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Long Sheet

Friday, January 20


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BALL ST (13 - 5) at KENT ST (15 - 3) - 1/20/2023, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BALL ST is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games this season.
KENT ST is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
KENT ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
KENT ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
KENT ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-1 against the spread versus KENT ST over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 2-1 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (5 - 12) at FAIRFIELD (7 - 10) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FAIRFIELD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CANISIUS is 196-155 ATS (+25.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
CANISIUS is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 3-2 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 4-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MOUNT ST MARYS (6 - 12) at SIENA (12 - 6) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ST PETERS (7 - 11) at MARIST (7 - 9) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST PETERS is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
ST PETERS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games this season.
ST PETERS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
ST PETERS is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
ST PETERS is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 since 1997.
ST PETERS is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST PETERS is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARIST is 2-2 against the spread versus ST PETERS over the last 3 seasons
ST PETERS is 3-1 straight up against MARIST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (12 - 6) at MANHATTAN (6 - 10) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 29-48 ATS (-23.8 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MANHATTAN is 3-1 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
MANHATTAN is 2-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NIAGARA (9 - 8) at RIDER (7 - 9) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RIDER is 129-166 ATS (-53.6 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
RIDER is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
RIDER is 106-139 ATS (-46.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
RIDER is 106-139 ATS (-46.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
RIDER is 20-38 ATS (-21.8 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
RIDER is 3-2 against the spread versus NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
RIDER is 3-2 straight up against NIAGARA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VA COMMONWEALTH (14 - 5) at RICHMOND (11 - 8) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in a home game where the total is 130 to 134.5 since 1997.
RICHMOND is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 against the spread versus RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
VA COMMONWEALTH is 3-1 straight up against RICHMOND over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VILLANOVA (9 - 10) at ST JOHNS (13 - 6) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all games this season.
VILLANOVA is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
VILLANOVA is 26-47 ATS (-25.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 344-267 ATS (+50.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
ST JOHNS is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST JOHNS is 3-3 against the spread versus VILLANOVA over the last 3 seasons
VILLANOVA is 5-1 straight up against ST JOHNS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TOLEDO (12 - 6) at BUFFALO (8 - 9) - 1/20/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in home games on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 3-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 3-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOISE ST (15 - 4) at NEW MEXICO (17 - 2) - 1/20/2023, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOISE ST is 108-142 ATS (-48.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEW MEXICO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW MEXICO is 123-88 ATS (+26.2 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BOISE ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
BOISE ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
BOISE ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BOISE ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOISE ST is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
BOISE ST is 3-0 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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C CONN ST (4 - 15) at WAGNER (9 - 7) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
C CONN ST is 3-1 against the spread versus WAGNER over the last 3 seasons
WAGNER is 3-1 straight up against C CONN ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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STONEHILL (7 - 13) at LONG ISLAND (2 - 16) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LONG ISLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
LONG ISLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
LONG ISLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
LONG ISLAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
LONG ISLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
LONG ISLAND is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SACRED HEART (10 - 10) at FARLEIGH DICKINSON (12 - 8) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRED HEART is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
SACRED HEART is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 3-1 against the spread versus SACRED HEART over the last 3 seasons
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 2-2 straight up against SACRED HEART over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ST FRANCIS-NY (9 - 9) at ST FRANCIS-PA (7 - 11) - 1/20/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ST FRANCIS-NY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
ST FRANCIS-PA is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
ST FRANCIS-PA is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
ST FRANCIS-PA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ST FRANCIS-PA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
ST FRANCIS-PA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST FRANCIS-NY is 3-1 against the spread versus ST FRANCIS-PA over the last 3 seasons
ST FRANCIS-NY is 3-1 straight up against ST FRANCIS-PA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, January 20


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Trend Report
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Ball State @ Kent State
Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Ball State's last 10 games when playing Kent State
Ball State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Kent State
Kent State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Kent State is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Ball State

Sacred Heart @ Fairleigh Dickinson
Sacred Heart
No trends to report
Fairleigh Dickinson
No trends to report

Central Connecticut State @ Wagner
Central Connecticut State
No trends to report
Wagner
No trends to report

Stonehill College @ LIU
Stonehill College
No trends to report
LIU
No trends to report

St. Francis-Brooklyn @ St. Francis-Pennsylvania
St. Francis-Brooklyn
No trends to report
St. Francis-Pennsylvania
No trends to report

Villanova @ St. John's
Villanova
Villanova is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. John's
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Villanova's last 10 games when playing St. John's
St. John's
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of St. John's's last 10 games when playing Villanova
St. John's is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home

Canisius @ Fairfield
Canisius
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Canisius's last 14 games when playing Fairfield
Canisius is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Fairfield
Fairfield is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Canisius
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Fairfield's last 14 games when playing Canisius

Iona @ Manhattan
Iona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Iona's last 5 games when playing Manhattan
Iona is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games when playing Manhattan
Manhattan
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Manhattan's last 5 games when playing Iona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Manhattan's last 6 games at home

Saint Peter's @ Marist
Saint Peter's
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Peter's's last 11 games on the road
Saint Peter's is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Marist
Marist
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marist's last 6 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's
Marist is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Saint Peter's

Niagara @ Rider
Niagara
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Niagara's last 5 games when playing on the road against Rider
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Niagara's last 11 games on the road
Rider
Rider is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Niagara
Rider is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Niagara

Mount St. Mary's @ Siena
Mount St. Mary's
No trends to report
Siena
Siena is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Siena's last 8 games at home

VCU @ Richmond
VCU
VCU is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Richmond
VCU is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Richmond
Richmond
Richmond is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Richmond's last 18 games at home

Toledo @ Buffalo
Toledo
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Toledo's last 17 games on the road
Toledo is 16-7 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
Buffalo
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games when playing Toledo

Boise State @ New Mexico
Boise State
Boise State is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico
Boise State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico
New Mexico
New Mexico is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home
New Mexico is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home


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Messages
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Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 20

Ball State @ Kent State

— Ball State (13-5, 4-1) ranked #144 by KenPom
— Tempo: #180
— Experience: #142
— Continuity: #61
— Ball State won nine of its last ten games.
— Ball State is shooting 37.3% on arc (#38)
— Opponents are shooting 46.3% inside arc (#54), 35.6% on arc (#268)
— Ball State is getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#14)
— Cardinals are 6-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Ball State’s schedule, to this point: #293
— bench minutes: #340
— Ball State’s best win: 90-83 at #100 Toledo

— Kent State (15-3, 5-0) ranked #65 by KenPom
— Tempo: #143
— Experience: #47
— Continuity: #53
— Kent State won its last nine D-I games, after a 6-3 start
— Kent State is forcing turnovers 24.1% of time (#11)
— Opponents shooting 46.5% inside arc (#59), 29.7% on arc (#32)
— Flashes are shooting 49% inside arc (#213), 32.7% on arc (#227)
— Flashes are 7-3 against top 200 teams.
— Kent State’s schedule, to this point: #163
— bench minutes: #282
— Kent State’s best win: 75-63 over #100 Toledo

— Kent State won four of last six series games.
— Ball State lost 10 of last 11 visits here (93-82 LY)

Mt St Mary’s @ Siena
— Mt St Mary’s (6-12, 2-5) ranked #271 by KenPom
— Tempo: #255
— Experience: #44
— Continuity: #69
— Mt St Mary’s lost six of its last seven games.
— MSM is shooting 44.4% inside the arc (#338)
— Mt St Mary’s is #300 team in country on defensive boards.
— Mt St Mary’s forces turnovers 20.7% of time (#74).
— MSM is 3-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Mt St Mary’s schedule, to this point: #312
— bench minutes: #142
— Mt St Mary’s best win: 69-65 at #219 Pacific

