Cnotes Major League Baseball ALCS & NLCS Chamionship Division Series Picks/Trends/News !!

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

LCS


Toronto @ Kansas City

Game 955-956
October 17, 2015 @ 3:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Price) 17.504
Kansas City
(Ventura) 16.138
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-150); Over

Chicago Cubs @ NY Mets

Game 953-954
October 17, 2015 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 16.512
NY Mets
(Harvey) 15.033
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-120
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+100); Under




MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 17

Chicago Cubs at NY Mets, 8:05 PM EDT
Chicago: 18-7 SU in road games after a win by 2 runs or less
New York: 6-17 SU revenging 4 or more straight losses vs opponent

Toronto at Kansas City, 4:05 PM EDT
Toronto: tba
Kansas City: tba




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 17

American League
Blue Jays vs Royals
Price is 2-6, 5.04 in 12 playoff games, but both wins came in relief; he is 0-6 as a playoff starter, 5-1, 3.32 in his last six starts (over 4-1 last five) overall.

Ventura is 1-1, 4.18 in six playoff starts, he is 1-1, 3.00 in his last four overall (under 4-1 last five overall).

Blue Jays won three of last five games with KC; home side won eight of last ten series games. Toronto won three of last four games (over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games).

Royals won nine of their last eleven games (over 3-2 last five).

National League
Cubs vs Mets
Lester is 6-5, 2.66 in 13 playoff starts, 1-3, 3.18 in his last four starts overall (under 4-1 in his last five).

Harvey is 2-1, 2.38 in his last four starts (over 8-2 in last ten).

Chicago won its last nine games against the Mets (under 6-2-1); Cubs won nine of last ten games overall (over 3-0 last three).

New York won four of last six games (under 7-2 in last nine); they played on Thursday, the Cubs clinched Wednesday, if that matters.




MLB

Saturday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:07 PM
TORONTO vs. KANSAS CITY
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games on the road
Kansas City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 9 games

8:07 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 9 games when playing NY Mets
Chi Cubs are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games when playing NY Mets
NY Mets are 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (101 - 66) at NY METS (93 - 74) - 7:05 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. MATT HARVEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 93-74 (+8.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 92-70 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 56-36 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-66 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-25 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-34 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-10 (+14.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-66 (+20.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-36 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-52 (+14.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-38 (+14.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 26-11 (+13.8 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-31 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-12 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY METS are 14-26 (-18.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
NY METS are 182-227 (-59.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-0 (+7.1 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JON LESTER vs. NY METS since 1997
LESTER is 2-0 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 2.50 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 3-0 (+3.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

MATT HARVEY vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HARVEY is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 1.26 and a WHIP of 0.698.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-2. (-2.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (96 - 72) at KANSAS CITY (99 - 69) - 4:05 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. YORDANO VENTURA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
PRICE is 0-6 (-8.9 Units) against the money line in playoff games since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 99-69 (+20.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 54-31 (+13.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 18-6 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 31-17 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 96-65 (+21.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
KANSAS CITY is 15-6 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 58-42 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 43-25 (+17.0 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 90-67 (+18.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 45-30 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 96-72 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
TORONTO is 51-34 (+11.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 27-11 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
PRICE is 13-3 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 20-5 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
PRICE is 41-20 (+20.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997. (Team's Record)
KANSAS CITY is 100-146 (-50.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing on Saturday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 4-4 (+0.3 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
PRICE is 2-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.98 and a WHIP of 0.908.
His team's record is 3-2 (-2.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+2.0 units)

YORDANO VENTURA vs. TORONTO since 1997
VENTURA is 1-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 3.75 and a WHIP of 1.000.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (+0.0 units)

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Saturday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Saturday LCS doubleheader betting preview: Blue Jays at Royals, Cubs at Mets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


David Price is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Kansas City.


Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals (+134, 7.5)


Royals lead series 1-0


David Price has lost all six of his career postseason starts but looks to end that pattern when the Toronto Blue Jays visit the Kansas City Royals on Saturday for Game 2 of the American League Championship Series. Toronto hopes the left-hander can flash his regular-season form as it attempts to even the best-of-seven series after falling 5-0 in Friday's opener.


Price is well aware of his postseason struggles and claims he isn't putting extra pressure on himself. "No, I know it's going to come," Price said in a press conference. "I have 100 percent confidence in myself. I know my teammates do, as well, and our coaching staff. This is part of it. You've got to be able to live in the moment." Four Kansas City pitchers combined for a three-hitter in Game 1, silencing Toronto's powerful bats. Salvador Perez hit a solo homer and Alcides Escobar went 2-for-3 with two runs scored and one RBI for the Royals, who won their eighth consecutive ALCS contest - two off the major-league record set by the Baltimore Orioles from 1969-73.


TV: 4:07 p.m. ET, FS1, RSN (Toronto)


WEATHER: Temperatures in the high 50s under clear skies.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Blue Jays LH David Price (1-1, 7.20 ERA) vs. Royals RH Yordano Ventura (0-1, 7.71)


Price picked up a victory in relief in Game 4 of the AL Division Series against Texas despite surrendering three runs and six hits over three innings. He served up two homers in his one start versus the Rangers after allowing just four in 11 regular-season turns with the Blue Jays. Price is 2-0 with a 1.93 ERA in six career appearances (five starts) against Kansas City, including a 1-0 mark and 2.93 ERA in two 2015 starts.


The 24-year-old Ventura is making his third start this postseason and the seventh of his career as manager Ned Yost feels he has found his comfort zone. "I don't think he's gotten any better in terms of his talent, but as a professional and as a competitor, he's gotten a lot better," Yost said. "He's matured a lot, which is a good thing. Young guys go through some tough times up here. And the more you endure it, the more you learn from it, the better off you're going to be." Ventura is 1-0 with a 3.75 ERA in two career starts against Toronto, with the win coming this season despite allowing five runs and six hits in seven innings.


TRENDS:


* Royals are 6-0 in their last six games with umpire Diaz behind home plate.
* Blue Jays are 2-6 in the last eight meetings in Kansas City.
* Blue Jays are 5-0 in Price's last five road starts.
* Under is 5-1-2 in Venturas last eight home starts.






