CNOTES COLLEGE HOOPS OPINIONS BEST BETS AND NEWS !

[CNOTES]

ompleted Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack
College hoops teams who take the highest %age of 3-point shots:
51.8% of their shots are 3’s— Chattanooga
48.9%— San Francisco
48.2%— Penn State
48.1%— Villanova
47.5%— Cornell
47.5%— Southern Illinois

Quote of the Day
“I believe creativity is an inherent part of everyone, so never worry about failure. It’s going to happen, but that’s OK. Go ahead, take chances, and you might just find that what feels like failure isn’t failure at all, it’s what inspires you to dream even bigger.”
Kermit the Frog

Wednesday’s quiz
Before they moved to Oakland in 1968, Oakland A’s called two other cities home; which two cities?

Tuesday’s quiz
The NBA absorbed four teams from the ABA when the ABA folded after the 1975-76 season; Spurs, Nuggets, Pacers, Nets.

Monday’s quiz
Donovan McNabb was the Eagles’ QB the first time Andy Reid coached in a Super Bowl.

**************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— While writing this tonight, I’ve been watching the movie Uncut Gems; I’ve been waiting to see this movie for three years, finally found it. Not sure why I wanted to see it; I’ve never been a big Adam Sandler fan, but this one looked good. Unfortunately for me, it was not.

Incredible amount of yelling in this movie, lot of yelling. I have a headache right now. Kevin Garnett/Mike Francesa are in the movie; they do pretty well, for non-actors. Eric Bogosian and Judd Hirsch are in the movie; both very good actors. It didn’t help.

The story is about a guy who sells jewelry who has a gambling problem and owes lot of money to the wrong people. They yell at him, beat him up; he yells back, scrambles to win the money he needs with one big wager, kind of like Mark Wahlberg in The Gambler.

I’m glad I finally found the movie, I’m glad I have Showtime Anytime on my TV now, but damn, that was a disappointing movie.

— Less than 36 hours after losing a close Super Bowl, the Eagles lost both their coordinators; Indianapolis hired OC Shane Steichen as its new head coach. Arizona hired Jonathan Gannon as its new head coach; he was the Eagles’ defensive coordinator.

— Super Bowl Sunday night got the 3rd-highest rating of any Super Bowl, ranking behind the Seattle-New England game from several years ago, and the Rams-Bengals game last year (did I mention the Rams won that game??)

— Utah Utes’ offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig turned down a lateral move to Notre Dame; apparently, it would’ve cost $2M to buy out his contract with Utah. Notre Dame’s last OC bolted to Alabama last week, and he is an alumnus; they’re in a bit of a bind to hire a new OC.

Ludwig is 58 years old; he’s been at Utah for four years, which is a long time for an assistant football coach to be in the same place. College football coaches are nomads; Ludwig has also worked at Oregon, Vanderbilt, San Diego State, Wisconsin, USC.

— Baltimore Ravens hired Todd Monken as their new offensive coordinator; he comes from the Georgia Bulldogs. Monken has previously worked in the NFL, for Tampa Bay/Cleveland.

Georgia replaced Monken with former Georgia QB Mike Bobo.

— Last baseball season, there were only 122 balks called the whole season, the fewest in any season since 1973, but Major League Baseball really, really wants there to be more stolen bases going forward, so there are going to be bigger bases this season, and there is going to be an “emphasis on enforcement of the balk rule”

Less throws to first base, bigger bases, tighter balk rule; sounds like pitchers will have to throw more fastballs with men on base, which could result in more offense this season.

— Michael Wacha signed with the Padres this week; San Diego will be his fifth team in five years:
2019— 6-7, 4.76 in 24 starts with St Louis
2020— 1-4, 6.62 in seven starts with the Mets
2021— 3-5, 5.05 in 23 starts with Tampa Bay
2022— 11-2, 3.32 in 23 starts with the Red Sox

— Providence 94, Creighton 86, 2OT— Quite a night; Creighton’s subs played a total of 15:00 in a 50:00 game- Bluejays got outscored 10-2 in the second overtime. Loss snaps a 7-game win streak for Creighton.

— Oklahoma 79, Kansas State 65— K-State lost its last five road games; they’re 2-5 in their last seven games overall. Wildcats are 19-7, but they’re #327 in bench minutes; they getting tired?

Penn State 93, Illinois 81— Jalen Pickett scored 41 points for Penn State; he scored 49 points for Siena a few years ago. Not many players have scored 40+ points for two different teams.

— Auburn 89, Missouri 56— Total wipeout; Auburn had lost five of six games coming in, but they led 26-6 right off the bat, 45-18 at halftime.

— Alabama is #1 in the college basketball poll for the first time in 20 years.

— Wyoming 70, New Mexico 56— Lobos were 18-2 few weeks ago; now they’ve lost five of their last six games, giving up 80 ppg in last four, and have fallen off the bubble.

— Syracuse 75, NC State 72— Syracuse outscored the Wolfpack 16-3 on the foul line.

— St John’s 92, DePaul 83, 2OT— Blue Demons led 69-56 with 6:49 left to play, but they lost, their 7th consecutive loss.

— No preseason #1 team in college basketball has ever missed the NCAA Tournament, but North Carolina is headed that way; Tar Heels has lost four of its last five games; they’re 16-10, with one top 50 win (over #42 NC State). Bracketology has the Tar Heels among the last four teams in, a very tenuous place to be on February 15th.

— New Mexico State ended its basketball season, for off-court reasons; they fired first-year coach Greg Heiar Tuesday- this is a program that has been in the NCAA Tournament eight times the last 11 years. Will be interesting to see who they hire to rebuild the program.

— Our update on college basketball referee John Higgins:

January 24— Penn State @ Rutgers
January 25— Utah State @ San Diego State— Long plane ride for a back/back
January 26— Utah @ Oregon State
January 28— California @ Stanford
January 29— Michigan State @ Purdue— Day game after long plane ride.
January 30— Baylor @ Texas
January 31— Kansas State @ Kansas

February 1— Northern Iowa @ Drake- A double overtime game!!! Eight games in nine nights, and a double overtime game on the 9th night.
February 2— Wisconsin @ Ohio State
February 4— Oklahoma @ West Virginia
February 5— Penn State @ Nebraska
February 7— Nevada @ New Mexico
February 8— San Diego State @ Utah State
February 9— USC at Oregon

February 11— Wyoming @ Boise State
February 13— Texas @ Texas Tech
February 14— Kansas State @ Oklahoma

He’s worked 17 games in 22 days, 72 games since November 7, which is 72 games in 101 days. He is 54-years old; why don’t NBA players play on back/back nights?

— Spring training starts today, which is never a bad thing.

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 15

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 15

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Wednesday, February 15

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 15

13 of Wednesday’s best college hoop games

Alabama @ Tennessee
— Alabama (22-3, 12-0) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #259
— Continuity: #283
— Alabama won four in row, 13 of last 14 games.
— Alabama is 6-0 SU on SEC road; they were favored in all six.
— Crimson Tide is 0-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Alabama has #2 eFG% defense in country.
— Crimson Tide is #47 team in country on offensive boards.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #8
— bench minutes: #70
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Tennessee (19-6, 8-4) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #247
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #123
— Tennessee lost 3 of last 4 games, after an 18-3 start.
— Vols are 4-2 SU/2-4 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Tennessee has #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Tennessee is #2 team in country on offensive boards.
— Vols’ last three games (1-2) were decided by total of 5 points.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #108
— Tennessee’s best win: 64-50 over #8 Kansas.

