NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 7
Saturday’s games
Alabama (-2.5) @ Missouri
Alabama (4-1, 2-0)
Alabama won first two SEC games: 24-21 @ Georgia, 30-14 vs Vandy
Alabama gained 450+ yards in 3 of its last 4 games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Alabama is 7-13 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-11 as a road favorite.
Crimson Tide is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
Alabama is +9 in turnovers this season.
Alabama threw for 340+ yards in three of last four games.
Missouri (5-0, 1-0)
Mizzou won its SEC opener 29-20 over South Carolina.
Tigers scored 41.3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-19 ATS in SEC games.
Mizzou is 13-9-1 in last 23 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Mizzou’s I-A games.
Alabama is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five series games.
This is Alabama’s first visit to Missouri since 2020.
SEC home teams are 11-5 ATS in conference games.
Pittsburgh @ Florida State (-10)
Pittsburgh (3-2, 1-1)
Pitt lost its only road game, 31-24 at West Virginia.
Panthers scored 45-48 points in I-A wins, 24-27 in I-A losses.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 28-26 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 1-9 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 46-39-1 ATS in ACC games.
Pitt is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Pitt’s I-A games.
Florida State (3-2, 0-2)
Florida State lost last 2 games, 46-38 at Virginia, 28-22 Miami.
Seminoles ran for 230+ yards in three of four I-A games.
FSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Seminoles have 129 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Castellanos started 20 games at Boston College.
Florida State is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 17-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 19-24 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Norvell is 39-38-1 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s I-A games.
Road team won last three series games.
Pitt won 41-17 in last visit to FSU, in 2020.
ACC home favorites are 4-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana @ Oregon (-7.5)
Indiana (5-0, 2-0)
Hoosiers won their Big 18 games, 63-10/20-15.
Indiana won first road game LW, 20-15 at Iowa.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 0-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Indiana is +6 in turnovers in its I-A games.
In his career, Cignetti is 19-8 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 10-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Oregon (5-0, 2-0)
Oregon is 2-0 in Big 18 games, winning 34-14/30-24
Ducks won their two I-A home games, 69-3/41-7.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-12 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Oregon held three of four I-A foes under 280 total yards.
Ducks had week off since their 30-24 win at Penn State.
Indiana (+20.5) won 30-24 at Oregon last year.
Ducks outgained Indiana 495-198 in that game.
Big 18 home favorites are 3-6 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma vs Texas (-2.5) (@ Dallas)
Oklahoma (5-0, 1-0)
Oklahoma has two quality wins: Michigan (24-13), Auburn (24-17)
Sooners held those two teams to 288-287 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year- he is banged up (check status).
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2015, Sooners are 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-14-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Texas (3-2, 0-1)
Texas lost 14-7 at Ohio State, 29-21 at Florida.
Longhorns beat three stiffs, by 31-17-55 points.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 2 career starts (939 PY last year, 9 TD, 2 INT)
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 24-20 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 46-36 ATS as a favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 17-21 ATS in conference games..
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 8-12 ATS in road games.
Under is 3-2 in Texas games this season.
Oklahoma is 7-3 in last 10 games in this rivalry.
Texas pounded the Sooners 34-3 last year.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.
Iowa State (-2.5) @ Colorado
Iowa State (5-1, 2-1)
Iowa State lost its first game LW, 38-30 at Cincinnati
Bearcats ran ball for 260 yards in that game.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State scored 24-39-30 points in its 2-1 Big X start.
In his career, Campbell is 17-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Campbell, ISU is 12-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Cyclones are 13-9 ATS in last 22 Big X games.
Since 2015, Iowa State is 35-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Colorado (2-4, 0-3)
Colorado scored 20-20-21-21 points in losses, 31-37 in wins.
Buffs gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of four losses.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
Senior QB Salter started 29 games at Liberty.
Favorites are 5-1 ATS in Colorado games this season.
Sanders is 10-6 ATS as an underdog with Colorado (1-3 TY).
Under Sanders, Colorado is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 14-8 ATS in conference games.
Home team won last seven series games.
Cyclones are 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS last five visits to Boulder.
Favorites are 12-6 ATS in Big X conference games.
TCU @ Kansas State (-1.5)
TCU (4-1, 1-1)
TCU is 1-1 in Big X: 24-27 at ASU, 35-21 over Colorado.
Horned Frogs were held to 10-94 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 16-11-3 ATS in Big X games.
In their I-A games, TCU scored 35.5 ppg.
Last three TCU games stayed under the total.
Kansas State (2-4, 1-3)
Last two games, Wildcats gained 434-501 total yards.
K-State gained 501 yards LW in 35-34 loss at Baylor.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.
Under Klieman, K-State is 25-21 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 20-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 Big X games.
Last 5+ years, K-State is 16-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their I-AA games.
K-State won five of last six meetings.
TCU lost last three visits to Manhattan, by 38-19-7 points.
Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.
Florida @ Texas A&M (-14.5)
Florida (2-3, 1-1)
Gators are 0-3 vs I-A teams, scoring 15.5 ppg.
Florida’s losses were by 2-10-19 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-9 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 24-12-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as a road underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 15-12 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 3-1 in Florida’s I-A games.
Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0)
Aggies are 2-0 in SEC: 16-10 Auburn, 31-9 Miss State.
Aggies ran ball for 207-299 yards in their SEC games.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.
Under Elko, A&M is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 8-12-3 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win
A&M is 9-14-3 ATS in last 26 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 14-12 ATS in conference games.
Texas A&M won three of last four series games.
Road team won four of last five series games.
Gators won two of last three visits to College Station.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.
SEC home favorites are 7-5 ATS in conference games.
Georgia (-3.5) @ Auburn
Georgia (4-1, 2-1)
Georgia beat Tennessee 44-41 in their only road game.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.
Georgia is 1-7 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 8-13 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 20-15 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Smart is 46-39 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 5-18-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Auburn (3-2, 0-2)
Auburn lost SEC games 24-17 at Oklahoma, 16-10 at Texas A&M.
Tigers scored 38-42-31 points in their three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Arnold started 10 games for Oklahoma.
Tigers ran ball for 67-52 yards in their two losses.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 12-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 9-9 ATS in conference games.
Auburn is 12-14 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four games.
Georgia is 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS last seven series games.
Dawgs are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS last five visits to Auburn.
Under is 11-4 in last fifteen series games.
Michigan @ USC (-2.5)
Michigan (4-1, 2-0)
Michigan is 1-1 on road: 13-24 at Oklahoma, 30-27 at Nebraska
Last 3 games, Michigan allowed 65.7 rushing yards/game.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 1,003 yards in his five games.
Since 2019, Michigan is 7-7 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2021, Michigan is 21-13-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 286/175 yards in their Big 18 games.
Michigan is +6 in turnovers this season.
USC (4-1, 2-1)
Trojans (-6.5) got upset 34-32 at Illinois last week.
USC has scored 48 points/game this season.
Trojans gained 460-517 yards in its Big 18 games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.
Under Riley, USC is 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 31-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 12-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 36-42-1 ATS in conference games.
Four of their five games went over the total.
Michigan (+4.5) upset USC 27-24 last year.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2006.
BYU (-1.5) @ Arizona
BYU (5-0, 2-0)
BYU is 2-0 on road: ECU 34-13, Colorado 24-21.
BYU has scored 30.8 ppg in its I-A games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 79-115/1,048 passing (7 TD’s, one INT)
BYU is 4-3 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
In his career, coach Sitake is 11-14 ATS as a road favorite.
BYU is 10-12 ATS in its 2+ years of conference play.
BYU is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in BYU’s I-A games this year.
Arizona (4-1, 2-1)
Arizona is 2-1 in Big X; 23-17 K-State, 41-13 Oklahoma State
Wildcats’ only loss was 39-14 at Iowa State.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts
Arizona is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 10-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Arizona is 20-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 36-30-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in Arizona’s I-A games this year.
BYU is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS last four series games.
This is BYU’s first visit to Tucson since 2018.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Utah (-5.5)
Arizona State (4-1, 2-0)
ASU QB Leavitt is hurt, won’t start this game.
ASU won 27-24 in both Big X games (at Baylor, vs TCU).
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Sims started 25 games at Ga Tech/Nebraska.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 16-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-6-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Sun Devils’ I-A games.
Utah (4-1, 1-1)
Utah’s five games were all decided by 24+ points.
Utes allowed 484-346 yards in its two Big X games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Since 2017, Utah is 26-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-45-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Utah is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Since 2016, Utes are 51-32 ATS in conference games.
Utah ran ball for 242+ yards in three of four I-A games.
Utah won/covered four of last five series games.
ASU lost last three visits to Utah, by a combined 110-27.
Under is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.
Armadillo's Write-Up
Week 7
Saturday’s games
Alabama (-2.5) @ Missouri
Alabama (4-1, 2-0)
Alabama won first two SEC games: 24-21 @ Georgia, 30-14 vs Vandy
Alabama gained 450+ yards in 3 of its last 4 games.
Alabama has 7 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Crimson Tide has 95 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Simpson threw 25 passes last year.
Alabama is 7-13 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
In his career, DeBoer is 10-11 as a road favorite.
Crimson Tide is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 SEC games.
Alabama is +9 in turnovers this season.
Alabama threw for 340+ yards in three of last four games.
Missouri (5-0, 1-0)
Mizzou won its SEC opener 29-20 over South Carolina.
Tigers scored 41.3 ppg in its four I-A games.
Tigers have 6 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Tigers have 77 returning starts on the offensive line.
Last 2 years, Junior QB Pribula was a backup QB at Penn State.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 16-11 ATS as an underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 8-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Drinkwitz, Mizzou is 24-19 ATS in SEC games.
Mizzou is 13-9-1 in last 23 games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Mizzou’s I-A games.
Alabama is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS in last five series games.
This is Alabama’s first visit to Missouri since 2020.
SEC home teams are 11-5 ATS in conference games.
