Betting Recap - Week 7
October 18, 2015
Overall Notes
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 41-16
Against the Spread 27-30
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 35-22
Against the Spread 23-34
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 38-18-1
The largest underdog to win straight up
Georgia State (+14, +450 ML) at Ball State, 31-19
The largest favorites to cover
Toledo (-28.5) vs. Eastern Michigan, 63-20
Top 25 Notes
-- One of the most shocking endings you will ever see came from Ann Arbor, as Michigan State stunned Michigan 27-23. It's really difficult to sum up in words, but if you had Michigan State on the moneyline (+240) it was one of the sweetest betting wins of all time. We've all seen the highlights. With :10 left, Michigan was up three and going to punt it away to rag the clock. At that point Michigan State had a 0.2 percent chance of winning. Then, the punter bobbled the snap, flailed at the ball, deposited it into the arms of a Sparty defender and he was off to the races. And, it's cliche, but that's why they play the entire 60 minutes. ...
Memphis will be moving up in the rankings after they did the American Athletic Conference proud with a 37-24 win over Mississippi as a 10 1/2-point underdog at the Liberty Bowl. Memphis cashed +310-350 on the moneyline depending on your shop. ...
Iowa smoked Northwestern 40-10 in a Top 25 battle, as the Wildcats dropped their second straight. The Wildcats will be dropping out of the Top 25, while the Hawkeyes will be moving up. The Hawkeyes moved to 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS and they're an impressive 3-0 ATS on the road. ...
Alabama lost earlier in the season to Ole Miss, but did you really see them losing a second game before Halloween? They went to College Station to take on the 12th man and Texas A&M and it wasn't even close. The Tide covered the five-point spread with ease, 41-23. Alabama has won four straight to deal their way back into the mix.
-- Florida lost QB Will Grier to a drug suspension, and they headed to Death Valley to face LSU. The Gators put up a good fight, falling 35-28 to Leonard Fournette and company, as the Tigers pushed at some shops and cashed in many others. A majority had it at six, so we'll consider it the second straight cover for LSU. It's the first time all season the Tigers have covered in back-to-back games, and the 'over' has now cashed in five straight for the Bayou Bengals.
-- Top-ranked Ohio State looked worse than they have all season -- in terms of their apparel. The Buckeyes wore non-traditional black uniforms with red numbers, a black helmet and red Buckeye stickers in their Black Night game against Penn State. For the first time since their opening night win at Virginia Tech the Buckeyes were able to pick up a cover.
-- Toledo is another team that is going to be moving up in the rankings following their 63-20 demolition of Eastern Michigan. The Rockets, already enjoying their first-ever season with wins over two Power 5 Conference teams, improved to 5-0-1 ATS. The biggest surprise was their 'over' result, the first in six games this season.
-- If you missed it Friday night, Boise State also forgot to tune in for their game at Utah State. The Broncos were never in it, down 45-10 at halftime before falling 52-26. Utah State's win was a nice +250 payday on the moneyline.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
-- Miami-Florida got back on track with a 30-20 win against Virginia Tech. It was their second straight cover, annd the 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Canes. ...
One of the best games of the day that flew under the radar was the Syracuse-Virginia battle. The Cavaliers pulled out the triple-overtime win, 44-38. It was a bad beat for some (see below). ...
Clemson solved the Boston College defense, doubling up the visiting Eagles 34-17. This game also featured a bad beat. ...
North Carolina pulled away from Wake Forest for a 50-14 win, as the Tar Heels are now 4-1 ATS over their past five games.
-- Another entertaining game to fly under the radar was the Rutgers-Indiana game, which was a 55-52 shootout in favor of the Scarlet Knights. But Hoosiers side bettors laying less than a touchdown thought it was in the bad with a 52-33 lead after 45 minutes. Again, see the bad beats. ...
Minnesota has fallen apart, losing two of their past three straight-up after a 48-25 setback to Nebraska. The Gophers were 3-1 SU, but they're now just 4-3. They are also a dismal 1-5 ATS over the past six games. They'll have two weeks to regroup before hosting Michigan in a nationally-televised night game.
-- If you were following the @TwitVI twitter feed Friday night, we were discussing Oklahoma's charter flight problems with United Airlines. Not one, not two, not three, but four planes were needed to finally take the Sooners from Oklahoma City to Manhattan for their game at Kansas State. The Sooners ended up getting in 12 hours late, and tucking in at their team hotel around 2am local time for a 2:30pm kick. The lack of sleep did not affect them in the least. Oklahoma pounded K-State early and often, winning a laugher 55-0 to take care of the 'over' all by themselves. ... Kansas handily covered a 33-point number, putting up a good fight in a 30-20 loss to Texas Tech.