— Alabama won last three meetings, by 8-5-5 points.
— Teams split their last six meetings in Knoxville.

Xavier @ Marquette
— Xavier (19-6, 11-3) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #36
— Xavier is 4-3 in last seven games, after a 15-3 start.
— Xavier is 4-3 SU/2-1 ATS as a Big East road underdog.
— Xavier is shooting 54.4% inside arc (#38), 40.1% on arc (#2)
— Musketeers are #66 team on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 36.9% on arc (#322)
— Xavier’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #339
— Xavier’s best wins: 83-73/82-79 over #6 UConn

— Marquette (20-6, 12-3) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #302
— Continuity: #107
— Marquette won 11 of its last 13 games.
— Marquette is 7-0 SU/5-1 ATS as a Big East home favorite.
— Eagles are forcing turnovers 22.9% of time (#20)
— Eagles are shooting 60% inside arc (#1), 35.7% on arc (#89)
— Marquette is #313 team in country on defensive boards.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #38
— bench minutes: #248
— Marquette’s best win: 82-76 over #6 UConn

— Xavier (-3) beat Marquette 80-76 at home January 15.
— Xavier lost last four visits to Milwaukee, by 18-30-9-11 points.

St Bonaventure @ Fordham
— St Bonaventure (13-13, 7-6) ranked #166 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #358
— St Bonaventure is 3-4 SU in its last seven games.
— St Bonaventure is 2-4 SU/3-1-1 ATS on A-14 road.
— Bonnies are shooting 47.1% inside arc (#301), 69.6% on line (#253)
— Opponents are shooting 51.7% inside arc (#252), 38% on arc (#6)
— St Bonaventure is turning ball over 18.9% of time (#224).
— St Bonaventure’s schedule, to this point: #178
— bench minutes: #340
— St Bonaventure’s best win: 68-59 over #71 Dayton.

— Fordham (20-5, 8-4) ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #87
— Experience: #78
— Continuity: #68
— Fordham won seven of its last eight games.
— Rams are 4-2 SU/3-0 ATS as an A-14 home favorite.
— Fordham has #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Fordham is getting 22.3% of its points on foul line (#23)
— Rams are #43 team in country on defensive boards.
— Fordham’s schedule, to this point: #311
— bench minutes: #241
— Fordham’s best win: 95-90 at #83 Tulane.

— Fordham (+3) won 79-68 at St Bonaventure January 25.
— Win ended an 0-11 skid against the Bonnies.
— Bonnies won their last nine visits to Rose Hill Gym.

NC-Greensboro @ Samford
— NC-Greensboro (18-9, 12-2) ranked #112 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #48
— Continuity: #74
— UNCG won four in row, nine of last ten games.
— Spartans won/covered all six of their SoCon road games.
— UNCG has #59 eFG% defense.
— Spartans are 3-7 vs top 150 teams.
— UNCG is 5-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— UNCG’s schedule, to this point: #213
— bench minutes: #121
— UNCG’s best win: 75-67 over #74 Marshall.

— Samford (15-10, 8-6) ranked #140 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #103
— Samford won its last four games, scoring 76 ppg.
— Bulldogs won all seven of their SoCon home games.
— Samford is 11-2 since a 7-game losing skid in December.
— Samford is getting 22.4% of its points on foul line (#20)
— Opponents are shooting 36.5% on arc (#310)
— Samford’s schedule, to this point: #285
— bench minutes: #45
— Samford’s best win: 70-68 at #112 NC-Greensboro

— Samford (+4.5) won 70-68 in Greensboro January 7.
— Samford made 15-31 on arc in that game.
— Bulldogs won last two meetings, after losing previous 11.
— Spartans won seven of last eight visits to Samford.

Kentucky @ Mississippi State
— Kentucky (16-9, 7-5) ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #270
— Experience: #104
— Continuity: #204
— Kentucky lost its last two games, giving up 88-75 points.
— Kentucky is 3-3 SU/1-1 ATS as SEC road underdogs.
— Wildcats are shooting 36.6% on arc (#50), 49.6% inside arc (#211)
— Kentucky is #5 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wildcats are 4-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #58
— bench minutes: #177
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #5 Tennessee

— Mississippi State (17-8, 5-7) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #76
— Continuity: #183
— Miss State won its last five games, after a 1-8 skid.
— Bulldogs are 3-3 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Miss State is forcing turnovers 23.4% of time (#15)
— Bulldogs have #15 eFG% defense in country.
— Miss State is #20 team in country on offensive boards.
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #61
— bench minutes: #131
— Miss State’s best win: 58-55 over #12 Marquette

— Kentucky won 16 of last 17 series games.
— Wildcats won their last seven visits to Starkville.

Indiana @ Northwestern
— Indiana (18-7, 9-5) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #135
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #40
— Indiana won eight of its last nine games.
— Hoosiers’ last three wins were by 1-5-6 points.
— Hoosiers are 3-4 SU/2-5 ATS on the Big 14 road.
— Indiana is shooting 38.1% on arc (#17), 53.8% inside arc (#17)
— Opponents are shooting 46% inside arc (#35)
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #155
— Indiana’s best win: 79-74 over #4 Purdue

— Northwestern (18-7, 9-5) ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #75
— Northwestern won six of its last eight games.
— Northwestern is 3-3 SU/ATS in its Big 14 home games.
— Wildcats are shooting 47.5% inside arc (#287), 31.6% on arc (#291)
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#32)
— Northwestern has #61 eFG% defense in country.
— Northwestern’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #280
— Northwestern’s best win: 64-58 over #4 Purdue Sunday.

— Northwestern (+6) won 84-83 at Indiana January 8.
— Wildcats won four of last six series games.
— Indiana lost four of its last five visits to Evanston.

TCU @ Iowa State
— TCU (17-8, 6-6) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #71
— Continuity: #3
— TCU lost three in row, is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
— TCU’s best player Miles missed last four games (check status)
— Frogs are 2-4 SU/3-3 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— TCU is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#23).
— Frogs are #295 team in country on defensive boards.
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #32
— bench minutes: #10
— TCU’s best win: 83-60 at #8 Kansas

— Iowa State (16-8, 7-5) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #307
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #200
— Iowa State lost six of its last nine games.
— Iowa State is 5-1 SU/2-2 ATS as a Big X home favorite.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 26.3% of time (#1)
— Opponents are getting 23.3% of points on foul line (#11)
— Cyclones are #43 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #7
— bench minutes: #229
— Iowa State’s best win: 68-53 over #8 Kansas

— Iowa State (+5.5) won 69-67 at TCU January 7
— TCU outscored Cyclones 16-3 on foul line in that game.
— TCU won eight of last 11 series games.
— Horned Frogs 76-72/59-44 in last two visits to Ames.