Pittsburgh @ Florida State (-10)
Pittsburgh (3-2, 1-1)
Pitt lost its only road game, 31-24 at West Virginia.
Panthers scored 45-48 points in I-A wins, 24-27 in I-A losses.
Panthers have 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Panthers have 78 returning starts on the offensive line.
Frosh QB Heintschel played in LW’s 48-7 win over BC.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 28-26 ATS as an underdog.
Pitt is 1-9 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Pitt is 17-17 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Narduzzi, Panthers are 46-39-1 ATS in ACC games.
Pitt is 6-3 ATS in last nine games coming off a win.
Over is 3-1 in Pitt’s I-A games.
Florida State (3-2, 0-2)
Florida State lost last 2 games, 46-38 at Virginia, 28-22 Miami.
Seminoles ran for 230+ yards in three of four I-A games.
FSU has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Seminoles have 129 returning starts on offensive line.
Senior QB Castellanos started 20 games at Boston College.
Florida State is 9-8 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 17-16 ATS as a favorite.
Under Norvell, Seminoles are 19-24 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Norvell is 39-38-1 ATS in conference games.
Over is 3-1 in Florida State’s I-A games.
Road team won last three series games.
Pitt won 41-17 in last visit to FSU, in 2020.
ACC home favorites are 4-6 ATS in conference games.
Indiana @ Oregon (-7.5)
Indiana (5-0, 2-0)
Hoosiers won their Big 18 games, 63-10/20-15.
Indiana won first road game LW, 20-15 at Iowa.
Hoosiers have 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Hoosiers have 80 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Mendoza started 19 games at California.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 0-1 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Cignetti is 2-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Indiana is +6 in turnovers in its I-A games.
In his career, Cignetti is 19-8 ATS in Big 18 games.
Under Cignetti, Indiana is 10-4 ATS in games coming off a win.
Oregon (5-0, 2-0)
Oregon is 2-0 in Big 18 games, winning 34-14/30-24
Ducks won their two I-A home games, 69-3/41-7.
Oregon has 8 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Ducks have 124 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Moore started 5 games at UCLA in 2023.
Under Lanning, Ducks are 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
Under Lanning, Oregon is 20-12 ATS in conference games.
Ducks are 18-9 ATS in last 27 games coming off a win.
Oregon held three of four I-A foes under 280 total yards.
Ducks had week off since their 30-24 win at Penn State.
Indiana (+20.5) won 30-24 at Oregon last year.
Ducks outgained Indiana 495-198 in that game.
Big 18 home favorites are 3-6 ATS in conference games.
Oklahoma vs Texas (-2.5) (@ Dallas)
Oklahoma (5-0, 1-0)
Oklahoma has two quality wins: Michigan (24-13), Auburn (24-17)
Sooners held those two teams to 288-287 total yards.
Oklahoma has 8 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Sooners have 111 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Matter started 12 games for Wazzu last year- he is banged up (check status).
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2015, Sooners are 7-3 ATS as an underdog.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-15-1 ATS in conference games.
Under Venables, Oklahoma is 11-14-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Oklahoma’s I-A games.
Texas (3-2, 0-1)
Texas lost 14-7 at Ohio State, 29-21 at Florida.
Longhorns beat three stiffs, by 31-17-55 points.
Longhorns have 4 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Longhorns have 47 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Manning has 2 career starts (939 PY last year, 9 TD, 2 INT)
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 24-20 ATS as a favorite.
In his career, Sarkisian is 46-36 ATS as a favorite.
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 17-21 ATS in conference games..
Under Sarkisian, Texas is 8-12 ATS in road games.
Under is 3-2 in Texas games this season.
Oklahoma is 7-3 in last 10 games in this rivalry.
Texas pounded the Sooners 34-3 last year.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.
Iowa State (-2.5) @ Colorado
Iowa State (5-1, 2-1)
Iowa State lost its first game LW, 38-30 at Cincinnati
Bearcats ran ball for 260 yards in that game.
Cyclones have 7 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Cyclones have 105 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Becht started 13 games last season.
Iowa State scored 24-39-30 points in its 2-1 Big X start.
In his career, Campbell is 17-18-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Campbell, ISU is 12-13-1 ATS as a road favorite.
Cyclones are 13-9 ATS in last 22 Big X games.
Since 2015, Iowa State is 35-17-1 ATS coming off a loss.
Colorado (2-4, 0-3)
Colorado scored 20-20-21-21 points in losses, 31-37 in wins.
Buffs gave up 200+ rushing yards in three of four losses.
Colorado has 3 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Colorado has 112 returning starts on offensive line, mostly transfers.
Senior QB Salter started 29 games at Liberty.
Favorites are 5-1 ATS in Colorado games this season.
Sanders is 10-6 ATS as an underdog with Colorado (1-3 TY).
Under Sanders, Colorado is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Under is 4-2 in their games this season.
Under Sanders, Colorado is 14-8 ATS in conference games.
Home team won last seven series games.
Cyclones are 0-5 SU/2-3 ATS last five visits to Boulder.
Favorites are 12-6 ATS in Big X conference games.
TCU @ Kansas State (-1.5)
TCU (4-1, 1-1)
TCU is 1-1 in Big X: 24-27 at ASU, 35-21 over Colorado.
Horned Frogs were held to 10-94 rushing yards in those games.
TCU has 6 starters back on offense, 8 on defense.
Horned Frogs have 93 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Hoover started 19 games the last two years.
Under Dykes, TCU is 3-3-2 ATS as a road underdog.
In his career, Dykes is 23-22-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dykes, Frogs are 16-11-3 ATS in Big X games.
In their I-A games, TCU scored 35.5 ppg.
Last three TCU games stayed under the total.
Kansas State (2-4, 1-3)
Last two games, Wildcats gained 434-501 total yards.
K-State gained 501 yards LW in 35-34 loss at Baylor.
Wildcats have 5 starters back on offense, 5 on defense.
K-State has 43 returning starts on the offensive line.
QB Johnson started 13 games last year.
Under Klieman, K-State is 25-21 ATS as a favorite.
Under Klieman, K-State is 20-11 ATS as a home favorite.
Wildcats are 5-9 ATS in their last 14 Big X games.
Last 5+ years, K-State is 16-7 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-1 in their I-AA games.
K-State won five of last six meetings.
TCU lost last three visits to Manhattan, by 38-19-7 points.
Under is 8-1 in last nine series games.
Florida @ Texas A&M (-14.5)
Florida (2-3, 1-1)
Gators are 0-3 vs I-A teams, scoring 15.5 ppg.
Florida’s losses were by 2-10-19 points.
Florida has 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Gators have 98 returning starts on the offensive line.
Soph QB Lagway started eight games last year.
Under Napier, Florida is 13-9 ATS as an underdog
In his career, Napier is 24-12-1 ATS as an underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 6-4 ATS as a road underdog
In his career, Napier is 14-7-1 ATS as a road underdog
Under Napier, Florida is 15-12 ATS in SEC games.
Under is 3-1 in Florida’s I-A games.
Texas A&M (5-0, 2-0)
Aggies are 2-0 in SEC: 16-10 Auburn, 31-9 Miss State.
Aggies ran ball for 207-299 yards in their SEC games.
Aggies have 8 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
A&M has 156 returning starts on offensive line.
Soph QB Reed started eight games last year.
Under Elko, A&M is 3-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Elko is 10-9 ATS as a home favorite.
Aggies are 8-12-3 ATS in last 23 games coming off a win
A&M is 9-14-3 ATS in last 26 SEC games.
In his career, Elko is 14-12 ATS in conference games.
Texas A&M won three of last four series games.
Road team won four of last five series games.
Gators won two of last three visits to College Station.
Over is 3-0 in last three meetings.
SEC home favorites are 7-5 ATS in conference games.
Georgia (-3.5) @ Auburn
Georgia (4-1, 2-1)
Georgia beat Tennessee 44-41 in their only road game.
Dawgs’ only loss was 24-21 at home to Alabama.
Dawgs have 5 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Georgia has 35 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Stockton has three career starts.
Georgia is 1-7 ATS last eight games as a road favorite.
Last 2+ years, Georgia is 8-13 ATS in SEC games.
In his career, Smart is 20-15 ATS as a road favorite.
In his career, Smart is 46-39 ATS in SEC games.
Dawgs are 5-18-1 ATS in last 24 games coming off a win.
Auburn (3-2, 0-2)
Auburn lost SEC games 24-17 at Oklahoma, 16-10 at Texas A&M.
Tigers scored 38-42-31 points in their three wins.
Auburn has 9 starters back on offense, 6 on defense.
Tigers have 140 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Arnold started 10 games for Oklahoma.
Tigers ran ball for 67-52 yards in their two losses.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 3-1 ATS as a home underdog.
In his career, Freeze is 12-5 ATS as a home underdog.
Under Freeze, Auburn is 9-9 ATS in conference games.
Auburn is 12-14 ATS in last 25 games coming off a loss.
Under is 4-0 in Auburn’s last four games.
Georgia is 7-0 SU/5-2 ATS last seven series games.
Dawgs are 4-1 SU/3-2 ATS last five visits to Auburn.
Under is 11-4 in last fifteen series games.
Michigan @ USC (-2.5)
Michigan (4-1, 2-0)
Michigan is 1-1 on road: 13-24 at Oklahoma, 30-27 at Nebraska
Last 3 games, Michigan allowed 65.7 rushing yards/game.
Wolverines have 7 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Michigan has 77 returning starts on offensive line.
Frosh QB Underwood threw for 1,003 yards in his five games.
Since 2019, Michigan is 7-7 ATS as an underdog.
Since 2020, Michigan is 4-2 ATS as a road underdog.
Since 2021, Michigan is 21-13-1 ATS in conference games.
Wolverines ran ball for 286/175 yards in their Big 18 games.
Michigan is +6 in turnovers this season.
USC (4-1, 2-1)
Trojans (-6.5) got upset 34-32 at Illinois last week.
USC has scored 48 points/game this season.
