: Derek Jeter currently has 213, no other player has topped 200 yet.

Most Stolen Bases - 61 ½: Mike Trout leads this Earl Weaver era of waiting for the bomb with only 48 steals.

Most Losses - 17: Ubaldo Jimenez has 17, but won’t get the opportunity to break to the push because he won’t be starting again.

Most Wins - 21 ½: Gio Gonzalez starts Tuesday and could win his 22nd game of the year making the OVER the winner here.

Most Saves - 47 ½: Jim Johnson has 50 on the season for Baltimore.

The one individual player prop that received a lot of attention was Ryan Braun with a home run total posted at 30 ½. He won the MVP last season and came in with all kinds of suspicions that he was juiced up, but he went out and had an even better year in 2012 with 41 home runs, 112 RBI’s and a .320 average.

Adam Dunn had a home run total posted at 18 ½ after looking like career was over last season, but he pounded out 41 for the White Sox this season.

Toronto’s Jose Bautista had hit 97 home runs over the past two seasons and had a total of 35 ½ posted for 2012, which seemed low. But the main variable in these props is staying healthy and Bautista only got 332 at-bats and went deep only 27 times.

The Angels highest-paid player in Albert Pujols had a home run total posted at 35 ½ and managed only 30 in his debut season in Los Angeles.
 

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Boston tries to spoil New York's division hopes

BOSTON RED SOX (69-90)

at NEW YORK YANKEES (92-67)


First pitch: Monday, 7:05 p.m. EDT
Line: New York -215, Boston +195, Total: 8

Long since eliminated from playoff contention, the Red Sox will look to play spoiler to their bitter rival Yankees, who sit tied atop the AL East with the Orioles.

Although the Yanks have not secured the division crown, they have a Wild Card berth under their belts at the least. And as they fight for the AL East title, they will receive an important boost from Mark Teixeira, who is expected to return for the first time since September 8 when he re-injured his calf with an ill-advised head-first slide into first base. Ace CC Sabathia takes the mound for New York on Monday with a 3.42 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 14-6 record in 2012. But the Red Sox have destroyed him over the past two years, saddling him with a 1-4 record and 6.81 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in these six starts. That includes a six-inning, six-run performance from earlier this year. Clay Buchholz has a 4.22 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 11-7 for Boston, and he has been one of their lone bright spots lately with a 2.25 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his past three starts. And no matter how bad Boston has been this season, it never has trouble playing hard at Yankee Stadium. The Red Sox are 15-9 (.625) over the past three seasons in the Bronx. Take BOSTON and the heavy money in this one.

This rare five-star FoxSheets trend also favors the Red Sox:

Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BOSTON) - stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season, after scoring 4 runs or less 6 straight games. (34-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.7%, +39.8 units. Rating = 5*).

Sabathia comes into this game hot off two consecutive eight-inning performances, tallying 21 strikeouts and allowing just two earned runs between the outings. Going deep into games is no problem for him, averaging 7.1 innings per start on the year. He is even better at home, where he has a 2.73 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and tallies 7.4 innings per start. Should he need to be pulled early though, the Yankees bullpen is usually happy to oblige with stellar support. New York relievers have a 3.48 ERA on the season with 51 saves in 64 chances (80%) and a 23-17 record. Hopefully for New York fans, the pitching and the addition of Teixeira can reverse the team’s trend of alternating wins and losses for the past nine games.

While Sabathia is better at home, Buchholz is much nastier on the road where he has a 3.77 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 5-3 record. He also goes deep into games, albeit not as deep as Sabathia, averaging 6.7 innings per start on the year. Boston relievers have been surprisingly solid for them with a 21-20 record this year and 3.77 ERA. They could be needed, given Buchholz’s career struggles against New York, with a 2-4 record, 5.84 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in eight career starts. In the last one, he really hurt his numbers, yielding five home runs in a 6-2 loss. The Red Sox have lost five in a row and nine of 10, but are such heavy underdogs here, they deserve the action.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 1


Hot pitchers
-- Maholm is 1-0, 1.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Lannan is 4-0, 4.23 in five starts this season.
-- Marcum is 1-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Arroyo is 3-2, 2.87 in his last five starts. JGarcia is 2-0, 2.27 in his last three starts.
-- Cain is 3-0, 1.32 in his last four starts.

