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Udog

Udog

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MISSOURI is 7-0 Over (7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

PURDUE is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) after 2 straight games being called for 5+ less fouls than opponent in the last 3 seasons.

TEXAS A&M is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.

HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

KANSAS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after having won 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

SAN DIEGO ST is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games in the current ...

MARQUETTE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 in the current season.

VIRGINIA is 9-2 Over (6.8 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 75 or more points over the last 2 seasons.

YALE is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers in the current season.

VERMONT is 10-0 ATS (10 Units) in home games after a game with 5 or less offensive rebounds over the last 2 seasons.

VA COMMONWEALTH is 8-1 Under (6.9 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds in the current season.

NORFOLK ST is 11-1 Over (9.9 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

PRINCETON is 80-48 ATS (27.2 Units) after 2 straight games committing 11 or less turnovers since 1997.

FORDHAM is 13-4 Over (8.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

GRAMBLING is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) after 4 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

MEMPHIS are 11-2 ATS (8.8 Units) when playing their 2nd game in 3 days in the last 3 seasons.

TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after 9 or more consecutive wins in the current season.

IONA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

UAB is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) after 2 consecutive covers as a favorite since 1997.

UC-SANTA BARBARA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in road games when the line is +3 to -3 in the current season.

GRAND CANYON is 10-0 Over (10 Units) after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread in the current season.
 
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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Mar 11, 2023NCAABVanderbilt
Texas A&M		-
-		03:00 PMTAM -6.0

Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Mar 10, 2023NCAABArkansas
Texas A&M		61
67		TAM -1.0Win
Mar 9, 2023NCAABIowa State
Baylor		78
72		ISU +4.5Win
Mar 8, 2023NCAABAir Force
UNLV		70
78		AFA +6.0Loss
Mar 7, 2023NCAABGonzaga
Saint Mary's		77
51		GONZ -2.5Win
Mar 6, 2023NCAABNorthern Kentucky
Youngstown St.		75
63		YSU -3.5Loss
Mar 5, 2023NCAABCampbell
UNC Asheville		73
77		UNCA -4.5Loss
Mar 4, 2023NCAABMercer
Furman		58
73		FUR -10.5Win
Mar 3, 2023NBANew Orleans
Golden State		99
108		Under 230.5Win
Mar 2, 2023NCAABHawaii
CSU Northridge		81
55		CSN +8.0Loss
Mar 1, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Northwestern		68
65		NW -3.5Loss
 
CNOTES

CNOTES

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SATURDAY, MARCH 11​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
COR at YALE11:00 AMCOR +6.5
O 149.0		+500 +500
UMASS at UVM11:00 AMUMASS +5.5
U 141.5		+500 +500
SLU at VCU01:00 PMVCU -4.0
O 142.0		+500 +500
NORF at HOW01:00 PMNORF -2.0
U 147.0		+500 +500
MIZZ at ALA01:00 PMALA -9.5
U 157.5		+500 +500
OSU at PUR01:00 PMOSU +7.0
O 134.0		+500 +500
PENN at PRIN01:30 PMPENN +2.0
O 146.0		+500 +500
VAN at TAM03:00 PMTAM -6.0
U 140.5		+500 +500
CIN at HOU03:00 PMHOU -10.0
O 136.0		+500 +500
FOR at DAY03:30 PMDAY -6.5
U 130.5		+500 +500
PSU at IND03:30 PMPSU +3.0
O 140.0		+500 +500
TXSO at GRAM05:30 PMTXSO +6.5
O 132.0		+500 +500
TULN at MEM05:30 PMTULN +6.0
O 162.0		+500 +500
TEX at KU06:00 PMKU -1.5
U 142.5		+500 +500
USU at SDSU06:00 PMSDSU -2.0
U 137.5		+500 +500
XAV at MARQ06:30 PMXAV +1.5
O 155.0		+500 +500
MRST at IONA07:30 PMIONA -14.0
O 136.5		+500 +500
KENT at TOL07:30 PMKENT +1.0
O 150.0		+500 +500
UAB at FAU08:30 PMUAB +1.0
O 148.5		+500 +500
DUKE at UVA08:30 PMDUKE -2.0
U 123.5		+500 +500
CSF at UCSB09:30 PMCSF +3.5
O 130.5		+500 +500
ARIZ at UCLA10:30 PMUCLA -1.0
O 148.0		+500 +500
GRC at SUU11:30 PMGRC +0.0
O 149.0		+500 +500
 
