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Desert phoenix: Armed with a blue-chip roster, a refreshed Dan Mullen aims to make noise at UNLV

After a stint in broadcasting, former Florida coach is enjoying the process more this time around


LAS VEGAS — Dan Mullen emerges from a darkened meeting room after reviewing film from a hot practice in July, feeling invigorated and refreshed. The UNLV head coach walks down a long hallway, cracking jokes and laughing with staffers. He's not in a rush. He doesn't have a series of meetings on his calendar or a slew of events to attend, unlike when he was a head coach in the SEC.

Four years after his career at Florida ended, Mullen is back in his element. The internal pressure to win is still there, but the outside roar that constantly surrounded him in the SEC seems like white noise out here in the desert of Las Vegas.

"There are 15 fan bases at the end of the year that expected to win the SEC championship that didn't," Mullen summarizes.

UNLV expects to win, yes, especially after reaching the Mountain West Championship Game in back-to-back seasons under Barry Odom. But the scrutiny on the program and its staff is nowhere near the nuclear levels at a place like Florida or even Mississippi State.

"Since that day (I took the UNLV job), I've been happy. I don't have one regret," Mullen tells CBS Sports. "Not one day I don't have a huge smile on my face."

Mullen has spent the better part of the last four years in television studios and press boxes as an analyst for ESPN's college football broadcasts. As he covered games, he watched the sport he loves transform into a semi-professional league, with agents negotiating contracts for players and constant roster turnover in the transfer portal. Every week, he spoke to former coaching colleagues and realized they most were exhausted, nearing their breaking point as they dealt with immense changes and new stresses associated with their jobs.

Sometimes, they would ask Mullen if he wanted to trade places: him on the sidelines, them in a cushy chair watching games in an air-conditioned TV studio.


Just when I thought I was out...

What pulled Mullen back into the never-ending rate race? A pair of events with former players late in 2024.

A 10-year reunion of his 2014 team at Mississippi State, the program's first to be ranked No. 1 in the College Football Playoff -- and for four consecutive weeks, no less -- tugged at his heart. Later, he attended the induction of former Utah quarterback Alex Smith into the National Football Foundation's College Football Hall of Fame in Las Vegas.

"When you have wives coming up saying you've made such an impact on my husband, it hits a note with you," Mullen said.

While Mullen was in Las Vegas to watch his former quarterback be enshrined as a legend, he got a phone call from Harper. Odom had just left for Purdue, and athletics director Erick Harper needed a new coach to build upon UNLV's first double-digit win total in 40 years. Mullen and Harper had met previously at a golf event at the nearby Southern Highlands Golf Club, and stayed in touch.

"He went to my short list fairly quickly because I saw him in a non-coaching capacity, which is always important to me," Harper said.

It didn't take long for Mullen to accept Harper's job offer.

"In the past, I would tell myself to find some reasons why I should do this," Mullen said. "For UNLV, I was trying to find reasons not to. The second I have to try to find a reason why I should be excited about this job, I don't need it. This hit a lot of things."



A desert phoenix

Not long ago, UNLV football was practically left for dead, buried in the Mojave Desert sand. The program went a decade without a winning record before Odom arrived in 2023. Despite those struggles, the university invested heavily, unveiling a $35 million football complex in 2020 with amenities more often seen at a power conference program than a Group of Six school.

UNLV's athletic director Erick Harper played linebacker on Bill Snyder's early Kansas State teams. There, he helped transform the Wildcats from "Futility U" into a Big 8 and Big 12 power in the early 1990s.

"I'm not saying that UNLV was sitting in a place of Futility U, but we were sitting in a space where in college football nobody was taking us seriously," Harper said. "I want everybody to understand that college football at UNLV is extremely important. It's a driver for the institution. There are a lot of eyeballs squarely on UNLV right now."

Indeed, UNLV has become a player on the West Coast. It was a key piece in the recent conference realignment shuffle as the Pac-12 and Mountain West battled for territory. UNLV ultimately stayed with the Mountain West, which offered significant financial incentives, including an eight-figure lump-sum payment.

At the same time, UNLV has sold itself as a beacon of NIL opportunities in Las Vegas, where sports and entertainment intersect and billions of dollars flow. The pitch has worked. It lured Mullen back into coaching and helped him rebuild a depleted roster.

"The game has changed quite a bit and seeing it from afar made it a lot easier," Mullen said. "If I stayed in coaching, I don't know if I'd be able to handle where I'm at right now. The changes would have been a lot harder. To see all the different changes from afar for three years certainly made it easier to reset who you are."


Power Four talent

When Odom departed, so did most of his players -- either through graduation or the transfer portal. UNLV returns only two starters this fall, the fewest in the FBS.

