Cnotes February's NBA POD's Stats, Trends, News, & Game of the Year !

[CNOTES]

Fact or Fiction

January 31, 2014


The first three months of the NBA season is now said and done with, and that means that we are heading into the second-half of the NBA season. Check out some of the hot topic items as we head into February for NBA betting fans, as we decipher which are fact and which are fiction.

FACT

The Indiana Pacers Have Troubles With Transition Teams: The Phoenix Suns certainly proved that fact over the course of the last week and a half, beating up these Pacers twice in that stretch with tremendous offensive outings. Though we don't think it is going to help the aging Miami Heat win the East, it could lay out the formula for some teams in the Eastern Conference to come out of nowhere and challenge the Pacers in the playoffs if they aren't careful. Center Roy Hibbert is completely taken out of these fast-paced games, and he's a big piece of the puzzle for Indiana.

The Chicago Bulls Need To Trade Kirk Hinrich For a Swingman: The Bulls dealt away their best swingman in F Luol Deng just a few weeks ago, but the players on the court have been buzzing and have this team in legit contention to be the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference. Chicago almost has to go for it at this point, and rumors of G Kirk Hinrich being dealt for F Harrison Barnes seem to be persisting. It would be a great trade for both sides, and it would give Chicago the ability to continue the growth of G DJ Augustin and give them a legit small forward who can stretch the floor and take some pressure off of the bigs to get the job done offensively.

These Bucks Are As Bad As Those Bobcats: You know which Charlotte Bobcats team we're talking about. The ones which went on an epic losing streak and had one of the worst records that the NBA has ever seen. No, the Bucks aren't only going to win 10 games this year, but they really don't show any signs of improvement, and they really aren't all that young of a team either. Point guard Brandon Knight is really the only man that this franchise can build around, and after letting everyone walk last season and making that ridiculous deal with the Orlando Magic to get shooting guard JJ Redick for a push towards the No. 8 seed in the East, it's tough to think that management really has any clue about what it’s doing.

FICTION

The Toronto Raptors Are Legit Eastern Conference Contenders: Just because you're the leaders of the Atlantic Division doesn't mean you have a legit gripe to be a playoff contender this year. The Raptors are paper thin, and outside of PG Kyle Lowry and SG DeMar DeRozan, we aren't all that impressed. That bench isn't used nearly enough, and the team is going to be worn down. Even if Toronto, which has won and covered four out of five, does win the Atlantic Division, don't be surprised if a team like the Washington Wizards or Atlanta Hawks takes it out of the playoffs in the opening round.

By March, the Los Angeles Lakers Will Be Dangerous Again: Yeah… no they won't. G Kobe Bryant should be back in the fold by then, but we just don't see what good any of that does. C Pau Gasol is still a me-first player in the paint, and though G Jodie Meeks, G Nick Young, and F Ryan Kelly have all evolved, they aren't ready to step up and become role players for Bryant, an aging G Steve Nash, and G Steve Blake. The Lakers are a mess, and even getting healthy isn't going to change any of that. Unfortunately, the Buss family is just too ego-driven to concede and trade any and all assets that the team has.

The Phoenix Suns as Western Conference Contenders: Phoenix is getting there for sure. But even though the Suns exposed the Indiana Pacers over the course of these last two games in scoring 226 points in two duels against Indiana, we still don't think it is a legit contender. Winning four games in five nights on the East Coast is tough, but these games, save for the last one against the Pacers, were all suspect. Wake us up when the Suns have an inside game. These Suns are no better than the Suns that kept coming up short year after year with Mike D'Antoni calling the shots, and the end results this year will be no different. I will say that coach Jeff Hornacek certainly has this club on the right track, but don’t get crazy and start buying up Suns future tickets to win the West!

 

[CNOTES]

Cross-Sport SB Props

January 31, 2014


The multitude of Super Bowl propositions to bet on is endless, but there are a few dozen props that go outside of Sunday's contest between the Seahawks and Broncos. Whether it's the NBA, NHL, college basketball, soccer, or even golf, the oddmakers in Las Vegas have found a way to tie in the Super Bowl to these sporting events this weekend to wager on. Below are three props involving the NBA that should be given consideration in addition to any bets made on Super Sunday.

LeBron James points -5 ½ vs. Seahawks points

The Heat heads to New York City on Saturday night to battle the red-hot Knicks, as Miami looks to avenge a loss to New York from earlier this month. James scored 32 points in his last meeting against the Knicks back on January 9, while scoring 29, 31, and 23 versus New York in three games last season. The lowest point total for James this season is 15 against Orlando in early January, as the reigning MVP has put up at least 27 points in five of the last six games.

The Seahawks' offense has been on the decline over the last two months, scoring 23 points or less in five of the previous six games. In five of eight contests played away from the Pacific Northwest, the Seahawks tallied 23 points or fewer, including 12 at Carolina and 17 at San Francisco.

Barring injury (as always), James will likely score between 25 and 30 points, but the number is unlimited. The Seahawks are more limited in their point output, as it is likely they will not score 45 points. Even though it seems like a chalky selection, I'll take LeBron James to win this prop over Seahawks total points.