Drake @ Northern Iowa
— Drake (21-6, 12-4) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #236
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #20
— Drake won its last seven games, two of them in double OT.
— Bulldogs are 5-3 SU/2-4 ATS as an MVC road favorite.
— Bulldogs are shooting 36.5% on the arc (#53)
— Drake is #10 team in country on defensive boards.
— Drake is 8-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #221
— bench minutes: #260
— Drake’s best win: 58-52 over #39 Mississippi State

— Northern Iowa (12-14, 8-8) ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #167
— Experience: #334
— Continuity: #317
— Northern Iowa lost its last five games, giving up 79 ppg.
— Panthers are 5-3 SU/1-2 ATS as an MVC home underdog.
— Northern Iowa has #304 eFG% defense in country.
— Panthers are 5-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Northern Iowa is 0-5 against top 100 teams.
— Northern Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #220
— bench minutes: #347
— Northern Iowa’s best win: 69-57 over #131 Southern Illinois

— Drake (-8) beat Northern Iowa 88-81 in 2OT’s February 1st.
— UNI led by 11 with 11:53 left in game.
— Bulldogs won five of last six series games.
— Drake won 77-69/82-74 OT in last two visits to UNI.

Arkansas @ Texas A&M
— Arkansas (17-8, 6-6) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #77
— Experience: #254
— Continuity: #333
— Arkansas won five of its last seven games.
— Hogs are 2-4 SU/1-2 ATS as an SEC road underdog.
— Arkansas is forcing turnovers 21.1% of time (#49)
— Arkansas has #26 eFG% defense.
— Hogs are shooting 54.6% inside arc (#33), 30.6% on arc (#331)
— Arkansas’ schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #313
— Arkansas’ best win: 78-74 in OT over #16 San Diego State

— Texas A&M (18-7, 10-2) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #231
— Experience: #91
— Continuity: #85
— Texas A&M won 12 of its last 14 games.
— Aggies are 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Texas A&M is forcing turnovers 21% of time (#55)
— Texas A&M is #8 team in country on offensive boards.
— Aggies are 4-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #87
— bench minutes: #176
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 79-63/83-78 over #18 Auburn.

— Arkansas (-3.5) never trailed, beat Texas A&M 81-70 at home January 31.
— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Hogs lost 77-69/86-81 in last two visits to A&M.

Long Beach State @ Cal-Riverside
— Long Beach State (15-11, 9-5) ranked #141 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #227
— Long Beach won seven of its last eight games.
— Long Beach is 5-2 SU/4-3 ATS on Big West road.
— Long Beach has #297 eFG% in country.
— Long Beach is #15 team on offensive boards.
— Long Beach is 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Long Beach’s schedule, to this point: #127
— bench minutes: #49
— Long Beach’s best win: 93-88 in OT over #96 Cal-Irvine

— Cal-Riverside (16-10, 9-5) ranked #162 by KenPom
— Tempo: #194
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #159
— Riverside lost four of its last six games (1-5 ATS).
— UCR is 5-2 SU/3-4 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Riverside is shooting 47.4% inside arc (#289), 35.3% on arc (#117)
— UCR is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
— Riverside is 11-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Riverside’s schedule, to this point: #128
— bench minutes: #102
— Riverside’s best win: 81-79 at #93 LMU.

— Riverside (+2.5) won 73-72 at Long Beach New Year’s Eve.
— Long Beach led that game 10 by early in 2nd half.
— Long Beach won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Long Beach won four of last five visits to Riverside.

Cal-Irvine @ Cal-Santa Barbara
— Cal-Irvine (17-8, 10-3) ranked #96 by KenPom
— Tempo: #91
— Experience: #221
— Continuity: #130
— Cal-Irvine won four of its last five games.
— Anteaters are 4-2 SU on Big West road.
— Cal-Irvine is 2-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Anteaters have #21 eFG% defense in country.
— Cal-Irvine is 5-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Cal-Irvine’s schedule, to this point: #160
— bench minutes: #15
— Cal-Irvine’s best win: 69-56 at #43 Oregon

— Cal-Santa Barbara (20-4, 11-2) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #65
— Continuity: #18
— UCSB won seven of its last eight games.
— Gauchos are 5-1 SU/4-2 ATS as a Big West home favorite.
— Gauchos are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#23)
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#45)
— UCSB is 13-0 when it scores 68+ points.
— UCSB’s schedule, to this point: #273
— bench minutes: #311
— UCSB’s best win: 73-65 at #96 Irvine.

— UCSB (+3) won 73-65 at Irvine January 16.
— Gauchos shot 65% inside arc in that game.
— Anteaters won seven of last 11 series games.
— Irvine split its last four visits to the Thunderdome.

San Diego State @ Fresno State
— San Diego State (20-5, 11-2) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #191
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #39
— San Diego State won seven of its last eight games.
— Aztecs are 5-1 SU/3-2 ATS as a Mountain West road favorite.
— Opponents are shooting 51.6% inside arc (#247)
— Aztecs are #27 team in country on defensive boards.
— San Diego State is 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— San Diego State’s schedule, to this point: #26
— bench minutes: #37
— San Diego State’s best win: 72-52 over #28 Boise State

— Fresno State (9-15, 5-8) ranked #154 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #38
— Fresno State lost seven of its last ten games.
— Bulldogs are 4-2 SU/2-1 ATS as a MW home underdog.
— Fresno State is shooting 30.7% on the arc (#328)
— Fresno State is #238 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bulldogs are 5-8 vs teams in top 100.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Fresno State’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #84
— Fresno State’s best win: 71-67 over #64 New Mexico.

— San Diego State won last seven series games.
— Aztecs won last four visits to Fresno, by 9-14-18-17 points.

Oregon @ Washington
— Oregon (15-11, 9-6) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #134
— Oregon won six of its last nine games.
— Ducks are 3-4 SU/1-1 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite.
— Oregon is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#32), 31.4% on arc (#300)
— Ducks are turning ball over 19.4% of time (#248)
— Opponents are shooting 46% inside arc (#36)
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #116
— Oregon’s best win: 87-68 over #13 Arizona.

— Washington (13-13, 5-10) ranked #106 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #138
— Continuity: #238
— Washington lost its last four games, giving up 75.3 ppg.
— Washington is 4-3 SU/3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 home underdog.
— Huskies are shooting 49.5% inside arc (#218), 31.8% on arc (#286)
— Huskies are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#293)
— Washington is #348 team in country on defensive boards.
— Washington’s schedule, to this point: #29
— bench minutes: #224
— Washington’s best win: 68-64 in OT over #7 Saint Mary’s

— Oregon won 12 of last 14 series games.
— Ducks won five of their last six visits to Washington.

