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Tuesday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads:
— Cowboys (-9.5) @ Tennessee
— Panthers @ Tampa Bay (-3)
— Colts @ NJ Giants (-3.5)
— Bears @ Detroit (-5.5)
— Dolphins @ New England (-2)
— Browns @ Washington (-2.5)

Quote of the Day
“………we’ve got to get better. We want to improve. We want to see where we are. These last two games matter. They’re division opponents to us, very important to our football team to see the competition, to see guys compete against our division. I think it’s important for each man, it’s important for each unit and it’s important for our whole football team.”
Chicago Bears coach Matt Eberflus

Tuesday’s quiz
Where did James Harden play his college basketball?

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the Rams’ starting QB from midway thru 2016 until 2020. Case Keenum was the Rams’ starter before Goff.

Sunday’s quiz
Craig Morton started at QB for the Dallas Cowboys, first time they played in a Super Bowl, way back in Super Bowl V against the Colts.

********************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

— If the NFL playoffs started today, these QB’s would start in the playoffs:
AFC
Buffalo— Josh Allen, 1st round pick (#7)
Kansas City— Patrick Mahomes, 1st round pick (#10)
Cincinnati— Joe Burrow, 1st round pick (#1)
Jacksonville— Trevor Lawrence, 1st round pick (#1)
Baltimore— Lamar Jackson, 1st round pick (#32)
LA Chargers— Justin Herbert, 1st round pick (#6)
Miami— Tua Tagovoiloa, 1st round pick (#5)/Teddy Bridgewater, 1st round (#32)

All seven AFC starting QB’s would be first round draft picks.

NFC
Philadelphia— Jalen Hurts, 2nd round pick
Minnesota— Kirk Cousins, 4th round pick
San Francisco— Brock Purdy, 7th round pick
Tampa Bay— Tom Brady, 6th round pick
Dallas— Dak Prescott, 4th round pick
NJ Giants— Daniel Jones, 1st round pick (#6)
Washington— Carson Wentz, 1st round pick (#2)

Only 2 of 7 starting QB’s in NFC playoffs would be first round picks.

— Green Bay Packers have won their last fifteen December games; their next game is being played Sunday, January 1st.

— Tua Tagovoiloa went into concussion protocol Monday; sounds like he’ll be out for this week’s game in New England. Teddy Bridgewater is the backup QB; Skylar Thompson is the #3 QB.

Meanwhile, Miami is 32nd in kickoff coverage, 25th in punt coverage, 31st in kickoff returns and 30th in punt returns. Special teams suck, QB is hurt, team has lost four games in a row.

— Denver Broncos did the inevitable, fired coach Nathaniel Hackett, who seemed overmatched in the #1 chair. Denver is 4-11 despite selling the farm to acquire Russell Wilson:

Denver sent two first round picks to Seattle, plus…….
Two second round picks
A fifth round pick
three players
They’re paying Wilson a guaranteed $165M……..and they’re 4-11.

— In his last seven games, Jacksonville Jaguars’ QB Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 1,909 yards, with 14 TD passes, only one INT. Hiring Doug Pederson as coach has worked out great for Jacksonville, which is stunningly in first place in AFC South with two weeks to go.

Chargers 20, Colts 3
— Chargers clinched their first playoff berth since 2018.
— Chargers’ first 3 drives: 9 plays, 18 yards, no first downs.
— Chargers last 7 drives: 58 plays, 278 yards, 20 points.
— Under is 6-2 in Bolts’ last eight games.
— Chargers are 8-1 giving up less than 27 points, 1-5 if they give up 27+.

— Last three games, Colts were outscored 82-9 in 2nd half/OT.
— Colts were 0-10 on third down, Chargers 8-18
— Last five games, Colts converted 18-89 (26.1%) third down plays.
— Colts are 3-1-1 scoring 20+ points, 1-9 if they score less.
— Colts lost eight of their last nine games SU.

New Mexico State 24, Bowling Green 19
— Last 10 years, NM State was 26-85; they went 7-6 this year.
— Aggies started season 0-4, outscored 147-32.
— This was coach Kill’s first win in six bowl games.
— Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in last ten Quick Lane Bowls.

— So far in bowl games this month, underdogs are 10-7 ATS; under is 10-6-1 in those games.

