Cnotes Friday's Best Bets NCAAB-NBA-NHL !


Active member
Sep 26, 2005
NBA Best Bets:

02/17/2012 @ 04:05 PM NBA [801] MILWAUKEE +7½ 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:05 PM NBA [801] TOTAL o192 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [803] DALLAS +3 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [804] TOTAL u179 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:35 PM NBA [810] DETROIT -3 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [812] TOTAL u208½ 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [814] HOUSTON -5 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [814] TOTAL u199 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [815] DENVER +4 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 05:05 PM NBA [818] NEW YORK -9½ 1.91

Active member
Sep 26, 2005
NCAAB Best Bets:

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [823] YALE -5 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [823] TOTAL o123½ 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [825] BROWN +20 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [827] COLUMBIA +5½ 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [827] TOTAL o122 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [830] PENNSYLVANIA -7 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 04:00 PM CBB [832] VCU -5½ 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 06:00 PM CBB [833] TOTAL o139 1.91

02/17/2012 @ 06:00 PM CBB [834] LOY MARYMOUNT -5½ 1.91

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Sep 26, 2005
NHL Best Bets:

02/17/2012 @ 04:05 PM NHL [1] ANAHEIM +1½ 1.36

02/17/2012 @ 04:05 PM NHL [3] TOTAL o5½ 2.00

02/17/2012 @ 04:35 PM NHL [5] NASHVILLE +1½ 1.44

02/17/2012 @ 04:35 PM NHL [7] MONTREAL +1½ 1.33

02/17/2012 @ 04:35 PM NHL [10] TOTAL u5 2.30

02/17/2012 @ 06:35 PM NHL [13] COLORADO +1½ 1.38

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Sep 26, 2005
Friday’s betting tips: Lin overshadowing under trend

Who’s hot

NBA: Sacramento has covered in eight of its last 10.

NBA: Golden State is 10-2 against the spread in its last 12 games in Oklahoma City.

NHL: Boston is 16-6 in its last 22 road games.

NHL: The over is 6-0-1 in Edmonton’s last seven.

NCAAB: Brown has covered the number in seven of its last nine games against Harvard.

Who’s not

NBA: Charlotte is 3-10 against the spread in its last 13.

NBA: Milwaukee is 0-4 against the number in its last four.

NHL: Washington has won three of its last 11 overall.

NHL: Montreal is 9-19 in its last 28 games in Buffalo.

NCAAB: Northern Iowa is 3-7-1 against the spread in its last 11.

Key sat

89.7 - While Jeremy Lin is getting a lot of the credit for the New York Knicks’ current seven-game winning streak, defense has had a major part in the surge as well. The Knicks are allowing 89.7 points in their last seven, which is significantly down from the 94.1 points per game they’re giving up on the year as a whole. The under has cashed in five of those seven games and is 21-9 in Knicks games this year.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Sean McGonagill, Brown Bears – McGonagill is considered questionable for Friday’s game against Harvard with a concussion. The 6-foot-1 guard leads the team averaging 14 points and 5.7 assists per game.

Game of the day

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

Notable quotable

"I don't know. I think it would be great. It would be fun to play in front of these fans again. I had a lot fun times in my seven years here. You can't predict the future and hopefully I continue to stay healthy. I'm here as a Miami Heat player, and I'm happy where I am now, but I don't rule that out in no sense. And if I decide to come back, hopefully the fans will accept me." – LeBron James on the possibility of playing for the Cleveland Cavaliers again. James and his Miami Heat visit the Cavs Friday night.

Notes and tips

Reports from Frank Isola of the New York Daily News indicate that the Knicks are getting close to a deal for J.R. Smith, who has been playing in China over the past few months. Rumors had Smith possibly landing in Los Angeles with the Lakers, but it appears he is on the brink of signing with the Knicks, who will have to cut a player in order to make the addition. The Knicks host New Orleans Friday.

Colorado Avalanche goaltender Jean-Sebastien Giguere suffered a groin injury during Wednesday's 3-1 loss to the Vancouver Canucks and isn’t likely to start Friday against Edmonton. "I'm not too worried about it," the 34-year-old Giguere told the newspaper. "I'm not sure what it is, but I honestly don't think it's anything serious." A Conn Smythe Trophy winner in 2003, Giguere has posted a 14-9-2 mark with one shutout and a 2.13 goals-against average this season. If Giguere can’t go, Semyon Varlamov will likely get the call. He is 0-5-1 in its last six starts and owns a 2.96 goals against average this season.

Denver Nuggets center Nene will remain in a walking boot for the next four days. Nene injured his calf in Saturday's win at Indiana. He sat out his third straight game Thursday. The 29-year-old Nene is averaging 13.4 points and 7.8 rebounds in 23 games this season. The Nuggets are in Memphis Friday night.

Phil Mickelson carried the momentum from last week's stirring win at Pebble Beach, shooting a 5-under-par 66 Thursday to grab the first-round lead at the Northern Trust Open in Los Angeles. Mickelson, who is now priced at +250 to win the tournament, chipped in for birdie on the 18th hole to give him a one-shot lead over J.B. Holmes and Hunter Mahan. Last weekend, Mickelson closed with a blistering 64 Sunday to charge from six shots back and overtake a host of contenders, including playing partner Tiger Woods, for his 40th PGA Tour victory.

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Sep 26, 2005
Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

-- NC State led at Duke by 16 at the half, by 20 early in second half, but collapsed late and lost 78-73 in Durham. Tough loss.

-- Florida State was stuck on 37 points from 5:33 mark until the 1:13 mark, then scored 11 points in last 1:13, rescuing victory from jaws of defeat with an ugly 48-47 win over a snake-bit Virginia Tech squad.

-- Washington State's Brock Motum scored 28 points, but missed six of his last seven FTs as Arizona survived 76-72 in Pullman.

-- BYU won fast-paced, chaotic 85-84 game at San Francisco, as Dons were just 8-15 from foul line, which hurt in a close game.

-- Terrific game in Berkeley, where there wasn't a lot of defense either; Cal Bears held off a gritty Oregon team 86-83. Fun game.

-- RIP Gary Carter. A great catcher and leader. 57 is too young to go.


Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random thoughts with the weekend here

13) SMU lost 47-28 at home to UAB Wednesday; there were ten players in Division I who scored more Wednesday than the Mustangs did.

12) When was the last time, if ever, the Clippers were favored to win in Portland? Clips are now 17-82 in their history in Portland.

11) Odd story evolving out west, where the most important person in the Broncos’ offseason is a coach named Neal Mazzone, whose day job is offensive coordinator at UCLA. Mazzone is the guy helping Tim Tebow with his passing mechanics. Not sure of the connection there, but it seems like an unusual one, seeing as the Broncos have paid football coaches in Denver, some of whom even coach offense.

10) New Jersey governor Chris Christie is catching some heat for having state flags fly at half-mast Saturday, in deference to Newark native Whitney Houston’s funeral. I give the governor credit for doing what he thinks is right.

9) Then again, Governor Christie was front/center once again Thursday, announcing that Wrestle Mania 29 is coming to Swamp Stadium in April 2013; couldn’t one of his minions have done that? This guy almost ran for President? That might’ve been interesting.

8) Linsanity has knocked the odds of Knicks winning the NBA title down from 50-1 to 25-1. New York plays Dallas/Miami before All-Star break, which both should be very interesting games.

7) "He takes the time to get to know each individual player and what their strengths are and what makes them tick. He creates an environment for the players that instills self-confidence and allows them to play up to their talent level." Tampa Bay Rays GM Andrew Friedman, talking about his manager Joe Maddon.

Contrast this to former A’s manager Bob Geren, who seldom if ever talked to some players. Huston Street called Geren the worst person he had ever met in sports, which covers a lot of ground. How do some of these guys get managing jobs? Geren is now the Mets' bench coach.

6) Maddon signed 3-year extension this week; America’s coolest skipper has a 495-477 record in six years with Tampa Bay, which is a highly underrated record. He could be on his way to a spot in Cooperstown, if he keeps this up 4-6 more seasons. Seriously. The Rays were the worst franchise in sports before Maddon took the helm.

5) AJ Burnett rejected a trade to the Angels that would’ve brought Bobby Abreu to the Bronx; why would anyone trade for a guy who doesn’t want to play for a contender like the Angels? If winning isn’t a priority, who wants him? How hard would he try for an also-ran like the Pirates?

4) ESPN’s Jay Bilas is an elitist nitwit who writes the same article at this time every year, about how automatic bids should be eliminated, so the best 68 teams get into the NCAA tournament.

Bilas is really saying is that he wants mid/ low-major schools eliminated from the tournament, which will never happen, since two predominantly black leagues, the MEAC/SWAC, would raise holy hell. None of their teams would ever come close to getting in the NCAAs without an automatic bid. Bilas is a Dukie lawyer who should run for public office, that’s how out-of-touch he is with the average Joe.

3) It seems unfair for TV programmers to have Cupcake Wars on at the same time as Full Metal Jousting; how are people supposed to make that de cision? At least they’re not up against Swamp People or Parking Wars.

2) had an interesting article on Modell’s Sporting Goods, which has 147 stores, 92 in NY/NJ area. They stand to make a killing off Jeremy Lin/Knicks products, which are selling like hotcakes. Last time Knicks were this popular was when Pat Riley coached the team in the mid-90’s. Modell’s is also cleaning up selling Giants Super Bowl stuff.

1) Buddy of mine sees all these Knicks #17 t-shirts/jerseys in the stands at games now, and he tells me he is touched they finally decided to honor the Nate Bowman era in Knick history. (Bowman was Willis Reed’s backup during the Knicks’ glory years). Funny guy, my friend.

Active member
Sep 26, 2005

Cornell at Pennsylvania
The Quakers look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 games as a favorite of 1 to 6 1/2 points. Penn is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Quakers favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-6). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 823-824: Yale at Dartmouth (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Yale 53.103; Dartmouth 45.073
Dunkel Line: Yale by 8; 127
Vegas Line: Yale by 4 1/2; 122
Dunkel Pick: Yale (-4 1/2); Over

Game 825-826: Brown at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brown 41.721; Harvard 60.091
Dunkel Line: Harvard by 18 1/2; 119
Vegas Line: Harvard by 21 1/2; 124
Dunkel Pick Brown (+21 1/2); Under

Game 827-828: Columbia at Princeton (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbia 52.837; Princeton 55.329
Dunkel Line: Princeton by 2 1/2; 118
Vegas Line: Princeton by 6 1/2; 122 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbia (+6 1/2); Under

Game 829-830: Cornell at Pennsylvania (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cornell 51.896; Pennsylvania 59.791
Dunkel Line: Pennsylvania by 8; 135
Vegas Line: Pennsylvania by 6; 132
Dunkel Pick: Pennsylvania (-6); Over

Game 831-832: Northern Iowa at VCU (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Iowa 58.852; VCU 65.947
Dunkel Line: VCU by 7; 118
Vegas Line: VCU by 5 1/2; 123 1/2
Dunkel Pick: VCU (-5 1/2); Under

Game 833-834: Valparaiso at Loyola-Marymount (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 57.715; Loyola-Marymount 61.544
Dunkel Line: Loyola-Marymount by 4; 144
Vegas Line: Loyola-Marymount by 6; 137
Dunkel Pick: Valparaiso (+6); Over

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Sep 26, 2005
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 17

Yale has big game with Harvard Saturday, but its only big if they win at Dartmouth, whom they beat 62-52 (-12) Jan 28, in game they trailed by a point with under 9:00 left. Yale outscored Big Green 16-6 from line in that game, but turned ball over 19 times- their last three games were won by total of six points. Ivy League home underdogs are 4-7 against the spread this season. Dartmouth is 0-8 in Ivy play but they covered four of last five games- they're 1-2 as a home dog, losing by 16-2-9/

Likewise, Harvard has big game with Yale Saturday, but if they were to lose, would just be tied for first (they have playoff game if teams wind up tied fir first). Crimson (-15) won 68-59 at Brown Jan 28, as Bruins were just 11-20 from foul line. Harvard covered once in last five games; they're 0-3 as Ivy home fave, winning home games by 16-11-5 points. Brown lost its last five games; they're 2-1 as an Ivy road underdog. Iby League double digit home favorites are 1-8 against the spread.

Princeton won its two Ivy home games last week by 12-8 points, after starting league play 2-3 in all road games; Tigers (-1.5) beat Columbia in New York 62-58 Jan 14, turning ball over only six times, making 7-14 on arc. Lions were +14 on boards in that game, with 13 offensive rebounds; they're 1-2 as an Ivy underdog, with both road losses by 5 points. Ivy League single digit home favorites are 6-5 against the spread. Princeton is 2-2 as an Ivy League favorite, 0-1 at home.

Cornell won its last three games by 9-1-9 points, scoring an average of 75 ppg; they lost at home to Penn 74-62 (+2) Jan 14, making 3-17 from arc, while Quakers hit 10-20 treys. Big Red has road losses ar Harvard by 11, Columbia by 5- they won at lowly Dartmouth. Penn split its last four games after a 4-0strt to Ivy play- they scored 53-50 points in their two losses, averaged 67 ppg in five wins. Ivy League single digit home favorites are 6-5 against the spread.

Northern Iowa won four of last five games, but covered just one of last five on road; they opened season by waxing CAA's Old Dominion by 17 on road. CAA home favorites of 7 or less points are just 4-7 vs spread out of conference this season; MVC road underdogs of 6 or less points are 13-8. VCU had extra day to prepare for this, since they last played Tuesday, a last-second 62-61 loss to George Mason, which snapped its 11-game winning streak; Rams are 2-4-1 in last seven tries as favorite. MVC is 8th-ranked league, CAA the 14th.

Quick turnaround for improved LMU squad that had huge win in its last game, late Wednesday night at St Mary's; Lions won last three at home by 3-10-2 points. Valparaiso is 6-3 in Horizon road games, including win at Butler. Both teams here won five of its last six games. WCC is 11th-ranked league, Horizon 17th. WCC home favorites of 8 or less points are 4-7 vs spread in non-league games; Horizon single digit road underdogs are 10-7-1. Crusaders are 6-3 against the spread as an underdog.

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Sep 26, 2005
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 17

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won/covered four of its last five games.
-- Mavericks won four of last five on road, covered seven of last ten.
-- Miami won/covered its last four games. Cavaliers are 4-1-2 vs spread in last seven games as a home underdog.
-- Pistons won five of last seven games, covered seven of last eight. Sacramento covered five of its last six road games.
-- Warriors won three of their last four games. Oklahoma City won its last seven home games (5-2 vs spread).
-- Houston won four of last five home games (5-3-1 as home favorite). Minnesota covered five of last seven as a road underdog.
-- Memphis won four of its last five games.
-- Hornets won last two games, are 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as a road underdog. Knicks won last seven games, covered nine of last ten.
-- Washington covered four of its last six road games.
-- Lakers won/covered their last three home games.

Cold Teams
-- Bucks lost six of their last eight games, but covered last four games as a road underdog.
-- 76ers lost three of their last four home games.
-- Toronto lost six of last seven games; they're 3-2 as a home favorite. Bobcats lost last 13 road games, covered last three.
-- Nuggets lost six of their last eight games (5-4-1 as road dog).
-- Jazz lost five of their last six games, but they're 8-4 as home faves.
-- Suns lost four of their last five games.

Wear and Tear
-- Bucks: 3rd game/5 nites. Magic: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Mavericks: 3rd game/5 nites. 76ers: 3rd game/5 nites.
-- Bobcats: 3rd game/5 nites. Raptors: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Heat: Had last two nites off. Cavaliers: 2nd game/6 nites.
-- Kings: 3rd game/4 nites. Pistons: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Warriors: 4th game/6 nites. Thunder: 3rd gme/4 nites.
-- Wolves: 7th game/11 nites. Rockets: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Nuggets: 3rd game/4 nites. Grizzlies: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Hornets: 3rd game/5 nites. Knicks: 3rd game/4 nites.
-- Wizards: 3rd game/4 nites. Jazz: Had last two nites off.
-- Suns: 4th game/5 nites. Lakers: Had last two nites off.

-- 12 of last 14 Milwaukee game went over the total.
-- Four of last five Dallas games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total. Under is 11-3 in Kings' road games since Smart has been coach.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in Golden State's last eight road games.
-- Last four Minnesota games went over the total. 10 of Rockets' last 12 games stayed under.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven Memphis home games.
-- New York's last four home games stayed under total.
-- Six of last seven Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Phoenix games stayed under total.

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Sep 26, 2005

Friday, February 17

Game of the day: Dallas Mavericks at Philadelphia 76ers

Dallas Mavericks at Philadelphia 76ers (-3, 181)

: The Philadelphia 76ers have utilized scoring balance and depth to rise among the top teams in the Eastern Conference. The Dallas Mavericks could be struggling in both those departments when they visit the Sixers Friday night.

Dallas will have to overcome an injury-ravaged backcourt as it seeks to extend its winning streak to six games. The reigning NBA champs will be without three guards, putting additional pressure on aging veterans Jason Kidd, 38, and Vince Carter, 35.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN, CSP

THE LINE: Oddsmakers have the 76ers set as 3-point home favorites at the open with a 181-point total.

ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (19-11): Sixth man extraordinaire Jason Terry and Roddy Beaubois had already been ruled out of Friday’s game for personal reasons, and Dallas took another hit when guard Delonte West fractured and dislocated his right ring finger in Wednesday’s win over Denver.

Forward Lamar Odom picked up the slack by scoring 14 points against the Nuggets – his highest output in 10 games. Last season’s Sixth Man of the Year, Odom has averaged 14.4 points in 21 career games against the Sixers.

ABOUT THE 76ERS (20-10): Philadelphia’s bid for a perfect 3-0 road trip was buried by a hail of 3-pointers in a loss at Orlando on Wednesday. The Sixers also received more bad news regarding center Spencer Hawes, who is being sent to a specialist for his strained Achilles tendon.

Hawes has missed five straight games and 15 of the last 17, leaving rookies Lavoy Allen and Nikola Vucevic to man the point. Allen has started the last three games and scored a total of four points.

- Dallas is 17-6-1 against the spread in its last 24 road games.
- The under is 7-1 in the last eight meetings between the two teams.
- Philadelphia is 1-4 against the number in its last five overall.


1. Dallas has won five of six and eight of the last 10 meetings with Philadelphia.

2. The Sixers are 12-2 with Hawes in the lineup and 8-7 without him.

PREDICTION: 76ers 94, Mavericks 87.

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Sep 26, 2005

Friday, February 17

Pick 'n' roll: Friday's best NBA bets

Washington Wizards at Utah Jazz (-9.5, 195.5)

Just when you thought that the woeful Wizards might be making progress, they go and drop another stinker.

The Wizards opened their current five-game road swing by upsetting Detroit and Portland, picking up their sixth and seventh wins of the season. Then Washington was snapped back to reality in a 102-84 loss against the Los Angeles Clippers, dropping the cash as a 13-point underdog.

After the game it sounded like the same old story for the Wizards.

“I don’t look at this game as an 18-point loss, we just ran out of gas at the end,” Wizards coach Randy Wittman told reporters. “You’re not pleased with a loss, but we fought. We hung in there. We competed. Came up short.”

The Wizards may be able to hang around against Utah on Friday after they have a day to rest their legs. The Jazz have lost five of their last six, covering the number just twice during that span.

Offense has been most of the problem as the Jazz have been held to fewer than 90 points four times during that same stretch.

Pick: Wizards

Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Lakers (-8.5, 186.5)

The Phoenix Suns can finally take a breath. The worst of their schedule is over and not a moment too soon.

The Suns just played three games in three nights and couldn’t pick up a win or a payday in any of those, dropping to 12-18 straight up and against the spread this season.

"Yeah, I got to say it was a pretty tough stretch," center Marcin Gortat told reporters after a 101-99 home loss to Atlanta. "The last time I played, three games in a row was five years ago in the summer league, so it was pretty tough. But that's not an excuse. Every team's going to have back-to-back-to-backs like that. So, we've just got to try to find a way to win the games, especially at home.”

After an off day, it doesn’t get any easier for the Suns. The Lakers are 9-5 against the spread at home this season and own the No. 4 scoring defense in the Association. After this one, the two clubs complete the home-and-home Sunday.