-- Santiago lasted only 12.1 IP in three starts, but he does have a 2.92 RA.
-- Cobb is 3-1, 3.22 in his last six starts.
-- Sabathia is 1-0, 1.13 in his last two starts.
-- BChen is 1-1, 1.35 in his last couple starts.
-- Parker is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five starts.
-- FHernandez is 0-0, 1.93 in his last couple starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Locke is 0-3, 7.50 in five starts this season.
-- Kendrick is 1-2, 7.24 in his last three starts.
-- JJohnson is 0-3, 4.26 in his last three starts. Familia is making his first start; he's allowed 8 runs in 8.1 IP in seven relief appearances this season.
-- Harrell is 0-3, 4.35 in his last seven starts. Berken is 0-2, 7.71 in his three starts this season.
-- Richard has a 6.33 RA in his last four starts, but San Diego won eight of his last ten starts anyway.
-- Miley is 2-2, 6.21 in five starts this month. Pomeranz is 1-2, 6.14 in his last six starts.
-- Harang is 1-3, 4.11 in his last six starts.

-- Kluber is 1-1, 5.82 in his last four starts.
-- Laffey is 1-1, 5.29 in his last four starts. EVasquez is 0-2, 5.88 in five starts this season.
-- WChen is 0-3, 6.21 in his last five starts.
-- Buchholz is 0-4, 4.88 in his last seven starts.
-- Porcello is 0-6, 5.91 in his last eight starts.
-- MPerez is 0-2, 17.36 in his last couple starts.
-- Wilson is 0-1, 6.92 in his last three starts.

Hot Teams
-- Atlanta won 11 of its last 14 games.
-- Washington is 6-0 in game following its last six losses.
-- Mets won seven of their last ten games, lost last two.
-- Astros are 5-4 in their last nine games.
-- Cincinnati won nine of its last twelve games. Cardinals won 10 of their last 13 games.
-- Arizona won five of its last seven home games.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 17 games. Dodgers won their last five.

-- Indians won five of their last seven games.
-- Orioles won 11 of their last 14 games. Tampa Bay won 10 of its last 11.
-- Bronx won 13 of its last 18 games.
-- Detroit won six of its last seven games.
-- A's won 15 of their last 20 home games.
-- Angels won 11 of their last 16 games.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost 16 of their last 22 games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Marlins lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Brewers lost six of their last nine games. San Diego lost four of five.
-- Colorado lost its last three games, scoring one run.

-- White Sox lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Blue Jays lost 14 of their last 20 games. Minnesota lost three of four.
-- Red Sox lost nine of their last ten games.
-- Royals lost seven of their last eight games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last six games.
-- Mariners lost 12 of their last 16 games.

Totals
-- Under is 16-7-2 in Atlanta's last 25 games.
-- Over is 8-0-1 in last nine Washington games.
-- Under is 7-3-1 in Miami's last eleven games.
-- Six of Cubs' last eight games went over total.
-- Over is 19-10-1 in last 30 Milwaukee games.
-- 15 of last 19 Cincinnati games stayed under the total.
-- 16 of last 21 Colorado games went over the total.
-- Nine of last twelve Giant games went over the total.

-- Under is 8-5 in White Sox' last thirteen games.
-- Three of last four Minnesota road games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Tampa Bay games stayed under.
-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Bronx games.
-- Seven of last eight Kansas City games went over total.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in last fourteen Oakland games.
-- Over is 5-0-1 in Angels' last six games.
 