— A reminder that since 2010, when a QB wins the Heisman Trophy, his team is 12-5 SU in bowl games that year, 10-7 against the spread. Caleb Williams’ USC squad is a 2-point favorite over Tulane in the Cotton Bowl next week.

— Apparently the day the Mets announced they were signing Carlos Correa to the big contract that he hasn’t signed yet, the Mets sold $1M in single game tickets. In one day.

— NBC flexed Rams-Chargers out of this week’s Sunday night slot, and chose Steelers-Ravens for their 8:15 telecast.

— Atlanta Falcons covered their first six games this season; they’re 0-9 ATS in their last nine games, and now they’re starting a rookie QB.

— It was 46 degrees in Miami Christmas afternoon, when the Packers nipped Miami; it was the coldest Dolphins’ home game since 1989.

— One day last week, price of gas went down 40 cents a gallon; that was a pleasant surprise.

— New Mexico Lobos are 12-0, albeit vs schedule #275; Lobos are #22 in this week’s top 25 college basketball poll, first time in nine years New Mexico has been there.

— Former Texas QB Hudson Card is transferring to Purdue; he started five games at Texas, but Arch Manning is coming to Austin, so Card wasn’t going to play there anymore.

— NFL officials are getting soft with roughing-the-passer penalties; someone on the Dolphins gave Aaron Rodgers a two-hand shove after he threw a pass, and they threw a flag. No way this was a penalty; guys who played QB in the 80’s and earlier had to be laughing— they used to get pummeled by pass rushers. Way easier to play QB now, and opposed to the old days.

— Last thing today; it baffles me that Cleveland didn’t want Baker Mayfield as its QB; the guy went 30-31 as QB of the Browns, 1-1 in playoff games. You win a playoff game in Cleveland, you figure they’d build the guy a statue, but they went all in on Deshaun Watson and told Mayfield to take a hike. Go figure.

Watson went 28-25 in Houston, 1-2 in playoff games, but he’s been sued by dozens of women. You really want the face of your franchise to have numerous off-field issues? I would not.
 

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JACKSONVILLE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 4 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers over the last 2 seasons.

NORTHWESTERN ST is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games in the current season.

SETON HALL is 7-0 Under (7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS (6 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

TEXAS are 96-56 Under (34.4 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points since 1997.
 

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NCAAB

Tuesday, December 27


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Trend Report
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Northwestern State @ Texas A&M
Northwestern State
No trends to report
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern State
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Northwestern State

Jacksonville @ Notre Dame
Jacksonville
No trends to report
Notre Dame
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games at home
Notre Dame is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games at home

College of Saint Elizabeth @ NJIT
College of Saint Elizabeth
No trends to report
NJIT
No trends to report

Georgia Southwestern @ Jacksonville State
Georgia Southwestern
No trends to report
Jacksonville State
Jacksonville State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

Texas A&M-Commerce @ Texas
Texas A&M-Commerce
No trends to report
Texas
Texas is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas's last 5 games at home

Seton Hall @ Marquette
Seton Hall
Seton Hall is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing on the road against Marquette
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seton Hall's last 6 games when playing Marquette
Marquette
Marquette is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Marquette's last 6 games when playing Seton Hall

South Carolina State @ Texas Tech
South Carolina State
No trends to report
Texas Tech
Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas Tech's last 5 games at home


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NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, December 27


DM1iuuO.png
 

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, December 27


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SETON HALL (7 - 6) at MARQUETTE (9 - 4) - 12/27/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARQUETTE is 129-80 ATS (+41.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
SETON HALL is 191-152 ATS (+23.8 Units) as an underdog since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 3-1 against the spread versus SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 2-2 straight up against SETON HALL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSONVILLE (7 - 3) at NOTRE DAME (7 - 5) - 12/27/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
NOTRE DAME is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
NOTRE DAME is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in December games over the last 2 seasons.
NOTRE DAME is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTHWESTERN ST (8 - 4) at TEXAS A&M (6 - 5) - 12/27/2022, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
NORTHWESTERN ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 1-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN ST over the last 3 seasons
0 of 0 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S CAROLINA ST (2 - 12) at TEXAS TECH (9 - 2) - 12/27/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M-COMM (4 - 9) at TEXAS (10 - 1) - 12/27/2022, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 26-52 ATS (-31.2 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
TEXAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 27