CNOTES

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Sep 26, 2005
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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Mar 11, 2023NCAABVanderbilt
Texas A&M		75
87		TAM -6.0Win
Mar 10, 2023NCAABArkansas
Texas A&M		61
67		TAM -1.0Win
Mar 9, 2023NCAABIowa State
Baylor		78
72		ISU +4.5Win
Mar 8, 2023NCAABAir Force
UNLV		70
78		AFA +6.0Loss
Mar 7, 2023NCAABGonzaga
Saint Mary's		77
51		GONZ -2.5Win
Mar 6, 2023NCAABNorthern Kentucky
Youngstown St.		75
63		YSU -3.5Loss
Mar 5, 2023NCAABCampbell
UNC Asheville		73
77		UNCA -4.5Loss
Mar 4, 2023NCAABMercer
Furman		58
73		FUR -10.5Win
Mar 3, 2023NBANew Orleans
Golden State		99
108		Under 230.5Win
Mar 2, 2023NCAABHawaii
CSU Northridge		81
55		CSN +8.0Loss
Mar 1, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Northwestern		68
65		NW -3.5Loss
 
CNOTES

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Messages
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Tokens

Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
03/12/20230-0-00.00%+0Detail
03/11/202325-20-055.56%+1500Detail
03/10/202339-33-054.17%+1350Detail
03/09/202354-53-450.45%-2150Detail
03/08/202335-33-251.43%-650Detail
03/07/202321-31-040.38%-6550Detail
03/06/20239-17-235.71%-4850Detail
03/05/202330-30-050.00%-1500Detail
03/04/202384-102-045.16%-14100Detail
03/03/202336-24-259.68%+4800Detail
03/02/202363-44-158.80%+7300Detail
03/01/202331-43-242.11%-8150Detail
 
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Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the fastest tempo (shortest possessions on offense)
14.9 seconds— Marshall (24-8)
15.0— Long Beach State (17-16)
15.1— Cornell (17-11)
15.2— Alabama (28-5)
15.2— Portland State (12-19)
15.3— St John’s (18-15)

Quote of the Day
“How do you know when you run out of invisible ink?”
Steven Wright

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; what famous musician played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows?

Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.

Friday’s quiz
Golden State Warriors coach Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.


************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….

— Brackets come out at 6:00 tonight; all the speculation ends and we can handicap the actual matchups. Champ Week has been fun, but it is time to move on to the main event.

— There were five conference tournaments in Las Vegas this week; must be tough living in a place where there are legitimately fun things to do every day.

— Marquette 65, Xavier 51— Surprisingly easy win for Marquette, which has won 14 of its last 15 games. This was Marquette’s conference tournament title since 1997, when they won the C-USA tournament.

— Texas 76, Kansas 56— Longhorns allowed 54.3 ppg in their three wins this weekend. This game had two interim coaches leading the teams, with Rodney Terry taking over for the fired Chris Beard, while Norm Roberts is replacing Kansas coach Bill Self, who has been ill.

— Cal-Santa Barbara 72, Cal-Fullerton 62— Gauchos get to the NCAA’s for second time in three years; before that, they hadn’t been there since 2011.

I was on the UCSB campus a long time ago, 1990 if I remember right. They should have no trouble recruiting ballplayers; what a beautiful area. More than half the cars in the parking lot had a surfboard on the roof. Had I gone to school there, would’ve taken me about a month to flunk out. Who wants to study when you can go for a walk on the beach?

— San Diego State 62, Utah State 57— Aggies led 26-15 early on, but San Diego State wins this tournament for third time in last six years. Bracketology says Utah State is in the Field of 68, but they’ll be tossing and turning tonight, waiting for tomorrow’s verdict.

ESPN”s bracket guy has Arizona State in; the CBS bracket guy has the Sun Devils out; CBS has Utah State going to Dayton for a play-in game. ESPN has the Aggies ranked higher than that.

— Arizona 61, UCLA 59— UCLA hasn’t won the Pac-12 tournament since 2014; Arizona won it for fourth time in last six tries. Bruins are banged up; how much does the Selection Committee weigh their injuries into the seedings?