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Monday, October 1


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Trend Report
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7:05 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. CLEVELAND
Chi White Sox are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chi White Sox's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-14 SU in their last 19 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

7:05 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Washington
Philadelphia is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Washington is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games at home

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. NY YANKEES
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 13-6 SU in their last 19 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 5 games when playing Boston
NY Yankees are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games at home

7:05 PM
ATLANTA vs. PITTSBURGH
Atlanta is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Atlanta is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Pittsburgh's last 22 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games

7:07 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TORONTO
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Minnesota is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 6 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

7:10 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Baltimore

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. MIAMI
NY Mets are 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 18 of NY Mets's last 22 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets

8:05 PM
HOUSTON vs. CHI CUBS
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Houston's last 19 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games at home
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Houston

8:10 PM
DETROIT vs. KANSAS CITY
Detroit is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games at home

8:10 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. MILWAUKEE
San Diego is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 10 of San Diego's last 15 games when playing Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 13 games when playing at home against San Diego

8:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
Cincinnati is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
St. Louis is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

9:40 PM
COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
Colorado is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Arizona
Colorado is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
Arizona is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 11 games

10:05 PM
TEXAS vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas's last 15 games when playing on the road against Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oakland's last 9 games when playing Texas
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing LA Dodgers
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing LA Dodgers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers's last 7 games when playing San Francisco
LA Dodgers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home

10:10 PM
LA ANGELS vs. SEATTLE
LA Angels are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Angels's last 6 games
Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games at home
 

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Monday, October 1


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Monday's streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

CC Sabathia, New York Yankees (14-6, 3.42)


Sabathia struck out 10 over eight innings in the Yankees’ 8-2 win over the Twins on Wednesday. The lefty has 21 strikeouts and has allowed just two earned runs over his past two starts. He gets the ball in a must-win game against the Red Sox next.

Jarrod Parker, Oakland Athletics (12-8, 3.44)

Parker struck out eight and held the Rangers to three runs over six innings in Wednesday's win. The right-hander has a 2.31 in 35 September innings and has picked up wins in three of his last four starts. He’ll feel the playoff pressure in his next outing against the same Texas squad he faced last time out.

SLUMPING

Clayton Richard, San Diego Padres (14-13, 3.91)


Richard gave up four earned runs in 3 2/3 innings as the Padres fell to the Dodgers 8-2 on Wednesday. The left-hander has surrendered 13 earned runs in only 21 1/3 September innings. His final start comes against the Brewers.

Felix Hernandez, Seattle Mariners (13-8, 2.86)

Hernandez allowed two runs on five hits in six innings Wednesday at the Angels. King Felix may be feeling the grind of a long season, as he’s winless in his last five starts and is the owner of an ugly 5.70 ERA in September. He draws Los Angeles again in his final start.
 

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Monday, October 1


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Monday's key MLB games with playoff implications
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Only three games remain for MLB teams heading into action Sunday and playoff races are heating up.

Here are Monday’s key matchups with playoff implications that bettors should be aware of:

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (-228)

Eduardo Nunez hit a go-ahead sacrifice fly in the eighth inning as visiting New York recovered from a four-run deficit to prevail over Toronto on Sunday and remain tied with Baltimore atop the AL East.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Indians (Odds N/A)

The White Sox trail the Tigers by three games in the AL Central with three to play.

Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays (Odds N/A)

Nate McLouth, J.J. Hardy and Chris Davis each homered as Baltimore completed a three-game sweep of visiting Boston and clinched a playoff berth on Sunday. The Rays still have an outside shot at a wild-card berth, but need to win all three of their remaining games and get some help.

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals (+123)

The Tigers have assured at the very least a one-game playoff for the division crown and are just a win or a Chicago loss away from clinching the AL Central.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (Odds N/A)

With their 15th win in 20 home contests Sunday, the Athletics inched closer to Texas in the AL West standings while maintaining a three-game lead over Los Angeles and Tampa Bay for the second wild card.

Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals (-132)

Carlos Beltran homered twice and drove in five runs as host St. Louis moved closer to clinching a postseason berth by downing the Nationals on Sunday. The Cardinals have a two-game lead over the Dodgers for the second NL wild card.