— Siena (12-6, 6-1) ranked #161 by KenPom
— Tempo: #183
— Experience: #239
— Continuity: #120
— Siena split its last four games, after an 11-3 start.
— Siena won its two MAAC home games, by 10-5 points.
— Saints are shooting 36.4% on arc (#61).
— Saints are turning ball over 20.6% of time (#296)
— Siena is 8-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Siena’s schedule, to this point: #265
— bench minutes: #171
— Siena’s best win: 60-55 over #51 Seton Hall

Niagara @ Rider
— Niagara (9-8, 4-4) ranked #246 by KenPom
— Tempo: #357
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #260
— Niagara lost its last three games, by 5-6-2 points.
— Niagara is 3-4 vs top 200 teams.
— Eagles are shooting 33% on arc (#214), 49.5% inside arc (#196)
— Niagara is #219 team in country on defensive boards.
— Eagles are 6-3 in games decided by 7 or less points or in OT.
— Niagara’s schedule, to this point: #299
— bench minutes: #250
— Niagara’s best win: 64-60 at #126 Quinnipiac

— Rider (7-9, 4-3) ranked #199 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #24
— Continuity: #30
— Rider lost three of its last four games.
— Rider is 5-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Broncs are shooting 46.8% inside arc (#299), 32.2% on arc (#254)
— Broncs are #44 team on offensive boards, #290 on defensive end.
— Rider is 4-6 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Rider’s schedule, to this point: #201
— bench minutes: #200
— Rider’s best win: 70-67 at #74 Iona

— Niagara beat Rider 61-59 at home January 2nd.
— Rider won seven of last ten series games.
— Niagara lost its last five visits to the Broncs’ Zoo.

Saint Peter’s @ Marist
— Saint Peter’s (7-11, 2-7) ranked #310 by KenPom
— Tempo: #347
— Experience: #271
— Continuity: #324
— Saint Peter’s lost its last five games, scoring 55.6 ppg.
— Saint Peter’s is 0-4 on MAAC road, losing by 12-18-10-7 points.
— Peacocks are shooting 42.9% inside arc (#347), 27.6% on arc (#356).
— Opponents are getting 28.8% of their points on foul line (#2)
— Peacocks are #9 team in country on offensive boards.
— Saint Peter’s schedule, to this point: #323
— bench minutes: #5
— Saint Peter’s best win: 63-56 over #126 Quinnipiac

— Marist (7-9, 3-4) ranked #297 by KenPom
— Tempo: #289
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #327
— Marist won its last three games, after a 4-9 start.
— MAAC rivals are shooting 53.2% inside arc, 37.1% on arc in league games.
— Red Foxes are shooting 48.2% inside arc (#247), 32.3% on arc (#246)
— Marist is 7-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Red Foxes are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Marist’s schedule, to this point: #353
— bench minutes: #156
— Marist’s best win: 73-69 over #230 American

— Teams split their last six meetings.
— Peacocks won four of last six visits to Poughkeepsie.

Iona @ Manhattan
— Iona (12-6, 5-2) ranked #74 by KenPom
— Tempo: #79
— Experience: #229
— Continuity: #185
— Iona lost two of last three games, after an 11-4 start.
— Gaels gave up 81+ points in five of their six losses.
— Iona is forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#62)
— Gaels are #249 team in country on defensive boards.
— Iona is 2-4 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Iona’s schedule, to this point: #175
— bench minutes: #160
— Iona’s best win: 84-62 over #80 Saint Louis

— Manhattan (6-10, 4-3) ranked #320 by KenPom
— Tempo: #179
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #159
— Manhattan won its last two games, after a 4-10 start.
— Manhattan is #353 team in country on defensive boards
— Jaspers are turning ball over 21.6% of time (#327).
— Jaspers are forcing turnovers 21.5% of time (#43)
— Manhattan is 3-6 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Manhattan’s schedule, to this point: #343
— bench minutes: #118
— Manhattan’s best win: 72-71 over #224 Army

— Former Manhattan coach Masiello is an assistant at Iona now.
— Teams split last six meetings, after Iona had won 7 in row before that.

Canisius @ Fairfield
— Canisius (5-12, 3-5) ranked #266 by KenPom
— Tempo: #198
— Experience: #203
— Continuity: #209
— Canisius won three of last four games, after a 2-11 start.
— Griffins are shooting 44.2% inside arc (#343), 32.9% on arc (#217)
— Opponents are shooting 51.6% inside arc (#245), 37.5% on arc (#331)
— Griffins are #275 team in country on defensive boards.
— Canisius is 4-6 in games decided by 7 or less points or OT.
— Canisius schedule, to this point: #157
— bench minutes: #49
— Canisius best win: 84-80 in OT over #147 St Bonaventure

— Fairfield (7-10, 3-4) ranked #255 by KenPom
— Tempo: #284
— Experience: #116
— Continuity: #81
— Fairfield lost three of its last four games.
— Fairfield is #247 team in country on defensive boards.
— Stags are shooting 47.4% inside arc (#277), 27.7% on arc (#355)
— Fairfield is 3-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Stags are getting 23.9% of their points on foul line (#6).
— Fairfield’s schedule, to this point: #306
— bench minutes: #225
— Fairfield’s best win: 74-69 over #135 Towson.

— Fairfield won six of last seven series games.
— Canisius lost three of its last four visits here.

Villanova @ St John’s
— Villanova (9-10, 3-5) ranked #77 by KenPom
— Tempo: #327
— Experience: #178
— Continuity: #133
— Villanova lost five of its last seven games.
— Wildcats are 1-3 on road in Big East, winning at Georgetown.
— Opponents are shooting 51.6% inside arc (#246), 35.3% on arc (#258).
— Villanova is 3-8 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wildcats are 2-7 against top 100 teams.
— Villanova’s schedule, to this point: #28
— bench minutes: #276
— Villanova’s best win: 70-66 over #40 Oklahoma.

— St John’s (13-6, 3-5) ranked #61 by KenPom
— Tempo: #2
— Experience: #126
— Continuity: #83
— St John’s won its last two games, after an 0-5 skid.
— Red Storm is shooting 52.7% inside arc (#80), 31.7% on arc (#282)
— St John’s is forcing turnovers 20.9% of time (#61).
— Red Storm is #55 team in country on offensive boards.
— St John’s is 4-6 vs top 100 teams.
— St John’s schedule, to this point: #73
— bench minutes: #159
— St John’s best win: 85-74 at #6 UConn

— Villanova beat St John’s 78-63 at home December 21.
— Wildcats won last five meetings.
— Villanova is 3-2 in last five road series games.

VCU @ Richmond
— VCU (14-5, 5-1) ranked #86 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #266
— Continuity: #193
— VCU won four in row, nine of last ten games.
— Rams are forcing turnovers 25.4% of time (#1)
— VCU is turning ball over 21.5% of time (#323) themselves.
— Rams are getting 23.7% of their points on foul line (#9)
— VCU is 5-1 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— VCU’s schedule, to this point: #221
— bench minutes: #87
— VCU’s best win: 63-62 at #55 Dayton.