-- Washington State continues their resurgence, putting a 52-31 pasting on Oregon State. The Cougs have won four of their past five games, and they have covered three straight heading into their game at Arizona next weekend.
... Arizona-Colorado bettors were bit by a bad beat on the total, as the Wildcats hung on for the 38-31 win. The Buffaloes have lost 14 straight conference games, worst in the FBS. However, they are getting close and it is just a matter of time before that streak ends.
-- The first game of the post-Steve Spurrier era was a success, as South Carolina picked up the 19-10 win against Vanderbilt. It was the first conference win against three losses for the Gamecocks. ...
Mississippi State was out of conference for the second straight game, and they cover against Louisiana Tech, 45-20. The under is 3-0 in three SEC games for the Bulldogs of Mississippi State, and 3-0 in their past three non-conference tilts.
Mid-Major Report
-- Houston continues to roll along, dropping Tulane 42-7 in New Orleans on Friday night. The Cougars have scored 34 or more points in each of their six games, and they have covered four of their past five games overall. ... Tulsa hung on for a cover at East Carolina in their 30-17 loss. The Golden Hurricane have dropped three of the past four, but they're 3-1-1 ATS over the past five games. The 'under' has been the play lately, cashing in three in a row. ... UCF picked up its first cover of the season, snapping an 0-6 ATS skid, in their 30-16 loss at Temple. The Golden Knights are 0-7 SU, and they host Houston next.
-- Marshall was favored by just a field goal at Florida Atlantic, as perhaps Vegas figured the heat and humidity of South Florida would get to the Thundering Herd. It didn't. They easily took care of business 33-17 in Boca Raton, as the Owls are now 1-4 ATS over their past five games. The Herd have now covered four in a row, and won five straight. ... Southern Mississippi put a 32-10 beating on Texas-San Antonio in Hattiesburg, and they're now 6-1 ATS this season as they are one of the more underrated values on a weekly basis.
-- The Central Michigan cover train continues to roll on, as they stomped Buffalo 51-14 in Mount Pleasant. The Chippewas might be just 3-4 SU, but they're a perfect 7-0 ATS on the season. ... Western Michigan got back to .500 with their second straight win at Ohio, 49-14. Suddenly P.J. Fleck's bunch have covered three of the past four and are playing good ball after a rough start. The Bobcats opened 4-0 ATS, but they're just 1-2 ATS over the past three.
-- Hawaii made three previous trips to the mainland, losing all three outings by a combined 121-0 score. They also lost at New Mexico, but just by a 28-27 score to cover for the first time since Sept. 12. ... San Diego State went up the coast to top San Jose State 30-7. After opening the season 0-4 ATS, the Aztecs have covered their past three.
-- Idaho went down to Troy and dealt the Trojans a 19-16 loss, their fourth straight setback. The Vandals have suddenly covered three of their past four.
... Georgia State hit the road for Ball State and scored the biggest upset of the weekend, winning as a 14-point underdog. The Panthers snapped a three-game losing streak, and are now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road, while going 0-3 ATS at home.
Bad Beats
-- Clemson (-18) held a 34-10 lead in the waning moments of the fourth quarter, but Jeff Smith had a 1-yard plunge for the Eagles with 1:29 left to grab the backdoor cover for Boston College and kill Clemson side bettors.
-- 'Under' (51) bettors were sweating in the 'Cuse-UVA game, but the Cavaliers forced overtime with a game-tying field at the buzzer inr regulation. Then, the teams combined for 34 points to crush total bettors. The 'over' is now a perfect 6-0 for Syracuse this season.
-- Indiana (-6) side bettors figured they were sitting pretty at 52-33 heading into the fourth quarter, but then Rutgers outscored them 22-0 in the final 15 minutes to pick up the win. If you had the Scarlet Knights on the moneyline, congrats. The final dagger to the Hoosiers came with :00 on the clock with a 26-yard game-winning field goal.
-- Hawaii moneyline bettors, and 'under' (51.5) bettors were each angered with :55 left when New Mexico struck for a 28-yard touchdown, winning 28-27.