Los Angeles Angels at Seattle Mariners (Odds/NA)

The Angels sit three games back of the A’s for the second AL wild-card spot with three to play.

San Francisco Giants at Los Angeles Dodgers (+106)

The Dodgers remain two games behind St. Louis for the second wild card after extending their winning streak to five games with a victory over the Rockies on Sunday.
 

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Dunkel


San Francisco at LA Dodgers
The Dodgers look to take advantage of a San Francisco team that is 2-7 in Matt Cain's last 9 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150. LA is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, OCTOBER 1

Game 951-952: Atlanta at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Maholm) 16.533; Pittsburgh (Locke) 14.126
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 953-954: Philadelphia at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.336; Washington (Lannan) 16.521
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 955-956: NY Mets at Miami (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Familia) 15.152; Miami (Johnson) 13.792
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Miami (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+150); Over

Game 957-958: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Harrell) 13.914; Chicago Cubs (Berken) 14.508
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-115); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-115); N/A

Game 959-960: San Diego at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 15.059; Milwaukee (Marcum) 14.486
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.551; St. Louis (Garcia) 16.322
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 8
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Over

Game 963-964: Colorado at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Pomeranz) 15.326; Arizona (Miley) 14.154
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Arizona (-185); 9
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+165); Over

Game 965-966: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.141; LA Dodgers (Harang) 16.626
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-120); 7
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+100); Under

Game 967-968: Chicago White Sox at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Santiago) 15.317; Cleveland (Kluber) 14.552
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 969-970: Minnesota at Toronto (7:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Vasquez) 14.538; Toronto (Laffey) 14.798
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-135); Under

Game 971-972: Baltimore at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Chen) 15.775; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 16.458
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 973-974: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.494; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.019
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-245); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+205); Over

Game 975-976: Detroit at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 14.325; Kansas City (Chen) 15.297
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+120); Under

Game 977-978: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Perez) 16.228; Oakland (Parker) 15.699
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 979-980: LA Angels at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Wilson) 15.669; Seattle (Hernandez) 14.950
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 

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MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, October 1


National League

Atlanta at Pittsburgh, 7:05 ET

Maholm: 6-2 TSR off BB starts allowing 1 or 0 walks
Locke: 1-8 TSR in the second half of the season

Philadelphia at Washington, 7:05 ET
Kendrick: 9-2 Under in the second half of the season
Lannan: Washington 11-4 SU on Mondays

NY Mets at Miami, 7:10 ET
Familia: Mets 8-3 SU away off 3+ games scoring 4 runs or less
Johnson: Miami 11-31 SU off 3+ division games

Houston at Chicago Cubs, 8:05 ET
Harrell: Houston 12-39 SU off 3+ road games
Berken: Cubs 5-1 SU at home vs. Houston

San Diego at Milwaukee, 8:10 ET
Richard: San Diego 25-12 Over away vs. NL Central opponents
Marcum: 3-9 TSR at home in the second half of the season

Cincinnati at St. Louis, 8:15 ET
Arroyo: 14-5 TSR away with a line of +125 to -125
Garcia: St. Louis 6-14 SU after winning 6 or 7 of their last 8 games

Colorado at Arizona, 9:40 ET
Pomeranz: Colorado 14-34 SU vs. left-handed starters
Miley: 6-1 Under as a favorite of -150 or higher

San Francisco at LA Dodgers, 10:10 ET
Cain: 27-11 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start
Harang: Dodgers 9-18 SU revenging a shutout loss


American League

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland, 7:05 ET

Santiago: White Sox 11-3 Over vs. Cleveland
Kluber: 0-6 TSR in night games

Minnesota at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Vasquez: Minnesota 21-49 SU vs. AL East opponents
Laffey: 6-1 TSR as a home favorite of -125 to -150

Baltimore at Tampa Bay, 7:05 ET
Chen: 10-4 TSR in road games
Cobb: 10-1 Under in home games

