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[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Friday, September 19

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Friday’s games
Tulsa @ Oklahoma State (-13.5)
Tulsa (1-2)
Tulsa lost its I-A games, 21-14/42-23.
Tulsa beat a I-AA team, 35-7.
Navy ran for 367 yards in LW’s 42-23 Navy win.
Tulsa has 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hurricane has 25 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Hayes is 36-54/324 passing this year.


Tulsa is 4-5-2 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
New coach Lamb was 27-25 as a FCS head coach.
Since 2017, Tulsa is 15-15-1 ATS in non-conference games.
Tulsa is 7-16 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.
AAC road dogs are 5-3 ATS in non-conference games.


Oklahoma State (1-1)
OSU was outgained 631-211 in a 69-3 loss at Oregon LW.
Ducks ran ball for 312 yards, threw it for 319 yards.
Cowboys beat a I-AA team 27-7
Cowboys have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cowboys have 56 returning starts on OL, mostly transfers.
OSU center Carpenter played for Tulsa last year.
Soph QB Flores is 20-39/203 passing this year.


Since start of last year, Cowboys are 4-10 SU.
Last 2 years, Oklahoma State is 2-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Last year, Cowboys were 1-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Since 2016, Oklahoma State is 24-10 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Big X home favorites are 5-5 ATS in non-league games.


Oklahoma State won last ten series games (5-2 ATS last seven)
Tulsa is 0-6 SU/3-3 ATS in last six visits to Stillwater.
Under is 3-0-1 in last four meetings.


Iowa (-1.5) @ Rutgers
Iowa (2-1)
Iowa beat two cruddy teams, 34-7/47-7.
Hawkeyes lost only road game 16-13 at Iowa State.
Hawkeyes have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Hawkeyes have 85 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Gronowski started 55 games at I-AA South Dakota State.


Iowa hasn’t had a losing season since 2012.
Since 2015, Hawkeyes are 19-8-1 ATS as an underdog.
In his career, Ferentz is 33-24-1 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2018, Iowa is 14-11-2 ATS in conference games.
Iowa is 22-17-1 ATS in last 40 games coming off a win.


Rutgers (3-0)
Rutgers won its I-A games, 34-31/45-17, both vs MAC teams.
Ohio U ran ball for 201 yards in the season opener.
Rutgers spanked a I-AA team 60-10 last week.
Scarlet Knights have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense
Rutgers has 106 starts back on offensive line.
Soph QB Kaliakmanis has 25 career starts.


Since 2019, Scarlet Knights are 5-15-1 ATS as a home dog.
In his college career, Schiano is 21-24-1 ATS as a home dog.
Since 2021, Rutgers is 14-19-3 ATS in Big 18 games.
Rutgers is 10-1-3 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.


Iowa is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS against Rutgers, with two shutouts.
Three of the four games stayed under the total.
Hawkeyes won 27-10/14-7 in two visits to the Garden State

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Saturday’s best games
Texas Tech @ Utah (-3.5)
Texas Tech (3-0)
Texas Tech won its I-A games, 62-14/45-14, both at home.
Tech threw for 815 yards in those two games.
Red Raiders have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Red Raiders have 138 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Morton has started 20 games


Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 5-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Tech is 15-11-1 ATS in conference games.
Under McGuire, Tech is 8-12-1 in games coming off a win.


Utah (3-0)
Utah won 43-10 at UCLA, 31-6 at Wyoming.
Utes ran for 597 yards in those two games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Since 2017, Utah is 26-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-44-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2016, Utes are 50-31 ATS in conference games.


This is teams’ first meeting since 1973.

SMU @ TCU (-6.5)
SMU (2-1)
SMU lost 48-45 at home to Baylor, won 28-10 at Missouri State
Baylor threw for 440 yards against SMU.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.


Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 16-10 ATS in conference games.
ACC non-conference underdogs are 3-5 ATS this year.


TCU (2-0)
Horned Frogs won 48-14 at North Carolina, beat I-AA team 42-21.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


Under Dykes, TCU is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 30-25 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 7-6 ATS in non-league games.
Big X non-league favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.


Local rivals split their last six meetings.
SMU is 2-4 SU/3-2-1 ATS in last six visits to TCU.
Over is 12-4 in last 16 series games.


Auburn @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
Auburn (3-0)
Auburn scored 38-42-31 points in its three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB started 10 games for Oklahoma.


Tigers have run the ball for 242 yards/game.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 19-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 8-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-10 ATS in games coming off a win.


Oklahoma (3-0)
Oklahoma won its I-A games 24-13 (Michigan), 42-3 (Temple)
Sooners gained 408-515 yards in the two games.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 12-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 16-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win..


Oklahoma (+1.5) won 27-21 at Auburn LY.
Sooners won despite being outgained, 482-291.
That was teams first meeting since 2016.


Michigan (-1.5) @ Nebraska
Michigan (2-1)
Michigan lost its only road game, 24-13 at Oklahoma.
Michigan beat New Mexico 34-17, Central Michigan 63-3.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 628 yards in his three games.


Former Charlotte coach Poggi is Michigan’s coach today.
Since 2021, Michigan is 8-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Michigan is 20-12-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 201/381 games in their wins.


Nebraska (3-0)
Nebraska beat Cincinnati 20-17, Akron 68-0
Last year was their first winning season since 2016.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Raiola started 13 games LY (2,819 yards (13 TDs, 11 INTs)


In his career, Rhule is 31-25-1 ATS in home games.
Since 2017, Nebraska is 6-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 13-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 6-10-2 ATS in conference games.


Michigan is 4-0 SU/2-0-2 ATS in last four series games.
Wolverines won 45-7/32-39 in last two visits to Lincoln.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


North Carolina @ Central Florida (-7.5)
North Carolina (2-1)
North Carolina lost 48-14 to TCU, won 20-3 at Charlotte.
TCU ran for 258 yards in that game.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama last year.


North Carolina was 6-7 last year (4-9 ATS)
Since 2022, Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 non-conference games.
ACC underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.


Central Florida (2-0)
UCF beat Jacksonville State 17-10, a I-AA team 68-7
Knights have their Big X opener at K-State next week.
Knights have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
UCF has 59 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Jackson started one game at Indiana last year.


Since 2021, UCF is 11-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 12-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 26-24-2 ATS in conference games.
UCF is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Big X non-conference favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


NC State @ Duke (-2.5)
NC State (3-0)
NC State won its first two games, scoring 24-35-34 points.
Last two games, Wolfpack ran ball for 216-205 yards.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY.


Under Doeren, Wolfpack is 13-19-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Doreen is 14-19-2 ATS as a road dog.
Last 5+ years, Wolfpack is 26-18 ATS in conference games.
Wolfpack is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.


Duke (1-2)
Duke lost its two I-A games, giving up 45-34 points.
Blue Devils are minus-6 in turnovers this season.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.


Duke is 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 15-9 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.


Duke won/covered four of last five series games.
Wolfpack lost 24-3/38-20 in last two visits to Durham.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


South Carolina @ Missouri (-9.5)
South Carolina (2-1)
Gamecocks beat Virginia Tech 24-11, lost 31-7 to Vanderbilt.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Gamecocks have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Sellers started 12 games last year.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 18-15 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 13-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 11-6 ATS in road games.


Missouri (3-0)
Mizzou scored 42-52 points in its two I-A wins.
Tigers ran for 688 yards in those two wins.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.