Mullen was prepared for the exodus. His three years as an ESPN analyst gave him time to study rosters across the sport and identify portal targets quickly.

This past winter, UNLV didn't just dip into the transfer portal; it raided it like a Vegas high roller on a hot streak. By summer, the Rebels had signed 33 players with Power Four experience -- a haul unheard of for a Group of Six program. That influx pushed the roster to 37 former Power Four players, more than double the next closest Mountain West school.

And these weren't just castoffs. Sixteen were former four- or five-star recruits, names familiar to recruiting junkies from signing-day spectacles in the SEC and Big Ten. Suddenly, UNLV's roster didn't look like a mid-major struggling to keep up.

The list includes Michigan quarterback Alex Orji, TCU receiver JoJo Earle, Pitt/Florida defensive end Chief Borders, Arizona linebacker Justin Flowe and Georgia safety Jake Pope.

Twenty-one newcomers hail from the Big Ten and SEC. Four played for Mullen at Florida.

"You can't take everybody that is a 'Last Chance U' guy," Mullen said. "You can't have a roster where everybody hasn't played much. You have to get the right combination. … The first question I ask guys is, 'Why?' Why did you get in the portal? I want to know your 'why' to see how you fit, not just as a talented player, but how your personality fits within our program."

That's the challenge: building chemistry among players who may have already been on three or four different campuses.

"Everybody's gonna have their own opinion, but at the end of the day, it's your name that's on the back of the jersey," said Borders, who made three stops in the Power Four. "You've got to find the best situation that's for you."

Proving it on the field
Talent alone doesn't guarantee success. Coaches know teams without cohesion can unravel quickly. UNLV's first test comes immediately: the Rebels open Saturday in Week 0 against FCS Idaho State.

"One reason or another, you're here. I don't know how or why, whatever, but you're here," defensive coordinator Paul Guenther said. "I don't care if you played at LSU, Texas or Alabama. You're here now. You're an UNLV Rebel. I'm going to go based on what I see on the field here. I know some of you guys are 5-star guys, but all I know is you're here and this is a chance for you to prove to people, who maybe didn't think you belonged at those places, that it's your time to come together and get this thing done."

Mullen made his reputation as a developer of talent. At Mississippi State, he turned overlooked prospects into household names. He converted Chris Relf, a quarterback more suited to play tight end, into a nine-win starter with 2,400 total yards in 2010. He coached Fletcher Cox, Chris Jones and Dak Prescott, fueling eight straight bowl games and a 2014 run to No. 1 in the country.

"Back in those days, we developed players. Three years down the road, that group would be special. That doesn't exist anymore, and you have to come to grips with that," Mullen said. "How we built the program at Mississippi State doesn't exist in college football anymore. It just doesn't, and it's hard, so you have to evolve. It still doesn't mean you can't develop in your own way. You take that enjoyment in developing kids, but it's just going to be in a shorter window and an accelerated pattern."

Mullen has embraced change. He is still intense and speaks at a blistering pace, but in Las Vegas he appears more relaxed. After all, in the SEC, it just means more … pressure.

"I loved the fan base and everything that happened, but once you start tasting some filet mignon, that hamburger steak doesn't taste as good anymore," he said.

Mullen burst out of the gates at Florida with two top-10 finishes and a 29-6 start, the best 35-game record in program history. But a 2-9 stretch against power opponents and a perceived dip in recruiting led to his firing before the end of Year 4.

Simply put, in a power conference, life comes at you fast.

Mullen points to the roller coaster Ohio State coach Ryan Day rode in 2024. Armed with a $25 million roster, the Buckeyes were labeled championship-or-bust. When they lost to rival Michigan in the regular season finale, fans issued death threats and the Day family hired around-the-clock security. Two months later, Day hoisted the national championship trophy.

"Go put a smile on your face, let's go have a drink, enjoy it for five minutes and go celebrate. Take the family to Hawaii. Enjoy it," Mullen said. "It's hard to do. Having been out a couple years, I'm going to make sure I enjoy doing this. Now, trust me, you've seen me: on game day, I'll bite your head off. That part of me is not going to change, but I'm going to try to enjoy the whole process."
 

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Saturday, August 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ISU at KSU12:00 PMISU +3.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
FRES at KU06:30 PMKU -13.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
SHSU at WKU07:00 PMSHSU +10.0
O 61.5
+500 +500
STAN at HAW07:30 PMHAW -2.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
 

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Saturday’s 6-pack:
— Arizona 6, Reds 5 (11)- Mets lead Cincinnati by 1.5 games for last Wild Card slot.
— Mets 12, Braves 7- Juan Soto went 3-4 with a homer, four RBI
— Padres 2, Dodgers 1- Teams are tied atop NL West, with 33 games left.
— Cubs 3, Angels 2- Pete Crow-Armstrong hit a game-winning homer.
— Nationals 5, Phillies 4- Washington scored two runs in ninth inning.
— Brewers 5, Giants 4- William Contreras hit a walk-off homer.