Boston at NY Yankees, 7:05 ET
Buchholz: Boston 13-30 SU as a road underdog
Sabathia: Yankees 29-12 SU off 4+ road games

Detroit at Kansas City, 8:10 ET
Porcello: 22-9 TSR as a favorite of -150 or less
Chen: Kansas City 4-18 SU off a division loss by 6+ runs

Texas at Oakland, 10:05 ET
Perez: 0-4 TSR in the second half of the season
Parker: Oakland 26-9 SU after winning 4 of their last 5 games

LA Angels at Seattle, 10:10 ET
Wilson: Angels 5-11 SU off 3+ Overs
Hernandez: Seattle 19-5 SU after losing 6 or 7 of their last 8 games
 

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MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 1


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ATLANTA (93 - 66) at PITTSBURGH (77 - 82) - 7:05 PM
PAUL MAHOLM (L) vs. JEFF LOCKE (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-2 (+0.8 Units) against ATLANTA this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MAHOLM is 1-0 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.08 and a WHIP of 1.077.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.1 units)

JEFF LOCKE vs. ATLANTA since 1997
No recent starts.

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PHILADELPHIA (80 - 79) at WASHINGTON (96 - 63) - 7:05 PM
KYLE KENDRICK (R) vs. JOHN LANNAN (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 8-7 (+0.8 Units) against WASHINGTON this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

KYLE KENDRICK vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
KENDRICK is 3-5 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 5.33 and a WHIP of 1.486.
His team's record is 7-8 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-7. (+0.6 units)

JOHN LANNAN vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
LANNAN is 3-12 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 5.64 and a WHIP of 1.735.
His team's record is 4-14 (-8.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-10. (-3.0 units)

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NY METS (73 - 86) at MIAMI (67 - 92) - 7:10 PM
JEURYS FAMILIA (R) vs. JOSH JOHNSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 69-84 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 40-58 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
NY METS are 36-48 (-13.1 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
MIAMI is 34-19 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
NY METS are 80-79 (+23.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 52-49 (+3.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
NY METS are 36-27 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NY METS are 21-12 (+11.7 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 67-92 (-27.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MIAMI is 36-42 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MIAMI is 25-44 (-17.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 66-90 (-26.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MIAMI is 45-60 (-15.7 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
MIAMI is 43-63 (-21.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
MIAMI is 37-53 (-15.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 11-4 (+7.5 Units) against MIAMI this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.6 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

JEURYS FAMILIA vs. MIAMI since 1997
No recent starts.

JOSH JOHNSON vs. NY METS since 1997
JOHNSON is 8-2 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.58 and a WHIP of 1.102.
His team's record is 11-6 (+6.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 10-7. (+2.3 units)

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HOUSTON (53 - 106) at CHICAGO CUBS (60 - 99) - 8:05 PM
LUCAS HARRELL (R) vs. JASON BERKEN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-5 (+1.7 Units) against HOUSTON this season
8 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+3.5 Units)

LUCAS HARRELL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HARRELL is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.13 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

JASON BERKEN vs. HOUSTON since 1997
No recent starts.

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SAN DIEGO (75 - 84) at MILWAUKEE (81 - 78) - 8:10 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN DIEGO is 20-44 (-17.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +150 over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 88-126 (-28.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 33-10 (+17.1 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -175 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 109-57 (+34.4 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 59-27 (+20.9 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 68-35 (+21.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 48-21 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 60-29 (+20.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 75-84 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 114-128 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 75-84 (+5.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN DIEGO is 50-53 (+7.3 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
SAN DIEGO is 25-23 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 81-78 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 81-78 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 38-40 (-14.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MARCUM is 25-31 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 10-16 (-11.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 25-31 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MARCUM is 5-13 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 3-3 (+1.0 Units) against MILWAUKEE this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
RICHARD is 2-1 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 4.15 and a WHIP of 1.462.
His team's record is 3-2 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
MARCUM is 3-0 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 3.51 and a WHIP of 1.208.
His team's record is 3-1 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (96 - 63) at ST LOUIS (86 - 73) - 8:15 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. JAIME GARCIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 88-88 (-17.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 69-46 (+23.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 96-63 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 46-32 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 48-28 (+11.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
CINCINNATI is 96-63 (+18.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 401-443 (+40.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 32-17 (+12.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
ARROYO is 30-21 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARROYO is 30-21 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 86-73 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 86-73 (-6.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 53-48 (-7.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ST LOUIS is 55-56 (-15.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 23-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GARCIA is 7-12 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 7-12 (-7.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GARCIA is 0-6 (-7.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-6 (+0.2 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.1 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ARROYO is 8-12 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.340.
His team's record is 13-17 (-2.9 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-17. (-6.7 units)