Mizzou is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 21-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-18 ATS in SEC games.


Mizzou is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in last six series games.
Gamecocks are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Missouri.
Under is 10-3 in last 13 meetings.


Florida @ Miami (-9.5)
Florida (1-2)
Gators got upset 18-16 by USF, lost 20-10 at LSU.
Florida was minus-5 in turnovers in those losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.


Under Napier, Florida is 12-8 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 23-11-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 14-11 ATS in SEC games.
SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-1 ATS


Miami FL (3-0)
Miami edged Notre Dame 27-24, beat South Florida 49-12
Hurricanes gained 576 yards vs USF last week.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.


Under Cristobal, Miami is 7-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-32-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-12 ATS at home.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS


Miami is 6-2 SU/ATS in last eight series games.
Teams have met only once since 2019.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Illinois @ Indiana (-6.5)
Illinois (3-0)
Illinois won its I-A games, 45-19/38-0.
Illini is +6 in turnovers this season.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 27-17-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Bielema is 73-59-2 ATS in conference games.
Illinois is 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.


Indiana (3-0)
Hoosiers won their I-A games, 27-14/56-9.
Indiana ran for 309-313 yards vs Old Dominion/Kennesaw State
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.


Under Cignetti, Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last nine games, Indiana is +16 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 18-7 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 9-3 ATS in games coming off a win.


Indiana is 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five meetings.
Illinois lost 23-20/52-35 in last two visits to Indiana.


Arizona State @ Baylor (-2.5)
Arizona State (2-1)
ASU lost 24-20 at Miss State, beat Texas State 34-15.
Sun Devils ran ball for 251-245 yards in those games.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-5 ATS in games coming off a win.


Baylor (2-1)
Baylor lost 38-24 at home to Auburn, won 48-45 at SMU.
Baylor gained 483-601 total yards in those games.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 23-22-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.


These teams haven’t met since 1990.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday, September 19​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
TLSA at OKST	07:30 PM	OKST -10.0 U 54.5	+500 +500
IOWA at RUTG	08:00 PM	RUTG +1.5 U 46.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

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**********************************

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[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Odds on college teams to score the most points Saturday:
(From SouthPoint Casino, Las Vegas)
5-1— Florida State
7-1— Oregon, Texas
9-1— Tennessee
12-1— Vanderbilt
15-1— Georgia Tech, Louisville, Notre Dame
18-1— Ole Miss, USC, UConn, Washington

Quote of the Day
“This is a wasted year if we don’t learn what we need to do and we don’t know why we didn’t go out there and do what we wanted to do. If those things happen, then it’s a wasted year, in my opinion.”
Paul Skenes

Saturday’s quiz
Of all the current major league ballplayers, who has hit the most career home runs?

Friday’s quiz
Tyrod Taylor was the QB for the Buffalo Bills, the year before they drafted Josh Allen.

Thursday’s quiz
Henry Aaron was the first player in major league history to hit 40+ home runs and steal 30+ bases in the same season.

******************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up the last Friday of summer……​

— Mariners 4, Astros 0
Seattle hit four solo home runs, take over 1st place in AL West
Brian Woo pitched 5 innings, before leaving with an injury.
Mariners have won 11 of their last 12 games.

— Guardians 6, Twins 2
Bo Naylor knocked in four runs for Cleveland.
Guardians have won eight games in a row.
Cleveland is 1.5 games behind Boston/Houston for 2nd/3rd Wild Cards.

— Braves 10, Tigers 1
Detroit has lost seven of its last eight games.
Tigers’ lead in AL Central is down to 2.5 games over Cleveland.
Detroit has been outscored 17-2 in its last three games.

— Despite the win, Braves were eliminated from playoff contention, will miss the postseason for the first time since 2017.

— Dodgers 6, Giants 3
Clayton Kershaw pitched 4.1 IP in his last regular season start in LA.
Shohei Ohtani hit his 52nd home run.
Dodgers’ catcher in this game, Dalton Rushing, was 7 years old when Kershaw made his MLB debut.

— White Sox 4, Padres 3
Chicago’s win ends their six-game losing skid.
Miguel Vargas hit a two-run homer.
Padres fall to four games behind the Dodgers in the NL West.

— Red Sox 11, Rays 7
Tampa Bay led this game 3-2 after six innings.
Jarren Duran hit a two-run homer in the 7th inning.
Red Sox broke the game open with seven runs in the 8th inning.

— Famous birthdays, September 20th:
Sophia Loren, 91
Dave Twardzik, 75
Mickey Klutts, 71
Gary Cole, 69
Dante Hall, 47
Ian Desmond, 40
Jeffrey Springs, 33
Kyle Anderson, 32

— Tulsa 19, Oklahoma State 12
Tulsa ran the ball 43 times for 205 yards.
Tulsa beat the Cowboys for the first time since 1998.
Oklahoma State has lost 11 of its last 12 games.

— Iowa 38, Rutgers 28
Iowa trailed 28-24, scored two TD’s in last 5:39 of the game.
Rutgers threw for 330 yards, but ran 30 times for only 70 yards.
Since 2019, Scarlet Knights are 5-16-1 ATS as a home underdog.

— Washington Commanders will start Marcus Mariota at QB Sunday against the Raiders; starter Jayden Daniels has a knee injury- the team is being cautious with him.
Mariota has a 35-41 record as an NFL starter, mostly with Tennessee; he hasn’t started a game since Week 13 of 2022, for the Falcons.

— Since 1992, QB’s who have played 10+ games for NFC North teams:
Vikings- 18
Bears- 17
Lions- 15
Packers- 3

— Atlanta Falcons cut K Younghoe Koo after seven years with the team, and signed K Parker Romo to a two-year contract. Koo missed the tying field goal in Atlanta’s Week 1 loss to the Buccaneers.

— Tennessee Titans are 3-16 ATS in their last 19 games, 0-9 ATS in last nine home games.
Last team to go 0-10 ATS in ten straight home games? 2012-13 Philadelphia Eagles.

— Sunday, when Carson Wentz starts for the Vikings, he’ll become the first QB in the history of the NFL to start for six different teams in consecutive seasons:
2020- 12 starts, Eagles
2021- 17 starts, Colts
2022- 7 starts, Commanders
2023- 1 start, Rams
2024- 1 start, Chiefs
2025- 1 start, Vikings

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Saturday, September 20

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 4

Saturday’s best games
Texas Tech @ Utah (-3.5)
Texas Tech (3-0)
Texas Tech won its I-A games, 62-14/45-14, both at home.
Tech threw for 815 yards in those two games.
Red Raiders have 10 starters back on offense, 11 on defense.
Red Raiders have 138 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Morton has started 20 games


Under McGuire, Red Raiders are 5-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under McGuire, Tech is 15-11-1 ATS in conference games.
Under McGuire, Tech is 8-12-1 in games coming off a win.


Utah (3-0)
Utah won 43-10 at UCLA, 31-6 at Wyoming.
Utes ran for 597 yards in those two games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.


Since 2017, Utah is 26-14 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-44-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2016, Utes are 50-31 ATS in conference games.


This is teams’ first meeting since 1973.

SMU @ TCU (-6.5)
SMU (2-1)
SMU lost 48-45 at home to Baylor, won 28-10 at Missouri State
Baylor threw for 440 yards against SMU.
Mustangs have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Mustangs have 117 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Jennings started 13 times the last two years.