HALL at MARQ08:00 PMHALL +7.0
O 142.0
+500 +500
 

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DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/27/20221-1-050.00%-50Detail
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12/13/202213-8-061.90%+2100Detail
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12/07/202223-13-063.89%+4350Detail
12/06/202218-13-157.81%+1850Detail
12/05/20223-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/04/202212-17-041.38%-3350Detail
12/03/202210-12-045.45%-1600Detail
12/02/202212-5-070.59%+3250Detail
12/01/20227-6-053.85%+200Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

NFL leaders in receptions:
123— Justin Jefferson, Minn
113— Tyreek Hill, Miami
101— Stefan Diggs, Buff
99— Austin Ekeler, LAC
97— Travis Kelce, KC
96— Amon-Ra St Brown, Det

Quote of the Day
“You’re a goddamn quarterback! You know what that means? It’s the top spot, kid. It’s the guy who takes the fall. It’s the guy everybody’s looking at first – the leader of a team – who will support you when they understand you. Who will break their ribs and their noses and their necks for you, because they believe. ‘Cause you make them believe. That’s a quarterback.”
Al Pacino, Any Given Sunday

Wednesday’s quiz
In the old TV show Batman, what actor played the Joker?

Tuesday’s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

Monday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the Rams’ starting QB from midway thru 2016 until 2020. Case Keenum was the Rams’ starter before Goff.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den; Mid-week musings…….

— NFL teams with most touchdown plays of 20+ yards:
16— Eagles, Raiders, Seahawks
15— 49ers
13— Dolphins
12— Cowboys

— NFL teams with fewest touchdown plays of 20+ yards:
1— Steelers— only one of their 24 TD’s was on a play of 20+ yards.
3— Colts, Buccaneers
4— Falcons
5— Rams, Texans

— Wake Forest QB Sam Hartman is bolting to Notre Dame; he played 45 games over five years for the Deacons, will be 24 next summer. He has one year of college eligibility left.

By way of comparison, Ravens’ QB Lamar Jackson will turn 26 next week; he’s already in his fifth year in the NFL.

As an Oakland A’s baseball fan, I despise free agency, but that’s where we are with college football now. Colleges are paying players NIL money and obviously, QB’s make the most $$$. Hartman must be getting paid to transfer away from Wake; why wouldn’t he just play pro football instead?

— NFL coaches with shortest tenures:
1978— Pete McCulley, 49ers- went 1-8, got fired, then they hired Bill Walsh.
1976— Lou Holtz, Jets- went 3-10, quit, went back to college coaching
2007— Bobby Petrino, Falcons— also went 3-10, quit, went back to college coaching
2021— Urban Meyer, Jaguars— went 2-11, got fired, then they hired Doug Pederson.
2022— Nathaniel Hackett— went 4-11, got fired. Who do they hire next?

— Denver Broncos also fired their special teams coach, offensive line coach with two games left to go. Defensive coordinator Ejiro Evero turned down an offer to be the interim coach, but he’ll interview to be their new head coach.

Condoleeza Rice owns a small part of the Broncos; she has connections to Stanford. I’ll guess that former Stanford coach David Shaw is going to get an interview for this job.

— Over their last three games, Green Bay Packers ran 196 plays, their opponents ran 138. Green Bay outscored those teams 45-9 in the second half.

— Jets are getting QB Mike White back this week, for their game in Seattle. Jets scored 21.7 ppg in White’s three starts (1-2) this season.

— Arizona DE JJ Watt announced he is retiring after the season; he’s had a great 12-year career, winning Defensive Player of Year three times, but he’s a better person than he was a ballplayer.

While playing for the Texans, Watt helped raise $38-40M to help flood victims in Houston after Hurricane Harvey ravaged Houston in 2017.

Buffalo 23, Georgia Southern 21
Buffalo converted 12-19 third down plays.
GSU QB Vantrease threw for 355 yards against his old team.
Buffalo wins its third straight bowl game.

Memphis 38, Utah State 10
Tigers threw for 284 yards (9.8 yards/pass attempt)
Game was 24-3 at halftime.
Memphis gained 179 yards, just in the 2nd quarter.

East Carolina 53, Coastal Carolina 29
Pirates averaged 5.4 yards/running play, 8.1 yards/pass play.
Chanticleers lost three fumbles (minus-3 in turnovers)
penalties: Coastal 11-98 yards; ECU 11-130.

