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NCAAB

Tuesday, November 29


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TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 29

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
LIU at SJU06:30 PMLIU +32.0
U 153.0
+500 +500
FUR at APP06:30 PMAPP +7.5
O 142.0
+500 +500
ODU at COFC07:00 PMCOFC -6.5
U 148.0
+500 +500
CWM at NCST07:00 PMNCST -21.5
U 146.0
+500 +500
SCST at ECU07:00 PMSCST +17.5
O 147.5
+500 +500
BRWN at CCSU07:00 PMBRWN -5.0
U 134.5
+500 +500
MASS at USF07:00 PMMASS -2.5
U 133.0
+500 +500
CHAR at DAV07:00 PMDAV -3.5
O 126.5
+500 +500
UCSB at DUQ07:00 PMDUQ -3.0
O 135.0
+500 +500
JKST at M-OH07:00 PMM-OH -5.0
U 148.5
+500 +500
UNCA at NCCU07:00 PMUNCA -1.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
VMI at PRE07:00 PMPRE -5.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
ALBY at AMER07:00 PMAMER -5.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
MD at LOU07:00 PMMD -12.5
O 136.0
+500 +500
PSU at CLEM07:00 PMPSU +1.5
U 132.0
+500 +500
BELL at UK07:00 PMUK -25.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
SYR at ILL07:30 PMILL -12.5
U 144.5
+500 +500
NORF at HOU08:00 PMNORF +25.5
O 129.0
+500 +500
MIZZ at WICH08:00 PMMIZZ -2.0
U 140.0
+500 +500
IDST at KC08:00 PMKC -5.0
U 125.5
+500 +500
MONT at USM08:00 PMUSM -8.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
WEB at TST08:00 PMWEB +7.0
O 133.0
+500 +500
BAY at MARQ08:30 PMBAY -5.5
U 154.0
+500 +500
CSN at BSU09:00 PMBSU -19.0
U 130.5
+500 +500
WAKE at WIS09:00 PMWIS -6.0
U 130.0
+500 +500
GT at IOWA09:00 PMGT +16.0
U 150.0
+500 +500
ALCN at GRC09:00 PMGRC -14.0
U 125.5
+500 +500
UVA at MICH09:30 PMUVA -3.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
UCI at SDSU10:00 PMUCI +13.5
O 135.5
+500 +500
 

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NOVEMBER'S CFB OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

11/29/2022.......................26-31-1..............................45.00%........................-40.50
11/28/2022..........................9-5-0...............................64.28%............ ...........+17.50
11//27/2022.....................27-30-2...............................47.36%............ ..........- 30.00
11/26/2022......................35-38-0...............................47.94%............ .........- 34.00
11/25/2022......................30-36-1...............................45.45%............ .........- 48.00
11/242022........................8-12-0................................40.00%........... ..........- 26.00
11/23/2022......................30-31-0...............................49.18%............ .........- 20.50
11/22/2022......................24-21-3...............................53.33%............ ..........+ 4.50
11/21/2022......................24-20-0...............................54.54%............ ........+ 10.00
11/20/2022......................28-22-1...............................55.88%............ ........+ 19.00
11/19/2022......................53-50-3................................51.42%........... .........- 10.00
11/18/2022..........................4-0-0..............................100.00%............ ........+20.00
11/17/2022..........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ...........- 0.50
11/16/2022...........................3-3-0...............................50.00%............ ..........- 1.50
11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. .........+11.00
11/11/2022...........................2-4-0..............................33.33%............. .........- 12.00
11/10/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. .........- 11.50
11/09/2022...........................4-2-0..............................66.66%............. ..........+ 9.00
11/05/2022.......................54-47-0.............................53.46%.............. ........+ 11.50
11/04/2022............................1-4-0.............................20.00%.............. ........- 17.00
11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00
11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... .........- 11.50
11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

TOTALS........................412-408-10..........................50.24%................ ......- 173.00


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BEST BETS !

11/29/2022.......................15-13-0.............................53.51%.............................+ 3.50
11/28/2022.........................5-3-0...............................62.50%............ ................+ 8.50
11/27/2022.......................11-18-2.............................37.93%.............. .............- 44.00
11/26/2022.......................13-13-0.............................50.00%.............. ..............- 6.50
11/25/2022.......................17-20-1.............................45.94%.............. ............- 25.00
11/24/2022..........................5-7-0..............................41.66%............. .............- 13.50
11/23/2022........................12-19-0............................38.70%............... .......... - 44.50
11/22/2022.......................12-11-1.............................52.17%.............. ..............- 0,50
11/21/2022........................9-10-0...............................47.36%............ ..............-10.00
11/20/2022..........................9-8-0...............................52.94%............ ..............+ 1.00
11/19/2022.......................19-19-1...............................50.00%............ ..............- 9.50
11/18/2022...........................4-0-0.............................100.00%............. ..........+ 20.00
11/17/2022...........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ..............- 0.50
11/16/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ...........- - 1.00
11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ...........- 11.50
11/12/2022.......................18-17-0.............................51.42%.............. ..............-3.50
11/11/2022...........................2-4-0.............................33.33%.............. ...........- 12.50
11/10/2022...........................1-3-0.............................25.00%.............. ...........-.11.50
11/09/2022...........................3-1-0.............................75.00%.............. ............+ 9.50
11/05/2022.......................26-18-0............................59.09%............... ..........+ 31.00
11/04/2022............................1-4-0............................20.00%............... ..........- 17.00
11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ............- 1.00
11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... ..........- 11.50
11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... . .........- 1.00

TOTALS........................191-201-5...........................48.72%.............. ...... ....- 105.23
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Odds to win the Super Bowl
+400— Kansas City
+450— Buffalo
+600— Philadelphia
+625— San Francisco
+900— Dallas
+1400— Miami

Quote of the Day
“It’s going back to that quarterback fight. I look at it like Manning and Brady. You can’t stop them. It comes down to whoever excels and takes advantage of their opportunities and drives and scores points. These are the types of games that we have to take care of the football and not turn it over.”
Bengals WR Tyler Boyd, talking about the Mahomes-Burrow QB rivalry

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; in what city did Frasier take place?

