CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS OPINIONS BEST BETS AND NEWS !

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 21​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
VILL at XAV	06:30 PM	XAV -4.5 U 147.0	+500 +500
VCU at STJOE	07:00 PM	STJOE +5.5 O 137.0	+500 +500
BAY at KSU	07:00 PM	BAY -1.5 U 148.0	+500 +500
TENN at TAM	07:00 PM	TAM -2.5 O 129.5	+500 +500
MSST at MIZZ	07:00 PM	MIZZ -3.5 U 139.5	+500 +500
SLU at RICH	07:00 PM	RICH +0.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
YSU at RMU	07:00 PM	YSU -4.5 O 143.0	+500 +500
NIU at OHIO	07:00 PM	NIU +11.5 O 149.5	+500 +500
WMU at EMU	07:00 PM	WMU +3.5 O 154.0	+500 +500
KENT at BALL	07:00 PM	KENT -3.5 O 141.0	+500 +500
AKR at TOL	07:00 PM	TOL -4.0 U 148.0	+500 +500
CMU at BUFF	07:00 PM	CMU +11.5 O 146.5	+500 +500
BGSU at M-OH	07:00 PM	M-OH -1.5 U 152.5	+500 +500
MURR at MOSU	07:00 PM	MURR +5.5 O 133.5	+500 +500
GT at PITT	07:00 PM	PITT -12.0 U 136.5	+500 +500
MIA at VT	07:00 PM	VT -2.5 U 154.0	+500 +500
ECU at TLSA	08:00 PM	ECU -2.0 O 144.5	+500 +500
MARQ at CREI	08:30 PM	MARQ +5.5 O 146.5	+500 +500
TTU at OKLA	09:00 PM	TTU +2.5 O 136.5	+500 +500
ISU at TEX	09:00 PM	ISU +7.0 U 136.5	+500 +500
IND at MSU	09:00 PM	MSU -3.0 U 137.0	+500 +500
UGA at ARK	09:00 PM	ARK -13.5 U 142.5	+500 +500
USU at WYO	09:00 PM	USU -6.0 U 146.0	+500 +500
FRES at AFA	09:00 PM	AFA -2.5 O 124.0	+500 +500
SJSU at NEV	10:00 PM	SJSU +9.0 O 134.0	+500 +500
CSU at SDSU	11:00 PM	SDSU -10.5 U 136.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
— Marquette 73, Creighton 71— Marquette won 13 of its last 15 games.
— Texas A&M 68, Tennessee 63— Vols lost five of their last seven games.
— Toledo 84, Akron 63— Rockets have won 12 games in a row.
— Villanova 64, Xavier 63— Musketeers lost three of last four games.
— Richmond 81, Saint Louis 78— Billikens led by 15 in first half.
— Atlanta Hawks fired coach Nate McMillan, who was 99-80 in 2.5 years there.

Thought of the Day
I’d like to wish my dad a happy birthday; he’s been gone for 7+ years now, and he is missed every day. I’m guessing he’s up in heaven, watching the Mets take batting practice. Happy birthday, Dad!!!

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU won national championships in college football, in 2007/2019; what two coaches led those two championship teams?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jack Klugman played a medical examiner in the old TV show Quincy

Monday’s quiz
When Michael Jordan played minor league baseball for the White Sox AA team in 1994, Terry Francona managed the team.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends at the All-Star break

NBA trends (thru All-Star break)

Hawks (29-30):
— won/covered their last six games.
— 3-6 ATS as a road favorite
— 7-3 ATS last ten as a road underdog.
— under 5-1 last six games

Celtics (42-17):
— won last seven games SU (5-2 ATS)
— 5-1 ATS last six games as a home favorite
— over 7-3 last ten home games
— 5-2-2 ATS if they played the night before

Nets (34-24):
— 3-5 SU last eight games.
— 7-3 ATS last 10 as a home favorite
— over 6-2 last eight games
— playing 2nd nite in row: 4-1 ATS on road, 1-4 at home

Hornets (17-43):
— 4-2 ATS last six home games.
— 1-6 ATS last seven road games.
— under 4-1 last five road games
— 0-8 ATS first night of a back/back

Bulls (26-33)
— 0-6 SU/ATS in last six games.
— 9-7 ATS home favorite; 2-6 ATS road favorite.
— under 8-2 last ten games
— 7-4 ATS first night of a back/back

Cavaliers (38-23):
— 7-1 SU/6-2 ATS last eight games.
— 7-2 ATS last nine games as a favorite.
— 4-7 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 5-2 last seven road games

Mavericks (31-29):
— 0-3 SU/ATS last three games.
— 0-5-1 ATS last six as home favorites.
— 4-10 ATS as road favorites.
— over 5-1 last six road games

Nuggets (41-18):
—won/covered four of last five games.
— 15-0 SU/12-2-1 ATS last 15 games as home favorites
— 4-10 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Pistons (15-44):
— 2-7 SU/4-5 ATS last nine games.
— 2-7 ATS last nine home games
— over 9-3 in their last dozen road games.
— 5-2-1 ATS on second night of a back/back

Warriors (29-29):
— lost three of last fouir games SU
— 3-9 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite
— 4-9 ATS as road favorite.
— over 17-2 last 19 road games.

Rockets (13-45):
— 0-7 SU/3-4 ATS in last seven games
— 2-11 ATS last thirteen road games
— over 5-2 last seven games
— 2-5 ATS if they played the night before

Pacers (26-34):
— 1-5 SU/2-4 ATS last six games
— 1-8 ATS last nine as a road underdog
— under 5-1 last six home games
— 6-3 ATS first night of a back/back

Clippers (33-28):
— 1-3 SU/ATS in their last four games
— 8-4 ATS last 12 games as a home favorite.
— 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
— under 22-7-1 in Staples Center.

Lakers (27-32):
— lost four of last six games SU.
— 6-1-1 ATS last eight games as road underdogs.
— 5-3 ATS second night of a back/back
— over 12-7 last 19 road games

Grizzlies (35-22):
— won three of last four games SU.
— 3-7 ATS last 10 games as a favorite.
— under 5-1 last six road games
— 1-3 ATS on road, 3-1 ATS at home if they played night before.

Heat (32-27):
— 3-4 SU/1-6 ATS in last seven games.
— 4-10-1 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
— 6-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight home games.

Bucks (41-17):
— 12-0 SU/8-4 ATS last 12 games
— 7-0 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
— 2-7-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 14-5 last 19 home games.

Timberwolves (31-30)
— 4-5 last nine games SU.
— 4-9 ATS last 13 games as a home favorite.
— 6-3 ATS last nine games as a road underdog.
— under 6-2 last eight home games

Pelicans (30-29):
— 4-2 SU in their last six games.
— 10-5 ATS last 15 games as home favorite.
— 3-11-1 ATS last 15 games as a road underdog.
— 3-6 ATS if they played the night before.