Trojans gained 460-517 yards in its Big 18 games.
USC has 9 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Trojans have 75 returning starts on the offensive line.
Junior QB Maiava started 15 games the last two years.
Under Riley, USC is 13-7 ATS as a home favorite.
In his career, Riley is 31-20 ATS as a road favorite.
Under Riley, USC is 12-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Riley is 36-42-1 ATS in conference games.
Four of their five games went over the total.
Michigan (+4.5) upset USC 27-24 last year.
That was teams’ first meeting since 2006.
BYU (-1.5) @ Arizona
BYU (5-0, 2-0)
BYU is 2-0 on road: ECU 34-13, Colorado 24-21.
BYU has scored 30.8 ppg in its I-A games.
Cougars have 5 starters back on offense, 4 on defense.
Broncos have 61 starts returning on the offensive line.
QB Bachmeier is 79-115/1,048 passing (7 TD’s, one INT)
BYU is 4-3 ATS last seven games as a road favorite.
In his career, coach Sitake is 11-14 ATS as a road favorite.
BYU is 10-12 ATS in its 2+ years of conference play.
BYU is 9-6 ATS in its last 15 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in BYU’s I-A games this year.
Arizona (4-1, 2-1)
Arizona is 2-1 in Big X; 23-17 K-State, 41-13 Oklahoma State
Wildcats’ only loss was 39-14 at Iowa State.
Arizona has 7 starters back on offense, 9 on defense
Wildcats have 84 starts back on offensive line.
Junior QB Fifita has 21 career starts
Arizona is 9-5 ATS last 14 games as a home underdog.
In his career, Brennan is 10-9-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Since 2021, Arizona is 20-19 ATS in conference games.
In his career, Brennan is 36-30-1 ATS in conference games.
Arizona is 9-7 ATS in last 16 games coming off a win.
Under is 3-1 in Arizona’s I-A games this year.
BYU is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS last four series games.
This is BYU’s first visit to Tucson since 2018.
Under is 6-1 in last seven meetings.
Arizona State @ Utah (-5.5)
Arizona State (4-1, 2-0)
ASU QB Leavitt is hurt, won’t start this game.
ASU won 27-24 in both Big X games (at Baylor, vs TCU).
ASU has 8 starters back on offense, 9 on defense.
Sun Devils have 76 returning starts on the offensive line.
Backup QB Sims started 25 games at Ga Tech/Nebraska.
Under Dillingham, Sun Devils are 16-5-1 ATS in Big X games.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 10-7 ATS as an underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU is 6-3 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Dillingham, ASU 11-6-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
Under is 4-0 in Sun Devils’ I-A games.
Utah (4-1, 1-1)
Utah’s five games were all decided by 24+ points.
Utes allowed 484-346 yards in its two Big X games.
Utes have 10 starters back on offense, 7 on defense.
Utah has 113 returning starts on offensive line.
Junior QB Dampier started 12 games at New Mexico.
Since 2017, Utah is 26-15 ATS as a home favorite.
Overall, Whittingham is 53-45-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Utah is 5-9 ATS in last 14 games coming off a win.
Since 2016, Utes are 51-32 ATS in conference games.
Utah ran ball for 242+ yards in three of four I-A games.
Utah won/covered four of last five series games.
ASU lost last three visits to Utah, by a combined 110-27.
Under is 8-4 in last 12 meetings.
Saturday, October 11
| Game | Time(ET) | Pick | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| TOL at BGSU | 12:00 PM | TOL -10.0***** | +500 |
| UCLA at MSU | 12:00 PM | MSU -7.0 | +500 |
| OSU at ILL | 12:00 PM | OSU -14.5 | +500 |
| ALA at MIZZ | 12:00 PM | ALA -3.0 | +500 |
| IU at ORE | 03:30 PM | ORE -7.0***** | +500 |
| OKLA at TEX | 03:30 PM | OKLA +1.0 | +500 |
| BALL at WMU | 03:30 PM | WMU -9.0 | +500 |
| VT at GT | 03:30 PM | GT -14.0***** | +500 |
| ODU at MRSH | 03:30 PM | ODU -14.5***** | +500 |
| NEB at MD | 03:30 PM | NEB -6.5***** | +500 |
| NAVY at TEM | 04:00 PM | NAVY -10.0***** | +500 |
| ARK at TENN | 04:15 PM | ARK +10.5***** | +500 |
| UAB at FAU | 06:00 PM | FAU -5.0 | +500 |
| FLA at TAM | 07:00 PM | FLA +7.0 | +500 |
| UGA at AUB | 07:30 PM | AUB +4.0 | +500 |
| PUR at MINN | 07:30 PM | PUR +7.5***** | +500 |
| MICH at USC | 07:30 PM | MICH +2.5 | +500 |
| KU at TTU | 07:30 PM | TTU -14.0 | +500 |
| RICE at UTSA | 07:30 PM | RICE +10.0***** | +500 |
| SOCAR at LSU | 07:45 PM | SOCAR +9.0***** | +500 |
| TROY at TXST | 08:00 PM | TXST -7.5 | +500 |
| BYU at ARIZ | 08:00 PM | ARIZ +2.5 | +500 |
| ASU at UTAH | 10:15 PM | UTAH -10.0***** | +500 |
*****................BEST BETS
Missouri's showdown with Alabama -- 50 years in the making -- gives Tigers chance to climb SEC hierarchy
It's been a half-century since Mizzou hosted a game as big as Saturday's clash with Alabama
Big games are now routine at Missouri, but this week's showdown with Alabama carries both historic weight and pressing urgency.The Tigers haven't won a top-15 showdown at home since 1976, when No. 12 Mizzou crushed No. 14 North Carolina 24-3. Forty-nine years without such a victory is staggering, but the scarcity of opportunities may be even more telling.
That drought ends Saturday, when No. 14 Missouri welcomes No. 8 Alabama in the first top-15 duel at Faurot Field in nearly half a century. History is on the line, and so is a breakthrough moment for coach Eli Drinkwitz's tenure as head coach.
The Tigers have been superb since 2024, with a 25-5 record and 15 straight wins at home, tying for the second-best active streak in the country. But there's one lingering issue: the lack of a marquee win.
Their five defeats in that span have almost all come against the SEC's heavyweights: Alabama, Georgia, LSU, South Carolina and Texas A&M.
Alabama, long the SEC's ultimate blue blood, arrives under second-year coach Kalen DeBoer looking mortal, yet cloaked in its familiar aura of invincibility. What might a win do for the Tigers? What would a loss do to the Tide?
"At the end of the day, you're only as good as your next opportunity," Drinkwitz said. "We don't sit here and pat ourselves on the back because of what we've accomplished in the past. All we're looking for is what lies ahead, and there's no reason to beat our chest about it. It's something that we've accomplished but I think our whole football team, organization, fan base are really only worried about what we do this Saturday at 11 a.m. versus a top-10 team in the country.
"We don't really concern ourselves with the opinions of others. It does you no good. I can't sit there and complain about it when it's not what we want, and I can't sit there and drink the Kool-Aid when it's positive."
Missouri has started the season hot, again, thanks in part to a manageable schedule. Their biggest win is against South Carolina, and their game against Alabama in Week 7 will be their first against a ranked opponent.
"The next step for this coach and this program is to beat one of the unquestioned big boys," longtime Missouri reporter Gabe DeArmond said this week. "Alabama is more beatable than it has been in the past."
Alabama may not sit atop the polls as it so often has over the past 15 years, but the stakes remain high. For Missouri, the stage echoes past breakthroughs at Faurot Field: the upset of No. 1 Oklahoma in 2010, the division-clinching wins over Texas A&M (2013) and Arkansas (2014).
Those wins all came under the watch of Gary Pinkel, the winningest coach in Missouri history. He led the Tigers to a No. 1 ranking in 2007, three first-place finishes in the Big 12 North, and the program's two trips to the SEC Championship.
"We started winning pretty high-level games. We got more respect," Pinkel told CBS Sports. "Sometimes people didn't respect us at the time, so you don't generally get their 'A' game. After we started winning some games like that, all of a sudden the respect factor shot up and people looked at us and said, 'You better get ready to play them because they're a good football team.'"
Missouri is one of only four remaining undefeated teams in the SEC, but the Tigers are the eighth-highest-ranked SEC team in the AP Top 25. Is it a lack of respect or a lack of top-25 wins? The Tigers' strength of schedule so far ranks 80th, though the remaining games rank 12th.
Fueling Missouri is Ahmad Hardy, arguably the nation's best back, leading all rushers with 730 yards. The Tigers bludgeon opponents on the ground, out-rushing them by 229.6 yards per game -- the largest margin in the FBS. Under DeBoer, Alabama is just 4-5 when out-rushed, including the stunning 31-17 loss to Florida State in Week 1.
Every coach's tenure has touchstones. Pinkel's career had many, though a 41-24 win against No. 10 Nebraska in 2003 may have launched the program into a new era. It snapped a 24-game losing streak against the Huskers, who ranked no lower than No. 9 in 20 of those matchups. Mizzou went on to win four of six in the series.
"Missouri was kinda hitting an upswing, and putting those nails in the coffin for Nebraska was a big deal," said former tight end Chase Coffman, a consensus All-American and winner of the John Mackey Award.
Mizzou went from snapping a five-year bowl drought in 2003 to reaching No. 1 in the polls in 2007.
"I don't think there's been a better team at Missouri since," Coffman said. "I take pride in that fact. I hope this team continues and surpasses what we did."
In 2013, the Tigers beat Johnny Manziel's Texas A&M Aggies to secure a spot in the SEC Championship Game during the program's second season in the SEC. Missouri fans stormed the field. The next season, the Tigers beat rival Arkansas to secure another bid.
"The stadium was rocking," said former linebacker Markus Golden, who sacked Manziel in 2013 and recovered a fumble against the Hogs in 2014. "It's one of the loudest I've ever heard. I can remember going out that night and fans being so happy. They were walking up crying because we were going to the SEC Championship."
What a win Saturday against the Tide would mean can't quite be measured, or perhaps overstated. The Tigers last beat the Tide in 1975, when Big Eight-era Mizzou upset the No. 2 team in the country 20-7.
Fifty years later, will history repeat itself at Faurot Field?
"You can't be considered one of the top teams unless you're beating the top-ranked teams," Hoffman said. "That's what they are right now."
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50
TOTALS........................27 - 29 - 3.......................48.21%..................- 19.50
10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50
TOTALS........................27 - 29 - 3.......................48.21%..................- 19.50
Sunday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in rushing yards:
480— Jonathan Taylor, Colts
450— James Cook, Bills
447— Javonte Williams, Cowboys
443— Travis Etienne, Jaguars
402— JK Dobbins, Broncos
368— Kyren Williams, Rams
Quote of the Day
“You want to play for someone like Coach Cig, who is so confident in himself that it flows to his players. A lot of people ask, ‘Why [did] you follow Cignetti [from James Madison]?’ This is why. Nothing but complete trust in him. He’s better than anyone in the country. That’s why people want to play for him.”
Indiana LB Aiden Fisher
Sunday’s quiz
When the Jets won their only Super Bowl, who did they beat?
Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.
Friday’s quiz
Joe Flacco played his college football at Pittsburgh, then Delaware.
***************************************************
Milwaukee hit three solo homers to move on to the NLCS.
Brewers used five pitchers; Misiorowski got 12 outs, allowed three hits.
Dodgers-Brewers NLCS starts Monday night in Milwaukee.
— Northwestern 22, Penn State 21
Penn State is first team in last 30 years to lose consecutive games, when they were favored by 20+ points in both of them.
Penn State QB Allar hurt his leg, is out for the year.
Northwestern drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:51 left
.
— Pittsburgh 34, Florida State 31
QB Heintschel threw for 321 yards, two TD’s.
Both teams averaged over 10 yards/pass attempt.
Florida State has lost its last eight ACC games.
— Alabama 27, Missouri 24
QB Simpson threw for 200 yards, three TD’s.
Alabama has won five in a row since an opening loss to Florida State.
Crimson Tide was 6-15 on third down, Missouri 1-10.
— Upsets of the Week:
Northwestern (+21) 22, Penn State 21
Marshall (+14.5) 48, Old Dominion 24
Bowling Green (+10.5) 28, Toledo 23
Pittsburgh (+10.5) 34, Florida State 31
Troy (+9.5) 48, Texas State 41 OT
Kennesaw State (+7.5) 35, Louisiana Tech 7
UCLA (+7.5) 38, Michigan State 13
Indiana (+7.5) 30, Oregon 20
— Navy 32, Temple 31
QB Horvath ran for 51-yard TD with 0:39 left, then Middies scored a 2-point conversion for the win to stay undefeated (6-0).
Horvath ran for 155 yards, also threw for 141 more.
Temple outgained Navy 518-384; they led 17-7 at halftime.
— Nebraska 34, Maryland 31
Nebraska drove 81 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:08 left.
QB Raiola threw for 260 yards, four TD’s, but also had 3 INTs
Matt Rhule has the Cornhuskers are 5-1 this season.
— UNLV 51, Air Force 48
QB Colandrea ran for a 19-yard TD with 0:36 for the game-winning TD
Colandrea threw for 361 yards for the 6-0 Rebels, who are bowl-eligible.
Air Force ran ball 66 times for 428 yards, still somehow lost.
— Georgia 20, Auburn 10
Auburn led 10-0 in 2nd quarter, lost a fumble on Georgia’s one-yard line, and it was all downhill from there.
Georgia beat Auburn for the ninth year in a row.
Dawgs won despite running ball 31 times for only 79 yards.
Auburn had 11 penalties for 103 yards
— UCLA 38, Michigan State 13
Bruins won last two games, scoring 42-38 points, after an 0-4 start.
Jalen Berger gained 113 yards on 15 touches, scored three TD’s.
UCLA outgained the Spartans 418-253.
— Famous birthdays, October 12th:
Jack Marin, 81
Susan Anton, 75
Sid Fernandez, 63
Chris Chandler, 60
Hugh Jackman, 57
Leon Lett, 57
Charlie Ward, 55
Ketel Marte, 32
— Ole Miss 24, Washington State 21
Rebels were favored by 32 points, hung on for the win.
Wazzu led 14-10 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
6-0 Ole Miss was 7-15 on third down, Coogs 2-10.
— Troy 48, Texas State 41 OT
QB Kilcrease threw for 415 yards, five TD’s.
Texas State led 31-17 at halftime.
Troy forced OT by scoring a TD with 1:13 left in regulation.
Bobcats lost despite running ball 53 times for 326 yards.
— Indiana 30, Oregon 20
QB Mendoza threw for 215 yards and a TD
Indiana outscored the Ducks 10-0 over the final 7:00.
Oregon’s 18-game how winning streak was snapped.
— BYU 33, Arizona 27 OT
BYU improves to 6-0 with the overtime win.
BYU was 8-16 on 3rd down, Arizona 4-17
BYU ran the ball 51 times for 258 yards.
Arizona led 17-14 at halftime.
— RIP to the great actress Diane Keaton, who passed away at age 79.
She has 283 acting credits on IMDB; she won an Oscar and two Golden Globes.
She was the mom in Father of the Bride; she was in Annie Hall, Baby Boom, And So It Goes, The Godfather, lot of really good movies.
She will be missed. RIP, ma’am.
NFL leaders in rushing yards:
480— Jonathan Taylor, Colts
450— James Cook, Bills
447— Javonte Williams, Cowboys
443— Travis Etienne, Jaguars
402— JK Dobbins, Broncos
368— Kyren Williams, Rams
Quote of the Day
“You want to play for someone like Coach Cig, who is so confident in himself that it flows to his players. A lot of people ask, ‘Why [did] you follow Cignetti [from James Madison]?’ This is why. Nothing but complete trust in him. He’s better than anyone in the country. That’s why people want to play for him.”
Indiana LB Aiden Fisher
Sunday’s quiz
When the Jets won their only Super Bowl, who did they beat?
Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.
Friday’s quiz
Joe Flacco played his college football at Pittsburgh, then Delaware.
***************************************************
Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….
— Brewers 3, Cubs 1Milwaukee hit three solo homers to move on to the NLCS.
Brewers used five pitchers; Misiorowski got 12 outs, allowed three hits.
Dodgers-Brewers NLCS starts Monday night in Milwaukee.
— Northwestern 22, Penn State 21
Penn State is first team in last 30 years to lose consecutive games, when they were favored by 20+ points in both of them.
Penn State QB Allar hurt his leg, is out for the year.
Northwestern drove 75 yards, scored game-winning TD with 4:51 left
.
— Pittsburgh 34, Florida State 31
QB Heintschel threw for 321 yards, two TD’s.
Both teams averaged over 10 yards/pass attempt.
Florida State has lost its last eight ACC games.
— Alabama 27, Missouri 24
QB Simpson threw for 200 yards, three TD’s.
Alabama has won five in a row since an opening loss to Florida State.
Crimson Tide was 6-15 on third down, Missouri 1-10.
— Upsets of the Week:
Northwestern (+21) 22, Penn State 21
Marshall (+14.5) 48, Old Dominion 24
Bowling Green (+10.5) 28, Toledo 23
Pittsburgh (+10.5) 34, Florida State 31
Troy (+9.5) 48, Texas State 41 OT
Kennesaw State (+7.5) 35, Louisiana Tech 7
UCLA (+7.5) 38, Michigan State 13
Indiana (+7.5) 30, Oregon 20
— Navy 32, Temple 31
QB Horvath ran for 51-yard TD with 0:39 left, then Middies scored a 2-point conversion for the win to stay undefeated (6-0).
Horvath ran for 155 yards, also threw for 141 more.
Temple outgained Navy 518-384; they led 17-7 at halftime.
— Nebraska 34, Maryland 31
Nebraska drove 81 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:08 left.
QB Raiola threw for 260 yards, four TD’s, but also had 3 INTs
Matt Rhule has the Cornhuskers are 5-1 this season.
— UNLV 51, Air Force 48
QB Colandrea ran for a 19-yard TD with 0:36 for the game-winning TD
Colandrea threw for 361 yards for the 6-0 Rebels, who are bowl-eligible.
Air Force ran ball 66 times for 428 yards, still somehow lost.
— Georgia 20, Auburn 10
Auburn led 10-0 in 2nd quarter, lost a fumble on Georgia’s one-yard line, and it was all downhill from there.
Georgia beat Auburn for the ninth year in a row.
Dawgs won despite running ball 31 times for only 79 yards.
Auburn had 11 penalties for 103 yards
— UCLA 38, Michigan State 13
Bruins won last two games, scoring 42-38 points, after an 0-4 start.
Jalen Berger gained 113 yards on 15 touches, scored three TD’s.
UCLA outgained the Spartans 418-253.
— Famous birthdays, October 12th:
Jack Marin, 81
Susan Anton, 75
Sid Fernandez, 63
Chris Chandler, 60
Hugh Jackman, 57
Leon Lett, 57
Charlie Ward, 55
Ketel Marte, 32
— Ole Miss 24, Washington State 21
Rebels were favored by 32 points, hung on for the win.
Wazzu led 14-10 with 2:00 left in third quarter.
6-0 Ole Miss was 7-15 on third down, Coogs 2-10.
— Troy 48, Texas State 41 OT
QB Kilcrease threw for 415 yards, five TD’s.
Texas State led 31-17 at halftime.
Troy forced OT by scoring a TD with 1:13 left in regulation.
Bobcats lost despite running ball 53 times for 326 yards.
— Indiana 30, Oregon 20
QB Mendoza threw for 215 yards and a TD
Indiana outscored the Ducks 10-0 over the final 7:00.
Oregon’s 18-game how winning streak was snapped.
— BYU 33, Arizona 27 OT
BYU improves to 6-0 with the overtime win.
BYU was 8-16 on 3rd down, Arizona 4-17
BYU ran the ball 51 times for 258 yards.
Arizona led 17-14 at halftime.
— RIP to the great actress Diane Keaton, who passed away at age 79.
She has 283 acting credits on IMDB; she won an Oscar and two Golden Globes.
She was the mom in Father of the Bride; she was in Annie Hall, Baby Boom, And So It Goes, The Godfather, lot of really good movies.
She will be missed. RIP, ma’am.
Monday’s 6-pack:
Week 7 NFL spreads
— Steelers (-4.5) @ Cincinnati
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-10.5)
— Dolphins @ Cleveland (-1.5)
— Patriots (-6.5) @ Tennessee
— Saints @ Chicago (-6)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Minnesota
Quote of the Day
“It’s not who you play, it’s when you play them.”
Hall of Fame NFL coach Bud Grant
Monday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin?
(Hint: He is still a head coach)
Sunday’s quiz
When Jets won their only Super Bowl, they beat the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.
Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.
********************************************
Chiefs 30, Lions 17
Chiefs led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 33 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Chiefs are 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs are 14-8 ATS last 22 regular season games vs NFC teams.
Lions scored 40.3 points/game in their wins, 13-17 in losses.
Detroit in second half: 22 plays, 112 yards, 7 points.
Chiefs outgained Detroit, 355-297.
Kansas City didn’t have a penalty the whole game.
Buccaneers 30, 49ers 19
Mayfield passed for 256 yards, two TD’s.
Bucs’ first four drives: 14 plays, 44 yards, 7 points.
Bucs rest of game: 37 plays, 290 yards, 23 points.
Only 8 of Tampa Bay’s 50 plays were on 3rd down.
Buccaneers led 20-16 at halftime.
49ers in second half: 29 plays, 97 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Last five games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83-74-67 yards.
49ers lost star LB Warner for the season (ankle).
Panthers 30, Cowboys 27
Rico Dowdle had 34 touches for 239 yards and a TD.
Carolina is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
Carolina ran ball for 239/216 yards in last two games.
Panthers allowed 24+ points in five of six games.
Carolina outgained the Cowboys, 410-292.
Dallas allowed 30+ points in four of last five points.
Last four weeks, Dallas allowed 433.6 yards/game.
Cowboys ran the ball 19 times for only 31 yards.
Chargers 29, Dolphins 27
Chargers drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:05 left.
Dolphins had taken 27-26 lead on a TD with 0:46 left.
Miami led 13-9 at halftime.
Chargers in 2nd half: 39 plays, 230 yards, 20 points.
Miami has allowed 29 ppg in its 1-5 start.
Tagovailoa threw for 205 yards, but three INTs.
Miami is 0-5 when it allows more than 21 points.
RB Achane ran ball for 128 yards, two TD’s.
Rams 17, Ravens 3
Rams’ first two drive of 3rd quarter: 11 plays, 97 yards, 14 points.
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.
Rams are 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
Star WR Nucua (ankle) only played six snaps in second half.
Ravens drove 53 yards, kicked FG on their first drive.
Rest of game: 64 plays, 179 yards, no points, 3 turnovers.
Ravens lost their last four games (minus-8 in turnovers)
AFC North teams are 5-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts 31, Cardinals 27
Arizona led 24-17 after the third quarter.
Colts in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 149 yards, 14 points,
Colts are 4-0 at home, scoring 33-29-40-31 points.
Indy scored 29+ points in all five of its wins.
Cardinals lost last four games by total of nine points.
Backup QB Brissett threw for 320 yards, two TD’s.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 11-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 9-3 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Famous birthdays, October 13th:
Paul Simon, 84
Rich Kotite, 83
Reggie Theus, 68
Doc Rivers, 64
Derek Harper, 64
Jerry Rice, 63
Trevor Hoffman, 58
Quincy Carter, 48
De’Von Achane, 24
Mariners 3, Blue Jays 1
Cal Raleigh homered for the Mariners.
Jorge Polanco knocked in Seattle’s other two runs.
Bryce Miller held Toronto to two hits in 6 IP.
Seattle leads series, 1-0; Game 2 is Monday.
Broncos 13, Jets 11
Jets are 0-6, with four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jets ran 57 plays in this game, for a TOTAL of 82 yards.
Justin Fields is 14-35 as an NFL starting QB.
Denver drove 65 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 5:06 left.
Jets kicked FG’s on first two drives, both started in Denver territory
Jets rest of game: 51 plays, 85 yards, 3 points,
Denver won its last three games, giving up 3-17-11 points.
Under is 5-1 in Broncos’ games.
Steelers 23, Browns 9
Rodgers threw for 235 yards, two TD’s.
Last 9 years, Pittsburgh is 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS coming off a bye.
Pittsburgh is 15-4 ATS last 19 AFC North home games.
Steelers held Cleveland to 3.3 yards per play.
Browns’ first three drives: 15 plays, 29 yards, three punts.
Cleveland didn’t score a TD; they trailed 9-3 at halftime.
Browns scored 16-17-13-10-17-9 points in their 1-5 start.
Browns are 0-5 SU/ATS last five visits to Pittsburgh.
Patriots 25, Saints 19
NE’s first four drives: 24 plays, 219 yards, 22 points,
Kayshon Boutte caught five passes for 93 yards, two TD’s.
Patriots scored 33-42-23-25 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
Patriots are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Saints were 3-9 on third down, Patriots 6-13.
New England held Alvin Kamara to 31 yards on 10 carries.
Saints are 7-14 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
Rattler is 1-11 as an NFL starting QB.
Seahawks 20, Jaguars 12
WR Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Seahawks won four of last five games, scoring 30.4 ppg.
Seattle is 3-0 on road (31-17 Pitt/23-20 Arizona/20-12 Jaguars)
Seahawks have won their last nine road games.
Jaguars were 4-16 on 3rd down, had 10 penalties for 76 yards.
Seahawks are 22-6 in last 28 1:00 kickoffs on East Coast.
Seattle sacked Trevor Lawrence seven times for 44 yards.
Seattle held last five foes to 73 rushing yards/game.
Raiders 20, Titans 10
Raiders led 10-0 at half, snapped a four-game skid.
Titans in first half: 30 plays, 76 yards, four punts, no points.
Last 3+ years, Raiders are 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
RB Jeanty carried ball 23 times for 75 yards and a TD.
Not much offense: total yards, 226-225 Raiders.
Las Vegas won despite running ball 32 times for only 68 yards.
Titans had three turnovers, were only 3-13 on third down.
Tennessee is 1-5 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10 points.
Packers 27, Bengals 18
Packers ran ball 33 times for 153 yards, outgained Cincy 409-268.
Green Bay won their three home games, 27-13/27-18/27-18.
Green Bay led 10-0 at halftime.
Bengals in first half: 21 yards, 102 yards, no points.
Bengals lost last four games, by 38-25-13-9 points.
Flacco was 29-45/219 passing; he threw 2 TD’s, beat the spread.
Green Bay outgained the Bengals, 409-268.
Green Bay scored 27+ points in four of its five games.
Week 7 NFL spreads
— Steelers (-4.5) @ Cincinnati
— Raiders @ Kansas City (-10.5)
— Dolphins @ Cleveland (-1.5)
— Patriots (-6.5) @ Tennessee
— Saints @ Chicago (-6)
— Eagles (-2.5) @ Minnesota
Quote of the Day
“It’s not who you play, it’s when you play them.”
Hall of Fame NFL coach Bud Grant
Monday’s quiz
Who was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin?
(Hint: He is still a head coach)
Sunday’s quiz
When Jets won their only Super Bowl, they beat the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.
Saturday’s quiz
2008-09 Phillies were the last defending World Series champ that got back to the World Series the next year.
********************************************
Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….
Happy Thanksgiving Day to all our Canadian friends………Chiefs 30, Lions 17
Chiefs led 13-10 at halftime.
Chiefs in second half: 33 plays, 212 yards, 17 points.
Chiefs are 8-4 ATS last 12 games coming off a loss.
Chiefs are 14-8 ATS last 22 regular season games vs NFC teams.
Lions scored 40.3 points/game in their wins, 13-17 in losses.
Detroit in second half: 22 plays, 112 yards, 7 points.
Chiefs outgained Detroit, 355-297.
Kansas City didn’t have a penalty the whole game.
Buccaneers 30, 49ers 19
Mayfield passed for 256 yards, two TD’s.
Bucs’ first four drives: 14 plays, 44 yards, 7 points.
Bucs rest of game: 37 plays, 290 yards, 23 points.
Only 8 of Tampa Bay’s 50 plays were on 3rd down.
Buccaneers led 20-16 at halftime.
49ers in second half: 29 plays, 97 yards, 3 points, 2 turnovers.
Last five games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83-74-67 yards.
49ers lost star LB Warner for the season (ankle).
Panthers 30, Cowboys 27
Rico Dowdle had 34 touches for 239 yards and a TD.
Carolina is 3-0 at home, 0-3 on the road.
Carolina ran ball for 239/216 yards in last two games.
Panthers allowed 24+ points in five of six games.
Carolina outgained the Cowboys, 410-292.
Dallas allowed 30+ points in four of last five points.
Last four weeks, Dallas allowed 433.6 yards/game.
Cowboys ran the ball 19 times for only 31 yards.
Chargers 29, Dolphins 27
Chargers drove 44 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 0:05 left.
Dolphins had taken 27-26 lead on a TD with 0:46 left.
Miami led 13-9 at halftime.
Chargers in 2nd half: 39 plays, 230 yards, 20 points.
Miami has allowed 29 ppg in its 1-5 start.
Tagovailoa threw for 205 yards, but three INTs.
Miami is 0-5 when it allows more than 21 points.
RB Achane ran ball for 128 yards, two TD’s.
Rams 17, Ravens 3
Rams’ first two drive of 3rd quarter: 11 plays, 97 yards, 14 points.