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

Monday’s quiz
Ron Jaworski was the Philadelphia Eagles’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— If you’re running the Green Bay Packers, what do you do with your 4-8 team?

Do you still play 38-year old Aaron Rodgers, who hurt his oblique Sunday night and is also playing with a broken bone in his hand?

Or do you do play 3rd-year QB Jordan Love, their first round pick in 2020? At some point, they need to decide whether to sign Love to a new contract; this is his third year. The decision has to be made after the 2023 season; the way Love played Sunday night in Philly, his services will be in demand when the time comes.

Interesting decision, when to say goodbye to a legend.

Virginia 70, Michigan 68
Michigan led by 11 early in second half.
Slow-paced game, only 62 possessions.
Virginia was 12-19 on foul line, Michigan 8-10. In Ann Arbor.

Marquette 96, Baylor 70
Impressive performance by the 5.5-point home underdog.
Marquette led 51-25 at halftime. 51-25.
Marquette scored 1.39 points/possession, shooting 12-25 on the arc.

Clemson 101, Penn State 94, 2OT
Penn State led by 10 late in first half.
Clemson led by 10 with 7:22 left in game.
Clemson was 11-21 on the arc, Penn State 11-36.

Missouri 88, Wichita State 84, OT
Wichita led by 10 with 5:15 left; they were 6-14 on foul line.
Shockers turned ball over 20 times, Missouri 8.

Illinois 73, Syracuse 44
Syracuse is 3-4, with losses to Colgate/Bryant. Not good.

— Was going to post some notes about college quarterbacks transferring, but then I remembered that a lot of backup QB’s transfer. A twist of the old Garry Templeton line: “If I ain’t starting, then I’ll be departing”

Michigan has a shot at the national title this year, but backup QB Cade McNamara is gone to the transfer portal. He has two years of eligibility left; he is from Reno, would Nevada be an option?

— San Diego Toreros are 5-3 this year under new coach Steve Lavin, who went 226-133 in 12 years at UCLA/St John’s. He made the NCAA’s six times in seven years at UCLA, twice in five years at St John’s.

San Diego is a much tougher job; Toreros haven’t been in NCAA’s since 2008, but the weather is really nice. Lavin did a TV gig in between his coaching stops; I enjoyed his work- he seems like a genuinely nice person. Hope the Toreros win lot of games the next few years.

— Detroit Mercy guard Antoine Davis is in his fifth year of college ball; he’s scored 2,897 points in his career, is a lock to become the 11th player ever to score 3,000 points.

Odd fact: when he gets to #11 on the all-time list, it’ll mean that three of the top 11 scorers ever played for their father in college. Mike Davis coaches in Detroit; Pete Maravich and Doug McDermott also played for their dads in college, at LSU/Creighton.

— UAB is expected to hire former NFL QB Trent Dilfer as its new football coach; he spent the last four years coaching high school ball in Tennessee, going 38-8.

Dilfer played 14 years in the NFL for five different teams; he won a Super Bowl with the 2000 Ravens, later made a Pro Bowl with Tampa Bay. He worked as an analyst for ESPN and FOX before he took on the coaching gig in Nashville.

— San Francisco 49ers outscored their last four opponents 54-0 in the second half.

In their last eight games, Dallas Cowboys outscored opponents 130-45 in second half.

— Minnesota Timberwolves’ star Karl Anthony Towns is out 4-6 weeks with a calf injury.

— So far this season, there have been six times where a team played Lakers/Clippers back/back at the Crypto com Arena (Staples Center). Either back/back nights or two games in three nights.

First game, the visiting team is 4-2 ATS; all six games stayed under the total.

Second game, the visiting team is 1-5 ATS; five of the six games went over.

— Washington Nationals signed two free agents:
Jeimer Candelario, a 29-year old 3B who played seven years for Detroit.
Stone Garrett, a 27-year old OF who hit .276 in 27 games for Arizona LY.

— Hugh Freeze’s move to Auburn is vaguely similar to Ed Orgeron’s hiring by LSU.

Orgeron coached Ole Miss from 2005-07, going 10-25, 3-21 in SEC games.
Freeze coached Ole Miss from 2012-16, going 39-25, 19-21 SEC games.

Orgeron moved on to the Saints, Tennessee Vols, USC and finally to LSU; he went 6-2 as interim coach at USC, after Lane Kiffin was fired in 2013.
Freeze went off the grid for two years, then surfaced at Liberty, where he went 34-15 in four years, rehabilitating his career. His QB last year was Malik Willis, who is now a rookie with the Tennessee Titans.

Orgeron went 51-20 at LSU, 31-17 in SEC games; he won the national title in 2019, with Joe Burrow as his QB.
Will Freeze be able to match Orgeron’s success at his second SEC stop?
 