— Purdue guard David Jenkins should write a book about his experience playing college ball; he’s played all over the place:

2017-19— South Dakota State
2020-21— UNLV
2021-22— Utah
2022-23— Purdue

— New Mexico star Jaelen House is the grandson of former UCLA star Henry Bibby, who also played nine years in the NBA.

— Unfortunately, this time of year schools fire coaches who didn’t win as much as people hoped:
Buffalo fired Jim Whitesell (45-27 in MAC games in four years)
Georgia Tech fired Josh Pastner (11-29 in ACC games the last two years)
South Florida fired Brian Gregory (32-72 in AAC games)
Wichita State fired Isaac Brown (48-34 in three years).

Wichita fired Gregg Marshall three years ago, because Marshall hurt people’s feelings— he also went 331-121 with the Shockers, 233-53 his last eight years, with a Final Four in 2013.

Missouri gave hoop coach Dennis Gates a $1.5M/year raise, extended his contract thru 2029; Tigers are 24-9 in Gates’ first season in Columbia.

You fire a guy who was 331-121, you understand why they fired a guy who was 48-34.

— St John’s hasn’t played in the semi-finals of the Big East tournament since 2014, even though they play the tournament in Madison Square Garden, the Red Storm’s second home.

— Bronx baseball team put P Carlos Rodon on the IL with a strained forearm; Rodon signed a six-year, $162M contract this past winter.

— Teams that won the first four World Baseball Classics:
Japan, Japan, Dominican Republic, United States

— Arizona Diamondbacks gave OF Corbin Carroll an 8-year, $111M contract; Carroll has played in only 32 big league games, hitting .260 with 4 homers as a 21-year old last year.

— Washington Nationals signed C Keibert Ruiz to an 8-year, $50M contract; Ruiz hit .251 with seven homers last season, in his first season as a starter.

— Houston Texans were fined $175K, lost a 5th-round draft pick this year because of a salary cap reporting violation involving Deshaun Watson back in 2020.

Texans also signed WR Robert Woods to a 2-year contract, a smart move. Woods caught 53 passes for 527 yards with AFC South rival Tennessee last year.

— Minnesota Vikings cut WR Adam Thielen for salary cap reasons; Thielen caught 534 passes for 12.5 yards/catch in nine years for Minnesota, 55 of them for touchdowns.

— San Francisco QB Brock Purdy finally had his elbow operation this week; they said it was a six-month rehab for his elbow, so he figures to miss the start of the regular season.

— Random stat: Golden State Warriors are 4-13 as a road favorite this season.

— Remember to turn your clocks ahead an hour!!!
 
Udog

Udog

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ALABAMA is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) off 2 consecutive wins by 10 points or more against conference rivals in the current season.

HOUSTON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.

PENN ST is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

YALE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days over the last 2 seasons.

DAYTON is 32-16 Over (14.4 Units) when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days since 1997.




NCAAB
Dunkel

Sunday, March 12

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NCAAB
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 12

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PRINCETON (20 - 8) vs. YALE (21 - 7) - 3/12/2023, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
YALE is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
YALE is 151-115 ATS (+24.5 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
YALE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
YALE is 109-75 ATS (+26.5 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
YALE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
YALE is 107-74 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
YALE is 59-35 ATS (+20.5 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
YALE is 72-46 ATS (+21.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
YALE is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
YALE is 4-1 against the spread versus PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 4-1 straight up against PRINCETON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DAYTON (22 - 11) vs. VA COMMONWEALTH (26 - 7) - 3/12/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) against conference opponents this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after a conference game this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.
VA COMMONWEALTH is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-2 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 5-2 straight up against DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TEXAS A&M (25 - 8) vs. ALABAMA (28 - 5) - 3/12/2023, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
TEXAS A&M is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) against conference opponents this season.
TEXAS A&M is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
TEXAS A&M is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TEXAS A&M is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 against the spread versus ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-0 straight up against ALABAMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (25 - 8) vs. HOUSTON (31 - 2) - 3/12/2023, 3:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 43-28 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 121-90 ATS (+22.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 262-211 ATS (+29.9 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 79-53 ATS (+20.7 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 306-250 ATS (+31.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MEMPHIS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 12