Mustangs were 11-3/11-3 the last two years.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 2-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Lashlee, Mustangs are 16-10 ATS in conference games.
ACC non-conference underdogs are 3-5 ATS this year.


TCU (2-0)
Horned Frogs won 48-14 at North Carolina, beat I-AA team 42-21.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.


Under Dykes, TCU is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Dykes is 30-25 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 7-6 ATS in non-league games.
Big X non-league favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.


Local rivals split their last six meetings.
SMU is 2-4 SU/3-2-1 ATS in last six visits to TCU.
Over is 12-4 in last 16 series games.


Auburn @ Oklahoma (-7.5)
Auburn (3-0)
Auburn scored 38-42-31 points in its three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB started 10 games for Oklahoma.


Tigers have run the ball for 242 yards/game.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-4 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 19-10 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 8-8 ATS in conference games.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-10 ATS in games coming off a win.


Oklahoma (3-0)
Oklahoma won its I-A games 24-13 (Michigan), 42-3 (Temple)
Sooners gained 408-515 yards in the two games.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year.


Under Venables, Oklahoma is 12-5 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall under Venables, Sooners are 16-12-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 10-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win..


Oklahoma (+1.5) won 27-21 at Auburn LY.
Sooners won despite being outgained, 482-291.
That was teams first meeting since 2016.


Michigan (-1.5) @ Nebraska
Michigan (2-1)
Michigan lost its only road game, 24-13 at Oklahoma.
Michigan beat New Mexico 34-17, Central Michigan 63-3.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 628 yards in his three games.


Former Charlotte coach Poggi is Michigan’s coach today.
Since 2021, Michigan is 8-4-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Since 2021, Michigan is 20-12-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 201/381 games in their wins.


Nebraska (3-0)
Nebraska beat Cincinnati 20-17, Akron 68-0
Last year was their first winning season since 2016.
Cornhuskers have 10 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Nebraska has 131 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Raiola started 13 games LY (2,819 yards (13 TDs, 11 INTs)


In his career, Rhule is 31-25-1 ATS in home games.
Since 2017, Nebraska is 6-10-1 ATS as a home underdog.
As a college coach, Rhule is 13-7 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Rhule, Nebraska is 6-10-2 ATS in conference games.


Michigan is 4-0 SU/2-0-2 ATS in last four series games.
Wolverines won 45-7/32-39 in last two visits to Lincoln.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.


North Carolina @ Central Florida (-7.5)
North Carolina (2-1)
North Carolina lost 48-14 to TCU, won 20-3 at Charlotte.
TCU ran for 258 yards in that game.
Tar Heels have 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Tar Heels have 155 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Lopez started 11 games at South Alabama last year.


North Carolina was 6-7 last year (4-9 ATS)
Since 2022, Tar Heels are 5-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Tar Heels are 9-12-1 ATS in last 22 non-conference games.
ACC underdogs are 3-5 ATS in non-conference games.


Central Florida (2-0)
UCF beat Jacksonville State 17-10, a I-AA team 68-7
Knights have their Big X opener at K-State next week.
Knights have 4 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
UCF has 59 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Jackson started one game at Indiana last year.


Since 2021, UCF is 11-13-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 12-16-1 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Frost is 26-24-2 ATS in conference games.
UCF is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.
Big X non-conference favorites are 9-8 ATS, 5-5 at home.


These teams haven’t met in the last 25 years.


NC State @ Duke (-2.5)
NC State (3-0)
NC State won its first two games, scoring 24-35-34 points.
Last two games, Wolfpack ran ball for 216-205 yards.
NC State has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Wolfpack has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Bailey started 9 games LY.


Under Doeren, Wolfpack is 13-19-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Doreen is 14-19-2 ATS as a road dog.
Last 5+ years, Wolfpack is 26-18 ATS in conference games.
Wolfpack is 14-19 ATS in last 33 games coming off a win.


Duke (1-2)
Duke lost its two I-A games, giving up 45-34 points.
Blue Devils are minus-6 in turnovers this season.
Blue Devils have 6 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Duke has 37 returning starts on the offensive line.


Duke is 10-5 ATS last 15 games as a home favorite.
In his career, Manny Diaz is 8-13 ATS as a home favorite.
Since 2022, Duke is 15-9 ATS in ACC games.
Duke is 8-5 ATS in last 13 games coming off a loss.


Duke won/covered four of last five series games.
Wolfpack lost 24-3/38-20 in last two visits to Durham.
Last three meetings stayed under the total.


South Carolina @ Missouri (-9.5)
South Carolina (2-1)
Gamecocks beat Virginia Tech 24-11, lost 31-7 to Vanderbilt.
Carolina has 7 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
Gamecocks have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Sellers started 12 games last year.


Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 8-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Beamer, Gamecocks are 18-15 ATS in SEC games.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 13-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under Beamer, Carolina is 11-6 ATS in road games.


Missouri (3-0)
Mizzou scored 42-52 points in its two I-A wins.
Tigers ran for 688 yards in those two wins.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.


Mizzou is 6-2 ATS last eight games as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 15-14-1 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Drinkwitz is 21-18-1 ATS as a favorite.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-18 ATS in SEC games.


Mizzou is 5-1 SU/6-0 ATS in last six series games.
Gamecocks are 0-3 SU/ATS in last three visits to Missouri.
Under is 10-3 in last 13 meetings.


Florida @ Miami (-9.5)
Florida (1-2)
Gators got upset 18-16 by USF, lost 20-10 at LSU.
Florida was minus-5 in turnovers in those losses.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.


Under Napier, Florida is 12-8 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 23-11-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 14-11 ATS in SEC games.
SEC non-conference underdogs are 4-1 ATS


Miami FL (3-0)
Miami edged Notre Dame 27-24, beat South Florida 49-12
Hurricanes gained 576 yards vs USF last week.
Miami has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Hurricanes have 87 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Beck started 13 games for Georgia last year.


Under Cristobal, Miami is 7-9 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cristobal is 19-32-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-12 ATS at home.
Under Cristobal, Miami is 9-7 ATS in non-league games.
ACC non-conference home favorites are 4-8 ATS


Miami is 6-2 SU/ATS in last eight series games.
Teams have met only once since 2019.
Under is 4-1 in last five meetings.


Illinois @ Indiana (-6.5)
Illinois (3-0)
Illinois won its I-A games, 45-19/38-0.
Illini is +6 in turnovers this season.
Illinois has 10 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Illini has 193 returning starts on OL.
Senior QB Altmyer has 23 career starts.


Under Bielema, Illinois is 12-4 ATS as road underdogs.
In his career, Bielema is 27-17-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Bielema, Illinois is 21-15 ATS in Big 18 games.
In his career, Bielema is 73-59-2 ATS in conference games.
Illinois is 9-1-1 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.


Indiana (3-0)
Hoosiers won their I-A games, 27-14/56-9.
Indiana ran for 309-313 yards vs Old Dominion/Kennesaw State
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.


Under Cignetti, Indiana is 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Cignetti is 15-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Last nine games, Indiana is +16 in turnovers.
In his career, Cignetti is 18-7 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 9-3 ATS in games coming off a win.


Indiana is 4-1 SU/5-0 ATS in last five meetings.
Illinois lost 23-20/52-35 in last two visits to Indiana.