— Richmond (11-8, 4-2) ranked #105 by KenPom
— Tempo: #300
— Experience: #106
— Continuity: #236
— Richmond won four of its last five games.
— Spiders are 3-0 at home, 1-2 on road in A-14 play.
— Richmond is #25 team in country on defensive boards.
— Opponents are shooting 47.5% inside arc (#94), 31.1% on arc (#67)
— Richmond is 3-5 in games decided by 7 or less points, or in OT.
— Richmond’s schedule, to this point: #198
— bench minutes: #207
— Richmond’s best win: 82-52 over #97 Drake

— Local rivals split their last six meetings.
— VCU won its last two games in this gym.
— Richmond beat Rams 75-64 in A-14 tourney LY.

Toledo @ Buffalo
— Toledo (12-6, 3-2) ranked #101 by KenPom
— Tempo: #23
— Experience: #51
— Continuity: #27
— Toledo won three of its last four games.
— Rockets scored 83+ points in four of its five MAC games.
— Toledo is shooting 53.4% inside arc (#66), 38.7% on arc (#12)
— Opponents are shooting 49.1% inside arc (#143), 36.5% on arc (#304)
— Toledo is #293 team in country on defensive boards.
— Toledo’s schedule, to this point: #216
— bench minutes: #341
— Toledo’s best win: 93-85 over #71 UAB.

— Buffalo (9-9, 3-2) ranked #194 by KenPom
— Tempo: #5
— Experience: #342
— Continuity: #349
— Buffalo is 3-0 at home in MAC, winning by 3-18-29 points.
— Opponents are getting 23.3% of their points on foul line (#344)
— Opponents are shooting 51.1% inside arc (#228), 32.6% on arc (#126)
— Bulls are #270 team in country on defensive boards.
— Buffalo is 2-6 vs teams ranked in top 125.
— Buffalo’s schedule, to this point: #149
— bench minutes: #196
— Buffalo’s best win: 88-87 over #120 Colgate.

— Toledo won last three meetings, by 10-11-16 points.
— Rockets won 80-70/92-76 in last two visits to Buffalo.

Boise State @ New Mexico
— Boise State (15-4, 5-1) ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #186
— Experience: #192
— Continuity: #109
— Boise State won its last five games, giving up 63.8 ppg.
— Last four games, Broncos scored 82 ppg.
— Opponents are shooting 45.1% inside arc (#30), 29.5% on arc (#26).
— Boise State is #7 team in country on defensive boards.
— Broncos are shooting 36.8% on arc (#53)
— Boise State’s schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #327
— Boise State’s best win: 82-59 over #44 Utah State

— New Mexico (17-2, 4-2) ranked #46 by KenPom
— Tempo: #21
— Experience: #89
— Continuity: #49
— New Mexico won its last three games, scoring 78.3 ppg.
— Lobos are shooting 53.6% inside arc (#58), 34.8% on arc (#123)
— New Mexico is #33 team in country on defensive boards.
— New Mexico is 4-1 vs teams in the top 100.
— Lobos are 5-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— New Mexico’s schedule, to this point: #161
— bench minutes: #328
— New Mexico’s best win: 69-65 at #8 Saint Mary’s.

— Boise State won last four series games.
— Broncos lost four of last six visits to Albuquerque.
 

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College hoops has really screwed up Dunkel's site. Here's what's available. I wouldn't count on any more coming out today.

I won't even try to post the Saturday mess unless they get it fixed.


NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, January 20


gjOeU04.png
 

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FRIDAY, JANUARY 20​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
VCU at RICH07:00 PMVCU +1.0
O 131.5
+500 +500
CAN at FAIR07:00 PMCAN +4.5
O 133.5
+500 +500
IONA at MAN07:00 PMMAN +14.0
O 139.5
+500 +500
NIAG at RID07:00 PMNIAG +5.0
O 129.0
+500 +500
SPU at MRST07:00 PMMRST -2.5
U 122.0
+500 +500
MSM at SIE07:00 PMMSM +8.5
O 131.0
+500 +500
CCSU at WAG07:00 PMCCSU +4.5
O 124.5
+500 +500
SH at FDU07:00 PMFDU -5.5
O 154.0
+500 +500
SFBK at SFPA07:00 PMSFPA -6.0
U 138.0
+500 +500
VILL at SJU07:00 PMSJU -4.5
O 151.0
+500 +500
STONE at LIU07:00 PMSTONE -5.5
U 145.0
+500 +500
TOL at BUFF08:30 PMTOL -5.0
O 168.0
+500 +500
BSU at UNM11:00 PMUNM -2.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
 

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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
01/20/202311-13-045.83%-1650Detail
01/19/202376-71-551.64%-1050Detail
01/18/202337-27-357.46%+3650Detail
01/17/202327-31-246.67%-3550Detail
01/16/202331-37-145.65%-4850Detail
01/15/202318-8-069.23%+4600Detail
01/14/2023110-83-356.89%+9350Detail
01/13/202314-12-053.85%+400Detail
01/12/202340-28-258.57%+4600Detail
01/11/202348-42-253.26%+900Detail
01/10/202327-34-144.35%-5200Detail
01/09/202314-6-268.18%+3700Detail
01/08/202322-19-153.57%+550Detail
01/07/202379-61-156.38%+5950Detail
01/06/202313-12-151.92%-100Detail
01/05/202348-37-156.40%+3650Detail
01/04/202329-24-254.55%+1300Detail
01/03/202328-16-063.64%+5200Detail
01/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
01/01/202316-19-145.83%-2450Detail
 

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Armadillo Sports

Saturday’s 6-pack

Villanova 57, St John’s 49— Red Storm shot 32% from the floor.
VCU 74, Richmond 62— Five Rams scored in double figures.
Iona 84, Manhattan 76 OT— Gaels led by 11 at half, improve to 6-2 in MAAC.
Kent State 86, Ball State 65— Kent has won nine in a row, is 6-0 in MAC.
Hawks 139, Knicks 124— Dejounte Murray scored 29 points, had 12 rebounds.
Warriors 120, Cavaliers 114— Golden State rested four starters, still got a win.

Quote of the Day
“I feel terrible for fans who buy tickets expecting to see someone play and they don’t get to see that person play. It’s a brutal part of the business. It’s why I’m going to continue to advocate for 72-game seasons.”
Warrriors’ coach Steve Kerr. Golden State rested four starters Friday night and won 120-114

Saturday’s quiz
Where did Steve Kerr play his college basketball?
Hint: He played in the Final Four as a senior

Friday’s quiz
Of the eight starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoffs, two have started a Super Bowl; Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow.

Thursday’s quiz
Vikings’ QB Kirk Cousins started his NFL career with Washington in 2012.

********************************

Saturday’s Den: Notes on college basketball conference tournaments, and some other stuff

— For the first time since 1978, a reigning batting champion was traded in the offseason; Minnesota traded IF Luis Arraez to the Marlins, for P Pablo Lopez and two prospects.

Arraez hit .316 last year, scored 88 runs; he is expected to play second base for Miami. Lopez was 10-10, 3.75 in 32 starts last season.

Marlins plan to move Jazz Chisholm to CF, Juan Segura to 3B, Joey Wendle to SS; Arraez mostly played 1B last year, so spring training is going to include a lot of ground balls and work on defense. I have Miami’s star P Sandy Alcantara on my fantasy team; this makes me queasy.

By the way, Rod Carew was the last batting champion traded the following winter.

— If you like college basketball, ESPN+ is a must; they have games from all over the country, and you can watch replays of games. Have your remote handy though; some of the guys who broadcast these games aren’t exactly Jim Nantz or Mike Breen quality-wise. The mute button can be useful for some of these guys, but they’re all fun to watch.

I like watching games from the Big West or Conference USA, leagues that the main cable channels ignore.