SEC tournament (@ Nashville)
Alabama vs Texas A&M
— Alabama (28-5, 18-2) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #282
— Alabama is 10-2 since its 93-69 loss at Oklahoma.
— Crimson Tide played 4 starters 30:00 in Saturday’s 72-61 win.
— Alabama is shooting 54.7% inside arc (#28)
— Alabama has the #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Since 2017, Crimson Tide is 10-4 in SEC tourney.
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #9
— bench minutes: #59
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Texas A&M (25-8, 17-3) ranked #19 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #93
— Texas A&M won 19 of its last 22 games
— Since 2016, Texas A&M is 9-5 in SEC tourney games.
— Aggies played three guys 30:00+ the last two days.
— Aggies are getting 26.1% of points on foul line (#2 in country)
— Texas A&M is forcing turnovers 21.2% of time (#40)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #63
— bench minutes: #184
— Texas A&M’s best win: 67-61 over #3 Alabama

— Alabama lost 67-61 at Texas A&M eight days ago.
— Aggies won last five series games.

Atlantic 15 tournament (@ Brooklyn)
Dayton vs VCU
— Dayton (22-11, 14-6) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #352
— Experience: #165
— Continuity: #4
— Dayton won nine of its last 12 games
— Last three years, Flyers are 4-2 in A-15 tourney
— Last time Dayton won a conference tourney: 2003.
— Dayton has #7 eFG% defense in country, #41 eFG% offense.
— Dayton is 5-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Dayton’s schedule, to this point: #151
— bench minutes: #185
— Dayton’s best win: 62-58 at #67 VCU

— VCU (26-7, 17-3) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #251
— Continuity: #193
— VCU has won eight in row, 21 of last 24 games
— Since 2007, Rams are 30-11 in conference tournaments.
— That said, VCU hasn’t won A-15 tournament since 2015.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 24.3% of time (#6)
— VCU is getting 21.9% of points on foul line (#23)
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #145
— bench minutes: #112
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #73 Dayton.

— A-15 is a one-bid league this year; big game here.
— Road team won both meetings this season.
— VCU won five of last seven series games.

Ivy League tournament (@ Princeton, NJ)
Yale @ Princeton
— Yale (21-7, 11-4) ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #232
— Experience: #339
— Continuity: #120
— Yale won four in row, 10 of last 11 games
— Yale won the last two Ivy tournaments.
— Only two Bulldogs played more than 24:00 Saturday.
— Bulldogs have #28 eFG% defense.
— Yale is #9 team in country on defensive boards.
— Yale’s schedule, to this point: #179
— bench minutes: #154
— Yale’s best win: 93-83 OT/87-65 over #116 Princeton.

— Princeton (21-8, 11-4) ranked #116 by KenPom
— Tempo: #165
— Experience: #316
— Continuity: #170
— Princeton won six of its last eight games
— Princeton played three starters 37:00+ Saturday.
— Tigers are shooting 54% inside arc (#37)
— Tigers are #10 team on defensive boards.
— Princeton is 8-7 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Princeton’s schedule, to this point: #232
— bench minutes: #319
— Princeton’s best wins: three wins over #133 Penn

— Yale beat Princeton twice this yesr, 93-83 OT/87-65
— Yale won last eight series games.
— Bulldogs won their last three games in Jadwin Gym.

AAC tournament (@ Fort Worth, TX)
Memphis vs Houston
— Memphis (25-8, 15-5) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #11
— Continuity: #265
— Memphis won 13 of its last 16 games.
— Memphis hasn’t won a conference tournament since 2013.
— Tigers had stress-free, 40-point win Saturday.
— Tigers have #34 eFG% defense in country.
— Memphis forces turnovers 21.1% of time (#41)
— Memphis’ schedule, to this point: #70
— bench minutes: #40
— Memphis’ best win: 83-79 over #19 Texas A&M

— Houston (31-2, 19-1) ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #342
— Experience: #256
— Continuity: #202
— Houston won its last thirteen games.
— Cougars won this tournament the last two years.
— Senior G Sasser got hurt yesterday (check status)
— Houston is forcing turnovers 22.2% of time (#22)
— Cougars have #2 eFG% defense in country.
— Houston’s schedule, to this point: #98
— bench minutes: #262
— Houston’s best win: 53-48 over #11 Saint Mary’s.