 

[CNOTES]

WEDNESDAY, FEBRUARY 15​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
MISS at FLA	06:30 PM	FLA -9.5 U 139.0	+500 +500
VCU at URI	07:00 PM	VCU -7.5 U 133.5	+500 +500
GMU at GW	07:00 PM	GW -1.0 U 146.5	+500 +500
LAF at L-MD	07:00 PM	LAF +0.0 O 124.0	+500 +500
RICH at LAS	07:00 PM	RICH +1.0 O 137.5	+500 +500
SBON at FOR	07:00 PM	FOR -4.5 U 133.0	+500 +500
STJOE at DUQ	07:00 PM	DUQ -7.5 U 147.5	+500 +500
XAV at MARQ	07:00 PM	XAV +5.5 O 159.5	+500 +500
WIN at WEBB	07:00 PM	WEBB -8.0 U 134.5	+500 +500
HP at PRE	07:00 PM	PRE -2.0 U 141.0	+500 +500
CHSO at CAMP	07:00 PM	CHSO +6.0 O 141.5	+500 +500
CHAT at VMI	07:00 PM	VMI +8.0 O 144.5	+500 +500
NAVY at LEH	07:00 PM	LEH +2.5 O 138.5	+500 +500
BU at HC	07:00 PM	HC +2.0 O 135.0	+500 +500
ARMY at COLG	07:00 PM	COLG -12.0 U 146.5	+500 +500
CIN at ECU	07:00 PM	CIN -9.5 O 141.0	+500 +500
UVA at LOU	07:00 PM	UVA -17.0 U 127.5	+500 +500
MER at WOF	07:00 PM	MER +4.0 O 139.5	+500 +500
ETSU at WCU	07:00 PM	ETSU +2.5 O 140.5	+500 +500
FGCU at STET	07:00 PM	STET -3.0 U 143.5	+500 +500
FSU at CLEM	07:00 PM	FSU +9.5 O 146.5	+500 +500
VT at GT	07:00 PM	VT -7.5 U 141.5	+500 +500
ALA at TENN	07:00 PM	ALA +3.0 U 144.5	+500 +500
INDPU at OAK	07:00 PM	OAK -15.0 O 144.0	+500 +500
NJIT at BING	07:00 PM	BING -4.0 U 134.5	+500 +500
UMBC at ALBY	07:00 PM	UMBC -7.0 U 146.5	+500 +500
UNH at UVM	07:00 PM	UVM -12.0 U 131.0	+500 +500
FUR at CIT	07:00 PM	FUR -14.5 O 151.5	+500 +500
LONG at SCUS	07:00 PM	LONG -4.5 O 134.0	+500 +500
UMASS at BRY	07:00 PM	BRY -2.5 U 156.0	+500 +500
UNCG at SAM	07:30 PM	SAM -1.0 O 136.0	+500 +500
EVAN at BEL	07:30 PM	BEL -16.5 O 148.5	+500 +500
UTA at SHSU	07:30 PM	SHSU -12.5 U 123.5	+500 +500
TST at SFA	07:30 PM	TST +7.0 O 137.5	+500 +500
MURR at ILST	08:00 PM	ILST +0.0 U 140.5	+500 +500
USF at TLSA	08:00 PM	USF -4.5 O 148.5	+500 +500
INST at UIC	08:00 PM	INST -9.5 U 146.5	+500 +500
MOSU at BRAD	08:00 PM	BRAD -9.0 O 127.5	+500 +500
UK at MSST	08:30 PM	MSST -2.5 U 127.5	+500 +500
TCU at ISU	09:00 PM	TCU +4.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
ARK at TAM	09:00 PM	TAM -3.0 U 141.5	+500 +500
DAV at SLU	09:00 PM	SLU -6.0 U 145.5	+500 +500
CSN at UCD	09:00 PM	UCD -11.5 U 137.5	+500 +500
IND at NW	09:00 PM	NW +1.0 O 134.5	+500 +500
UTRGV at GRC	09:00 PM	GRC -12.0 U 148.5	+500 +500
DRKE at UNI	09:00 PM	DRKE -6.0 O 137.5	+500 +500
CSF at UCSD	10:00 PM	CSF -3.5 U 128.0	+500 +500
LBSU at UCRV	10:00 PM	LBSU +1.5 O 150.5	+500 +500
UCI at UCSB	10:00 PM	UCI +2.5 O 136.5	+500 +500
CSB at CP	10:00 PM	CP -2.0 O 116.5	+500 +500
BSU at CSU	10:00 PM	BSU -3.0 U 137.5	+500 +500
SEA at CALBA	10:00 PM	SEA +3.0 O 137.0	+500 +500
ORE at WASH	11:00 PM	ORE -5.5 U 143.5	+500 +500
SDSU at FRES	11:00 PM	SDSU -8.5 O 128.5	+500 +500

 

[skoda]

Good info.. I know this takes time and thanks for sharing. Wish you best on your plays except One at 8:30 on SECN… Been a down/up season for Wildcats and hope the road helps them get it together. Huge disappointment so far….

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds to win the college basketball national title:
13-2— Houston
17-2— Purdue
9-1— Alabama
14-1— Arizona, Kansas, UCLA
20-1— Baylor, UConn
22-1— Tennessee, Texas

Quote of the Day
“I can’t begin to imagine what all of you are going through. Look around, look next to you. Shake somebody’s hand. Introduce yourself to someone you don’t know. That’s who we are and that’s who we need to be right now………Don’t be afraid to show your emotions. We all process trauma in different ways. I am just glad we are all here together, tonight. So let me close with a challenge. Let us do a better job taking care of each other.”
Tom Izzo

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, which actress played the owner of the Miami Sharks?

Wednesday’s quiz
Before they moved to Oakland in 1968, Oakland A’s called two other cities home; Kansas City and Philadelphia.

Tuesday’s quiz
The NBA absorbed four teams from the ABA when the ABA folded after the 1975-76 season; Spurs, Nuggets, Pacers, Nets.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Over/under win totals for 2023 baseball, plus other stuff

Over/under win totals for the 2023 baseball season:
NL East
Braves 95.5
Mets 95.5
Phillies 88.5
Marlins 74.5
Nationals 60.5

NL Central
Cardinals 89.5
Brewers 85
Cubs 77.5
Pirates 67.5
Reds 64.5

NL West
Dodgers 96.5
Padres 93.5
Giants 80.5
Arizona 75.5
Rockies 67.5

AL East
New York 95.5
Blue Jays 92.5
Tampa Bay 88.5
Red Sox 77.5
Orioles 76.5

AL Central
Guardians 87.5
White Sox 84.5
Twins 82.5
Tigers 69.5
Royals 68.5

AL West
Astros 96.5
Mariners 88.5
Rangers 82.5
Angels 80.5
A’s 59.5

— Marquette 69, Xavier 68— Xavier led 19-6 early; they were minus-10 in turnovers (17-7). Marquette was only 5-22 on arc; they lead Big East by 1.5 games.

— Cal-Irvine 70, UCSB 59— Anteaters are now tied with Santa Barbara stop Big West standings. Since 2013, Irvine is 129-45 in Big West games; they haven’t made the NCAA’s since 2019, but this could be their year.

— Northwestern 64, Indiana 62— Wildcats blew a 19-point lead, scoring winning hoop with 0:02 left; they’re in 2nd place in Big 14, will be in NCAA Tournament for second time ever.

— Tennessee 68, Alabama 59— Vols were +11 on boards, held Alabama to 35.4% from floor. Crimson Tide hadn’t been #1 in country for 20 years; it didn’t last very long.

— San Diego State 45, Fresno State 43— Not often you score 45 points and win; this was an ugly game. Fresno shot 2-25 on the arc. Aztecs have a 1.5-game lead atop Mountain West standings.

— Virginia 61, Louisville 58— Surprisingly tough win for the Cavaliers.

— Washington 72, Oregon 71 OT— Ducks led by 8 with 12:11 left in game; not good for a bubble team to lose games like this.

