NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, February 18
13 of Saturday’s best college hoop games
Illinois @ Indiana
— Illinois (17-8, 8-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #64
— Experience: #295
— Continuity: #344
— Illinois lost two of its last three games.
— Illinois is 3-4 SU/0-1 ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Illini is shooting 56.4% inside arc (#14), 31.3% on arc (#307)
— Illinois has #16 eFG% defense in country.
— Illini is #40 team on offensive boards, #74 on defensive end
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #175
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #3 UCLA
— Indiana (18-8, 9-6) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #142
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #40
— Indiana won eight of its last ten games.
— Hoosiers 6-1 SU/5-1 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Indiana is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#47), 37.8% on arc (#19)
— Indiana has #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Hoosiers are #84 team on defensive boards.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #20
— bench minutes: #162
— Indiana’s best win: 79-74 over #6 Purdue
— Indiana (+7) won 80-65 at Illinois January 19.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Illini won 75-71 OT/74-57 in last two visits to Indiana.
— Big 14 home favorites of 6 or less points are 35-13 ATS
Tennessee @ Kentucky
— Tennessee (20-6, 9-4) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #124
— Tennessee lost three of its last five games.
— Tennessee is 4-2 SU/3-3 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Tennessee is #4 team in country on offensive boards.
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Vols are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#17)
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #101
— Tennessee’s best win: 68-59 over #2 Alabama Wednesday
— Kentucky (17-9, 8-5) ranked #40 by KenPom
— Tempo: #276
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #204
— Kentucky split its last six games.
— Kentucky won four of its six SEC home games SU.
— Wildcats are 2-3 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Wildcats are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Kentucky is 5-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #51
— bench minutes: #180
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #4 Tennessee
— Kentucky (+12) won 63-56 at Tennessee January 14.
— Wildcats outscored Tennessee 22-7 on foul line, in Knoxville.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Vols split their last six visits to Rupp Arena.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-6 ATS
Iowa State @ Kansas State
— Iowa State (17-8, 8-5) ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #304
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #196
— Iowa State lost four of its last six games.
— Iowa State is 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Cyclones are #48 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State is shooting 61.8% inside arc (#361), 35.4% on arc (#99)
— Opponents are getting 22.8% of their points on foul line (#344)
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #224
— Iowa State’s best win: 68-53 over #7 Kansas
— Kansas State (19-7, 7-6) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #47
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #317
— K-State lost five of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are 5-1 SU/4-0 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— K-State is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#43)
— Wildcats have #54 eFG% defense in country.
— K-State is turning ball over 19.9% of time (#279).
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #18
— bench minutes: #327
— K-State’s best win: 83-82 in OT over #7 Kansas
— Iowa State (-5) beat K-State 80-76 at home January 25.
— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Cyclones are 4-3 in their last seven visits to the Little Apple.
— Big X home favorites of 3 or less points are 9-4 ATS
Wake Forest @ Miami
— Wake Forest (17-9, 9-6) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #297
— Wake Forest won last three games, scoring 81.3 ppg.
— Deacons are 4-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an ACC road underdog.
— Wake Forest has #28 eFG% in country.
— Deacons are #94 team in country on defensive boards.
— Wake Forest is 6-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #311
— Wake Forest’s best win: 92-85 over #36 North Carolina.
— Miami (21-5, 12-4) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #27
— Continuity: #144
— Miami won its last five games, scoring 85.2 ppg.
— Canes are 7-0 SU/4-2 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Miami is #256 team in country on defensive boards.
— Miami has #22 eFG% in country.
— Canes are 9-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #75
— bench minutes: #317
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #17 Virginia.
— Miami won six of last eight series games.
— Deacons lost their last nine visits to Miami.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 19-15 ATS
Oklahoma State @ TCU
— Oklahoma State (16-10, 7-6) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #161
— Experience: #73
— Continuity: #154
— Oklahoma State won seven of its last nine games.
— Oklahoma State is 2-4 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big X road dog.
— Cowboys have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Oklahoma State is turning ball over 20.8% of time (#319).
— Cowboys are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Oklahoma State’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #70
— Oklahoma State’s best wins: 61-59/64-56 over #15 Iowa State
— TCU (17-9, 6-7) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU lost its last four games, scoring 62.7 ppg in last three.
— Frogs’ star Miles is expected back for this game.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#21)
— Frogs are shooting 53.7% inside arc (#52), 28.4% on arc (#358)
— TCU is #286 team in country on defensive boards.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #21
— bench minutes: #10
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #7 Kansas
— Oklahoma State (-4) beat TCU 79-73 at home two weeks ago.
— TCU won eight of last 12 series games.
— Cowboys lost their last five visits to Fort Worth.
— Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-7 ATS
Fordham @ VCU
— Fordham (21-5, 9-4) ranked #130 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #79
— Continuity: #68
— Fordham won eight of its last nine games.
— Rams are 4-2 SU/3-2 ATS as an A-15 road dog.
— Rams are turning ball over 18.9% of time (#223)
— Fordham is #33 in country on defensive boards.