Quote of the Day
“I told the line, ‘Don’t you ever let that happen again.’ I said, ‘We gotta protect each other. You guys are the policemen out there on the field. You’re the big brothers out there. You protect everybody, from DK [Metcalf] to me to whoever’s in there at quarterback, whoever’s in their at running back. I don’t care if it’s preseason practice, whatever, you gotta protect them.’”
Aaron Rodgers, scolding the Steelers’ offensive line

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes has been a starting QB in the NFL for seven years; how many playoff games has he won?

Friday’s quiz
QB Peyton Manning was first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the 2nd pick.

Thursday’s quiz
Brady Quinn is the all-time leader in passing yards for Notre Dame football.

************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Trends for every major league team…….

Trends for major league teams
(thru Friday’s games)

— Arizona (63-66)
Arizona won six of its last seven home games.
Diamondbacks are 17-24 in one-run games.
Arizona scored in first inning in 12 of last 15 home games.
Arizona is 14-27 in last 41 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Braves (58-70)
Braves are 10-3 in their last 13 games.
Atlanta is 32-32 at home, 26-38 on the road.
Braves are 20-16 vs NL East rivals, 38-54 vs everyone else.
Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

— Cubs (74-55)
Chicago is 6-2 in its last eight games.
Cubs are seven games behind Milwaukee in NL Central.
Under is 18-2-1 in their last 21 games.
Cubs are 57-37 vs righty starters, 17-18 vs lefties.

— Reds (67-62)
Cincinnati is 15-12 in its last 27 games.
Reds are 49-43 vs righty starters, 18-19 vs lefties.
Under is 11-4-1 in their last 16 road games.
Reds scored in first inning in 10 of last 19 home games.

— Rockies (37-92)
Colorado is 7-4 in its last eleven games.
Over is 8-5 in Rockies’ last 13 road games.
Rockies are 5-30 vs lefty starters, 32-62 vs righties.
Colorado hasn’t scored a first inning run in its last 25 road games.

— Dodgers (73-56)
Dodgers are 15-17 since All-Star break.
LA/San Diego are tied for first in NL West.
Dodgers are 54-38 vs righty starters, 19-18 vs lefties.

Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.
— Marlins (60-68)
Marlins are 5-12 in their last 17 games.
Miami is 29-34 at home, 31-34 on the road.
Under is 14-7 in Marlins’ last 21 road games.
Last three weeks, Marlins are 1-4 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Brewers (81-48)
Brewers are 32-7 in their last 39 games.
Milwaukee is 43-20 at home, 38-28 on the road.
Over is 11-4-1 in their last sixteen home games.
Milwaukee leads the Cubs by 7 games in the NL Central.

— Mets (68-60)
Mets are 6-16 in their last 22 games, 4-2 in last six.
Mets are 41-24 at home, 27-36 on the road.
Over is 8-2-2 in their last 12 games.
Mets trail Philly by six games in NL East.
Mets leads the Reds by 1.5 games for last NL Wild Card slot.

— Phillies (74-54)
Phillies are 12-6 in their last 18 games.
Phillies are 57-34 vs righty starters, 17-20 vs lefties.
Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.
Phillies lead the Mets by six games in NL East.

— Pirates (55-74)
Pirates won three of their last four games.
Pittsburgh is 37-30 at home, 18-44 on the road.
Under is 8-4-3 in their last 15 games.
Pirates are 17-11 in last 28 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— St Louis (64-66)
St Louis is 3-7 in its last ten games.
Cardinals are 16-6 in home series openers.
St Louis is 35-30 at home, 29-36 on the road.
Under is 11-4-1 in their last sixteen home games.

— Padres (73-56)
San Diego won 15 of its last 19 home games.
Padres are 42-21 at home, 31-35 on the road.
Padres are 51-36 vs righty starters, 22-20 vs lefties.
San Diego is 23-17 vs NL West rivals, 50-39 vs everyone else.

— Giants (61-68)
Giants are 9-25 in their last 34 games, 2-15 in last 17 at home.
Giants are 48-45 vs righty pitchers, 13-23 vs lefties.
Over is 14-7-2 in their last 23 road games.
SF lost 10 of last 12 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Washington (53-75)
Nationals are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Washington is 11-24 in its last 35 home games.
Over is 5-2-4 in their last 11 games.
Washington is 22-10 last 32 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

Famous birthdays, August 23rd:
Barbara Eden, 94
Richard Sanders, 85
Shelley Long, 76
Mike Boddicker, 68
Julio Franco, 67
Mark Ingram, 60
Mark Bellhorn, 51
Scott Caan, 49
Rex Grossman, 45
Miles Mikolas, 37
Mike Yastrzemski, 35
Tyler Glasnow, 32

— Orioles (59-69)
Baltimore won six of its last nine games.
Over is 4-1 in their last five games.
Orioles are 30-32 at home, 29-37 on the road.
Orioles are 19-16 vs AL East rivals, 40-53 vs everyone else.

— Red Sox (70-59)
Red Sox are 5-7 in their last 12 games.
Boston is 1-8 in extra-inning road games.
Over is 11-5 in their last 16 games.
Right now, Red Sox hold the 1st AL Wild Card slot.

— White Sox (45-83)
Chicago lost 14 of its last 17 games.
White Sox are 26-37 at home, 19-46 on the road.
Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
Chicago is 32-65 vs righty starters, 13-18 vs lefties.

— Cleveland (64-63)
Cleveland is 1-6 in its last seven games.
Guardians are 4 games out of the last Wild Card slot.
Guardians are 49-41 vs righty starters, 15-22 vs lefties.
Over is 14-6 in their last 20 home games.

— Detroit (77-53)
Detroit is 17-7 in its last 24 games.
Tigers are 25-13 vs its AL Central rivals, lead division by 10.5 games.
Detroit is 18-4 in home series openers.
Under is 13-7 in their last 20 road games.

— Houston (71-58)
Astros are 12-15 in their last 27 games overall
Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 home games.
Astros lead Seattle by 2.5 games in AL West.
Over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games.

— Royals (66-63)
Royals are 10-5 in their last fifteen games.
Kansas City is 51-54 vs righty starters, 15-9 vs lefties.
Over is 11-7 in Royals’ last 18 games.
Royals scored in first inning in 10 of last 14 home games.

— Angels (61-67)
Angels lost 11 of their last 15 road games.
Halos are 7.5 games out of last Wild Card slot.
Angels are 50-55 vs righty starters, 11-12 vs lefties.
Angels are 30-17 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Twins (59-69)
Twins lost 8 of their last 12 games.
Minnesota is 33-31 at home, 26-38 on the road.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
Twins haven’t scored in first inning in their last eight games.

— New York (69-59)
New York is 9-5 in its last 14 games.
Over is 5-1 in their last six games.
New York is 56-46 vs righty starters, 13-13 vs lefties.
Right now, New York has the #2 Wild Card slot in AL.

— A’s (59-71)
A’s are 26-21 in their last 47 games.
Under is 6-3 in their last nine road games.
A’s are 14-18 in one-run games, 7-4 in extra innings.
Last 10 weeks, A’s are 8-3 in games where winning run scored from 7th inning on..

— Seattle (69-60)
Mariners lost five of their last six games.
Seattle is 23-8 in its last 31 home games.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Right now, Mariners hold the #3 Wild Card in AL, by three games.

— Tampa Bay (62-67)
Tampa Bay is 15-31 in its last 46 games.
Rays are 33-33 at home, 29-34 on the road.
Tampa Bay is 7 games out of the last Wild Card slot.
Rays are 5-10 in last 15 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (64-66)
Rangers lost 11 of their last 15 games.
Texas is 53-44 vs righty starters, 11-22 vs lefties
Rangers are 38-26 at home, 26-40 on road.
Texas is 5.5 games out of the AL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Toronto (75-54)
Blue Jays are 12-8 in their last 20 games overall.
Blue Jays won 17 of their last 22 home games.
Over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 home games.
Toronto leads Red Sox by five games in AL East.
 

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NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, August 23


l7DgGZr.png
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 0


FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR IDAHO STATE AT UNLV
Date: Saturday, August 23
Time: 4:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho State 51.939; UNLV 89.058
Dunkel Line & Total: UNLV by 37; 59
Vegas Line & Total: UNLV by 30; 66
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-30); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR INCARNATE WORD AT NICHOLLS STATE
Date: Saturday, August 23
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Incarnate Word 68.045; Nicholls State 51.384
Dunkel Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 16 1/2; 45 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Incarnate Word by 13 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Incarnate Word (-13 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TARLETON STATE AT PORTLAND STATE
Date: Saturday, August 23
Time: 4:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tarleton State 65.169; Portland State 62.647
Dunkel Line & Total: Tarleton State by 2 1/2; 63 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Tarleton State by 17 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+17 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR UC-DAVIS VS MERCER
Date: Saturday, August 23
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Davis 72.711; Mercer 71.765
Dunkel Line & Total: UC-Davis by 1; 59
Vegas Line & Total: UC-Davis by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercer (+3 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NC CENTRAL VS SOUTHERN
Date: Saturday, August 23
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: NC Central 55.414; Southern 52.456
Dunkel Line & Total: NC Central by 3; 45
Vegas Line & Total: NC Central by 9 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern (+9 1/2); Under
 

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Saturday, August 23

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ISU at KSU12:00 PMISU +3.5
O 51.0
+500 +500
FRES at KU06:30 PMKU -13.5
U 50.0
+500 +500
SHSU at WKU07:00 PMSHSU +10.0
O 61.5
+500 +500
STAN at HAW07:30 PMHAW -2.5
U 50.5
+500 +500
 

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COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR AUGUST !

08/23/2025..........................5 - 1 - 1.........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50

TOTALS..................................5 - 1 - 1 .........................83.33%........................+ 19.50
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack:
College football spreads for next week:
— Boise State (-6.5) @ South Florida
— Texas @ Ohio State (-1.5)
— Syracuse vs Tennessee (-13.5)
— Alabama (-13.5) @ Florida State
— Virginia Tech vs South Carolina (-8)
— East Carolina @ NC State (-12)

Quote of the Day
“I was mad, yeah. You can complain all you want, everything. In the end, I’m here in the big leagues. There’s not a lot of 22-year-old kids that get to do this.”
Pirates’ rookie P Bubba Chandler, who made his MLB debut this week

Sunday’s quiz
Who made the longest field goal in NFL history?
(Hint: It was in 2021; the 70-yarder Jaguars made this summer doesn’t count)

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes has been a starting QB in the NFL for seven years; he is 17-4 in playoff games.

Friday’s quiz
QB Peyton Manning was first pick in the 1998 NFL Draft; Ryan Leaf was the 2nd pick.

*****************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……..

— Iowa State 24, Kansas State 21
This game, played in Ireland, was 7-7 at halftime.
Iowa State QB Becht passed for 183 yards, 2 TDs and ran for a score.
K-State outgained the Cyclones, 383-313; both teams had two turnovers.

— Hawai’i 23, Stanford 20
Hawai’i K Matsuzawa made a 38-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Matsuzawa is a Japanese kid who taught himself to kick by watching videos on YouTube.
Stanford was 8-17 on third down, Rainbows were 3-10.

— Western Kentucky 41, Sam Houston State 24
Bearkats led 24-20 with 11:58 left in third quarter.
Hilltoppers were 11-19 on third down, Sam Houston 2-14
WKU’s QB McIvor was 33-51/401 passing, with 3 TD’s.

— Kansas 31, Fresno State 7
Jayhawks outgained Fresno, 383-216- they ran ball for 207 yards.
Kansas led 24-7 at halftime and coasted home from there.
EJ Warner (Kurt Warner’s son) was 18-29/179 passing for the Bulldogs.

— UNLV 38, Idaho State 31
Rebels were a 30-point favorite in Dan Mullen’s first game as coach.
Idaho State led 31-24 with 12:00 to play.
Bengals outgained UNLV 555-532, but turned ball over four times.

— Broncos 28, Saints 19
Sean Payton wins in his return to the Superdome.
Denver outgained the Saints 396-236.
New Orleans still hasn’t decided who their starting QB will be.

— Bills 23, Buccaneers 19
#3 QB Buechele threw for 278 yards and one TD.
Tampa Bay averaged 38 yards per kick return in this game.
This was first time in his career that Josh Allen sat out the whole pre-season.

— NFL preseason scores don’t mean so much; cutdown day is Tuesday. Teams will be getting their rosters in order with no games on the schedule next weekend.

Famous birthdays, August 24th
Anne Archer, 78
Kevin Dunn, 70
Steve Guttenberg, 67
Cal Ripken Jr., 65
Reggie Miller, 60
Marlee Matlin, 60
Tim Salmon, 57
Dave Chapelle, 52
Michael Redd, 46
Mason Miller, 27

— Padres 5, Dodgers 1
Nestor Cortes allowed one hit in six scoreless IP.
Padres won their last five games.
San Diego leads NL West by a game, with 32 games left.

— Astros 9, Orioles 8
Christian Walker homered for the third game in a row.
Astros led 7-5 after the third inning.
Colton Cowser homered, had 3 RBI for the Orioles.

— Mets 9, Braves 2
Mets hit six home runs; McNeil/Vientos homered twice each.
Clay Holmes allowed three hits in 6.1 IP.
Cal Quantrill was Atlanta’s 17th starting pitcher this season.

— Red Sox 12, New York 1
Red Sox have won eight games in a row against New York.
Trevor Story was 3-5, with a homer, 3 RBI
Guys batting 7-9th in Boston’s order were 8-14 with six runs scored.

— Blue Jays 7, Marlins 6 (12)
Toronto led 4-0 in the 7th inning.
George Springer was 3-6, with 2 RBI, 2 runs scored.
Blue Jays lead AL East by five games.

— Giants 7, Brewers 1
Freddy Peralta threw 5 shutout IP, Brewers led 1-0 after five.
Milwaukee’s bullpen gave up three runs in the sixth inning.
Logan Webb pitched six innings, got his 12th win.

— Diamondbacks 10, Reds 1
Arizona led 7-0 in the fourth inning, against Reds’ ace Andrew Abbott.
Geraldo Perdomo leads major league shortstops with 84 RBI.
Cincinnati trails the Mets by games for the last Wild Card slot.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Padres. Wild Cards: Cubs, Dodgers, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: Red Sox, New York, Mariners
 

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Monday’s 6-pack:
Lamar Jackson’s rushing yardage, by year:
2018— 695 yards
2019— 1,206
2020— 1,005
2021— 767
2022— 764
2023— 821
2024— 915
His over/under for rushing yards this year: 750.5

Quote of the Day
“Right to the end, he told me he wasn’t afraid of dying. He just didn’t want to be there when it happened.”
Robin Yount, remembering the Brewers’ legendary announcer Bob Uecker Sunday

Monday’s quiz
Of all the active major league players, who is the only one with seven seasons of both 20+ home runs and 20+ stolen bases?

Sunday’s quiz
Baltimore’s Justin Tucker made the longest field goal in NFL history, 66 yards, in 2021.

Saturday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes has been a starting QB in the NFL for seven years; he is 17-4 in playoff games.

*******************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy weekend……..

— Minnesota Vikings signed free agent QB Carson Wentz, then traded QB Sam Howell to the Eagles. Wentz is now on his sixth NFL team; this is his 10th season:
2016-20- Eagles
2021- Colts
2022- Commanders
2023- Rams
2024- Chiefs
2025- Vikings

— Eagles got Howell and a 6th round draft pick; Vikings got a 5th and a 7th-round pick.
Howell went 5-13 as Washington’s QB in 2022-23; he threw 14 passes off the bench for the Seahawks last season. He was a 5th round draft pick in 2022.

— Raiders QB Aidan O’Connell broke his wrist in this weekend, expected to be out 6-8 weeks. O’Connell was 7-10 as a starter for the Raiders the last two years, was expected to back up Geno Smith this year. Right now, rookie Cam Miller is Smith’s only backup; Raiders are going to have at least one, maybe two QB’s for their practice squad.

— Michigan Wolverines are going to start freshman QB Bryce Underwood in their first game, against New Mexico- they play Oklahoma the week after that.

— Phillies pitching ace Zack Wheeler had shoulder surgery, is out for the year and is expected to miss 6-8 months.

— Rangers’ SS Marcus Semien, who played in at least 159 games in each of the last four years, has a foot injury and is likely out for the season.

— Cincinnati Reds are only major league team that hasn’t been swept in a series this year.

Famous birthdays, August 25th:
Tom Skerritt, 92
Rollie Fingers, 79
Bob Lacey, 72
Ashley Crow, 65
Blair Underwood, 61
Albert Belle, 59
Robert Horry, 55
Doug Glanville, 55
Marvin Harrison, 53
Max Muncy, 35
Caris LaVert, 31
Jared Butler, 25

— Dodgers 8, San Diego 2
Dalton Rushing’s 3-run homer was a game-winner.
Freddie Freeman homered twice for the Dodgers
These teams are tied atop the NL West, with 31 games left.

— Orioles 3, Astros 2
Trevor Rogers threw 7 IP; he is 7-2, 1.40 this year.
Luis Vazquez hit his first major league home run.
Gunnar Handerson hit his 16th home run.

— Royals 10, Tigers 8
Kansas City is 28-14 in series finales this season.
Vinnie Pasquantino has six home runs in his last seven games.
Royals are three games out of the AL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Marlins 5, Blue Jays 3
Jakob Marsee hit a double and a bases-loaded triple.
Eric Wagaman homered, scored twice.
Eury Perez allowed only three hits in six IP, got the win.

— Reds 6, Diamondbacks 1
Reds broke open a close game with five runs in the 8th inning.
Noelvi Marte had two hits, scored twice for Cincinnati.
Brady Singer/Zac Gallen had a good pitching duel for six inning.

— Giants 4, Brewers 3
Heliot Ramos hit a 2-run single in 9th inning for the win.
Giants OF Luis Matos is 8-for-15 in his last four games.

— New York 7, Red Sox 2
Chisholm/Grisham both homered twice for New York.
New York ended an 8-game losing streak against the Red Sox.
These teams are the top two clubs in the AL Wild Card chase.

— If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
NL: Phillies, Brewers, LA/SD. Wild Cards: Cubs, LA/SD, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Tigers, Astros. Wild Cards: Red Sox, New York, Mariners
 

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WEEK ONE

Thursday, August 28

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Friday, August 29

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Saturday, August 30

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Sunday, August 31

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Monday, September 1

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NCAAF

Week 1


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Trend Report
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NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Thursday’s games
Boise State
(-6.5) @ South Florida
Boise State
Last 10 years, Broncos are 94-34 SU (12-2 LY)
Boise has 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Broncos have 99 starts returning on the offensive line.
LY, Junior QB Madsen threw for 3,018 yards, with 23 TD’s, 6 INTs


Last five years, Boise State is 8-8-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Last 3 years, Broncos are 5-10-1 ATS in last 14 non-conference games.


South Florida
USF went 7-6/7-6 last two years, after two straight losing years.
Bulls have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
USF has 115 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Archie has 5 career starts.
Last year, he threw for 836 yards, ran for 360 more.


Under Golesh, Bulls are 5-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2020, USF is 8-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Golesh, Bulls are 7-3 ATS in non-conference games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


East Carolina vs NC State (-14.5)
East Carolina
LY, ECU fired its coach mid-season; new coach went 5-1.
ECU has had winning seasons three of last four years.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other places.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.


ECU is 16-8-1 ATS in last 25 games as a road underdog.
Pirates are 10-4 ATS in last 14 non-conference games.
ECU is also 10-4 ATS in last 14 games vs ACC teams.


NC State
Wolfpack was 6-7 LY, its first losing year since 2019.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY (2,413 PY; 17 TD’s, 10 INTs)


Wolfpack is 5-13 ATS in last 17 games as a favorite.
Last 3 years, State is 4-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 39-43 ATS as a favorite.
Under Deoren, Wolfpack is 28-35 ATS in non-conference games.


East Carolina (+7) upset NC State in last year’s Military Bowl.
Wolfpack (-12.5) nipped ECU 21-20 three years ago.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


Nebraska (-6.5) vs Cincinnati (@ Kansas City)
In two years under Rhule, Nebraska went 5-7/7-6 SU
Last year was their first winning season since 2016.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Raiola started 13 games LY (2,819 yards (13 TDs, 11 INTs)


In his career, Rhule is 32-17-1 ATS in road games.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 7-6-1 ATS as a favorite.
As a college coach, Rhule is 28-23-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 5-2 ATS in non-conference games.


Cincinnati
Last two years, Cincinnati went 3-9/5-7 SU
Bearcats have 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bearcats have 81 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Sorsby has 19 career starts.


Under Satterfield, Cincinnati is 4-7-2 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Satterfield is 17-26-5 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2019, Cincinnati is 14-10 ATS in non-conference games.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.
 

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I'm watching for FCS Dunkel to come up. As soon as it does, I'll add it.
 

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 1


FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR LAFAYETTE AT BOWLING GREEN
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Lafayette 59.792; Bowling Green 63.869
Dunkel Line & Total: Bowling Green by 4; 48
Vegas Line & Total: Bowling Green by 16 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lafayette (+16 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MERCYHURST AT YOUNGSTOWN STATE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Mercyhurst 40.107; Youngstown State 54.468
Dunkel Line & Total: Youngstown State by 14 1/2; 60
Vegas Line & Total: Youngstown State by 24 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mercyhurst (+24 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR DELAWARE STATE AT DELAWARE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware State 34.631; Delaware 53.576
Dunkel Line & Total: Delaware by 19; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Delaware by 29 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Delaware State (+29 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ST. FRANCIS (PA) AT UL-MONROE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: St. Francis (PA) 40.923; UL-Monroe 68.646
Dunkel Line & Total: UL-Monroe by 27 1/2; 49
Vegas Line & Total: UL-Monroe by 24; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-24); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TOWSON AT NORFOLK STATE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Towson 62.372; Norfolk State 43.074
Dunkel Line & Total: Towson by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line & Total: Towson by 11 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (-11 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR LINDENWOOD AT ST. THOMAS
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Lindenwood 51.380; St. Thomas 39.829
Dunkel Line & Total: Lindenwood by 11 1/2; 49
Vegas Line & Total: Lindenwood by 3 1/2; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Lindenwood (-3 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR DAYTON AT EASTERN ILLINOIS
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 30.708; Eastern Illinois 46.376
Dunkel Line & Total: Eastern Illinois by 15 1/2; 41
Vegas Line & Total: Eastern Illinois by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (-6 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ELON AT DUKE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Elon 51.767; Duke 91.418
Dunkel Line & Total: Duke by 39 1/2; 59
Vegas Line & Total: Duke by 34; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Duke (-34); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR CENTRAL ARKANSAS AT MISSOURI
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Central Arkansas 59.919; Missouri 89.049
Dunkel Line & Total: Missouri by 29; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Missouri by 36 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Arkansas (+36 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR UT-MARTIN AT OKLAHOMA STATE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: UT-Martin 70.504; Oklahoma State 73.954
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma State by 3 1/2; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma State by 19 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UT-Martin (+19 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WEST GEORGIA AT SAMFORD
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: West Georgia 51.176; Samford 63.012
Dunkel Line & Total: Samford by 12; 48
Vegas Line & Total: Samford by 8 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Samford (-8 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR STEPHEN F AUSTIN AT HOUSTON
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stephen F Austin 59.368; Houston 85.274
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 26; 44
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 22 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-22 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ALCORN STATE AT NORTHWESTERN STATE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alcorn State 32.892; Northwestern State 34.269
Dunkel Line & Total: Northwestern State by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Alcorn State by 7 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern State (+7 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR ALABAMA STATE AT UAB
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama State 43.134; UAB 72.057
Dunkel Line & Total: UAB by 29; 45
Vegas Line & Total: UAB by 17 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UAB (-17 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR STONY BROOK AT SAN DIEGO STATE
Date: Thursday, August 28
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Stony Brook 59.379; San Diego State 65.338
Dunkel Line & Total: San Diego State by 6; 62
Vegas Line & Total: San Diego State by 18 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Stony Brook (+18 1/2); Over
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 1

Friday’s games
Auburn
(-2.5) @ Baylor
Auburn
Auburn has had four straight losing seasons.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Auburn has 2 new QB’s, transfers fromOklahoma/Stanford.


Last four years, Auburn is 1-2 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Freeze is 14-17 ATS as a road favorite.
Auburn is 4-9 ATS in last 13 non-conference games.
Last three years, Auburn was minus-22 in turnovers.
Under is 4-2 in their last six games.


Baylor
Baylor was 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Under Aranda, Baylor is 6-6 ATS as a home dog.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 16-14 ATS as a underdog overall..
Baylor is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 non-league games.
Bears had a positive turnover ratio the last six years.


These teams haven’t met in the last 20 years.


Georgia Tech (-4.5) @ Colorado
Georgia Tech
Tech went 7-6/7-6 last 2 years, after four straight losing years.
Tech lost 44-42 in OT to Georgia LY; they led 20-6.
Yellow Jackets have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Yellow Jackets have 103 returning starts on OL, but lot of transfers.
Senior QB King has 26 career starts.


Last 10 years, Tech is 3-10 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 5-7-1 ATS as a favorite, 1-0 on road.
Under Key, Yellow Jackets are 5-5 ATS in non-league games.


Colorado
Colorado went 4-8/9-4 in Sanders’ first two years as coach.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
Senior QB Salter started 29 games at Liberty


Sanders is 9-3 ATS as an underdog with Colorado.
Colorado is 13-6 ATS last 19 games as a home underdog.
In two years under Sanders, Colorado is +21 in turnovers.


This is the first time these teams have met.
 
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Dunkel

Week 1

FCS

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR TARLETON STATE AT ARMY

Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Tarleton State 70.269; Army 79.246
Dunkel Line & Total: Army by 9; 55
Vegas Line & Total: Army by 14 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tarleton State (+14 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR CAMPBELL AT RHODE ISLAND
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 6:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Campbell 49.742; Rhode Island 58.537
Dunkel Line & Total: Rhode Island by 9; 61
Vegas Line & Total: Rhode Island by 15 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Campbell (+15 1/2); Over

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR BETHUNE COOKMAN AT FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Bethune Cookman 30.801; Florida International 67.836
Dunkel Line & Total: Florida International by 37; 51
Vegas Line & Total: Florida International by 30 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida International (-30 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR MONMOUTH AT COLGATE
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 55.665; Colgate 45.084
Dunkel Line & Total: Monmouth by 10 1/2; 56
Vegas Line & Total: Monmouth by 14 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colgate (+14 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR NEW HAVEN AT MARIST
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 7:00 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: New Haven 24.979; Marist 26.479
Dunkel Line & Total: Marist by 1 1/2 ; 43
Vegas Line & Total: New Haven by 5 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marist (+5 1/2); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WAGNER AT KANSAS
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Wagner 40.776; Kansas 93.962
Dunkel Line & Total: Kansas by 53; 53
Vegas Line & Total: Kansas by 46; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (-46); Under

DUNKEL INDEX PREDICTION FOR WESTERN ILLINOIS AT ILLINOIS
Date: Friday, August 29
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 53.005; Illinois 92.461
Dunkel Line & Total: Illinois by 39 1/2; 67
Vegas Line & Total: Illinois by 45 1/2; 63 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+45 1/2); Over
 

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