Cnotes college basketball 2020-2021 news/trends/best bets thru ncaa championship !

[CNOTES]

SATURDAY, MARCH 20
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


DAY at MEM 12:00 PM
MEM -5.5
U 137.5


GTWN at COLO 12:15 PM
GTWN +6.0
O 137.0


UNCG at FSU 12:45 PM
FSU -10.5
U 144.0


EWU at KU 01:15 PM
KU -10.5
O 146.0


SBON at LSU 01:45 PM
SBON +2.0
O 143.5


TXSO at MICH 03:00 PM
TXSO +25.5
O 142.5


UCSB at CREI 03:30 PM
UCSB +7.5
O 138.0


IONA at ALA 04:00 PM
IONA +16.5
O 148.5


DRKE at USC 04:30 PM
USC -6.0
U 135.5


MSST at SLU 05:00 PM
MSST +5.0
O 134.5


GRC at IOWA 06:25 PM
IOWA -14.0
U 145.0






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS




DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............19-17-1.................52.77%...........+1.50

 

[CNOTES]

EVENING BEST BETS:




MD at CONN 07:10 PM
CONN -3.5
U 130.0


OHIO at UVA 07:15 PM
OHIO +7.0
O 130.0


MIZZ at OKLA 07:25 PM
OKLA +1.0
O 139.0


NORF at GONZ 09:20 PM
NORF +33.0
O 154.0


UCLA at BYU 09:40 PM
BYU -3.5
U 139.0


ACU at TEX 09:50 PM
ACU +8.5
O 139.5


VCU at ORE 09:57 PM
VCU +6.0
O 138.5






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS




DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............19-17-1.................52.77%...........+1.50

 

[CNOTES]

EVENING BEST BETS:




MD at CONN 07:10 PM
CONN -3.5
U 130.0


OHIO at UVA 07:15 PM
OHIO +7.0.......62 - 58.......WINNER
O 130.0..................LOSER


MIZZ at OKLA 07:25 PM
OKLA +1.0...........68 - 72....WINNER
O 139.0...............WINNER


NORF at GONZ 09:20 PM
NORF +33.0........55 - 98...LOSER
O 154.0


UCLA at BYU 09:40 PM
BYU -3.5............73 - 62.....LOSER
U 139.0


ACU at TEX 09:50 PM
ACU +8.5...........53 - 52
O 139.5.....................LOSER


VCU at ORE 09:57 PM
VCU +6.0........0 - 2.....WINNER
O 138.5.............LOSER






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS




DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............32-28-1.................53.33%...........+6.00

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in minutes/game:
37.9— James Harden, BK
36.8— Julius Randle, NY
36.7— Fred Van Vleet, Tor
36.3—Domantas Sabonis, Ind
36.2— Damian Lillard, Port
36.0— Collin Sexton, Clev


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Fact of the Day
This is first time since 1979 the Sweet 16 won’t have North Carolina, Duke or Kentucky in it.


Sunday’s quiz
Which current SEC basketball coach was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette?


Saturday’s quiz
Indiana’s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.


Friday’s quiz
UMBC is the only #16-seed to beat a #1-seed in the NCAA Tournament- they beat Virginia in 2018.


**********************


Sunday’s Den: Wrapping a sports Saturday


Abilene Christian 53, Texas 52:
— 23 turnovers for Texas, in a low-possession game.
— Abilene Christian leads country in forcing turnovers.
— Under Smart, Texas is 0-3 in NCAA Tournament games.


Ohio 62, Virginia 58:
Virginia’s last three NCAA tournaments:
— 2021- Lose in first round as a 4-seed (7.5-point favorite)
— 2019- Won national title
— 2018- Lost in first round as a 1-seed (22.5-point favorite)


— Two guys on Ohio U played the whole game.
— Virginia team got to Indiana Friday; they were 8-31 on the arc.
— Ohio-Creighton is an odd 2nd round game on Monday.


Colorado 96, Georgetown 78:
— Colorado made 16-25 on arc, scored 1.32 ppp.
— Four years at Georgetown, Patrick Ewing is 62-59, 26-44 in league games.
— Colorado plays Florida State in second round Monday.


Florida State 64, NC-Greensboro 54:
— Not often a team goes 0-9 on arc and wins, but Florida State did that here.
— This game was 51-50 with 4:52 left; UNCG played well.
— Seminoles played nine guys 10:00+; not many teams do that.


Kansas 93, Eastern Washington 84:
— EWU Eagles led by 10 with 17:58 left in game.
— Jayhawks made 12-30 on arc, scored 1.24 ppp.
— Jayhawks won nine of last ten games, after a 12-7 start.


LSU 76, St Bonaventure 61:
— LSU won five of its last six games, after a 4-6 midseason slump.
— Bonnies shot only 33.3% from floor.
— LSU gave up 78+ points in all their losses; Bonnies didn’t have enough firepower.


Michigan 82, Texas Southern 66:
— Game was 42-24 at halftime, stress-free day for the Wolverines.
— Livers missed another game for Michigan; they didn’t need him here.
— Monday’s game with LSU should be interesting.


Creighton 63, Cal-Santa Barbara 62:
— Kid on UCSB missed a putback at rim with 0:01 left.
— Gauchos led by 6 with 5:24 left; they outscored Creighton 13-4 on foul line.
— Creighton’s subs played total of 27:00, scored two points.


Alabama 68, Iona 55:
— Game was 33-32 at halftime; Alabama wore them down in 2nd half.
— Iona goes 12-6 in Pitino’s first year, with a 52-day pause; the man can coach.
— Alabama-Maryland will be an interesting game Monday.


Oklahoma 72, Missouri 68:
— Sooners won for only second time in last seven games.
— Mizzou shot only 35.5% inside arc in this game.
— Cuonzo Martin made Sweet 16 at Tennessee in 2014; since then, he is 0-3 in tourney games.


USC 72, Drake 56
— Game was 40-37 at halftime; Drake was 2 for its first 23 in 2nd half.
— Bulldogs had a great year, going 26-5 with a win in First Four Thursday.
— USC plays Kansas Monday, which should be a prime time game.