Chicago Cubs at New York Mets (-117, 6.5)


The Chicago Cubs are four wins away from their first trip to the World Series since 1945 – all that stands in the way are the New York Mets. The Cubs visit the Mets for Game 1 of the National League Championship Series on Saturday.


Chicago survived the wild-card game against 98-win Pittsburgh and took down the 100-win St. Louis Cardinals in the Division Series to move one step closer to its first pennant in 70 years and first World Series title since 1908. The Cubs rode an impressive group of young sluggers led by Kyle Schwarber and Jorge Soler through the NLDS and will send two-time World Series winner Jon Lester to the mound in Game 1. The Mets hit their fair share of home runs in their division series against the Los Angeles Dodgers as well, capped by Daniel Murphy’s decisive solo shot in Game 5, and are riding their own wave of momentum in the NLCS. New York, which went 0-7 against Chicago in the regular season, will send ace Matt Harvey to the mound with no restrictions in Game 1.


TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS


WEATHER: Temperatures in the high-40s with wind blowing in from left field at around 12 miles per hour.


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (0-1, 3.68 ERA) vs. Mets RH Matt Harvey (1-0, 3.60)


Chicago decided to go with Lester over Jake Arrieta in Game 1 because he was next up in the rotation, and both are set to go twice in the series if necessary. Lester allowed three runs and five hits while striking out nine over 7 1/3 innings in Game 1 of the NLDS but took the loss to drop to 6-5 with a 2.66 ERA in his postseason career. The 31-year-old tossed seven scoreless innings at New York on July 1 and has never lost to the Mets in three career starts.


Harvey has worked a total of 22 1/3 innings since Sept. 8 as the team tried to limit his workload in anticipation of the playoffs. The Connecticut native went five innings and allowed three runs – two earned on seven hits and a pair of walks in a win in the NLDS and has surrendered two or fewer earned runs in each of his last four outings. Harvey struck out nine over seven scoreless innings at Chicago on May 13.


TRENDS:


* Cubs are 5-0 in the last five meetings in New York.
* Under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 7-1-1 in Lester's last nine road starts.
* Mets are 4-0 in their last four vs. National League Central.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack


NFL trends to ponder, with Week 6 here.......


-- Arizona is 21-5-1 vs spread in its last 27 non-divisional games.


-- Packers are 9-1-1 in last eleven games as a home favorite.


-- Cincinnati is 29-11-4 in its last 43 non-divisional games.


-- Indianapolis is 10-4 in its last fourteen games as a home dog.


-- Baltimore is 5-14 as a non-divisional road favorite.


-- Philadelphia is 6-15 as a non-divisional home favorite


**********


Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind.....


13) Fact of the matter is this: many athletes struggle with their life after they stop playing ball for a living, it can often lead to depression. During their playing days, athletes are often coddled, catered to and idolized. Once they retire, a lot of that stops and especially if the athlete didn't put a lot of money away, it can be depressing, and that is too bad, but it happens.


12) Someone who probably won't run out of money is Zack Greinke, who is opting out of the last three years ($71M) of his contract to test free agency, where he will undoubtedly make even more money. It is good to be his agent.


11) BYU's "true freshman" QB is actually 22 years old, not really a true freshman.


10) It is a pleasure to listen to Mike Breen call an NBA game, even an exhibition game; he is smart, upbeat and can be very funny. Good to hear his voice again.


9) Don Mattingly has a 446-363 regular season record as manager of the Dodgers, but he is only 8-11 in playoffs, not exactly what you expect from a team with a $300M payroll. His contract runs thru 2016, but will the Dodgers keep him?


8) Jacob deGrom threw 105 pitches against Mattingly's Dodgers Thursday night; 57 of them came with a runner in scoring position, as he scuffled thru his six innings but did his job, as the Mets advance to the NLCS, which starts tonight.


7) Graduates from West Point next spring will have metal in their class rings that came from the World Trade Center, as a reminder of what their education is about.


6) Last 2+ weeks, NFL road teams are 21-9-1 against the spread.


5) Underrated injury; Patriots lost LT Nate Solder for the season; the left tackle protects the QB's blind side (if he throws righty) so that is a big deal.


4) If you care about such things, over last four weeks, Jacksonville QB Blake Bortles is #5 amongst NFL QBs in fantasy points. Wouldn't have guessed that.


3) Odd fact of the day: Johnny Cueto has started 231 games in his fine career, but Game 5 against Houston was the first time he started with veteran ump Gerry Davis behind the plate, whch you wouldn't think would be possible, but it is true.


2) Sasha Vujacic is back in NBA with the Knicks; wonder if there is any significance to his wearing number 18, which Phil Jackson wore with the Knicks?


1) Why is the NBA package on DirecTV $60 more expensive than the NHL's?

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAF Consensus Picks


SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


3:00 PM Akron +10.5 401 28.32% Bowling Green -10.5 1015 71.68% View View


7:00 PM Hawaii +5 419 31.34% New Mexico -5 918 68.66% View View


3:00 PM Georgia State +13 414 31.53% Ball State -13 899 68.47% View View


4:00 PM Vanderbilt +1.5 488 31.98% South Carolina -1.5 1038 68.02% View View


7:00 PM Texas-San Antonio +8 392 32.10% Southern Mississippi -8 829 67.90% View View


3:30 PM Idaho +10 276 32.62% Troy -10 570 67.38% View View


3:30 PM Charlotte +4.5 407 33.66% Old Dominion -4.5 802 66.34% View View


7:30 PM Southern California +4.5 602 35.06% Notre Dame -4.5 1115 64.94% View View


12:00 PM Florida International +10.5 494 35.34% Middle Tennessee -10.5 904 64.66% View View


10:00 PM Arizona State +5.5 577 35.68% Utah -5.5 1040 64.32% View View


3:30 PM Virginia Tech +3 566 36.40% Miami -3 989 63.60% View View


12:00 PM Louisiana Tech +12 564 36.65% Mississippi State -12 975 63.35% View View