Broncos points -4 ½ vs. John Wall points

Denver owns the best offense in the NFL, facing the league's top defense on Sunday. The Broncos' two lowest-point totals this season (20 and 24) came against San Diego, while topping the 30-point mark in 13 games (7 of 8 road games). John Fox's team kicked four field goals in the AFC Championship against New England, including a pair of field goals from 27 yards or fewer. Basically, the Broncos are good for at least four of five scores at minimum, it's just about scoring touchdowns as opposing to kicking field goals.

John Wall is an up-and-coming guard in the league, but the former top pick of the draft is erratic from a scoring standpoint. The Wizards host the Thunder on Saturday night, as Wall was limited to just 10 points the last time he faced OKC back on November 10. Wall has scored 19 points or less in five of the past six games, including four straight games below his average of 19.9 points per contest. In his last six home games, Wall has performed better by putting up at least 23 points five times.

Of course the Broncos can run into a problem against the Seattle defense, but the weather should clear up enough for Denver to get in the end zone several times. Wall has faced four of the top five defensive teams in the league this season (OKC ranks 7th), scoring 19 or less in four of six games against these clubs so far. I'll back the Broncos to win this prop.

Pistons first quarter points -5 ½ vs. Seahawks + Broncos first half points

This prop was a tough one to back the favorite. However, Detroit is facing the league's worst defense in Philadelphia, which allows nearly 110 points per game. All we are worried about is the first quarter, are the Pistons are averaging 23.4 points in 10 opening quarters against unrested opponents. That number doesn't sound high, but Detroit did put up 40 points in the first quarter against Philadelphia at home on December 1, as you can never underestimate the deficiency of the Sixers' defense.

The last seven first halves of the Super Bowl have been hit or miss from a scoring standpoint, with the two teams combining to score 27, 19, 31, 16, 24, 10, and 30 in this stretch. There's no way to say that the Broncos and Seahawks will have a low output since it is "due" to go that direction this season following the 27 points scored last February between the Ravens and 49ers.

It is possible the Broncos and Seahawks can score three points in the first half, but the Pistons will likely not put up 10 points in the first quarter against the Sixers. If Detroit hits its shots, the Pistons can put this prop away fast with at least a 30-point output. Both Seattle and Denver's defenses have played well in the postseason, so I don't expect many points in the first half.

 

[CNOTES]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

We're going to be looking at Super Bowl props in this space for the next week. Here's a look at six more of them (LVH puts out a 44-page PDF of the props available). It covers pretty much everything........

-- Most rushing yards: Lynch -30.5 yards over Moreno

-- Number of Broncos to catch a pass: 7.5: over -$155, under +$135

-- Will Britton Colquitt punt a touchback? Yes +$240, No -$280

-- Orlando Magic points -23.5 over Demayius Thomas receiving yards

-- Boston Celtic points -8.5 over Marshawn Lynch rushing yards.

-- Broncos points -4.5 over John Wall's points in Sunday's game.


*****

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Idle thoughts with weekend here....

13) We talked earlier this winter about how the “neighborhood play” at second base was going to be an issue with the new instant replay system, since middle infielders often desert the base before the ball gets there to avoid collisions with base runners.

Turns out this won’t be an issue, since the neighborhood play will not be something that is subject to review in the new system, due to safety concerns for middle infielders.

With the first spring training game only 25 days away, it doesn’t seem crystal clear how this is all going to work, but you’d assume in a multi-billion dollar industry, they’d be working on it. You’d think.

12) Speaking of spring training, lot of MLB teams sent their moving vans off filled with equipment Friday to training camp sites throughout Florida/Arizona. In couple weeks they’ll be hitting fungos and taking BP.

11) New head of the MLB Players’ Association is Tony Clark, who five years ago was still an active player with Arizona. He’s come up the ranks in the union very quickly.

10) St Louis Rams owner E. Stanley Kroenke, who also owns the Nuggets, Avalanche out in Denver, recently bought 60 acres of land between the old LA Forum and Hollywood Park racetrack, which has been shut down.

All this furthers speculation the Rams might be headed back to Tinseltown should they not get improvements in their current home in St Louis.

Kroenke is a Missouri guy; his son played hoop for Mizzou, his first name is Enos (after Enos Slaughter of the Cardinals?), I kind of doubt he’ll move the Rams, but this land grab makes it look like he might unless St Louis gives him what he wants.

When you’re worth $5.9B, you’re used to getting what you want.

9) Rex Ryan was giving out free ice cream to passersby in Manhattan Friday out of an ice cream truck sponsored by the New Era cap company. He misses the playoffs one more time, he might be driving that truck for a job.

8) Power of the Super Bowl: 11 college basketball games Sunday, latest one starts at 2:30, even the game at Oregon State, which is an 11:30am local tip time. Its always fun to see what ESPN puts on during the Super Bowl.

7) I remember sitting at a bar in Las Vegas last spring and watching golf on TV and then I relaized, it was already the next morning in Florida, while I was still out the night before. Watching these European tour events from the Middle East, you wonder if the time zone changes screw up the golfers.

6) Celtics were 2-15 in January; I saw them play three of those games and my only surprise is somehow they won two games. They are terrible.

5) University of Tennessee’s athletic department dumped adidas gear for Nike; you wonder how much of a blow that is to adidas. I mean, if the Vols get good in football again, they’ll be putting 110,000 people into Neyland Stadium on fall Saturdays and lot of those people will buy t-shirts, golf shirts, gym shorts, sweatsuits, all made by Nike.

It has to be worth a significant amount of money.

4) Must be lot of good point guards in the Western Conference if Goran Dragic missed out on playing in the All-Star Game. He's very good.

3) Speaking of the All-Star Game, wouldn’t mind see sides chosen for that game the way they did the Pro Bowl, have two captains pick teams, instead of the stale East/West format. Have a pool of 20 guys who have to be picked, then the last 4-6 guys can be anyone the captains see fit. Would be little more interesting, but All-Star games don't usually interest me much.

2) Colts kicker Adam Viniatieri thinks 50+-yard FGs should be worth four points; Roger Goodell thinks extra points should be eliminated. Somehow I don’t think we’ll be seeing the 4-point field goal anytime soon, and I’d be against eliminating the extra point.

Making the extra point a longer kick seems like an interesting idea, but they would have to keep the two-point conversion where it is.

1) Why would anyone buy a $30 hat celebrating a team as a conference champ? If you wait two weeks and your team wins the Super Bowl, you buy that hat; if they lose, why would you want a hat that reminds you your team lost the Super Bowl? It makes no sense to me, but people must buy ‘em, or else they wouldn’t sell ‘em.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, February 1

Hot teams
-- Washington is 11-3 vs spread in its last 14 road games. Thunder won its last ten games (9-1 vs spread).
-- Atlanta won four of last six games, covered last three. Timberwolves won five of their last seven games.
-- Rockets won five of their last seven games.
-- Memphis won nine of last ten games, covered last five.
-- Bulls won five of their last seven games. Pelicans won three of four.
-- New York won/covered its last four games. Miami won three of last four games, covered one of last five.
-- Phoenix won/covered six of its last seven games. Bobcats won/covered four of last six games.
-- Raptors won five of their last six games.
-- Jazz are 6-2-1 vs spread in game following its last nine losses.

Cold Teams
-- Indiana lost three of its last five games. Nets lost last two games after winning 10 of previous 11.
-- 76ers won/covered once in last five games.
-- Cavaliers won/covered once in last six games.
-- Bucks lost nine of last ten games (0-5 vs spread last five).
-- You're reading ***************.com. Have a nice day.
-- San Antonio lost five of its last seven games. Kings lost last six games (4-2-1 vs spread on road).
-- Portland lost four of its last six games.
-- Clippers are 4-5 in their last nine games.

Series records
-- Pacers are 3-0 vs Brooklyn this year, winning by 15-17-14 points.
-- Thunder won seven of last nine games with Washington.
-- Hawks won eight of last nine games with Minnesota.
-- 76ers lost five of last six games with Detroit.
-- Rockets won four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Grizzlies won last six games with Milwaukee (4-2 vs spread).
-- Bulls won nine of last 11 games with New Orleans; Chicago won last five visits to Bourbon Street.
-- Spurs won seven in row, 17 of last 18 vs Sacramento (7-5 vs spread in last 12 meetings).
-- Knicks won five of last seven games with Miami.
-- Suns won last four games with Charlotte, covered last three.
-- Trailblazers won nine of last ten games with Toronto.
-- Clippers won last seven games with Utah (3-4 vs spread).

Totals
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Indiana games.
-- Seven of last eight Thunder-Wizard games went over.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over total.
-- You're reading www.***************.com.
-- Five of last six Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Last six Milwaukee-Memphis games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-2-1 in last eleven Sacramento-San Antonio games.
-- Five of last six Miami games went over the total.
-- Eight of last twelve Phoenix games went over total.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in last five Portland games.
-- 13 of last 16 Clipper-Jazz games went over the total.

Back to backs
-- Nets are 3-2 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Thunder is 6-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Atlanta is 3-6 vs spread if they played night before.
-- 76ers are 1-7 vs spread if they lost the night before.
-- Bucks are 3-11 vs spread if they played the night before. Memphis is 4-0 vs spread if they played on road the night before.
-- Sacramento is 4-6 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Charlotte is 1-7 vs spread if it played on road night before.
-- Toronto is 5-2 vs spread if it played on road night before.
-- Utah is 3-1 vs spread on road if it played at home night before.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Saturday, February 1

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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA CITY vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
Washington is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oklahoma City
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

7:00 PM
BROOKLYN vs. INDIANA
Brooklyn is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games
Brooklyn is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 9 games
Indiana is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games

7:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. ATLANTA
Minnesota is 5-9-2 ATS in its last 16 games when playing Atlanta
Minnesota is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. DETROIT
Philadelphia is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Detroit is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home

8:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 17 games when playing at home against Chicago

8:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Cleveland

8:00 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. MEMPHIS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Memphis
Milwaukee is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

8:30 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW YORK
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of New York's last 15 games when playing Miami
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:30 PM
SACRAMENTO vs. SAN ANTONIO
Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio's last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of San Antonio's last 15 games when playing Sacramento

9:00 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. PHOENIX
Charlotte is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Charlotte's last 16 games
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Charlotte

10:00 PM
TORONTO vs. PORTLAND
Toronto is 1-8 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Portland
Toronto is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Toronto

10:30 PM
UTAH vs. LA CLIPPERS
Utah is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 17 of the LA Clippers last 25 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of the LA Clippers last 7 games when playing Utah

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, February 1

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BROOKLYN (20 - 24) at INDIANA (35 - 10) - 2/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home games this season.
INDIANA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
INDIANA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 10) at WASHINGTON (22 - 23) - 2/1/2014, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 29-16 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-19 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 70-50 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road favorite of 3.5 to 6 points over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 140-104 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) after scoring 105 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 312-376 ATS (-101.6 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 2-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (15 - 32) at DETROIT (18 - 27) - 2/1/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-28 ATS (-11.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (23 - 23) at ATLANTA (24 - 21) - 2/1/2014, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 161-209 ATS (-68.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
ATLANTA is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 2-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (16 - 30) at HOUSTON (31 - 17) - 2/1/2014, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (23 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (19 - 26) - 2/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 61-76 ATS (-22.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (8 - 38) at MEMPHIS (25 - 20) - 2/1/2014, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 15-31 ATS (-19.1 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-28 ATS (-16.8 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MILWAUKEE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MILWAUKEE is 1-14 ATS (-14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MILWAUKEE is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 80-58 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 4-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (32 - 13) at NEW YORK (19 - 27) - 2/1/2014, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 55-33 ATS (+18.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in a road game where where the total is between 200 and 204.5 points over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-6 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
9 of 12 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (15 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (33 - 13) - 2/1/2014, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 7-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (21 - 27) at PHOENIX (28 - 18) - 2/1/2014, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 4-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (25 - 21) at PORTLAND (33 - 13) - 2/1/2014, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games this season.
PORTLAND is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-1 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (16 - 30) at LA CLIPPERS (33 - 16) - 2/1/2014, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 7-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Saturday, February 1

Brooklyn at Indiana, 7:05 ET
Brooklyn: 22-39 ATS (-20.9 Units) when the total is between 180 and 189.5 points
Indiana: 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a home favorite

Oklahoma City at Washington, 7:05 ET
Oklahoma City: 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games
Washington: 33-53 ATS (-25.3 Units) in home games after 2 consecutive non-conference games

Philadelphia at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Philadelphia: 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog
Detroit: 12-2 OVER (+9.8 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games

Minnesota at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Minnesota: 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses
Atlanta: 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread

Cleveland at Houston, 8:05 ET
Cleveland: n/a
Houston: n/a

Chicago at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Chicago: 25-45 ATS (-24.5 Units) as a favorite
New Orleans: 37-22 UNDER (+12.8 Units) as a home underdog

Milwaukee at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Milwaukee: 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in non-conference games
Memphis: 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games off a road win

Miami at NY Knicks, 8:35 ET
Miami: 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 200
NY Knicks: 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) as an underdog

Sacramento at San Antonio, 8:35 ET
Sacramento: n/a
San Antonio: n/a

Charlotte at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Charlotte: n/a
Phoenix: n/a

Toronto at Portland, 10:05 ET
Toronto: 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog
Portland: 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points

Utah at LA Clippers, 10:35 ET
Utah: n/a
LA Clippers: n/a

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Miami at New York
The Knicks host Miami tonight coming off a 117-86 win over Cleveland and carrying a 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game. New York is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Knicks favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 1

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 117.472; Indiana 129.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 12 1/2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 10 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-10 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Oklahoma City at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 128.276; Washington 119.701
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 8 1/2; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Over

Game 505-506: Philadelphia at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 109.565; Detroit 115.275
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5 1/2; 222
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 8 1/2; 215
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+8 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Minnesota at Atlanta (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 124.111; Atlanta 118.843
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 5 1/2; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Cleveland at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 110.121; Houston 124.266
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 14; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 11 1/2; 207
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-11 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Chicago at New Orleans (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 120.195; New Orleans 116.380
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 4; 176
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 1 1/2; 182 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-1 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: Milwaukee at Memphis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 108.585; Memphis 118.620
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 10; 175
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 13; 182
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+13);

Game 515-516: Miami at New York (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 118.831; New York 123.083
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Sacramento at San Antonio (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.401; San Antonio 129.726
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 14 1/2; 213
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 10; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-10); Over

Game 519-520: Charlotte at Phoenix (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 112.458; Phoenix 125.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 13; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 8 1/2; 204 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-8 1/2); Under

Game 521-522: Toronto at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 120.461; Portland 123.222
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 3; 209
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Utah at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 115.868; LA Clippers 129.439
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 13 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 11 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-11 1/2); Under

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Friday, January 31

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Heat at Knicks: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Miami Heat at New York Knicks (+5, 202)

Miami is coming off a rare beatdown and New York is thriving with a four-game winning streak as the teams face off at Madison Square Garden on Saturday. Miami suffered a 112-95 loss to the Oklahoma City on Wednesday – the worst home loss since LeBron James joined the club – and is scuffling along with a 5-5 mark over the past three weeks that began with a loss in New York on Jan. 9. The Knicks have won four straight games, three of them by 26 or more points.