Maryland 63, UConn 54
— Maryland’s starters all played 33:00+; they held UConn to 32.3% from floor.
— Huskies lost their last two games, scoring 56-54 points.
— Since 1998, Maryland won 14 of 15 first round games.


Iowa 86, Grand Canyon 74:
— Iowa made 10-22 on arc, scored a whopping 1.37 ppp.
— Antelopes started four seniors, made NCAAs for first time, a terrific season.
— Iowa plays Oregon Monday; Ducks got a bye Saturday because of COVID.


Oregon advanced after VCU couldn’t play because of COVID issues.


Gonzaga 98, Norfolk State 55:
— When better team makes 14-27 on the arc, it’ll be an ugly game.
— Game was 43-23 at halftime, then it got worse.
— #1-seeds were 2-2 ATS, #2-seeds 1-3 this weekend.


UCLA 73, BYU 62:
— Surprisingly easy win for the Bruins, who play Abilene Christian Monday.
— Since 2003, WCC teams other than Gonzaga are 3-9 ATS in first round.
— Pac-12 teams are 5-0 SU so far this week.

 

[CNOTES]

801WISCONSIN -802 BAYLOR
BAYLOR is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.


803N TEXAS -804 VILLANOVA
N TEXAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 80%) after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.


805TEXAS TECH -806 ARKANSAS
TEXAS TECH is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls since 1997.


807ORAL ROBERTS -808 FLORIDA
ORAL ROBERTS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games after scoring 75 points or more 2 straight games in the current season.


809LOYOLA-IL -810 ILLINOIS
ILLINOIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the current season.


809LOYOLA-IL -810 ILLINOIS
LOYOLA-IL is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games where they were called for 15 or less fouls in the current season.


811OREGON ST -812 OKLAHOMA ST
OREGON ST is 12-0 ATS (12 Units) after playing 3 consecutive games as an underdog in the current season.


813SYRACUSE -814 W VIRGINIA
W VIRGINIA is 0-10 ATS (-11 Units) in road games after a win by 15 points or more in the last 3 seasons.


815RUTGERS -816 HOUSTON
RUTGERS are 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game after 15+games over the last 2 seasons.




--------------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet


Sunday, March 21


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WISCONSIN (18 - 12) vs. BAYLOR (23 - 2) - 3/21/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BAYLOR is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WISCONSIN is 170-129 ATS (+28.1 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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N TEXAS (18 - 9) vs. VILLANOVA (17 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VILLANOVA is 402-336 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 402-336 ATS (+32.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 286-238 ATS (+24.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 169-118 ATS (+39.2 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 167-118 ATS (+37.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
VILLANOVA is 320-248 ATS (+47.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N TEXAS is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
N TEXAS is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
N TEXAS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 this season.
N TEXAS is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing with one or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS TECH (18 - 10) vs. ARKANSAS (23 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS TECH is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
ARKANSAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
ARKANSAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
ARKANSAS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARKANSAS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ARKANSAS is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARKANSAS is 1-0 against the spread versus TEXAS TECH over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORAL ROBERTS (17 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (15 - 9) - 3/21/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 41-23 ATS (+15.7 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOYOLA-IL (25 - 4) vs. ILLINOIS (24 - 6) - 3/21/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
ILLINOIS is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
ILLINOIS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ILLINOIS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OREGON ST (18 - 12) vs. OKLAHOMA ST (21 - 8) - 3/21/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
OKLAHOMA ST is 137-103 ATS (+23.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
OKLAHOMA ST is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all games this season.
OREGON ST is 20-8 ATS (+11.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
OREGON ST is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
OREGON ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OREGON ST is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SYRACUSE (17 - 9) vs. W VIRGINIA (19 - 9) - 3/21/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
W VIRGINIA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-61 ATS (+19.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
SYRACUSE is 87-62 ATS (+18.8 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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RUTGERS (16 - 11) vs. HOUSTON (25 - 3) - 3/21/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
HOUSTON is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

-------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Sunday, March 21


Loyola Chi (8) vs Illinois (1)
Loyola Chi (25-4)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #343
— Experience: #37
— Continuity: #11
— Loyola won seven in row, 18 of last 19 games.
— Loyola is shooting 57.9% inside arc (#4).
— Ramblers are 5-3 vs top 100 teams.
— Loyola lost by 14 to Wisconsin, by hoop to Richmond, beat Ga Tech.
— Ramblers played two starters 36:00+ Friday night.
— Loyola made Final Four in 2018, its only NCAA in last 24 years.


Illinois (24-6)
— ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #80
— Experience: #218
— Continuity: #48
— Illinois won 15 of its last 16 games.
— Illini is shooting 37.5% on arc (#25)
— Opponents are shooting 44.8% inside arc (#20)
— Illinois is a top 20 rebounding team in country.
— Illini had stress-free game Friday; they led 39-21 at halftime.
— This is Illinois’ first NCAA Tournament since 2013.


— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— These teams are both in Illinois, but haven’t met since 2012.


Wisconsin (9) vs Baylor (1)
Wisconsin (18-12)
— ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #328
— Experience: #21
— Continuity: #12
— Badgers lost six of their last nine games.
— Wisconsin is 10-11 in last 20 games, after an 8-1 start.
— Badgers are shooting 46.5% inside arc (#286)
— Wisconsin were up 16 at the half Friday, made 13-27 on arc.
— Badgers won five of last six second round games.


Baylor (23-2)
— ranked #4 by KenPom
— Tempo: #155
— Experience: #85
— Continuity: #33
— Baylor is 6-2 since its 21-day COVID pause.
— Bears are shooting 41.4% on the arc (#1)
— Baylor beat Illinois of Big 14 by 13 December 2nd. .
— Under Drew, Baylor is 4-1 in second round games


— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.