— Fordham is getting 22.1% of points on foul line (#23)
— Fordham’s schedule, to this point: #313
— bench minutes: #233
— Fordham’s best win: 95-90 at #91 Tulane.
— VCU (19-7, 10-3) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #255
— Continuity: #194
— VCU won 14 of its last 17 games.
— VCU is 4-2 SU/ATS as an A-15 home favorite.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— Rams are #250 team in country on defensive boards.
— VCU is 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #145
— bench minutes: #122
— VCU’s best win: 71-67 over #57 Pittsburgh
— VCU won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Fordham lost its last five visits here, by 16-16-34-13-18 points.
— A-14 home favorites of 8+ points are 7-9 ATS.
Baylor @ Kansas
— Baylor (20-6, 9-4) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #214
— Experience: #206
— Continuity: #187
— Baylor won four in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Baylor is 4-2 SU/2-1 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— Bears are #11 team in country on offensive boards.
— Baylor is shooting 52% inside arc (#98), 36.4% on arc (#60)
— Bears are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#66)
— Baylor’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #197
— Baylor’s best win: 80-75 over #3 UCLA.
— Kansas (21-5, 9-4) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #70
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas won five of its last six games.
— Kansas is 5-1 SU/2-4 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Kansas is forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#57)
— Jayhawks are shooting 52.7% inside arc (#77), 35.6% on arc (#98)
— Jayhawks are 8-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #352
— Kansas’ best win: 88-80 over #9 Texas
— Baylor (-3) beat Kansas 75-69 at home January 23.
— Baylor won four of last six series games.
— Bears lost 71-58/83-54 in last two visits to Lawrence.
— Big X home favorites of 6 or less points are 22-7 ATS
Utah @ Arizona State
— Utah (17-10, 10-6) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #51
— Utah lost three of its last five games.
— Utes have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utah is 5-10 against top 100 teams.
— Utah is 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #11 Arizona
— Arizona State (18-9, 9-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #240
— Arizona State lost six of its last nine games
— Sun Devils are 4-5 SU/1-5 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU is shooting 31.5% on arc (#295), 48.3% inside arc (#260)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
— Sun Devils are #279 team on defensive boards.
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #137
— Arizona State’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton
— ASU won four of last five series games.
— Utah lost 83-64/64-62 in last two visits to Tempe.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-5 ATS
Duke @ Syracuse
— Duke (18-8, 9-6) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #337
— Duke won four of its last six games SU.
— Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
— Duke is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#235).
— Blue Devils are #7 team in country on offensive boards.
— Duke has #32 eFG% defense.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #140
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.
— Syracuse (16-10, 9-6) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #216
— Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Orange are 4-3 SU in their ACC home games.
— Syracuse is 2-8 against top 100 teams.
— Syracuse is #346 team on defensive boards.
— Orange are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #107
— bench minutes: #187
— Syracuse’s best win: 75-72 over #43 NC State
— Duke won last seven series games.
— Blue Devils won last four games in the Carrier Dome.
— ACC home teams are 20-13 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less points.
Texas A&M @ Missouri
— Texas A&M (19-7, 11-2) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #87
— Texas A&M won four in row, 13 of last 15 games.
— Texas A&M is 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Texas A&M is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#320), 39.2% on arc (#7)
— Aggies are getting 40.7% of their points on the arc (#5)
— Aggies have #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #179
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 79-63/83-78 over #18 Auburn
— Missouri (19-7, 7-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #326
— Missouri won five of its last seven games
— Tigers are 5-1 SU/1-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Missouri is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15), 36.1% on arc (#69)
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#8)
— Tigers are #362 team on defensive boards.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #98
— Missouri’s best win: 86-85 at #4 Tennessee
— Aggies (-3) beat Missouri 82-64 at home January 11.
— Texas A&M won four of its last six games.
— Aggies won their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home teams are 8-9 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Utah @ Arizona State
— Utah (17-10, 10-6) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #182
— Continuity: #51
— Utah lost three of its last five games.
— Utes have #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utah is 5-10 against top 100 teams.
— Utah is 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #82
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #11 Arizona
— Arizona State (18-9, 9-7) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #132
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #240
— Arizona State lost six of its last nine games
— Sun Devils are 4-5 SU/1-5 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU is shooting 31.5% on arc (#295), 48.3% inside arc (#260)
— Opponents are shooting 42.4% inside arc (#3)
— Sun Devils are #279 team on defensive boards.
— Arizona State’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #137
— Arizona State’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton
— ASU won four of last five series games.
— Utah lost 83-64/64-62 in last two visits to Tempe.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 6-5 ATS
Duke @ Syracuse
— Duke (18-8, 9-6) ranked #42 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #288
— Continuity: #337
— Duke won four of its last six games SU.
— Blue Devils lost four of their last five road games.
— Duke is turning ball over 19.1% of time (#235).
— Blue Devils are #7 team in country on offensive boards.
— Duke has #32 eFG% defense.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #140
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #22 Xavier.