Arizona State @ Baylor (-2.5)
Arizona State (2-1)
ASU lost 24-20 at Miss State, beat Texas State 34-15.
Sun Devils ran ball for 251-245 yards in those games.
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Leavitt had 2,885 PY LY, with 24 TD’s, 6 INTs.


Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 14-5 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 5-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 9-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-5 ATS in games coming off a win.


Baylor (2-1)
Baylor lost 38-24 at home to Auburn, won 48-45 at SMU.
Baylor gained 483-601 total yards in those games.
Bears have 10 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Bears have 97 returning starts on the offensive line.
Senior QB Robertson had 3,071 PY (28 TD’s, 8 INTs) LY.


Bears were 8-5 LY, after 6-7/3-9 seasons.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 11-7-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Aranda, Baylor is 23-22-1 ATS in Big X games.
Baylor is 16-11-1 ATS in last 28 games coming off a win.


These teams haven’t met since 1990.

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 4

FCS

 

[CNOTES]

YOUR DAY GAMES BEST BETS !

Pending Picks​

Saturday, September 20​

Game	Score		Pick	Units	Status
North Texas Army	- -	12:00 PM	UNT -2.5	+500	Pending
Arkansas Memphis	- -	12:00 PM	ARK -7.0 Over 61.0	+500 +500	Pending Pending
Wofford Virginia Tech	- -	12:00 PM	Under 48.5	+500	Pending
SC State South Florida	- -	12:00 PM	USF -33.5	+500	Pending
Maryland Wisconsin	- -	12:00 PM	WIS -10.0	+500	Pending
Syracuse Clemson	- -	12:00 PM	SYR +17.0	+500	Pending
Bowling Green Louisville	- -	12:00 PM	LOU -26.5	+500	Pending
Texas Tech Utah	- -	12:00 PM	Under 58.0	+500	Pending
SMU TCU	- -	12:00 PM	TCU -7.0	+500	Pending
UNLV Miami (OH)	- -	12:00 PM	M-OH +1.5	+500	Pending
UAB Tennessee	- -	12:45 PM	Over 69.0	+500	Pending
Wagner Central Michigan	- -	01:00 PM	Over 45.5	+500	Pending
Oregon State Oregon	- -	03:00 PM	Under 57.0	+500	Pending
Kent State Florida State	- -	03:30 PM	FSU -45.0 Over 55.5	+500 +500	Pending Pending
Ball State UConn	- -	03:30 PM	CONN -21.0	+500	Pending
Troy Buffalo	- -	03:30 PM	TROY +5.0 Over 44.5	+500 +500	Pending Pending
Toledo Western Michigan	- -	03:30 PM	TOL -14.0	+500	Pending
North Carolina UCF	- -	03:30 PM	UNC +7.0	+500	Pending
Louisiana Eastern Michigan	- -	03:30 PM	EMU +2.5 Under 51.0	+500 +500	Pending Pending
Gardner Webb Ohio	- -	03:30 PM	OHIO -28.0	+500	Pending
Auburn Oklahoma	- -	03:30 PM	Under 47.0	+500	Pending
Michigan Nebraska	- -	03:30 PM	Over 47.5	+500	Pending
Purdue Notre Dame	- -	03:30 PM	PUR +24.0	+500	Pending
Tulane Mississippi	- -	03:30 PM	TULN +11.5	+500	Pending
James Madison Liberty	- -	03:30 PM	JMU -9.0	+500	Pending
NC State Duke	- -	04:00 PM	NCST +3.0	+500	Pending
NIU MS State	- -	04:15 PM	NIU +23.5	+500	Pending
Temple Georgia Tech	- -	04:30 PM	GT -24.5	+500	Pending
Idaho San Jose State	- -	05:00 PM	IDHO +14.5	+500	Pending
Arkansas State Kennesaw State	- -	06:00 PM	Over 56.5	+500	Pending
Delaware FIU Panthers	- -	06:00 PM	FIU -4.5	+500	Pending
Duquesne Akron	- -	06:00 PM	AKR -8.5	+500	Pending
West Virginia Kansas	- -	06:00 PM	WVU +13.0	+500	Pending

 

[CNOTES]

YOUR EVENINGS BEST BETS !

UTM at MOSU	07:00 PM	MOSU -13.5	+500
MRSH at MTU	07:00 PM	O 47.0	+500
MURR at JVST	07:00 PM	MURR +35.5	+500
SOCAR at MIZZ	07:00 PM	MIZZ -9.5	+500
NEV at WKU	07:00 PM	O 54.5	+500
BSU at AFA	07:00 PM	BSU -10.5	+500
ME at GASO	07:00 PM	GASO -22.0	+500
CCU at USA	07:00 PM	USA -16.0	+500
USM at LT	07:30 PM	USM +3.0	+500
GSU at VAN	07:30 PM	VAN -28.0	+500
STAN at UVA	07:30 PM	UVA -16.5	+500
BYU at ECU	07:30 PM	ECU +6.5 U 49.5	+500 +500
FLA at MIA	07:30 PM	MIA -7.5	+500
ASU at BAY	07:30 PM	ASU +2.5	+500
WASH at WSU	07:30 PM	WASH -21.0	+500
ILL at IU	07:30 PM	ILL +6.5 O 53.5	+500 +500
SELA at LSU	07:45 PM	U 51.5	+500
MCNS at USU	08:00 PM	USU -23.5	+500
NICH at TXST	08:00 PM	TXST -29.5	+500
SHSU at TEX	08:00 PM	TEX -39.5	+500
ULM at UTEP	09:00 PM	UTEP -6.5	+500
UTSA at CSU	09:30 PM	UTSA -4.0	+500
WYO at COLO	10:15 PM	COLO -13.5	+500
CAL at SDSU	10:30 PM	CAL -14.0	+500
MSU at USC	11:00 PM	USC -19.0	+500

Sunday, September 21​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
FRES at HAW	12:00 AM	O 47.0	+500

 

[CNOTES]

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR SEPTEMBER !

09/20/2025........12 - 8 - 0...............60.00%............+ 16.00
09/19/2025..........1 - 3 - 0...............25.00%............- 11.50
0918/2025...........1 - 1 - 0................50.00%............- 0.50
09/13/202.......12 - 11 - 0................52.17%...........- 0.30
09/12/2025.........3 - 5 - 0................37.50%...........- 12.50
09/11/2025.........1 - 1 - 0................50.00%...........- 0.50
09/06/2025.......7 - 11 - 0...............38.88%............- 24.00
09/05/2025.........3 - 4 - 0...............42.85%............- 7.00

TOTALS............40 -44 - 0...............47.61%............- 40.30

**********************************

COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR AUGUST !

08/23/2025..........................5 - 1 - 1.........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50

TOTALS................................5 - 1 - 1 ........................83.33%.........................+ 19.50

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Reds 1, Cubs 0- If the playoffs started today, Cincinnati would be in.
— Mariners 7, Astros 3- Seattle sweeps the Astros, leads AL West by 3 games.
— Twins 6, Guardians 2- Loss ends Cleveland’s 10-game winning streak.
— Rays 7, Red Sox 3- Boston/Cleveland are tied for AL’s last Wild Card slot.
— Blue Jays 8, Royals 5- Toronto clinches a spot in the playoffs.
— Marlins 4, Rangers 2- Marlins have won six games in a row.