— How come a lot of NBA players don’t play games on back/back nights, but there are college basketball refs who work 4-5 games a week?

College basketball season runs roughly from November 10-March 15, when pairings for the NCAA Tournament come out. That would be 126 days; I’m looking at referee stats from a few years ago, and there were 16 officials who worked 90+ games that season.

90 games in 126 games means that roughly, you work a game three out of four days for four months, and most referees are older than the average NBA player.

— Florida Gators released QB Jaden Rashada from his Letter of Intent; this ends a recruitment that reportedly went south because of a botched $13M NIL deal offered by the Gator Collective, a third-party group that furnishes NIL deals for Florida.

— Michigan fired co-offensive coordinator and QB coach Matt Weiss, who was put on leave recently amid an investigation by university police into a report of computer access crimes.

Industrial espionage in college football? Who knew?

— I’m wondering how much Danny DeVito gets paid for those Jersey Mike’s commercials, which seem to be on TV every half hour or so.

— We getting into late January, the conference races are heating up in college basketball. Here are some trends that deal with how teams do in conference tournaments:

— Gonzaga has won the WCC tournament nine of the last ten years; the one time they lost, it was to Saint Mary’s.

— Clemson is 15-4, 7-1 in ACC this season; since 2003, they’re 8-19 in ACC tournament games, with 2008 the only time during that time that they’ve won more than one game in an ACC tournament.

— Richmond won the Atlantic 10 tournament LY; before that, from 2012-21, Spiders were a combined 5-9 in A-10 tourney games. League seems to be wide open this season.

— In the Sun Belt, Texas State was 37-13 in conference games the last three years, but only 1-2 in Sun Belt tourney games; they won a game in the ’20 tournament before COVID ended things, then they lost in the first round the last two years. Bobcats are 10-10, 3-4 this season; curious to see how they’ll do in a league that is very wide-open this year.

— Houston Cougars are 10-2 in last four AAC tournaments, winning the title the last two years with five of those six wins by 13+ points.

— Villanova is down this year with Jay Wright gone; they’re 10-10, 4-5, not looking like an NCAA Tournament team, but the Wildcats are 17-2 in last seven Big East tournaments, winning it five times.

Last five years, Xavier is 2-5 in the Big East tournament; four of the five losses came in overtime. Sean Miller has the Musketeers at 15-4 in his first season back in Cincinnati; maybe this is their year to turn that stat around.

— Surprising stat: Last time Indiana finished over .500 in the Big 14 was seven years ago, when they went 15-3 in conference play. Since 2004, Hoosiers are only 9-18 in the conference tournament.
 

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The Dunkel site is still screwed up in college hoops. This may be all they can manage today....


NCAAB
Dunkel

Saturday, January 21


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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 21

13 of Saturday’s best college hoop games

Miami @ Duke

— Miami (15-3, 6-2) ranked #43 by KenPom
— Tempo: #139
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #144
— Miami split its last four games, losing last two on road by 6-2 points.
— Miami is 2-0 ATS as an ACC underdog this season.
— Hurricanes are shooting 56.3% inside arc (#15).
— Miami is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Hurricanes are #50 team on offensive boards, #307 on defensive end.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #93
— bench minutes: #326
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #11 Virginia

— Duke (13-5, 4-3) ranked #29 by KenPom
— Tempo: #259
— Experience: #289
— Continuity: #342
— Duke split its last six games, after a 10-2 start
— Duke is 3-0 SU/1-1-1 ATS at home in ACC, winning by 16-19-8 points.
— Duke is shooting 49.9% inside arc (#181), 31% on arc (#300)
— Blue Devils are #3 team in country on offense boards.
— Blue Devils have #40 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #97
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #19 Xavier.

— Duke won five of last seven series games.
— Miami won three of its last five games at Duke.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-11 ATS.

TCU @ Kansas
— TCU (14-4, 3-3) ranked #30 by KenPom
— Tempo: #48
— Experience: #74
— Continuity: #3
— TCU lost three of last four games, after a 13-1 start.
— Frogs are 2-1 ATS as a Big X road underdog.
— TCU is #26 team on offensive boards, #292 on defensive end.
— TCU forces turnovers 23.7% of time (#19).
— Frogs are shooting 28.7% on the arc (#348)
— TCU’s schedule, to this point: #130
— bench minutes: #33
— TCU’s best win: 88-87 at #16 Baylor

— Kansas (16-2, 5-1) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #113
— Experience: #238
— Continuity: #226
— Kansas won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Kansas is 0-3 ATS in Big X home tilts, winning by 2-4-2 points.
— Opponents are shooting 31.5% on arc (#79), 45.3% inside arc (#35).
— Jayhawks are forcing turnovers 21.4% of time (#46)
— Kansas is 8-1 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Kansas schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #343
— Kansas best win: 62-60 over #9 Iowa State

— Kansas won 10 of last 11 series games.
— TCU lost its last 10 games in Lawrence (last five by 7-9-9-8-4)
— Big X home favorites of 5+ points are 3-10 ATS

UCLA @ Arizona
— UCLA (17-2, 8-0) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #109
— Continuity: #148
— UCLA won last 14 games- their losses were in Las Vegas in November.
— UCLA is 3-1 ATS as a Pac-12 road favorite this year.
— Bruins are forcing turnovers 25.1% of time (#8)
— UCLA is #31 team in country on offensive boards.
— Bruins have #53 eFG% defense.
— UCLA’s schedule, to this point: #31
— bench minutes: #244
— UCLA’s best win: 63-53 over #33 Kentucky

— Arizona (16-3, 5-3) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #11
— Experience: #72
— Continuity: #165
— Arizona split its last four games, after a 14-1 start.
— Arizona is 3-1 SU/1-3 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
— Wildcats are shooting 57.5% inside arc (#9), 35.7% on arc (#85)
— Wildcats are #51 team on offensive boards, #92 on defensive end.
— Arizona is 4-0 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Arizona’s schedule, to this point: #37
— bench minutes: #282
— Arizona’s best win: 75-70 over #2 Tennessee

— UCLA won six of last eight series games.
— Bruins won four of last five visits to Tucson.
— Pac-12 home favorites of 3 or less points are 5-3 ATS.

Virginia @ Wake Forest
— Virginia (14-3, 6-2) ranked #11 by KenPom
— Tempo: #360
— Experience: #4
— Continuity: #10
— Virginia won its last four games, giving up 62.5 ppg.
— Virginia is 2-2 SU on ACC road, 1-3 ATS as a road favorite.
— Cavaliers are shooting 50.9% inside arc (#139), 38.2% on arc (#17).
— Opponents are shooting 44.6% inside arc (#23), 34.9% on arc (#245).
— Cavaliers are 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #33
— bench minutes: #236
— Virginia’s best win: 86-79 over #16 Baylor.

— Wake Forest (14-5, 6-2) ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #85
— Experience: #62
— Continuity: #298
— Wake Forest won six of its last seven games, after an 8-4 start.
— In its last four games, Wake Forest scored 85.5 ppg.
— Deacons won/covered all four of their ACC home games.
— Wake Forest is shooting 54% inside arc (#44), 37.6% on arc (#30).
— Deacons are 5-2 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Wake Forest’s schedule, to this point: #85
— bench minutes: #286
— Wake Forest’s best win: 81-70 over #29 Duke

— Virginia won nine of last ten series games.
— Cavaliers won their last five visits here.
— ACC home teams are 11-7 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Iowa State @ Oklahoma State
— Iowa State (14-3, 5-1) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #309
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #186
— Iowa State won seven of its last eight games.
— Cyclones’ only Big X loss: 62-60 at #7 Kansas.
— Iowa State is forcing turnovers 28.5% of time (#1)
— Cyclones are #44 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State is 4-1 in games decided by 5 or less points.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #24
— bench minutes: #203
— Iowa State’s best win: 78-67 over #10 Texas

— Oklahoma State (10-8, 2-4) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #201
— Experience: #64
— Continuity: #130
— OSU lost four of its last six games, after an 8-4 start.
— OSU is shooting 44.8% inside arc in Big X games (#10 of 10)
— Cowboys have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Cowboys are shooting 32.1% on arc (#259), 50.2% inside arc (#170)
— OSU is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— OSU’s schedule, to this point: #12
— bench minutes: #96
— OSU’s best win: 67-60 over #23 West Virginia.