12:00 PM South Florida +3 579 36.81% Connecticut -3 994 63.19% View View


12:00 PM Bucknell +26 203 36.91% Army -26 347 63.09% View View


1:00 PM Buffalo +6.5 511 37.11% Central Michigan -6.5 866 62.89% View View


3:30 PM Kent State +7 488 37.42% Massachusetts -7 816 62.58% View View


12:00 PM Western Michigan +4 577 37.47% Ohio -4 963 62.53% View View


12:00 PM West Virginia +20.5 649 37.54% Baylor -20.5 1080 62.46% View View


3:30 PM Rutgers +5.5 372 37.61% Indiana -5.5 617 62.39% View View


10:30 PM San Diego State +3 478 38.33% San Jose State -3 769 61.67% View View


7:30 PM Central Florida +21 505 38.55% Temple -21 805 61.45% View View


12:30 PM Pittsburgh +3 655 38.94% Georgia Tech -3 1027 61.06% View View


12:00 PM Eastern Michigan +28 576 39.48% Toledo -28 883 60.52% View View


4:00 PM Oregon State +7.5 554 39.71% Washington State -7.5 841 60.29% View View


7:00 PM Boston College +17 596 39.81% Clemson -17 901 60.19% View View


12:00 PM Louisville +6.5 759 42.12% Florida State -6.5 1043 57.88% View View


12:00 PM Iowa -1.5 779 43.35% Northwestern +1.5 1018 56.65% View View


7:00 PM Wake Forest +17 593 44.86% North Carolina -17 729 55.14% View View


12:00 PM Tulsa +14 670 44.88% East Carolina -14 823 55.12% View View


6:00 PM New Mexico State +30.5 538 45.59% Georgia Southern -30.5 642 54.41% View View


3:30 PM Oklahoma -4 765 46.08% Kansas State +4 895 53.92% View View


7:00 PM Florida +6.5 781 46.49% Louisiana State -6.5 899 53.51% View View


3:30 PM Nebraska +2.5 764 49.58% Minnesota -2.5 777 50.42% View View


12:00 PM Purdue +23 781 50.71% Wisconsin -23 759 49.29% View View


3:30 PM Syracuse +7 723 51.61% Virginia -7 678 48.39% View View


10:30 PM Oregon +3 802 51.71% Washington -3 749 48.29% View View


12:00 PM Mississippi -10.5 914 53.36% Memphis +10.5 799 46.64% View View


3:30 PM Air Force -3 753 54.45% Colorado State +3 630 45.55% View View


7:30 PM Missouri +14.5 825 55.82% Georgia -14.5 653 44.18% View View


3:30 PM [Alabama -3.5 1015 56.67% Texas A&M +3.5 776 43.33% View View


8:00 PM Penn State +19 937 57.63% Ohio State -19 689 42.37% View View


12:00 PM Texas Tech -32.5 996 62.56% Kansas +32.5 596 37.44% View View


7:00 PM Appalachian State -13.5 810 64.59% UL Monroe +13.5 444 35.41% View View


3:30 PM Michigan State +6.5 1250 65.17% Michigan -6.5 668 34.83% View View


9:00 PM Arizona -7 926 65.49% Colorado +7 488 34.51% View View


7:00 PM Texas Christian -19.5 982 67.63% Iowa State +19.5 470 32.37% View View


4:00 PM Nevada -6 918 67.90% Wyoming +6 434 32.10% View View
2:30 PM Northern Illinois -16 926 68.85% Miami (Ohio) +16 419 31.15% View View
]
12:00 PM Marshall -3 1182 73.01% Florida Atlantic +3 437 26.99% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


12:00 PM South Florida 45 332 33.17% Connecticut 45 669 66.83% View View


3:30 PM Syracuse 53.5 317 37.92% Virginia 53.5 519 62.08% View View


12:00 PM Iowa 41.5 398 38.83% Northwestern 41.5 627 61.17% View View


4:00 PM Vanderbilt 45 347 41.16% South Carolina 45 496 58.84% View View


7:00 PM Florida 46 352 42.11% Louisiana State 46 484 57.89% View View


3:30 PM Virginia Tech 51.5 363 43.32% Miami 51.5 475 56.68% View View


7:30 PM Southern California 61.5 394 44.42% Notre Dame 61.5 493 55.58% View View


3:30 PM Rutgers 65 297 45.62% Indiana 65 354 54.38% View View


3:30 PM Kent State 54.5 370 47.38% Massachusetts 54.5 411 52.62% View View


3:30 PM Charlotte 48.5 375 47.47% Old Dominion 48.5 415 52.53% View View


3:30 PM Nebraska 47 427 48.47% Minnesota 47 454 51.53% View View


12:00 PM Tulsa 79 474 48.82% East Carolina 79 497 51.18% View View


10:30 PM San Diego State 48.5 395 49.31% San Jose State 48.5 406 50.69% View View


7:00 PM Wake Forest 54 400 49.32% North Carolina 54 411 50.68% View View


3:30 PM Idaho 61.5 295 50.51% Troy 61.5 289 49.49% View View


12:00 PM Western Michigan 52.5 470 50.81% Ohio 52.5 455 49.19% View View


12:00 PM Louisville 46 505 51.43% Florida State 46 477 48.57% View View


4:00 PM Nevada 53 405 51.92% Wyoming 53 375 48.08% View View


7:00 PM Texas-San Antonio 58 383 51.97% Southern Mississippi 58 354 48.03% View View


3:30 PM Air Force 52.5 417 52.26% Colorado State 52.5 381 47.74% View View


1:00 PM Buffalo 56 445 52.29% Central Michigan 56 406 47.71% View View


3:00 PM Georgia State 65.5 426 52.99% Ball State 65.5 378 47.01% View View


7:00 PM Hawaii 50 403 53.03% New Mexico 50 357 46.97% View View


12:30 PM Pittsburgh 47 505 53.84% Georgia Tech 47 433 46.16% View View


12:00 PM Louisiana Tech 60 496 53.97% Mississippi State 60 423 46.03% View View


12:00 PM Mississippi 71 586 55.34% Memphis 71 473 44.66% View View


7:30 PM Central Florida 46 444 55.99% Temple 46 349 44.01% View View


3:00 PM Akron 66 480 56.47% Bowling Green 66 370 43.53% View View


9:00 PM Arizona 67.5 473 56.71% Colorado 67.5 361 43.29% View View


10:00 PM Arizona State 53.5 482 56.71% Utah 53.5 368 43.29% View View


2:30 PM Northern Illinois 57 486 57.58% Miami (Ohio) 57 358 42.42% View View


12:00 PM Florida International 57.5 502 58.03% Middle Tennessee 57.5 363 41.97% View View