Wisconsin 24, Oklahoma State 7
Both teams had new QB’s; the starters both transferred.
Badgers ran ball 47 times for 258 yards (5.7 yards/carry).
Oklahoma State completed only 14-31 passes.

— Bad beat in the NBA Monday night; with 2:56, Pistons (+5.5) led Clippers 126-112, but not only did they not win the game, they didn’t even cover, losing 142-131 in overtime.

— There was almost a similar bad beat in the NBA Tuesday night; Knicks (+5.5) led Dallas 110-101 with 0:44 left in game- they lost 126-121 in overtime. Ugly loss.

Knicks were only 15-24 in foul line; Luka Doncic was 16-22 on the line by himself. Mavericks made 25-33 on the line overall.

Doncic, by the way, scored 60 points, with 21 rebounds, 10 assists.

— Baseball stuff:
Braves gave C Sean Murphy a 6-year, $73M contract
Rangers gave P Nathan Eovaldi a 2-year, $34M deal
Pirates gave 42-year old P Rich Hill a one-year, $8M deal

Hill will be 43 in March; he was 8-7, 4.27 in 26 starts for the Red Sox last year. Pittsburgh will be his 12th major league team.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 28

13 of Wednesday’s best college hoop games

Tennessee @ Ole Miss

— Tennessee (10-2, 0-0) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #196
— Experience: #128
— Continuity: #158
— Tennessee won nine of its last ten games.
— Vols lost their only true road game 75-70 at #8 Arizona.
— Tennessee is grabbing 39.9% of its misses (#1)
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#3)
— Vols are 4-2 vs top 100 teams, 4-0 on neutral floors.
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #121
— bench minutes: #181
— Tennessee’s other loss: 78-66 to #56 Colorado.

— Ole Miss (8-4, 0-0) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #250
— Experience: #148
— Continuity: #231
— Ole Miss lost four of last six games, after a 6-0 start.
— Rebels are 2-3 vs top 100 teams, beating teams #41/#66.
— Ole Miss is grabbing 38.1% of its misses (#7)
— Opponents are shooting 43.5% inside arc (#23).
— Rebels are shooting 31.4% on arc (#275)
— Ole Miss schedule, to this point: #187
— bench minutes: #12
— Ole Miss lost its last game, 66-65 to #287 North Alabama.

— Tennessee won six of last seven series games.
— Vols lost four of last six visits to Oxford.

Villanova @ UConn
— Villanova (7-5, 1-0) ranked #53 by KenPom
— Tempo: #340
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #129
— Villanova is 5-0 with star frosh Whitemore playing.
— Wildcats are 1-4 outside Philly, 2-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Wildcats are 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Villanova is shooting 34.2% on the arc (#136).
— 49.6% of Villanova’s shots are 3’s (#7).
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #73
— bench minutes: #327
— Villanova’s best win: 70-66 vs #33 Oklahoma

— UConn (13-0, 2-0) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #178
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #258
— UConn won its first two Big East games, by 22-11 points.
— Huskies is 6-0 vs top 100 teams, with all wins by 10+ points.
— UConn’s best win: 82-67 over #12 Alabama.
— Huskies are shooting 57.1% inside arc (#20)
— UConn is grabbing 35.6% of its misses (#27)
— UConn schedule, to this point: #151
— bench minutes: #56
— Huskies are shooting 37.3% on arc (#48)

— Villanova won six of last seven series games.

Kentucky @ Missouri
— Kentucky (8-3, 0-0) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #204
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #215
— Wildcats won five of their last six games.
— Kentucky is 2-3 vs top 100 teams, beating teams #48/#70.
— Kentucky’s best win: 73-69 vs #48 Michigan, in England.
— Wildcats are rebounding 37.6% of their misses (#12)
— Wildcats are shooting 39.9% on the arc (#8)
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #153
— Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside arc (#19).

— Missouri (11-1, 0-0) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #24
— Experience: #16
— Continuity: #316
— Missouri is 3-1 vs top 100 teams, losing 95-67 to #5 Kansas.
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 26.5% of time (#4)
— Tigers are #346 team in country on defensive boards.
— Missouri is shooting 61.6% inside arc (#2), 36.9% on arc (#58)
— Opponents are shooting 36.1% on the arc (#281)
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #318
— bench minutes: #33
— Tigers’ best win: 93-71 over #31 Illinois on neutral floor.