Quote of the Day
“I loved it, and also their D-coordinator was the one that cut me in Carolina.”
Baker Mayfield, talking about Jets’ DC Steve Wilks

Monday’s quiz
Who is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage?

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil is the only head coach who coached both the Eagles, Rams in a Super Bowl.

Saturday’s quiz
Of all the current major league ballplayers, Giancarlo Stanton has hit the most career home runs.

***************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday……..​

Browns 13, Packers 10
Browns kicked a 55-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Green Bay led 10-0 with 4:00 left in the game.
Cleveland’s first seven drives: 41 plays, 113 yards, no points
Cleveland’s last three drives: 18 plays, 83 yards, 13 points
Packers had 14 penalties for 75 yards, Browns 8 for 90.
Green Bay was 10-18 on third down, Cleveland 4-13.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Total yardage: Green Bay 230, Cleveland 221.

Buccaneers 29, Jets 27
Jets took 27-26 lead, scoring TD on blocked FG with 1:49 left.
Tampa Bay kicked a 36-yard FG 0:03 left for the win.
Bucs are 3-0, with all three wins coming on last-minute scores.
Last time Tampa Bay was 3-0 was 2005.
Buccaneers led 23-6 after the third quarter.
Bucs outgained Jets 347-267; they were +2 in turnovers.
Tampa Bay survived 14 penalties for 124 yards.
Jets lost first three games, giving up 34-30-29 points.

Eagles 33, Rams 27
Rams led 26-7 early in the third quarter.
Rams had two FG’s blocked; the last one was run back for a TD.
Eagles in first half: 21 plays, 29 yards, 7 points
Eagles in second half: 40 plays, 260 yards, 20 points
Saquon Barkley was held to 55 yards on 22 touches.
AJ Brown caught six passes for 109 yards.
Eagles won ten of last eleven series games.
Rams were 4-6 on FG’s; need to be better in red zone.

Chargers 23, Broncos 20
Chargers kicked a 43-yard FG at the gun for the win.
Chargers had tied game on a 20-yard TD pass with 2:44 left.
Bolts have already beaten all three of their AFC West rivals.
Justin Herbert is the youngest QB ever with 2,000 career completions.
Chargers were 8-17 on third down, Denver 2-13.
Bolts ran 80 plays for 376 yards, Denver 48 plays for 265 yards.
Chargers are 7-2 SU/9-0 ATS last 9 games vs AFC West rivals.
Under Payton, Denver is 6-9 ATS as a road underdog.

Colts 41, Titans 20
Colts are off to a 3-0 start, scoring 32-29-41 points.
Colts have scored on 20 of 25 drives, have punted once.
Indianapolis led 20-6 at halftime.
Colts outgained first two opponents by 207-149-83 yards.
Rookie QB Ward threw a horrendous pick-6 on third play of game.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 34 drives.
Tennessee is 3-11 ATS last 14 games as an underdog.
Indianapolis won/covered last five series games.

Jaguars 17, Texans 10
Jaguars drove 83 yards in 7 plays, scored winning TD with 1:48 left.
Just third win for Jaguars in last 15 games vs Houston.
Jaguars are 5-2 ATS in last seven AFC South home games.
Jaguars have had three takeaways in all three games this year.
Houston’s only TD was a 50-yard pass to Collins with 9:17 left.
Texans lost first three games, by 1-5-7 points.
Texans have only three TD’s on 30 drives this year.
Both teams converted 4-15 third down plays.

Steelers 21, Patriots 14
Steelers drove 67 yards in nine plays, scored GW TD with 2:16 left.
Steelers’ first two drives: 20 plays, 144 yards, 14 points
Steelers are 26-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Pittsburgh ran ball 26 times for only 64 yards.
NE outgained Steelers 369-203, but had 5 turnovers, losing 4 fumbles.
Patriots are 4-13-1 ATS last 18 games as a home underdog.
NE is 9-18-3 ATS last 30 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Patriots had a drive that took 17 plays, 92 yards, but it ended in an INT.

Famous birthdays, September 22:
Harold Carmichael, 76
Jeffrey Leonard, 70
Wally Backman, 66
Scott Baio, 65
Vince Coleman, 64
Mark Guthrie, 60
Mike Matheny, 55
Alexei Ramírez, 44
Carlos Correa, 31
Jeremy Pena, 28

Vikings 48, Bengals 10
Vikings had defensive TD’s of 87-66 yards in the first half.
Minnesota outgained the Bengals, 352-171.
Will Reichard made a 62-yard FG, longest in Viking history.
QB Wentz has a 48-47-1 record; he’s won a game for 5 different teams. .
Cincinnati got outgained by 186-50-181 yards in their first 3 games.
Bengals have run ball 61 times for only 147 yards in those games.
Bengals’ first four drives: 17 plays, 20 yards, no points.
Cincinnati turned ball over five times on 13 drives.

Panthers 30, Falcons 0
Panthers scored on 11-yard pick-6 to go ahead 17-0 in 3rd quarter.
Ryan Fitzgerald made a 57-yard field goal for Carolina.
Panthers are 13-8-1 ATS last 22 games as a home underdog.
Carolina is 7-2-1 ATS in last ten NFC South home games.
Falcons missed FG’s (49-55 yards) on two of first three drives.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 3-6-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 5-11 ATS in games coming off a win.
Morris is 30-49 as a head coach.

Commanders 41, Raiders 24
Washington ran for 174 yards in 1st half, led 20-10 at half.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Last three years, Washington is 10-6 ATS vs AFC opponents.
Mariota was 15-21/207 yards passing in his first start since 2022.
Commanders ran a punt back 90 yards for a TD.
Raiders were 3-14 on third down, Las Vegas 5-10.
Raiders have run ball 71 times for only 217 yards.
Las Vegas is 19-25-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.

49ers 16, Cardinals 15
49ers kicked a 35-yard FG with 0:04 left for the win.
49ers drove 57 yards in 10 plays to set up the FG.
Cardinals took 15-13 lead on a safety with 3:26 left.
49ers led 6-3 at half; it was 6-6 after three quarters.
49ers outgained Arizona 355-260, but ran for only 73 yards.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-12-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Last two years, 49ers are 1-6 ATS in NFC West home games.
49ers are 3-0, took over first place in NFC West.

Seahawks 44, Saints 13
Seattle ran a punt back 95 yards for a TD in first quarter.
Seattle also blocked a punt later in the first quarter.
Seattle’s first seven drives: 39 plays, 283 yards, 37 points
Jason Myers kicked a 56-yard field goal for the Seahawks.
Saints have converted only 12-36 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 71-23 in first half of games.
Spencer Rattler is 0-9 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.

Bears 31, Cowboys 14
Caleb Williams threw for 298 yards, four TD’s.
Williams hit Luther Burden with a 65-yard TD pass on a flea flicker.
Bears scored on four of first six drives, led 24-14 at halftime.
Chicago is 6-3-1 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
Last two games, Cowboys allowed 422-298 passing yards.
Chicago was 8-14 on third down, Dallas 3-11.
Chicago averaged 10.6 yards/pass attempt.
Dallas is 4-7 ATS in last 11 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Chiefs 22, Giants 9
Chiefs were 3-4 on field goals, on five first half drives (led 9-6 at half)
Chiefs in second half: 29 plays, 184 yards, 13 points.
Chiefs were 8-15 on third down, Giants 1-10.
Chiefs are 8-4 ATS in last 12 games coming off a loss.
Last 14 years, Giants are 2-12 SU/1-13 ATS in home openers.
Malik Nabers caught only two passes for 13 yards.
Giants in second half: 33 plays, 152 yards, 3 points.
QB Wilson is 130-88-1 as an NFL starter, 23-35 last 4+ years.