October 18, 2015
Overall Notes
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 7 RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 41-16
Against the Spread 27-30
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 35-22
Against the Spread 23-34
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 38-18-1
The largest underdog to win straight up
Georgia State (+14, +450 ML) at Ball State, 31-19
The largest favorites to cover
Toledo (-28.5) vs. Eastern Michigan, 63-20
Top 25 Notes
-- One of the most shocking endings you will ever see came from Ann Arbor, as Michigan State stunned Michigan 27-23. It's really difficult to sum up in words, but if you had Michigan State on the moneyline (+240) it was one of the sweetest betting wins of all time. We've all seen the highlights. With :10 left, Michigan was up three and going to punt it away to rag the clock. At that point Michigan State had a 0.2 percent chance of winning. Then, the punter bobbled the snap, flailed at the ball, deposited it into the arms of a Sparty defender and he was off to the races. And, it's cliche, but that's why they play the entire 60 minutes. ...
Memphis will be moving up in the rankings after they did the American Athletic Conference proud with a 37-24 win over Mississippi as a 10 1/2-point underdog at the Liberty Bowl. Memphis cashed +310-350 on the moneyline depending on your shop. ...
Iowa smoked Northwestern 40-10 in a Top 25 battle, as the Wildcats dropped their second straight. The Wildcats will be dropping out of the Top 25, while the Hawkeyes will be moving up. The Hawkeyes moved to 7-0 SU, 5-2 ATS and they're an impressive 3-0 ATS on the road. ...
Alabama lost earlier in the season to Ole Miss, but did you really see them losing a second game before Halloween? They went to College Station to take on the 12th man and Texas A&M and it wasn't even close. The Tide covered the five-point spread with ease, 41-23. Alabama has won four straight to deal their way back into the mix.
-- Florida lost QB Will Grier to a drug suspension, and they headed to Death Valley to face LSU. The Gators put up a good fight, falling 35-28 to Leonard Fournette and company, as the Tigers pushed at some shops and cashed in many others. A majority had it at six, so we'll consider it the second straight cover for LSU. It's the first time all season the Tigers have covered in back-to-back games, and the 'over' has now cashed in five straight for the Bayou Bengals.
-- Top-ranked Ohio State looked worse than they have all season -- in terms of their apparel. The Buckeyes wore non-traditional black uniforms with red numbers, a black helmet and red Buckeye stickers in their Black Night game against Penn State. For the first time since their opening night win at Virginia Tech the Buckeyes were able to pick up a cover.
-- Toledo is another team that is going to be moving up in the rankings following their 63-20 demolition of Eastern Michigan. The Rockets, already enjoying their first-ever season with wins over two Power 5 Conference teams, improved to 5-0-1 ATS. The biggest surprise was their 'over' result, the first in six games this season.
-- If you missed it Friday night, Boise State also forgot to tune in for their game at Utah State. The Broncos were never in it, down 45-10 at halftime before falling 52-26. Utah State's win was a nice +250 payday on the moneyline.
Big Five Conference Report (ACC, Big 10, Big 12, Pac-12, SEC)
-- Miami-Florida got back on track with a 30-20 win against Virginia Tech. It was their second straight cover, annd the 'under' has cashed in three in a row for the Canes. ...
One of the best games of the day that flew under the radar was the Syracuse-Virginia battle. The Cavaliers pulled out the triple-overtime win, 44-38. It was a bad beat for some (see below). ...
Clemson solved the Boston College defense, doubling up the visiting Eagles 34-17. This game also featured a bad beat. ...
North Carolina pulled away from Wake Forest for a 50-14 win, as the Tar Heels are now 4-1 ATS over their past five games.
-- Another entertaining game to fly under the radar was the Rutgers-Indiana game, which was a 55-52 shootout in favor of the Scarlet Knights. But Hoosiers side bettors laying less than a touchdown thought it was in the bad with a 52-33 lead after 45 minutes. Again, see the bad beats. ...
Minnesota has fallen apart, losing two of their past three straight-up after a 48-25 setback to Nebraska. The Gophers were 3-1 SU, but they're now just 4-3. They are also a dismal 1-5 ATS over the past six games. They'll have two weeks to regroup before hosting Michigan in a nationally-televised night game.