— Oklahoma State won five of last six series games.
— Cyclones split their last four visits to Stillwater.
— Home teams are 7-6 ATS in Big X games with spread of 3 or less.

Texas A&M @ Kentucky
— Texas A&M (13-5, 5-0) ranked #48 by KenPom
— Tempo: #235
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #82
— Texas A&M won its last seven games, after a 6-5 start.
— Aggies won/covered all five of their SEC games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#16)
— Aggies are #9 team in country on offensive boards.
— Aggies are forcing turnovers 22% of time (#37)
— Texas A&M’s schedule, to this point: #148
— bench minutes: #86
— Texas A&M’s best wins: 66-63/54-52 over #45 Florida

— Kentucky (12-6, 3-3) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #266
— Experience: #107
— Continuity: #195
— Kentucky is 5-4 in last nine games, after a 7-2 start.
— Kentucky is #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Wildcats are shooting 49.4% inside arc (#200), 37.1% on arc (#43)
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#76)
— Wildcats are 3-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #100
— bench minutes: #152
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #2 Tennessee.

— Kentucky won six of last seven series games.
— Aggies lost last four visits to Kentucky, by 17-42-1-11 points.
— SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 6-1 ATS.

Marquette @ Seton Hall
— Marquette (15-5, 7-2) ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #87
— Experience: #300
— Continuity: #102
— Marquette won six of its last seven games.
— Eagles split four Big East road games, losing by 5-4 points.
— Marquette shooting 60.2% inside arc (#1), 35.1% on arc (#112).
— Marquette is forcing turnovers 21.8% of time (#41)
— All five Marquette losses were by 5 or less points.
— Marquette’s schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #269
— Marquette’s best win: 82-76 over #6 UConn.

— Seton Hall (12-8, 5-4) ranked #50 by KenPom
— Tempo: #234
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #205
— Seton Hall is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in its last six games.
— Pirates are getting 22.6% of their points on foul line (#16)
— Seton Hall is forcing turnovers 20.6% of time (#75).
— Pirates have #22 eFG% defense in country.
— Seton Hall is 5-7 vs top 100 teams.
— Seton Hall’s schedule, to this point: #5
— bench minutes: #48
— Seton Hall’s best win: 67-66 over #6 UConn.

— Marquette beat Seton Hall 83-69 at home December 27.
— Marquette won last three meetings, by 10-1-14 points.
— Eagles lost three of last four visits to the Garden State.
— Home teams are 10-7 ATS in Big East games with spread of 4 or less points.

Belmont @ Bradley
— Belmont (14-6, 7-2) ranked #123 by KenPom
— Tempo: #166
— Experience: #185
— Continuity: #267
— Belmont won its last five games, scoring 76.2 ppg.
— Bruins are shooting 40.4% on arc (#2)
— Belmont is #311 team in country on defensive boards.
— Bruins are 5-3 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Belmont is 7-2 in games decided by 6 or less points.
— Belmont’s schedule, to this point: #207
— bench minutes: #175
— Belmont’s best win: 63-60 over Bradley December 28

— Bradley (13-7, 6-3) ranked #83 by KenPom
— Tempo: #278
— Experience: #227
— Continuity: #62
— Bradley won/covered its four MVC home games.
— Opponents are shooting 44.1% inside arc (#18), 31.5% on arc (#81)
— Bradley is #21 team in country on defensive boards.
— Braves are forcing turnovers 20.7% of time (#72)
— Bradley is 3-6 vs teams ranked in top 150.
— Bradley’s schedule, to this point: #185
— bench minutes: #140
— Bradley’s best win: 74-55 over #114 Akron

— Bradley lost 63-60 at Belmont December 28.
— Braves led by 9 with 10:05 left in the game.
— MVC home favorites of 7 or less points are 10-7 ATS.

North Texas @ UAB
— North Texas (15-5, 6-3) ranked #75 by KenPom
— Tempo: #363
— Experience: #144
— Continuity: #151
— North Texas lost two of last three games, after a 14-3 start.
— Mean Green is 4-1 SU/3-1-1 ATS in C-USA road games.
— North Texas is shooting 45.3% inside arc (#324), 34.7% on arc (#127)
— Foes are shooting 45.3% inside arc (#33), 31% on arc (#64)
— North Texas is #18 team in country on offensive boards.
— North Texas’s schedule, to this point: #131
— bench minutes: #217
— North Texas’s best win: 60-58 over #103 Grand Canyon

— UAB (13-6, 4-4) ranked #71 by KenPom
— Tempo: #19
— Experience: #5
— Continuity: #120
— UAB is 1-4 in last five games; all four losses were by 3 or fewer points.
— Blazers’s best player Walker missed last two games (check status)
— Blazers are shooting 48.6% inside arc (#234), 36.4% on arc (#61)
— UAB is #7 team in country on offensive boards, #213 on defensive end.
— Opponents are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#73), 34.1% on arc (#200)
— UAB’s schedule, to this point: #228
— bench minutes: #74
— UAB’s best win: 87-73 over #87 Georgia.

— UAB won six of last nine series games.
— Road team won seven of last eight meetings.
— North Texas won three of last four visits here.
— C-USA home favorites of 5 or less points are 3-6 ATS.

NC State @ North Carolina
— NC State (15-4, 5-3) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #59
— Experience: #49
— Continuity: #243
— NC State won four in row, seven of its last eight games.
— Wolfpack is forcing turnovers 20.5% of time (#79)
— Wolfpack is shooting 52.6% inside arc (#83).
— NC State is 6-4 against top 100 teams.
— NC State is 4-2 in games decided by 6 or fewer points.
— NC State’s schedule, to this point: #101
— bench minutes: #290
— NC State’s best win: 84-60 over #29 Duke

— North Carolina (13-6, 5-3) ranked #25 by KenPom
— Tempo: #100
— Experience: #29
— Continuity: #14
— Carolina won eight of its last ten games.
— Tar Heels are 4-0 SU/2-2 ATS as an ACC home favorite.
— Carolina is shooting 53.6% inside arc (#58), 32% on arc (#263)
— Carolina is #52 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels are 5-6 vs teams in top 100.
— You’re reading armadillosports.com
— Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #355
— Carolina’s best win: 89-84 in OT over #21 Ohio State

— North Carolina won eight of last nine series games.
— Wolfpack lost last four visits to Chapel Hill, by 17-6-10-20 points.
— ACC home favorites of 7 or less points are 9-11 ATS.