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Wednesday, November 30


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 30

Wednesday’s conference games
Monmouth @ Rider

— Monmouth (0-7) ranked #308 by KenPom
— Tempo: #112
— Experience: #358
— Continuity: #335
— Monmouth lost its first seven games (five losses by 18+ points).
— Three of their seven losses are against top 100 teams.
— Hawks are shooting 45.7% inside arc (#287), 27% on arc (#332)
— Monmouth is turning ball over 26.9% of time (#359)
— Opponents are shooting 43.5% on arc (#360).
— Monmouth’s schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #43
— Monmouth lost 80-76 to Lehigh, their one game vs team outside top 200.
— Last three years, Monmouth is 35-23 in MAAC games.

— Rider (1-4) ranked #226 by KenPom
— Tempo: #171
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #34
— Rider is 0-4 vs D-I teams, giving up 77.5 ppg.
— Rider is #336 team in country on the defensive boards.
— Broncs are shooting 41% inside arc (#342)
— Rider lost by 5-10 points vs teams outside top 200.
— Broncs are turning ball over 20.3% of time (#235)
— Rider schedule, to this point: #91
— bench minutes: #83
— Last two years, Broncs went 13-25 in MAAC.

— Monmouth won four of last five meetings.
— Hawks beat Rider 72-68 in semi-finals of MAAC tourney LY.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.

Drake @ Indiana State
— Drake (6-0) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #28
— Drake won its first six games (four wins by 8 or less points).
— Five of their six wins are against top 200 teams.
— Bulldogs are shooting 55% inside arc (#50), 35.8% on arc (#93)
— Drake is shooting 80.3% on foul line (#14)
— Drake won an 8-team tournament in Virgin Islands last week.
— Drake’s schedule, to this point: #274
— bench minutes: #140
— Last two years, Drake is 28-8 in MVC games.

— Indiana State (6-1) ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #42
— Experience: #196
— Continuity: #63
— Indiana State hasn’t played a team ranked higher than #189
— Indiana State won two of three games at tourney in Florida LW.
— Sycamores are shooting 61.7% inside arc (#8)
— Indiana State’s one loss: 63-61 to #268 Kansas City.
— 48.9% of Sycamores’ shots are 3-pointers (#17)
— Indiana State schedule, to this point: #349
— bench minutes: #69
— Sycamores went 4-14 in MVC LY, after going 22-14 previous two years.

— Drake won four in row, 7 of last 8 series games.
— Bulldogs won four of last five visits to Terre Haute.

Missouri State @ Illinois-Chicago
— Missouri State (3-3) ranked #126 by KenPom
— Tempo: #316
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #321
— Missouri State is 2-3 vs D-I teams.
— Bears lost only true road game, 66-64 at #68 BYU.
— Missouri State scored 75+ points in wins, 68 or less in losses.
— Bears are shooting 59.5% on foul line (#348)
— Missouri State’s schedule, to this point: #182
— bench minutes: #80
— Missouri State is forcing turnovers 21.3% of time (#84)
— Last two years, Bears went 25-11 in MVC games.

— Ill-Chicago (5-2) ranked #246 by KenPom
— Tempo: #63
— Experience: #318
— Continuity: #326
— This is UIC’s first MVC conference game.
— Flames are 0-2 vs top 200 teams, losing by 7-14 points.
— UIC’s only top 300 win: 67-60 over #221 Jacksonville State.
— UIC won its last three games overall.
— Flames are forcing turnovers 23.7% of time (#36)
— UIC schedule, to this point: #348
— bench minutes: #311
— Last two years, UIC went 15-20 in Horizon; now they’re in MVC.

— This is first MVC meeting between these teams.

Southern Illinois @ Evansville
— Southern Illinois (4-2) ranked #100 by KenPom
— Tempo: #344
— Experience: #17
— Continuity: #90
— Southern Illinois was held to 53-49 points in its losses.
— Salukis are 2-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 31-13 points.
— SIU is turning ball over 21.9% of time (#300)
— Salukis are shooting 28.3% on arc (#315)
— 51.9% of their shots have been 3’s (#4)
— SIU’s schedule, to this point: #174
— bench minutes: #173
— Salukis have wins over #147 Cal Baptist, at #34 Oklahoma State.
— SIU is 24-30 in MVC games in three years under Mullins.

— Evansville (2-6) ranked #318 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #275
— Continuity: #248
— Evansville’s two wins are over teams #284/#303, by 1-4 points.
— Purple Aces lost only home game, 67-61 to #278 SE Missouri State.
— Purple Aces are 0-4 vs top 200 teams, losing by 18-8-20-11 points.
— Evansville has #350 eFG% in country.
— Purple Aces are shooting 26.8% on arc (#335), 41.9% inside arc (#338)
— Evansville schedule, to this point: #166
— bench minutes: #108
— Last six years, Evansville was 27-81 in MVC, with three different coaches; now they have yet another new coach.

— Southern Illinois won seven of last eight meetings.
— Salukis won last three visits to Evansville, by 7-4-2 points.

Northern Iowa @ Bradley
— Northern Iowa (2-3) ranked #142 by KenPom
— Tempo: #154
— Experience: #330
— Continuity: #305
— UNI lost its one true road game, 68-55 at #81 Richmond.
— Panthers are 1-3 vs D-I teams (83-76 over #287 Northern Illinois)
— UNI lost neutral court games to San Francisco/Grand Canyon in Kansas City.
— Opponents are shooting 35.7% on arc (#246). 47.7% of their shots are 3’s.
— UNI’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #305
— UNI turns ball over only 14.5% of time (#17)
— Last three years, Northern Iowa is 35-19 in MVC games.