-- If you were following the @TwitVI twitter feed Friday night, we were discussing Oklahoma's charter flight problems with United Airlines. Not one, not two, not three, but four planes were needed to finally take the Sooners from Oklahoma City to Manhattan for their game at Kansas State. The Sooners ended up getting in 12 hours late, and tucking in at their team hotel around 2am local time for a 2:30pm kick. The lack of sleep did not affect them in the least. Oklahoma pounded K-State early and often, winning a laugher 55-0 to take care of the 'over' all by themselves. ... Kansas handily covered a 33-point number, putting up a good fight in a 30-20 loss to Texas Tech.
-- Washington State continues their resurgence, putting a 52-31 pasting on Oregon State. The Cougs have won four of their past five games, and they have covered three straight heading into their game at Arizona next weekend.
... Arizona-Colorado bettors were bit by a bad beat on the total, as the Wildcats hung on for the 38-31 win. The Buffaloes have lost 14 straight conference games, worst in the FBS. However, they are getting close and it is just a matter of time before that streak ends.
-- The first game of the post-Steve Spurrier era was a success, as South Carolina picked up the 19-10 win against Vanderbilt. It was the first conference win against three losses for the Gamecocks. ...
Mississippi State was out of conference for the second straight game, and they cover against Louisiana Tech, 45-20. The under is 3-0 in three SEC games for the Bulldogs of Mississippi State, and 3-0 in their past three non-conference tilts.
Mid-Major Report
-- Houston continues to roll along, dropping Tulane 42-7 in New Orleans on Friday night. The Cougars have scored 34 or more points in each of their six games, and they have covered four of their past five games overall. ... Tulsa hung on for a cover at East Carolina in their 30-17 loss. The Golden Hurricane have dropped three of the past four, but they're 3-1-1 ATS over the past five games. The 'under' has been the play lately, cashing in three in a row. ... UCF picked up its first cover of the season, snapping an 0-6 ATS skid, in their 30-16 loss at Temple. The Golden Knights are 0-7 SU, and they host Houston next.
-- Marshall was favored by just a field goal at Florida Atlantic, as perhaps Vegas figured the heat and humidity of South Florida would get to the Thundering Herd. It didn't. They easily took care of business 33-17 in Boca Raton, as the Owls are now 1-4 ATS over their past five games. The Herd have now covered four in a row, and won five straight. ... Southern Mississippi put a 32-10 beating on Texas-San Antonio in Hattiesburg, and they're now 6-1 ATS this season as they are one of the more underrated values on a weekly basis.
-- The Central Michigan cover train continues to roll on, as they stomped Buffalo 51-14 in Mount Pleasant. The Chippewas might be just 3-4 SU, but they're a perfect 7-0 ATS on the season. ... Western Michigan got back to .500 with their second straight win at Ohio, 49-14. Suddenly P.J. Fleck's bunch have covered three of the past four and are playing good ball after a rough start. The Bobcats opened 4-0 ATS, but they're just 1-2 ATS over the past three.
-- Hawaii made three previous trips to the mainland, losing all three outings by a combined 121-0 score. They also lost at New Mexico, but just by a 28-27 score to cover for the first time since Sept. 12. ... San Diego State went up the coast to top San Jose State 30-7. After opening the season 0-4 ATS, the Aztecs have covered their past three.
-- Idaho went down to Troy and dealt the Trojans a 19-16 loss, their fourth straight setback. The Vandals have suddenly covered three of their past four.
... Georgia State hit the road for Ball State and scored the biggest upset of the weekend, winning as a 14-point underdog. The Panthers snapped a three-game losing streak, and are now a perfect 3-0 ATS on the road, while going 0-3 ATS at home.
Bad Beats
-- Clemson (-18) held a 34-10 lead in the waning moments of the fourth quarter, but Jeff Smith had a 1-yard plunge for the Eagles with 1:29 left to grab the backdoor cover for Boston College and kill Clemson side bettors.
-- 'Under' (51) bettors were sweating in the 'Cuse-UVA game, but the Cavaliers forced overtime with a game-tying field at the buzzer inr regulation. Then, the teams combined for 34 points to crush total bettors. The 'over' is now a perfect 6-0 for Syracuse this season.
-- Indiana (-6) side bettors figured they were sitting pretty at 52-33 heading into the fourth quarter, but then Rutgers outscored them 22-0 in the final 15 minutes to pick up the win. If you had the Scarlet Knights on the moneyline, congrats. The final dagger to the Hoosiers came with :00 on the clock with a 26-yard game-winning field goal.
-- Hawaii moneyline bettors, and 'under' (51.5) bettors were each angered with :55 left when New Mexico struck for a 28-yard touchdown, winning 28-27.