— Kentucky won 10 of last 12 series games.
— Wildcats lost two of last three visits to Columbia.

Florida @ Auburn
— Florida (7-5, 0-0) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #26
— Experience: #63
— Continuity: #236
— Florida is 0-5 vs top 100 teams, scoring 63.8 ppg.
— Florida is 1-3 in games decided by 9 or less points.
— Florida is 2-3 away from home.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#32).
— Florida’s best win: 76-67 at #149 Florida State.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #92
— bench minutes: #44
— Gators are #31 team in country on defensive boards.

— Auburn (10-2, 0-0) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #67
— Auburn split last four games, after an 8-0 start.
— Auburn is 3-2 vs top 100 teams, losing to teams #27/#67.
— Tigers’ best win: 43-42 vs #45 Northwestern.
— Auburn is grabbing 37% of their misses (#16)
— Opponents are shooting 43.9% inside arc (#30)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #88
— bench minutes: #8
— Tigers are turning ball over 20.1% of time (#255)

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Gators lost two of last three visits to Auburn.

Wichita State @ Central Florida
— Wichita (7-5, 0-0) ranked #93 by KenPom
— Tempo: #295
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #317
— Wichita is 1-4 vs top 100 teams (3 losses by 5 or less)
— Opponents are shooting 41.8% inside arc (#8)
— Shockers are shooting 28.1% on the arc (#343)
— Shockers split two true road games, decided by 3-5 points.
— Wichita’s schedule, to this point: #218
— bench minutes: #64
— Wichita’s best win: 56-53 at #98 Richmond.
— Wichita is 2-4 in games decided by 9 or less points.

— UCF (9-3, 0-0) ranked #58 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #154
— Continuity: #358
— UCF’s three losses are by total of 7 points.
— Knights split their four top 100 games.
— UCF is shooting 37.8% on arc (#34)
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#50)
— UCF schedule, to this point: #201
— bench minutes: #128
— UCF won two of its three overtime games.
— UCF’s best win: 60-56 in OT vs #30 Oklahoma State

— Shockers won eight of last nine series games.
— Wichita won 3 of last 4 visits here, losing 71-66 LY.

Missouri State @ Northern Iowa
— Missouri State (5-7, 1-1) ranked #128 by KenPom
— Tempo: #345
— Experience: #155
— Continuity: #331
— Missouri State hasn’t played in ten days.
— Bears lost four of their last five games.
— Missouri State is 1-7 vs top 200 teams, beating #111 MTSU.
— Missouri State is shooting 58.4% on foul line (#361).
— Bears are 0-4 in games decided by 4 or less points.
— Missouri State schedule, to this point: #108
— bench minutes: #7
— Missouri State’s only true road win: 66-51 at #253 UIC

— Northern Iowa (5-7, 1-1) ranked #167 by KenPom
— Tempo: #199
— Experience: #335
— Continuity: #311
— UNI won its last two games, after a 3-7 start.
— Opponents are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#256)
— Panthers are 2-6 vs teams in top 200.
— UNI’s best win: 83-66 vs #129 Towson.
— UNI is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#85)
— UNI’s schedule, to this point: #249
— bench minutes: #345
— Panthers are 1-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.

— Northern Iowa won eight of last nine series games.
— Bears lost five of last six visits to Cedar Falls.

Bradley @ Belmont
— Bradley (9-4, 2-0) ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #282
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #74
— Bradley won six of its last seven games.
— Braves are 2-4 vs top 150 teams.
— Bradley won first two MVC tilts, giving up 53-40 points.
— Braves are 1-0 in games decided by 11 or less points.
— Opponents are shooting 42.1% inside arc (#12)
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #107
— Bradley’s best win: 74-55 over #123 Akron.

— Belmont (8-5, 1-1) ranked #131 by KenPom
— Tempo: #169
— Experience: #208
— Continuity: #273
— Belmont is shooting 41.5% on arc (#2)
— Bruins are scoring 40.8% of their points on 3’s (#12)
— Bruins are #332 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bruins are 3-5 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— Belmont is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Belmont schedule, to this point: #133
— bench minutes: #151
— Belmont won six of its last eight D-I games.