Syracuse (11) vs West Virginia (3)
Syracuse (17-9)
— ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #147
— Experience: #234
— Continuity: #67
— Syracuse won seven of their last ten games.
— Orangemen are 4-7 vs teams in the top 50.
— Syracuse is a bottom 20 team in country on defensive boards.
— Orangemen made 15-27 on arc, cruised past San Diego State Friday.
— Since 2003, Syracuse is 8-2 SU in second round games.


West Virginia (19-9)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #123
— Experience: #157
— Continuity: #46
— West Virginia lost three of its last five games.
— West Virginia is grabbing 35.6% of their missed shots (#13)
— Mountaineers are 6-9 vs teams ranked in top 50.
— West Virginia gets 22.1% of its points on foul line (#25)
— West Virginia shoots 36.2% on the arc (#64)
— Under Huggins, WVU is 5-1 SU in second round games.


— These teams were Big East rivals for a while, ending in 2012; Syracuse won last five meetings.
— Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
— Last two tournaments, ACC teams were 8-1 SU in 2nd round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.


Texas Tech (6) vs Arkansas (3)
Texas Tech (18-10)
— ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #317
— Experience: #276
— Continuity: #241
— Tech split their last eight games.
— Red Raiders force turnovers 24.1% of time (#6)
— Tech gets 21.5% of its points on foul line (#39)
— Tech played three starters 32:00+ Friday; they were down 6 early in 2nd half.
— Beard is 4-2 in NCAA Tournament games at Tech.

Arkansas (23-6)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #17
— Experience: #237
— Continuity: #339
— Arkansas won 10 of its last 11 games.
— Arkansas is 9-0 outside the SEC (non-conf schedule #273)
— Razorbacks gave up 78+ points in all six of their losses.
— Razorbacks were down 14 in first half to Colgate Friday, still won by 17.
— Musselman is 3-3 in NCAA Tournament games.


— Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.


Rutgers (10) vs Houston (2)
Rutgers (16-11)
— ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #211
— Experience: #81
— Continuity: #5
— Rutgers won three of last four, split its last ten games.
— Rutgers is 5-0 outside Big 14 (non-conf sed #288)
— Scarlet Knights are shooting 51.9% inside arc (#84).
— Rutgers is 8-10 vs teams in top 50.
— Rutgers is in NCAA’s for first time since 1991.


Houston (24-3)
— ranked #5 by KenPom
— Tempo: #322
— Experience: #146
— Continuity: #112
— Houston has the best eFG% defense in country.
— Cougars won their last eight games, six of them by 24+ points.
— Houston cruised Friday, a stress-free win over Cleveland State.
— Since 1997, Sampson is 4-4 in second round games.


— Since 2015, #2-seeds are 6-9 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2014, AAC teams are 6-4 ATS in second round games.


Oral Roberts (15) vs Florida (7)
Oral Roberts (17-10)
— ranked #136 by KenPom
— Tempo: #46
— Experience: #250
— Continuity: #272
— Oral Roberts won its last six games, scoring 82.7 ppg.
— ORU lost by 5 at Oklahoma State, 14 at Oklahoma, 11 at Arkansas.
— Oral Roberts is shooting 38.4% on arc (#13), 82.4% on line (#1)
— ORU is 9th #15-seed to win a first-round game; their bench played total of only 23:00 in their overtime win Friday. Four starters played 42:00+.
— This is Oral Roberts’ first NCAA Tournament since 2008.


Florida (15-9)
— ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #174
— Experience: #246
— Continuity: #164
— Florida lost three of its last five games.
— Gators beat a #10-seed Friday, play a #15-seed here.
— Gators are #282 team in country on defensive boards.
— Florida also won in OT Friday; they played three starters 37:00+
— Florida lost in second round in their last two tournaments.


— #15-seeds are 1-7 SU, 2-5-1 ATS in second round games.
— #7-seeds are 6-6 SU in last five tournaments, all vs #2-seeds.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.


North Texas (13) vs Villanova (5)
North Texas (18-9)
— ranked #59 by KenPom
— Tempo: #350
— Experience: #13
— Continuity: #97
— Mean Green is 5-8 this season vs top 100 teams.
— North Texas won its last five games, last two in OT.
— Mean Green has #15 eFG% defense in country.
— North Texas is shooting 37.5% on arc (#25)
— North Texas scored first 11 points of overtime Friday- they played four starters 37:00+
— This is first NCAA for North Texas since 2010.


Villanova (17-6)
— ranked #12 by KenPom
— Tempo: #331
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #7
— Villanova lost three of last five games; PG Gillespie out for year.
— Villanova is 6-5 in last ten games, after an 11-1 start.
— Wildcats’ bench plays #322 minutes; injuries are costly.
— Wildcats played three starters 35:00+ in Friday’s win.
— In last six NCAA tourneys, Villanova won two national titles, lost in second round four times.


— Last six years, #13-seeds are 0-4 ATS in second round games.
— Since league reconfigured, Big East teams are 4-6 ATS in second round games.


Oregon State (12) vs Oklahoma State (4)
Oregon State (18-12)
— ranked #73 by KenPom
— Tempo: #313
— Experience: #68
— Continuity: #154
— Oregon State won seven of its last eight games.
— Oregon State is getting 20.5% of its points on foul line (#67)
— Beavers are shooting 46.9% inside arc (#275)
— OSU won Pac-12 tournament for first time last week.
— Oregon State won easily Friday, holding Tennessee to 0.84 ppp.
— Beavers’ win Friday was their first tournament win since 1982.


Oklahoma State (21-8)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #32
— Experience: #324
— Continuity: #287
— Oklahoma State won nine of its last 11 games.
— Cowboys are turning ball over 21.3% of time (#292)
— Oklahoma State has #46 eFG% defense.
— Cowboys are 8-0 outside the Big X.
— OSU last made the Sweet 16 in 2005.


— Since 1987, #12-seeds are 31-18 ATS in 2nd round games, 20-18 vs #4-seeds.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.