— Bradley (4-3) ranked #125 by KenPom
— Tempo: #281
— Experience: #257
— Continuity: #129
— Bradley is 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 22-21-11 points.
— Braves’ three D-I wins are over teams ranked #278 or lower.
— Bradley is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#89)
— Braves scored 81.7 ppg in wins, 56.7 ppg in losses.
— Bradley schedule, to this point: #218
— bench minutes: #148
— Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#69)
— Last three years, Bradley is 28-26 in Valley games.

— Northern Iowa won four of last six series games.
— UNI lost last two visits to Peoria, both by 2 points.

USC @ California
— USC (4-3) ranked #62 by KenPom
— Tempo: #106
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #147
— USC lost last two games in Bahamas, both vs top 40 teams.
— USC won by 38-9 points vs teams outside top 200.
— Trojans are turning ball over 21.5% of time (#283)
— Opponents are shooting 42.5% inside arc (#27)
— This is first true road game for USC.
— USC’s schedule, to this point: #158
— bench minutes: #272
— Last three years, USC is 40-18 in Pac-12 games.

— California (0-7) ranked #213 by KenPom
— Tempo: #359
— Experience: #232
— Continuity: #226
— Cal’s three top 100 losses are by 9-11-8 points.
— California is turning ball over 25.2% of time (#354)
— Golden Bears are #248 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last three games, California scored only 54 ppg.
— Cal is shooting 29.2% on the arc (#299)
— California schedule, to this point: #156
— bench minutes: #199
— Last five years, Golden Bears went 20-74 in Pac-12 games.

— USC won its last eight games with California.
— Trojans won last four trips to Berkeley, by 18-23-8-14 points.
 

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WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 30

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
L-MD at BING06:00 PML-MD +3.0+500
TEM at LAS06:00 PMTEM -5.0+500
MW at UMASS06:00 PMUMASS -13.5+500
KSU at BUT06:30 PMKSU +3.0+500
VAN at VCU07:00 PMVAN +1.5+500
HOF at GMU07:00 PMGMU -3.5+500
LAF at DREX07:00 PMLAF +7.5+500
HAMP at UGA07:00 PMHAMP +18.0+500
UNCG at NCAT07:00 PMNCAT +5.0+500
LEH at UMES07:00 PMLEH +1.0+500
COPP at UMBC07:00 PMCOPP +2.5+500
HOW at YALE07:00 PMYALE -13.0+500
HARV at HC07:00 PMHARV -9.5+500
WMU at DAY07:00 PMDAY -18.0+500
MTU at SBON07:00 PMMTU +3.5+500
RICH at TOL07:00 PMTOL -5.0+500
SH at UNH07:00 PMUNH -2.0+500
SFPA at BUCK07:00 PMSFPA +6.0+500
FDU at HART07:00 PMFDU -8.0+500
EMU at FIU07:00 PMFIU -7.0+500
AKR at MRSH07:00 PMAKR +4.5+500
CHAT at TNTC07:00 PMCHAT -7.0+500
ELON at HP07:00 PMHP -10.5+500
CIT at CHSO07:00 PMCIT +3.0+500
USA at FAU07:00 PMFAU -6.0+500
NJIT at CIN07:00 PMCIN -20.5+500
WEBB at WCU07:00 PMWCU +1.0+500
DRKE at INST07:00 PMDRKE -2.5+500
RUTG at MIA07:15 PMRUTG +3.0+500
OSU at DUKE07:15 PMOSU +6.0+500
PUR at FSU07:15 PMPUR -16.0+500
MCNS at TENN07:15 PMTENN -35.0+500
UNCW at CCU07:30 PMUNCW +1.5+500
DSU at SFBK07:30 PMDSU +6.0+500
JAC at UAB07:30 PMJAC +13.5+500
AMCC at UTRGV07:30 PMAMCC -7.0+500
FGCU at GASO07:30 PMGASO +5.0+500
MONM at RID08:00 PMMONM +9.0+500
FAMU at FLA08:00 PMFLA -32.0+500
UND at ISU08:00 PMISU -24.5+500
SMU at TAM08:00 PMTAM -11.5+500
NIU at EIU08:00 PMEIU +5.0+500
WKU at PEAY08:00 PMWKU -9.5+500
PROV at TCU08:00 PMTCU -6.0+500
PV at RICE08:00 PMPV +5.0+500
MOSU at UIC08:00 PMMOSU -4.5+500
NORAL at MEM08:00 PMNORAL +26.5+500
UNI at BRAD08:00 PMBRAD -6.0+500
SIU at EVAN08:00 PMSIU -8.5+500
STJOE at PENN08:30 PMPENN -5.5+500
SELA at XAV08:30 PMSELA +23.0+500
SIND at WIU08:30 PMSIND -5.5+500
LMU at CSU09:00 PMCSU -7.5+500
SCAR at GW09:00 PMSCAR +2.5+500
TNST at SLU09:00 PMTNST +19.5+500
SAM at DEP09:00 PMSAM +4.0+500
ARPB at AFA09:00 PMAFA -13.0+500
CARK at L-IL09:00 PMCARK +13.0+500
MTST at SUU09:00 PMSUU -2.5+500
UTEP at NMSU09:00 PMNMSU -4.0+500
BC at NEB09:15 PMNEB -5.5+500
MSU at ND09:15 PMND +2.0+500
UNC at IND09:15 PMIND -5.0+500
UNM at SMC10:00 PMUNM +9.0+500
UALR at SF10:00 PMSF -17.5+500
CSF at SEA10:00 PMSEA -9.5+500
UCRV at CALBA10:00 PMUCRV +4.5+500
USC at CAL10:00 PMCAL +9.0+500
 

