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Sweet 16's Invaluable Players


March 23, 2015


Maryland’s Melo Trimble fell to the ground like he’d been hit with the force of Wladimir Klitschko’s stiffest jab. It wasn’t Dr. Steelhammer, but rather 6-9, 235-pound Nathan Adrian who delivered the blow, a devastating shoulder-led body check that should’ve been whistled an offensive foul but wasn’t because college refs, as you’ve seen, are the worst.


Trimble wasn’t able to return, diagnosed with a head injury. He spent the rest of Sunday evening’s NCAA Tournament game on the bench, head tucked inside his jersey in despair. The Mountaineers went on to a 69-59 victory, marching on to the Sweet 16.


Hope you were able to get an in-game play in once it was determined he wouldn’t be back, since the Terps had no chance of dealing with West Virginia’s pressure without him. Despite being just a freshman, Trimble carved out a place as one of college basketball’s most invaluable pieces. His unflappable demeanor, deft passing and feathery shooting touch had carried Maryand to a second-place finish in the Big Ten when the preseason media poll picked them to finish 10th in their first season in the conference.


Tenth? They were in the country's top 10 most of the season. Coaches voted Trimble First Team All-Big Ten. He was that good. The Terps were predictably finished without their best player.


The remaining 16 teams all have a catalyst they can’t be without either. Here’s a ranking of them, so if one lands in foul trouble or winds up flat on his back via crippling moving screen, you can move in and take advantage.


16. Xavier- Matt Stainbrook: The Musketeers run most of their offense through their leading scorer and rebounder. At 6-10 and over 260 pounds, he’s an imposing presence who commands a double-team against smaller defenders. He’ll be Xavier’s backbone against Arizona.


15. Oklahoma- Buddy Hield: He’s shot 10-for-29 in this tournament, but is still the most dynamic athlete the Sooners throw out there. Right now, he’s settling for far too many jumpers and not taking advantage of his physical gifts. That must change against Sparty.


14. Michigan State- Denzel Valentine: Although you can make a great case for Branden Dawson and Travis Trice, Valentine is a unique player who seemingly makes everything run more smoothly as the Spartans best passer. Because he’s 6-5 and built solidly, he’s a walking matchup problem.


13. Gonzaga- Kyle Wiltjer: The Kentucky transfer is 18-for-24 so far in these NCAAs, including 6-for-9 from 3-point range. Being 6-10 doesn’t hurt either, since he’s likely to have to do some banging against UCLA’s bigs. Despite many other candidates, he’s been unquestionably the best of the Zags all season.


12. Wichita State- Fred Van Vleet: His regular-season numbers were underwhelming given the expectations, but as expected, one of the country’s top floor generals has turned his game up 10 notches. He dominated Kansas with 17-6-6 after dropping 27 points on Indiana. This is who we expected to see.


11. Arizona- T.J. McConnell: Stanley Johnson is the top-five pick and there are other standouts like Rondae Hollis-Jefferson and Brandon Ashley, but this particular bunch of ‘Cats can’t function without McConnell at the controls. The veteran fifth-year senior put Arizona on his back when Ohio State threatened most, leaving the court for all of one minute. His 19 points were the second-most he’s scored this season. Every one of them were necessary, which he knew.


10. N.C. State- Trevor Lacey:Lightning-quick point guard Kat Barber and powerful bigs Abdul-Malik Abu and Beejay Anya have been critical x-factors, but the Wolfpack really thrive when their Alabama transfer has it going. He’s the main 3-point threat, but far from just a shooter, coming up with nine boards against LSU and dishing out four assists in each NCAA win.


9. Louisville- Terry Rozier: Prized power forward Montrezl Harrell is 1B, but it’s Rozier who has to key the press, run the offense and control the pace, not to mention likely being the primary scorer as he was against Northern Iowa. Most didn’t expect the Cardinals to handle UNI as easily as they did, which was only accomplished due to Rozier’s masterful 25-point, 5-rebound, 7-assist performance.


8. Kentucky- Willie Cauley-Stein: The reason he’s so low on this list is because of the embarrassment of riches the ‘Cats have inside, but he’s still the best of the bunch. Although freshman Karl-Anthony Towns is a beast in post and Kentucky’s top offensive player, making history hinges on defense, which no one delivers quite like Cauley-Stein. He’s second to Towns in blocks, but his mobility makes him the ideal choice to show against opposing guards, using his length to bog down offenses. UK isn’t quite as stifling when he sits.


7. West Virginia- Devin Williams: The Mountaineers have proven they can compete without senior guards Juwan Staten, so Williams is by far the guy they can’t be without most. That could be an issue, since the 6-9, 255-pound sophomore is foul-prone. He’s critical to surviving against Kentucky’s trees and has stepped up in the postseason, averaging 18.3 points and 9.8 rebounds when you combine the Big 12 and NCAA Tourneys.


