CFL
Dunkel
Week 12
Edmonton at Hamilton
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 Friday games. Hamilton is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Tiger-Cats favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
FRIDAY, SEPTEMBER 16
Game 291-292: Edmonton at Hamilton (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 105.472; Hamilton 114.917
Dunkel Line: Hamilton by 9 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (-5); Under
SATURDAY, SEPTEMBER 17
Game 293-294: Toronto at Saskatchewan (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 107.625; Saskatchewan 112.199
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 4 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Saskatchewan by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Over
Game 295-296: BC at Calgary (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BC 116.631; Calgary 116.423
Dunkel Line: Even; 53
Vegas Line: Calgary by 5; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BC (+5); Over
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 18
Game 297-298: Winnipeg at Montreal (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 112.821; Montreal 117.881
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 5; 50
Vegas Line: Montreal by 8; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Winnipeg (+8); Under
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 12
Friday, September 16
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EDMONTON (6 - 4) at HAMILTON (5 - 5) - 9/16/2011, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EDMONTON is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing on a Friday over the last 3 seasons.
EDMONTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
HAMILTON is 3-2 against the spread versus EDMONTON over the last 3 seasons
EDMONTON is 3-2 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Saturday, September 17
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TORONTO (2 - 8) at SASKATCHEWAN (3 - 7) - 9/17/2011, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SASKATCHEWAN is 25-11 ATS (+12.9 Units) in home games in September games since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 87-56 ATS (+25.4 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1996.
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
SASKATCHEWAN is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SASKATCHEWAN is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BRITISH COLUMBIA (4 - 6) at CALGARY (7 - 3) - 9/17/2011, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CALGARY is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 72-49 ATS (+18.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
BRITISH COLUMBIA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
CALGARY is 6-2 against the spread versus BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
CALGARY is 6-2 straight up against BRITISH COLUMBIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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Sunday, September 18
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WINNIPEG (7 - 3) at MONTREAL (6 - 4) - 9/18/2011, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
WINNIPEG is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against WINNIPEG over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CFL
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 12
Edmonton (6-4) @ Hamilton (7-3)-- TiCats are 4-0 at home, averaging 37 ppg- they lost 28-10 (+1.5) at Edmonton way back in Week 2, when Eskimos were on way to 5-0 start. Eskimos have now lost four of last five games, scoring 20 or less points in each loss- they scored 24+ in all six of their wins. All four Eskimo losses are by 10+ points. Eight of last nine Edmonton games stayed under the total; six of last seven Hamilton games went over. .
Toronto (2-8) @ Saskatchewan (3-7)-- Roughriders (+2.5) lost 24-18 at Toronto three weeks ago, at which point they were 1-7; a bye, coaching change and two upset wins over Winnipeg later, and Riders are hoping to make playoffs again. Argos lost last five road games, by 6-23-1-5-22 points- they're 3-3 as a road dog. Saskatchewan is favored this week for first time since its season opener. Last three Toronto games and six of last eight Roughrider games stayed under the total.
BCLions (4-6) @ Calgary (7-3)-- Stampeders (+1.5) upset Lions 34-32 back in Week 2, despite turning ball over five times; Calgary won five of last six games- they're 2-3 as home favorites, with wins by 12-7 points. Lions won four of last five games after 0-5 start; they allowed just 7.7 ppg in winning last three games. Calgary is 6-0 when it scores more than 21 points, 1-3 when it doesn't. Last six BC games stayed under the total. Lions allowed 16 or less points in their wins, 25+ in their losses.
Winnipeg (7-3) @ Montreal (6-4)-- Dogs are 8-2 against spread this year in Winnipeg games; Bombers got whacked 27-7/45-23 in last two games by Saskatchewan squad that had been 1-7. Winnipeg won three of four road games- they're 3-0 as a road underdog. Alouettes won four of their five home games- they're 3-2 as home favorite, winning home games by 4-23-23-30 points. Under is 7-3 in Winnipeg games, 3-1 on road; over is 7-3 in Montreal games, but only 2-3 at home.