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NOVEMBER'S CFB OPINIONS AND BEST BETS

11/30/2022.......................31-36-1..............................46.26%........................- 43.00
11/29/2022.......................26-31-1..............................45.00%........................-40.50
11/28/2022..........................9-5-0...............................64.28%............ ...........+17.50
11//27/2022.....................27-30-2...............................47.36%............ ..........- 30.00
11/26/2022......................35-38-0...............................47.94%............ .........- 34.00
11/25/2022......................30-36-1...............................45.45%............ .........- 48.00
11/242022........................8-12-0................................40.00%........... ..........- 26.00
11/23/2022......................30-31-0...............................49.18%............ .........- 20.50
11/22/2022......................24-21-3...............................53.33%............ ..........+ 4.50
11/21/2022......................24-20-0...............................54.54%............ ........+ 10.00
11/20/2022......................28-22-1...............................55.88%............ ........+ 19.00
11/19/2022......................53-50-3................................51.42%........... .........- 10.00
11/18/2022..........................4-0-0..............................100.00%............ ........+20.00
11/17/2022..........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ...........- 0.50
11/16/2022...........................3-3-0...............................50.00%............ ..........- 1.50
11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. .........+11.00
11/11/2022...........................2-4-0..............................33.33%............. .........- 12.00
11/10/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. .........- 11.50
11/09/2022...........................4-2-0..............................66.66%............. ..........+ 9.00
11/05/2022.......................54-47-0.............................53.46%.............. ........+ 11.50
11/04/2022............................1-4-0.............................20.00%.............. ........- 17.00
11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00
11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... .........- 11.50
11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ........- 1.00

TOTALS........................443-444-11...........................49.94%................ ......- 216.00


*****************************************

BEST BETS !

11/30/2022.......................14-12-1.............................53.84%............................+ 4.00
11/29/2022.......................15-13-0.............................53.51%............................+ 3.50
11/28/2022.........................5-3-0...............................62.50%............ ................+ 8.50
11/27/2022.......................11-18-2.............................37.93%.............. .............- 44.00
11/26/2022.......................13-13-0.............................50.00%.............. ..............- 6.50
11/25/2022.......................17-20-1.............................45.94%.............. ............- 25.00
11/24/2022..........................5-7-0..............................41.66%............. .............- 13.50
11/23/2022........................12-19-0............................38.70%............... .......... - 44.50
11/22/2022.......................12-11-1.............................52.17%.............. ..............- 0,50
11/21/2022........................9-10-0...............................47.36%............ ..............-10.00
11/20/2022..........................9-8-0...............................52.94%............ ..............+ 1.00
11/19/2022.......................19-19-1...............................50.00%............ ..............- 9.50
11/18/2022...........................4-0-0.............................100.00%............. ..........+ 20.00
11/17/2022...........................1-1-0...............................50.00%............ ..............- 0.50
11/16/2022...........................2-2-0...............................50.00%............ ...........- - 1.00
11/15/2022...........................1-3-0..............................25.00%............. ...........- 11.50
11/12/2022.......................18-17-0.............................51.42%.............. ..............-3.50
11/11/2022...........................2-4-0.............................33.33%.............. ...........- 12.50
11/10/2022...........................1-3-0.............................25.00%.............. ...........-.11.50
11/09/2022...........................3-1-0.............................75.00%.............. ............+ 9.50
11/05/2022.......................26-18-0............................59.09%............... ..........+ 31.00
11/04/2022............................1-4-0............................20.00%............... ..........- 17.00
11/03/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... ............- 1.00
11/02/2022............................1-3-0............................25.00%............... ..........- 11.50
11/01/2022............................2-2-0............................50.00%............... . .........- 1.00

TOTALS..........................211-213-6...........................49.76%.............. ...... ....- 101.23
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

Indiana 77, North Carolina 65— Tar Heels lost their last three games.
Purdue 79, Florida State 69— Seminoles are off to a 1-8 start.
Indiana State 75, Drake 73— ISU outscored Drake 11-4 over final 3:11.
VCU 70, Vanderbilt 75— Vandy coach Stackhouse got ejected.
Notre Dame 70, Michigan State 52— Game was 42-24 at halftime.
Nebraska 88, Boston College 67— Cornhuskers shot 12-23 on the arc.

RIP to former NFL QB John Hadl, who passed away this week at age 82. Hadl played 11 years for the Chargers, then got traded to the Rams, where he finished 2nd in the MVP voting in 1973, sparking the Rams to a 12-2 record.

Hadl wore #21, odd for a QB; he wound up with an 82-75-9 career record, then coached for a while. He was Steve Young’s coach in the USFL, with the LA Express.

It was great fun to watch him play. RIP, sir.

Quote of the Day
“Look, I’d love to finish the season out, but I understand this is a business and there’s a lot of us kind of older guys who play a decent amount and they might want to see some younger guys play.Hopefully we don’t have to have that conversation. But if that conversation comes up, I’ll approach that with an open mind and without any bitterness or resentment.”
Aaron Rodgers

Thursday’s quiz
Who replaced Bob Knight as basketball coach at Indiana?
(Hint: He is still a Division I head coach)

Wednesday’s quiz
Kelsey Grammer played Frasier Crane on Cheers and also Frasier; Frasier took place in Seattle.