New York routed the Cleveland Cavaliers 117-86 on Thursday as Carmelo Anthony scored 29 points for his 10th consecutive 20-point outing. Anthony also became the 50th player in NBA history to top 19,000 career points and had a solid all-around showing (29 points, eight rebounds and five assists) in the recent win over the Heat. Miami is three games behind the Indiana Pacers in the Eastern Conference race and coach Erik Spoelstra is aware the Heat can get better. “We have some work to do,” Spoelstra said. “We’re like everybody else in the league. Nobody is infallible. We have some things to improve on. We know the things we have to improve on. We’re not there yet.”

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, Sun Sports (Miami), MSG (New York)

ABOUT THE HEAT (32-13): Forward Chris Bosh is heading to his ninth All-Star Game while thriving as the third option to stars LeBron James and Dwyane Wade. “It’s still a big deal for me,” Bosh told reporters. “Every year, it’s a question mark for me to be honest with you. I have to play a different role and I have to play well in that role. And it’s changed every year that I’ve been here. I still find a way to kind of get it done. It’s a good feeling.” Bosh’s season average is 16.9 but he has topped 20 points in six of the last eight games.

ABOUT THE KNICKS (19-27): Rookie guard Tim Hardaway Jr. scored a season-best 29 points in the win over the Cavaliers and tied a franchise rookie mark with six 3-pointers. Hardaway is averaging 21 points over the last three games while going 23-of-39 from the field, including 12-of-21 from 3-point range. “I knew that if I could shoot the ball very, very well at the next level, then I should be able to help the team out,” Hardaway said afterward. Hardaway is averaging 9.1 points and shooting 47 percent from the field.

TRENDS:

* Under is 8-0 in the last eight meetings in New York.
* Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Knicks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
* Over is 12-5 in Heat last 17 vs. Eastern Conference.

BUZZER BEATERS:

1. The Knicks have won four of the last five meetings.

2. New York G Iman Shumpert (shoulder) is questionable and missed the game against Cleveland.

3. Miami is just 7-12 when allowing 100 or more points.

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday, February 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brooklyn - 7:00 PM ET Brooklyn +11.5 500 *****
Indiana - Under 190.5 500

Oklahoma City - 7:00 PM ET Washington +4.5 500 *****
Washington - Over 201 500

Minnesota - 7:30 PM ET Minnesota +3 500
Atlanta - Over 207.5 500

Philadelphia - 7:30 PM ET Detroit -8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 215 500 DOUBLE PLAY

Cleveland - 8:00 PM ET Houston -11 500
Houston - Over 206.5 500

Milwaukee - 8:00 PM ET Memphis -12.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Memphis - Under 180.5 500

Chicago - 8:00 PM ET Chicago +1 500
New Orleans - Under 182.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY

Sacramento - 8:30 PM ET San Antonio -10 500
San Antonio - Under 205.5 500

Miami - 8:30 PM ET New York +5 500 *****
New York - Under 201 500

Charlotte - 9:00 PM ET Phoenix -8.5 500
Phoenix - Over 204.5 500

Toronto - 10:00 PM ET Toronto +7.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland - Under 205.5 500

Utah - 10:30 PM ET Utah +13 500
L.A. Clippers - Over 206 500 *****

 

[vegasguy4455]

Hey Cnotes. Which one is your GOY?

 

[CNOTES]

I will annouce when the GOY will be.....its wasn't today....but will be in the month of Feb........

 

[CNOTES]

Super Bowl seconds: A cheet sheet for Sunday's other games

Contrary to popular belief, the Super Bowl isn't the only sporting event taking place Sunday. Maybe you aren't an NFL fan or perhaps you simply want to mix in some wagers from some of Sunday's other sporting events.

Whatever the case, we've got you covered with a comprehensive betting cheat sheet from the rest of the sports world.

NBA: Orlando Magic at Boston Celtics (-5, 191.5)

The Orlando Magic look to win back-to-back games for the first time since late December when they visit the struggling Boston Celtics on Sunday afternoon. The Magic recorded a 113-102 victory over Milwaukee on Friday and will try to end a 10-game losing streak on the road, where they are an NBA-worst 3-21.

Boston is only 3-19 since Dec. 16 and has not won in the six games All Star guard Rajon Rondo has played since his return from knee surgery. The Celtics could get second-leading scorer Avery Bradley back from an ankle injury as they attempt to snap out of a funk which saw them drop near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

TRENDS:

* Magic are 1-5-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in Boston.
* Magic are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
* Celtics are 0-4 ATS in their last four home games.
* Under is 7-1 in Celtics last eight home games.


NHL: Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals (-130, 5.5)

After welcoming the returns of captain Henrik Zetterberg (back) and Howard (knee) on Friday, Detroit now turns its undivided attention to the long-term absence of Pavel Datsyuk. "I don't know," coach Mike Babcock told MLive.com when asked if the Russian superstar was close to returning. "I'm just like (the reporters). I just keep asking." Datsyuk has been sidelined since the Winter Classic on New Year's Day.

Joel Ward was credited with the game-tying goal with seven seconds left in regulation after deflecting captain Alex Ovechkin's blast. Washington is not without its own injury concerns as Brooks Laich exited Friday's tilt with tightness in his groin. Laich did not practice on Saturday and is questionable to face the Red Wings.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Red Wings are 1-6 in their last seven games following a win.
* Capitals are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Eastern Conference.
* Under is 4-0 in Capitals last four home games.


NHL: Winnipeg Jets at Montreal Canadiens (-141, 5.5)

Eric O’Dell missed Friday’s game for the birth of his first child but will return to the lineup Sunday. Devin Setoguchi scored twice on Friday after recording one point in his previous 13 contests. Evander Kane has missed two games with a hand infection and is not expected to return before the Olympic break.

A flu bug is sweeping through Montreal’s locker room, infecting players like Louis Leblanc, Brandon Prust and Michael Bournival. David Desharnais finished January with six points in eight games playing on a line with Max Pacioretty and Brendan Gallagher. Daniel Briere has three points in his last two games despite being limited to 16:20 total ice-time in that span.

TRENDS:

* Jets are 0-6 in the last six meetings.
* Jets are 7-2 in their last nine overall.
* Canadiens are 12-5 in their last 17 games playing on 0 days rest.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Canadiens last five home games.


NCAAB: South Florida Bulls at Cincinnati Bearcats (-14.5)

The Bulls are among the worst 3-point shooting teams in the nation as they shoot 26.2 percent as a group with only injured point guard Anthony Collins (38.9 percent) making more than a third of his attempts. Leading scorer Victor Rudd (14.7 points) has been particularly awful from behind the arc of late, knocking down just two of his 17 attempts over the last five games. If South Florida is going to have any shot to win this game, Heath needs more production out of Corey Allen Jr., who scored 18 points against SMU to bounce back from four straight poor outings, including a scoreless effort in the first matchup with the Bearcats.

Sean Kilpatrick, a 6-4 guard, has scored in double figures in 21 of the Bearcats' 22 games and has made multiple 3-pointers in each of the last five contests. Rubles is a stark contrast to Kilpatrick, not attempting a 3-pointer all season but rather doing his damage in the paint to the tune of 7.4 points and 6.4 boards. Jackson, who has battled through an ankle injury this week, hopes to duplicate his all-around effort against Louisville - 11 points, nine rebounds, three assists, two steals and two blocks.

TRENDS:

* Bulls are 7-1 ATS in the last eight meetings in Cincinnati.
* Bearcats are 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games.
* Under is 39-13-1 in Bulls last 53 games following a ATS win.
* Under is 42-12 in Bearcats last 54 overall.


NCAAB: Virginia Cavaliers at Pittsburgh Panthers (-4)

The Cavaliers don’t have a player averaging 12 points or better but sophomore guard Malcolm Brogdon has surpassed his current team-leading scorer average (11.6) in the last seven games and has reached double figures in a season-high eight straight overall. Brogdon hasn’t just been scoring lately either, producing a season-best five steals while matching his highs of seven rebounds and six assists in Tuesday’s 15-point win against Notre Dame. Brogdon is also a combined 6-for-9 from 3-point range in the last two games.

Malcolm Brogdon will likely be matched against the Panthers’ best player, 6-5 small forward Lamar Patterson, unless Pittsburgh chooses to use a bigger body with 6-8 forward Akil Mitchell. Patterson has reached double figures in scoring in 19 consecutive games and is averaging a team-high 17.7 points, which ranks fourth in the conference. Talib Zanna had been a quality second option for the Panthers, reaching double figures in all eight conference games.

TRENDS:

* Cavaliers are 8-0 ATS in their last eight games overall.
* Panthers are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Under is 19-9 in Cavaliers last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Over is 16-5 in Panthers last 21 overall.


NCAAB: Michigan Wolverines at Indiana Hoosiers (+2)

The Wolverines have not lost since Dec. 14 - a two-point heartbreaker against No. 1 Arizona - but coach John Beilein still was not thrilled after Thursday's 75-66 win over Purdue. "The one thing I've learned first as a coach is that the only thing that can be really consistent is your defense, and it's not, and we're working on it," Beilein told reporters. "But if (the offensive consistency) keeps happening, I'll be happy as hell."

Hoosiers coach Tom Crean was not thrilled with freshman Noah Vonleh, who had as many turnovers (five) as shots attempted against Nebraska. “He had a tough night,” Crean told reporters after Thursday's 60-55 defeat. “He was out there, he worked hard. He wasn’t as emphatic and decisive with the ball as he needed to be. He got the ball, but it was one of those nights. He’s 18.” Vonleh is averaging 11.8 points, 9.3 rebounds and 1.2 blocks on the season, although he has just 11 combined points over the last two games.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-0 in the last six meetings in Indiana.
* Wolverines are 5-16-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings.
* Hoosiers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven home games.
* Wolverines are 4-1 ATS in their last five vs. Big Ten.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Dunkel

Orlando at Boston
The Celtics look to snap a four-game losing streak against an Orlando team that is 1-10 ATS in its last 11 road games. Boston is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, FEBRUARY 2

Game 801-802: Orlando at Boston (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 108.117; Boston 116.351
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 8; 186
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5; 191 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-5); Under




NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, February 2

Hot teams
-- None

Cold Teams
-- Boston lost seven of last eight games, are 9-14-1 vs spread at home. Magic lost five of last seven games, are 9-15 vs spread on road.

Series records
-- Celtics won ten of their last eleven games with Orlando.

Totals
-- 18 of 24 Orlando road games stayed under the total.

Back to backs
-- None




NBA

Sunday, February 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. BOSTON
Orlando is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Orlando is 5-13 ATS in its last 18 games
Boston is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Boston is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing Orlando

 

[CNOTES]

FEBRUARY'S RECORD:

2 - 2 *****

1 - 2 DOUBLE PLAY

2 - 0 TRIPLE PLAY

Sunday, February 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Orlando - 1:00 PM ET Orlando +6 500 *****

Boston - Under 191.5 500 *****

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Monday

February 3, 2014


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Pacers are 11-0 ATS (10.23 ppg) since May 17, 2012 at home after a game in which they had more turnovers than assists but no more than 25 turnovers.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Heat are 0-11 OU (-12.27 ppg) since Dec 04, 2010 at home with at least one day of rest after a double digit win on the road in which they shot at least 50% from the field.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Mavericks are 0-10 OU (-11.60 ppg) since Jun 07, 2011 after Dirk Nowitzki scored at least 30 points at home.

CHOICE TREND:

-- The Nets are 13-0-1 OU (9.46 ppg) since Feb 01, 2013 at home after Joe Johnson was not the Nets’ high scorer in a loss.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Bulls are 0-8 ATS (-9.56 ppg) since Mar 07, 2012 on the road after Carlos Boozer scored fewer than 10 points.

-- The Spurs are 0-9-1 ATS (-12.95 ppg) since Mar 08, 2013 after Boris Diaw shot better than 66% from the field in a home win.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday Tips

February 2, 2014


Blazers at Wizards - 7:05 PM EST

Portland: 34-13 SU, 25-22 ATS
Washington: 23-23 SU, 25-21 ATS

The Wizards found a way to slow down the Thunder on Saturday night and snap Oklahoma City's 10-game winning streak. Washington picked up a 96-81 victory over OKC as five-point underdogs to cover its third straight game against a top-tier Western Conference opponent. However, the Wizards haven't covered consecutive games at the Verizon Center in two months, while posting a 2-8 ATS record the last 10 home contests.

Portland failed to cover in Saturday's 106-103 home victory over Toronto as seven-point favorites, as the Blazers led by as many as 19 points. Terry Stotts' club has struggled against the number of late, cashing just once in the last seven games, while putting together a 3-6 SU/ATS record the past seven road contests. The Blazers have dominated Eastern Conference foes on the highway, going 7-0 SU and 5-2 ATS this season.

Grizzlies at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST

Memphis: 26-20 SU, 22-23-1 ATS
Oklahoma City: 38-11 SU, 29-20 ATS

The Grizzlies keep winning and improving their playoff positioning by the day after grabbing their sixth consecutive victory on Saturday against the Bucks. Memphis didn't cash as 12 ½-point favorites, but the Grizzlies have limited each team during this hot streak to 90 points or less. The 'under' stretch for Memphis is on an unbelievable run, going 9-1 the last 10 games, with the lone 'over' coming against Milwaukee.

This defensive change came about when Marc Gasol returned to the Memphis lineup on January 14 in a 90-87 home victory over Oklahoma City. Following that defeat, the Thunder ran off 10 consecutive wins, but that streak ended in Saturday's loss at Washington. OKC has compiled a 9-2 ATS record since the loss at Memphis, while returning home after playing six of its last seven games on the highway.

Spurs at Pelicans - 8:05 PM EST

San Antonio: 34-13 SU, 22-25 ATS
New Orleans: 20-26 SU, 21-23-2 ATS

The Spurs have hit a rough spot of late, losing three of their past four games, as San Antonio needed a late rally to escape past Sacramento on Saturday. Gregg Popovich's team edged the Kings, 95-93, but couldn't cash as 10 ½-point home favorites, the fourth straight ATS defeat for the Spurs. San Antonio has beaten New Orleans twice this season, including a 101-95 victory in the Big Easy last month, but the Pelicans have covered five straight home meetings.

