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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, January 8


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Member
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Sunday, January 8


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Trend Report
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SUNDAY, JANUARY 8​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
L-MD at HC01:00 PMHC -2.0
U 129.5
+500 +500
LIB at EKY01:00 PMLIB -9.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
BUCK at LAF01:00 PMBUCK +1.0
O 129.5
+500 +500
WICH at USF01:00 PMUSF -1.5
U 128.5
+500 +500
OSU at MD01:00 PMMD -2.0
U 136.0
+500 +500
OAK at WRST01:00 PMOAK +5.5
O 151.0
+500 +500
UMBC at BRY01:00 PMBRY -5.0
U 158.5
+500 +500
CAN at SPU02:00 PMCAN +3.0
O 130.0
+500 +500
NIAG at MAN02:00 PMMAN +3.5
O 128.0
+500 +500
IONA at QUIN02:00 PMIONA -6.0
O 147.0
+500 +500
MSM at MRST02:00 PMMSM -1.0
U 124.5
+500 +500
RID at SIE02:00 PMSIE -4.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
LEH at NAVY02:00 PMLEH +9.5
O 138.0
+500 +500
BU at AMER02:00 PMAMER -3.5
U 126.0
+500 +500
DETU at NKU02:00 PMDETU +5.0
O 134.0
+500 +500
SMU at UCF02:00 PMUCF -9.0
O 130.0
+500 +500
NJIT at ME02:00 PMME -6.5
U 132.5
+500 +500
HOU at CIN03:00 PMHOU -9.5
U 135.0
+500 +500
UMASS at ALBY03:00 PMUMASS -9.5
U 139.5
+500 +500
WASH at ASU05:00 PMWASH +9.0
O 138.0
+500 +500
PUR at PSU06:00 PMPSU +5.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Next weekend’s Wild Card games:
Saturday 4:30— Seahawks @ San Francisco
8:15— Chargers @ Jacksonville
Sunday 1:00— Dolphins @ Buffalo
4:30— Giants @ Minnesota
8:15— Ravens @ Cincinnati
Monday 8:15— Cowboys @ Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“We didn’t feel like there was more risk [of further injury] but I know he was hurting, and he was hurting bad. But that’s the kind of competitor he is, that’s the kind of person he is, and kind of teammate and leader he is that he was able to go out there and tough through it.”
Eagles’ coach Nick Sirianni, talking about QB Jalen Hurts

Monday’s quiz
Detroit Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991; who did they beat in that game?

Sunday’s quiz
Jameis Winston has thrown for the most yards (19,737) in Tampa Bay Bucs’ history.

Saturday’s quiz
Stan Kroenke owns the LA Rams; he also owns the NBA’s Denver Nuggets.

******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……

Seahawks 19, Rams 16 OT

— Mayfield completed only 13-26 passes, for 147 yards.
— Rams in 2nd half/OT: 32 plays, 99 yards, 3 points.
— Rams lost 11 of last 14 games SU (5-9 ATS).
— Rams were 4-2 scoring 20+ points, 1-10 when they scored less.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 162-55 in second half.

— Seahawks made the playoffs when the Lions beat Green Bay.
— Seattle tied this game with 2:23 left on a 22-yard field goal.
— Seattle won the game on a field goal on their 2nd possession of OT.
— Seattle held last three opponents to 297/279/269 total yards.
— Seahawks visit the Bay Area, play the 49ers in playoffs next week.

Lions 20, Packers 16
— Detroit won eight of its last ten games (9-1 ATS).
— Last ten games, Lions were +14 in turnovers (18-4)
— Last six games, Detroit outscored foes 94-51 in second half.
— Lions were 5-2 ATS as a road underdog this season.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 12-21-1 SU, 23-10-1 ATS.

— Green Bay missed playoffs for first time since 2018.
— Packers had won/covered their last four games before this loss.
— Green Bay kicked a FG on three of its first four drives.
— WR Watson caught five passes for 104 yards.
— Green Bay was 1-8 this year when they scored less than 24 points.

Bills 35, Patriots 23
— Bills won their last seven games, scoring 29.3 ppg.
— Bills ran two kicks back for TD’s, including opening kickoff.
— Last three games, Buffalo converted 21-37 third down plays.
— Bills won six of last seven games with New England.
— Last three Buffalo games went over the total.

— With this loss, Patriots are eliminated from playoff contention.
— New England went 2-5 SU/1-6 ATS in their last seven games
— Both teams turned ball over three times.
— New England was 7-0 giving up 17 or less points, 1-9 giving up 20+.
— Last six games, Patriots converted 30-100 third down plays.

Dolphins 11, Jets 6
— Dolphins win; they’re the #7 seed in the AFC, visit Buffalo next week.
— Sanders kicked a 50-yard FG with 0:18 left for the win.
— Miami won six of its eight home games this season.
— Miami is 6-4 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— Dolphins’ win snapped their 5-game losing skid.

— Last three games, Jets had 30 drives, didn’t score a TD.
— Jets went 2-8 in their last ten games, after a 5-2 start.
— Jets were outgained 302-187, ran ball 20 times for 38 yards.
— Jets went 6-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 scoring less than 20.
— 10 of last 12 Jet games stayed under the total.

Vikings 29, Bears 13
— Vikings went 13-4 this season, despite being outscored by 3 points.
— Minnesota outgained the Bears 482-259.
— Vikings averaged 10.3 yards/pass attempt.
— Minnesota is 11-0 when it scores 24+ points, 2-4 when it does not.
— Seven of their last nine games went over the total.

— Texans won, so Chicago gets the first pick in April’s draft.
— Bears lost ten in row, 13 of last 14 games SU (3-10-1 ATS)
— QB Peterman was 11-19/114 passing in his first start in four years.
— Last four games, Bears converted 12-47 on third down.
— Last ten games, Chicago gave up 33.2 ppg.

Texans 32, Colts 31
— Mills threw 28-yard TD pass with 0:50 left for the win.
— By winning, Houston slips to #2 in April’s draft.
— Texans led 24-14 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
— Last six games, Houston was outscored 88-49 in second half.
— Last five weeks, Houston had 13 takeaways (+5 turnovers)

— Colts lost 10 of their last 11 games SU.
— Both teams turned ball over three times in this game.
— Colts went 1-6 ATS as a favorite this year.
— Six of their last eight games went over the total.
— Colts had 14 turnovers in last six games (minus-5)

Panthers 10, Saints 7
— Piniero kicked a 42-yard FG as time expired for the win.
— QB Darnold played whole game, was 5-15/43 passing, with two INT’s.
— Carolina’s only TD; they recovered Darnold’s fumble in end zone.
— Panthers went 5-3 SU last eight games, 8-3 ATS in last 11.
— Panthers are 13-9 ATS in last 22 games as a road underdog.

— Saints outgained Carolina, 304-203.
— Panthers are 5-2 ATS in last seven visits to Bourbon Street.
— New Orleans held 8 of last 9 foes under 6.0 yards/pass attempt.
— Saints went 3-1 after their bye week, giving up 12 ppg.
— Saints are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games coming off a win (2-5 TY).

Falcons 30, Buccaneers 17
— Atlanta covered spread for first time since Week 6.
— Falcons outscored Tampa Bay 20-0 in second half.
— Atlanta split rookie QB Ridder’s four starts.
— In Ridder’s four starts, Falcons converted 25-56 on third down.
— Seven of their last ten games were decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Tampa Bay used all three of its QB’s in this game.
— Bucs have home playoff game next week, rested guys in 2nd half.
— Tampa Bay is 7-1 allowing less than 20 points, 1-8 giving up 20+.
— Buccaneers are 2-11-1 ATS in their last 14 games.
— Bucs were held under 100 yards rushing in 14 of last 16 games.

Steelers 28, Browns 14
— Browns went 3-3 SU/ATS in Watson’s six starts.
— Watson’s six games: Browns scored 8 TDs on 57 drives, with 21 3/outs.
— Steelers sacked Watson seven times in this game.
— Browns were 2-7 this year when they ran for less than 171 yards.
— Browns were 7-4 giving up 24 or less points, 0-6 giving up more than 24.

— Steelers won/covered six of their last seven games.
— In those seven games, Steelers converted 70-129 (54.3%) on third down
— In this game, Steelers were 9-15 on 3rd down, Cleveland 5-12.
— Steelers finish 9-8; Tomlin has still never had a losing season.
— That said, last five years, Pittsburgh is 0-2 in playoff games.

Bengals 27, Ravens 16
— These teams will meet again in the playoffs here next week.
— #3 QB Brown was 19-44/286 passing with two INT’s.
— Ravens turned ball over four times (minus-3).
— Last five weeks, Baltimore was outscored 51-16 in second half.
— Baltimore is 2-6 ATS in its last eight games.

— Bengals’ first three drives: 28 plays, 143 yards, 17 points.
— Cincinnati won its last eight games (12-2 ATS last 14).
— Baltimore outgained the Ravens, 386-257.
— Last three games, Bengals were held to 53-73-55 rushing yards.
— Bengals are 11-0 if they score 21+ points, 1-4 if they score 20 or less.

Broncos 31, Chargers 28
— Chargers didn’t need this; they play at Jacksonville next week.
— Chargers are 9-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-6 if they give up 27+.
— Last 12 games, Chargers converted 78-174 on third down (44.1%)
— Chargers are 4-8 ATS in last 12 AFC West road games.
— Denver outrushed the Chargers, 205-59.

— Broncos ran for 205 yards, outgained Chargers 471-352
— Jeudy caught five passes for 154 yards.
— Denver averaged 10.2 yards/pass attempt.
— Denver covered five of its last six games.
— Last five Denver games went over the total.

49ers 38, Cardinals 13
— San Francisco won its last ten games (8-2 ATS)
— 49ers outscored last nine opponents 157-54 in second half.
— 49ers are 10-0 when they score 24+ points, 3-4 when they don’t.
— Last five games, 49ers converted 65-132 (49.2%) on third down.
— 49ers are 8-1 ATS as a home favorite this season.

— 49ers host Seattle in the playoffs Saturday.
— Cardinals lost their last seven games, and 11 of their last 13.
— Arizona turned ball over four times, ran for only 61 yards.
— Arizona was 1-13 SU when it scores less than 29 points.
— Last 12 games, Arizona was outscored 191-92 in 2nd half.

Eagles 22, Giants 16
— Giants went 3-6-1 SU in last 10 games, after a 6-1 start.
— Giants are 13-4 ATS this season, 5-2 as a road underdog.
— Giants are 8-0-1 allowing 20 or less points, 1-7 allowing 21+ points.
— Davis Webb played QB for Giants (23-40/168 passing).
— Giants visit Minnesota in playoffs next week.

— Eagles clinch #1 seed in NFC, have next week off.
— Philly won 15 of last 19 games against the Giants.
— Giants covered five of last six visits to Philadelphia.
— Hurts was 20-35/229 passing in his return to the lineup.
— Philly is 7-2 SU/6-3 ATS at home this season.

Commanders 26, Cowboys 6
— #5-seed Dallas visits Tampa Bay in playoffs next Monday night.
— Cowboys are 0-8 in last eight road playoff games (last win- 1992)
— Prescott threw a pick-6 that made score 13-0 Washington.
— Cowboys missed the PAT after their only touchdown.
— Cowboys are 7-6 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite (2-3 TY).

— Rookie QB Howell was 11-19/169 in first NFL start.
— Washington went 1-3-1 SU/1-4 ATS in its last five games.
— Commanders outgained Dallas 309-182 in this game.
— Washington was 5-1 when it scores 23+ points, 3-7-1 if they didn’t.
— 12 of their last 15 games stayed under the total.
 

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NEW MEXICO is 68-40 ATS (24 Units) in home games after one or more consecutive overs since 1997.

S CAROLINA ST is 49-29 ATS (17.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.

PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 11-3 Under (7.7 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.

IUPUI is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) off a road loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

ARMY is 30-12 ATS (16.8 Units) in January games since 1997.

NORFOLK ST is 16-5 Under (10.5 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

NC CENTRAL is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) as a dog in the current season.

MD-EAST SHORE is 17-5 ATS (11.5 Units) after playing a game as a road underdog in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA A&M is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games when the total is 129.5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

ALCORN ST is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better over the last 2 seasons.

MISS VALLEY ST is 7-0 Over (7 Units) off a home cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

ALABAMA A&M is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season in the current season.

BETHUNE-COOKMAN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Long Sheet

Monday, January 9


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IUPUI (3 - 13) at ROBERT MORRIS (7 - 9) - 1/9/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IUPUI is 164-207 ATS (-63.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
IUPUI is 164-207 ATS (-63.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
IUPUI is 51-75 ATS (-31.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
IUPUI is 96-131 ATS (-48.1 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
IUPUI is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
IUPUI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
IUPUI is 26-55 ATS (-34.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ROBERT MORRIS is 1-1 against the spread versus IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
ROBERT MORRIS is 1-1 straight up against IUPUI over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORAL ROBERTS (13 - 3) at NEW MEXICO (14 - 2) - 1/9/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORAL ROBERTS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (6 - 10) at ARK-PINE BLUFF (5 - 11) - 1/9/2023, 6:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 3-0 against the spread versus ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M is 4-0 straight up against ARK-PINE BLUFF over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLGATE (9 - 7) at ARMY (9 - 7) - 1/9/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLGATE is 5-1 against the spread versus ARMY over the last 3 seasons
COLGATE is 5-1 straight up against ARMY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NORFOLK ST (11 - 5) at DELAWARE ST (1 - 13) - 1/9/2023, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 4-3 against the spread versus DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
NORFOLK ST is 7-0 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NC CENTRAL (6 - 8) at COPPIN ST (6 - 12) - 1/9/2023, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
COPPIN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NC CENTRAL over the last 3 seasons
NC CENTRAL is 2-1 straight up against COPPIN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOWARD (8 - 9) at MD-EAST SHORE (7 - 8) - 1/9/2023, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MD-EAST SHORE is 1-1 against the spread versus HOWARD over the last 3 seasons
HOWARD is 2-0 straight up against MD-EAST SHORE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S CAROLINA ST (3 - 14) at MORGAN ST (7 - 8) - 1/9/2023, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MORGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons
MORGAN ST is 3-0 straight up against S CAROLINA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA ST (3 - 12) at ALCORN ST (4 - 10) - 1/9/2023, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ALCORN ST is 3-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
ALCORN ST is 3-0 straight up against ALABAMA ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA A&M (2 - 11) at GRAMBLING (9 - 6) - 1/9/2023, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLORIDA A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus GRAMBLING over the last 3 seasons
FLORIDA A&M is 2-0 straight up against GRAMBLING over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS SOUTHERN (4 - 12) at MISS VALLEY ST (1 - 16) - 1/9/2023, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 3-0 against the spread versus MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 3-0 straight up against MISS VALLEY ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA A&M (5 - 10) at JACKSON ST (3 - 12) - 1/9/2023, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus ALABAMA A&M over the last 3 seasons
JACKSON ST is 1-1 straight up against ALABAMA A&M over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BETHUNE-COOKMAN (5 - 10) at SOUTHERN U (7 - 9) - 1/9/2023, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN U is 1-1 against the spread versus BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN U is 1-1 straight up against BETHUNE-COOKMAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Messages
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NCAAB

Monday, January 9


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Trend Report
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South Carolina State @ Morgan State
South Carolina State
No trends to report
Morgan State
No trends to report

Prairie View A&M @ Arkansas-Pine Bluff
Prairie View A&M
No trends to report
Arkansas-Pine Bluff
No trends to report

IUPUI @ Robert Morris
IUPUI
IUPUI is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Robert Morris
No trends to report

Colgate @ Army
Colgate
No trends to report
Army
No trends to report

Norfolk State @ Delaware State
Norfolk State
No trends to report
Delaware State
No trends to report

Howard @ Maryland-Eastern Shore
Howard
No trends to report
Maryland-Eastern Shore
No trends to report

North Carolina Central @ Coppin State
North Carolina Central
No trends to report
Coppin State
No trends to report

East-West @ Chicago State
East-West
No trends to report
Chicago State
Chicago State is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Chicago State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Florida A&M @ Grambling State
Florida A&M
No trends to report
Grambling State
No trends to report

Texas Southern @ Mississippi Valley State
Texas Southern
No trends to report
Mississippi Valley State
No trends to report

Alabama State @ Alcorn State
Alabama State
No trends to report
Alcorn State
No trends to report

Alabama A&M @ Jackson State
Alabama A&M
No trends to report
Jackson State
No trends to report

Bethune-Cookman @ Southern
Bethune-Cookman
No trends to report
Southern
No trends to report

Oral Roberts @ New Mexico
Oral Roberts
No trends to report
New Mexico
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games at home
New Mexico is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home


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Thanks for the trends and Dunkel reports. The Dunkel is new to me. I’m interested in keeping an eye on it.
 

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MONDAY, JANUARY 9​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
SCST at MORG06:00 PMSCST +9.0
O 150.0
+500 +500
PV at ARPB06:30 PMARPB +3.5+500
INDPU at RMU07:00 PMINDPU +16.0
O 127.5
+500 +500
COLG at ARMY07:00 PMCOLG -7.5
U 152.0
+500 +500
NORF at DSU07:30 PMDSU +13.0
U 133.0
+500 +500
HOW at UMES07:30 PMU 135.5+500
NCCU at COPP07:30 PMNCCU -2.0
U 154.5
+500 +500
FAMU at GRAM08:00 PMFAMU +15.5
O 127.5
+500 +500
ALST at ALCN08:30 PMALCN -8.0+500
AAMU at JKST08:30 PMJKST -5.5+500
TXSO at MVSU08:30 PMMVSU +8.5
O 133.5
+500 +500
COOK at SOU09:00 PMSOU -9.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
ORU at UNM09:00 PMORU +5.5
U 162.5
+500 +500
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Next weekend’s Wild Card games, with spreads/totals:
Saturday 4:30— Seahawks @ San Francisco (-10, 43)
8:15— Chargers (-1, 47) @ Jacksonville
Sunday 1:00— Dolphins @ Buffalo (-10.5, 44.5)
4:30— Giants @ Minnesota (-3, 48.5)
8:15— Ravens @ Cincinnati (-6.5, 43.5)
Monday 8:15— Cowboys (-3, 45) @ Tampa Bay

Quote of the Day
“I’m not looking at it as far as being a part of a rebuild, however that looks. That’s why I trust my camp and my representation to be able to get a map from here to there and to see what that looks like to be a part of something that has a trusted plan.”
Texans’ WR Brandin Cooks, who would like to be traded

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Arizona Cardinals’ coach, last time they won a playoff game?

Monday’s quiz
Detroit Lions haven’t won a playoff game since 1991; they beat Dallas 38-6 in that day.

Sunday’s quiz
Jameis Winston has thrown for the most yards (19,737) in Tampa Bay Bucs’ history.

*******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Georgia 65, TCU 7
Dawgs win national title for second year in a row.
Georgia had six drives in first half; five TD’s and a field goal.
This was one of the worst games I’ve seen in several years.
TCU’s punter, by the way, is a 29-year old Australian.

— Houston Texans head coaches, 2020-23:
2020– Bill O’Brien
2021– David Culley
2022– Lovie Smith
2023– to be decided

Texans are the worst organization in the NFL

— Arizona fired HC Kliff Kingsbury, GM Steve Keim Monday; Cardinals were 28-38-1 in four years under Kingsbury, losing their only playoff game last year. Kingsbury had previously gone 35-40 in six years coaching Texas Tech, going 1-2 in bowl games.

— 2022 Chicago Bears are the first NFL team ever to finish with the most rushing yards in the league but also finish with the most losses.

— Washington Commanders’ rookie Sam Howell was the 65th QB to start an NFL game this season, the most ever in a non-strike year.

— Buccaneers are third team ever to win an NFL division with a losing record; the other two were Seattle in 2010, Carolina in 2014. Both of those teams won their Wild Card game, then lost the following week.

— LA Dodgers DFA’d pitcher Trevor Bauer; they have to pay him $22.5M this year, and whoever picks him up only has to pay him $750,000.

— DeJuan Clayton is a 6-2 guard for the Cal Bears’ basketball team. He is in his 7th year of college basketball, which doesn’t happen much. Clayton will turn 26 years old in May.
2016-21— Coppin State
2021-22— Hartford
2022-23— California

— Random trivia: When Robert Kennedy was assassinated in 1968, his replacement in the US Senate was Charles Goodell, who had been a 4-term Congressman.

Charles Goodell is/was the father of NFL commissioner Roger Goodell.

— Phillies/Tigers made a trade over the weekend:
Phillies get: RP Gregory Soto, IF Kody Clemens
Tigers get: OF Matt Vierling, utility guy Nick Maton, C Donny Sands

— Seattle Mariners signed OF AJ Pollock to a one-year, $7M deal.

— Raiders’ QB Derek Carr has a no-trade clause in his hefty contract; you get the feeling he is going to wind up waiving the no-trade clause to land with a team that will start him.

— Favorites went 27-15 SU, 19-22-1 ATS in bowls this season. Under was 21-19-2.

— All six Wild Card games this weekend are rematches from during the season; we’ll have info on all six games posted on our NFL page later this week.

— Bills’ QB Josh Allen threw for 704 yards, ran for 124 more in two games vs Miami this season; he is only player EVER with 700+ passing yards, 100+ rushing yards against one team in the regular season.
 

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Tuesday, January 10


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 10

13 of Tuesday’s best college hoop games

Butler @ St John’s

— Butler (10-7, 2-4) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #219
— Experience: #92
— Continuity: #212
— Butler started out 2-4 in Big East games.
— Bulldogs are 2-3 in true road games; wins were over teams #203/#221
— Butler is 3-7 against top 100 teams.
— Bulldogs are shooting 42.6% inside arc (last), 28.8% on arc (last) in Big East tilts.
— Bulldogs’ last six losses were all by 15+; their Big East losses are all by 20+.
— Butler’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #357
— Butler’s best win: 76-64 over #26 Kansas State

— St John’s (11-6, 1-5) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #119
— Continuity: #80
— St John’s lost its last five games, after an 11-1 start.
— In those five games, Red Storm gave up 85.8 ppg.
— Red Storm is shooting 52% inside arc (#103), 31.6% on arc (#266)
— St John’s is 3-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Red Storm is #40 team in country on offensive boards
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #123
— bench minutes: #181
— St John’s best win: 70-50 over #85 Nebraska

— St John’s won three of last four meetings.
— Butler lost five of last six visits here.
— Big East home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-3 ATS.

Oklahoma State @ Kansas State
— Oklahoma State (9-6, 1-2) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #62
— Continuity: #130
— OSU split its last eight games.
— Cowboys are 2-5 in top 100 games.
— Foes are shooting 42% inside arc (#6), 28.4% on arc (#14)
— OSU is turning ball over 22% of time (#330)
— OSU is grabbing 33% of its misses (#60)
— OSU’s schedule, to this point: #27
— bench minutes: #148
— OSU’s best win: 67-60 over #23 West Virginia.

— Kansas State (14-1, 3-0) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #81
— Experience: #36
— Continuity: #326
— K-State won its last eight games; they’re 6-1 vs top 100 teams.
— Two of Wildcats’ three Big X wins came in overtime.
— K-State is forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#32)
— Wildcats’ only loss: 76-64 at #83 Butler.
— K-State is shooting 54.2% inside the arc (#42).
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #89
— bench minutes: #325
— K-State’s best win: 116-103 over #8 Texas

— Oklahoma State won five of last six meetings.
— K-State lost last three visits to Stillwater, by 6-7-3 points.
— Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 2-6 ATS.

Michigan State @ Wisconsin
— Michigan State (11-4, 3-1) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #298
— Experience: #152
— Continuity: #127
— MSU won its last six games, after a 5-4 start.
— Spartans are 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT.
— MSU is 6-4 against top 100 teams.
— Spartans are #22 team in country on defensive boards.
— Spartans are shooting 47.9% inside arc (#262), 37.1% on arc (#42)
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #17
— bench minutes: #194
— MSU’s best win: 86-77 over #25 Kentucky, in 2 OT’s

— Wisconsin (11-3, 3-1) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #330
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #134
— Wisconsin won six of its last seven games.
— Badgers are shooting 47.3% inside arc (#277), 37.3% on arc (#40)
— Wisconsin is #49 team in country on defensive boards.
— Badgers are 6-2 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Wisconsin is 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— Wisconsin’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #277
— Wisconsin’s best win: 80-77 over #15 Marquette, in OT

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Spartans won three of last four visits to Madison.
— Home teams are 9-2 ATS in Big 14 games where spread was 3 or less points.

Florida @ LSU
— Florida (8-7, 1-2) ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #40
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #234
— Florida lost four of its last six games.
— Florida is 0-6 if it scores less than 76 points.
— Gators are 1-7 against top 100 teams.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#17)
— Florida is 1-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #57
— Gators’ best win: 82-75 over #93 Georgia.

— LSU (12-3, 1-2) ranked #80 by KenPom
— Tempo: #209
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #351
— Tigers lost their last two games, after a 12-1 start.
— LSU is forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#74).
— Opponents are shooting 51.7% inside arc (#247)
— Tigers are 5-2 in games decided by 4 or less points.
— Tigers are 12-3 vs top 100 teams.
— LSU’s schedule, to this point: #253
— bench minutes: #164
— LSU’s best win: 60-57 over #10 Arkansas.

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Gators won two of last three visits to Baton Rouge.
— SEC home teams are 5-1 ATS in games with spread of 5 or less.

Toledo @ Kent State
— Toledo (10-5, 1-1) ranked #103 by KenPom
— Tempo: #14
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #26
— Toledo is shooting 39.2% on arc (#13), 53.1% inside arc (#66)
— Rockets are 1-1 against top 100 teams.
— Toledo is #274 team in country on defensive boards.
— Toledo split its four true road games.
— Rockets are 4-2 in games decided by 7 or less points/OT.
— Toledo’s schedule, to this point: #233
— bench minutes: #335
— Toledo’s best win: 93-85 over #63 UAB.

— Kent State (12-3, 2-0) ranked #72 by KenPom
— Tempo: #86
— Experience: #53
— Continuity: #55
— Kent State won its last five D-I games.
— Kent State is forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#7)
— Flashes are 3-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Flashes are #290 team in country on defensive boards.
— Kent State is 0-3 against top 125 teams.
— Kent State’s schedule, to this point: #208
— bench minutes: #266
— Kent State’s best win: 73-63 over #151 New Mexico State.

— Kent State won five of last seven series games.
— Toledo lost four of last five visits to Kent.
— MAC home teams are 5-1 ATS in games with spread of 8 or less points.

Texas Tech @ Iowa State
— Texas Tech (10-5, 0-3) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #148
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #318
— Red Raiders are 0-3 in Big X, losing by 5-3-6 points.
— Texas Tech turned ball over 23.9% of time in those games.
— Texas Tech is shooting 57% inside arc (#13).
— Red Raiders are forcing turnovers 23.3% of time (#24)
— Texas Tech is 0-5 vs teams in top 100.
— Texas Tech’s schedule, to this point: #164
— bench minutes: #236
— Texas Tech’s best win: 64-55 over #145 Louisiana Tech.

— Iowa State (12-2, 3-0) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #296
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #177
— Iowa State won first three Big X games, giving up 63 ppg.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 29.9% of time (#1)
— Cyclones are shooting 53% inside the arc (#70)
— Iowa State is 6-2 vs teams in the top 100.
— Cyclones are 4-0 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #86
— bench minutes: #222
— Iowa State’s best win: 68-65 over #12 Virginia.

— Texas Tech won seven of last eight series games.
— Red Raiders won three of last four visits to Ames.
— Big X home favorites of 7 or less points are 2-6 ATS.

Oklahoma @ Kansas
— Oklahoma (10-5, 1-2) ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #153
— Oklahoma split its last eight games, after an 8-1 start.
— Sooners are 5-5 vs top 100 teams, 1-3 vs top 50 teams.
— Oklahoma won by 5 at Texas Tech, lost by 4 at Villanova, its true road games.
— Sooners are shooting 38.2% on arc (#21), 55.6% inside arc (#24)
— Sooners are 3-4 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Oklahoma’s schedule, to this point: #21
— bench minutes: #242
— Oklahoma’s best win: 68-63 in OT over #41 Texas Tech

— Kansas (14-1, 3-0) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #150
— Experience: #241
— Continuity: #225
— Kansas won its last eight games.
— Kansas is 9-1 vs top 100 teams, 7-1 vs top 50 teams.
— Jayhawks’ only loss: 64-50 to #2 Tennessee.
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 22.1% of time (#43)
— Kansas is shooting 38.2% on the arc (#23)
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #4
— bench minutes: #349
— Kansas best win: 69-64 over #24 Duke.

— Kansas won 12 of last 15 series games.
— Sooners lost their last 15 visits to Lawrence, last two by 4-2 points.
— Big X home favorites are 2-8 ATS.

North Carolina @ Virginia
— North Carolina (11-5, 3-2) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #22
— Continuity: #14
— North Carolina won 6 of last 7 games, after an 0-4 skid.
— Tar Heels are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 12-8-2 points.
— North Carolina is getting 23% of its points on foul line (#18)
— Tar Heels are shooting 53.8% inside arc (#54), 31.9% on arc (#248)
— North Carolina is 2-4 against top 50 teams.
— North Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #10
— bench minutes: #360
— North Carolina’s best win: 89-84 in OT over #12 Ohio State

— Virginia (11-3, 3-2) ranked #14 by KenPom
— Tempo: #361
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #9
— Virginia split its last six games, after an 8-0 start.
— Cavaliers are 5-3 against top 100 teams.
— Virginia is 5-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Cavaliers are shooting 38% on the arc (#28)
— Opponents are shooting 43.8% inside arc (#19)
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #45
— bench minutes: #147
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #27 Baylor.

— Virginia won seven of last nine series games.
— Tar Heels lost their last seven visits to Charlottesville.
— ACC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-2 ATS.

Auburn @ Ole Miss
— Auburn (12-3, 2-1) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #187
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #66
— Auburn is 4-3 in last seven games, after an 8-0 start.
— Tigers allowed 82-74-76 points in their three losses.
— Opponents are shooting 44.7% inside arc (#31), 26.1% on arc (#3)
— Auburn is shooting 29.2% on arc (#331)
— Tigers are #9 team in country on offensive boards.
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #12
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #10 Arkansas

— Ole Miss (8-7, 0-3) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #261
— Experience: #157
— Continuity: #217
— Ole Miss is 2-7 in last nine games, after a 6-0 start.
— Revels lost first three SEC games, scoring 58.3 ppg.
— Rebels are shooting 29% on the arc (#337)
— Ole Miss is 2-6 against top 100 teams.
— Rebels are #15 team in country on offensive boards.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Ole Miss is 3-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #22
— Ole Miss best win: 80-67 over #38 Florida Atlantic

— Teams split their last eight meetings.
— Teams also split their last six games in Oxford.
— SEC home underdogs are 4-2 ATS so far this season.

Villanova @ DePaul
— Villanova (8-8, 2-3) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #135
— Villanova lost three of its last four games.
— Wildcats are shooting 53.5% inside arc (#55)
— Villanova is 2-6 against top 100 teams
— Villanova is 2-7 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wildcats are 2-5 outside Philadelphia.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #311
— Villanova’s best win: 70-66 over #31 Oklahoma.

— DePaul (7-9, 1-4) ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #74
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #293
— DePaul lost five of its last six games.
— DePaul is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Big East opponents are shooting 46.7% on the arc
— DePaul is shooting 45.7% inside arc (#307)
— Blue Demons are 0-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— DePaul’s schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #280
— DePaul’s best win: 103-98 in OT over #155 Samford.

— Villanova won its last 22 games with DePaul.
— Wildcats’ last loss to the Blue Demons was in 2008.
— Big East home underdogs are 5-5 ATS.

Illinois @ Nebraska
— Illinois (10-5, 1-3) ranked #32 by KenPom
— Tempo: #58
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #346
— Illinois split its last eight games, after 6-1 start.
— Illini lost by 5 at Maryland, by 13 at Northwestern, its two true road games.
— Illinois is turning ball over 20.7% of time (#294)
— Illini shooting 56.6% inside arc (#18)
— Illinois is 4-5 vs top 100 teams.
— Illinois schedule, to this point: #95
— bench minutes: #87
— Illinois best win: 79-70 over #4 UCLA

— Nebraska (9-7, 2-3) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #252
— Nebraska is 2-7 against top 100 teams.
— Huskers are shooting 53% inside arc (#74), 29.5% on arc (#326).
— Nebraska is 7-0 scoring 66+ points, 2-7 scoring less than 66.
— Huskers won three of last four games, overall.
— Only 2 of Nebraska’s 16 games were decided by less than 10 points.
— Nebraska’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #261
— Nebraska’s best win: 63-53 at #17 Creighton

— Illinois won last five series games.
— Illini won 77-72/81-71 in last two visits to Lincoln.
— Big 14 home underdogs are 3-4 ATS.

Fresno State @ San Jose State
— Fresno State (6-9, 2-2) ranked #153 by KenPom
— Tempo: #326
— Experience: #79
— Continuity: #45
— Fresno split its four Mountain West games, despite shooting 27.4% on arc.
— Bulldogs are 2-4 in true road games, winning at Irvine/Bakersfield.
— Fresno is turning ball over 19.8% of time (#241)
— Fresno is 3-6 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Bulldogs are 3-7 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Fresno’s schedule, to this point: #57
— bench minutes: #146
— Fresno’s best win: 71-67 over #68 New Mexico

— San Jose State (11-6, 2-2) ranked #133 by KenPom
— Tempo: #348
— Experience: #159
— Continuity: #41
— San Jose lost its last two games, after an 11-4 start.
— San Jose is 4-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Spartans are turning ball over 20.2% of time (#265)
— San Jose is #11 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#21).
— San Jose’s schedule, to this point: #115
— bench minutes: #310
— San Jose’s best win: 75-72 in OT over #71 UNLV.

— Fresno State won last 11 series games.
— Bulldogs won last four visits here, by 14-20-6-30 points.
— Mountain West home favorites of 7 or less points are 5-1 ATS.

Nevada @ San Diego State
— Nevada (14-3, 4-0) ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #38
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #180
— Nevada won its last six games.
— Wolf Pack is 4-1 in true road games, losing by 13 at #58 Oregon.
— Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#45)
— Wolf Pack is 3-2 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Nevada gets 24.9% of its points on foul line (#6)
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #67
— bench minutes: #332
— Nevada’s best win: 74-72 over #48 Boise State

— San Diego State (12-3, 3-0) ranked #20 by KenPom
— Tempo: #99
— Experience: #20
— Continuity: #47
— SDSU won four of its last five games.
— SDSU is forcing turnovers 22.6% of time (#35)
— Aztecs’ three losses are to teams ranked #9-10-11 in country.
— Aztecs are 4-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— SDSU is #49 team in country on defensive boards.
— SDSU’s schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #55
— SDSU’s best win: 88-77 over #12 Ohio State

— San Diego State won last eight series games.
— Nevada lost last 10 games in Viejas, last three by 5-2-2 points.
— Mountain West home favorites of 8+ points are 1-3 ATS.
 

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Messages
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TUESDAY, JANUARY 10​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUT at SJU06:30 PMBUT +3.0
O 149.0
+500 +500
VCU at L-IL07:00 PMVCU -3.5
U 136.0
+500 +500
OKST at KSU07:00 PMKSU -4.5
U 137.5
+500 +500
DAY at FOR07:00 PMDAY -7.5
U 125.5
+500 +500
HART at SFBK07:00 PMHART +9.0
O 128.5
+500 +500
EMU at WMU07:00 PMEMU +2.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
BALL at OHIO07:00 PMOHIO -2.0
U 144.5
+500 +500
TOL at KENT07:00 PMKENT -4.0
U 152.5
+500 +500
AKR at BGSU07:00 PMBGSU +4.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
BUFF at M-OH07:00 PMM-OH +3.0
O 153.5
+500 +500
GT at ND07:00 PMGT +5.0
O 137.0
+500 +500
BEL at VALP07:00 PMBEL -5.0
U 142.0
+500 +500
MSU at WIS07:00 PMWIS +1.0
U 127.5
+500 +500
FLA at LSU07:00 PMLSU +2.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
SCAR at UK07:00 PMSCAR +20.0
O 131.5
+500 +500
TTU at ISU08:00 PMISU -5.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
TEM at TLSA08:00 PMTEM -3.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
CMU at NIU08:00 PMCMU +1.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
MURR at UNI08:00 PMUNI -3.5
U 137.5
+500 +500
DRKE at UIC08:00 PMDRKE -11.5
U 137.0
+500 +500
HALL at GTWN08:30 PMGTWN +9.0
O 142.5
+500 +500
ILL at NEB09:00 PMNEB +3.5
O 139.0
+500 +500
OKLA at KU09:00 PMOKLA +10.5
O 133.0
+500 +500
VILL at DEP09:00 PMVILL -6.5
U 139.5
+500 +500
UNC at UVA09:00 PMUVA -4.5
O 132.5
+500 +500
AUB at MISS09:00 PMMISS +1.5
U 133.0
+500 +500
VAN at TENN09:00 PMTENN -17.5
U 132.5
+500 +500
AFA at CSU09:00 PMCSU -9.0
U 132.5
+500 +500
FRES at SJSU10:00 PMSJSU -2.5
U 122.0
+500 +500
WYO at USU10:30 PMUSU -9.5
U 141.5
+500 +500
NEV at SDSU11:00 PMSDSU -9.5
U 138.5
+500 +500
 

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