Tuesday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers played his college football at California.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: How NFL offenses do on long drives

Points per possession, on drives starting 75 yards from the goal line:

Chiefs 191 points on 72 drives— 2.65 ppp
Browns 2.51
Bills 2.38
Bengals 2.37
Cowboys 2.36
Ravens 2.30
Seahawks 2.28
Vikings 2.26
Eagles 2.19

Dolphins 1.99
Raiders 1.94
49ers 1.88
Falcons 1.84
Packers 1.79
Saints 1.68
Giants 1.67
Jaguars/Chargers 1.64
Buccaneers 1.62

Lions 1.59
Patriots 1.58
Bears 1.51
Cardinals 1.49
Titans 1.46
Commanders 1.45
Texans 1.34
Jets 1.27

Broncos 1.23
Panthers 1.19
Steelers 1.10
Rams 1.03
Colts 0.81

If a team gives up a defensive/special teams TD on one of these drives, they lose 7 points, which hurt the Rams’/Colts’ ppp.

Why is this important? Sometimes, teams score lot of points because takeaways/special teams create short fields for the offense. This metric measures an offense’s ability to drive the length of the field, and score on its own.

New England has only 57 of these drives, seven less than any other team; they generally win the field position battle, and have good special teams, not necessarily good offense.
 

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Thursday, December 1


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Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 1

Thursday’s conference games
Fairfield @ Manhattan

— Fairfield (2-5) ranked #217 by KenPom
— Tempo: #294
— Experience: #129
— Continuity: #110
— Fairfield won two of last three games, after an 0-4 start.
— Stags haven’t played a home game yet.
— Fairfield is shooting 29.1% on arc (#302)
— Stags are 1-2 vs teams ranked outride top 200.
— Fairfield’s schedule, to this point: #115
— bench minutes: #119
— Stags’ best win: 74-69 over #93 Towson.
— Last four years, Fairfield is 29-47 in MAAC games.

— Manhattan (2-3) ranked #291 by KenPom
— Tempo: #163
— Experience: #93
— Continuity: #100
— Manhattan changed coaches just before season.
— One of their best players transferred after the coaching change.
— Manhattan is 1-3 vs D-I teams, beating #299 Army 72-71.
— Manhattan is turning ball over 22.8% of time (#323)
— Jaspers are #344 team in country on defensive boards.
— Manhattan schedule, to this point: #303
— bench minutes: #329
— Three of their four D-I games were decided by 3 or less points.
— Last four years, Manhattan is 30-46 in MAAC games.

— Fairfield is 5-3 in last eight series games.
— Stags won three of last four visits to Draddy Gym.

Youngstown State @ Northern Kentucky
— Youngstown State (5-2) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #92
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #220
— Youngstown is 4-0 against teams ranked outside top 200.
— Penguins are shooting 38.1% on arc (#43)
— Youngstown split their four true road games.
— Penguins are rebounding 36% of their misses (#35)
— Youngstown’s schedule, to this point: #283
— bench minutes: #53
— Youngstown’s losses: at #76 Notre Dame, #177 Navy
— Last three years, Penguins are 31-28 in Horizon games.

— Northern Kentucky (3-4) ranked #211 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #31
— NKU is 1-3 since they upset Cincinnati, scoring 62 ppg in losses.
— Norse is 1-3 against top 200 teams.
— NKU is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time (#71)
— Norse won last game in double OT over Tennessee Tech Sunday.
— NKU schedule, to this point: #223
— bench minutes: #228
— NKU is shooting 45.8% inside arc (#283)
— Last six years, Norse is 78-32 in Horizon games.

— Northern Kentucky won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Penguins lost five of last six visits to NKU.

Robert Morris @ Wright State
— Robert Morris (2-5) ranked #303 by KenPom
— Tempo: #207
— Experience: #205
— Continuity: #155
— Robert Morris is 0-5 vs D-I teams (three losses by 9 or less points)
— Colonials are shooting 25% on arc (#350), 45% inside arc (#321).
— Robert Morris is #305 team in country on defensive boards.
— Colonials went 0-3 at tournament in Savannah last week (losses by 6-1-14)
— Robert Morris schedule, to this point: #61
— bench minutes: #191
— Opponents are shooting 40% on arc (#341)
— Colonials are 8-28 in their first two years of Horizon games.

— Wright State (5-2) ranked #165 by KenPom
— Tempo: #27
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #64
— First game in eight days for Wright State
— Raiders are shooting 57.1% inside arc (#28)
— Wright State is #20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Both Wright State losses were by 5 points, one in double OT.
— Wright State schedule, to this point: #263
— bench minutes: #256
— Wright State is 2-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 9-22 points.
— Under Nagy, Wright State is 84-30 in Horizon games.

— Wright State is 4-0 vs Robert Morris in Horizon games.
— Raiders won 75-73 here LY, their only Horizon visit to RMC.

Oakland @ Cleveland State
— Oakland (2-6) ranked #295 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #59
— Continuity: #39
— Oakland is 1-6 vs D-I teams, beating #320 Eastern Michigan in OT.
— Opponents are shooting 57.1% inside arc (#335), 43.5% on arc (#359)
— Oakland lost only true road game 112-90 at #106 Toledo.
— Oakland is #301 team in country on defensive boards.
— Oakland’s schedule, to this point: #209
— bench minutes: #352
— Oakland went 0-3 at tourney in the Bahamas last week.
— Last two years, Oakland is 22-17 in Horizon games.