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NCAAB


Sunday, March 21


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Trend Report
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Syracuse @ West Virginia
Syracuse
Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Syracuse's last 8 games when playing West Virginia
West Virginia
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of West Virginia's last 8 games when playing Syracuse
West Virginia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Syracuse




----------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


L-IL at ILL 12:10 PM
ILL -7.5
O 133.5


WIS at BAY 02:40 PM
BAY -6.5
U 136.5


SYR at WVU 05:15 PM
WVU -4.0
O 147.5


TTU at ARK 06:10 PM
ARK +2.0
O 141.0


RUTG at HOU 07:10 PM
HOU -8.0
O 132.0


ORU at FLA 07:45 PM
ORU +8.5
U 148.5


UNT at VILL 08:45 PM
UNT +5.0
U 127.0


ORST at OKST 09:40 PM
ORST +6.5
O 141.0






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS




DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............32-28-1.................53.33%...........+6.00

 

[CNOTES]

SUNDAY, MARCH 21
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


L-IL at ILL 12:10 PM
ILL -7.5.............71 - 58......LOSER
O 133.5


WIS at BAY 02:40 PM
BAY -6.5...........63 - 76......WINNER
U 136.5.............LOSER


SYR at WVU 05:15 PM
WVU -4.0..........75 - 72
O 147.5....................LOSER


TTU at ARK 06:10 PM
ARK +2.0...........66 - 68
O 141.0...............LOSER


RUTG at HOU 07:10 PM
HOU -8.0..........60 - 63......LOSER
O 132.0..................LOSER


ORU at FLA 07:45 PM
ORU +8.5..........81 - 78....WINNER
U 148.5....................LOSER


UNT at VILL 08:45 PM
UNT +5.0......61 - 84......LOSER
U 127.0..............LOSER


ORST at OKST 09:40 PM
ORST +6.5...............80 - 70.....WINNER
O 141.0...................................WINNER






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............36-37-1.................49.31%...........-23..50

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%— Tony Snell, All
49.0%— Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%— Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%— Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%— Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%— Luke Kennard, LAC


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 540,430
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“It’s no longer about me trying to move up any ladders, make more money. I’m at a great place in my life. I can coach six, seven more years, God willing, just try to make young men better, try to make the program reach heights it’s never reached. That’s all I have planned. It’s a great place to be. There’s some things that suck about being 68 (years old). The great thing about it is being at Iona, being able to teach with nobody bothering you, just make the players better.”
Rick Pitino


Monday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, who did they beat?


Sunday’s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette.


Saturday’s quiz
Indiana’s 1976 team is the last unbeaten national champ in college basketball; going into that Final Four, there was another unbeaten team- Rutgers. Many of the Rutgers players had been recruited by Dick Vitale, who was a Rutgers assistant before becoming coach at Detroit.


*******************


Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday


13) Oral Roberts 81, Florida 78:
Long time ago, on Oral Roberts’ home court, this was stamped on each baseline:


“Expect a miracle”
Not sure if it’s there anymore; they’re not on TV much.


Well, a 15-seed making the Sweet 16 is pretty darn close.


— Florida Gulf Coast (2013) was only previous #15-seed to make Sweet 16.
— ORU shot 59.3% inside arc; their two stars never came out of the game.
— Golden Eagles prepped for this; they played 3rd-hardest non-league schedule in country.


Ironically, when Florida Gulf Coast finally lost in 2013, they lost to Florida in the regional semifinals. Today, the Gators were the victims.


12) Loyola, Chi 71, Illinois 58:
— Loyola’s big man Krutwig had 19 points, 12 boards, 5 assists.
— Loyola was +6 in turnovers (17-11); they got most of the loose balls.
— Not only did the #1-seed lose, they never led in this game.


11) Loyola is a #8-seed in the Sweet 16. Since 1990, here is how 8-9 seeds have done in the Sweet 16:


— 10-8 SU in regional semifinal
— 10-7-1 ATS in those games; 1-2 ATS when favored, 9-5-1 otherwise.
— Loyola plays in O State in the regional semi-final this coming weekend.


10) This is the first NCAA Tournament ever to have at least four teams seeded #13 or lower make it into the second round.


9) Arkansas 68, Texas Tech 66:
— Hogs held Tech to 29.3% inside arc; they denied MacClung the ball a lot- he only took six shots.
— Arkansas basically played six guys; a 7th guy played only 3:00.
— Arkansas plays #15-seed Oral Roberts in their next game.


8) Baylor 76, Wisconsin 63:
— Baylor got seven games in after a 21-day COVID pause, before NCAA tourney.
— Bears turned ball over only four times, scored 1.19 ppp.
— Wisconsin started four seniors; if all those guys came back next year, and they can if they want, Badgers would have older starters than some NBA teams.


7) Houston 63, Rutgers 60:
— Cougars outscored Rutgers 13-2 over the final 4:33.
— Houston had 43-29 rebounding edge, with 16 offensive boards.
— This was first NCAA Tournament for Rutgers since 1991, so an excellent season for them.


6) Syracuse 75, West Virginia 72:
— Syracuse made 14-31 on the arc, shot 61.9% inside arc.
— Orangemen led 30-16 early; West Virginia led 53-52 with 9:15 left.
— Mountaineers ended season losing four of their last six games.


5) Villanova 84, North Texas 61:
— North Texas pulled big upset Friday, didn’t have much left here.
— Wildcats shot 15-30 on the arc, scored 1.42 ppp.
— Villanova had lost in this round four of last six years, so had to be a relief to get to the Sweet 16, especially with their point guard out for the year.


4) Shaka Smart’s NCAA Tournament resume:
at VCU:
2011— Won five tournament games, lost national semi-final (11-seed).
2012— Won one, lost one (12-seed).
2013— Won one, lost one (5-seed).
2014— Lost in 1st round (5-seed)
2015— Lost in 1st round (7-seed)
at Texas:
2016— Lost in 1st round (6-seed)
2018— Lost in 1st round (10-seed)
2020—Lost in 1st round (3-seed)


3) Oregon State 80, Oklahoma State 70:
— Oregon State only got in because they won Pac-12 tourney; they’re red-hot now.
— Lot of whistles: Beavers were 32-35 on foul line, Oklahoma State 26-38.
— Loyola-Oregon State is the rare 8-12 seed game next weekend.