Alabama @ Missouri
— Alabama (16-2, 6-0) ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #260
— Continuity: #280
— Alabama won seven in row, 10 of its last 11 games.
— Crimson Tide won/covered all six of its SEC games.
— Alabama won its SEC road games, by 11-15-12 points.
— Crimson Tide has #3 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama is turning ball over 19.9% of time (#275)
— Alabama’s schedule, to this point: #2
— bench minutes: #117
— Alabama’s best win: 71-65 at #1 Houston

— Missouri (14-4, 3-3) ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #36
— Experience: #14
— Continuity: #319
— Missouri is 2-3 in its last five games, after a 12-1 start.
— Missouri is forcing turnovers 25.9% of time (#4)
— Tigers are shooting 58.8% inside arc (#4).
— Missouri is #357 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tigers have #282 eFG% defense in country.
— Missouri’s schedule, to this point: #96
— bench minutes: #80
— Missouri’s best win: 79-76 over #22 Arkansas.

— Missouri won three of last four meetings.
— Crimson Tide lost their last three visits to Columbia.
— SEC home underdogs are 6-9 against the spread.

Texas @ West Virginia
— Texas (15-3, 4-2) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #101
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #149
— Texas is 4-2 SU/1-5 ATS in Big X games.
— Longhorns are shooting 56.9% inside arc (#10), 32.8% on arc (#222)
— Texas is 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— Texas is forcing turnovers 23% of time (#24)
— Longhorns are 5-1 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Texas schedule, to this point: #77
— bench minutes: #144
— Texas best win: 72-67 over #13 Creighton.

— West Virginia (11-7, 1-5) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #141
— Experience: #80
— Continuity: #330
— West Virginia is 1-5 in Big X, with four losses by 7 or less points.
— WVU is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#33)
— West Virginia is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#78), 35.3% on arc (#105)
— WVU is #43 team on offensive boards.
— West Virginia is 4-7 against top 100 teams.
— West Virginia’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #78
— West Virginia’s best win: 74-65 over #30 TCU

— Texas won seven of last nine series games.
— Longhorns won 72-70/82-81 in last two visits here.
— Big X home teams are 7-6 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

Santa Clara @ Saint Mary’s
— Santa Clara (16-5, 4-2) ranked #84 by KenPom
— Tempo: #54
— Experience: #177
— Continuity: #133
— Santa Clara is 4-2 SU/6-0 ATS in its WCC games.
— In its last four games, Santa Clara scored 85 ppg.
— Broncos are 5-3 in games decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Broncos are #26 team in country on defensive boards.
— Santa Clara is 3-4 against top 100 teams.
— Santa Clara’s schedule, to this point: #95
— bench minutes: #346
— Santa Clara’s best win: 73-58 over #24 Boise State

— Saint Mary’s (17-4, 6-0) ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #179
— Continuity: #60
— Saint Mary’s is 6-0 SU/5-1 ATS in its WCC games.
— Opponents are shooting 43.2% inside arc (#11), 30.4% on arc (#51)
— Saint Mary’s is #1 team in country on defensive boards.
— Gaels are 6-3 against top 100 teams.
— Saint Mary’s is 2-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #76
— bench minutes: #348
— Saint Mary’s best win: 68-61 over #28 San Diego State

— Saint Mary’s won 67-64 at Santa Clara New Year’s Eve.
— Saint Mary’s is 4-3 in last seven meetings.
— Gaels won five of last six visits to Santa Clara.
— WCC double digit home favorites are 6-4 ATS.
 