— Cleveland State (4-3) ranked #230 by KenPom
— Tempo: #353
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #202
— Cleveland won its last four games, after an 0-3 start.
— Vikings gave up 56.8 ppg in their four wins.
— Cleveland is forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#77)
— Vikings are 0-2 vs top 200 teams, 4-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200
— Cleveland schedule, to this point: #333
— bench minutes: #200
— Cleveland State is rebounding 32.5% of their misses (#85)
— Last two years, Vikings are 31-10 in Horizon games- new coach TY.

— Oakland is 10-4 in last 14 games vs Cleveland State.
— Grizzlies won their last six visits to Cleveland.

Detroit @ Fort Wayne
— Detroit (3-4) ranked #221 by KenPom
— Tempo: #288
— Experience: #50
— Continuity: #285
— Detroit lost three of its last four games.
— Detroit is 0-3 in true road games, losing by 4-21-42 points.
— Detroit is #340 team in country on defensive boards.
— Titans are shooting 42% on arc (#9).
— Opponents are shooting 40.8% (#349).
— Detroit’s schedule, to this point: #56
— bench minutes: #284
— Detroit is shooting only 46.4% inside arc (#276)
— Last two years, Titans are 20-13 in Horizon games.

— Fort Wayne (4-3) ranked #186 by KenPom
— Tempo: #96
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #5
— Fort Wayne is 2-0 vs teams outside top 200, winning by 5-7 points.
— Mastodons are turning ball over 23.2% of time (#336)
— Fort Wayne is shooting 45.1% inside arc (#299), 30.3% on arc (#273)
— Opponents are shooting 59.3% inside arc (#348)
— Fort Wayne schedule, to this point: #147
— bench minutes: #218
— Fort Wayne was held under 60 points in its three losses.
— Fort Wayne is 21-20 in its two years of Horizon League play (15-6 LY).

— Teams split four meetings since Fort Wayne joined Horizon.
— Detroit lost 62-60 LY in their only Verizon visit to Fort Wayne.

Illinois State @ Murray State
— Illinois State (2-5) ranked #280 by KenPom
— Tempo: #327
— Experience: #136
— Continuity: #296
— Illinois State lost its last four games, scoring 59.5 ppg.
— Redbirds are 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 16-12-13 points.
— Illinois State won its only two true road games, vs teams #356/318.
— Redbirds are turning ball over 22.9% of time (#325)
— Illinois State’s schedule, to this point: #307
— bench minutes: #220
— Illinois State is shooting 45.4% inside arc (#297)
— Last three years, Redbirds went 14-40 in MVC games- they’ve got.a new coach.

— Murray State (3-3) ranked #117 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #180
— Continuity: #342
— Murray is 2-3 vs D-I teams, all ranked #172 or higher.
— Racers have a top 50 win over Texas A&M.
— Murray is forcing turnovers only 12.2% of time (#361)
— Opponents are shooting 46.1% inside arc (#85), 28.9% on arc (#64)
— Murray schedule, to this point: #30
— bench minutes: #359
— Murray State is shooting 27.4% on arc (#334)
— Last five years, Racers were 75-17 in OVC games- this is a big step up.

— This is first MVC meeting between the schools.

Valparaiso @ Belmont
— Valparaiso (3-4) ranked #263 by KenPom
— Tempo: #261
— Experience: #245
— Continuity: #197
— Valparaiso is 1-3 vs top 200 teams, beating #79 James Madison in OT.
— Crusaders are shooting 28.1% on arc (#325).
— Opponents are shooting 38.5% on arc (#315).
— Crusaders are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 15-13-30 points.
— Valparaiso’s schedule, to this point: #246
— bench minutes: #148
— Valparaiso split two games at a tourney in Savannah last week.
— Last five years, Crusaders are 35-55 in MVC games.

— Belmont (4-3) ranked #134 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #286
— Belmont won its last three games, after a 1-3 start.
— Bruins are 2-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Belmont is shooting 53.9% inside arc (#69)
— Belmont is shooting 38.9% inside arc (#29)
— Belmont schedule, to this point: #152
— bench minutes: #299
— Belmont is #303 team in country on defensive boards.
— Last seven years, Bruins were 106-18 in OVC games- this is a step up.

— This is first MVC meeting between the schools.

Milwaukee @ Green Bay
— Milwaukee (5-3) ranked #273 by KenPom
— Tempo: #21
— Experience: #350
— Continuity: #351
— Milwaukee won its last three games, by 2-21-16 points.
— Two of their three losses are to top 50 teams (only road games)
— Milwaukee is turning ball over 27.5% of time (#361).
— Panthers are shooting 36.6% on arc (#72)
— Milwaukee’s schedule, to this point: #212
— bench minutes: #16
— Milwaukee is 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 100.
— Last six years, Panthers were 38-73 in Horizon games- new coach now.

— Green Bay (0-6) ranked #358 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #352
— Continuity: #266
— Green Bay’s six losses were all by 11+ points.
— Green Bay scored less than 60 points in four of six games.
— Green Bay is shooting 26.4% on arc (#341)
— Green Bay is 0-2 vs top 200 teams, losing by 16-14 points.
— Green Bay’s schedule, to this point: #106
— bench minutes: #79
— Opponents are shooting 56.2% inside arc (#325)
— Last two years, Green Bay is 12-28 in Horizon games.

— Milwaukee won last four series games.
— Panthers won last two visits here, by 4-10 points,

Arizona @ Utah
— Arizona (6-0) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #1
— Experience: #114
— Continuity: #161
— Arizona scored 89.7 ppg in its three top 100 wins.
— Wildcats are shooting 67.4% inside arc (#1), 45% on arc (#4)
— This is the first true road game for the Wildcats.
— First game in eight days for the Wildcats, since the Maui Classic.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #119
— bench minutes: #202
— Arizona is turning ball over 21.7% of time (#287).
— Last three years, Wildcats are 39-19 in Pac-12 games.