2) Since 1997, Florida State coach Leonard Hamilton is 14-9 SU in NCAA tournament games.; underdog was 18-5 ATS in those games.


He was 3-10 ATS when favored, 8-2 when the underdog.


1) Think the Houston Texans regret not trading Deshaun Watson already? They could’ve gotten a huge haul for him last month, but now Watson seems to be facing an off-field legal battle, which at least will be a big distraction. Do other teams still want to trade for him?

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STET at BGSU 11:30 AM
BGSU -8.5
U 151.5


ORE at IOWA 12:10 PM
IOWA -5.0
U 148.0


CCU at BRY 02:30 PM
BRY +2.5
O 157.0


OKLA at GONZ 02:40 PM
GONZ -14.0
O 154.0

ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5
O 133.0


LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0
O 144.5


OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5
O 149.0

 

[CNOTES]

817OKLAHOMA -818 GONZAGA
GONZAGA is 17-7 ATS (9.3 Units) versus excellent ball handling teams - committing <=12 turnovers/game in the last 3 seasons.


819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
OHIO U is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


819OHIO U -820 CREIGHTON
Jeff Boals is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games (Coach of OHIO U)


821USC -822 KANSAS
USC is 13-3 ATS (9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - shooting pct defense of <=42% after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.


823OREGON -824 IOWA
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.


825LSU -826 MICHIGAN
LSU is 12-3 ATS (8.7 Units) versus teams who are called for 17 or less fouls/game over the last 2 seasons.


827COLORADO -828 FLORIDA ST
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more in the current season.


829ABILENE CHRISTIAN -830 UCLA
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 7-1 ATS (5.9 Units) after having won 15 or more of their last 20 games in the current season.


831MARYLAND -832 ALABAMA
MARYLAND is 35-54 ATS (-24.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.


833STETSON -834 BOWLING GREEN
BOWLING GREEN is 9-20 ATS (-13 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=18 free throws/game in the last 3 seasons.




------------------------------




NCAAB
Long Sheet


Monday, March 22


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


OKLAHOMA (16 - 10) vs. GONZAGA (27 - 0) - 3/22/2021, 2:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GONZAGA is 168-131 ATS (+23.9 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OKLAHOMA is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OHIO U (17 - 7) vs. CREIGHTON (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 6:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 144-107 ATS (+26.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
OHIO U is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

USC (23 - 7) vs. KANSAS (21 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 9:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS is 66-34 ATS (+28.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more since 1997.
KANSAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OREGON (20 - 6) vs. IOWA (22 - 8) - 3/22/2021, 12:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
IOWA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 56-39 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
OREGON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus OREGON over the last 3 seasons
IOWA is 1-0 straight up against OREGON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (19 - 9) vs. MICHIGAN (21 - 4) - 3/22/2021, 7:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
MICHIGAN is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MICHIGAN is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) in all neutral court games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 78-53 ATS (+19.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
MICHIGAN is 80-51 ATS (+23.9 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
MICHIGAN is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (23 - 8) vs. FLORIDA ST (17 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 7:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 120-158 ATS (-53.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA ST is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
COLORADO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ABILENE CHRISTIAN (24 - 4) vs. UCLA (19 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 5:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
ABILENE CHRISTIAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARYLAND (17 - 13) vs. ALABAMA (25 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 8:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

STETSON (11 - 14) vs. BOWLING GREEN (14 - 11) - 3/22/2021, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COASTAL CAROLINA (16 - 7) vs. BRYANT (15 - 6) - 3/22/2021, 2:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COASTAL CAROLINA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
BRYANT is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LONGWOOD (12 - 16) vs. PEPPERDINE (12 - 12) - 3/22/2021, 5:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
PEPPERDINE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
PEPPERDINE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BELLARMINE (13 - 7) vs. ARMY (12 - 9) - 3/22/2021, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARMY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up


Monday, March 22


Oregon (7) vs Iowa (2)
Oregon (21-6)
— ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #242
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #267
— Oregon had bye Saturday, because of VCU’s COVID issues.
— Oregon won 11 of their last 13 games.
— Ducks are shooting 37.9% on arc (#19)
— Oregon is 4-2 this season vs top 50 teams.
— Under Altman, Ducks are 4-2 SU in 2nd round games.


Iowa (22-8)
— ranked #6 by KenPom
— Tempo: #109
— Experience: #201
— Continuity: #43
— Iowa won nine of its last 11 games.
— Iowa is shooting 38.8% on arc (#9)
— Hawkeyes never trailed Saturday, scoring 1.37 ppp.
— Iowa is 5-5 vs top 30 teams.
— Under McCaffery, Iowa is 0-3 in second round games.


— Last five tournaments, #2-seeds are 6-6 SU vs #7-seeds.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.


Oklahoma (8) vs Gonzaga (1)
Oklahoma (16-10)
— ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #223
— Experience: #60
— Continuity: #48
— Oklahoma lost five of their last seven games.
— Oklahoma’s #2 scorer Harmon missed last game (check status).
— Opponents are shooting 45.9% inside arc (#39)
— Their last seven games were all decided by 7 or fewer points.
— Sooners played three starters 33:00+ in Saturday’s win.
— Under Kruger, Oklahoma is 2-1 SU in 2nd round games.


Gonzaga (27-0)
— ranked #1 by KenPom
— Tempo: #4
— Experience: #248
— Continuity: #179
— Gonzaga was up 20 at half Saturday, had a stress-free day.
— Zags are shooting 63.8% inside arc (#1)
— Gonzaga gets 57.6% of its points on 2-point shots (#28)
— Gonzaga won four of last five 2nd round games, after losing five in a row, from 2010-14.


— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.
— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.