12:00 PM Texas Tech 77 595 58.39% Kansas 77 424 41.61% View View


12:00 PM Purdue 51.5 545 58.67% Wisconsin 51.5 384 41.33% View View


3:30 PM Michigan State 42.5 607 59.92% Michigan 42.5 406 40.08% View View


4:00 PM Oregon State 61 514 60.68% Washington State 61 333 39.32% View View


6:00 PM New Mexico State 63.5 482 60.78% Georgia Southern 63.5 311 39.22% View View


7:30 PM Missouri 47 508 61.50% Georgia 47 318 38.50% View View


12:00 PM Bucknell 45 247 62.22% Army 45 150 37.78% View View


12:00 PM Marshall 46.5 562 62.44% Florida Atlantic 46.5 338 37.56% View View


7:00 PM Boston College 37.5 550 62.50% Clemson 37.5 330 37.50% View View


7:00 PM Appalachian State 49.5 493 64.78% UL Monroe 49.5 268 35.22% View View


10:30 PM Oregon 59 583 65.29% Washington 59 310 34.71% View View


8:00 PM Penn State 47 586 65.99% Ohio State 47 302 34.01% View View


12:00 PM Eastern Michigan 62 668 68.09% Toledo 62 313 31.91% View View


3:30 PM Alabama 54.5 655 68.51% Texas A&M 54.5 301 31.49% View View


7:00 PM Texas Christian 71.5 630 69.00% Iowa State 71.5 283 31.00% View View


3:30 PM Oklahoma 53 642 69.86% Kansas State 53 277 30.14% View View


12:00 PM West Virginia 76 889 75.15% Baylor 76 294 24.85% View View

 

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Western Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Western Michigan +3.5 500 *****
Ohio -

Eastern Michigan - 12:00 PM ET Toledo -28 500 BLOW OUT
Toledo -

South Florida - 12:00 PM ET South Florida +3 500
Connecticut -

Tulsa - 12:00 PM ET East Carolina -14 500 DOUBLE PLAY
East Carolina -

Marshall - 12:00 PM ET Marshall -3 500
Florida Atlantic -

Florida International - 12:00 PM ET Florida International +10.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Middle Tennessee - Over 57.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY


West Virginia - 12:00 PM ET Baylor -20.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Baylor -

Texas Tech - 12:00 PM ET Texas Tech -32.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Kansas -

Louisville - 12:00 PM ET Louisville +6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Florida State -

Mississippi - 12:00 PM ET Memphis +10.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Memphis -

Louisiana Tech - 12:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech +12 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Mississippi State -

Bucknell - 12:00 PM ET Army -26 500
Army -

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa -1.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Northwestern -

Purdue - 12:00 PM ET Purdue +23 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Wisconsin -

Pittsburgh - 12:30 PM ET Pittsburgh +3 500
Georgia Tech -

Buffalo - 1:00 PM ET Buffalo +6.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Central Michigan -

Northern Illinois - 2:30 PM ET Miami (Ohio) +14.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

MID-DAY GAMES:



Georgia State - 3:00 PM ET Ball State -13 500
Ball State -

Akron - 3:00 PM ET Akron +10.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Bowling Green -

Idaho - 3:30 PM ET Troy -10 500
Troy -

Kent State - 3:30 PM ET Massachusetts -7 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Massachusetts -

Charlotte - 3:30 PM ET Charlotte +4.5 500
Old Dominion -

Michigan State - 3:30 PM ET Michigan -7.5 500 GAME OF THE DAY
Michigan -

Nebraska - 3:30 PM ET Minnesota -2.5 500
Minnesota -

Oklahoma - 3:30 PM ET Kansas State +4 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Kansas State -

Virginia Tech - 3:30 PM ET Miami -3 500
Miami -

Syracuse - 3:30 PM ET Syracuse +7 500
Virginia -

Alabama - 3:30 PM ET Texas A&M +4 500 GAME OF THE MONTH
Texas A&M -

Air Force - 3:30 PM ET Air Force -3 500
Colorado State -

Rutgers - 3:30 PM ET Indiana -5.5 500
Indiana -

Nevada - 4:00 PM ET Nevada -5 500
Wyoming -

Oregon State - 4:00 PM ET Washington State -7.5 500 GAME OF THE WEEK
Washington State -

Vanderbilt - 4:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +1.5 500
South Carolina -

New Mexico State - 6:00 PM ET Georgia Southern -30.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Georgia Southern -

 

[CNOTES]

my game of the year goes later this evening.......stay tune..

 

[CNOTES]

Team Pitcher Open Line Movements Current Runline Scores


8:05 PM EDT


953 CHICAGO CUBS (L) Lester, J 6.5u20 6 / 6o15 / 6 6u15 +1.5(-230)
954 NEW YORK METS (R) Harvey, M -125 -118 / -121 / -119 -120 -1.5(+190)

TV: TBS, DTV: 247 | PARTLY CLOUDY, WIND LEFT TO RIGHT 10-20. GAME TEMP 48, RH 42%


4:05 PM EDT


955 TORONTO BLUE JAYS (L) Price, D -159 -156 / -160 / -159 -157 -1.5(-101)
956 KANSAS CITY ROYALS (R) Ventura, Y 7.5u23 7o25 / 7.5u25 / 7.5u20 7.5u30 +1.5(-119)


TOR-1B-Edwin Encarnacion-Probable | TV: FS-1, DTV: 219 | MOSTLY SUNNY, WIND IN FROM RIGHT 4-9. GAME TEMP 59, RH 30%


-------------------------------




MLB Consensus Picks


SIDES (ATS)


Time Away Line Picks Pct Home Line Picks Pct Detail Odds


7:30 PM Chi. Cubs +108 709 56.63% NY Mets -117 543 43.37% View View


3:30 PM Toronto -152 585 61.26% Kansas City +140 370 38.74% View View




TOTALS (OVER/UNDER)


Time Away Total Over Pct Home Total Under Pct Detail Odds


7:30 PM Chi. Cubs 6 578 58.38% NY Mets 6 412 41.62% View View


3:30 PM Toronto 7.5 321 59.33% Kansas City 7.5 220 40.67% View View


-------------------------------




SATURDAY, OCTOBER 17


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Toronto - 3:30 PM ET Toronto -152 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Kansas City - Over 7.5 500 *****




Chi. Cubs - 7:30 PM ET Chi. Cubs +108 500 DOUBLE GRAND SLAM


NY Mets - Over 6 500 GRAND SLAM

 

[CNOTES]

RECAPPING SATURDAY'S ACTION:


MLB: 2 - 2


CFL: 2 - 2 - 0


CFB: 13 - 18 - 0


NFL: 0 - 0 - 0


NHL: 6 - 2 - 1




MLB PLAYOFF RECORD:


*****.....................................3 - 6
double plays.............................8 - 7
triple plays...............................4 - 6
grand slam...............................3 - 0
double grand slam....................4 - 2
total.........................................6 - 5




CFL SEASON RECORD:


Single play.................................35 - 29
double play................................19 - 26
triple play..................................23 - 10- 1
blow out.....................................5 - 3

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 15-10

6) Giants +4.5 (384)-- Lost 11 of last 14 games against the Eagles.

5) Lions -3 (417)-- Lot of people have faith in this winless favorite.

4) Bills +3.5 (470)-- Only QBs to beat Buffalo both won multiple Super Bowls.

3) Vikings -4 (547)-- Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games.

2) Cardinals -3 (768)-- Bruce Arians against his former employer.

1) Patriots -7.5 (849)-- NE scored 47 ppg in last four games vs Colts.

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Michigan State 27, Michigan 23-- Worst loss in a college football game since the Stanford band play 33 years ago. Wolvernes' special teams dominated the game until the punter dropped a snap with 0:10 left then coughed the ball up when hit and State ran the ball in as the gun sounded for the incredible, Pisarcik-like outcome.

Jalen Watts-Jackson scored the winning TD; sadly, his teammates piled on him in the end zone and he suffered a dislocated hip in the celebration. We wish him well.

By the way, this was an excellent, intense game; Sean McDonough's call of the bizarre final play was really good- he is an underrated play-by-play guy.

12) Memphis 37, Ole Miss 24-- Good news and bad news for the 6-0 Tigers; they beat a regional rival from the SEC, which should really help their recruiting, they're 6-0 and headed to a great bowl, but there is no way on God's green earth that coach Fuente will be in Memphis next year. The big money schools are watching and they're going to throw a lot of cash at him in December.

11) If you wagered on games Saturday just by reading the week's headlines, here is now you did:
-- South Carolina (-1)-- Their coach quit Monday; they still beat Vandy 19-10.
-- USC (+4.5)-- Fired its coach Sunday; they lost 41-31; AD Pat Haden collapsed before the game, but flew back to LA. He's about as good an AD as he was an NFL quarterback, as in, not very good.
-- Florida (+6.5)-- QB was suspended for a year; they lost 35-28 at LSU.

10) Clemson 34, Boston College 17-- BC scored total of 41 points in its last five games; when I watch the Recruiting Day stuff in February, BC better have signed at least two QBs and 15 offensive players in all; their offense is pathetic.

9) Utah 34, Arizona State 18-- Are Utes the best team in the Pac-12? Yes.

8) North Carolina 50, Wake Forest 14-- Apparently a Wake assistant mocked UNC on social media in the offseason for its academic scandal; the Tar Heels remembered yesterday as they hammered the Demon Deacons.

7) LSU 35, Florida 28-- Les Miles is one of our favorites; his kicker scored winning TD on a fake FG with 10:40 left. Who else does stuff like that? LSU is 6-0 and seems to be getting better; this was the Gators' first loss.

6) Royals 6, Blue Jays 3-- Toronto is down 2-0 in another series; David Price had retired 18 hitters in a row, but imploded in the 7th and became first pitcher ever to lose his first seven postseason starts.

5) Georgia 9, Missouri 6-- Dawgs snap two-game skid; loss here would've made the natives VERY restless. Tigers' season has been uudone by its QB getting suspended for off-field activities. Not often a team gives up nine points and still losses.

4) Mets 4, Cubs 2-- Chicago had won nine games in row against the Mets, but that doesn't matter. Daniel Murphy is making hmself very rich this month.

3) Rutgers 55, Indiana 52-- Hoosiers led 52-27 in third quarter; losses like this can implode programs and get coaches fired. This was 5th Rutgers game in last 2.5 years where the losing team scored 38+ points.

2) Baylor 62, West Virginia 38-- If you took West Virginia +21, and watched them score 38 points but not cover the spread, well why are you betting against Baylor?

1) Florida Sate 41, Louisville 21-- Jimbo Fisher is hell of a coach; he lost a QB who went 27-1 as a starter as well as four starters on OL and he still has the Seminoles unbeaten. Golson passed for 372 yards and three TDs; FSU trailed 7-6 at the half.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

LCS


Chicago Cubs @ NY Mets

Game 957-958
October 18, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Arrieta) 14.278
NY Mets
(Syndergrd) 16.236
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-175
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+155); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (101 - 67) at NY METS (94 - 74) - 8:05 PM
JAKE ARRIETA (R) vs. NOAH SYNDERGAARD (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 94-74 (+9.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
NY METS are 19-8 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season.
NY METS are 93-70 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 57-36 (+14.0 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-67 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 39-26 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-35 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 23-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 101-67 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 61-37 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 80-53 (+13.8 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 81-73 (+9.7 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 47-32 (+14.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 22-13 (+9.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
ARRIETA is 27-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 19-4 (+13.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 17-2 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 13-1 (+12.1 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 27-8 (+15.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 18-3 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 21-7 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 14-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
ARRIETA is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
NY METS are 183-227 (-58.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO CUBS is 7-1 (+6.1 Units) against NY METS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

JAKE ARRIETA vs. NY METS since 1997
ARRIETA is 2-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 1.82 and a WHIP of 0.894.
His team's record is 4-1 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-1. (+1.8 units)

NOAH SYNDERGAARD vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
SYNDERGAARD is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 5.07 and a WHIP of 1.876.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-0. (+0.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 18

National League
Cubs vs Mets
Arrieta is 9-0, 0.95 in his last ten starts (under 7-1-1 last nine).

Syndergaard is 1-1, 2.57 in his last three starts (over 7-2 last nine); he threw a scoreless inning of relief since his last start.

Chicago won nine of last ten games against the Mets (under 6-2-2); Cubs won nine of last eleven games overall (over 3-0-1 last four).

New York won five of last seven games (under 7-2-1 in last ten).




MLB

Sunday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:07 PM
CHI CUBS vs. NY METS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Chi Cubs are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 6 games at home
NY Mets are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games when playing Chi Cubs

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Sunday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS Game 2 betting preview: Cubs at Mets
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Jake Arrieta struck out nine in 5 2/3 innings against St. Louis in his last start, but he also allowed four runs and five hits.

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets (+152, 5.5)

Mets lead series 1-0.

The Chicago Cubs send ace Jake Arrieta to the mound against the host New York Mets on Sunday in hopes of evening the National League Championship Series at one win apiece. New York limited Chicago to five hits in the opener and received solo homers from the red-hot Daniel Murphy and Travis d'Arnaud en route to a 4-2 victory.

Arrieta has won 13 consecutive decisions dating back to late July - which includes two postseason wins - in a dynamic turnaround of his career. "I think that our players gain a lot of confidence when he pitches," Cubs manager Joe Maddon said in a press conference. "I think that's a normal part of that, but I think for the most part, it's just a matter of us being ourselves, trusting ourselves, sticking to our own methods." Murphy has homered in three straight postseason games - something he never has done in the regular season - to match the franchise mark set by Donn Clendenon in 1969, when the first baseman was named World Series MVP. "Saving the homers," Murphy joked after Game 1. "If I knew what I was doing, I would have hit more homers during the regular season."

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Mets at +160 and the total at 5.5.

WEATHER: Temperatures are expected to be in the mid-40s with wind blowing in from left field at around 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (2-0, 2.45 ERA) vs. Mets RH Noah Syndergaard (0-1, 3.68)

Arrieta struck out nine in 5 2/3 innings against St. Louis in his last start, but he also allowed four runs and five hits. He said he noticed a difference during the postseason starts in terms of the pressure and expectations being ratcheted up a notch. "The physical toll really hasn't bothered me at all, but I think that the mental side of it and all the energy you burn leading up to the game does have a little bit of effect," Arrieta said at his press conference. "But having a couple of these under my belt now, I'm pretty confident going in that I'll be able to handle that pretty well."

The 23-year-old Syndergaard made one start and one relief appearance in the NL Division Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers and said the experience taught him not to change his approach. "I think the anticipation before was thinking that the game was going to be completely different, but in reality it's still the same game," Syndergaard said in his press conference. "You're still 60 feet, 6 inches away. The only thing that's really different is the crowd's a little bit louder." Manager Terry Collins said the rookie also will start Game 6 if the series goes that far.

TRENDS:

* Under is 6-2-2 in the last 10 meetings.
* Cubs are 21-8 in the last 29 meetings.
* Cubs are 8-1 in Arrieta's last nine starts vs. National League East.
* Under is 4-1-1 in Mets last six home games.

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 18


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Chi. Cubs - 8:00 PM ET Chi. Cubs -148 500 GRAND SLAM


NY Mets - Over 5.5 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

RECAPPING SUNDAY'S ACTION:


MLB: 0 - 2


CFL: 1 - 1 - 0


CFB: 0 - 0 - 0


NFL: 9 - 7 - 0


NHL: 1 - 4 - 0




MLB PLAYOFF RECORD:


*****.....................................3 - 7
double plays.............................8 - 7
triple plays...............................4 - 6
grand slam...............................3 - 1
double grand slam....................4 - 2
total.........................................6 - 6

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Westgate Super Contest (1,727 entrants-- prize pool is $2.5M)
six most popular picks in Week 1 season record: 19-16-1

6) Giants +4.5 (384)-- Lost 11 of last 14 games against the Eagles.

5) Lions -3 (417)-- Lot of people have faith in this winless favorite. T

4) Bills +3.5 (470)-- Only QBs to beat Buffalo both won multiple Super Bowls. L

3) Vikings -4 (547)-- Minnesota lost its last five post-bye games. W

2) Cardinals -3 (768)-- Bruce Arians against his former employer. L

1) Patriots -7.5 (849)-- NE scored 47 ppg in last four games vs Colts. L

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday.......

13) Broncos 26, Browns 23 OT-- Denver is 6-0; their defense scored another TD, the offense also scored one TD, is now just 12-52 on 3rd down last four games. Browns played third game in row decided on last play- they lost two of them.

12) Bengals 34, Bills 21-- Cincy had huge 26-yard advantage in field position; every Buffalo drive started 80+ yards from goal line. Unbeaten Bengals have a bye week coming up, before they go to Pittsburgh in Week 8.

11) Vikings 16, Chiefs 10-- Minnesota is 3-0 at home, 0-2 on road; Chiefs lost last five games. KC had only three points on two red zone drives- they had only 51 yards in first half. Rookie WR Diggs caught seven balls for 129 yards for Minnesota.

10) Texans 31, Jaguars 20-- Houston was +3 in turnovers; they had two takeaways in first five games combined. Divisional home favorites are now 3-14 vs spread this season. Jaguars head to London next week to play the Bills.

9) Lions 37, Bears 34 OT-- Detroit gets first win in weird game where Chicago had a 15-yard edge in field position but was -2 in turnovers. Bears' last two TD drives were both less than 25 yards. Detroit kicked a FG at 2:46 mark to cut Chicago lead to 31-27, a poor decision, but both teams scored after that, to send game to OT.

8) Jets 34, Redskins 20-- Washington is very banged up, missing two starters on OL, the guy who broke Geno Smith's jaw should get a bonus from Jets, as Fitzpatrick has been very solid in this 4-1 start by Gang Green. Jets averaged 9.7 ypa here; only TDs by Washington came on a 37-yard drive and a blocked punt.

7) Mets 4, Cubs 1-- Chicago is in deep trouble after ace Arrieta lost; series moves to Wrigley Field Tuesday night. Murphy homered again for the Mets.

6) Steelers 25, Cardinals 13-- 3rd-string QB Jones came off bench to spark Steelers; he is better than Vick, who pulled hamstring. Arizona has two losses; in both games, they were -3 in turnovers. Redbirds had 469-310 edge in TY, but their 111 penalty yards all seemed to come at key times.