JAIME GARCIA vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
GARCIA is 7-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.10 and a WHIP of 1.344.
His team's record is 7-3 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.8 units)

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COLORADO (62 - 97) at ARIZONA (80 - 79) - 9:40 PM
DREW POMERANZ (L) vs. WADE MILEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 62-97 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 11-24 (-12.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
COLORADO is 93-149 (-44.9 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-34 (-19.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 54-88 (-37.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 62-97 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 63-103 (-30.5 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 3 seasons.
COLORADO is 14-34 (-19.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
COLORADO is 36-61 (-14.9 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
COLORADO is 81-157 (-49.4 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
COLORADO is 54-95 (-31.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 22-56 (-26.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 81-61 (+14.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILEY is 17-4 (+13.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARIZONA is 80-79 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 33-32 (-10.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 40-38 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
ARIZONA is 80-79 (-9.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ARIZONA is 56-56 (-8.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
ARIZONA is 16-23 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 9-6 (+1.3 Units) against COLORADO this season
7 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.9 Units)

DREW POMERANZ vs. ARIZONA since 1997
POMERANZ is 0-1 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 11.05 and a WHIP of 2.729.
His team's record is 0-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-1. (-0.2 units)

WADE MILEY vs. COLORADO since 1997
MILEY is 4-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.33 and a WHIP of 1.185.
His team's record is 4-0 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

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SAN FRANCISCO (93 - 66) at LA DODGERS (84 - 75) - 10:10 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. AARON HARANG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
LA DODGERS are 94-64 (+23.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
LA DODGERS are 48-34 (+10.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 93-66 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-33 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 167-102 (+62.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 44-25 (+15.3 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 93-66 (+19.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 59-35 (+20.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 480-472 (+46.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
LA DODGERS are 33-36 (-10.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
LA DODGERS are 56-55 (-6.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
LA DODGERS are 22-33 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HARANG is 14-29 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Monday since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-6 (+3.3 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.4 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAIN is 4-8 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.40 and a WHIP of 1.366.
His team's record is 10-12 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 11-10. (+0.1 units)

AARON HARANG vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
HARANG is 7-7 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.22 and a WHIP of 1.275.
His team's record is 8-9 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-7. (+1.5 units)
 

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CHI WHITE SOX (83 - 76) at CLEVELAND (67 - 92) - 7:05 PM
HECTOR SANTIAGO (L) vs. COREY KLUBER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 9-6 (+1.9 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
11 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+7.6 Units)

HECTOR SANTIAGO vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
SANTIAGO is 0-0 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 8.11 and a WHIP of 2.703.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

COREY KLUBER vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
KLUBER is 1-0 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.8 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

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MINNESOTA (66 - 93) at TORONTO (70 - 89) - 7:05 PM
ESMERLING VASQUEZ (R) vs. AARON LAFFEY (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 129-193 (-35.4 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-43 (+9.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
MINNESOTA is 27-27 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
MINNESOTA is 24-20 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss this season.
TORONTO is 70-89 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 41-58 (-17.6 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
TORONTO is 39-48 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in games played on artificial turf this season.
TORONTO is 34-54 (-16.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 (+0.7 Units) against TORONTO this season
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

ESMERLING VASQUEZ vs. TORONTO since 1997
No recent starts.