Abilene Christian (14) vs UCLA (11)
Abilene Christian (23-4)
— ranked #85 by KenPom
— Tempo: #102
— Experience: #34
— Continuity: #20
— Wildcats won 12 of their last 13 games.
— ACU lost 51-44 at Texas Tech, 85-72 at Arkansas.
— ACU is forcing turnovers 26.7% of time (#1)
— Abilene Christian is shooting 37.7% on arc (#21)
— ACU lost 79-44 to UCLA in first round two years ago.


UCLA (18-9)
— ranked #44 by KenPom
— Tempo: #332
— Experience: #279
— Continuity: #25
— UCLA lost four of its last four games.
— UCLA is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#47)
— Bruins are 8-8 vs teams ranked in top 100.
— Since 2009, UCLA is 9-7 in NCAAs.
— Cronin is 7-11 in NCAAs, 1-4 after the first round.


— Since 1988, #14-seeds are 1-9 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.

Ohio (13) vs Creighton (5)
Ohio (17-7)
— ranked #79 by KenPom
— Tempo: #128
— Experience: #270
— Continuity: #84
— Ohio won nine of its last ten games.
— Bobcats are shooting 56.2% inside the arc (#11)
— Opponents are shooting 51.2% inside arc (#239)
— Ohio played two starters 40:00 Saturday; another played 36:00.
— Ohio is in NCAA’s for first time since 2012.

Creighton (21-8)
— ranked #24 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #40
— Continuity: #18
— Creighton won four of its last five games.
— Bluejays are shooting 56.3% inside the arc (#10)
— Creighton has #38 eFG% defense in country.
— Under McDermott, Bluejays are 0-3 in second round.


— Last six years, #13-seeds are 0-4 ATS in second round games.
— Since league reconfigured, Big East teams are 4-6 ATS in second round games.


LSU (8) vs Michigan (1)
LSU (19-9)
— ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #329
— Continuity: #135
— LSU won five of their last six games.
— Tigers don’t pass much (#338 in assist/basket ratio)
— LSU is shooting 52.8% inside arc (#60)
— Tigers are poor on defensive boards (#325)
— LSU had an unexpectedly easy win Saturday.
— Since 1997, LSU is 3-1 in second round games.


Michigan (21-4)
— ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #256
— Experience: #56
— Continuity: #147
— Michigan split its last six games, after an 18-1 start.
— Key player Livers missed last two games (check status)
— Michigan has #6 eFG% defense in country.
— Wolverines are shooting 38.5% on arc (#11)
— Since 1998, Michigan is 3-5 SU in second round games.


— Last three years, #1-seeds are 4-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.

Colorado (5) vs Florida State (4)
Colorado (22-8)
— ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #280
— Experience: #30
— Continuity: #85
— Colorado won six of its last seven games.
— Colorado is shooting 36.7% on the arc (#48)
— Opponents are shooting 46.4% inside arc (#59)
— Buffs lost Pac-12 title game by hoop to Oregon State.
— Colorado is in NCAA’s for first time since 2016.
— Tad Boyle is 1-3 SU in first round games.

Florida State (16-6)
— ranked #15 by KenPom
— Tempo: #84
— Experience: #100
— Continuity: #103
— FSU lost three of its last five games, after a 14-3 start.
— Seminoles have #33 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida State is shooting 39% on the arc (#9)
— Deep team; they’re #23 in bench minutes.
— Seminoles won their last five first round games.


— Last 13 times #4-seed played #5-seed in 2nd round, favorites went 10-3 ATS.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Last two tournaments, ACC teams were 8-1 SU in 2nd round games.


Maryland (10) vs Alabama (2)
Maryland (17-13)
— ranked #31 by KenPom
— Tempo: #320
— Experience: #125
— Continuity: #93
— Maryland lost three of their last five games.
— Terrapins are shooting 52.8% inside arc (#61)
— Maryland gets 35.4% of its points on 3-pointers (#57)
— Maryland had fairly easy win Saturday, holding UConn to 32.3% from floor.
— As a head coach, Turgeon is 2-5 SU in second round games.


Alabama (25-6)
— ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #9
— Experience: #133
— Continuity: #152
— Alabama won seven in row, 10 of last 11 games.
— Crimson Tide has #10 eFG% defense in country.
— Alabama gets 39.7% of its points on 3-pointers (#16)
— Alabama was up 33-32 at half vs Iona; only Jones played more than 31:00.
— Since 1997, Alabama is 1-3 in second round games; the win was in 2004.


— Last 11 times #2-seed played #10-seed in 2nd round, underdogs went 8-3 ATS.
— Since 2016, Big 14 teams are 10-8 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2014, SEC teams are 14-8 SU in second round games.


USC (6) vs Kansas (3)
USC (23-7)
— ranked #8 by KenPom
— Tempo: #239
— Experience: #202
— Continuity: #317
— USC won four of its last five games.
— USC has #8 eFG% defense in country.
— Opponents are shooting 41.7% inside arc (#2)
— Trojans are shooting only 64.5% on foul line (#328)
— This is USC’s first NCAA since 2017.
— Since 1997, USC is 2-2 in second round games.


Kansas (21-8)
— ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #184
— Experience: #263
— Continuity: #123
— Jalen Wilson is expected to be un uniform here; he didn’t play Saturday.
— Jayhawks won nine of their last ten games.
— Kansas has #53 eFG% defense in country.
— Jayhawks are 5-5 SU in last ten 2nd round games.


— Since 2013, #3-seeds are 7-13 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2013, Pac-12 teams are 14-5 ATS in second round games.
— Since 2015, Big X teams are 13-5 SU in second round games.




--------------------------------




NCAAB


Monday, March 22


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


USC @ Kansas
USC
USC is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas
Kansas
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing USC
Kansas is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing USC




-------------------------------------------------

 

[varkeyboy]

For whatever reason....we cannot read your final page....not sure if this is happening for others?