6. UCLA- Bryce Alford: Kevon Looney and Norman Powell are more talented, but the Bruins are here because of the coach’s son. Not only is Alford running the show at the point, he’s shooting 12-for-16 (75 percent) from 3-point range, including the controversial goaltending-aided one. Averaging 24.5 through two games, staying up on Alford is going to be a key part of Gonzaga’s game plan, leaving more room for other Bruins to operate.


5. Notre Dame- Jerian Grant: There’s nothing on the floor he doesn’t do for the Fighting Irish. While Pat Connaughton is similarly essential, Grant is averaging 16.5 points, four rebounds and five assists, numbers right in line with his season averages. He’s the heartbeat for Mike Brey’s squad.


4. Utah- Jakob Poeltl: The Austrian 7-footer will tangle with Duke’s Jahlil Okafor and has been a force in the post. Defensively, he’s been the anchor, while also finishing 27 of his last 35 field goal attempts, mostly on dunks and putbacks. Don’t let that fool you. He’s skilled.


3. Wisconsin- Frank Kaminsky: The Badgers derive their confidence from the likely National Player of the Year. He’s such a difficult matchup for opposing bigs that he makes an offense you think would be stagnant dynamic. The Badgers are averaging 79 points per game in these NCAAs thanks to Kaminsky being 16-for-27 from the floor, averaging 23.5 points and 9.5 boards per game. Given North Carolina’s size, he’ll need to be great for Wisconsin to avoid the upset.


2. Duke- Jahlil Okafor: The likely No. 1 pick in the NBA draft takes the Blue Devils from good to great. He’s risen to the occasion in the postseason, averaging 25 points on 34-for-45 shooting over the last three games. Because of how unstoppable he’s been in the post, Duke has yet to be challenged.


1. North Carolina- Marcus Paige: Not only would the Tar Heels have lost to Arkansas had he not gotten it together offensively, they would have done so in embarrassing fashion. Paige took over with 13 of UNC's 17 points during a stretch where they pulled away from a Razorbacks team that had the pace where they wanted it as Paige’s teammates carelessly threw the ball all over the place. He took control, settled things down and is the brains of Roy Williams’ operation. The Tar Heels have no shot against Wisconsin unless the top point guard in the country is right.
 

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NBA ATS


NBA > (657) SAN ANTONIO@ (658) DALLAS | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON SAN ANTONIO using the against the spread in All games in March games
The record is 20 Wins and 6 Losses for the last two seasons (+13.4 units)


NBA > (661) GOLDEN STATE@ (662) PORTLAND | 03/24/2015 - 10:35 PM
Play ON GOLDEN STATE using the against the spread in All games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game
The record is 25 Wins and 11 Losses for the this season (+12.9 units)


NBA MONEYLINE


NBA > (659) PHILADELPHIA@ (660) SACRAMENTO | 03/24/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST SACRAMENTO using the money line in All games off an upset win as an underdog
The record is 7 Wins and 20 Losses for the last two seasons (-17.15 units)


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (661) GOLDEN STATE@ (662) PORTLAND | 03/24/2015 - 10:35 PM
Play AGAINST PORTLAND in the first half in All games revenging a home loss vs opponent
The record is 8 Wins and 31 Losses for the last three seasons (-26.1 units)


NBA > (659) PHILADELPHIA@ (660) SACRAMENTO | 03/24/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST PHILADELPHIA in the first half in All games on Tuesday nights
The record is 2 Wins and 17 Losses for the last three seasons (-16.7 units)


NBA > (657) SAN ANTONIO@ (658) DALLAS | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST DALLAS in the first half in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 4 Wins and 15 Losses for the this season (-12.5 units)


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (657) SAN ANTONIO@ (658) DALLAS | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER SAN ANTONIO on the total in Road games after scoring 105 points or more
The record is 9 Overs and 32 Unders for the last two seasons (+22.1 units)


NBA > (655) MIAMI@ (656) MILWAUKEE | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER MIAMI on the total in Road games after a non-conference game
The record is 2 Overs and 14 Unders for the this season (+11.8 units)


NBA TOP POWERLINES


NBA > (657) SAN ANTONIO @ (658) DALLAS | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Line: DALLAS 2.5 BTB PowerLine: DALLAS 4
Edge On: DALLAS (1.5)


NBA > (653) LA LAKERS @ (654) OKLAHOMA CITY | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Line: OKLAHOMA CITY -10.5 BTB PowerLine: OKLAHOMA CITY -12
Edge On: OKLAHOMA CITY (1.5)