— Houston beat Memphis twice this year, 72-64/67-65
— Cougars won six of last eight series games.

Big 14 tournament (@ Chicago)
Penn State vs Purdue
— Penn State (22-12, 13-10) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #318
— Experience: #1
— Continuity: #140
— Penn State won five in row, eight of last nine games.
— Penn State’s last six wins were all by four or less points.
— Since 2015, Lions are 11-6 in Big 14 tournament.
— Penn State is shooting 38.7% on arc (#8), 53.5% inside arc (#53)
— Penn State is #37 team on defensive boards.
— Penn State’s schedule, to this point: #31
— bench minutes: #311
— Penn State’s best win: 65-64 over #22 Maryland.

— Purdue (26-6, 17-3) ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #284
— Continuity: #228
— Purdue won last four games, giving up 65.8 ppg.
— Boilers played three starters 30:00+ Saturday.
— Boilers have #37 eFG% defense in country.
— Purdue is #3 team in country on defensive boards.
— Purdue is shooting 54.2% inside arc (#35).
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #128
— Purdue’s best win: 84-66 over #8 Gonzaga

— Purdue beat Penn State twice this year, by 13-20 points.




NCAAB

Sunday, March 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Yale @ Princeton
Yale
Yale is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Princeton
Princeton
Princeton is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Princeton is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Dayton @ VCU
Dayton
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Dayton's last 16 games when playing VCU
Dayton is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing VCU
VCU
VCU is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dayton
VCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Dayton

Texas A&M @ Alabama
Texas A&M
Texas A&M is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Alabama
Alabama
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Alabama's last 14 games when playing Texas A&M
Alabama is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Texas A&M

Memphis @ Houston
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Houston
Memphis is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Memphis
Houston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Memphis

Penn State @ Purdue
Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Penn State's last 11 games when playing Purdue
Penn State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Purdue
Purdue
Purdue is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Purdue's last 11 games when playing Penn State


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
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SUNDAY, MARCH 12​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PRIN at YALEYALE -3.5
U 140.5		+500 +500
DAY at VCU01:00 PMVCU -2.5
O 124.5		+500 +500
TAM at ALA01:00 PMTAM +4.5
O 145.5		+500 +500
MEM at HOU03:15 PMHOU -6.0
U 135.0		+500 +500
PSU at PUR03:30 PMPSU +6.0
O 135.5		+500 +500
 
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Pending Picks​

DateLeagueGameScoreStatusPick
Mar 12, 2023NCAABTexas A&M
Alabama		-
-		01:00 PMTAM +5.0

Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Mar 11, 2023NCAABVanderbilt
Texas A&M		75
87		TAM -6.0Win
Mar 10, 2023NCAABArkansas
Texas A&M		61
67		TAM -1.0Win
Mar 9, 2023NCAABIowa State
Baylor		78
72		ISU +4.5Win
Mar 8, 2023NCAABAir Force
UNLV		70
78		AFA +6.0Loss
Mar 7, 2023NCAABGonzaga
Saint Mary's		77
51		GONZ -2.5Win
Mar 6, 2023NCAABNorthern Kentucky
Youngstown St.		75
63		YSU -3.5Loss
Mar 5, 2023NCAABCampbell
UNC Asheville		73
77		UNCA -4.5Loss
Mar 4, 2023NCAABMercer
Furman		58
73		FUR -10.5Win
Mar 3, 2023NBANew Orleans
Golden State		99
108		Under 230.5Win
Mar 2, 2023NCAABHawaii
CSU Northridge		81
55		CSN +8.0Loss
Mar 1, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Northwestern		68
65		NW -3.5Loss
 