 

[CNOTES]

PLAYED BUT NEVER POSTED:


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STET at BGSU
BGSU -8.5
U 151.5


ORE at IOWA
IOWA -5.0
U 148.0


CCU at BRY
BRY +2.5
O 157.0


OKLA at GONZ
GONZ -14.0
O 154.0


ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5
O 133.0


LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0
O 144.5


OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5
O 149.0


LSU at MICH 07:10 PM
LSU +4.5
O 148.0


COLO at FSU 07:45 PM
COLO +1.5
O 140.5

BELL at ARMY 08:30 PM
BELL -1.5
U 137.5


MD at ALA 08:45 PM
MD +6.0
O 138.5


USC at KU 09:40 PM
USC +1.0
O 135.0







2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............36-37-1.................49.31%...........-23..50

 

[CNOTES]

MONDAY, MARCH 22
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STET at BGSU 11:30 AM
BGSU -8.5..........53 - 52.........LOSER
U 151.5.......................WINNER

ORE at IOWA 12:10 PM
IOWA -5.0...........95 - 80...........LOSER
U 148.0


CCU at BRY 02:30 PM
BRY +2.5........93 - 82.....LOSER
O 157.0...................WINNER


OKLA at GONZ 02:40 PM
GONZ -14.0.........71 - 87
O 154.0..................WINNER


ACU at UCLA 05:15 PM
ACU +4.5..........47 - 67.......LOSER
O 133.0...............LOSER


LONG at PEPP 05:30 PM
PEPP -10.0...........66 - 80
O 144.5................WINNER

OHIO at CREI 06:10 PM
OHIO +5.5........58 - 72....LOSER
O 149.0.................LOSER


LSU at MICH 07:10 PM
LSU +4.5..........78 - 86
O 148.0.............WINNER


COLO at FSU 07:45 PM
COLO +1.5........53 - 71.....LOSER
O 140.5..............LOSER

BELL at ARMY 08:30 PM
BELL -1.5.......77 - 67...WINNER
U 137.5............LOSER


MD at ALA 08:45 PM
MD +6.0...77 - 96
O 138.5...........WINNER


USC at KU 09:40 PM
USC +1.0.........85 - 51.........WINNER
O 135.0...........WINNER







2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............45-47-1.................48.91%...........-33..50[/SIZE]

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in 3-point shooting %age:
56.6%— Tony Snell, All
49.0%— Joe Ingles, Utah
48.8%— Joe Harris, Bkln
46.7%— Bobby Portis, Milw
46.5%— Maxi Kleber, Dal
46.0%— Luke Kennard, LAC


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“I enjoyed last season, when we had the worst record in the league, more than I enjoyed that last season when we went to the Finals. Last year we had young guys who were trying every day, working hard and we had a great energy, great spirit and great camaraderie.”
Steve Kerr


Tuesday’s quiz
Who was USC’s coach in 2007, last time they made the Sweet 16?
(Hint: He used to coach the Chicago Bulls)


Monday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat the Cleveland Indians.


Sunday’s quiz
Georgia coach Tom Crean was Dwyane Wade’s college coach at Marquette.


************************


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..


13) Oregon 95, Iowa 80:
— Ducks ended first half on an 18-4 run, never looked back.
— Oregon’s shot chart had an awful lot of dunks/layups.
— Luka Garza ended a great college career, scoring 36 points.


12) Michigan 86, LSU 78:
— Wolverines are only Big 14 team left in tournament; 9 teams started.
— Michigan shot 66.7% inside arc, are in Sweet 16 for 3rd time in last four tourneys.
— LSU’s two best players both played 40:00, and it showed near the end.


11) Gonzaga 87, Oklahoma 71
— Gonzaga is 28-0, with one win by less than 10 points.
— Zags shot 57.1% inside arc, scored 1.26 points/possession.
— Oklahoma finished season losing six of its last eight games.


10) USC 85, Kansas 51:
— Trojans made nine of their first 13 3-pointers, are in first Sweet 16 since ‘07
— Pac-12 teams are 9-1 SU in this tournament.
— Kansas had won 9 of 10 games coming in; not a strong effort here.


9) Creighton 72, Ohio U 58:
— Ohio U emptied its bag when they upset Virginia Saturday.
— Bishop was 6-7 from floor, had 15 rebounds for Creighton.
— Bluejays held four of last five opponents to 62 or fewer points.


8) Alabama 96, Maryland 77:
— Alabama made 16-33 shots on arc; tough to beat that.
— Bet you its been long time since Maryland gave up 1.43 ppp.
— Terps finished 17-14, losing four of last six games.


7) Florida State 71, Colorado 53:
— Seminoles are shooting 38.2% on arc (#16), are #19 on offensive boards.
— Florida State is deep; they scored 41 points in first 30:00, 30 points in last 10:00.
— 23-9 Colorado started three seniors; really good year for them.


6) UCLA 67, Abilene Christian 47:
— UCLA had last four games in a row before this tournament started.
— You get feeling Abilene Christian beating Texas was their Super Bowl.
— UCLA-Alabama in Sweet 16 is a stark contrast of styles.


Cruddy set of set games Monday; one game decided by less than 14 points.


5) College basketball coaching stuff:
— Marquette fired Steve Wojciechowski, who made two NCAA tourneys (0-2) in 7 years.
— Hofstra coach Joe Mihalich stepped down, took another job in the athletic department.
— UNLV hired Kevin Kruger as its coach; his dad Lon Kruger was UNLV’s coach as recently was 2011, is coaching Oklahoma now.


4) Mountain West used to be a fun league, but it has gone downhill lately; last five tournaments, Mountain West teams are 1-7 in first round games. Going to be a one-bid league soon.


3) This was first time since 2003 that North Carolina went consecutive seasons without winning an NCAA Tournament game. In 2002/2003, Tar Heels went a combined 10-22 in ACC games and then they fired the coach, which is why Roy Williams came back to Chapel Hill.


I understand that there was no NCAA Tournament last year, but UNC went 14-19 and wasn’t getting in the tournament anyway.


2) Last three NCAA tournaments, ACC teams were combined 5-16 ATS in the first round.