NBA > (655) MIAMI @ (656) MILWAUKEE | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Line: MILWAUKEE 1 BTB PowerLine: MILWAUKEE 1
Edge On: MILWAUKEE (0)


NBA > (659) PHILADELPHIA @ (660) SACRAMENTO | 03/24/2015 - 10:05 PM
Line: SACRAMENTO -8.5 BTB PowerLine: SACRAMENTO -7
Edge On: SACRAMENTO (1.5)
 

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CBB > (665) MIAMI@ (666) RICHMOND | 03/24/2015 - 07:00 PM
Play AGAINST RICHMOND Using the against the spread in All games after a non-conference game
The record is 11 Wins and 29 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.9 units)


CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (665) MIAMI@ (666) RICHMOND | 03/24/2015 - 07:00 PM
Play AGAINST MIAMI using the money line in All games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game
The record is 14 Wins and 17 Losses for the last three seasons (-32.75 units)
 

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NHL PUCKLINE

NHL > (61) ARIZONA@ (62) DETROIT | 03/24/2015 - 07:35 PM
Play AGAINST ARIZONA using the in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 4 Wins and 23 Losses for the this season (-17.25 units)

NHL > (57) ST LOUIS@ (58) PITTSBURGH | 03/24/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play AGAINST PITTSBURGH using the in Home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season
The record is 8 Wins and 16 Losses for the last two seasons (-15.4 units)

NHL TOTALS

NHL > (55) ANAHEIM@ (56) COLUMBUS | 03/24/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play OVER COLUMBUS on the total in All games after playing 3 consecutive road games
The record is 15 Overs and 4 Unders for the last three seasons (+11.5 units)

NHL > (63) MONTREAL@ (64) NASHVILLE | 03/24/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER MONTREAL on the total in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 7 Overs and 18 Unders for the this season (+10.35 units)
 

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A big bounce back night last night in college hoops....5 - 2....slam dunks go 2 - 0.


Not much happening tonight in the college ranks.......A few NBA games..





March totals


nba


*****....................................... 14 - 20
double play................................ 16- 11
triple play.................................. 7 - 6 - 1
slam dunk...................................9 - 7 - 1
gom...........................................0 - 1


ncaabb


*****........................................50 - 27
double play.................................37- 28
triple play...................................24 - 11 - 1
slam dunk...................................12 - 10 - 2
gom............................................0 - 9
god.............................................1 - 0


nhl


*****....................................8 - 20.........................- 16.30
double play.............................16- 11.........................+9.14
triple play...............................6 - 5.......................... - 0.03
hat trick.................................12 - 6.........................+29.72


GOOD LUCK ALL !!
 

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 24

NIT games
Miami won five of last six games, including three of last four true road games. Richmond won eight of last nine games, but 0-2 vs ACC teams this season, losing to NC State by 12, Wake Forest by 2; Spiders needed OT to get by Arizona State last game- they trailed 60-57 with 2;50 left. Richmond won its last six home games. A-14 teams are 4-2 vs spread in postseason games, 1-1 as favorites. ACC underdogs are 2-0 vs spread.

Vanderbilt won seven of its last eight games, is 12-3 outside SEC; Vandy won last three road games, at Tennessee/Ole Miss/St Mary's. Stanford is 3-4 in its last seven games but won five of last six at home; Cardinal has big edge in esperience- Vandy is 5th-youngest team in US. Pac-12 home teams are 9-2 vs spread this postseason, 5-2 if favored. SEC underdogs are 3-4 against spread this postseason.
 

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) You meet all kinds of interesting people hanging around a sportsbook or a casino bar; this week has been no exception. I've met a homeless guy who spends his afternoons drinking free beer by the sportsbook, an elderly Wisconsin fan, a gambler from Illinois who was the best story teller I've ever met-- I've learned a lot in the last eight days-- hopefully it'll make this website more fun for you to read.

12) College basketball coaching carousel is starting to spin: rumors have Arizona State getting rid of Herb Sendek today; SE Missouri and Bradley fired their coaches, and an interesting hire was Steve McClain at Ill-Chicago. He was pretty good while at Wyoming and has been an assistant at Indiana ever since.

11) BJ Johnson transfers from Syracuse to LaSalle; he had 19 points in a February game with Notre Dame, but scored only 4.2 ppg this season. Couple kids transferred out of South Florida; Anthony Collins only has one year left wherever he goes.

10) Murray State 83, Tulsa 62-- Racers looked like a top 20 team in crushing Tulsa on its home court- they made 14-25 from arc, led by 18 at halftime and won easily even though star Cameron Payne fouled out with 8:00 left.

9) Mike Brey's mother, who passed away Saturday, swam in the 1956 Olympics and once held the world record in the butterfly.