Alabama @ Mississippi State
— Alabama (10-2, 0-0) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #270
— Continuity: #280
— Alabama’s two losses are vs teams ranked #2/#11.
— Crimson Tide is grabbing 37.3% of its misses (#14)
— Opponents are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#16)
— Alabama is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#321)
— Crimson Tide’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #11
— bench minutes: #78
— Alabama won five of its seven top 100 games.

— Mississippi State (11-1, 0-0) ranked #36 by KenPom
— Tempo: #341
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #203
— Miss State lost its last game, 58-52 to #90 Drake.
— Miss State is 2-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Marquette/Utah.
— Miss State’s best win: 58-55 over #25 Marquette.
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#20).
— Opponents are shooting 41.4% inside arc (#6)
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #324
— bench minutes: #34
— Bulldogs are grabbing 38.2% of their misses (#6).

— Alabama won four of last five series games.
— Crimson Tide lost four of last five visits to Starkville.
— Home side won 10 of last 11 regular season meetings.

Arkansas @ LSU
— Arkansas (11-1, 0-0) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #278
— Continuity: #332
— Arkansas’ only loss: 90-87 to #24 Creighton in Maui Classic
— Hogs are 3-1 in top 100 games, beating teams #26/#33/#85.
— Arkansas is forcing turnovers 25.6% of time (#9).
— Hogs are shooting 55.9% inside arc (#32)
— Arkansas is #25 team in country on defensive boards.
— Arkansas schedule, to this point: #179
— bench minutes: #277
— This is Arkansas’ first true road game (3-1 on neutral floor)

— LSU (11-1, 0-0) ranked #78 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #108
— Continuity: #351
— LSU’s one loss: 61-59 to #51 to K-State on Cayman Islands.
— LSU is forcing turnovers 21.9% of time (#53)
— Tigers are 1-1 in top 100 games (beat #83 Wake Forest by 2)
— Opponents are shooting 28.7% on the arc (#32)
— Tigers has played only four top 200 teams.
— LSU schedule, to this point: #350
— bench minutes: #161
— LSU is 6-1 in games decided by 9 or less points.

— Arkansas swept LSU last year, winning by 7-1-12 points.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Xavier @ St John’s
— Xavier (10-3, 2-0) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #46
— Xavier won its last six games, scoring 85.5 ppg.
— Musketeers are shooting 40.9% on arc (#3).
— Xavier is 4-3 vs top 100 teams (all losses to top 20 teams).
— Xavier has road wins at #168 Georgetown/#71 Cincinnati.
— Musketeers are #56 team in country on defensive boards
— Xavier schedule, to this point: #50
— bench minutes: #271
— Xavier is 3-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.

— St John’s (11-2, 1-1) ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #6
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #90
— St John’s was held to 60-63 points in its two losses.
— Red Storm are grabbing 35.8% of their misses (#24).
— St John’s best win: 76-69 in OT over #87 Syracuse.
— Red Storm split their four top 100 games.
— Only 5 of their 11 wins are against top 200 teams.
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #302
— bench minutes: #232
— Red Storm are shooting 30.6% on the arc (#298)

— St John’s won last three meetings, by 9-13-15 points.
— Before that, Xavier had won previous 12 series games.

Colorado State @ New Mexico
— Colorado State (8-5, 0-0) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #200
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #219
— CSU is 1-4 in top 100 games; they won at #18 Saint Mary’s.
— Rams lost three of their last four D-I games.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#83)
— Rams are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#21).
— Colorado State’s best win: 62-60 at #18 Saint Mary’s.
— Colorado State’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #67
— Colorado State was held to 65 or less points in 4 of 5 losses.

— New Mexico (12-0) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #29
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #48
— New Mexico is in AP’s Top 25 for first time in nine years.
— Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#54)
— Lobos are shooting 54.1% inside arc (#61)
— Only 26.6% of New Mexico’s shots are 3’s (#352)
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 over #18 Saint Mary’s.
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #274
— bench minutes: #282
— Lobos are 3-0 vs top 100 teams, beating teams #18-62-86.

— Colorado State won last four series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in Albuquerque.

UNLV @ San Jose State
— UNLV (11-1, 0-0) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #66
— Experience: #54
— Continuity: #268
— UNLV won its only true road game, 95-78 at #181 San Diego
— UNLV is forcing turnovers 29.7% of time (#2)
— Rebels allowed more than 68 points in only 3 of 12 games.
— Opponents are shooting 31.9% on the arc (#123)
— 49.1% of opponents’ shots are 3’s (#4)
— UNLV schedule, to this point: #229
— bench minutes: #171
— UNLV is 3-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.