 

[Udog]

WEEK FIVE

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 5

 

[Udog]

NCAAF

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 4 NFL spreads…….
— Seahawks @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Steelers (@ Dublin, Ireland)
— Chargers (-6.5) @ Giants
— Titans @ Houston (-6.5)
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Atlanta
— Saints @ Buffalo (-15.5)

Quote of the Day
“I’ve said it a million times to you guys — I don’t think I’ve obviously said it enough to our team — the goal is to go 1-0 every week. And it pisses me off when we start talking about things outside of the next game. Things that are way down the road. Like, focus on, keep the focus on the present, on the now, and worry about getting better each and every day.”
Green Bay coach Matt LaFleur

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, who has hit the most home runs?

Monday’s quiz
Cam Newton is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage.

Sunday’s quiz
Hall of Famer Dick Vermeil is the only head coach who coached both the Eagles, Rams in a Super Bowl.

*******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Trends for every MLB team……​

Trends for every major league team
(thru Sunday’s games)

— Arizona (79-77)
Arizona is 7-4 its last eleven games.
Diamondbacks are 20-27 in one-run games.
Arizona is 25-21 vs NL West foes, 54-56 vs everyone else.
Arizona scored in 1st inning in 11 of last 16 home games.

— Braves (73-83)
Braves won their last eight games.
Atlanta is 36-39 at home, 37-44 on the road.
Braves are 28-21 vs NL East rivals, 45-62 vs everyone else.
Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games.

— Cubs (88-68)
Chicago lost its last four games.
Cubs are holding #1 Wild Card slot in NL
Under is 13-5-2 in their last 20 road games.
Cubs are 69-46 vs righty starters, 19-22 vs lefties.

— Reds (80-76)
Cincinnati won its last five games.
Reds are 60-53 vs righty starters, 20-23 vs lefties.
Under is 8-3-1 in their last 11 road games.
Reds are holding the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Rockies (43-113)
Colorado lost 16 of its last 20 games.
Over is 6-2 in Rockies’ last eight games.
Rockies are 8-34 vs lefty starters, 35-79 vs righties.
Colorado scored a first inning run in only one of last 37 road games.

— Dodgers (88-68)
Dodgers won 10 of their last 14 games.
LA leads San Diego by three games in NL West.
Dodgers are 64-45 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

— Marlins (76-80)
Marlins are 10-1 in their last 11 games.
Miami is 36-42 at home, 40-38 on the road.
Over is 9-4 in Marlins’ last 13 games.
Marlins are 57-55 vs righty starters, 19-25 vs lefties.

— Brewers (95-61)
Brewers are 6-3 in their last nine games.
Milwaukee is 51-27 at home, 44-34 on the road.
Over is 17-7-1 in their last 25 home games.
Right now, Milwaukee is the #1 seed in the NL.

— Mets (80-76)
Mets are 4-11 in their last fifteen games.
Mets are 49-32 at home, 31-44 on the road.
Over is 8-5-1 in their last 14 road games.
Right now, Mets trail Cincinnati by half-game for last NL Wild Card slot.

— Phillies (92-64)
Phillies are 1-3 in their last four games.
Phillies are 70-39 vs righty starters, 22-25 vs lefties.
Over is 10-2 in their last 12 games.
Right now, Phillies are #2 seed in the NL.

— Pirates (67-89)
Pirates lost 12 of their last 15 games.
Pittsburgh is 44-37 at home, 23-52 on the road.
Under is 11-4 in their last 15 games.
Pirates are 53-69 vs righty starters, 14-20 vs lefties.

— St Louis (76-80)
St Louis is 4-8 in its last 12 games.
Cardinals are 1-5 in last six series openers.
St Louis is 44-37 at home, 32-43 on the road.
Under is 8-3 in their last eleven home games.

— Padres (85-71)
San Diego is 9-10 in its last 19 games.
Padres are 47-28 at home, 38-43 on the road.
Padres are 61-48 vs righty starters, 24-23 vs lefties.
San Diego has a 5-game for the #2 Wild Card slot in NL.

— Giants (77-79)
Giants lost eight of their last 11 games.
Giants are 61-51 vs righty pitchers, 16-28 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.
SF is three games out of the NL’s last Wild Card slot.


— Washington (64-92)
Nationals are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
Washington is 47-64 vs righty starters, 17-28 vs lefties.
Under is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.
Nationals are 22-16 in one-run games.

— Famous birthdays, September 23rd:
Bruce Springsteen, 76
Dennis Lamp, 73
Jason Alexander, 66
Larry Krystkowiak, 61
Pete Harnisch, 59
Cuonzo Martin, 54
Matt Kemp, 41
Brian Brohm, 40

— Orioles (73-83)
Baltimore is 12-7 in its last 19 games.
Orioles are 52-58 vs vs righty starters, 21-25 vs lefties.
Under is 15-0 in their last fifteen home games.
Orioles are 20-26 vs AL East rivals, 53-57 vs everyone else.

— Red Sox (85-71)
Red Sox are 4-6 in their last ten games.
Boston is 46-32 at home, 39-39 on road.
Over is 3-0 in their last three games.
Red Sox have #2 AL Wild Card slot, one game ahead of Cleveland/Houston.

— White Sox (58-98)
Chicago lost eight of its last eleven games.
White Sox are 33-48 at home, 25-50 on the road.
Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.
Chicago is 43-77 vs righty starters, 15-21 vs lefties.

— Cleveland (84-72)
Cleveland is 14-2 in its last 16 games.
Guardians are tied with Astros for AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Guardians are also game behind Detroit in AL Central.
Guardians are 66-48 vs righty starters, 18-24 vs lefties.
Under is 16-3 in their last nineteen games.

— Detroit (85-71)
Detroit is 7-18 in its last 25 games.
Tigers lead Cleveland by one game in AL Central.
Over is 12-6 in their last eighteen games.
Detroit is 20-10 in one-run games.

— Houston (84-72)
Astros are tied for last Wild Card slot in AL.
Astros are 14-21 in their last 35 home games.
Astros trail Seattle by three games in AL West.
Over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

— Royals (78-78)
Royals are 14-17 in their last 31 games.
Kansas City is 61-66 vs righty starters, 17-12 vs lefties.
Over is 7-2 in Royals’ last nine games.
Royals scored in first inning in 15 of last 28 home games.

— Angels (70-86)
Angels are 11-24 in their last 35 games.
Over is 10-6 in their last sixteen games.
Angels are 59-70 vs righty starters, 11-16 vs lefties.
Angels are in last place in AL West ($206M payroll)

— Twins (67-89)
Twins lost 26 of their last 38 games.
Minnesota is 38-43 at home, 29-46 on the road.
Over is 16-6 in their last 22 home games.
Twins are 2-10 in last 12 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— New York (88-68)
New York is 8-3 in its last 11 games.
Under is 4-0 in their last four games.
New York is 71-51 vs righty starters, 17-17 vs lefties.
Right now, New York has the #1 Wild Card slot in AL.