Pick: Under

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Sep 26, 2005

Washington at Utah
The Jazz look to take advantage of a Washington team that is coming off a 102-84 loss to the Clippers and is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games after allowing 100 or more points in the previous game. Utah is the pick (-10) according to Dunkel, which has the Jazz favored by 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10). Here are all of today's picks


Game 801-802: Milwaukee at Orlando (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 113.627; Orlando 126.082
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 12 1/2; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 7 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-7 1/2); Under

Game 803-804: Dallas at Philadelphia (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.019; Philadelphia 122.715
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia by 3; 181 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3); Over

Game 805-806: Charlotte at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 106.534; Toronto 112.423
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 6; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+7); Over

Game 807-808: Miami at Cleveland (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 126.476; Cleveland 114.097
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 12 1/2; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 9 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Miami (-9 1/2); Under

Game 809-810: Sacramento at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 113.081; Detroit 113.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+2 1/2); Over

Game 811-812: Golden State at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 115.925; Oklahoma City 127.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 11 1/2; 202
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 10; 208 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-10); Under

Game 813-814: Minnesota at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 116.665; Houston 123.283
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 6 1/2; 204
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 4 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4 1/2); Over

Game 815-816: Denver at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 117.390; Memphis 118.777
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 1 1/2; 193
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 3 1/2; 197
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+3 1/2); Under

Game 817-818: New Orleans at New York (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.361; New York 120.320
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7; 192
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 11; 185
Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+11); Over

Game 819-820: Washington at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 107.004; Utah 121.602
Dunkel Line & Total: Utah by 14 1/2; 191
Vegas Line & Total: Utah by 10; 196
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-10); Under

Game 821-822: Phoenix at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.752; LA Lakers 121.537
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 189
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 8 1/2; 185 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+8 1/2); Over

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Sep 26, 2005
Short Sheet

Friday, February 17

MILWAUKEE: 28-14 ATS in road games after playing a game as favorite
ORLANDO: 41-54 ATS after playing a game as favorite

DALLAS: 43-20 ATS after 2 or more consecutive wins
PHILADELPHIA: 13-27 ATS as a home favorite of 6 points or less

CHARLOTTE: 21-35 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
TORONTO: 10-2 ATS after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

MIAMI: 18-6 ATS in road games on Friday nights
CLEVELAND: 11-23 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more

SACRAMENTO: 13-4 UNDER as a road underdog
DETROIT: 39-18 OVER in home games

GOLDEN STATE: 46-76 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders
OKLAHOMA CITY: 24-11 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite

MINNESOTA: 14-28 ATS after a non-conference game
HOUSTON: 7-0 ATS after 3 or more consecutive unders

DENVER: 29-17 ATS as an underdog
MEMPHIS: 13-4 OVER in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread

NEW ORLEANS: 0-7 ATS after a non-conference game
NEW YORK: 7-1 ATS in February games

WASHINGTON: 52-38 UNDER as an underdog
UTAH: 24-10 UNDER in home games after 4 or more consecutive unders

PHOENIX: 16-34 ATS revenging a loss vs opponent
LA LAKERS: 29-16 UNDER on Friday nights

** (TC) Denotes Time Change

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Sep 26, 2005

Anaheim at New Jersey
The Ducks are coming off a 2-1 win at Pittsburgh and look to build on their 4-0 record in their last 4 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Anaheim is the pick (+115) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115). Here are all of today's picks.


Game 1-2: Anaheim at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.841; New Jersey 12.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (+115); Under

Game 3-4: San Jose at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.982; Carolina 11.119
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-120); Over

Game 5-6: Nashville at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 10.777; Detroit 11.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under

Game 7-8: Montreal at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.276; Buffalo 10.039
Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+105); Over

Game 9-10: Washington at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 10.712; Florida 10.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-135); Under

Game 11-12: Boston at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.211; Winnipeg 11.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Winnipeg by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+145); Over

Game 13-14: Colorado at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.977; Edmonton 10.822
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

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Sep 26, 2005
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, February 17

Hot teams
-- Ducks won five of their last six games.
-- Hurricanes won three of their last four home games.
-- Red Wings have won an amazing 21 home games in a row.
-- Washington won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- New Jersey lost its last three games, scoring five goals.
-- Sharks lost six of their last eight road games.
-- Nashville lost three of its last four games- they scored exactly three goals in each of their last five games.
-- Buffalo lost its last three games, outscored 13-4. Canadiens lost eight of their last twelve road games.
-- Washington lost eight of its last eleven games.
-- Bruins are 0-7 in game following their last seven wins. Jets lost four of their last six home games.
-- Avalanche lost seven of its last nine road games. Edmonton lost three of last four games, but won four of its last five at home.

-- Ten of last twelve Anaheim games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight San Jose games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-2 in Detroit's last eleven home gmes.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in Buffalo's last seven home games.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in Washington's last five road games.
-- Over is 10-3-1 in Boston's last fourteen road games.
-- Last six Edmonton games went over the total.

Series records
-- Devils won last two games with Anaheim, 3-1/2-1.
-- Carolina won 5-2 at San Jose in LY's meeting.
-- Red Wings won three of last four games with Nashville.
-- Sabres won their last six games with Montreal.
-- Washington lost four of its last five visits to Miami.
-- Home side won nine of last ten Boston-Winnipeg games.
-- Oilers won three of last four game with Colorado.

-- Sharks are 4-2 on the road if they played the night before.
-- Buffalo is 1-6 at home when it played the night before.
-- Winnipeg is 0-9 when it played the night before.

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Sep 26, 2005

Friday, February 17

Ice picks: Friday's best NHL bets

Nashville Predators at Detroit Red Wings (-160, 5.5)

So, what’s next for the Detroit Red Wings?

They just set an NHL record with their 21st consecutive victory at home and were in sole possession of first place in the league heading into Thursday night’s action.

Starting goaltender Jimmy Howard, who has been on the shelf since Feb. 2 with a broken finger, is expected to return to action this weekend, but Henrik Zetterberg isn’t expected to play Friday due to a lower-body injury.

Meanwhile, the Predators just snapped a three-game losing skid after coach Barry Trotz sent a message to his club. He kept rookie defenseman Ryan Ellis in the press box Saturday after a couple of shoddy efforts and the kid responded with the game winner in a 3-2 decision over Chicago on Tuesday.

"It's time to show up and play the way we can," Nashville coach Barry Trotz told reporters. "We haven't played as well as we need to, and it starts with everything from focus, to a little more commitment and a little more push. … To me it's a playoff game."

Trotz really has the pulse of his team right now and you know Pekka Rinne can steal a game any day of the week. Call us crazy, but this might be a bit of a letdown spot for the Wings against a persistent Nashville club.

Pick: Nashville

Anaheim Ducks at New Jersey Devils (-135, 5.5)

For the second consecutive season, the Anaheim Ducks are making a desperate push for the playoffs while piling up cash for their supporters along the way.

The Ducks improved to 3-0-1 on their current road trip with a 2-1 win over Pittsburgh on Tuesday with Teemu Selanne leading the charge. The 41-year-old scored midway through the third period to snap the tie, pulling even with Brendan Shanahan on the all-time goal list with his 656th career tally.

"This game was huge for us," Selanne told reporters. "We got here at like three in the morning. They came out pretty hard and controlled the first period and then we got into the game. This team is playing with a lot of confidence right now, and even though we got behind we believed we could come back."

That confidence is making a world of difference for the Ducks, who begin the second half of this marathon eight-game road swing at New Jersey.

You have to like how the Devils are playing right now too, but it’s hard to argue the value on an Anaheim bet here.

Pick: Ducks

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Sep 26, 2005
Lakers favored big over Suns Friday night



Tip-off: Friday, 10:35 p.m. ET
Line: Los Angeles -8, Total: 185½

The Lakers seek their fourth straight home win when they invite the Suns for a visit on Friday night.

Phoenix is in a bit of a funk with three straight losses, but the Suns usually get up for L.A., going 6-3 ATS in the past nine meetings. But the Lakers are 12-2 SU (9-5 ATS) at home this season, allowing a paltry 84.7 PPG. And Phoenix has lost nine of its past 10 trips to Staples Center. Can the Lakers dominate the Suns again? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has been sizzling this week, going 8-4 ATS.

The Suns played very well against Atlanta on Wednesday, making 54% of their shots and winning the rebounding battle 38-33 in a 101-99 loss. Steve Nash led the way with 22 points and 16 assists, as all five starters scored in double figures. Nash is shooting 60% from the floor with 12.9 APG in his past seven games. Grant Hill finished with 18 points on 8-of-11 shooting, while Channing Frye (9.0 PPG, 5.5 RPG) had a double-double with 13 points and 11 rebounds. Hill made just 1-of-12 shots in last month’s 99-83 loss to the Lakers. Marcin Gortat (15.2 PPG, 10.1 RPG) was held to 13 points and six rebounds against the Hawks, making him 9-of-25 FG in his past two games, but he produced 16 points and 12 boards in the most recent meeting with the Lakers. His work on the glass will be key in combating L.A.’s huge frontcourt that leads the NBA with 45.3 RPG and out-rebounded the Suns 49-35 in January. The FoxSheets provide another three-star reason to expect the Suns to keep the score close:

L.A. LAKERS are 5-21 ATS (19.2%, -18.1 Units) after a combined score of 175 points or less over the last 3 seasons. The average score was L.A. LAKERS 97.3, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 3*).

The L.A. defense was stellar again on Tuesday, holding the Hawks to 78 points on 34% FG. Pau Gasol (20 points, 13 rebounds) and Andrew Bynum (15 points, 15 rebounds) were the stars in that win. Gasol, who has been the subject of trade rumors, has not let the chatter affect his play. He now has seven straight double-doubles with 18.6 PPG and 14.0 RPG during this stretch. Kobe Bryant has been off the mark this month (37% FG, 32% 3-pt FG), including a season-low 10 points on 5-of-18 FG in Tuesday’s win. But Bryant was on fire when he last faced the Suns on Jan. 10, pumping in a season-high 48 points (18-of-31 FG) in the victory. Since the 2005-06 season, Bryant is averaging 31.8 PPG in 24 games versus Phoenix. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend steering bettors away from the Suns:

PHOENIX is 6-23 ATS (20.7%, -19.3 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons. The average score was PHOENIX 94.9, OPPONENT 103.6 - (Rating = 3*).

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Sep 26, 2005
James and Heat return to Cleveland Friday



Tip-off: Friday, 7:35 p.m. ET
Line: Miami -9½, Total: 198½

LeBron James returns to Cleveland for the first time this season as Miami visits the Cavs on Friday night.

Can the Heat win by double-digits over the pesky Cavaliers? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has been sizzling this week, going 8-4 ATS.