1) Memo to myself: The first weekend of the NCAA Tournament is great fun, always. Next year, if I have half a brain, this column will be written in Las Vegas.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel


Tuesday, March 23

 

[CNOTES]

SIZE=2]TUESDAY, MARCH 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STET at CCU 05:30 PM
CCU -7.0
U 146.0


PEPP at BELL 08:00 PM
PEPP -4.5
U 150.0






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............45-47-1.................48.91%...........-33..50[/SIZE]

 

[varkeyboy]

Can't see your last page still...? Anyone else have this issue?

 

[CNOTES]

TUESDAY, MARCH 23
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS


STET at CCU 05:30 PM
CCU -7.0..........72 - 77......LOSER
U 146.0.................LOSER


PEPP at BELL 08:00 PM
PEPP -4.5...........82 - 71.....WINNER
U 150.0...........LOSER






2021 NCAA AND NIT TOURNAMENT BEST BETS


DATE...............W-L-T...................%.................UNITS


03/23/2021...........1-3.0.................25.00%..........-11.50
03/22/2021...........9-10-0...............47.36%..........-10.00
03/21/2021...........4-9-0.................30.76.............- 29.50
03/20/2021..........13-11-0...............53.16.............+ 4.50
03/19/2021..........12-13-0...............48.00%..........-11.50
03/18/2021............3-4-1................ 42.85%...........- 7.00
03/17/2021............4-0-0...............100.00%..........+20.00


TOTALS..............46-50-1.................47.91%...........-45.00

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack
NBA teams who’ve gone over the total the most:
29-13— New Orleans
28-15— Brooklyn
26-16— Denver
26-17— Sacramento
25-16— Milwaukee
25-16— Indiana


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 542,379
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.

Quote of the Day
“I used to work in a fire hydrant factory. You couldn’t park anywhere near the place.”
Steven Wright


Wednesday’s quiz
Which three major league teams has Joe Girardi managed?


Tuesday’s quiz
Tim Floyd was USC’s coach in 2007, last time they made the Sweet 16; he coached the Chicago Bulls from 1998-2002.


Monday’s quiz
When the Cubs won the World Series in 2016, they beat the Cleveland Indians.


***************************


Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..


13) The movie Little Big League was on FS1 last night; the owner of the Minnesota Twins passes away, leaves the team to his 12-year old grandson, who then names himself manager of the Twins. Pretty good movie.


The kid’s mom is played by Ashley Crow; the movie was made in 1994.


In real life, Ashley Crow’s son is Pete Crow-Armstrong, who was drafted in the first round last year by the New York Mets. Crow-Armstrong played at Harvard-Westlake HS in Los Angeles, which once had Lucas Giolito, Jack Flaherty, Max Fried on the team at the same time.


Crow-Armstrong turns 19 tomorrow; in 11 at-bats this spring, he’s 1-11 with four runs scored. This year will be his first full season as a pro.


12) Mets’ 2B Jeff MacNeil was hit by pitches three times in a game last week, by three different pitchers; that doesn’t happen much.


11) Last Mets’ note; former New Jersey governor Chris Christie was recently named to the Mets’ board of directors; hopefully they didn’t put him in charge of parking.


10) Atlantic 14 tried something different this year; they played the first three rounds of their conference tournament March 3-6 in Richmond, then held the final March 14 in Dayton, assuming the two finalists would get on a bus after the game and make the short drive to Indiana, where they would hunker down safely for the NCAA’s. On paper, it made sense.


In reality, VCU couldn’t play in the NCAA Tournament because they had positive COVID tests in their program. Would it have been different had they just played the final in Richmond? We’ll never know.


9) Oregon State Beavers have covered 15 of their last 18 games as an underdog, with 11 wins outright. Beavers play Loyola Saturday, in the Sweet 16.


8) There is an NBA rule that no referee can work the same team’s games more than nine teams in a season; that rule has been waived this season, because of COVID protocols. Referees aren’t traveling as much.


7) Back in the 70’s, Astros’ pitching coach Brent Strom was a major league pitcher; he got hurt, was the second big leaguer to have what is now known as Tommy John surgery. Had he been the first, it would be known as Brent Strom surgery.


6) Al Leiter pitched in the major leagues for 19 years, won 162 games; his son Jack is a pitcher at Vanderbilt now, a highly-touted prospect who is expected to be a first round draft pick this year.


Saturday, Jack Leiter threw a no-hitter, struck out 16 South Carolina hitters, throwing 124 pitches; college managers aren’t as crazy about pitch counts as professional managers.


My question is this: How many major league pitchers will throw 124+ pitches in a game this year? Won’t be many, my guess is three or four.


5) First round of the 16-team NIT saw underdogs go 6-2 ATS; second round is Thursday.


4) One thing handicappers missed out on this season was taking a look at an Ivy League team in the first round of the NCAA Tournament. Over last ten tournaments, Ivy League squads are 8-2 ATS in their first round games.


When the Ivy League teams come back next season after a year off, it’ll be interesting to see how much different these teams are. Last time we saw them, Ivy League was the #16 conference in the country, right in the middle nationally.


3) One of best parts of watching spring training games on MLB Network is the interviews with managers during the game. You can pick up some info here; also good when teams combine broadcasting crews for games. Marlins-Cardinals, Mariners-Rockies have done this.


But when you think of managers being interviewed during a game, can you imagine going back a few years and having Earl Weaver, Dick Williams or Billy Martin being interviewed during a game, even an exhibition game? Thing would have to be on a 7-second delay, for sure.


2) Happy 90th birthday to William Shatner; the actor who became famous as Captain Kirk on Star Trek– he still does commercials that air on Milwaukee Brewer games.


1) Went to the grocery store today, picked up a few things, no big deal, but also walked around the store and located exits, just in case what happened in Boulder ever happens here. Doesn’t hurt to be prepared, but its a sad commentary on our current situation.

 

[CNOTES]

609COASTAL CAROLINA -610 PEPPERDINE
PEPPERDINE is 8-1 ATS (6.9 Units) in road games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread in the current season.