— Texas A&M 62, Arkansas 56— Not sure what’s up with the Razorbacks; they led 33-24 at the half, then scored 23 points in second half. Star freshman Nick Smith played 4:00, none in the second half. They keep saying he is a high first round pick in June’s NBA Draft, but he played 4:00 in this game. Not good.

— VCU 55, Rhode Island 54— VCU trailed 44-31 with 11:44 left; they outscored URI 24-10 over last 11:44, win despite going 1-13 on the arc.

— East Carolina 75, Cincinnati 71— Bearcats led by 16 with 9:09 left in game; ECU outscored them 26-6 over the final 9:09. Damaging loss for Cincinnati’s at-large hopes.

— Our update on college basketball referee John Higgins:
January 24— Penn State @ Rutgers
January 25— Utah State @ San Diego State— Long plane ride for a back/back
January 26— Utah @ Oregon State
January 28— California @ Stanford
January 29— Michigan State @ Purdue— Day game after long plane ride.
January 30— Baylor @ Texas
January 31— Kansas State @ Kansas

February 1— Northern Iowa @ Drake- A double overtime game!!! Eight games in nine nights, and a double overtime game on the 9th night.
February 2— Wisconsin @ Ohio State
February 4— Oklahoma @ West Virginia
February 5— Penn State @ Nebraska
February 7— Nevada @ New Mexico
February 8— San Diego State @ Utah State
February 9— USC at Oregon

February 11— Wyoming @ Boise State
February 13— Texas @ Texas Tech
February 14— Kansas State @ Oklahoma
February 15— TCU @ Iowa State

He’s worked 18 games in 23 days, 73 games since November 7, which is 73 games in 102 days. He is 54-years old; why don’t NBA players play on back/back nights?

 

[Udog]

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, February 16

 

[Udog]

NCAAB

Thursday, February 16

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Trend Report
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[Udog]

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, February 16

13 of Thursday’s best college hoop games

Purdue @ Maryland
— Purdue (23-3, 12-3) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #229
— Purdue lost 2 of last 3 games, after a 22-1 start.
— Purdue is 6-1 SU/2-3-1 ATS as a Big 14 road favorite.
— Boilers are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Purdue has #27 eFG% defense in country.
— Boilers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#38)
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #158
— Purdue’s best win: 75-70 over #11 Marquette.

— Maryland (17-8, 8-6) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #282
— Experience: #11
— Continuity: #158
— Maryland won five of its last six games.
— Terps won all seven of their Big 14 home games.
— Maryland is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#46), 30.4% on arc (#336)
— Maryland has #34 eFG% defense in country.
— Terps are 4-6 against top 50 teams.
— Maryland’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #296
— Maryland’s best win: 66-55 over #19 Indiana

— Maryland (+11) lost 58-55 at Purdue January 22.
— Teams combined to go 5-34 on the arc.
— Home team won last eight series games.
— Purdue lost its last three visits to Maryland.

Florida Atlantic @ Middle Tennessee
— Florida Atlantic (24-2, 14-1) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #137
— Continuity: #26
— FAU won last three games, scoring 82.3 ppg.
— FAU gave up 80-86 points in its two losses.
— FAU is 6-1 SU/4-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— Owls have #30 eFG% in country.
— Owls are #23 team in country on defensive boards.
— FAU’s schedule, to this point: #143
— bench minutes: #12
— FAU’s best win: 76-74 at #48 Florida.

— Middle Tennessee (15-11, 8-7) ranked #127 by KenPom
— Tempo: #170
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #21
— MTSU lost four of its last six games.
— MTSU is 5-2 SU/1-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Blue Raiders are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#29)
— Blue Raiders are shooting 52.6% inside arc (#78)
— MTSU is #227 team in country on defensive boards.
— MTSU’s schedule, to this point: #106
— bench minutes: #215
— MTSU’s best win: 74-73 in OT over #65 UAB.

— FAU (-9) beat Blue Raiders 95-67 at home January 26.
— Owls won five of last seven series games.
— FAU lost five of last six visits to Murfreesboro.

Wichita State @ Temple
— Wichita State (13-12, 6-7) ranked #124 by KenPom
— Tempo: #244
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #321
— Wichita State split its last eight games.
— Wichita State is 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS on AAC road.
— Shockers are shooting 52.3% inside arc (#85), 29.3% on arc (#351)
— Opponents are shooting 44.9% inside arc (#14), 32.1% on arc (#81)
— Wichita State is #230 team on defensive boards.
— Wichita State s schedule, to this point: #114
— bench minutes: #198
— Wichita State’s best win: 55-43 over #121 Grand Canyon.

— Temple (14-12, 8-5) ranked #109 by KenPom
— Tempo: #227
— Experience: #198
— Continuity: #52
— Temple lost its last three games, giving up 79.7 ppg.
— Owls are 3-3 SU/1-1 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Temple has #77 eFG% defense in country.
— Owls are #233 team in country on defensive boards.
— Temple is turning ball over 20.6% of time (#310)
— Temple’s schedule, to this point: #81
— bench minutes: #324
— Temple’s best win: 56-55 at #1 Houston

— Wichita State won five of last seven series games.
— Shockers lost 81-79OT/65-53 in last two visits to Temple.

North Texas @ Louisiana Tech
— North Texas (21-5, 12-3) ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #140
— North Texas won its last six games.
— Mean Green is 6-1 SU/4-1 ATS as a C-USA road favorite.
— North Texas has #23 eFG% defense.
— Mean Green is shooting 47.6% inside arc (#282), 36% on arc (#74)
— North Texas is #30 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas’ schedule, to this point: #110
— bench minutes: #220
— North Texas’ best wins: 63-52/82-79 2OT over #65 UAB

— Louisiana Tech (13-12, 6-8) ranked #137 by KenPom
— Tempo: #203
— Experience: #145
— Continuity: #182
— Louisiana Tech lost six of its last nine games
— Bulldogs are 4-2 SU/0-1 ATS as a C-USA home underdog.
— Overall, Tech is 5-1 ATS as a C-USA underdog this year.
— Louisiana Tech has #80 eFG% offense.
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#30)
— Louisiana Tech’s schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #123
— Louisiana Tech’s best win: 79-76 at #132 Samford

— UNT (-9) beat Tech 67-65 at home January 11.
— North Texas led 36-18 at halftime.
— Mean Green won last six series games.
— Teams split their last four meetings in Ruston.

Old Dominion @ James Madison
— Old Dominion (16-10, 8-6) ranked #170 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #287
— Old Dominion won five of its last six games.
— All six games were decided by 6 or less points.
— Monarchs are 5-2 SU/4-1 ATS as Sun Belt road underdogs.
— Old Dominion is shooting 31.9% on arc (#278), 47% inside arc (#301)
— Monarchs are #50 team on offensive boards, #212 on defensive end.
— Old Dominion’s schedule, to this point: #194
— bench minutes: #133
— Old Dominion’s best win: 82-77 over #86 Furman

— James Madison (18-9, 9-5) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #10
— Continuity: #35
— James Madison won seven of its last nine games.
— Dukes are 3-2 SU/2-3 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— James Madison is forcing turnovers 22.8% of time (#21)
— Dukes are getting 21% of points on foul line (#48)
— James Madison is 6-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— James Madison’s schedule, to this point: #202
— bench minutes: #16
— James Madison’s best win: 72-66 at #75 Marshall.