AARON LAFFEY vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
LAFFEY is 5-2 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.530.
His team's record is 6-3 (+4.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-2. (+3.9 units)

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BALTIMORE (92 - 67) at TAMPA BAY (88 - 71) - 7:05 PM
WEI-YIN CHEN (L) vs. ALEX COBB (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-6 (+5.4 Units) against TAMPA BAY this season
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.2 Units)

WEI-YIN CHEN vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
CHEN is 1-2 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.37 and a WHIP of 1.162.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-4. (-4.6 units)

ALEX COBB vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
COBB is 0-0 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.85 and a WHIP of 1.927.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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BOSTON (69 - 90) at NY YANKEES (92 - 67) - 7:05 PM
CLAY BUCHHOLZ (R) vs. C.C. SABATHIA (L)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 69-90 (-34.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 26-43 (-21.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BOSTON is 59-82 (-38.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 46-64 (-29.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BOSTON is 37-53 (-25.6 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
BOSTON is 41-58 (-20.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 18-35 (-15.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 86-55 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BOSTON is 50-31 (+16.8 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BUCHHOLZ is 34-17 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUCHHOLZ is 28-15 (+12.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 114-101 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
SABATHIA is 3-8 (-9.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 10-5 (+3.7 Units) against BOSTON this season
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.2 Units)

CLAY BUCHHOLZ vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BUCHHOLZ is 2-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.84 and a WHIP of 1.746.
His team's record is 2-6 (-4.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.7 units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BOSTON since 1997
SABATHIA is 7-11 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 4.77 and a WHIP of 1.335.
His team's record is 8-15 (-10.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 13-9. (+3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (86 - 73) at KANSAS CITY (71 - 88) - 8:10 PM
RICK PORCELLO (R) vs. BRUCE CHEN (L)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 86-73 (-12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 8-17 (-14.5 Units) against the money line as a road favorite of -125 to -150 this season.
DETROIT is 36-42 (-14.2 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
DETROIT is 82-70 (-13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 49-47 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
DETROIT is 25-25 (-9.5 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
DETROIT is 44-42 (-13.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 55-53 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 41-45 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHEN is 12-5 (+11.3 Units) against the money line as a home underdog of +125 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 18-10 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 54-38 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
CHEN is 18-10 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 92-50 (+22.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 246-358 (-99.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 9 to 9.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 11-4 (+3.9 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
9 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.1 Units)

RICK PORCELLO vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PORCELLO is 5-3 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 4.71 and a WHIP of 1.322.
His team's record is 9-5 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-10. (-8.8 units)

BRUCE CHEN vs. DETROIT since 1997
CHEN is 5-6 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 5.29 and a WHIP of 1.380.
His team's record is 7-8 (-0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 9-6. (+2.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS (93 - 66) at OAKLAND (91 - 68) - 10:05 PM
MARTIN PEREZ (L) vs. JARROD PARKER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 8-8 (+3.4 Units) against TEXAS this season
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.5 Units)

MARTIN PEREZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PEREZ is 1-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 10.50 and a WHIP of 2.167.
His team's record is 1-1 (-0.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

JARROD PARKER vs. TEXAS since 1997
PARKER is 2-0 when starting against TEXAS with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 0.857.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA ANGELS (88 - 71) at SEATTLE (73 - 86) - 10:10 PM
C.J. WILSON (L) vs. FELIX HERNANDEZ (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-10 (+0.0 Units) against LA ANGELS this season
9 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.5 Units)

C.J. WILSON vs. SEATTLE since 1997
WILSON is 5-3 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 3.47 and a WHIP of 1.280.
His team's record is 9-3 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 6-4. (+1.6 units)

FELIX HERNANDEZ vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
HERNANDEZ is 6-11 when starting against LA ANGELS with an ERA of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.253.
His team's record is 11-18 (-9.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 12-13. (-2.1 units)
 

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