— Utah (5-2) ranked #63 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #209
— Continuity: #91
— Utah is 0-2 vs top 100 teams, scoring 55-49 points.
— Opponents are shooting 38.7% inside arc (#3), 25.6% on arc (#14)
— Utah’s best win: 68-64 over #122 Georgia Tech.
— Utah is shooting 36.2% on arc (#84)
— Utah’s schedule, to this point: #333
— bench minutes: #200
— Last three years, Utes are 19-38 in Pac-12 games.
— Utah was 11-20 LY; 5-2 start provides some optimism.

— Home team won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last six meetings played here.

Arizona State @ Colorado
— Arizona State (6-1) ranked #51 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #90
— Continuity: #231
— Arizona State has top 100 wins over VCU, Michigan.
— Opponents are shooting 39.7% inside arc (#6), 22.1% on arc (#4)
— ASU’s only loss: 67-66 at #251 Texas Southern, their only road game.
— Sun Devils are #14 team in country at getting to foul line.
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #274
— bench minutes: #96
— ASU won 4-team tournament in Brooklyn two weeks ago.
— Last three years, Sun Devils 1re 28-27 in Pac-12 games.

— Colorado (4-3) ranked #57 by KenPom
— Tempo: #50
— Experience: #268
— Continuity: #118
— Colorado has been erratic, beating #3 LSU, #50 Texas A&M
— They’ve also lost to #276 Grambling, #119 UMass.
— Opponents are shooting 45.8% inside arc (#80)
— Buffs are rebounding 32.3% of their misses (#94)
— Colorado’s schedule, to this point: #50
— bench minutes: #27
— Colorado is shooting 31.6% on the arc (#241)
— Last four years, Buffs are 45-30 in Pac-12 games.

— Colorado won four of last five series games.
— Sun Devils lost six of last seven visits to Boulder.

Washington @ Oregon State
— Washington (6-1) ranked #99 by KenPom
— Tempo: #138
— Experience: #123
— Continuity: #224
— Washington allowed 67 or fewer points in its wins, 73 in the loss.
— Opponent are shooting 25.7% on the arc (#34).
— This is Washington’s first true road game.
— Huskies’ only loss: 73-64 at home to #147 Cal Baptist.
— Washington’s schedule, to this point: #260
— bench minutes: #242
— Washington won a 4-team tourney in Anaheim last week.
— In five years under Hopkins, Huskies are 45-49 in Pac-12 games.

— Oregon State (3-4) ranked #241 by KenPom
— Tempo: #333
— Experience: #340
— Continuity: #308
— OSU lost its last four games, after a 3-0 start.
— Beavers gave up 74.3 ppg in their four losses.
— OSU is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#269)
— Beavers are 0-2 vs top 100 teams, losing by 13 to Florida, by 3 vs Duke
— OSU schedule, to this point: #257
— bench minutes: #166
— OSU is #267 team in country on defensive boards.
— Beavers were in Elite 8 two years ago; they went 3-28 last year.

— Washington won five of last six series games.
— Huskies lost four of last six visits to Corvallis.

UCLA @ Stanford
— UCLA (5-2) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #19
— Continuity: #50
— UCLA’s five wins are all by 21+ points.
— Bruins are shooting 55.3% inside arc (#47), 39.1% on arc (#24)
— This is UCLA’s first true road game.
— Bruins are forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#30).
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #186
— bench minutes: #224
— UCLA lost only two top 100 games, giving up 79-80 points.
— Under Cronin, Bruins are 40-17 in Pac-12 games.

— Stanford (3-4) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #249
— Experience: #140
— Continuity: #6
— Stanford is 0-4 vs top 100 teams, scoring 57 ppg.
— Stanford’s losses are by 10-12-4-8 points.
— Cardinal is 3-0 vs teams ranked outside the top 100.
— Cardinal is turning ball over 21.1% of time (#271)
— Stanford’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #61
— Cardinal lost two of three games at tourney in Florida LW.
— Six years under Haase, Cardinal are 52-60 in Pac-12 games.

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Bruins lost three of last four visits to Maples Pavilion.

Washington State @ Oregon
— Washington State (3-2) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #271
— Experience: #301
— Continuity: #265
— Wazzu lost its two road games, 71-61 at #70 Boise, 70-59 at #270 Prairie View.
— Coogs scored 83-82-96 points in its wins.
— Wazzu is shooting 44.4% on arc (#5)
— 44.8% of their shots are 3’s (#51)
— Opponents are shooting 45.4% inside arc (#66).
— Wazzu’s schedule, to this point: #240
— bench minutes: #302
— Under Smith, Coogs are 24-33 in Pac-12 games (11-9 LY).

— Oregon (3-4) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #252
— Experience: #156
— Continuity: #134
— Oregon lost three of its last four games.
— Ducks are 2-2 at home, losing to #83 Cal-Irvine and #2 Houston
— Oregon is rebounding 36.6% of their missed shots (#23)
— Opponents are shooting 45.5% inside arc (#68)
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #23
— bench minutes: #159
— Oregon’s best win: 74-67 over #55 Villanova.
— Ducks have been over .500 in Pac-12 games the last 11 years.

— Washington State won three of last four series games.
— Ducks lost last two visits to Pullman, by 11-20 points.
 

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