— JMU (+1.5) never trailed, won 78-73 at Old Dominion February 2.
— Dukes won last three series games, by 2-5-5 points.
— Monarchs split their last two visits to James Madison.

Central Florida @ Memphis
— Central Florida (15-9, 6-6) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #166
— Continuity: #335
— UCF won its last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Knights are 2-4 SU/3-2 ATS as an AAC road dog.
— Knights are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#299)
— UCF is shooting 37% on arc (#33), 47.7% inside arc (#277)
— UCF is forcing turnovers 21% of time (#53)
— UCF’s schedule, to this point: #92
— bench minutes: #158
— UCF’s best win: 60-56 in OT over #30 Oklahoma State

— Memphis (19-6, 9-3) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #16
— Experience: #9
— Continuity: #269
— Memphis won seven of its last eight games.
— Memphis is 4-1 SU/1-4 ATS as an AAC home favorite.
— Tigers are shooting 53.9% inside arc (#48).
— Tigers are forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#44)
— Memphis has #51 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #49
— Memphis’ best win: 82-73 over #18 Auburn.

— UCF(-1.5) beat Memphis 107-104 in 2OT’s January 11.
— Memphis led that game by 11 with 4:47 left.
— UCF made 16-35 on the arc.
— Tigers won seven of last nine series games.
— Knights lost their last four visits to Memphis.

Colorado @ Arizona State
— Colorado (14-12, 6-9) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #60
— Experience: #293
— Continuity: #122
— Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
— Colorado is 1-7 SU/2-3 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Buffs are turning ball over 19.5% of time (#258)
— Colorado has #241 eFG% in country.
— Buffs have #55 eFG% defense in country.
— Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #62
— bench minutes: #29
— Colorado’s best win: 78-66 over #4 Tennessee

— Arizona State (18-8, 9-6) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #121
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #241
— ASU won three of its last four games.
— ASU is 4-4 SU/1-4 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— ASU has #14 eFG% defense in country.
— Sun Devils are #274 team in country on defensive boards.
— Sun Devils are shooting 31.7% on arc (#289), 48.5% inside arc (#248)
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #68
— bench minutes: #140
— ASU’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton

— ASU (+9) won 60-59 at Colorado December 1.
— Buffs led 56-44 with 6:07 left in game.
— Colorado won four of last six meetings.
— Buffs won 68-81/75-57 in last two visits to Tempe.

Southern Mississippi @ South Alabama
— Southern Miss (23-4, 12-2) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #137
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #250
— USM won its last nine games (6-3 ATS).
— Eagles won four of six Sun Belt road games SU.
— Eagles are shooting 53.3% on the arc (#63)
— USM is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#72)
— USM is #77 team on offensive boards. #225 on defensive end.
— USM’s schedule, to this point: #217
— bench minutes: #255
— USM’s best win: 76-72 at #45 Liberty.

— South Alabama (13-14, 6-8) ranked #138 by KenPom
— Tempo: #221
— Experience: #194
— Continuity: #346
— South Alabama won five of its last six games
— Jaguars are 4-3 SU/2-2 ATS as a Sun Belt home favorite.
— South Alabama has #50 eFG% defense in country.
— Jaguars are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#65), 32.2% on arc (#268)
— South Alabama is 1-6 against top 100 teams.
— South Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #162
— bench minutes: #309
— South Alabama’s best win: 63-62 over #99 James Madison.

— Southern Miss (-6.5) beat USA 76-72 at home January 19.
— Jaguars had won previous three meetings.

Santa Clara @ BYU
— Santa Clara (19-8, 7-5) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #132
— Santa Clara won its last three games, scoring 78 ppg.
— Broncos are 3-2 SU/2-2 ATS as an WCC road underdog.
— Santa Clara is shooting 49.6% inside arc (#210), 36.5% on arc (#54)
— Santa Clara has #233 eFG% defense.
— Broncos are 7-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #341
— Santa Clara’s best win: 73-58 over #28 Boise State

— BYU (16-12, 6-7) ranked #81 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #227
— BYU lost five of its last seven games.
— Cougars are 4-2 SU/3-1 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
— BYU is turning ball over 20.9% of time (#321)
— BYU is shooting 53.4% inside arc (#61), 32% on arc (#278)
— Cougars are #16 team in country on defensive boards.
— BYU’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #46
— BYU’s best win: 83-80 over #11 Creighton

— Santa Clara (+2) beat BYU 83-76 at home January 19.
— BYU is 4-3 in last seven series games, after a 13-0 run.
— Broncos lost their last nine visits to Provo.

Utah @ Arizona
— Utah (17-9, 10-5) ranked #47 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #183
— Continuity: #51
— Utah won five of its last seven games.
— Utah is 4-3 SU/3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Utah has #4 eFG% defense in country.
— Utes are #80 team on offensive boards.
— Utes are 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #281
— Utah’s best win: 81-66 over #13 Arizona

— Arizona (22-4, 11-4) ranked #13 by KenPom
— Tempo: #8
— Experience: #61
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona won seven of its last eight games
— Wildcats are 6-1 SU/4-3 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— Arizona is shooting 56.6% inside arc (#11), 36.8% on arc (#44)
— Wildcats are #43 team on offensive boards, #86 on defensive end.
— Arizona has #41 eFG% defense.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #289
— Arizona’s best win: 58-52 over #3 UCLA

— Utah (+6) beat Arizona 81-66 at home December 1.
— Teams split last six series games.
— Utes lost their last nine visits to Tucson.

Weber State @ Sacramento State
— Weber State (13-13, 8-5) ranked #217 by KenPom
— Tempo: #275
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #219
— Weber State lost three of its last five games.
— Wildcats split their six Big Sky road games SU.
— Weber State has #324 eFG% defense in country.
— Wildcats are turning ball over 19.8% of time (#268)
— Weber State is 5-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Weber State’s schedule, to this point: #138
— bench minutes: #170
— Weber State’s best win: 75-72 at #39 Utah State

— Sacramento State (12-14, 5-8) ranked #234 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358
— Experience: #64
— Continuity: #273
— Sacramento lost five in row, seven of last eight games.
— Hornets lost five of seven Big Sky games SU.
— Hornets are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#298)
— Sacramento has #290 eFG% defense in country.
— Sacramento is #39 team on offensive boards, #49 on defensive end.
— Sacramento’s schedule, to this point: #173
— bench minutes: #262
— Sacramento’s best win: 76-74 over #146 Long Beach State

— Weber State (-5) beat Sacramento 50-48 at home January 21.
— Wildcats won last five series games.
— Weber State won 82-73/79-59 in last two visits to Sacramento.

Stanford @ UCLA
— Stanford (11-14, 5-9) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #279
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #10
— Stanford won six of its last eight games.
— Cardinal is 1-5 SU/3-2 ATS as a Pac-12 road underdog.
— Stanford is turning ball over 19.6% of time (#260)
— Cardinal is #62 team in country on defensive boards.
— Stanford is 3-11 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Stanford’s schedule, to this point: #63
— bench minutes: #108
— Stanford’s best win: 88-79 over #13 Arizona

— UCLA (21-4, 12-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #105
— Continuity: #150
— UCLA won its last four games, giving up 55.8 ppg.
— Bruins are 6-0 SU/3-3 ATS as a Pac-12 home favorite.
— UCLA is forcing turnovers 25% of time (#4)
— UCLA is #20 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bruins are shooting 36.2% on the arc (#67)
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #273
— UCLA’s best win: 87-60 at #23 Maryland.