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Saturday, January 21


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SATURDAY, JANUARY 21​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
GMU at URI12:00 PMURI +2.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
COFC at NE12:00 PMCOFC -9.0
O 143.0
+500 +500
GTWN at XAV12:00 PMGTWN +17.0
U 157.5
+500 +500
SYR at GT12:00 PMGT +3.0
U 142.5
+500 +500
UCF at USF12:00 PMUCF -5.0
U 135.5
+500 +500
MIA at DUKE12:00 PMMIA +5.5
O 148.5
+500 +500
MISS at ARK12:00 PMMISS +9.0
O 138.0
+500 +500
DETU at INDPU12:00 PMINDPU +13.0
O 144.5
+500 +500
DAY at GW12:30 PMDAY -8.0
U 139.0
+500 +500
UNCW at STON01:00 PMSTON +6.0
O 129.5
+500 +500
L-MD at BU01:00 PML-MD +7.5
O 130.5
+500 +500
TCU at KU01:00 PMTCU +7.0
U 145.5
+500 +500
MASS at STJOE01:00 PMSTJOE -2.0
U 148.5
+500 +500
CIT at VMI01:00 PMVMI -1.0
U 148.0
+500 +500
VAN at UGA01:00 PMUGA -3.5
U 142.0
+500 +500
UNH at UMBC01:00 PMUMBC -7.0
U 142.5
+500 +500
NAVY at ARMY01:30 PMNAVY +1.5
U 140.0
+500 +500
DEL at DREX02:00 PMDREX -2.5
O 130.5
+500 +500
NCAT at CWM02:00 PMNCAT +1.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
ISU at OKST02:00 PMISU +0.0
U 125.5
+500 +500
TTU at KSU02:00 PMTTU +5.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
TAM at UK02:00 PMUK -5.0
O 136.0
+500 +500
DART at PRIN02:00 PMPRIN -12.0
U 137.5
+500 +500
COR at HARV02:00 PMHARV +1.5
O 145.5
+500 +500
FOR at DUQ02:00 PMDUQ -7.5
O 144.5
+500 +500
CMU at OHIO02:00 PMCMU +11.5
U 140.5
+500 +500
JVST at STET02:00 PMSTET -5.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
WEBB at WIN02:00 PMWIN +2.0
O 136.5
+500 +500
HP at RAD02:00 PMHP +6.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
LIB at UNF02:00 PMUNF +11.5
O 141.5
+500 +500
SCUS at UNCA02:00 PMUNCA -7.0
U 138.5
+500 +500
USA at CCU02:00 PMCCU +2.0
O 141.5
+500 +500
HC at BUCK02:00 PMBUCK -7.5
U 134.5
+500 +500
AMER at COLG02:00 PMAMER +10.5
O 140.5
+500 +500
DEP at PROV02:00 PMDEP +9.5
O 146.5
+500 +500
BC at ND02:00 PMBC +4.5
O 134.5
+500 +500
QNC at JAC02:00 PMJAC -2.5
U 140.5
+500 +500
IOWA at OSU02:00 PMIOWA +3.5
U 153.5
+500 +500
UCLA at ARIZ02:00 PMUCLA -1.0
U 148.5
+500 +500
UVA at WAKE02:00 PMUVA -2.5
U 136.5
+500 +500
UNI at UIC02:00 PMUIC +5.0
O 138.0
+500 +500
ORU at UND02:00 PMUND +13.5
O 149.5
+500 +500
KC at NDSU02:00 PMNDSU -5.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
LONG at PRE02:00 PMPRE +8.0
O 131.5
+500 +500
SIU at MOSU02:00 PMSIU +3.0
U 122.5
+500 +500
NEOM at SDAK02:00 PMSDAK -5.0
O 144.0
+500 +500
NEB at PSU02:15 PMPSU -8.5
U 133.0
+500 +500
HAMP at MONM02:30 PMMONM -2.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
LAS at SLU02:30 PMLAS +14.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
AKR at WMU02:30 PMWMU +7.0
O 139.0
+500 +500
JMU at USM03:00 PMUSM -1.0
U 146.5
+500 +500
GSU at GASO03:00 PMGASO -4.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
MRSH at ARST03:00 PMARST +11.0
O 140.5
+500 +500
DEN at SDST03:00 PMSDST -10.0
U 144.0
+500 +500
FSU at PITT03:00 PMPITT -7.5
U 144.0
+500 +500
ETSU at CHAT03:00 PMETSU +9.0
U 142.5
+500 +500
STT at WIU03:00 PMSTT +1.0
O 147.5
+500 +500
NIU at EMU03:30 PMNIU +3.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
AUB at SCAR03:30 PMSCAR +12.5
O 134.5
+500 +500
TOWS at ELON04:00 PMTOWS -10.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
MORG at HOW04:00 PMHOW -3.0+500
NORF at COPP04:00 PMNORF -4.5+500
DSU at NCCU04:00 PMNCCU -15.5+500
UMES at SCST04:00 PMUMES +1.0+500
COOK at JKST04:00 PMJKST -8.5+500
BAY at OKLA04:00 PMBAY -2.0
U 143.5
+500 +500
CLMB at BRWN04:00 PMBRWN -12.0
U 134.5
+500 +500
SBON at L-IL04:00 PMSBON -2.0
U 132.5
+500 +500
EKY at PEAY04:00 PMPEAY +4.0+500
HAW at UCRV04:00 PMUCRV -2.5
U 131.0
+500 +500
FIU at UTSA04:00 PMFIU -4.0
O 147.5
+500 +500
UNT at UAB04:00 PMUAB -4.0
O 130.5
+500 +500
MARQ at HALL04:00 PMMARQ -1.5
U 143.0
+500 +500
MER at UNCG04:00 PMUNCG -8.0
U 128.5
+500 +500
BEL at BRAD04:00 PMBEL +7.0
O 136.5
+500 +500
TENN at LSU04:00 PMLSU +11.0
O 131.0
+500 +500
EWU at NAU04:00 PMEWU -4.0
U 147.5
+500 +500
CSU at WYO04:00 PMWYO +1.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
DRKE at EVAN04:00 PMDRKE -14.0
O 135.5
+500 +500
EIU at UTM04:30 PMUTM -9.0
U 142.5
+500 +500
TNST at UALR04:30 PMTNST -2.0
U 149.5
+500 +500
MORE at LNDNWD04:30 PMLNDNWD +5.0
O 136.5
+500 +500
TAMCOM at SELA04:30 PMSELA -5.5+500
NICH at MCNS04:30 PMNICH -4.0+500
SIND at SIUE04:30 PMSIND +5.0
U 144.5
+500 +500
FAMU at ALCN05:00 PMALCN -14.0+500
M-OH at BGSU05:00 PMBGSU -3.5
U 156.5
+500 +500
TNTC at SEMO05:00 PMSEMO -4.0
O 147.5
+500 +500
MTU at LT05:00 PMLT -3.5
O 138.0
+500 +500
ULM at TROY05:00 PMTROY -10.5
U 136.5
+500 +500
NWST at UNO05:00 PMNWST -5.0
O 148.5
+500 +500
ULL at TXST05:00 PMULL -3.0
U 138.5
+500 +500
BELL at LIP05:00 PMBELL +7.0
O 134.0
+500 +500
NCST at UNC05:00 PMNCST +5.5
O 153.5
+500 +500
CAMP at CHSO05:30 PMCHSO -1.5+500
UTRGV at SHSU05:30 PMUTRGV +15.0
O 149.5
+500 +500
PEPP at PORT06:00 PMPORT -3.5
O 161.0
+500 +500
TEX at WVU06:00 PMWVU -1.0
U 146.0
+500 +500
ALA at MIZZ06:00 PMMIZZ +5.5
O 161.5
+500 +500
PENN at YALE06:00 PMYALE -6.0
U 143.5
+500 +500
INST at MURR06:00 PMMURR +3.0
U 146.5
+500 +500
WCU at SAM06:00 PMWCU +10.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
LBSU at UCSD06:00 PMLBSU -4.0
U 146.0
+500 +500
CP at UCD06:00 PMUCD -9.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
VT at CLEM06:00 PMCLEM -2.0
U 141.5
+500 +500
TXSO at AAMU06:00 PMAAMU +2.5+500
SUU at SEA06:00 PMSUU +2.0
U 150.5
+500 +500
UNLV at FRES06:00 PMFRES +3.5
O 130.0
+500 +500
SJSU at USU06:00 PMUSU -11.0
U 140.5
+500 +500
PFW at NKU06:00 PMNKU -3.0
U 129.5
+500 +500
PV at ALST06:30 PMALST +3.0
O 137.5
+500 +500
SOU at ARPB06:30 PMARPB +6.0
O 145.0
+500 +500
APP at ODU07:00 PMAPP +4.0
O 130.5
+500 +500
CHAR at WKU07:00 PMWKU -2.5
U 129.5
+500 +500
RMU at WIGB07:00 PMRMU -8.5
O 135.5
+500 +500
LAF at LEH07:00 PMLEH -1.0+500
KENN at FGCU07:00 PMFGCU -3.0
O 141.5
+500 +500
GRAM at MVSU07:00 PMGRAM -9.0+500
YSU at MILW07:00 PMYSU -4.0
O 154.5
+500 +500
CLEVST at WRST07:00 PMCLEVST +3.0
O 143.5
+500 +500
VALP at ILST07:00 PMVALP +7.0
O 133.5
+500 +500
UTA at ACU07:00 PMACU -6.0
U 136.5
+500 +500
IW at LAM07:00 PMIW +0.0+500
SCU at SMC08:00 PMSCU +12.0
U 134.5
+500 +500
BYU at SF08:00 PMSF -1.0
O 145.5
+500 +500
WASH at UTAH08:00 PMWASH +7.5
O 139.5
+500 +500
TULN at TLSA08:00 PMTULN -8.0
O 159.0
+500 +500
PRST at IDST08:00 PMIDST -1.5
U 145.5
+500 +500
IDHO at UNCO08:00 PMUNCO -5.5
O 153.5
+500 +500
AMCC at HCU08:00 PMHCU +8.0+500
UVU at GRC08:00 PMGRC -2.0
O 139.0
+500 +500
CARK at NORAL08:15 PMNORAL -5.0+500
FLA at MSST08:30 PMMSST -2.0
U 128.0
+500 +500
FAU at UTEP09:00 PMUTEP +6.0
O 132.5
+500 +500
CSUS at WEB09:00 PMWEB -4.5
U 128.5
+500 +500
MTST at MONT09:00 PMMONT +0.0
O 134.5
+500 +500
NMSU at UTECH09:00 PMUTECH -2.5
U 146.5
+500 +500
GONZ at PAC10:00 PMGONZ -16.5
O 158.5
+500 +500
CSF at CSN10:00 PMCSN +6.5
O 127.5
+500 +500
CSB at UCSB10:00 PMUCSB -16.0
O 120.5
+500 +500
USC at ASU10:00 PMASU -3.5
U 138.0
+500 +500
SDSU at AFA10:00 PMAFA +8.0
O 131.5
+500 +500
TST at CALBA10:00 PMCALBA -6.0
O 132.0
+500 +500
ORE at STAN11:00 PMORE -3.0
O 138.5
+500 +500
 

Active member
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Messages
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Completed Picks​

Past Completed Picks
DateW-L-T%UnitsRecord
01/21/2023137-132-350.92%-4100Detail
01/20/202312-14-046.15%-1700Detail
01/19/202376-71-551.64%-1050Detail
01/18/202337-27-357.46%+3650Detail
01/17/202327-31-246.67%-3550Detail
01/16/202331-37-145.65%-4850Detail
01/15/202318-8-069.23%+4600Detail
01/14/2023110-83-356.89%+9350Detail
01/13/202314-12-053.85%+400Detail
01/12/202340-28-258.57%+4600Detail
01/11/202348-42-253.26%+900Detail
01/10/202327-34-144.35%-5200Detail
01/09/202314-6-268.18%+3700Detail
01/08/202322-19-153.57%+550Detail
01/07/202379-61-156.38%+5950Detail
01/06/202313-12-151.92%-100Detail
01/05/202348-37-156.40%+3650Detail
01/04/202329-24-254.55%+1300Detail
01/03/202328-16-063.64%+5200Detail
01/02/20234-2-066.67%+900Detail
01/01/202316-19-145.83%-2450Detail
 

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Messages
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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Money leaders early in the PGA Tour season:
$3,162,000— Jon Rahm
$2,585,224— Keegan Bradley
$2,449,805— Max Homa
$2,332,085— Tom Kim
$2,106,071— Seamus Power
$2,007,392— Brian Harman

Quote of the Day
“You’ve got only one life to live. You can make it chicken shit, or chicken salad!!!”
Lloyd Bridges, in the movie Cousins

Sunday’s quiz
The old TV show Frasier starred Kelsey Grammer; what city was it set in?