CFL
Week 12
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Trend Report
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Friday, September 16
7:30 PM
EDMONTON vs. HAMILTON
Edmonton is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Edmonton is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Hamilton
Hamilton is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hamilton's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton
Saturday, September 17
4:00 PM
TORONTO vs. SASKATCHEWAN
Toronto is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Saskatchewan
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Saskatchewan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Saskatchewan's last 8 games at home
Saskatchewan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
7:00 PM
BRITISH COLUMBIA vs. CALGARY
British Columbia is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,when playing on the road against Calgary
British Columbia is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games when playing Calgary
Calgary is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Calgary's last 6 games when playing at home against British Columbia
Sunday, September 18
1:00 PM
WINNIPEG vs. MONTREAL
Winnipeg is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Winnipeg is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Montreal
Montreal is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Winnipeg
Montreal is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
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CFL
Week 12
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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 12 betting preview and picks
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Edmonton Eskimos at Hamilton Tiger-Cats (-5, 50.5)
Both the Eskimos and Tiger-Cats had a brutal reality check last week.
Edmonton, plagued with injuries, must find a way to stop its skid after a strong start, while the Tiger-Cats need to rebuild their confidence after being mauled by the Alouettes.
To fill a gap in the secondary, Hamilton will move CB Ryan Hinds to safety and Jason Shivers will take the spot of all-star LB Markeith Knowlton, who missed practices this week and probably won’t play this Friday.
On offense, expect to see Aaron Kelly taking over for rookie Bakari Grant, who dropped a few easy passes against the Alouettes last Sunday. Center Marwan Hage is doubtful and Mark Dewitt should replace him for a second week in a row .
While the Eskimos also have a long injury list, keep in mind the Tiger-Cats will be playing their third game in eleven days and fatigue is expected. But that shouldn’t be enough for the Eskimos to pick up a win in Hamilton, where they’ve gone just 1-8 since 2003. Their last win at Ivor Wynne Stadium goes back to 2008.
Pick: Hamilton
Toronto Argonauts at Saskatchewan Roughriders (-7, 50.5)
The return of Andy Fantuz didn’t produce a bang but the Roughriders kept rolling nonetheless. Despite resting for a few days and missing practices, MLB Barrin Simpson will play. Same goes for RB Wes Cates, who was also granted a day off.
Toronto's QB change didn’t turn things around, even if Steven Jyles has nowhere to go but up after Cleo Lemon. The acquisition of WR Preachae Rodriguez will bring more vertical plays but that isn’t enough to make this team competitive.
In the past, Jyles has proven inconsistent and is with his fourth team in six seasons. The Argos offense is the worst in the league with an average of 19.8 points per game while their defense is giving up 28 points per game.
Another revealing stat: The Argos have scored only 12 touchdowns in 25 trips inside their opponents’ 20-yard line. Plus, they haven’t scored a TD since the third quarter of their game against Saskatchewan on August 18. That’s more than 140 minutes of football without a major.
Pick: Saskatchewan
B.C. Lions at Calgary Stampeders (-4.5, 50.5)
The Lions have had a terrible start but they can put themselves back in the thick of a pennant race by playing six of their next eight games against West Division rivals.
Geroy Simon, the second-best receiver in the CFL behind Montreal’s Jamal Richardson, has 812 yards and is heading towards a ninth-consecutive 1,000-yard season.
The Stampeders offense, led by Henry Burris, can still light up the scoreboard even without receiver Jabari Arthur (thigh) and it will be interesting to see how it fares against a stout B.C. defense that gave up no touchdowns and only 23 points in its last three games.
Besides Arthur, linebacker Brandon Isaac (groin) and DE Charleston Hughes should be out of the Stampeders lineup. The good news for Calgary is that LBs Juwan Simpson and Malik Jackson should play after nursing injuries.
The Leos defense has multiple threats up front and a strong secondary, but most importantly features MLB Solomon Elimimian, who can already be considered the best defensive player of the CFL. He leads the league with 62 tackles.
Also keep in mind that the Lions won in their two visits to McMahon Stadium last season.
Pick: B.C.
Winnipeg Blue Bombers at Montreal Alouettes (-7.5, 52.5)
Injuries are taking their toll on the Blue Bombers, who will have to go on without MLB Joe Lobendahn (knee) for the remainder of the season. Quarterback Buck Pierce (ribs) could miss Sunday’s game, which would bring substitute Alex Brink under center. Young receiver Kito Poblah (shoulder) won’t play either against the Alouettes.
Those injuries aren’t the only concerns for Winnipeg, which just can’t seem to run the ball and has coughed up 10 turnovers in the past two games. Those losses of possession resulted in a 72-30 stomping in the Banjo Bowl - a cold shower for Winnipeg fans who love to brag about “Swaggerville”.
The Alouettes seem back on track after a few bumps, despite the numerous casualties on defense. Although, Seth Williams and Marc-Olivier Brouillette, both off the nine-game injured list, have stepped up nicely.
Pick: Montreal