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Completed Picks​

DateLeagueGameScorePickOutcome
Mar 12, 2023NCAABTexas A&M
Alabama		63
82		TAM +5.0Loss
Mar 11, 2023NCAABVanderbilt
Texas A&M		75
87		TAM -6.0Win
Mar 10, 2023NCAABArkansas
Texas A&M		61
67		TAM -1.0Win
Mar 9, 2023NCAABIowa State
Baylor		78
72		ISU +4.5Win
Mar 8, 2023NCAABAir Force
UNLV		70
78		AFA +6.0Loss
Mar 7, 2023NCAABGonzaga
Saint Mary's		77
51		GONZ -2.5Win
Mar 6, 2023NCAABNorthern Kentucky
Youngstown St.		75
63		YSU -3.5Loss
Mar 5, 2023NCAABCampbell
UNC Asheville		73
77		UNCA -4.5Loss
Mar 4, 2023NCAABMercer
Furman		58
73		FUR -10.5Win
Mar 3, 2023NBANew Orleans
Golden State		99
108		Under 230.5Win
Mar 2, 2023NCAABHawaii
CSU Northridge		81
55		CSN +8.0Loss
Mar 1, 2023NCAABPenn St.
Northwestern		68
65		NW -3.5Loss
 
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
03/12/20233-7-030.00%-2350Detail
03/11/202325-20-055.56%+1500Detail
03/10/202339-33-054.17%+1350Detail
03/09/202354-53-450.45%-2150Detail
03/08/202335-33-251.43%-650Detail
03/07/202321-31-040.38%-6550Detail
03/06/20239-17-235.71%-4850Detail
03/05/202330-30-050.00%-1500Detail
03/04/202384-102-045.16%-14100Detail
03/03/202336-24-259.68%+4800Detail
03/02/202363-44-158.80%+7300Detail
03/01/202331-43-242.11%-8150Detail
 
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Monday’s 6-pack
Teams who play the slowest tempo (longest possessions on offense)21.3 seconds— North Texas (26-7)
20.4— Charlottte (18-14)
20— Jacksonvville (13-16)
19.4— Virginia (25-7)
19.4— Saint Mary’s (26-7)
18.7— Northern Kentucky (22-12)

Quote of the Day
“All season, our focus and goal have been on being the best team we can possibly become and reaching our full potential to give us another opportunity to compete, play for and win an NCAA championship. Although we no longer have that opportunity and this season wasn’t what we had hoped for, I want to thank our players and staff for their hard work and love for Carolina Basketball.”
North Carolina basketball coach Hubert Davis

Monday’s quiz
When was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four?

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.

Saturday’s quiz
Charlotte Hornets drafted Kobe Bryant with the 13th pick of the 1996 NBA Draft, then traded him to the Lakers, for Vlade Divac.

**************************************************

Monday’s Den: Some quick thoughts on the Field of 68

— Last three years, only four of the 12 Final Four teams were #1-seeds.

— Three of this year’s #1-seeds play Thursday-Saturday this week.

— Top-ranked teams who missed the Field of 68: Rutgers (#35), Oklahoma Sate (#38) and Oregon (#41).

— Arizona State is in the First Four for third time in last five tournaments; they lost 60-56 to Syracuse in 2018, beat St John’s 74-65 the next year.

Think about it; on February 25, Sun Devils beat rival Arizona 89-88 when they sank a 55-foot desperation jumper at the buzzer. Without that win, Arizona State is in the NT.

— Speaking of the NIT, North Carolina declined to play in it after being the first preseason #1 team ever to miss the NCAA Tournament.

Some trends on how some conferences have fared in first round games:
— Lot has been said this year about how the Big X is by far the best conference this year; over the last three years, Big X teams are 14-5 ATS in Round of 64 games.

— Mountain West got four teams in the NCAA’s this year; over the last three years, MW teams are 0-8 SU/ATS in Round of 64 games.

— Charleston is a 5-point underdog vs San Diego State Thursday; Cougars play pace #29, while Aztecs play pace #252, so a contrast of styles here.

Over last nine years, CAA teams are 0-9 SU, but 5-4 against the spread.

— Florida Atlantic is 31-3, their best season ever; will they be able to keep coach Dusty May? You go 31-3 at a mid-major, a coach usually works his way up to a bigger $$$ job.

Last seven years, Conference USA teams are 5-2 SU in Round of 64 games.

— VCU beat Dayton 68-56 to win the A-15 tournament; Rams are 27-7, but they weren’t getting in the NCAA’s if they lost this game. This was first time since 2005 that the A-15 got one team in the tournament- they had 12 teams in the league back then.

— Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since Montana (+7) upset Nevada 87-79 way back in 2006. Big Sky teams went 3-11-1 ATS in those losses.

Montana State is this year’s Big Sky team; they’re 22-4 in their last 26 games, are experience team #47. Bobcats play #3-seed Kansas State in their first round game.

— Last three years, SEC teams are 7-4-2 ATS in first round games.

— Kent State-Indiana play in Albany Friday night; Kent coach Ron Senderoff is an Albany alum and he also worked at Indiana, from 2006-08.

Over last six years, MAC teams covered all six of their games in Round of 64.

— Over last ten years, Horizon League teams are 0-10 SU, 3-7 ATS; Wright State did win a play-in game last year.

— I’ll have a lot more on the tournament as the week goes on.
 
Udog

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Biggest upsets in NCAA Tournament history:
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86-84 over Missouri
2018— UMBC (+20.5) 74-54 over Virginia
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64-61 over Arizona
1997— Coppin State (+18.5) 78-65 over South Carolina
2022— Saint Peter’s (+18) 85-79 over Kentucky
2001— Hampton (+17.5) 58-57 over Iowa State
1986— Ark-Little Rock (+17.5) 90-83 over Notre Dame

Quote of the Day
“When you look at the résumé, they had 18 opportunities in the Quad 1, and they won only six games. And they had opportunities in the non-conference schedule to win some games to enhance their résumé, and they fell a little short.”
Chris Reynolds, the NCAA tournament committee chairman, talking about Oklahoma State

Tuesday’s quiz
When was the last time a team lower than a #4 seed got to the Final Four?

Monday’s quiz
2015 was the last time three #1-seeds got to the Final Four.

Sunday’s quiz
Steve Martin played a traveling preacher in the movie Leap of Faith; Meat Loaf played the keyboard during the preacher’s shows.

**************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……

— NCAA Tournament teams this year who lost their first conference tournament game:
#3-seed- Kansas State
#3-seed- Baylor
#6-seed- Kentucky
#7-seed- Michigan State
#7-s3ed- Northwestern
#8-seed- Iowa
#9-seed- Auburn
#9-seed- Illinois
#10-seed- USC

In the last 20 years, no team that lost its first conference tournament game won the national championship that season,

— College basketball coaching hires:
Ole Miss hired former Texas Tech/Texas coach Chris Beard, who has a 237-98 career record but got fired at Texas this season because of a domestic violence issue.

Georgia Tech hired Damon Stoudamire, who had been an assistant coach with the NBA’s Celtics; he was 71-77 in five years coaching Pacific in the WCC (23-10 three years ago).

— Be careful moving #4-seed Tennessee too far up your brackets; their point guard Zakai Zeigler is out for the season.

— Teams ranked in top 20 in both offensive and defensive efficiency:
Baylor, UConn, Houston, Texas
 
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TEXAS A&M CC is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games off 2 straight wins against conference rivals in the current season.

HOFSTRA is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after covering 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the current season.

MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days in the current season.

SOUTHERN MISS are 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road dog of 6.5 to 9 in the last 3 seasons.

LIBERTY is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) in home games in a home game where the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

VANDERBILT is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) after a combined score of 155 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

PITTSBURGH is 9-1 Over (7.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 in the current season.

WISCONSIN is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

WASHINGTON ST is 36-20 Over (14 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread since 1997.

SETON HALL is 11-3 ATS (7.7 Units) in a road game where the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
 
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Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS A&M CC (23 - 10) vs. SE MISSOURI ST (19 - 16) - 3/14/2023, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SE MISSOURI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
SE MISSOURI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
SE MISSOURI ST is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
SE MISSOURI ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
TEXAS A&M CC is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M CC is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS A&M CC is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
TEXAS A&M CC is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
TEXAS A&M CC is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

E WASHINGTON (22 - 10) at WASHINGTON ST (17 - 16) - 3/14/2023, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
E WASHINGTON is 2-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON ST is 2-1 straight up against E WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BRADLEY (25 - 9) at WISCONSIN (17 - 14) - 3/14/2023, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VILLANOVA (17 - 16) at LIBERTY (26 - 8) - 3/14/2023, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOFSTRA (24 - 9) at RUTGERS (19 - 14) - 3/14/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 0-0 against the spread versus HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-0 straight up against HOFSTRA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SETON HALL (17 - 15) at COLORADO (17 - 16) - 3/14/2023, 11:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

YALE (21 - 8) at VANDERBILT (20 - 14) - 3/14/2023, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (27 - 7) at MICHIGAN (17 - 15) - 3/14/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (21 - 12) vs. PITTSBURGH (22 - 11) - 3/14/2023, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 135-101 ATS (+23.9 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 39-20 ATS (+17.0 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SOUTHERN MISS (25 - 7) at UAB (25 - 9) - 3/14/2023, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 4-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
UAB is 4-0 straight up against SOUTHERN MISS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Udog

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NCAAB

Tuesday, March 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Southeast Missouri State @ Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
Southeast Missouri State
No trends to report
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
No trends to report

Hofstra @ Rutgers
Hofstra
Hofstra is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Hofstra is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Rutgers
Rutgers is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Rutgers's last 7 games at home

Toledo @ Michigan
Toledo
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toledo's last 5 games on the road
Michigan
Michigan is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Michigan's last 7 games at home

Southern Mississippi @ UAB
Southern Mississippi
Southern Mississippi is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing UAB
Southern Mississippi is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UAB
UAB
UAB is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of UAB's last 9 games when playing Southern Mississippi

Villanova @ Liberty
Villanova
Villanova is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Liberty
No trends to report

Yale @ Vanderbilt
Yale
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Yale's last 22 games on the road
Yale is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Vanderbilt
Vanderbilt is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Vanderbilt is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Mississippi State
Pittsburgh
No trends to report
Mississippi State
No trends to report

Bradley @ Wisconsin
Bradley
Bradley is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Bradley's last 7 games on the road
Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games at home
Wisconsin is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

Eastern Washington @ Washington State
Eastern Washington
Eastern Washington is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Eastern Washington is 9-2-1 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Washington State
Washington State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Eastern Washington

Seton Hall @ Colorado
Seton Hall
Seton Hall is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Seton Hall is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Colorado
Colorado is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
Udog

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 14

Tuesday’s college basketball games (@ Dayton)

Last four years, favorites are 11-4-1 ATS in First Four games

SE Missouri State vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi
— SE Missouri State (19-16) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #7
— Experience: #285
— Continuity: #238
— SEMo tied for 3rd in OVC (#29 league)
— Redhawks are in NCAA’s for first time since 2000.
— SEMo is 5-8 outside the OVC
— Opponents are getting 22.6% of points on foul line (#339)
— Redhawks are 9-9 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— SEMo’s schedule, to this point: #332
— bench minutes: #88
— SEMo’s best win: 64—61 at #150 South Florida.
— OVC teams are 26-19 ATS this year as a non-conference underdog.

— Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (23-10) ranked #170 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #277
— Continuity: #11
— A&M-CC won the Southland Conference (#30 league)
— A&M-CC lost play-in game 78-67 to Texas Southern last year
— Islanders won 12 of their last 13 games.
— Islanders are forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#52)
— A&M-CC is 4-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— A&M-CC’s schedule, to this point: #352
— bench minutes: #148
— A&M-CC’s best wins: three wins over #214 Northwestern State
— Southland teams are 1-3 SU in play-in games.

Pittsburgh vs Mississippi State
— Pittsburgh (22-11, 15-7) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #309
— Pittsburgh lost three of its last four games
— Panthers are in NCAA’s for first time since 2016.
— Capel was 4-3 in NCAA games at his previous stops.
— Pittsburgh has #49 eFG% in country.
— Panthers are 6-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Pittsburgh’s schedule, to this point: #99
— bench minutes: #305
— Pittsburgh’s best win: 68-65 over #34 Virginia

— Mississippi State (21-12) ranked #49 by KenPom
— Tempo: #334
— Experience: #82
— Continuity: #175
— Miss State split its last eight games
— Bulldogs are in NCAA’s for first time since 2019.
— Jans was 1-3 in NCAA games at New Mexico State
— Bulldogs are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#23)
— Miss State has #19 eFG% defense in country.
— Miss State’s schedule, to this point: #59
— bench minutes: #183
— Miss State’s best win: 58-55 over #12 Marquette

— SEC teams are 7-3 SU against ACC teams this year.
 
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