Rams allowed 9-19-20-3 points in wins, 33-26 in losses.
Rams are 8-1 ATS in last nine games as a road favorite.
Star WR Nucua (ankle) only played six snaps in second half.
Ravens drove 53 yards, kicked FG on their first drive.
Rest of game: 64 plays, 179 yards, no points, 3 turnovers.
Ravens lost their last four games (minus-8 in turnovers)
AFC North teams are 5-12 ATS in non-divisional games.
Colts 31, Cardinals 27
Arizona led 24-17 after the third quarter.
Colts in 4th quarter: 19 plays, 149 yards, 14 points,
Colts are 4-0 at home, scoring 33-29-40-31 points.
Indy scored 29+ points in all five of its wins.
Cardinals lost last four games by total of nine points.
Backup QB Brissett threw for 320 yards, two TD’s.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 11-6 ATS as a road underdog.
Under Gannon, Arizona is 9-3 ATS vs AFC teams.
— Famous birthdays, October 13th:
Paul Simon, 84
Rich Kotite, 83
Reggie Theus, 68
Doc Rivers, 64
Derek Harper, 64
Jerry Rice, 63
Trevor Hoffman, 58
Quincy Carter, 48
De’Von Achane, 24
Mariners 3, Blue Jays 1
Cal Raleigh homered for the Mariners.
Jorge Polanco knocked in Seattle’s other two runs.
Bryce Miller held Toronto to two hits in 6 IP.
Seattle leads series, 1-0; Game 2 is Monday.
Broncos 13, Jets 11
Jets are 0-6, with four losses by 6 or fewer points.
Jets ran 57 plays in this game, for a TOTAL of 82 yards.
Justin Fields is 14-35 as an NFL starting QB.
Denver drove 65 yards, kicked game-winning FG with 5:06 left.
Jets kicked FG’s on first two drives, both started in Denver territory
Jets rest of game: 51 plays, 85 yards, 3 points,
Denver won its last three games, giving up 3-17-11 points.
Under is 5-1 in Broncos’ games.
Steelers 23, Browns 9
Rodgers threw for 235 yards, two TD’s.
Last 9 years, Pittsburgh is 9-0 SU/7-2 ATS coming off a bye.
Pittsburgh is 15-4 ATS last 19 AFC North home games.
Steelers held Cleveland to 3.3 yards per play.
Browns’ first three drives: 15 plays, 29 yards, three punts.
Cleveland didn’t score a TD; they trailed 9-3 at halftime.
Browns scored 16-17-13-10-17-9 points in their 1-5 start.
Browns are 0-5 SU/ATS last five visits to Pittsburgh.
Patriots 25, Saints 19
NE’s first four drives: 24 plays, 219 yards, 22 points,
Kayshon Boutte caught five passes for 93 yards, two TD’s.
Patriots scored 33-42-23-25 points in wins, 13-14 in losses.
Patriots are 7-3-1 ATS last 11 games as a road favorite.
Saints were 3-9 on third down, Patriots 6-13.
New England held Alvin Kamara to 31 yards on 10 carries.
Saints are 7-14 ATS last 21 games as a home underdog.
Rattler is 1-11 as an NFL starting QB.
Seahawks 20, Jaguars 12
WR Smith-Njigba caught 8 passes for 162 yards and a TD.
Seahawks won four of last five games, scoring 30.4 ppg.
Seattle is 3-0 on road (31-17 Pitt/23-20 Arizona/20-12 Jaguars)
Seahawks have won their last nine road games.
Jaguars were 4-16 on 3rd down, had 10 penalties for 76 yards.
Seahawks are 22-6 in last 28 1:00 kickoffs on East Coast.
Seattle sacked Trevor Lawrence seven times for 44 yards.
Seattle held last five foes to 73 rushing yards/game.
Raiders 20, Titans 10
Raiders led 10-0 at half, snapped a four-game skid.
Titans in first half: 30 plays, 76 yards, four punts, no points.
Last 3+ years, Raiders are 11-4 ATS as a home favorite.
RB Jeanty carried ball 23 times for 75 yards and a TD.
Not much offense: total yards, 226-225 Raiders.
Las Vegas won despite running ball 32 times for only 68 yards.
Titans had three turnovers, were only 3-13 on third down.
Tennessee is 1-5 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26-10 points.
Packers 27, Bengals 18
Packers ran ball 33 times for 153 yards, outgained Cincy 409-268.
Green Bay won their three home games, 27-13/27-18/27-18.
Green Bay led 10-0 at halftime.
Bengals in first half: 21 yards, 102 yards, no points.
Bengals lost last four games, by 38-25-13-9 points.
Flacco was 29-45/219 passing; he threw 2 TD’s, beat the spread.
Green Bay outgained the Bengals, 409-268.
Green Bay scored 27+ points in four of its five games.
NCAAF
Week 8
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Week 8
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Trend Report
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Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 7 NFL spreads
— Giants @ Denver (-6.5)
— Packers (-6.5) @ Arizona
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Dallas
— Falcons @ San Francisco (-2.5)
— Buccaneers @ Detroit (-5.5)
— Texans @ Seattle (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“To be honest, it was shocking to me. Andrew Berry must be a lot smarter than me or us because it doesn’t make sense to me to trade a quarterback that you think enough of to make your opening-day starter to a division opponent that’s hurting in that area, but that’s just my personal feelings.”
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin, talking about the Joe Flacco/Browns-Bengals trade
Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Cincinnati Bengals, who has the most passing yards?
Monday’s quiz
Bill O’Brien was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin.
Sunday’s quiz
When the Jets won their only Super Bowl, they beat the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.
**************************************
Bijan Robinson ran ball 19 times for 170 yards, with an 81-yard TD.
Atlanta led 21-7 at halftime.
Falcons in first half: 36 plays, 340 yards, 21 points.
Falcons in second half: 31 plays, 118 yards, 3 points.
Bills drove 73 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Bills’ next six drives: 19 plays, 48 yards, no points.
Falcons outgained Buffalo, 443-291.
Buffalo scored 41-30-31-31 points in wins, 20-14 in losses.
Bears 25, Commanders 24
Bears drove 36 yards, kicked game-winning 38-yard FG at the gun.
Chicago was +3 in turnovers, outgained Washington. 381-329.
Bears won their last three games, scoring 31-25-25 points.
In their three wins, Chicago is +10 in turnovers.
Washington turned the ball over twice on their first nine plays.
Chicago led 13-7 at halftime.
Bears outgained Washington, 381-329.
4th quarter of this game was played in the rain.
— Dodgers 2, Brewers 1
Treinen struck out Turang with bases loaded to end the game.
Blake Snell allowed one hit in eight shutout IP.
Freddie Freeman homered, doubled for LA.
Game 2 is Tuesday in Milwaukee.
— Mariners 10, Blue Jays 3
Rodriguez/Polanco both hit 3-run homers.
Josh Naylor went 3-for-4 with two RBI
First two games in this series, Toronto is 1-for-42 from the 3rd inning on.
Game 3 is in Seattle Wednesday.
— Famous birthdays, October 14th:
Art Shamsky, 84
Al Oliver, 79
Charlie Joiner, 78
Ron Wolfley, 63
Keith Byars, 62
Lori Petty, 62
Joe Girardi, 61
Jim Jackson, 55
Frank Wycheck, 54
Merrill Kelly, 37
Jared Goff, 31
Emeka Egbuka, 23
— Penn State fired football coach James Franklin after the Nittany Lions lost three games in a row, the last two as 20-point favorites, but jeez……Franklin was 104-45 at Penn State and was in the College Football Playoff last year.
Franklin gets paid $49.5M to take a hike. Someone really, really wanted him fired.
— Mike Shildt is out as manager of the San Diego Padres; it is unclear whether he jumped or got pushed, though he said the decision was his.
“While it has always been about serving others, it’s time I take care of myself and exit on my terms…….I gave every fiber of my being to help achieve Peter Seidler’s vision of bringing a World Series Championship to San Diego.
We fell short of the ultimate goal, but I am proud of what the players, staff and organization were able to accomplish the last two seasons.”
Shildt had six winning seasons in his six years as a manager; he was 435-340, making it to the playoffs his last five years.
— Tennessee Titans fired coach Brian Callahan Monday; he was 4-19 in 1+ years coaching the Titans. His father Bill was the Titans OL coach; he has also left the team.
Senior offensive assistant Mike McCoy will take over as interim coach. McCoy previously was the head coach of the San Diego Chargers from 2013 to 2016. He had a 27-37 record, making the playoffs in his first season.
— College football conference trends:
American
Favorites 14-5 ATS
ACC
Road teams 14-10 ATS
Big 18
Underdogs 17-11 ATS
Big X
Favorites 17-8 ATS
Conference USA
Home teams 8-3 ATS
Mid-American
Home teams 11-4 ATS
Mountain West
Home teams 6-7 ATS
SEC
Home teams 14-8 ATS
Sun Belt
Home teams 12-4 ATS
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Home teams 1-4 ATS divisional games
7-7 ATS non-divisional games
AFC North
5-12 ATS non-divisional games
AFC South
9-8 ATS non-divisional games
AFC West
5-2 ATS non-divisional home games
3-8 ATS non-divisional road games
NFC East
8-8 ATS non-divisional games
NFC North
8-7 ATS non-divisional games
NFC South
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3 ATS
NFC West
Home teams 0-4 ATS divisional games
10-6 ATS non-divisional games
— Movie of the Day: The Rewrite (2014)- An Oscar-winning script writer in a slump leaves Hollywood to teach screenwriting at SUNY-Binghamton, where he falls for a single mom taking classes there.
Hugh Grant, Marisa Tomei, JK Simmons, Allison Janney, excellent cast.
This is a nice movie; the world needs more nice.
— Oregon-Rutgers play this week; because college/minor league sports are run now by over-educated morons, these teams are in the same league.
These two schools are 2,909 miles apart; they’re not the only ones. Cal/Stanford in the ACC, Washington in the Big 18, it all makes zero sense.