Knicks (33-27):
— 5-1 SU/ATS last six games
— 6-1-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— 12-8 ATS as a road underdog.
— over 5-2 last seven road games

Thunder (28-29):
— 4-2 SU/ATS last six games.
— 7-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— 8-1 ATS last nine as a road underdog.
— over 8-3 last 11 road games

Magic (24-35):
— 5-4 SU/ATS last nine games.
— 16-9 ATS as home underdog
— 5-2 ATS last seven as a road underdog
— under 5-2 last seven road games.

76ers (38-19):
— won/covered six of their last eight games.
— 5-1 ATS last six games as a home favorite.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— back-to-backs: 6-2 ATS first night, 6-2 ATS 2nd night

Suns (32-28):
— 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS last seven games
— 2-5 ATS as a home underdog, 7-9 as a road dog.
— 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— under 9-3-1 last thirteen home games

Trailblazers (28-30):
— 2-4 SU/ATS last six games
— 2-10 ATS last dozen games as underdogs.
— 3-8 ATS last 11 games as road underdogs.
— over 6-3 last nine home games

Kings (32-25):
— 6-7 ATS their last 13 games
— 1-4 ATS last five as a home favorite.
— 8-5 ATS as a road favorite.
— five of their last six games went over.

Spurs (14-45):
— 0-14 SU/2-12 ATS last 14 games
— 1-8 ATS last nine road games.
— under 7-2 last nine games
— 3-6 ATS if they played the night before.

Raptors (28-31):
— 5-1 SU/3-3 ATS last six games.
— 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite
— 1-7-1 ATS as a road favorite.
— over 9-3-1 last 13 road games

Jazz (29-31):
— 2-5 SU/3-4 ATS last seven games.
— 3-7 ATS last 10 games as a home favorite.
— 5-2 ATS last seven games as a road underdog.
— over 17-6 last 23 road games

Wizards (28-30):
— won/covered four of last five games.
— 4-1 ATS last five games as a home favorite.
— 7-2 ATS last nine road games.
— over 7-3 last ten home games.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 22

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 22

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 22

13 of Wednesday’s best college hoop games

Providence @ UConn
— Providence (20-7, 12-4) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #176
— Experience: #116
— Continuity: #288
— Providence won six of its last eight games.
— Providence is 4-4 SU/3-1 ATS as Big East road underdogs.
— Friars are getting 21.4% of their points on foul line (#37)
— Providence is #13 team on offensive boards, #45 on defensive end.
— Friars have #68 eFG% defense in country.
— Providence’s schedule, to this point: #80
— bench minutes: #251
— Providence’s best win: 73-61 over #6 UConn

— UConn (20-7, 9-7) ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #197
— Experience: #120
— Continuity: #252
— UConn won four of its last five games.
— Huskies are 6-2 SU/3-5 ATS as a Big East home favorite.
— UConn has #9 eFG% defense in country.
— UConn is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Huskies are 1-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— UConn’s schedule, to this point: #38
— bench minutes: #192
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #2 Alabama

— Providence (+5) beat UConn 73-61 at home January 4th.
— Since re-joining Big East, Huskies are 1-3 vs Providence.
— Big East home favorites of 7+ points are 17-15 ATS

Temple @ Cincinnati
— Temple (15-13, 9-6) ranked #115 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #52
— Temple lost four of its last five games.
— Temple is 5-2 SU/5-0 ATS as an AAC road underdog.
— Temple is turning ball over 20.3% of time (#301)
— Owls are #236 team on defensive boards.
— Owls are 8-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Temple’s schedule, to this point: #95
— bench minutes: #314
— Temple’s best win: 56-55 at #1 Houston

— Cincinnati (18-10, 9-6) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #122
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #67
— Cincinnati won four of its last six games.
— Cincinnati is 5-2 SU/5-1 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Bearcats have #59 eFG% defense.
— Bearcats get only 14.1% of points on foul line (#350)
— Cincinnati is 14-3 against teams ranked outside top 100.
— Cincinnati’s schedule, to this point: #98
— bench minutes: #224
— Cincinnati’s best wins: 73-64/73-71 over #56 UCF.

— Temple (+3.5) beat Cincinnati 70-61 at home New Year’s Day
— Owls won last three meetings, after Cincy won previous nine meetings.
— Temple lost four of last five visits to Cincinnati.
— AAC home favorites of 8 or less points are 9-17 ATS

Syracuse @ Clemson
— Syracuse (16-11, 9-7) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #216
— Syracuse won three of its last four games.
— Syracuse is 5-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Orange are #346 team on defensive boards.
— Syracuse is shooting 35.8% on arc (#85)
— Orange are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #106
— bench minutes: #178
— Syracuse’s best win: 75-72 over #43 NC State

— Clemson (19-8, 11-5) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #144
— Experience: #181
— Continuity: #146
— Clemson lost four of its last five games.
— Tigers are 7-1 SU/4-2-1 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Clemson has #53 eFG% in country.
— Tigers have #50 eFG% defense in country
— Clemson is #27 team on defensive boards.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #96
— Clemson’s best win: 72-64 over #36 Duke

— Clemson won three of last four series games.
— Syracuse lost last three games in Littlejohn, by 12-1-17 points.
— ACC home favorites of 4 or less points are 12-8 ATS.

Kentucky @ Florida
— Kentucky (18-9, 9-5) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #207
— Kentucky won eight of its last 11 games.
— Wildcats are 4-3 SU/2-2 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Kentucky is 8-7 against top 100 teams.
— Wildcats are #3 team in country on offensive boards.
— Kentucky is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #216
— Kentucky’s best wins: 63-56/66-54 over #5 Tennessee

— Florida (14-13, 7-7) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #226
— Florida lost five of its last seven games.
— Gators are 5-2 SU/1-0 ATS as an SEC home underdog.
— Florida is 4-6 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Florida has #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Gators have #244 eFG% in country.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #76
— Florida’s best win: 67-54 over over #5 Tennessee

— Kentucky (-5.5) beat Florida 72-67 February 4th.
— Kentucky won eight of last nine series games.
— Wildcats won their last four visits to Gainesville.
— SEC home underdogs of 4 or less points are 4-8 ATS.

Samford @ Chattanooga
— Samford (20-9, 14-2) ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #158
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #102
— Samford won 14 of its last 16 games.
— Samford is 6-2 SU/4-2 ATS as a SoCon road favorite.
— Bulldogs have #36 eFG% in country, #222 eFG% defense.
— Samford is getting 21.7% of its points on foul line (#30)
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 20% of time (#86).
— Samford’s schedule, to this point: #288
— bench minutes: #43
— Samford’s best wins: 70-68/83-71 over #110 NC-Greensboro

— Chattanooga (15-14, 7-9) ranked #191 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #39
— Continuity: #309
— Chattanooga won three of its last four games SU.
— Mocs are 5-4 SU in SoCon home games.
— Chattanooga is 2-4 ATS as a SoCon underdog.
— Mocs are shooting 37.7% on arc (#20)
— Chattanooga gets 45.9% of its points on the arc (#1)
— Chattanooga’s schedule, to this point: #230
— bench minutes: #70
— Chattanooga’s best wins: 82-73 at #123 Middle Tennessee.