— UCLA (-6) beat Stanford 80-66 at Maples December 1.
— UCLA led that game 32-9 early on.
— Bruins won seven of last ten series games.
— Stanford lost 14 of last 15 games in Pauley (won in 2020)

Gonzaga @ LMU
— Gonzaga (21-5, 10-2) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #42
— Continuity: #19
— Gonzaga is 5-1 since being upset by LMU January 19.
— Zags are 5-1 SU/1-4 ATS as a WCC road favorite.
— Gonzaga is shooting 57.7% inside arc (#7), 37.6% on arc (#23)
— Zags are #63 team on defensive boards.
— Gonzaga has #258 eFG% defense in country.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #334
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #2 Alabama

— LMU (17-10, 7-6) ranked #95 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #31
— Continuity: #105
— LMU lost three of its last four games.
— LMU is 5-1 SU/1-0 ATS as a WCC home underdog.
— Lions are shooting 52.2% inside arc (#88), 36.5% on arc (#53)
— Lions are #36 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 51.2% inside arc (#231)
— LMU’s schedule, to this point: #90
— bench minutes: #147
— LMU’s best win: 78-74 in OT over #7 Saint Mary’s

— LMU (+15) upset Gonzaga 68-67 in Spokane January 19.
— Before that, Gonzaga had won the previous 25 series games.
— Zags haven’t lost in Gersten Pavilion since 2010.

 

[Udog]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, February 16

 

[CNOTES]

THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 16​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SFPA at SFBK	02:00 PM	SFBK -1.0 U 136.0	+500 +500
PUR at MD	06:30 PM	PUR -1.0 U 132.0	+500 +500
TXST at APP	06:30 PM	APP -4.5 U 122.5	+500 +500
ODU at JMU	07:00 PM	ODU +8.0 O 141.5	+500 +500
HAMP at HOF	07:00 PM	HAMP +17.0 O 148.0	+500 +500
UNCW at DREX	07:00 PM	DREX +1.0 O 125.5	+500 +500
CWM at STON	07:00 PM	CWM +4.0 O 129.5	+500 +500
DEL at TOWS	07:00 PM	DEL +7.5 O 136.0	+500 +500
MONM at NE	07:00 PM	NE -5.0 U 136.0	+500 +500
GSU at CCU	07:00 PM	GSU +0.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
WKU at CHAR	07:00 PM	WKU +3.5 O 130.5	+500 +500
WICH at TEM	07:00 PM	TEM -4.5 U 137.0	+500 +500
WAG at CCSU	07:00 PM	WAG +1.5 O 121.5	+500 +500
FDU at SH	07:00 PM	FDU +2.0 O 155.5	+500 +500
WIGB at RMU	07:00 PM	WIGB +14.0 O 129.0	+500 +500
QNC at JVST	07:00 PM	QNC +1.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
UNCA at RAD	07:00 PM	UNCA +4.5 O 136.0	+500 +500
LIB at KENN	07:00 PM	LIB -6.5 O 137.0	+500 +500
FAU at MTU	07:00 PM	FAU -4.5 O 144.5	+500 +500
UNT at LT	07:00 PM	UNT -3.5 U 119.0	+500 +500
MILW at YSU	07:00 PM	YSU -10.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
HOU at SMU	07:00 PM	HOU -15.5 O 138.5	+500 +500
GASO at MRSH	07:00 PM	GASO +13.0 O 146.5	+500 +500
MW at HART	07:00 PM	MW -8.5 U 123.5	+500 +500
COFC at ELON	07:00 PM	COFC -13.5 U 149.0	+500 +500
LIU at STONE	07:00 PM	STONE -12.5 O 136.5	+500 +500
CARK at EKY	07:30 PM	CARK +12.5 O 162.5	+500 +500
NORAL at BELL	07:30 PM	NORAL +3.5 O 137.5	+500 +500
COLO at ASU	08:00 PM	ASU -4.0 U 137.0	+500 +500
EIU at SEMO	08:00 PM	SEMO -8.5 U 149.5	+500 +500
JAC at PEAY	08:00 PM	JAC -2.5 U 125.0	+500 +500
USM at USA	08:00 PM	USM -1.0 O 140.5	+500 +500
ULM at ULL	08:00 PM	ULL -13.0 U 139.5	+500 +500
UNF at LIP	08:00 PM	LIP -7.5 O 152.0	+500 +500
UND at ORU	08:00 PM	ORU -19.0 U 156.5	+500 +500
NDSU at KC	08:00 PM	KC +2.0 U 135.0	+500 +500
UCF at MEM	08:00 PM	UCF +6.5 O 149.5	+500 +500
UTSA at RICE	08:00 PM	RICE -11.5 O 153.0	+500 +500
AMCC at NICH	08:00 PM	AMCC +1.5 O 152.5	+500 +500
HCU at LAM	08:00 PM	LAM -1.0 O 150.5	+500 +500
SDAK at NEOM	08:00 PM	SDAK +1.0 O 145.5	+500 +500
LNDNWD at TNTC	08:30 PM	TNTC -7.0 O 135.5	+500 +500
TROY at ARST	08:30 PM	TROY -6.0 U 129.5	+500 +500
SIND at UALR	08:30 PM	SIND -2.0 O 156.5	+500 +500
IW at MCNS	08:30 PM	MCNS -5.5 U 137.0	+500 +500
SMC at USD	09:00 PM	USD +13.5 O 137.0	+500 +500
SCU at BYU	09:00 PM	BYU -5.0 O 149.0	+500 +500
TNST at MORE	09:00 PM	MORE -5.0 O 135.5	+500 +500
SIUE at UTM	09:00 PM	UTM -1.5 U 150.5	+500 +500
UNO at TAMCOM	09:00 PM	TAMCOM -7.5 U 144.0	+500 +500
SDST at DEN	09:00 PM	SDST -4.0 O 144.5	+500 +500
OSU at IOWA	09:00 PM	IOWA -7.5 U 152.5	+500 +500
UAB at UTEP	09:00 PM	UAB -6.0 U 141.0	+500 +500
NAU at EWU	09:00 PM	EWU -10.5 O 151.0	+500 +500
UNCO at IDHO	09:00 PM	UNCO -1.5 U 151.5	+500 +500
SELA at NWST	09:00 PM	NWST -6.5 O 151.0	+500 +500
CAL at USC	10:00 PM	USC -16.0 O 130.0	+500 +500
UTAH at ARIZ	10:00 PM	UTAH +11.0 O 146.0	+500 +500
IDST at PRST	10:00 PM	PRST -4.5 U 145.5	+500 +500
WEB at CSUS	10:00 PM	CSUS -1.5 U 126.0	+500 +500
GONZ at LMU	11:00 PM	LMU +8.5 O 156.5	+500 +500
SF at PAC	11:00 PM	PAC +5.0 O 153.0	+500 +500
ORST at WSU	11:00 PM	ORST +13.0 U 122.5	+500 +500
STAN at UCLA	11:00 PM	STAN +13.5 O 129.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks

Date	W-L-T	%	Units	Record
02/16/2023	60-64-2	48.41%	-5200	Detail
02/15/2023	46-59-3	43.98%	-9450	Detail
02/14/2023	24-27-1	47.12%	-2850	Detail
02/13/2023	19-21-0	47.50%	-2050	Detail
02/12/2023	16-13-1	55.00%	+850	Detail
02/11/2023	158-136-4	53.69%	+4200	Detail
02/10/2023	16-13-0	55.17%	+850	Detail
02/09/2023	33-36-1	47.86%	-3300	Detail
02/08/2023	44-59-1	42.79%	-10450	Detail
02/07/2023	32-22-0	59.26%	+3900	Detail
02/06/2023	12-15-1	44.64%	-2250	Detail
02/05/2023	11-21-0	34.38%	-6050	Detail
02/04/2023	78-84-2	48.17%	-7200	Detail
02/03/2023	12-10-0	54.55%	+500	Detail
02/02/2023	33-30-0	52.38%	+0	Detail
02/01/2023	25-33-3	43.44%	-5650	Detail

 

[Udog]

Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack
Early odds to win next year’s Super Bowl:
6-1— Buffalo/Kansas City
8-1— Philadelphia/San Francisco
10-1— Cincinnati
16-1— Dallas
20-1— Baltimore, Jacksonville, LA Chargers
25-1— Detroit

Quote of the Day
“It is very difficult to adjust to it……I hope we get a dome.”
Chicago Bears QB Justin Fields, talking about the Chicago weather

Friday’s quiz
Who did the New York Knicks play, last time they were in the NBA Finals?

Thursday’s quiz
In the football movie Any Given Sunday, Cameron Diaz played the owner of the Miami Sharks.

Wednesday’s quiz
Before they moved to Oakland in 1968, Oakland A’s called two other cities home; Kansas City and Philadelphia.

****************************

Friday’s Den: Identifying trends for this year’s NCAA tournament

Are there any characteristics that can identify teams that will win the college basketball national title? I’ve studied the last six national champs, and came up with some trends:

— Last five national champs were #1-seeds; Villanova was a #2-seed when they won in 2016, Duke was a #1-seed when they won in 2015.

In 2014, 7-seed UConn beat 8-seed Kentucky in the national title game; since that year, six of the seven national champs have been #1-seeds.

The teams that lost the last seven national title games: four #1-seeds, two #3-seeds and a #8-seed (North Carolina last year)

Power conference teams have ruled the tournament, which doesn’t bode well for Houston in this year’s event.

— Tempo/pace of play— Nothing here; last six national champs have been all over the board as far as tempo goes.

— Offensive efficiency— This one is huge; last six national champs were all in the top 10 in this category. As I type this, that would narrow the potential national champs to:

Baylor
Gonzaga
Houston
Marquette
Iowa
Missouri
Xavier
Miami
Arizona
Purdue

— Defensive efficiency— Last six national champs were all in the top 25 in this category; there are five SEC teams in top 25 defensive efficiency.

— eFG%— This is same as regular FG%, except 3-pointers count as 1.5 baskets made. Five of the last six national champs were in the top 30 in this category.

— eFG% defense— Little bit of a mixed bag; Baylor was #121 two years ago, North Carolina was #71 in 2017. Doesn’t seem to be as important as the offensive end.

— 2-point FG%— Four of last six national champs were in top 50 in 2-point FG%.

— Point distribution— There seems to be no correlation, none, to how national champs got their points. This especially applies to foul shots; of the last six champs, Kansas last year (#184) ranked in the top 200 of getting their points on the foul line.

To beat quality teams, you cannot depend on getting the best of the whistles. Fewer fouls are called in March; guys have to play through contact to have success.

— Non-conference strength of schedule— Baylor ’21/Virginia ’19 had terrible non-conference schedules; the other four champs ranked in the top 90, but Kansas LY (#49) had the only top 50 non-conference schedules.

— Overall strength of schedule— This indicates a trend: five of the last six national champs had an overall strength of schedule in the top 25, pointing us towards the power conferences to pick our national champ. Baylor is 2021 (#54) is the lone exception from the last six years.

— Depth— This one is surprising; of the last six national champs, only North Carolina in 2017 (#69) had bench minutes in the top 200. TV timeouts are longer in the NCAA’s; depth doesn’t mean as much.

— Experience— Of the last six national champs, only Baylor in 2021 was in the top 100 in this category; talent is more important than experience, and there is no metric that measures talent.

— Continuity— This category helps some; four of the last six national champs had a continuity in the top 80, with Baylor (#31), Kansas (#45) winning the last two years. In this day and age when kids transfer a lot, talented teams that bond over a period of 2-3 years have an advantage.

In Thursday’s play……..
— Maryland 68, Purdue 54— Purdue had only two players score more than 6 points; they’ve now lost three of their last four games, after a 22-1 start. Boilermakers scored 54-58 points in their last two games.

— Gonzaga 108, LMU 65— Zags avenged an earlier loss to LMU; they led 68-28 at halftime.

— Middle Tennessee 74, Florida Atlantic 70— Owls are 3-2 in their last five games, after a 21-1 start; they’ve given up 80 ppg in their last three games.

— Iowa 92, Ohio State 75— Buckeyes are in free fall; they’ve lost seven in row, 12 of last 13 games- they’re shooting 46.1% inside arc in Big 14 games.

— Memphis 64, UCF 63— Tigers led 43-35 at halftime; they hung on to win, scoring 20 points in second half. Memphis turned ball over 24 times; they’ve won eight of their last nine games.

— NC-Wilmington 72, Drexel 71, 2OT— Drexel led by 15 early, by 4 with 1:16 left in the first OT. Dragons were just 13-21 on foul line in a one-point loss. UNCW won six of its last seven games; the last two seasons, Seahawks are 48-16, 28-8 in CAA play.

— Southern Indiana 82, Little Rock 81— Trojans lost 11 of their last 14 games; five of their last six losses are by 4 or less points.

— South Alabama 85, Southern Miss 54— Golden Eagles had won nine games in a row, but South Alabama shot 74% inside the arc in this game. USM leads Marshall/Louisiana by one game each in Sun Belt standings.

— RIP Tim McCarver, who passed away at age 81. McCarver caught in the major leagues for 21 years, appearing in four different decades. He then became one of the game’s best TV analysts, working 24 World Series.

McCarver was especially good as a TV analyst for the Mets in the late 80’s; he was great when he worked every day on.a local broadcast, as opposed to only once a week on network TV. I learned a lot listening to him every night.

RIP, sir.

 

[Udog]

CORNELL is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

KENT ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in a home game where the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.

RIDER is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

DAYTON is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

CLEVELAND ST is 30-15 ATS (13.5 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game forcing opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

FAIRFIELD is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) in road games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

IONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

NIAGARA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the current season.

COLUMBIA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival in the last 3 seasons.

BROWN is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

IUPU-FT WAYNE is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the last 3 seasons.

PENNSYLVANIA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) after playing a game as an underdog in the current season.

SIENA is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6 games over the last 2 seasons.

SOUTHERN UTAH is 14-5 ATS (8.5 Units) in home games when playing only their 2nd game in a week in the last 3 seasons.

WYOMING is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

NEW MEXICO is 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

GRAND CANYON is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in home games against conference opponents in the current season.