— Last week in college/minor league, 8 of the top 25 teams lost.
— Rams played in Baltimore Sunday, are playing in London this week; they’re spending this week in Baltimore, and are practicing at the Orioles ballpark, Camden Yards.
— The last four QB’s taken #1 in the NFL Draft had their coaches fired during their rookie year:
2021- Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence/Urban Meyer
2023- Panthers, Bryce Young/Frank Reich
2024- Bears, Caleb Williams/Matt Eberflus
2025- Titans, Cam Ward/Brian Callahan
Week 7 NFL spreads
— Giants @ Denver (-6.5)
— Packers (-6.5) @ Arizona
— Commanders (-2.5) @ Dallas
— Falcons @ San Francisco (-2.5)
— Buccaneers @ Detroit (-5.5)
— Texans @ Seattle (-3.5)
Quote of the Day
“To be honest, it was shocking to me. Andrew Berry must be a lot smarter than me or us because it doesn’t make sense to me to trade a quarterback that you think enough of to make your opening-day starter to a division opponent that’s hurting in that area, but that’s just my personal feelings.”
Steelers coach Mike Tomlin, talking about the Joe Flacco/Browns-Bengals trade
Thursday’s quiz
In the history of the Cincinnati Bengals, who has the most passing yards?
Monday’s quiz
Bill O’Brien was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin.
Sunday’s quiz
When the Jets won their only Super Bowl, they beat the Baltimore Colts, 16-7.
**************************************
Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….
Falcons 24, Bills 14Bijan Robinson ran ball 19 times for 170 yards, with an 81-yard TD.
Atlanta led 21-7 at halftime.
Falcons in first half: 36 plays, 340 yards, 21 points.
Falcons in second half: 31 plays, 118 yards, 3 points.
Bills drove 73 yards for a TD on their first drive.
Bills’ next six drives: 19 plays, 48 yards, no points.
Falcons outgained Buffalo, 443-291.
Buffalo scored 41-30-31-31 points in wins, 20-14 in losses.
Bears 25, Commanders 24
Bears drove 36 yards, kicked game-winning 38-yard FG at the gun.
Chicago was +3 in turnovers, outgained Washington. 381-329.
Bears won their last three games, scoring 31-25-25 points.
In their three wins, Chicago is +10 in turnovers.
Washington turned the ball over twice on their first nine plays.
Chicago led 13-7 at halftime.
Bears outgained Washington, 381-329.
4th quarter of this game was played in the rain.
— Dodgers 2, Brewers 1
Treinen struck out Turang with bases loaded to end the game.
Blake Snell allowed one hit in eight shutout IP.
Freddie Freeman homered, doubled for LA.
Game 2 is Tuesday in Milwaukee.
— Mariners 10, Blue Jays 3
Rodriguez/Polanco both hit 3-run homers.
Josh Naylor went 3-for-4 with two RBI
First two games in this series, Toronto is 1-for-42 from the 3rd inning on.
Game 3 is in Seattle Wednesday.
— Famous birthdays, October 14th:
Art Shamsky, 84
Al Oliver, 79
Charlie Joiner, 78
Ron Wolfley, 63
Keith Byars, 62
Lori Petty, 62
Joe Girardi, 61
Jim Jackson, 55
Frank Wycheck, 54
Merrill Kelly, 37
Jared Goff, 31
Emeka Egbuka, 23
— Penn State fired football coach James Franklin after the Nittany Lions lost three games in a row, the last two as 20-point favorites, but jeez……Franklin was 104-45 at Penn State and was in the College Football Playoff last year.
Franklin gets paid $49.5M to take a hike. Someone really, really wanted him fired.
— Mike Shildt is out as manager of the San Diego Padres; it is unclear whether he jumped or got pushed, though he said the decision was his.
“While it has always been about serving others, it’s time I take care of myself and exit on my terms…….I gave every fiber of my being to help achieve Peter Seidler’s vision of bringing a World Series Championship to San Diego.
We fell short of the ultimate goal, but I am proud of what the players, staff and organization were able to accomplish the last two seasons.”
Shildt had six winning seasons in his six years as a manager; he was 435-340, making it to the playoffs his last five years.
— Tennessee Titans fired coach Brian Callahan Monday; he was 4-19 in 1+ years coaching the Titans. His father Bill was the Titans OL coach; he has also left the team.
Senior offensive assistant Mike McCoy will take over as interim coach. McCoy previously was the head coach of the San Diego Chargers from 2013 to 2016. He had a 27-37 record, making the playoffs in his first season.
— College football conference trends:
American
Favorites 14-5 ATS
ACC
Road teams 14-10 ATS
Big 18
Underdogs 17-11 ATS
Big X
Favorites 17-8 ATS
Conference USA
Home teams 8-3 ATS
Mid-American
Home teams 11-4 ATS
Mountain West
Home teams 6-7 ATS
SEC
Home teams 14-8 ATS
Sun Belt
Home teams 12-4 ATS
— NFL divisional trends:
AFC East
Home teams 1-4 ATS divisional games
7-7 ATS non-divisional games
AFC North
5-12 ATS non-divisional games
AFC South
9-8 ATS non-divisional games
AFC West
5-2 ATS non-divisional home games
3-8 ATS non-divisional road games
NFC East
8-8 ATS non-divisional games
NFC North
8-7 ATS non-divisional games
NFC South
Non-divisional road underdogs 5-3 ATS
NFC West
Home teams 0-4 ATS divisional games
10-6 ATS non-divisional games
— Movie of the Day: The Rewrite (2014)- An Oscar-winning script writer in a slump leaves Hollywood to teach screenwriting at SUNY-Binghamton, where he falls for a single mom taking classes there.
Hugh Grant, Marisa Tomei, JK Simmons, Allison Janney, excellent cast.
This is a nice movie; the world needs more nice.
— Oregon-Rutgers play this week; because college/minor league sports are run now by over-educated morons, these teams are in the same league.
These two schools are 2,909 miles apart; they’re not the only ones. Cal/Stanford in the ACC, Washington in the Big 18, it all makes zero sense.
— Last week in college/minor league, 8 of the top 25 teams lost.
— Rams played in Baltimore Sunday, are playing in London this week; they’re spending this week in Baltimore, and are practicing at the Orioles ballpark, Camden Yards.
— The last four QB’s taken #1 in the NFL Draft had their coaches fired during their rookie year:
2021- Jaguars, Trevor Lawrence/Urban Meyer
2023- Panthers, Bryce Young/Frank Reich
2024- Bears, Caleb Williams/Matt Eberflus
2025- Titans, Cam Ward/Brian Callahan
CNOTES COLLEGE FOOTBALL BEST BETS FOR OCTOBER !
10/14/2025....................3 - 1 - 0........................75.00%.................+ 9.50
10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50
TOTALS........................30 - 30 - 3.......................50.00%..................- 10.00
10/14/2025....................3 - 1 - 0........................75.00%.................+ 9.50
10/11/2025....................3 - 7 - 0........................30.00%.................- 23.50
10/10/2025....................5 - 1 - 0........................83.31%................+ 19.50
10/09/2025....................2 - 3 - 1........................40.00%.................- 6.50
10/08/2025....................2 - 1 - 1........................66.66%.................+ 4.50
10/04/2025................14 - 11 - 1.......................56.00%.................+ 9.50
10/03/2025.....................1 - 5 - 0.......................16.66%.................- 22.50
10/02/2025.....................1 - 1 - 0.......................50.00%..................- 0.50
TOTALS........................30 - 30 - 3.......................50.00%..................- 10.00
Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Longest active home win streaks in college football:
15— Alabama, Boise State
12— Indiana
10— Memphis, Miami, Ohio U
9— Arizona State, Georgia Tech
8— Jacksonville State, Ole Miss
6— LSU, Oklahoma. TCU
Quote of the Day
“I don’t mind kids transferring. You just can’t transfer four times, because it’s not good for you. Four schools in four years, you’ll never have a college degree. But that last place you’ll be at, they’ll really be loyal to you? No, you’re a mercenary.”
John Calipari
Wednesday’s quiz
Since 1988, what two pitchers have thrown the most pitches in a playoff game (147)?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Cincinnati Bengals, Ken Anderson has the most passing yards.
Monday’s quiz
Bill O’Brien was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin.
***********************************************
Yoshinobu Yamamoto threw a complete game (111 PT)
Muncy/Hernandez homered for Los Angeles.
Dodgers’ bullpen got total of three outs in the first two games.
Dodgers lead series 2-0; Game 3 is in Los Angeles Thursday.
— Dodger P Blake Snell has very interesting career numbers:
March/April 7-12, 3.89 in 32 starts
May 6-12, 4.57 in 32 starts
June 11-12, 4.44 in 29 starts
July 13-6, 2.43 in 36 starts
August 23-10, 2.45 in 48 starts
September/October 21-10, 2.15 in 45 starts
Much, much better in second half of the season.
— In the 30 years before Indiana hired Curt Cignetti as its football coach, they averaged 4.1 wins per year. Cignetti is 16-2 at Indiana; he makes $9M a year.
Worth it.
— The world is going nuts, or maybe just daytime TV sucks; I walk into a bar for lunch Tuesday and there is a discussion on TV as whether the Baltimore Ravens should fire John Harbaugh.
Huh????
Harbaugh is 186-120 coaching the Ravens, won a Super Bowl. They’re off to a bad start this year; fire the defensive coordinator and move on. Discussing firing Harbaugh is nonsensical.
— I’m a believer that QB’s/WR’s should get stat credit for yardage they gain on pass interference penalties. Would have to be a separate category, but it would be interesting to see the numbers at the end of a season.
— I’m watching Miami-Atlanta NBA exhibition game the other night; they show the Hawks’ owner Anthony Ressler sitting with his wife and it dawns on me that he is married to actress Jami Gertz, who has 102 acting credits on IMDB.com
She was in the movie Less than Zero with Andrew McCarthy/Robert Downey Jr, a very good but very sad movie. She represented the Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery twice. The Resslers have been married since 1989.