— Syracuse (16-10, 9-6) ranked #90 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #282
— Continuity: #216/
— Syracuse won its last three games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Orange are 4-3 SU in their ACC home games.
— Syracuse is 2-8 against top 100 teams.
— Syracuse is #346 team on defensive boards.
— Orange are 5-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Syracuse’s schedule, to this point: #107
— bench minutes: #187
— Syracuse’s best win: 75-72 over #43 NC State
— Duke won last seven series games.
— Blue Devils won last four games in the Carrier Dome.
— ACC home teams are 20-13 ATS in games where spread was 3 or less points.
Texas A&M @ Missouri
— Texas A&M (19-7, 11-2) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #243
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #87
— Texas A&M won four in row, 13 of last 15 games.
— Texas A&M is 3-6 SU/2-5 ATS as a Horizon road underdog.
— Texas A&M is shooting 46.3% inside arc (#320), 39.2% on arc (#7)
— Aggies are getting 40.7% of their points on the arc (#5)
— Aggies have #319 eFG% defense in country.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #179
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 79-63/83-78 over #18 Auburn
— Missouri (19-7, 7-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #18
— Continuity: #326
— Missouri won five of its last seven games
— Tigers are 5-1 SU/1-3 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Missouri is shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15), 36.1% on arc (#69)
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#8)
— Tigers are #362 team on defensive boards.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #98
— Missouri’s best win: 86-85 at #4 Tennessee
— Aggies (-3) beat Missouri 82-64 at home January 11.
— Texas A&M won four of its last six games.
— Aggies won their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home teams are 8-9 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Michigan State @ Michigan
— Michigan State (16-9, 8-6) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #306
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #117
— MSU is 4-5 SU in its last nine games.
— Spartans are 3-4 SU/ATS as Big 14 road underdogs.
— MSU has #18 eFG% defense in country.
— Spartans are #34 team on defensive boards.
— MSU is shooting 47.6% inside arc (#287), 37% on arc (#34)
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #234
— MSU’s best win: 63-58 over #16 Maryland.
— Michigan (14-12, 8-7) ranked #52 by KenPom
— Tempo: #140
— Experience: #307
— Continuity: #274
— Michigan is 5-7 SU in its last dozen games.
— Wolverines is 6-2 SU/5-2 ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Wolverines have #72 eFG% defense.
— Michigan is 4-8 against top 50 teams.
— Michigan is #4-10 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Michigan’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #321
— Michigan’s best win: 81-46 over #16 Maryland.
— Michigan State (-5) beat Michigan 59-53 January 7.
— Spartans won seven of last ten series games.
— Home teams won last seven meetings.
— MSU lost its last three visits to Ann Arbor, by 9-19-17.
— Big 14 home teams are 26-11 ATS, in games with spread of 3 or less.
Nevada @ Utah State
— Nevada (20-6, 10-3) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #254
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #171
— Nevada won its last four games, scoring 75.3 ppg.
— Wolf Pack is 3-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a MW road underdog.
— Nevada is 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Wolf Pack is #39 team in country on defensive boards.
— Nevada is getting 23.9% of its points on foul line (#6)
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #333
— Nevada’s best win: 75-66 over #19 San Diego State.
— Utah State (20-7, 9-5) ranked #39 by KenPom
— Tempo: #125
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #157
— Utah State won six of its last nine games.
— Aggies are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS as a MW home favorite.
— Utah State is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#73), 40.2% on arc (#2)
— Utah State is #29 team in country on defensive boards.
— Aggies are 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
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— Utah State’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #330
— Utah State’s best win: 84-73 over #48 New Mexico.
— Nevada (-2) beat Utah State 85-70 at home January 13.
— Utah State won five of last seven series games.
— Wolf Pack lost three of last four visits to Logan.
— Mountain West home favorites of 5 or less points are 12-7 ATS
Auburn @ Vanderbilt
— Auburn (18-8, 8-5) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #151
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #54
— Auburn lost five of its last seven games.
— Tigers are 3-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC road favorite.
— Auburn has #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Tigers are #271 team on defensive boards.
— Auburn is shooting 51.7% inside arc (#113), 29.9% on arc (#342)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #35
— bench minutes: #39
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #23 Arkansas.
— Vanderbilt (14-12, 7-6) ranked #91 by KenPom
— Tempo: #245
— Experience: #95
— Continuity: #123
— Vanderbilt won its last four games, scoring 75.8 ppg.
— Vanderbilt is 4-2 SU/2-2 ATS as an SEC home underdog.
— Vandy is shooting 48.6% inside arc (#244), 32.8% on arc (#235).
— Commodores are #84 team on offensive boards.
— Vanderbilt is 7-5 in games decidedly 7 or less points.
— Vanderbilt’s schedule, to this point: #25
— bench minutes: #31
— Vanderbilt’s best win: 66-65 over #4 Tennessee
— Auburn won last five series games.
— Tigers won 64-53/73-67 in last two visits to Nashville.
— SEC home underdogs of 3 or less points are 2-6 ATS