8) Louisiana Tech 84, Texas A&M 72-- Another mid-major spanks an SEC team on its home court; Tech coach Michaeel White is son of Duke's AD, brother of Buffalo's AD- he has a brother-in-law working with him in Ruston.

7) Bucks-Nets have played three times this season; two of three games went to triple overtime. Jason Kidd jumping from Brooklyn to Milwaukee has already made the games emotionally charged, but two triple OT games in same year makes it moreso.

6) Celtics are currently #8 seed in the East; they're eight games under .500. Suns and Pelicans are both over .500 but out of the playoff picture right now. Seems wrong.

5) Relaxed Monday afternoon, watched the A's play in the South Point sportsbook; weird seeing Brandon Moss play against the A's. He helped them so much last three seasons. $1.25 hot dogs by the sportsbook are tremendous, by the way.

4) New York City talk show nitwits were making a big stink out of the Mets starting Bartolo Colon in the season opener. Anyone with half a brain realizes the Mets are going to limit Matt Harvey's innings by stretching out his starts where they can, so they don't have to shut him down in September, the way Washington did with Stephen Strasburg a few years ago. but everyone is a critic, so......

3) Alabama is poised to offer Wichita State's Gregg Marshall $3M a year to coach the Crimson Tide; going to be very interesting; a) if he takes the job or not b) where they turn if he declines their offer. Nick Saban casts a very large shadow.

2) ESPN's 30 for 30 show on former NBA player Chris Herren and his fight against substance abuse is just tremendous television. Very very sad in spots; the story is heading to a happy conclusion, but obviously it is a daily struggle he fights. If you haven't seen it is really is worth watching-- an amazing true story.

1) Had the pleasure to meet website readers Mike/Martha/Walt this weekend; Mike is a sharp gambler who scored big at the baccarat table before leaving town. Walt is a big Notre Dame fan, but I won't hold that against him. Really nice people; it was a pleasure to hang out and shoot the breeze with them.
 

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NHL


Tuesday, March 24


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Minnesota - 7:00 PM ET Minnesota +128 500 TRIPLE PLAY
NY Islanders - Over 5 500


Los Angeles - 7:00 PM ET Los Angeles +141 500 HAT TRICK
NY Rangers - Under 5 500


St. Louis - 7:00 PM ET St. Louis +105 500 *****
Pittsburgh - Under 5 500


Anaheim - 7:00 PM ET Columbus +150 500 *****
Columbus - Under 5.5 500


Arizona - 7:30 PM ET Arizona +301 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Over 5.5 500


Florida - 7:30 PM ET Tampa Bay -170 500
Tampa Bay - Over 5 500


Montreal - 8:00 PM ET Nashville -123 500 *****
Nashville - Under 5 500


Winnipeg - 10:00 PM ET Winnipeg +131 500 HAT TRICK
Vancouver - Over 5 500
 

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NBA


Tuesday, March 24


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Toronto - 7:30 PM ET Toronto -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Detroit - Under 202 500


Miami - 8:00 PM ET Milwaukee +1.5 500 SLAM DUNK
Milwaukee - Over 192.5 500


L.A. Lakers - 8:00 PM ET L.A. Lakers +10 500
Oklahoma City - Over 212 500


San Antonio - 8:00 PM ET Dallas +3.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Dallas - Over 206.5 500


Philadelphia - 10:00 PM ET Sacramento -8.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Sacramento - Over 206.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Golden State - 10:30 PM ET Portland +6.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Portland - Under 205.5 500
 

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Tuesday, March 24


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Miami-Florida - 7:00 PM ET Richmond -2.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Richmond - Under 133 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Vanderbilt - 9:00 PM ET Vanderbilt +4.5 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Stanford - Over 146 500 TRIPLE PLAY
 

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Hoop Trends - Tuesday


March 24, 2015




ATS TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Mavericks are 0-11 ATS (-10.18 ppg) since May 04, 2014 as a dog after a game in which they scored less than 15% of their points from the free throw line.


OU TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Raptors are 12-0 OU (20.25 ppg) since Apr 01, 2005 as a road favorite off a game in which at least 6 players scored 10 or more points.


PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:


-- The Mavericks are 0-9-1 OU (-13.00 ppg) since Dec 26, 2014 after Monta Ellis shot worse than 33% from the field.


NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:


-- The Warriors are 13-0 ATS (8.50 ppg) on the road after a home game in which Klay Thompson did not shoot better than 35% from the field and scored fewer than 18 points.


ACTIVE TRENDS:


-- The Warriors are 7-0 OU (9.57 ppg) since Dec 23, 2014 after Stephen Curry played fewer than 30 minutes at home.
 

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