— Famous birthdays, October 15th:
Jim Palmer, 80
Joe Klecko, 72
Mark Wade, 60
Vanessa Marcil, 57
Fred Hoiberg, 53
Connor Barwin, 39
Blaine Gabbert, 36
Teoscar Hernandez, 33
Jack Flaherty, 30
Brandon Pfaadt, 27
— Liberty 30, New Mexico State 27
Liberty led 20-6 at halftime, held on for dear life.
New Mexico State missed a 47-yard FG on the last play.
Aggies outgained Liberty, 388-293, but had three turnovers.
— Florida International 25, Western Kentucky 6
Panthers kicked four field goals, led 19-6 at halftime.
FIU ran ball 39 times for 249 yards.
FIU had lost its previous five games vs Western Kentucky.
— Arkansas State 15, South Alabama 14
Red Wolves kicked a 38-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
1-6 South Alabama led 14-3 after three quarters.
Arkansas State outgained the Jaguars, 367-293
— Last five baseball players to play for five teams in one season:
2018- Oliver Drake- Indians, Angels, Brewers, Twins, Blue Jays
2024- Mike Baumann- Orioles, Angels, Marlins, Mariners, Giants
2025- Jose Urena- Angels, Dodgers, Twins, Mets, Blue Jays
— Steve Weinman, who spent 13 years in the Chicago Bulls’ front office, has been hired by Wake Forest to be the general manager for the Deacons’ men’s/women’s basketball teams.
He’ll work closely with the head coaches on “roster construction, recruiting strategy, transfer portal evaluation, resource allocation and planning”.
— Air Force Falcons are only college football team that has gone over the total in every game they’ve played (6-0) this season.
— RIP to Sandy Alomar Sr, who passed away at age 81; he played 15 years in the big leagues for six different teams, mostly the Angels. He has two sons who played in the minor leagues, Sandy Alomar Jr and Roberto Alomar.
Sandy Alomar Jr had 1,168 career hits; he made the All-Star Game in 1970.
RIP, sir.
Longest active home win streaks in college football:
15— Alabama, Boise State
12— Indiana
10— Memphis, Miami, Ohio U
9— Arizona State, Georgia Tech
8— Jacksonville State, Ole Miss
6— LSU, Oklahoma. TCU
Quote of the Day
“I don’t mind kids transferring. You just can’t transfer four times, because it’s not good for you. Four schools in four years, you’ll never have a college degree. But that last place you’ll be at, they’ll really be loyal to you? No, you’re a mercenary.”
John Calipari
Wednesday’s quiz
Since 1988, what two pitchers have thrown the most pitches in a playoff game (147)?
Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the Cincinnati Bengals, Ken Anderson has the most passing yards.
Monday’s quiz
Bill O’Brien was the football coach at Penn State before James Franklin.
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Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….
— Dodgers 5, Brewers 1Yoshinobu Yamamoto threw a complete game (111 PT)
Muncy/Hernandez homered for Los Angeles.
Dodgers’ bullpen got total of three outs in the first two games.
Dodgers lead series 2-0; Game 3 is in Los Angeles Thursday.
— Dodger P Blake Snell has very interesting career numbers:
March/April 7-12, 3.89 in 32 starts
May 6-12, 4.57 in 32 starts
June 11-12, 4.44 in 29 starts
July 13-6, 2.43 in 36 starts
August 23-10, 2.45 in 48 starts
September/October 21-10, 2.15 in 45 starts
Much, much better in second half of the season.
— In the 30 years before Indiana hired Curt Cignetti as its football coach, they averaged 4.1 wins per year. Cignetti is 16-2 at Indiana; he makes $9M a year.
Worth it.
— The world is going nuts, or maybe just daytime TV sucks; I walk into a bar for lunch Tuesday and there is a discussion on TV as whether the Baltimore Ravens should fire John Harbaugh.
Huh????
Harbaugh is 186-120 coaching the Ravens, won a Super Bowl. They’re off to a bad start this year; fire the defensive coordinator and move on. Discussing firing Harbaugh is nonsensical.
— I’m a believer that QB’s/WR’s should get stat credit for yardage they gain on pass interference penalties. Would have to be a separate category, but it would be interesting to see the numbers at the end of a season.
— I’m watching Miami-Atlanta NBA exhibition game the other night; they show the Hawks’ owner Anthony Ressler sitting with his wife and it dawns on me that he is married to actress Jami Gertz, who has 102 acting credits on IMDB.com
She was in the movie Less than Zero with Andrew McCarthy/Robert Downey Jr, a very good but very sad movie. She represented the Hawks at the NBA Draft Lottery twice. The Resslers have been married since 1989.
— Famous birthdays, October 15th:
Jim Palmer, 80
Joe Klecko, 72
Mark Wade, 60
Vanessa Marcil, 57
Fred Hoiberg, 53
Connor Barwin, 39
Blaine Gabbert, 36
Teoscar Hernandez, 33
Jack Flaherty, 30
Brandon Pfaadt, 27
— Liberty 30, New Mexico State 27
Liberty led 20-6 at halftime, held on for dear life.
New Mexico State missed a 47-yard FG on the last play.
Aggies outgained Liberty, 388-293, but had three turnovers.
— Florida International 25, Western Kentucky 6
Panthers kicked four field goals, led 19-6 at halftime.
FIU ran ball 39 times for 249 yards.
FIU had lost its previous five games vs Western Kentucky.
— Arkansas State 15, South Alabama 14
Red Wolves kicked a 38-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
1-6 South Alabama led 14-3 after three quarters.
Arkansas State outgained the Jaguars, 367-293
— Last five baseball players to play for five teams in one season:
2018- Oliver Drake- Indians, Angels, Brewers, Twins, Blue Jays
2024- Mike Baumann- Orioles, Angels, Marlins, Mariners, Giants
2025- Jose Urena- Angels, Dodgers, Twins, Mets, Blue Jays
— Steve Weinman, who spent 13 years in the Chicago Bulls’ front office, has been hired by Wake Forest to be the general manager for the Deacons’ men’s/women’s basketball teams.
He’ll work closely with the head coaches on “roster construction, recruiting strategy, transfer portal evaluation, resource allocation and planning”.
— Air Force Falcons are only college football team that has gone over the total in every game they’ve played (6-0) this season.
— RIP to Sandy Alomar Sr, who passed away at age 81; he played 15 years in the big leagues for six different teams, mostly the Angels. He has two sons who played in the minor leagues, Sandy Alomar Jr and Roberto Alomar.
Sandy Alomar Jr had 1,168 career hits; he made the All-Star Game in 1970.
RIP, sir.
Dan Mullen says 'I'm not going anywhere' as UNLV coach denies connection to Penn State coaching search
Mullen is often one of the top names in the coaching carousel
It appears as if UNLV coach Dan Mullen is staying put. Often a top name whenever coaching rumors swirl, Mullen denied any interest in accepting a hypothetical offer from Penn State as it searches for a replacement for James Franklin.In fact, Mullen didn't seem too enthralled with the idea of leaving for any opening.
"I'm gonna be the head coach at UNLV next year," Mullen said during a weekly press conference. "I'll be here. I'm not going anywhere."
Though Mullen doesn't have any direct ties to Penn State itself, he is a native of Drexel Hill, Pennsylvania. He also played tight end at Ursinus College in Collegeville, Pennsylvania, and spent some time coaching in the Northeast at Wagner, Columbia and Syracuse.
Mullen did go so far as to address the Penn State coaching search with his team.
"I said, 'Well, good or bad, it's the transfer portal world. Don't get all excited and think I might go somewhere that you think is, like, a better place," Mullen said. "I'm gonna be here. You guys are stuck with me."
Mullen is in his first season back as a coach after spending a few years as an analyst with ESPN. UNLV is 6-0 midway through its 2025 campaign, including a 2-0 record in Mountain West play.
Mullen also coached at Mississippi State (2009-17) and Florida (2018-21) before his brief sojourn into television.
Penn State fired Franklin on Oct. 12 amid a 3-3 start to his 12th season with the Nittany Lions. Franklin departed Penn State with a 104-45 record, one Big Ten title and one appearance in the College Football Playoff.
Nebraska QB Dylan Raiola addresses Matt Rhule being linked to the Penn State job: 'He ain't going nowhere'
Rhule has been linked to the Penn State job since James Franklin was fired last weekend
Just over a day after Nebraska coach Matt Rhule addressed the elephant in the room amid chatter that he viewed as one of the top candidates to succeed James Franklin at Penn State, his quarterback Dylan Raiola said on Tuesday that his coach "ain't going nowhere."
The comments from Nebraska's signal caller came after he posted on social media a picture of himself and his coach with the caption "Nebraska head ball coach" with a lock emoji. Raiola doubled down when asked about that post, going as far as to say that Rhule is "locked in as ever" despite the rumors.
"It doesn't phase him at all," Raiola said. "It's just people stirring stuff up and making things. It's bigger than it is. He's as locked in as ever on this football game to get this win. I just have to make sure everyone knew that's our head ball coach and he ain't going nowhere. He's staying. Staying right here."
Rhule, a Penn State alum and a former walk-on linebacker under Joe Paterno, has deep ties to the program. Despite Raiola shooting down the rumors that his coach would leave, Rhule spoke candidly about the opening earlier in the week, saying that he has "love" for Penn State while also reaffirming his commitment to Nebraska.
"Like I said, I'm not going to talk about it very often," Rhule said. "I'm certainly not going to talk about it with anyone but my wife. But Julie decides where we live. Her business, she loves it. It's been an unbelievable time in our lives, and I just think we can be a perennial top of the country, one of the best teams in the country."
Raiola, a five-star quarterback from the 2024 recruiting cycle in the 247Sports rankings, has Nebraska off to a 5-1 start in his second season with the program. The Cornhuskers face Minnesota on Saturday and have matchups against Northwestern, USC and UCLA before facing Penn State in Happy Valley on Nov. 22.