5) Dolphins 38, Titans 10-- Miami's defense was supposedly unhappy with old DC who got fired; they had six sacks, four takeaways vs rookie QB Mariota, as Tennessee finishes three-game homestand 0-3. AFC South teams are 4-9 vs spread in non-division games this season.

4) Panthers 27, Seahawks 23-- Carolina had two TDs in last 3:55, scoring winning TD with 0;32 left; Seahawks have now had a 4th quarter lead in their last five losses. Unbeaten Panthers are now 13-5 vs spread in last 18 games as a road underdog.

3) Packers 27, Chargers 20-- Rivers threw for 503 yards but San Diego is now 0-3 on road, though they're 14-7-1 vs spread in last 22 games as road dog. Green Bay is now 6-0 heading into its bye week; this was first game they didn't cover this year.

2) 49ers 25, Ravens 20-- Niners are giving up 13.3 ppg at home, 40 ppg on road; they averaged 10.9 ypa vs Baltimore defense that has seen better days. Ravens are 1-5 and in a freefall; they were -2 in turnovers, had only 13 points in three red zone drives.

1) Patriots 34, Colts 27-- Game swung on ill-conceived fake punt by Indy in third quarter; two of their three wins this year cae with 40-year old backup QB Hasselbeck playing. Unsure why they let coach Pagano coach this season as a lame duck; if they don't want him, should've fired him last winter and moved on.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel

LCS


Kansas City @ Toronto

Game 959-960
October 19, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Cueto) 16.577
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.426
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-165
8
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(+145); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Monday, October 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KANSAS CITY (100 - 69) at TORONTO (96 - 73) - 7:05 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. MARCUS STROMAN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CUETO is 6-12 (-9.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 3-10 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season. (Team's Record)
TORONTO is 50-32 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
TORONTO is 51-35 (+10.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TORONTO is 27-12 (+10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
KANSAS CITY is 100-69 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 45-38 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 19-6 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 30-13 (+16.1 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 68-52 (+6.4 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
KANSAS CITY is 67-41 (+20.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
KANSAS CITY is 16-6 (+11.4 Units) against the money line in playoff games over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 59-42 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
KANSAS CITY is 44-25 (+18.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 91-67 (+19.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 46-30 (+15.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CUETO is 21-8 (+13.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 12-3 (+9.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS CITY is 5-4 (+1.6 Units) against TORONTO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.3 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. TORONTO since 1997
CUETO is 2-0 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 4.05 and a WHIP of 1.250.
His team's record is 2-1 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+0.9 units)

MARCUS STROMAN vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
STROMAN is 1-0 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 1.50 and a WHIP of 0.833.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Short Sheet

Monday, October 19

Kansas City at Toronto, 8:05 PM EDT
Kansas City: 35-28 SU as an underdog of +100 or higher
Toronto: 59-64 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 19

American League
Blue Jays vs Royals
Cueto is 2-0, 3.32 in his last three starts (over 8-2 in last ten).

Stroman is 4-0, 2.48 in six starts this year, with last three going over total.

Royals won ten of their last twelve games (over 4-2 last six).

Blue Jays lost three of last four games with KC; home side won nine of last eleven series games. Toronto is down 2-0 for second series in row (over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games).




MLB

Monday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Kansas City's last 23 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City

 

[CNOTES]

MLB

Monday, October 19

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALCS Game 3 betting preview: Royals at Blue Jays
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

The Kansas City Royals have not lost an American League Championship Series game since dropping Game 4 to the Toronto Blue Jays in 1985.

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays (-167, 8)

Royals lead series 2-0.

The Kansas City Royals have not lost an American League Championship Series game since dropping Game 4 to the Toronto Blue Jays in 1985. The Royals took the final three games in 1985 to take that series and will go for their 10th straight ALCS win against the Blue Jays when the series shifts to Toronto for Game 3 on Monday.

Kansas City, which swept the Baltimore Orioles in the 2014 ALCS, managed one hit through the first six innings on Sunday but took a 2-0 lead over the Blue Jays with a come-from-behind victory in Game 2, sparked by five runs in the seventh. “No,” Royals manager Ned Yost responded when asked if he was surprised about the comeback in the postgame press conference. “You knew somewhere over the course of the game that we were going to mount some type of challenge there.” Toronto trailed its Division Series 0-2 against the Texas Rangers before coming back to win in five games and remains confident it can get back into the series. “Our back is against the wall, but it will be good to go back home where we normally play well,” Blue Jays manager John Gibbons told reporters. “We'll have (Marcus Stroman) going on Monday. We feel good. It's a lot tougher from here. But we have a pretty good team, too.”

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

LINE HISTORY: Books opened the Jays -167 and the total at 8.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Johnny Cueto (1-0, 3.86 ERA) vs. Blue Jays RH Marcus Stroman (0-0, 3.46)

Cueto’s had an up-and-down tenure with Kansas City since being acquired prior to the trade deadline but turned in his best performance when it counted the most with eight dominant innings in the clinching Game 5 of the ALDS. The Dominican Republic native set down 19 in a row to end that outing and was charged with two runs on as many hits while striking out eight without a walk. Cueto made his Royals debut at Toronto on July 31 and allowed three runs on seven hits and a pair of walks in six innings.

Stroman started the decisive game of the ALDS as well and left without factoring in the decision after allowing two runs and six hits in six innings to the Rangers. The 24-year-old has made only six starts since returning from knee surgery but has yet to suffer a loss in 2015. Stroman faced Kansas City only once previously in his career and cruised through six innings while surrendering one run to earn a win.

TRENDS:

* Royals are 1-5 in the last six meetings in Toronto.
* Under is 13-3 in umpire John Hirschbeck's last 16 games behind home plate vs. Kansas City.
* Royals are 4-0 in Cueto's last four starts vs. a team with a winning record.
* Blue Jays are 6-1 in Stroman's last seven starts.

 

[CNOTES]

Game 3 - Royals at Blue Jays
October 19, 2015




KANSAS CITY ROYALS (100-69) at TORONTO BLUE JAYS (96-73)


First pitch: Monday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line: Kansas City +155, Toronto -165, Total: 8


The Blue Jays will be looking to avoid a 3-0 series deficit when they host the Royals in Game 3 on Monday.