— San Jose State (9-4, 0-0) ranked #151 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #153
— Continuity: #41
— San Jose is 2-3 vs teams ranked in top 200.
— San Jose is #12 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 42.6% inside arc (#15).
— Spartans are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 15-42 points.
— San Jose is shooting 53% inside arc (#84)
— San Jose’s schedule, to this point: #269
— bench minutes: #332
— San Jose’s best win: 75-64 at #101 Santa Clara.

— UNLV won last ten series games.
— Rebels won last six visits to San Jose.

Boise State @ Nevada
— Boise State (10-3, 0-0) ranked #60 by KenPom
— Tempo: #225
— Experience: #195
— Continuity: #111
— Boise State won eight of its last nine D-I games.
— Broncos are 6-2 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Boise State is #6 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 43% inside arc (#17), 27.4% on arc (#17).
— Boise is shooting 47.7% inside arc (#257).
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #153
— bench minutes: #274
— Boise State’s best win: 86-71 over #72 Texas A&M.

— Nevada (10-3, 0-0) ranked #88 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #185
— Nevada split its four top 100 games.
— Nevada is 6-3 against top 200 teams.
— Opponents are shooting 43.4% inside arc (#21)
— Nevada is getting 25.3% of its points on foul line (#3)
— Nevada is 6-1 when it scores 70+ points.
— Nevada’s schedule, to this point: #96
— bench minutes: #351
— Nevada’s best win: 78-60 over #80 Sam Houston State.

— Boise State swept Nevada LY, winning by 15-6-2 points.
— Broncos lost six of last seven visits to Reno.
 

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NCAAB

Wednesday, December 28


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Trend Report
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WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 28​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
UNCW at MONM05:00 PMUNCW -12.5+500
TENN at MISS05:00 PMTENN -7.5
U 131.0
+500 +500
VILL at CONN06:30 PMVILL +12.5
O 137.0
+500 +500
RID at UGA07:00 PMRID +9.5
O 136.5
+500 +500
UK at MIZZ07:00 PMMIZZ +3.0
O 148.5
+500 +500
DUQ at DAY07:00 PMDAY -8.5+500
TEM at ECU07:00 PMTEM +1.0+500
DAV at FOR07:00 PMFOR -1.0
O 141.0
+500 +500
CHS at BALL07:00 PMCHS +11.0+500
MER at SAM07:00 PMMER +1.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
FLA at AUB07:00 PMAUB -5.5+500
WICH at UCF07:00 PMUCF -6.0+500
BRAD at BEL08:00 PMBEL +1.0+500
ILST at UIC08:00 PMILST +1.0+500
MOSU at UNI08:00 PMUNI -2.5+500
XAV at SJU09:00 PMSJU +2.0
O 163.0
+500 +500
ARK at LSU09:00 PMLSU +4.0+500
ALA at MSST09:00 PMALA -1.0+500
SUU at NMSU09:00 PMSUU +5.5+500
HOU at TLSA09:00 PMHOU -20.5+500
CSU at UNM09:00 PMUNM -6.0
U 151.0
+500 +500
UNLV at SJSU10:00 PMUNLV -4.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
BSU at NEV10:00 PMBSU +2.5
O 131.0
+500 +500
WYO at FRES11:00 PMWYO +1.0+500
AFA at SDSU11:00 PMAFA +16.5+500
 

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DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
12/28/202222-12-164.29%+4400Detail
12/27/20221-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/25/20226-4-060.00%+800Detail
12/24/20221-1-050.00%-50Detail
12/23/20226-5-154.17%+250Detail
12/22/202216-13-055.17%+850Detail
12/21/202234-35-049.28%-2250Detail
12/20/202223-12-264.86%+4900Detail
12/19/20226-12-033.33%-3600Detail
12/18/202213-14-148.21%-1200Detail
12/17/202239-42-348.21%-3600Detail
12/16/20225-10-033.33%-3000Detail
12/15/20223-6-033.33%-1800Detail
12/14/202211-14-144.23%-2200Detail
12/13/202213-8-061.90%+2100Detail
12/12/20226-5-054.55%+250Detail
12/11/202215-17-046.88%-1850Detail
12/10/202238-46-045.24%-6300Detail
12/08/20222-4-033.33%-1200Detail
12/07/202223-13-063.89%+4350Detail
12/06/202218-13-157.81%+1850Detail
12/05/20223-3-050.00%-150Detail
12/04/202212-17-041.38%-3350Detail
12/03/202210-12-045.45%-1600Detail
12/02/202212-5-070.59%+3250Detail
12/01/20227-6-053.85%+200Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

NFL leaders in rushing yards:
1,539— Josh Jacobs, LV
1,429— Derrick Henry, Tenn
1,344— Nick Chubb, Clev
1,254— Saquon Barkley, NJG
1,175— Miles Sanders, Phil
1,109— Dalvin Cook, Minn

Quote of the Day
“What a game, what a crowd. I’m exhausted. I’m beat up. And I never played a snap. We got lucky at the end, but we’re Liberty Bowl champs and I’m pretty excited.”
Arkansas coach Sam Pittman

Thursday’s quiz
Which retired QB is the Houston Texans’ all-time leader in passing yards (23,221)?

Wednesday’s quiz
In the old TV show Batman, Cesar Romero played the Joker.

Tuesday’s quiz
James Harden played his college basketball at Arizona State.

*************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……

— Las Vegas Raiders are benching QB Derek Carr, will start Jarrett Stidham this week against San Francisco. Carr has started the Raiders’ last 91 games.

Stidham is in his 4th NFL season, has thrown 61 passes in 11 games. This will be his first start in the NFL.

Arkansas 55, Kansas 53, OT
Arkansas led 38-13 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
Kansas scored 15 points in last 1:05 to force overtime.
Jayhawks’ QB Daniels was 37-55/544 passing, with 5 TD’s.
Arkansas ran ball for 394 yards.

Duke 30, Central Florida 13
Duke is now 35-12 ATS in its last 47 non-ACC games.
Blue Devils won five of last six games, overall.
UCF was 0-4 this season scoring less than 27 points.
Duke ran ball for 177 yards, was +2 in turnovers.

Oregon 28, North Carolina 27
Ducks drove 79 yards, scored game-winning TD with 0:19 left.
UNC converted 5-15 on 3rd down, 4-4 on 4th down.
Oregon ran ball for 209 yards (6.5 yards/carry).
Carolina lost its last four games, after a 9-1 start.

Texas Tech 42, Ole Miss 25
Red Raiders led 26-7 at halftime.
Ole Miss turned ball over five times, Texas Tech three times.
Tech ran ball for 242 yards (5 yards/carry).
Penalties: Rebels had 8 for 86 yards, Tech 3 for 15.

— Texas Tech gave football coach Joey McGuire a six-year, $26.6M contract; Tech went 8-5 this season, their first 8-win season since 2013.

Missouri 89, Kentucky 75
Wildcats are 8-4, 2-4 vs top 100 teams, with three losses by 10+ points.
Mizzou is 12-1, 4-1 vs top 100 teams- they made 10-25 on the arc.

UConn 74, Villanova 66
Huskies’ first win this season by less than 10 points.
Half of UConn’s 14 wins are top 100 wins.

LSU 60, Arkansas 57
Arkansas led by 6 with 9:20 left in game.
Three Razorbacks played all 40:00.
Teams combined to shoot 8-42 on the arc.

Nevada 74, Boise State 72
Boise led 63-56 with 4:22 left in game.
Nevada was 10-23 on the arc, Broncos 5-16

San Jose State 75, UNLV 72 OT
San Jose led 58-45 with 11:03 left in game.
Spartans out-rebounded UNLV 49-35 (16 offensive boards)
San Jose was 21-30 on foul line; UNLV 7-11.

— Phoenix Suns’ star Devin Booker is out for the next four weeks with a left leg injury.

— Milwaukee Brewers’ OF Christian Yelich has hit for the cycle three times in his career; all three of those came against Cincinnati.

— Apparently New York City gives out only so many yellow taxi cab medallions; that number is 13,587. Medallions are auctioned by the city and are transferrable on the open market by licensed brokers.

— Baseball stuff:
Red Sox gave P Corey Kluber a one-year, $10M deal.
Marlins gave IF Jean Segura a two-year, $17M deal.
 

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