The Pelicans have looked good recently, winning five of their last seven games, including Saturday's wire-to-wire victory over the Bulls. Since failing to cover six straight contests to start January, New Orleans has cashed in eight of the last 11 games, including a 4-2 ATS record at home. However, the Pelicans have lost three of their last four games off a home victory, while putting together a 5-1-1 mark to the 'under' the past seven home contests.

Clippers at Nuggets - 9:05 PM EST

Los Angeles: 34-16 SU, 29-21 ATS
Denver: 22-23 SU, 21-24 ATS

The Clippers continue to win with Chris Paul out of the lineup, posting an 11-4 record in the 15 games without the All-Star point guard. Los Angeles owns a 5-3 SU/ATS the last eight games away from Staples Center, but has lost four of the past five road contests against Western Conference competition. The offense has topped the 100-point mark in 11 of 15 games without Paul, while scoring below 92 points in all four losses.

The Nuggets are expected to get point guard Ty Lawson back on Monday night after missing the last two games with a shoulder injury. Denver could have used Lawson, as the Nuggets are coming off consecutive home defeats to Charlotte and Toronto. Brian Shaw's club averaged 94 points per game in those losses following 13 straight games scoring at least 100 points. The last time the Nuggets faced the Clippers back in December, Los Angeles dominated Denver, 112-91 as 8 ½-point home favorites.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 3

Hot teams
-- Washington won four of last six home games, covered four of its last five games overall.
-- Miami won four of last five games, covered two of last six. Pistons won last two games by 16-17 points, after losing previous four games.
-- Knicks won/covered four of their last five games.
-- New Orleans won four of its last five games.
-- Memphis won its last six games (5-1 vs spread). Thunder won ten of their last eleven games.
-- Clippers won five of their last six games.
-- Raptors won five of their last seven games.
-- Chicago won three of its last four road games.

Cold Teams
-- Indiana split its last six games (1-5 vs spread). Magic lost six of their last eight games (1-4 last five vs spread).
-- Portland lost its last three road games by 13-18-15 points.
-- 76ers won/covered once in their last six games. Brooklyn lost its last three games, two by one point.
-- Bucks lost their last six games (1-5 vs spread).
-- Spurs are 3-5 in last eight games (2-8 vs spread last ten).
-- Mavericks are 4-5 SU in last nine games. Cleveland won/covered once in its last seven games.
-- Nuggets lost five of their last seven games.
-- Jazz lost four of their last six games.
-- Kings lost their last seven games (3-3-1 vs spread).

Series records
-- Pacers won six of last seven games with Orlando.
-- Wizards won three of last four games with Portland.
-- 76ers lost last three visits to Brooklyn by 3-21-36 points.
-- Heat won 10 of last 12 games with Detroit (5-6 vs spread last 11).
-- Knicks won their last seven games with Milwaukee.
-- Spurs won nine of last ten games with New Orleans.
-- Grizzlies won five of last six games with Oklahoma City.
-- Mavericks won five of last six games with Cleveland.
-- Clippers won seven of last ten games with Denver.
-- Jazz won eight of last ten games with Toronto
-- Bulls won eight of their last ten games with Sacramento.

Totals
-- Four of last five Orlando games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Portland games.
-- Four of last five Philly road games stayed under; four of Brooklyn's last five games went over.
-- Five of last seven Miami games went over the total.
-- Five of last six New York games went over the total.
-- Four of last five San Antonio games stayed under.
-- Nine of last ten Memphis games stayed under total; three of last four Thunder games went over.
-- Six of last seven Cleveland games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Clipper games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Utah's last six home games.
-- Last four Chicago games stayed under the total.

Back to backs
-- Orlando is 3-4 vs spread on road if it played the night before.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, February 3

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. INDIANA
Orlando is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Orlando is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Indiana's last 10 games
Indiana is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games

7:00 PM
PORTLAND vs. WASHINGTON
Portland is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington
Portland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
Washington is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Portland
Washington is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:30 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
Philadelphia is 6-17 SU in its last 23 games on the road
Brooklyn is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

7:30 PM
DETROIT vs. MIAMI
Detroit is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Detroit is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Miami is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Miami is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

8:00 PM
NEW YORK vs. MILWAUKEE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
MEMPHIS vs. OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Memphis's last 17 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. NEW ORLEANS
San Antonio is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 13 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games

8:30 PM
CLEVELAND vs. DALLAS
Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Dallas is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games at home

9:00 PM
LA CLIPPERS vs. DENVER
LA Clippers are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
Denver is 3-7 SU in their last 10 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 15 games when playing LA Clippers

9:00 PM
TORONTO vs. UTAH
Toronto is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Toronto is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. SACRAMENTO
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Sacramento is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
Sacramento is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Chicago

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, February 3

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Away favorites trend still a hot bet
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Over the past seven days, away favorites have posted an 11-3 record against the spread. That equals a great winning percentage of 78.6 percent for bettors.

Monday provides a few opportunities to jump on this spot. The Portland Trail Blazers are 1.5-point faves at the Washington Wizards, the New York Knicks are 6.5-point faves at the Milwaukee Bucks, and the San Antonio Spurs are 4-point faves at the New Orleans Saints.

At the time of writing, there are four games off the board.