It’s been a heck of a road trip so far for Miami. After dropping the first game in Orlando, they’ve reeled off four wins in a row, SU and ATS, each by 15 points or more. This team is clearly gelling with Dwyane Wade finally back at 100%. Since the Orlando loss they’re winning games by an average score of 108.0 to 90.5, and they’re shooting 49.2% from the field while holding opponents to 39.8% FG. James (28.0 PPG on 54.5% FG, 8.2 RPG, 6.8 APG) is averaging 24.8 PPG on 53.8% FG, 8.0 RPG and 6.3 APG over only 32.3 minutes per game during that span. Wade (21.9 PPG) has added 21.3 PPG on 55.2% shooting in just 26.8 MPG. The limited minutes were because of a three-games-in-three-nights stretch earlier in the week, but after two nights off, the Heat stars should be ready to go 40 minutes.

Obviously, all eyes will be on James, who is playing his third career game as an opponent in Cleveland. He torched the Cavs twice last year, going for 38 points in just 30 minutes in a blowout win in December 2010, then recording a triple-double (27 points, 10 rebounds, 12 assists) in his return last March. However, Miami dropped that second game, 107-91 at home. The FoxSheets have a three-star trend backing the red-hot Heat:

Play On - Road favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (MIAMI) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after scoring 105 points or more 3 straight games. (87-42 since 1996, 67.4%, +40.8 units. Rating = 3*).

The Cavs have done a solid job through the first four games of their homestand, going 2-2 SU and 2-1-1 ATS despite being without PG Kyrie Irving (18.2 PPG on 49.8% shooting) for the first three of those games. With Irving back in the lineup on Wednesday, Cleveland beat the Pacers handily, 98-87, in a game that was never really in doubt. Irving led the way with 22 points on 8-for-12 FG (and 3-for-5 from three) in the win.

After losing Anderson Varejao to a broken wrist, they lost handily to Philadelphia on Saturday but bounced back with a solid win over Indiana on Wednesday. C Semih Erden, Varejao’s replacement, was shut out over 14 minutes in the Philadelphia loss, but bounced back with 18 points and eight rebounds in the win over Indiana. The FoxSheets have a coaching trend siding with the Cavs:

Byron Scott is 25-10 ATS (71.4%, +14.0 Units) in home games after playing 3 consecutive home games in all games he has coached since 1996. The average score was Scott 97.8, OPPONENT 93.3 - (Rating = 1*).

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Sep 26, 2005
Knicks go for 8th straight win hosting Hornets


at NEW YORK KNICKS (15-15)

Tip-off: Friday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: New York -10, Total: 184½

The legend of Jeremy Lin continues as the Knicks host another cupcake opponent when New Orleans visits on Friday night.

Since Lin stepped in as their primary point guard two weeks ago, the Knicks are 7-0 SU and 5-1-1 ATS. However, aside from a win over the Lakers (who had played an overtime game in Boston the previous night), the Knicks haven’t really had a challenge during that span. The Hornets actually might be their toughest matchup of the Lin era, as they play an ugly, slow-down style that could keep this game within reach. Can the Knicks keep the win streak alive and cover the huge spread? To find out, connect to the NBA Three At Three for ATS picks covering all the marquee NBA games each weekday. NBA Three At Three has been sizzling this week, going 8-4 ATS.

Despite losing C Emeka Okafor (9.9 PPG, 7.9 RPG) to a knee injury, the Hornets are coming off back-to-back SU wins for the first time since their first two games of the season, and they’re 7-5 ATS (3-9 SU) away from home this year. PG Jarrett Jack (15.2 PPG, 6.7 APG) is also hurting, missing six of the past seven games because of a sore knee. But they held off the Jazz at home on Monday, then they pulled off an upset Wednesday in Milwaukee. C Chris Kaman (10.9 PPG, 7.5 RPG), benched for his lethargic defense for a good chunk of the season, has been a revelation for the scoring-starved Hornets. In those two wins, he averaged 22.5 PPG and 11.5 RPG. But the best argument for a New Orleans cover is that they play the slowest tempo in the NBA. That methodical style will leave less margin for error than usual for the Knicks. This FoxSheets trend also sides with the Hornets:

NEW ORLEANS is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons. The average score was NEW ORLEANS 98.3, OPPONENT 87.7 - (Rating = 2*).

After having to pull out a win late in Toronto, the Knicks had little trouble disposing of the Kings at home on Wednesday. Lin (12.7 PPG), who is averaging 24.4 PPG on 51.2% shooting and 9.1 APG during his magical run, was more of a distributor in that game, handing out 13 assists while scoring 10 points on only six field goal attempts. Lin’s Achilles heel has been turnovers, as he’s averaging 5.3 per game during this seven-game stretch.

PF Amar’e Stoudemire (18.0 PPG, 8.0 RPG) is still figuring things out in the Lin Era, as he’s averaging 16.0 PPG on just 39.4% shooting in his first two games back in the lineup since the death of his brother. Carmelo Anthony (22.3 PPG, 39.9% shooting from the field) has really only been effective as an isolation player throughout his career. While he insists otherwise, he and Lin seem unlikely to mesh. This FoxSheets trend thinks the Knicks will win big Friday night:

Play Against - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (NEW ORLEANS) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread against opponent hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread. (37-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.5%, +18.3 units. Rating = 1*).

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Sep 26, 2005
Mavs seek 6th straight win visiting Philly



Tip-off: Friday, 8:05 p.m. ET
Line: Philadelphia -3, Total: 179½

The red-hot Mavericks look to extend their win streak to six games when they visit Philadelphia on Friday night.

Dallas will be short-handed for this matchup as a trio of guards -- Jason Terry (quadriceps), Delonte West (finger) and Rodrigue Beaubois (death in family) -- will be sidelined Friday night. These three backcourt players contribute a combined 30.4 PPG and 9.5 APG. This is not good news considering how well the 76ers play defense at Wells Fargo Center, allowing just 83.6 PPG on 41% FG. This commitment on the defensive end has led to a strong 12-6 ATS mark at home. Look for Philly’s deep and talented backcourt to dominate the perimeter and lead PHILADELPHIA to the win and cover on Friday.

The FoxSheets provide a three-star trend supporting the 76ers:

Play On - Home favorites (PHILADELPHIA) - off a road loss by 10 points or more, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record. (55-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +33 units. Rating = 3*).

Dallas is 8-5 ATS on the road, including 5-1 ATS as a road underdog this season. Dirk Nowitzki is finally looking healthy, as he is averaging 23.7 PPG on 51% FG in his past seven games. But the Sixers have done a pretty good job defending him in the past five seasons, limiting Nowitzki to 40% FG (5-for-21 threes) in these 10 meetings. But Nowitzki will benefit from the absence of Philly’s best interior defender, C Spencer Hawes (8.3 RPG, 1.5 BPG), who is out indefinitely with an Achilles injury. Both SG Vince Carter (12.2 PPG, 47% FG in past five games) and SF Shawn Marion (15.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG in past three games) will have to continue their strong play with the depleted Dallas backcourt.

The 76ers have gone 13 straight games without reaching 100 points, but they have really valued the basketball. Their 10.5 turnovers per game are the lowest in NBA history for a single season. Philadelphia is arguably the deepest team in the league with eight players scoring at least 8.9 PPG this season. Andre Iguodala is the team’s best player, with 12.5 PPG, 6.5 RPG and 5.3 APG this season. But he has shot terribly over his past four games (36.8% FG), and makes just 39.7% FG in 14 career meetings with Dallas. Reserve PG Lou Williams is Philly’s top scorer at 16.1 PPG, and he has played outstanding in the past three contests (21.0 PPG, 5.3 APG). He was just 2-of-11 from the field in two meetings with Dallas last year though.

Active member
Sep 26, 2005
Valpo, LMU square off in Friday BracketBuster



ESPN BracketBuster Game
Tip-off: Friday, 9:00 p.m. EDT
Line: Loyola Marymount -5, Total, 138

While each of these teams enter this game having won five of their past six, it’s Loyola Marymount that’s done it against quality competition: The Lions followed up a road loss on Saturday at Gonzaga with an impressive 15-point upset win at 16th-ranked Saint Mary’s in a game in which they were a 14-point underdog. The pick here, however, is underdog VALPARAISO, which is 7-0 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points over the past three seasons. Over that same span, Loyola Marymount is 1-9 ATS in home games where the total is 135 to 139.5.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also likes Valpo.

Play Against - A home team (LOYOLA-MARYMOUNT) - in non-conference games, off a road win against a conference rival. (69-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.1%, +38.2 units. Rating = 3*).

This marks the first all-time meeting between these two schools. Valparaiso has previously played five current West Coast Conference teams a total of seven times and owns a 5-2 record against league members. The most recent meeting between Valpo and a WCC squad came on Nov. 21, 2008, when the Crusaders lost to San Diego, 73-66, on a neutral court.

Over the past five games, Valpo is shooting a scorching 47.1 percent (48-of-102) from beyond the three-point arc. The Crusaders started the season shooting under 30 percent from long range over the season’s first 10 games, but since is hitting at a 38.4% clip from behind the line. Meanwhile, the team is also extremely proficient from inside the arc, knocking down 55.4% of its tries from two-point range, which is tied for second nationally. Of Valpo’s seven rotation players who have been playing the entire season, all seven are hitting at least half of their two-point attempts. The player who’s been standing out the most recently is junior Richie Edwards, who started his hot stretch with back-to-back, 16-point efforts two weekends ago against Detroit and Wright State. Last Thursday against Cleveland State, Edwards posted a 20-point night, his best effort of the season against a Division I opponent, and then scored 19 points in his first career start at Youngstown State. Last time out, the junior went 5-of-7 from the field and 8-of-9 from the foul line for a team-best 19 points against Illinois-Chicago.

Loyola Marymount’s win over Saint Mary’s was its third victory in five tries this season against a ranked opponent, and it gave the Lions their most wins in West Coast Conference play since the Elite Eight team in 1989-90, which went 13-1. LMU entered this week ranked 17th nationally in three-point field goal defense and are now holding opponents to 28.8 percent shooting from long range after limiting Saint Mary's to 21.4 percent. The Lions average nearly 71 points per game, led by 16.3 PPG and 5.3 RPG from senior Drew Viney. Sophomore Anthony Ireland adds 15.4 PPG as well, as LMU boasts four players averaging in double figures on the season. The Lions also lead the WCC and rank 45th nationally in free throw percentage, hitting 73.0 percent. Their top six scorers all hit better than 73 percent, including LaRon Armstead's 85.5 percent, which leads the conference and ranks 42nd nationally.

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