Saturday’s quiz
Steve Kerr played his college basketball at Arizona.

Friday’s quiz
Of the eight starting QB’s in this weekend’s NFL playoffs, two have started a Super Bowl; Patrick Mahomes and Joe Burrow.

********************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

One of my boyhood heroes passed away this weekend; Sal Bando, the captain and 3B for the great Oakland A’s teams of the early 70’s, passed away from cancer at age 78.

Bando hit 242 home runs, knocked in 1,031 runs, made four All-Star teams; he later became general manager of the Milwaukee Brewers.

Bando was the heart and soul of those great A’s teams. RIP, sir.

Chiefs 27, Jaguars 20
— Mahomes sprained his ankle in 1st half; backup QB Henne led a TD drive. Mahomes played the second half.
— Jaguars turned ball over twice in fourth quarter.
— Jacksonville covered six of its last seven games.
— As a head coach, Pederson is 7-0 ATS as an underdog in playoff games.

— Chiefs’ first three drives: 35 plays, 224 yards, 17 points.
— Mahomes was 22-30/195 passing, with 2 TD passes
— Chiefs lost field position battle in nine of last 13 games.
— Chiefs are in the AFC Championship game for the fifth year in a row.

Eagles 38, Giants 7
— In three meetings TY, Eagles outscored Giants 61-7 in first half.
— Giants in first half: 19 plays, 64 yards, no points.
— Eagles in first half: 42 plays, 260 yards, 28 points.
— Total yardage for game: Eagles 416, Giants 227

— Philly is 8-2 SU/7-3 ATS at home this season.
— Eagles were 10-14 on third down, Giants 5-13.
— Under Sirianni, Eagles are 10-3 ATS as a home favorite.
— Philadelphia will host the NFC Championship game next Sunday.

In college basketball………
There were 13 teams that lost Saturday who at one time led by 10+ points.

Big X
TCU 83, Kansas 60
— TCU snaps Jayhawks’ 16-game home winning streak.

Baylor 62, Oklahoma 60— Sooners shot 58% inside arc but were only 3-4 on foul line for the entire game. Baylor has won four in a row, is now 14-5, 4-3 in conference.

Oklahoma State 61, Iowa State 59— Cyclones led 28-12 early on, but wound up shooting 2-9 on arc, 7-12 on foul line.

Kansas State is 6-1 in Big X, leading three teams by a game. This is the best league in the country this season.

ACC
Duke 68, Miami 66
— Miami was 12-42 (28.6%) inside the arc; they slip to 6-3 in the ACC.

Clemson 51, Virginia Tech 50– Clemson outscored the Hokies 5-1 over final 1:28 to stay in first place at 8-1. ACC teams are shooting 42.4% inside the arc vs Clemson.

Clemson is 8-1, Virginia is 7-2; five other teams are 6-3 in the ACC race.
Bottom four in the ACC: Virginia Tech, Georgia Tech, Notre Dame, Louisville are a combined 3-31 in conference games.

Pac-12
Arizona 58, UCLA 52
— Bruins’ 14-game win streak gets snapped; they shot 31.3% from the floor in this game. Arizona only played seven guys the whole game.

USC 77, Arizona State 69— Sun Devils got swept at home by the LA schools this week; Bobby Hurley tried pretty hard to get thrown out late in this game, but the refs wouldn’t give him the satisfaction. Trojans were 14-14 on the foul line.

UCLA is 8-1 in conference; they still lead the league by two games, with five teams tied for second in the loss column. UCLA/Arizona are locks for the NCAA’s; everyone else is on the bubble, at best.

Oregon State made the Elite 8 two years ago; since then, they’re 10-40 overall, 2-27 in Pac-12 games.

SEC
Alabama 85, Missouri 64
— Crimson Tide has won eight games in a row, all by 11+ points; they start two freshman and a sophomore.

If the NCAA Tournament started tomorrow, I’d pick Alabama, UCLA to be in the Final Four. Not sure who else I’d have in there, but I think those are the two best teams.

Alabama is 7-0 in conference; Auburn, Tennessee, Texas A&M all have one loss.
LSU was 11-1 in pre-conference; they’re 1-6 in SEC games.

Big West
Cal-Davis 65, Cal Poly 63
— Aggies outscored Cal Poly 15-0 over final 4:29 of this game, to snatch victory from the jaws of defeat. Cal-Davis has won five of its last six games.

Long Beach State 112, Cal-San Diego 110, 3 OT’s— Marcus Tsohonis scored 46 points for Long Beach; they outscored the Tritons 5-0 over last 0:13 of the third OT. Two guys on Long Beach played 54:00 out of a possible 55:00.

This is a one-bid league; the conference tournament should be great fun.

Missouri Valley
Belmont 78, Bradley 76
— Belmont outscored the Braves 11-3 over final 4:30; they swept Bradley this year, winning the two games by a combined five points.

Southern Illinois 61, Missouri 57— Salukis never trailed, are now 8-2 and tied for first place in the Valley. Salukis had four guys score in double figures, but they scored 11-10-10-10 points- they start four seniors.

Belmont/SIU are tied for first place; Northern Iowa is 7-3, after going 4-6 in pre-conference games. This is another one-bid league whose conference tournament will be must-watch TV.

Colonial
Charleston 87, Northeastern 61
— Cougars have won 20 games in a row; they lost to North Carolina on November 11. They’re far and away the best team in this league but my question is this: if they get upset in the CAA tournament, say they finish 31-2, would they get an at-large spot in the NCAA Tournament?

The CAA has fallen off the cliff; they were the #14 league last year, but after football-related shuffling of schools, now they’re the #24 league. That doesn’t bode well for an at-large spot, so Charleston will have a lot of pressure on them in early March.

Mid-American
Akron 63, Western Michigan 55
— Zips have won four in row, eight of last ten games; they’re in second place in MAC, trailing Kent State by a game.

Kent State is 16-3; they’ve lost to Charleston by 2, Houston by 5, Gonzaga by 7, but they don’t have any real impressive wins.

Ball State/Toledo could make the semi-finals of the MAC tournament very interesting.

WCC
San Francisco 82, BYU 74
— Dons made 12-29 on the arc, never trailed. BYU has lost four of its last six games; they move to the Big X soon— they’re not going to do well there.

Gonzaga 99, Pacific 90— Zags are 17-4, 6-1 in the WCC, but they’re not a super team the way they’ve been the last few years. Only two of their six WCC wins were by double figures.

Gonzaga/Saint Mary’s are locks for NCAA’s; can anyone upset them in the WCC tournament?
 

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