— A’s (73-83)
A’s are 7-3 in their last ten games.
A’s didn’t score in their last two games.
A’s are 55-68 vs righty starters, 18-15 vs lefties.
A’s are 9-5 in extra innings this season.

— Seattle (87-69)
Mariners won 14 of their last 15 games.
Seattle is 33-10 in its last 43 home games.
Over is 13-6 in their last nineteen games.
Seattle leads Houston by three games in AL West.

— Tampa Bay (76-80)
Tampa Bay is 4-7 in its last 11 games.
Rays are 41-40 at home, 35-40 on the road.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven road games.
Rays are 7-15 in last 22 games where winning run scored from 7th inning on.

— Texas (79-77)
Rangers lost their last seven games.
Texas is five games out of the AL’s last Wild Card slot.
Texas is 62-55 vs righty starters, 17-22 vs lefties
Rangers are 47-31 at home, 32-46 on road.

— Toronto (90-66)
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last five games.
Blue Jays scored total of 11 runs in those five games.
Under is 11-5 in their last 16 games.
Toronto leads New York by two games in AL East.

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
NBA players with the all-time best plus-minus differentials:
+9,509— Tim Duncan
+9,208— Kareem Abdul-Jabbar
+8,263— Tony Parker
+7,298— Manu Ginobili
+6,714— Bill Russell
+6,679— Scottie Pippen

Quote of the Day
“It’s baseball. If they were asking us to do calculus, I’d be scared to death….…as long as this stays baseball, let’s go see if we are good enough.”
Reds’ manager Terry Francona

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, which college football team has the longest active winning streak?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, Ryan Braun has hit the most home runs.

Monday’s quiz
Cam Newton is the Carolina Panthers’ all-time leader in passing yardage.

***************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..​

— Guardians 5, Tigers 2
Teams are now tied for first in AL Central.
On July 8, Detroit was 15.5 games ahead of Cleveland.
Detroit hitters struck out 19 times in this game.

— Mets 9, Cubs 7
Cubs led this game 6-1 after four innings.
Francisco Alvarez hit the game-winning HR in the 8th inning.
Mets regain the NL’s last Wild Card slot, by a game over Reds/Arizona.

— Pirates 4, Reds 2
Oneil Cruz hit a two-run homer for Pittsburgh.
Pirates scored all four of their runs in the 2nd inning.
Reds have won five straight games four times this year, but are now 0-4 in that sixth game.

— Diamondbacks 5, Dodgers 4
Dodgers led 4-0 in the 7th inning.
Geraldo Perdomo’s 2-run single was a walk-off in the 9th.
Shohei Ohtani allowed 5 baserunners in his six scoreless IP.

— Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 1
Toronto has lost five of six games; their AL East lead is one game.
Tied 1-1 after five innings, Boston scored 3 runs in the sixth.
Red Sox lead Detroit by a game for the AL’s #2 Wild Card slot.

— Mariners 4, Rockies 3
Josh Naylor hit a 3-run double in the bottom of the 8th.
Mariners clinched a playoff spot; they’re 15-1 in their last 16 games.
Right now, Seattle would be the #2-seed in the AL.

— A’s 5, Astros 1
A’s first run scored when an easy pop-up fell safely in front of the mound.
Jeffrey Springs allowed three hits in his five IP.
Houston is a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Major League Baseball will have a replay challenge system for balls/strikes, starting next season; this will be very interesting to follow.
The rules, according to MLB:
Each team will get two challenges and can keep them if they’re successful
Challenges can only be initiated by a pitcher, catcher, or batter, and the request must come right after the pitch
To signal a challenge, the pitcher, catcher, or batter will tap his hat or helmet to let the umpire know
No help from the dugout or other players on the field is allowed

— Famous birthdays, September 24th:
Joe Greene, 79
Gordon Clapp, 77
Hubie Brooks, 69
Rafael Palmeiro, 61
Kevin Millar, 54
Eddie George, 52
Drew Gooden, 44
Keith Null, 40
Luis Morales, 23

— Lions 38, Ravens 30
Detroit ran ball for 224 yards, outgained Ravens 426-318.
Montgomery had 12 carries for 151 yards.
Lions in second half: 28 plays, 221 yards, 24 points.
Detroit converted 7-14 on third down, 3-3 on fourth down
Score was tied 14-14 at halftime.
Ravens have scored 40-41-30 points, but are 1-2.
Baltimore allowed 41-38 points in its two losses.
In Week 3, favorites were 9-7 ATS; over was 8-8.

— New Jersey Giants are starting rookie QB Jaxson Dart against the Chargers this week, which will be his first NFL start.
Likely reason: Russell Wilson’s stats in the red zone so far:
4-for-18 passing, 16 yards, no TD’s, one first down. Not good.

— 0-3 Tennessee Titans are changing playcallers; QB coach Bo Hardegree is taking over for head coach Brian Callahan. Hardegree was the interim offensive coordinator for the Raiders for the second half of the 2023 season.

— Tampa Bay Bucs’ star WR Mike Evans is expected to miss 3-4 weeks (hamstring strain).

— Since 1939, only one NFL team has had a three-game span with:
No turnovers
Zero or one punt.
The 2025 Indianapolis Colts, off to a 3-0 start.

— Syracuse QB Steve Angeli tore his Achilles tendon, is out for the year; he was 98-156/1,352 passing in Syracuse’s 3-1 start.

— Oklahoma QB John Mateer hurt his thumb last week, is going to have surgery on Wednesday and is expected to miss 3+ weeks. So far this season, Mateer is 95-141/1,215 passing in the Sooners’ 4-0 start.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 7-pack:
Last seven NFL QB’s who started in Week 1 of their rookie season
— Cam Ward, Titans
— Caleb Williams, Bears
— Jayden Daniels, Commanders
— Bo Nix, Broncos
— Bryce Young, Panthers
— CJ Stroud, Texans
— Anthony Richardson, Colts

Quote of the Day
“I believe the only way to protect my own rights is to protect the rights of others.”
Dwight Eisenhower, 1953

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, who was their QB?

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Milwaukee Brewers, Ryan Braun has hit the most home runs.

****************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— Guardians 5, Tigers 1
George Valera had the go-ahead home run for Cleveland.
Guardians now lead AL Central by a game, with four games left.
Detroit has lost 8 in a row, is out of first place for first time since April 22.

— A’s 6, Astros 0
Shea Langeliers went 4-for-4 with a home run.
Luis Severino got 19 outs, allowed only three hits.
Astros have lost 5 in a row, trail Detroit by a game for last Wild Card slot.

— Cubs 10, Mets 3
Cubs scored 5 runs in third inning, snapped a five-game losing skid.
Matthew Boyd got 16 outs, allowed only two hits.
Juan Soto hit his 43rd home run for the Mets

— Pirates 4, Reds 3 (11)
Spencer Horwitz had the game-winning double for Pittsburgh.
Reds remain a game behind the Mets for the last NL’s Wild Card slot.
Noelvi Marte hit an inside-the-park home run for the Reds.

— Mariners 9, Rockies 2
Seattle clinches its first AL West title since 2001.
Cal Raleigh hit two home runs, now has 60 this season.
Luis Castillo got 22 outs, allowed only one baserunner.

— Red Sox 7, Blue Jays 1
Garrett Crochet tossed 8 shutout innings.
Red Sox lead Detroit by two games for the AL’s second Wild Card.
Toronto/New York are now tied for first in AL East.