— Samford (-2) beat Chattanooga 75-74 at home January 14th.
— Chattanooga led by 19 with 14:46 left in game.
— Mocs won eight of last eleven series games.
— Samford lost its last 12 visits to Chattanooga.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 4-7 ATS.

Southern Mississippi @ Old Dominion
— Southern Miss (24-5, 13-3) ranked #94 by KenPom
— Tempo: #136
— Experience: #55
— Continuity: #250
— Southern Miss won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Eagles are 7-0 SU/2-2 ATS as a Sun Belt road favorite.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 20% of time (#83)
— Southern Miss has #47 eFG% defense in country.
— Southern Miss is shooting 32.8% on arc (#237), 52.9% inside arc (#70)
— Southern Miss’ schedule, to this point: #201
— bench minutes: #248
— Southern Miss’ best win: 76-72 at #47 Liberty

— Old Dominion (17-11, 9-7) ranked #162 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #282
— Old Dominion won six of its last eight games.
— Old Dominion is 3-4 SU/ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— Monarchs have #322 eFG% in country.
— Monarchs are #231 team in country on defensive boards.
— Old Dominion is getting 20.7% of points on foul line (#53)
— Old Dominion’s schedule, to this point: #171
— bench minutes: #112
— Old Dominion’s best win: 82-77 over #89 Furman

— This is teams’ first meeting as Sun Belt rivals.
— Sun Belt underdogs of 3 or less points are 9-11 ATS

Marshall @ James Madison
— Marshall (19-8, 11-3) ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #35
— Continuity: #145
— Marshall won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Marshall is 5-2 SU/0-1 ATS as a MAC road underdog.
— Herd is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#30)
— Herd has #53 eFG% defense.
— Marshall is #336 team on defensive boards.
— Marshall’s schedule, to this point: #226
— bench minutes: #292
— Marshall’s best win: 100-85 over #93 Toledo.

— James Madison (20-9, 11-5) ranked #97 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #35
— James Madison won nine of its last 11 games
— James Madison is 4-3 SU/ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— James Madison forces turnovers 22.5% of time (#21)
— Dukes are getting 21.3% of points on foul line (#38)
— Dukes are 7-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— James Madison’s schedule, to this point: #196
— bench minutes: #16
— James Madison’s best win: 72-66 at #78 Marshall

— JMU (+4.5) won 72-66 at Marshall New Year’s Eve.
— That was teams’ first meeting as Sun Belt rivals.
— Sun Belt home teams are 24-18 ATS, in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Indiana State @ Belmont
— Indiana State (20-9, 13-5) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #208
— Continuity: #93
— Indiana State won/covered its last seven games.
— Sycamores are 6-3 SU/2-1 ATS as an MVC road underdog.
— Sycamores are shooting 59% inside arc (#3)
— Indiana State is #10 team in country on defensive boards.
— Indiana State has #51 eFG% defense.
— Indiana State’s schedule, to this point: #299
— bench minutes: #55
— Indiana State’s best win: 75-73 over #77 Drake

— Belmont (19-10, 12-6) ranked #128 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #173
— Continuity: #266
— Belmont lost four of its last seven games
— Bruins are 7-2 SU/6-2 ATS as a MVC home favorite.
— Belmont is shooting 39.2% on arc (#5)
— Belmont is getting 38% of points on the arc (#19)
— Bruins are #284 team on defensive boards.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #182
— Belmont’s best wins: 63-60/78-76 over #80 Bradley

— This is teams’ first meeting as MVC rivals.
— MVC home favorites of 3 or less points are 8-6 ATS

Stephen F Austin @ Abilene Christian
— Stephen F Austin (17-10, 9-5) ranked #129 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #163
— SF Austin is 4-5 in its last nine games.
— Lumberjacks are 3-4 SU in WAC road games.
— SF Austin is turning ball over 21.6% of time (#340)
— SF Austin is forcing turnovers 24.6% of time (#6)
— Lumberjacks are #322 team on defensive boards.
— SF Austin’s schedule, to this point: #165
— bench minutes: #49
— SF Austin’s best win: 75-58 over #110 NC-Greensboro

— Abilene Christian (13-13, 5-8) ranked #179 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #109
— ACU lost its last two games, giving up 94-77 points.
— Wildcats split their six WAC home games.
— Wildcats force turnovers 23.4% of time (#14)
— When foes do get shots, ACU has #359 eFG% defense.
— ACU is 2-9 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— ACU’s schedule, to this point: #118
— bench minutes: #41
— ACU’s best win: 83-68 at #138 Seattle.

— SF Austin (-4.5) beat Abilene Christian 75-68 December 29.
— SF Austin won five of last eight series games.
— WAC home teams are 16-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Tulane @ Houston
— Tulane (17-7, 10-3) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #1
— Tulane won five in row, 10 of last 12 games.
— Tulane is 5-2 SU/2-1 ATS as AAC road underdogs.
— Four of their last six games went to overtime (3-1)
— Last five games, Green Wave scored 88.8 ppg.
— Green Wave is shooting 55.1% inside arc (#23)
— Tulane’s schedule, to this point: #129
— bench minutes: #277
— Tulane’s best wins: 96-89/90-89 OT over #37 Memphis.

— Houston (25-2, 13-1) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #203
— Houston
— Cougars are 6-1 SU/3-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Houston is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#30)
— Houston is forcing turnovers 22.3% of time (#25)
— Cougars are 9-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #99
— bench minutes: #253
— Houston’s best win: 53-48 over #8 Saint Mary’s.

— Houston (-10) won 80-60 at Tulane January 17.
— Cougars won last ten series games.
— Green Wave lost last five visits to Houston, all by 11+ points.
— AAC double digit home favorites are 7-8 ATS

Wake Forest @ NC State
— Wake Forest (17-10, 9-7) ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #51
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #297
— Wake Forest won three of its last four games.
— Deacons are 3-5 SU/3-2 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Wake Forest has #24 eFG% in country, #232 eFG% defense.
— Deacons are #87 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 6-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #310
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over #36 Duke

— NC State (21-7, 11-6) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #46
— Continuity: #237
— NC State won six of its last eight games.
— Wolfpack is 7-1 SU/2-5 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Wolfpack is getting only 15.5% of points on foul line (#320)
— NC State has #81 eFG% defense in country.
— NC State is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #272
— NC State’s best win: 83-81 in OT over #31 Miami.

— NC State (+3.5) won 79-77 at Wake Forest January 28.
— Wolfpack won six of last seven series games.
— Deacons lost last three visits to Raleigh, by 9-20-20 points.
— ACC home favorites of 6 or less points are 17-14 ATS

Iowa @ Wisconsin
— Iowa (17-10, 9-7) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #50
— Iowa won five of its last seven games.
— Hawkeyes lost six of their eight Big 14 road games SU.
— Iowa has #277 eFG% defense in country.
— Hawkeyes are 11-9 against top 100 teams.
— Iowa is 4-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #245
— Iowa’s best win: 75-56 over #19 Iowa State

— Wisconsin (15-11, 7-9) ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #243
— Continuity: #132
— Wisconsin is 4-9 in its last thirteen games.
— Badgers split their eight Big 14 home games SU.
— Wisconsin is shooting 44.9% inside arc (#338), 65.9% on line (#331)
— Wisconsin is #36 team on defensive boards.
— Badgers’ last six games were decided by 5 or less points or in OT.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #294
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 in OT over #11 Marquette

— Wisconsin (+4) won 78-75 in OT at Iowa December 11.
— Teams split their last dozen meetings.
— Teams split their last four meetings in Madison.
— Big 14 home teams are 28-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

New Mexico @ Boise State
— New Mexico (20-7, 7-7) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #27
— Experience: #86
— Continuity: #61
— New Mexico is 2-5 in last seven games, after an 18-2 start.
— Lobos are 2-5 SU/5-2 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— New Mexico forces 2nd-fewest turnovers in country.
— Lobos are #20 team on offensive boards, #18 on defensive end.
— New Mexico is 3-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #92
— bench minutes: #336
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 at #8 Saint Mary’s.

— Boise State (21-6, 11-3) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #184
— Continuity: #106
— Boise State won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Boise State is 7-0 SU/3-4 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Broncos have #29 eFG% defense in country.
— Broncos are #7 team on defensive boards.
— Boise State is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #72
— bench minutes: #348
— Boise State’s best win: 86-71 over #25 Texas A&M

— New Mexico (-3) beat Boise 81-79 in OT January 20.
— Broncos won four of last five series games.
— Lobos lost last four visits to Boise, by 28-13-24-27 points.
— Mountain West home favorites of 6 or less points are 15-13 ATS.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 22

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 22​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
BELL at JAC	05:00 PM	BELL +4.5 O 123.0	+500 +500
BU at ARMY	06:00 PM	ARMY -3.0 U 137.5	+500 +500
UMASS at UMBC	06:00 PM	UMASS -2.5 O 151.0	+500 +500
CHSO at UNCA	06:30 PM	UNCA -10.0 U 146.0	+500 +500
PROV at CONN	06:30 PM	PROV +7.5 O 142.0	+500 +500
USM at ODU	07:00 PM	USM -1.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
MRSH at JMU	07:00 PM	JMU -1.0 U 159.5	+500 +500
APP at GSU	07:00 PM	GSU +1.0 O 129.5	+500 +500
HC at L-MD	07:00 PM	HC +4.5 O 138.0	+500 +500
DAY at MASS	07:00 PM	DAY -8.5 O 137.0	+500 +500
DUQ at LAS	07:00 PM	DUQ -2.0 U 144.0	+500 +500
SBON at DAV	07:00 PM	DAV -6.0 U 136.0	+500 +500
TEM at CIN	07:00 PM	CIN -8.0 U 139.5	+500 +500
GW at URI	07:00 PM	URI -2.5 U 142.5	+500 +500
SAM at CHAT	07:00 PM	SAM -3.0 O 150.5	+500 +500
EKY at UNF	07:00 PM	EKY -2.0 U 158.0	+500 +500
PEAY at STET	07:00 PM	STET -10.5 O 139.5	+500 +500
CAMP at WIN	07:00 PM	WIN -3.5 O 138.5	+500 +500
RAD at HP	07:00 PM	RAD -3.5 U 143.5	+500 +500
LIB at QNC	07:00 PM	LIB -9.5 O 146.0	+500 +500
WOF at VMI	07:00 PM	WOF -9.5 U 144.0	+500 +500
CCU at GASO	07:00 PM	GASO -7.0 U 143.5	+500 +500
NAVY at AMER	07:00 PM	AMER +1.5 O 126.5	+500 +500
BUCK at LEH	07:00 PM	LEH -4.0 U 142.5	+500 +500
COLG at LAF	07:00 PM	COLG -9.0 O 132.5	+500 +500
SYR at CLEM	07:00 PM	SYR +5.0 O 146.0	+500 +500
USF at UCF	07:00 PM	UCF -9.0 U 141.0	+500 +500
KENN at NORAL	07:00 PM	KENN -3.0 O 150.0	+500 +500
MER at FUR	07:00 PM	FUR -13.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
LIP at FGCU	07:00 PM	FGCU -3.0 O 146.0	+500 +500
CIT at ETSU	07:00 PM	ETSU -7.0 U 136.5	+500 +500
MINN at MD	07:00 PM	MINN +15.5 O 130.0	+500 +500
UVA at BC	07:00 PM	UVA -9.0 O 127.0	+500 +500
VAN at LSU	07:00 PM	LSU +2.5 U 140.0	+500 +500
UK at FLA	07:00 PM	UK -2.5 U 139.5	+500 +500
BRAD at VALP	07:00 PM	BRAD -8.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
BING at UVM	07:00 PM	BING +14.0 O 138.5	+500 +500
ME at UNH	07:00 PM	UNH -3.0 U 132.0	+500 +500
WCU at UNCG	07:00 PM	UNCG -11.0 U 138.0	+500 +500
BRY at NJIT	07:00 PM	BRY -6.5 O 151.0	+500 +500
SCUS at PRE	07:00 PM	SCUS -2.0 U 132.5	+500 +500
TROY at ULM	07:30 PM	TROY -5.0 U 132.5	+500 +500
INST at BEL	07:30 PM	BEL -2.0 O 153.0	+500 +500
JVST at CARK	08:00 PM	CARK +2.5 O 148.0	+500 +500
USA at TXST	08:00 PM	TXST +2.5 O 131.0	+500 +500
UIC at EVAN	08:00 PM	UIC -1.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
SFA at ACU	08:00 PM	ACU -1.0 U 149.5	+500 +500
UNI at SIU	08:00 PM	SIU -6.5 U 129.0	+500 +500
ILST at DRKE	08:00 PM	ILST +15.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
MORE at EIU	08:30 PM	MORE -5.5 O 129.0	+500 +500
ARST at ULL	08:30 PM	ULL -14.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
BUT at DEP	08:30 PM	DEP -2.5 U 138.5	+500 +500
FOR at L-IL	09:00 PM	FOR -2.0 U 139.0	+500 +500
SJU at GTWN	09:00 PM	SJU -2.0 O 156.5	+500 +500
UNC at ND	09:00 PM	ND +6.5 O 148.0	+500 +500
IOWA at WIS	09:00 PM	WIS +1.0 U 139.5	+500 +500
WAKE at NCST	09:00 PM	NCST -5.5 U 157.0	+500 +500
MISS at AUB	09:00 PM	AUB -13.0 U 136.0	+500 +500
ALA at SCAR	09:00 PM	SCAR +17.0 O 148.5	+500 +500
TULN at HOU	09:00 PM	TULN +15.0 O 146.5	+500 +500
UNM at BSU	10:30 PM	BSU -6.0 U 147.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/22/2023	54-66-2	45.08%	-9300	Detail
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for baseball:
96— Dodgers
95— Astros, Bronx
94.5— Braves, Mets
93— Padres
92— Blue Jays
90— Cardinals

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to judge me from the outside stuff. A lot of people think what I do is put on a lot of antics and all that extra [stuff]. But reality, when I’m on your team and I’m your teammate, I’m a player and you’re my coach, you get a different vibe: ‘He’d do anything for the team.’”
Chicago Bulls’ G Patrick Beverly

Thursday’s quiz
When was last time a #2-seed lost to a #15-seed in first round of NCAA’s?

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU won national championships in college football, in 2007/2019; Les Miles, Ed Orgeron were the two coaches.

Tuesday’s quiz
Jack Klugman played a medical examiner in the old TV show Quincy

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud………

— Alabama 78, South Carolina 76 OT— Freshman Brandon Miller scored 41 points and pretty much single-handedly won this game, despite being in the news for off-court reasons. Miller made 6-13 shots on the arc; only one other Alabama player scored in double figures.

— Belmont 89, Indiana State 88— Sycamores led by 19 in first half, by 17 at half, by 9 with 3:16 left in game, but they lost. Belmont is now in a 3-way tie for 3rd with Indiana State, Southern Illinois. Two of those three teams are likely to play each other in MVC quarter-finals.

— When you miss a 3-point shot, the rebounds are longer/more scattered than a rebound of the typical 2-point shot. Because of that, one of the most underrated skills in today’s game is getting loose balls— knowing angles, being quick to react, then being tough enough to get the loose ball, even if it means diving on the floor to get it.

It is a little harder to measure that skill, but it is there.

— There is a receiver for the Houston Roughnecks in the XFL, Jontre Kirklin; he caught five passes for 71 yards and a TD last week, and looked good doing it. You figure he is a guy who could get a look in an NFL training camp this summer.

Kirklin was on the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad last year, but was cut before the season started. Turns out he got a DUI and if you’re a practice squad guy, that Is something that will end your employment. Quickly.

Hopefully he learned his lesson and will get another chance.

— In case you were wondering, underdogs covered three of four games in Week 1 of the XFL; three of the four games went over the total.

— Remember the movie Little Big League? The guy who owns the Minnesota Twins (Jason Robards) dies and wills the team to his 12-year old grandson, who winds up naming himself manager of the Twins. Pretty good movie, but not the most realistic one.

Anyway, the mom in that movie (Ashley Crow)…..her son in real life is Pete Crow-Armstrong, an outfield prospect for the Cubs— he hit .312 in A ball last season. The kid got drafted in our fantasy league Wednesday night.

— Last season, major league home runs were hit at the lowest rate since 2015.

— Has anyone ever had Marco’s Pizza? Am seeing lot of commercials for it on TV, but I’ve never seen a Marco’s pizza place. The Interweb indicates their locations are mostly in the midwest, but it looks like there are several in Las Vegas. May have to check one of them out next month.

— Former UCLA/NBA star Marques Johnson posted a video on Twitter this week, showing him dunking on an outdoor hoop…….at age 67. Good for him.

— Elvis Andrus signed a one-year, $3M deal with the White Sox; he is expected to play second base for the first time in his career. This will be Andrus’ 15th year in the big leagues; he hit 17 homers last year, for A’s/White Sox.

— Texas A&M is 11-3 against the spread in SEC games this season; Buzz Williams is a good coach.

— Boston College 63, Virginia 48— Cavaliers are struggling; they shot 32% from floor in this game, after beating Louisville/Notre Dame by 2-3 points in their previous two games.

— Old Dominion 69, Southern Miss 64— Sun Belt is a weird league; teams from Virginia to Louisiana. This is one of the worst shooting conferences; rebounding is very important.

Southern Miss had won nine in a row, but now they’ve lost their last two road games, are tied for first with Marshall.

— Kentucky 82, Florida 74— Kentucky was 10-6 on January 10; nitwits there were calling for Calipari’s head. Wildcats are 9-3 since then; Bracketology has them as an 8-seed now, so they are off the bubble for now. The nitwits have been quiet.

— Boise State 82, New Mexico 77— Broncos won 12 of their last 14 games, are game behind San Diego State atop the Mountain West. New Mexico has lost six of its last eight games, after an 18-2 start; they’re sliding off the bubble.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 23

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 23

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 23

13 of Thursday’s best college hoop games

Penn State @ Ohio State
— Penn State (16-11, 7-9) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #135
— Penn State won its last two games, after a 3-8 skid.
— Penn State is 2-6 SU/2-4 ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— Lions have #7 eFG% in country.
— Penn State gets 11% of its points on foul line, least in country.
— Lions are #20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #299
— Penn State’s best win: 85-66 over #24 Indiana

— Ohio State (11-16, 3-13) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #212
— Experience: #84
— Continuity: #347
— Ohio State lost eight in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Buckeyes are 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Ohio State is shooting 46.1% inside arc in Big 14 tilts (#14 of 14)
— Ohio State is #14 team in Big 14 games on defensive boards.
— Last four games, Buckeyes scored 58.5 ppg.
— Ohio State’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #142
— Ohio State’s best win: 67-66 over #27 Rutgers

— Ohio State won six of last eight series games.
— Penn State lost its last four visits to Columbus.
— Big 14 home teams are 29-12 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Memphis @ Wichita State
— Memphis (20-7, 10-4) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #272
— Memphis won eight of its last ten games.
— Memphis is 4-3 SU/1-2-1 ATS as an AAC road favorite.
— Memphis is forcing turnovers 21% of time (#48)
— Tigers are #307 team on defensive boards.
— Tigers have #63 eFG%, #45 eFG% defense.
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #43
— Memphis’ best win: 82-73 over #22 Auburn.

— Wichita State (14-12, 7-7) ranked #113 by KenPom
— Tempo: #237
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #321
— Wichita won three of its last four games.
— Wichita is 2-5 SU/1-1 ATS as an AAC home underdog.
— Shockers have #24 eFG% defense.
— Shockers are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#54), 29.7% on arc (#345)
— Wichita is 1-10 against teams ranked in top 100.
— Wichita’s schedule, to this point: #113
— bench minutes: #199
— Wichita’s best win: 79-65 at #114 Temple.

— Memphis (-11.5) beat Wichita State 88-78 at home January 19.
— Tigers won five in row, seven of last eight meetings.
— Memphis won two of last three visits to Wichita.
— AAC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 3-4 ATS.

North Texas @ Charlotte
— North Texas (23-5, 14-3) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: 160
— Continuity: #139
— North Texas won its last eight games (2 of last 4 in OT).
— North Texas is 8-1 SU/6-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— Mean Green are #29 team on offensive boards.
— North Texas has #23 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are getting 24.1% of points on arc (#356).
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #112
— bench minutes: #226
— North Texas’ best win: 82-79 over #69 UAB, in 2 OT’s.

— Charlotte (16-11, 7-9) ranked #121 by KenPom
— Tempo: #362
— Experience: #174
— Continuity: #273
— Charlotte won three of its last four games.
— 49ers are 4-3 SU/0-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Charlotte has #25 eFG% in country.
— 49ers are 7-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Charlotte is #17 team on defensive boards.
— Charlotte’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #211
— Charlotte’s best win: 54-42 over #26 Boise State

— These two teams play the two slowest tempos in America.
— North Texas (-6) beat Charlotte 67-43 February 11.
— Mean Green won four of last five series games.
— North Texas lost five of last six visits to Charlotte.
— C-USA home underdogs of 3 or less points are 3-2 ATS.

Wright State @ Oakland
— Wright State (16-13, 9-9) ranked #187 by KenPom
— Tempo: #15
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #62
— Wright State lost last two games, giving up 85-77 points.
— Raiders are 4-4 SU/1-2 ATS as a Horizon road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 52% inside arc (#264)
— Raiders have #37 eFG% in country.
— Wright State is 4-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wright State’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #203
— Wright State’s best win: 77-61 over #183 Abilene Christian.

— Oakland (12-17, 10-8) ranked #280 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #44
— Oakland won three of its last five games.
— Grizzlies are 5-3 SU/0-1 ATS as a Horizon home underdog.
— Oakland is 8-9 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Oakland has #340 eFG% defense in country.
— Grizzlies are #340 team on defensive boards.
— Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #351
— Oakland’s best win: 92-89 OT over #179 Cleveland State

— Oakland (+5.5) won 75-73 at Wright State January 8th.
— Wright State won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Raiders won five of last six visits to Oakland.
— Horizon home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-4 ATS

Cal Baptist @ Sam Houston State
— Cal Baptist (15-12, 6-7) ranked #146 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #33
— Continuity: #216
— Cal Baptist lost four of its last five D-I games.
— Cal Baptist is 2-4 SU/1-3 ATS as a WAC road underdog.
— Lancers have #225 eFG% in country, #52 eFG% defense.
— Cal Baptist is shooting 32.6% on arc (#248), 64.6% on line (#343)
— Lancers are #71 team on defensive boards.
— Cal Baptist’s schedule, to this point: #220
— bench minutes: #69
— Cal Baptist’s best win: 73-64 at #100 Washington

— Sam Houston State (20-6, 10-4) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #323
— Experience: #271
— Continuity: #163
— Sam Houston won three in row, eight of last nine games.
— Bearkats are 5-1 SU/2-4 ATS as a WAC home favorite.
— Last three games, Sam Houston allowed only 59 ppg.
— Bearkats are shooting 40.2% on arc (#2), 47.7% inside arc (#278)
— Sam Houston is forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#10)
— Sam Houston’s schedule, to this point: #105
— bench minutes: #31
— Sam Houston’s best win: 65-55 at #54 Utah

— Sam Houston won 73-68 at Cal Baptist LY, their first WAC meeting.
— WAC home favorites of 7+ points are 8-10 ATS

Rice @ UAB
— Rice (17-10, 8-8) ranked #168 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #138
— Rice lost five of its last seven games.
— Owls are 5-3 SU/5-2 ATS as a C-USA road underdog.
— Owls have #35 eFG%, #321 eFG% defense in country.
— Rice is 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Rice is 1-4 against top 100 teams.
— Rice’s schedule, to this point: #152
— bench minutes: #363
— Rice’s best win: 72-60 at #53 North Texas.

— UAB (20-8, 11-6) ranked #69 by KenPom
— Tempo: #30
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #120
— UAB won seven of its last eight games.
— UAB is 7-2 SU/1-7 ATS as a C-USA home favorite.
— Blazers have #65 eFG% defense in country.
— Blazers are #8 team in country on offensive boards.
— UAB is getting 21.6% of points on foul line (#31)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #150
— bench minutes: #75
— UAB’s best win: 86-77 over #40 FAU.

— UAB (-3.5) won 70-52 at Rice January 28.
— Blazers won nine of last 11 series games.
— Rice lost last three visits to UAB, by 10-12-24 points.
— C-USA double digit home favorites are 5-14 ATS

Michigan @ Rutgers
— Michigan (15-12, 9-7) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #309
— Continuity: #275
— Michigan won four of its last six games.
— Michigan is 2-5 SU/1-5 ATS as Big 14 road underdog.
— Wolverines have #75 eFG% defense.
— Wolverines are 4-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan is 4-8 against top 50 teams.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #34
— bench minutes: #314
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #17 Maryland

— Rutgers (17-10, 9-7) ranked #27 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #103
— Continuity: #49
— Rutgers lost three of its last four games
— Rutgers is 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Rutgers forces turnovers 22.2% of time (#25)
— Knights have #9 eFG% defense in country
— Knights have #283 eFG% in country
— Rutgers’ schedule, to this point: #55
— bench minutes: #218
— Rutgers’ best win: 65-64 at #4 Purdue

— Michigan is 10-1 vs Rutgers in Big 14 meetings.
— Wolverines won four of last five visits to the Garden State.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 37-14 ATS

Northwestern @ Illinois
— Northwestern (20-7, 11-5) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #285
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #77
— Northwestern won five in row, 8 of last 10 games.
— Wildcats are 5-2 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#32)
— Northwestern has #58 eFG% defense.
— Northwestern also has #306 eFG%.
— Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #53
— bench minutes: #279
— Northwestern’s best win: 64-58 over #4 Purdue

— Illinois (18-9, 9-7) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #297
— Continuity: #344
— Illinois lost three of its last five games
— Illini is 5-2 SU/ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Illinois is shooting 55.9% inside arc (#17), 31.5% on arc (#305)
— Illinois has #20 eFG% in country.
— Illini is #44 team on offensive boards, #81 on defensive end.
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #173
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #2 UCLA

— Northwestern (+2.5) beat Illinois 73-60 at home January 4th.
— That win snapped an 8-game losing skid to Illinois.
— Wildcats lost their last 15 games at Illinois.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 37-14 ATS

USC @ Colorado
— USC (19-8, 11-5) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #139
— Continuity: #147
— USC won eight of its last 11 games.
— Trojans are 3-5 SU/2-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— USC has #13 eFG% defense.
— Trojans are #334 team on defensive boards.
— Trojans are 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #59
— bench minutes: #280
— USC’s best win: 77-64 over #2 UCLA

— Colorado (15-13, 7-10) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #73
— Experience: #293
— Continuity: #121
— Colorado split its last eight games SU.
— Buffs are 5-2 SU/3-4 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— Buffs force turnovers 20.5% of time (#63)
— Colorado has #250 eFG% in country.
— Colorado is erratic; beat Tennessee, lost to Grambling/UMass.
— Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #20
— Colorado’s best win: 78-66 over #6 Tennessee

— USC (-3) beat Colorado 68-61 at home January 12.
— Buffs won seven of last nine series games.
— USC lost three of last four visits to Boulder.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-5 ATS.

Eastern Washington @ Weber State
— Eastern Washington (21-7, 15-0) ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #113
— EWU won its last 16 D-I games.
— EWU is 7-0 SU/4-1 ATS as Big Sky road favorites.
— EWU is shooting 58.9% inside arc (#4)
— Eagles are #51 team on defensive boards.
— Eagles’ last loss: December 13, 77-70 at Texas Tech.
— EWU’s schedule, to this point: #206
— bench minutes: #209
— EWU’s best win: 70-67 at #111 Montana State

— Weber State (15-13, 10-5) ranked #208 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #143
— Continuity: #214
— Weber State won seven of its last ten games.
— Wildcats won five of seven Big Sky home games SU.
— Weber State has #300 eFG% defense.
— Weber State is #4 team on defensive boards.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 19.8% of time (#282)
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #132
— bench minutes: #166
— Weber State’s best win: 75-72 at #35 Utah State

— EWU (-5) beat Weber State 75-71 at home January 28.
— Eagles won five of last six series games.
— EWU won three of last four visits to Ogden.
— Big Sky home underdogs of 3 or less points are 7-8 ATS.

Long Beach State @ Cal-Santa Barbara
— Long Beach State (15-13, 9-7) ranked #147 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #231
— Long Beach lost three of its last four games.
— Long Beach 5-3 SU/1-3 ATS as a Big West road underdog.
— Long Beach is shooting 48.9% inside arc (#237)
— Long Beach #16 team in country on offensive boards.
— Long Beach takes the fewest 3-point shots in America.
— Long Beach’s schedule, to this point: #120
— bench minutes: #66
— Long Beach’s best win: 93-88 in OT over #89 Cal-Irvine

— Cal-Santa Barbara (20-7, 11-5) ranked #119 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #18
— UCSB lost last three games, scoring 60.7 ppg.
— Gauchos are 5-3 SU/4-4 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Gauchos are shooting 55% inside arc (#25)
— UCSB gets 59.4% of its points inside arc (#14)
— UCSB is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #226
— bench minutes: #326
— UCSB’s best win: 73-65 at #89 Cal-Irvine

— UCSB (-1) won 75-72 at Long Beach two weeks ago.
— Gauchos are 6-5 in last eleven meetings.
— Long Beach won three of last four visits to the Thunderdome.
— Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-12 ATS

UCLA @ Utah
— UCLA (23-4, 14-2) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #150
— UCLA won its last six games (4-2 ATS).
— Bruins are 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite.
— UCLA is forcing turnovers 24.7% of time (#5)
— Bruins have #32 eFG% defense in country.
— UCLA is #20 team in country on offensive boards.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #51
— bench minutes: #284
— UCLA’s best win: 87-60 at #17 Maryland.

— Utah (17-11, 10-7) ranked #54 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #52
— Utah lost four of its last six games.
— Utes are 6-2 ATS in their Pac-12 home games.
— Utah is 3-5 ATS as a Pac-12 underdog.
— Utah is #36 team on defensive boards.
— Utes are 3-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #79
— bench minutes: #274
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #10 Arizona.

— UCLA (-12) beat Utah 68-49 at home January 12.
— Bruins won last six series games.
— UCLA won its last three trips ti Utah, by 11-15-5 points.
— Pac-12 home underdogs of 7+ points are 11-6 ATS

Cal-Riverside @ Hawai’i
— Cal-Riverside (19-10, 12-5) ranked #138 by KenPom
— Tempo: #183
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #158
— Riverside won its last three games, scoring 85.3 ppg.
— UCR is 5-3 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big West road underdog.
— Riverside is shooting 48.6% inside arc (#247), 36.1% on arc (#68)
— UCR is #12 team on defensive boards.
— Riverside is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Riverside’s schedule, to this point: #135
— bench minutes: #111
— Riverside’s best win: 81-79 at #105 LMU.

— Hawai’i (20-8, 11-5) ranked #122 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #71
— Hawai’i won four of its last five games.
— Hawai’i is 5-2 SU/1-6 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Rainbows have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Rainbows have #262 eFG% in country.
— Hawaii is 8-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hawai’i’s schedule, to this point: #268
— bench minutes: #349
— Hawai’i’s best win: 62-51 over #57 Washington State

— Hawaii (+2.5) won 67-63 at Riverside January 21.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Riverside won four of last five visits to Hawai’i
— Big West home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-12 ATS

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 23

 

[Udog]

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 23​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
PSU at OSU	06:30 PM	PSU +2.5 O 142.5	+500 +500
WRST at OAK	07:00 PM	OAK +3.0 O 157.0	+500 +500
MEM at WICH	07:00 PM	MEM -2.0 O 147.0	+500 +500
STONE at WAG	07:00 PM	WAG -3.5 U 124.5	+500 +500
LONG at WEBB	07:00 PM	WEBB -2.0 U 130.0	+500 +500
UTEP at FIU	07:00 PM	FIU +1.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
SFBK at SH	07:00 PM	SH -7.0 O 135.0	+500 +500
UTSA at FAU	07:00 PM	FAU -17.0 O 149.0	+500 +500
MONM at HAMP	07:00 PM	MONM +2.0 O 140.0	+500 +500
TOWS at COFC	07:00 PM	TOWS +9.0 O 150.0	+500 +500
ELON at CWM	07:00 PM	CWM +1.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
DEL at NCAT	07:00 PM	DEL -2.5 U 151.0	+500 +500
CCSU at MW	07:00 PM	MW -4.0 U 125.0	+500 +500
NE at DREX	07:00 PM	NE +6.5 O 129.0	+500 +500
FDU at SFPA	07:00 PM	SFPA +2.0 U 157.0	+500 +500
UNT at CHAR	07:00 PM	UNT -3.0 O 109.5	+500 +500
NKU at DETU	07:00 PM	DETU -1.0 U 139.0	+500 +500
STON at UNCW	07:00 PM	STON +10.0 O 125.0	+500 +500
RMU at INDPU	07:30 PM	INDPU +10.5 O 134.5	+500 +500
UTECH at UTRGV	07:30 PM	UTRGV +2.0 O 154.5	+500 +500
RICE at UAB	07:30 PM	RICE +12.0 U 157.5	+500 +500
CALBA at SHSU	07:30 PM	CALBA +6.0 O 128.5	+500 +500
SUU at UTA	08:00 PM	SUU -5.0 U 145.0	+500 +500
UVU at TST	08:00 PM	UVU -2.5 U 136.5	+500 +500
ORU at SDAK	08:00 PM	ORU -13.5 O 155.5	+500 +500
KC at SDST	08:00 PM	SDST -10.5 O 134.5	+500 +500
STT at NDSU	08:00 PM	NDSU -4.0 U 147.5	+500 +500
MCNS at HCU	08:00 PM	HCU +0.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
SELA at LAM	08:00 PM	LAM +7.0 O 146.5	+500 +500
NICH at UNO	08:00 PM	NICH -5.0 U 154.5	+500 +500
UALR at SIUE	08:00 PM	SIUE -8.0 U 152.5	+500 +500
TAMCOM at AMCC	08:30 PM	TAMCOM +11.0 O 143.5	+500 +500
NWST at IW	08:30 PM	NWST -6.5 U 141.0	+500 +500
PFW at MILW	08:30 PM	MILW -2.5 O 150.5	+500 +500
MICH at RUTG	08:30 PM	RUTG -5.5 U 135.0	+500 +500
TNTC at SIND	08:30 PM	SIND -5.5 O 147.5	+500 +500
CLEVST at WIGB	09:00 PM	CLEVST -13.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
LT at WKU	09:00 PM	LT +4.5 O 143.0	+500 +500
PRST at MONT	09:00 PM	MONT -6.0 U 145.5	+500 +500
NW at ILL	09:00 PM	NW +6.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
EWU at WEB	09:00 PM	EWU +0.0 U 140.5	+500 +500
TNST at UTM	09:00 PM	UTM -4.5 O 159.5	+500 +500
USC at COLO	09:00 PM	USC +2.5 U 140.5	+500 +500
CSUS at MTST	09:00 PM	MTST -9.5 U 128.0	+500 +500
SEMO at LNDNWD	09:00 PM	LNDNWD +4.0 U 146.0	+500 +500
IDHO at IDST	09:00 PM	IDST -3.5 U 140.0	+500 +500
WASH at CAL	09:00 PM	WASH -8.0 U 129.5	+500 +500
LBSU at UCSB	10:00 PM	UCSB -5.0 U 148.0	+500 +500
CSB at CSN	10:00 PM	CSN -1.0 O 125.5	+500 +500
PEPP at SCU	10:00 PM	PEPP +11.0 O 163.0	+500 +500
PAC at SMC	10:00 PM	PAC +19.0 O 137.0	+500 +500
UCSD at UCI	10:00 PM	UCSD +13.0 O 140.0	+500 +500
PORT at SF	11:00 PM	SF -8.0 U 154.0	+500 +500
UCLA at UTAH	11:00 PM	UCLA -7.0 U 130.5	+500 +500
WSU at STAN	11:00 PM	STAN -2.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
USD at GONZ	11:00 PM	USD +23.0 O 164.5	+500 +500
UCRV at HAW	11:59 PM	HAW -3.5 U 131.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/23/2023	56-54-2	50.89%	-1700	Detail
02/22/2023	54-66-2	45.08%	-9300	Detail
02/21/2023	26-24-1	51.96%	-200	Detail
02/20/2023	19-16-1	54.17%	+700	Detail
02/19/2023	24-28-0	46.15%	-3400	Detail
02/18/2023	74-86-1	46.27%	-10300	Detail
02/17/2023	14-18-0	43.75%	-2900	Detail
02/16/2023	61-65-2	48.44%	-5250	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Over/under win totals for baseball:
58— A’s
59— Nationals
65— Pirates, Rockies
67— Reds
71.5— Tigers
74— Marlins

Quote of the Day
“80% of the people who hear your troubles don’t care, and the other 20% are glad you’re having them.”
Tommy Lasorda

Friday’s quiz
Where did Ja Morant play his college basketball?

Thursday’s quiz
Last year was the last time a #2-seed lost to a #15-seed in first round of NCAA’s; Saint Peter’s (+18) upset Kentucky 85-79 in overtime.

Wednesday’s quiz
LSU won national championships in college football, in 2007/2019; Les Miles, Ed Orgeron were the two coaches.

********************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

— I’m watching the XFL game last week, whatever the first game of the weekend was, and they ask one of the head coaches why he chose a play they used.

“Analytics” he replied, because that’s what every coach says now to shut up reporters. No one ever questions you when you say “Analytics”

My problem is this; it was the FIRST freakin’ game of a new season in a new league; there AREN’T ANY analytics. You can’t use NFL or college trends; this isn’t the NFL or college. It is something different, something very different.

— Los Angeles Dodgers’ over/under win totals the last few years:
2019— 92.5— over by 13.5 games
2020— 37.5— over by 5.5 games
2021— 102.5— over by 3.5 games
2022— 97.5— over by 13.5 games

— Los Angeles Angels’ over/under win totals the last few years:
2018– 84.5— under by 4.5 games
2019— 82— under by 10 games
2020— 31.5— under by 5.5 games
2021— 83.5— under by 6.5 games
2022— 84.5— under by 11.5 games

— Mississippi State has a pitched named Jurrangelo Cijntje who pitches with both hands; he has to declare before each hitter which hand he will pitch with— can’t change during an at-bat.

Few years ago, there was a reliever Pat Venditte who pitcher in 61 games for five teams; he also threw with both hands. In an era where the pitcher has to stay in a game for three batters, there is a distinct advantage platoon-wise to being able to pitch with both hands.

— Last four years, in the First Four play-in games when the NCAA Tournament narrows from 68 teams to 64, the favorites are 11-4-1 against the spread.

— Davis Webb started at QB for the Giants in their meaningless Week 18 loss to the Eagles; it was his first and only NFL start. He retired after the season; Thursday, he was named QB coach for the Denver Broncos, at age 28.

— 70-year old Rick Pitino is 57-21 in three seasons coaching Iona College; there are rumors that some big $$$ programs might be looking to hire him as their next coach (Texas? St John’s?).

Pitino is 704-289 as a college coach; he also coached six years in the NBA. He is a great coach; would he be willing to take one more shot at the big time? Will be interesting to see.

— St Louis 20, Seattle 18
St Louis kicked a FG on last play; they won their first two games by 3-2 points.
Thru the first five games of the XFL season, underdogs are 4-1 ATS, over is 4-1

Game was broadcast on FX; I had forgotten that channel even existed. I used to watch shows like Nip-Tuck and It’s Always Sunny in Philadelphia on FX.

— Illinois 66, Northwestern 62— Visiting Wildcats led 37-19 at halftime, but got run out of the building in the second half. Loss snaps Northwestern’s 5-game win streak.

— Lindenwood 105, SE Missouri State 102, 2 OT— Visiting Redhawks led by 20 with 14:36 left in game, wound up losing in double OT, to a team that is 10-20, 5-12 in its first season playing at the D-I level. Kid on Lindenwood scored 26 points, and he didn’t even start.

— Cal-San Diego 99, Cal-Irvine 91— Not often the Anteaters give up 90+ points; they damn near got run out of their own gym in this game- they trailed by 22 with 12:38 left. Irvine now leads UCSB and Riverside by a game atop Big West standings- their conference tournament is in Las Vegas, so seeding doesn’t mean as much as in leagues where they play on home courts, but I’m thinking teams still value winning a regular season title.

— UCSB 78, Long Beach State 73— Gauchos played only seven guys; they snap a 3-game losing skid after they started the season 20-4. Long Beach plays the fastest tempo in America, they take the fewest 3’s in the country, but they’ve lost four of last five games, with three of the four losses by 5 or less points.

— Charlotte 55, North Texas 49— Two teams that play the slowest tempos in America played a 54-possession game here that was reminiscent of games before the shot clock and ESPN even existed. UNT’s loss gives Florida Atlantic a 2-game cushion atop the C-USA standings.

— Washington State 67, Stanford 63— Wazzu played all five starters 31:00+; you get closer to March, rotations get tighter. Coogs made 12-25 on the arc; they’ve won four games in a row. Stanford has lost five of its last six games.

— Eastern Washington 89, Weber State 82— Eagles made 13-23 on the arc, are now 16-0 in the Big Sky Conference, only two games away from a perfect conference season. Then the pressure really builds; they still need to win the Big Sky Tournament to get in the Field of 68.

Eastern Washington was 4-7 at one point in December, with losses to FIU/Yale and South Dakota State- their last loss was December 13th. They’re shooting 64.2% inside the arc in conference games, getting a lot of easy shots.