The Blue Jays had a 3-0 lead in Game 2, but the Royals ended up scoring six unanswered runs to win the game 6-3. David Price unraveled for Toronto in that one and his postseason struggles continue to haunt him. The Jays must now come away with a Game 3 win or they will have a gigantic hole to climb out of to advance to the World Series.


The starters for this pivotal game will be RHP Johnny Cueto (12-13, 3.46 ERA, 189 K) for Kansas City and RHP Marcus Stroman (4-0, 2.25 ERA, 27 K) for Toronto. Toronto should be confident playing on its home field on Monday, as the team is 3-1 against Kansas City at home this season. The Royals won’t be intimidated though, as they are 19-6 against the money line in October games over the past two seasons. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, are 27-8 against the money line as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season.


2B Omar Infante (Oblique) is out indefinitely for Kansas City and RP Brett Cecil (Calf) is out for the season for Toronto.


Johnny Cueto will be looking to give his team a 3-0 lead and he will be feeling extremely confident after turning in his best performance as a Royal in Game 5 last round. Cueto pitched eight innings in that one and gave up just two earned runs with eight strikeouts and no walks. He was in complete control from the second inning on and will be looking to carry that momentum into this one on Monday.


Offensively, both SS Alcides Escobar (.321, 1 RBI in playoffs) and DH Kendrys Morales (.240, 3 HR, 8 RBI in playoffs) have stepped up for Kansas City. Escober has been getting on base at will and has three doubles in the past three games. Morales, meanwhile, is providing this team with some much needed power and will need to keep doing so the rest of the way. OF Lorenzo Cain (.259, 1 HR, 3 RBI in playoffs) has gotten a hit in every playoff game thus far, but he still hasn’t truly broken out. He’s due for a multi-hit game shortly and there’s a good chance it comes on Monday.


The Blue Jays desperately need a victory in Game 3 and Marcus Stroman will be on the mound to keep them in this series. Stroman has been big time throughout this postseason, giving up just five earned runs over his two starts (13.0 IP). Toronto could really use another quality start out of him in this one.


Offensively, DH Edwin Encarnacion (.320, 1 HR, 4 RBI in playoffs) has been the only Jays superstar that has been reliable hitting in the postseason. He will need to keep hitting while 3B Josh Donaldson (.231, 2 HR, 4 RBI in playoffs) and OF Jose Bautista (.222, 2 HR, 5 RB in playoffsI) try to find some consistency. 1B Chris Colabello (.375, 1 HR, 2 RBI in playoffs) has really stepped his game up for Toronto. If he can keep it up then it’d be a huge plus for this team.

 

[CNOTES]

Blue Jays happy at home after 2 losses
October 18, 2015


TORONTO (AP) Hip-hop music blared over the loudspeakers in an eerily empty, moodily lit Rogers Centre as Jose Bautista and the Toronto Blue Jays went through an easy workout on an off-day in the American League Championship Series.


With their backs against the wall again, there's no place they'd rather be.


''We're down 2-0 right now, we've got three games at home. These guys here, they're comfortable and we've definitely got the crowd behind us,'' outfielder Ben Revere said Sunday. ''We definitely feel much more comfortable being back at home.''


After Kansas City took the first two games at home, Game 3 is in Toronto on Monday night. First pitch is set for 8:07 p.m. The Blue Jays' Marcus Stroman faces Kansas City's Johnny Cueto in a matchup of two Division Series Game 5 starters.


''This series is not over, not even close,'' defending AL champion Royals center fielder Lorenzo Cain said after testing the bounce of the turf and the glare of the light in the closed-roofed stadium.


The Blue Jays advanced to the ALCS with a win that featured one of the most bizarre innings in postseason history. Bautista capped that seventh inning with a monster home run - and equally big bat toss.


That was the last long ball the top slugging team in baseball this year has hit.


Toronto relied heavily on the home run as it overcame the New York Yankees to win the East and it connected for 123 of its 232 homers this year at home. It then slugged its way to three straight wins over Texas after losing the first two at home in the ALDS.


In the chilly air of Kansas City, the Blue Jays scored just three runs and went deep none.


Now, they are more than ready to play in front of another raucous crowd that has filled their ballpark - and got rowdy in the deciding Game 5 against Texas. So much so, security should be beefed up for the ALCS.


No more deep alleys of Kauffman Stadium where their drives died. No more unfriendly fans who played tricks with Ryan Goins on the flyball that changed the tenor of Game 2, setting off a five-run rally that led to a 6-3 come-from-behind win for the Royals.


''Kansas City's park is really big,'' Revere said. ''Some of the balls we were hitting there, they were going nowhere. Now we're back home, some of those balls that were crushed are going to go over the heads or go in the gaps more.''


Of course, the Blue Jays will have to figure out a way to beat Cueto and his multitude of pitches. The Royals dreadlocked, trade-deadline acquisition from the Cincinnati Reds has found his dominant form after struggling in late summer. He gave up two runs in eight innings against Houston in Game 5 of the Division Series.


''He's just a guy that is constantly trying to change your timing at the plate, whether it's with his quick pitch or his shimmy on the mound and he's got six pitches,'' Blue Jays center fielder Kevin Pillar said.'' But ultimately you've got to throw the ball over the plate and that's what we're trying to do is hit his mistakes.''


Cueto has had good success against Blue Jays players. He's only allowed two homers in career 88 plate appearances, with Troy Tulowitzki, with Colorado, and Edwin Encarnacion going deep.


''I'm going to toe the rubber and give everything I've got and I'm going to take the same approach as I did the previous game and just be ready to go, ready to pitch,'' he said through a translator.


The Royals should have their hands full, too, with Stroman, the 24-year-old right-hander who made a speedy return from a torn left knee ligament in March and excelled down the stretch. He was 4-0 with a 1.67 ERA in four starts - he didn't return until after the testy series at end of July into August between the teams.


Stroman got that Game 5 start against Texas and now Toronto turns to him to help get them back in a series in which the odds are stacked against them: All but three of the previous 25 teams to take a 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven era have won the series.


''He's got the `it' factor,'' Blue Jays manager John Gibbons said. ''It doesn't mean he's going to go out and dominate (Monday), but you have a great feeling every time he takes the mound because he can pull of something special.''