— Famous birthdays, September 25th:
Michael Douglas, 81
Bob McAdoo, 74
Glenn Hubbard, 68
Geno Petralli, 66
Heather Locklear, 64
Scottie Pippen, 60
Will Smith, 56
Catherine Zeta-Jones, 55
Matt Hasselbeck, 50
Rocco Baldelli, 44
Alec Ogletree, 34
Brandin Cooks, 32

— College football conference trends:
Home favorites in conference games are 12-10 ATS
Home underdogs in conference games are 11-7 ATS

American
Home underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 8-4 ATS in non-conference games

ACC
Home favorites 6-10 ATS in non-conference games
Road underdogs 1-5 ATS in non-conference games

Big 10
Favorites 14-16 ATS in non-conference games

Big X
Favorites 13-9 ATS in non-conference games
Underdogs 3-4 ATS in non-conference games

Conference USA
14-9 ATS in non-conference games, 6-3 at home.

Mid American
Underdogs 18-15 ATS in non-conference games

Mountain West
Underdogs 12-6 ATS in non-conference games

SEC
19-16 ATS in non-conference games, 4-2 as underdogs
Sun Belt
Underdogs 10-13 ATS in non-conference games

— Tampa Bay Rays were sold for $1.7B this week, are expected to stay in the Tampa/St Pete area of western Florida. Stuart Sternberg had owned the team since 2004; back then, he bought the team for $200M, so a tidy profit right there.

— Was watching the Brewers-Padres game Monday night; Roberto Ortiz was the home plate umpire and boy, did the Milwaukee TV guys shred his performance.
Don’t think I’ve ever heard TV guys rip an umpire like that, especially considering that the Brewers are already locked in to a really good seed in the playoffs, not like it was a huge game for them, but hitters/pitchers looked confused by several of his calls.

— Auburn basketball coach Bruce Pearl stepped down this week; he takes an ambassador’s role in the athletic department, while his son Steven Pearl got a 5-year contract to take over for his father.
He went 246-125 at Auburn, leading the Tigers to two Final Fours.

— Oklahoma State fired longtime football coach Mike Gundy, who was 170-90 in 21 years coaching the Cowboys, 12-6 in bowl games. He gets paid $15M to go away; would like to hear him on TV, think he’d be an interesting voice in today’s NIL-dominated world.

— Atlanta Falcons fired their WR coach Ike Hilliard after Sunday’s 30-0 loss at Carolina; Passing game coordinator T.J. Yates is going to take over Hilliard’s duties, and offensive coordinator Zac Robinson will be on the sideline during games, instead of in the press box.

— Playoff picture with 4 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers

 

[Udog]

NCAAF
Weather Report

Thursday, September 25

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 5

Army @ East Carolina (-4.5)
Army (1-2)
Army’s three games were decided by 3-3-7 points.
Army did lose 30-27 to I-AA Tarleton State
Army’s loss to North Texas LW was in overtime.
Army has 4 starters back on offense, 5 on defense
Black Knights have 42 starts back on offensive line.
Senior QB Coleman started one game last year.


Black Knights ran ball for 237-387 yards in I-A games.
In two losses, Army was minus-5 in turnovers.
Army is 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road underdog.
In his career, Monken is 17-13-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Army is 7-2-1 ATS in its AAC games.


East Carolina (2-2)
ECU lost 24-17 @ NC State, 34-13 at home to BYU
ECU has gained 400+ total yards in all four games.
Pirates have 4 starters back on offense, 2 on defense.
Pirates have 106 returning starts on OL, mostly at other places.
Junior QB Houser has 14 career starts.


ECU is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.
Pirates are 10-13-1 ATS in last 24 conference games.
ECU’s only I-A win was 38-0 at Coastal Carolina


LY, Army (-17) beat East Carolina 45-28.
Black Knights ran for 295 yards, outgained ECU 442-369.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2004.

 

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 7-pack:
Batters who hot 30+ home runs each of the last three years:
Pete Alonso
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Cal Raleigh
Brent Rooker
Kyle Schwarber
Juan Soto

Quote of the Day
“Everyone needs to see a little bit of positivity in the game. We are human. We feed off a ton of things, including the good things. Of course everyone takes a collective breath.”
Tigers manager AJ Hinch

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20
Seahawks kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Seattle led 14-3 at halftime.
Seattle ran for 155 yards, outgained Cardinals, 384-253
Seahawks are 8-1 SU/5-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Cardinals lost on a last-second field goal last week, too.
Arizona’s first nine drives: 46 plays, 147 yards, 6 points.
Arizona’s last two drives: 20 plays, 130 yards, 14 points.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-13 ATS in NFC West home games.

— East Carolina 28, Army 6
Pirates led 21-0 in the first quarter.
ECU was 7-12 on third down, Army 2-15.
Pirates outgained Army, 431-290

— Reds 2, Pirates 1
RF Noelvi Marte made a HR-saving catch in 9th inning to preserve the win.
Nick Lodolo struck out 12 batters in 6.1 scoreless IP.
Reds are a game behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mets 8, Cubs 5
Francisco Lindor homered, is a 30-30 guy for the second time.
Mets led this game 6-0 in the 4th inning.
Brett Baty went 2-for-4, with 3 RBI

— Dodgers 8, Diamondbacks 0
Shohei Ohtani hit his 54th home run.
Dodgers clinch NL West for 12th time in 13 years.
Arizona falls two games behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Tigers 4, Guardians 2
Detroit used six pitchers in this win, tying Cleveland for AL Central lead.
Tigers hit three solo home runs.
This weekend, Cleveland hosts Texas, Tigers visit Boston.

— Obscure Fact of the Day: Actor Russell Johnson played the Professor on the old TV show Gilligan’s Island, but before he was an actor, Russell Johnson flew 44 combat missions as a WWII bombardier. His plane was shot down in 1945; he broke both his ankles.
He earned a Purple Heart, a Bronze Star and the admiration of Ginger and Mary Ann.

— Famous birthdays, September 26th:
Kent McCord, 83
Dave Duncan, 80
Mike Bragg, 79
Lucius Allen, 78
John Roche, 76
Melissa Sue Anderson, 63
Sean Doolittle, 39
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, 32
Shake Milton, 29

— Washington Nationals are hiring Paul Toboni as their new head of baseball operations. The 35-year old Toboni rose quickly in the Red Sox organization to become assistant GM and is widely regarded as one of the best young executives in MLB.

— Astros 11, A’s 5
Houston remains a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last playoff slot.
Christian Walker homered, had three RBI
Win ends Astros’ 7-game losing streak against the A’s.

— Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 1
Daulton Varsho hit his 5th career grand slam.
Toronto/New York remain tied atop the AL East; Blue Jays own tiebreaker.
Boston’s magic number to clinch a playoff spot is one.

— Phillies 1, Marlins 0
Only run of the game scored on a first inning ground out.
Walker Buehler pitched five shutout innings.
Surprising fact: This loss eliminated the Marlins, who have had a good year.

— Royals 9, Angels 4
Bobby Witt Jr went 4-for-5, scored two runs.
Mike Trout hit his 401st career home run.

— Random opinion: If a run scores because of an error on the pitcher, that should be an earned run. Why should the pitcher’s stats benefit because he made an error?

— Playoff picture with 3 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers