Cnotes Best Bets For Monday March 29th NBA -NHL-NCAABB- !

[CNOTES]

2015 NCAA Tournament Results


March 29, 2015


NCAA TOURNAMENT BETTING RESULTS
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 50-14
Against the Spread 28-36
Total
Over-Under 28-33-3


First-Four Games
TUESDAY, MARCH 17
Matchup Score ATS Result
Hampton (+9, ML +425) vs. Manhattan 74-64 Underdog-Under (142)
Mississippi (+3.5, +175) vs. BYU 94-90 Underdog-Over (158.5)


WEDNESDAY, MARCH 18
Robert Morris (+3.5, ML +160) vs. North Florida 81-77 Underdog-Over (138)
Boise State vs. Dayton (-4.5) 56-55 Underdog-Under (131)


Second Round - Thursday March 19
SESSION 1
Matchup Score ATS Result
Northeastern vs. Notre Dame (-12) 69-65 Underdog-Under (143)
UAB (+14, ML +1000) vs. Iowa State 60-59 Underdog-Under (143)
Georgia State (+9.5, ML +400) vs. Baylor 57-56 Underdog-Under (125.5)
Texas Southern vs. Arizona (-23.5) 93-72 Underdog-Over (134.5)


SESSION 2
Texas vs. Butler (+2.5, ML +125) 56-48 Underdog-Under (123)
UCLA (+4, +160) vs. Southern Methodist 60-59 Underdog-Under (132)
Ole Miss vs. Xavier (-2) 76-57 Favorite-Under (145)
Ohio State (-3.5) vs. Virginia Commonwealth 75-72 Underdog-Over (137.5)


SESSION 3
Lafayette vs. Villanova (-22) 93-52 Favorite-Push (145)
Purdue vs. Cincinnati (-2) 66-65 (OT) Underdog-Over (117)
Harvard vs. North Carolina (-10) 67-65 Underdog-Under (138)
Stephen F. Austin vs. Utah (-6.5) 57-50 Favorite-Under (131)


SESSION 4
Louisiana State vs. North Carolina State (-2) 66-65 Underdog-Under (139.5)
Hampton vs. Kentucky (-35) 79-56 Underdog-Over (134)
Wofford vs. Arkansas (-7) 56-53 Underdog-Under (136.5)
Eastern Washington vs. Georgetown (-8) 84-74 Favorite-Over (148.5)


Second Round - Friday, March 20
SESSION 1
Matchup Score ATS Result
New Mexico State vs. Kansas (-9.5) 75-56 Favorite-Under (132)
Georgia vs. Michigan State (-5.5) 70-63 Favorite-Over (127)
Wyoming vs. Northern Iowa (-6.5) 71-54 Favorite-Over (110.5)
Buffalo vs. West Virginia (-4.5) 68-62 Favorite-Under (149)


SESSION 2
Matchup Score ATS Result
Indiana vs. Wichita State (-6.5) 81-76 Underdog-Over (140)
Belmont vs. Virginia (-17) 79-67 Underdog-Over (122)
UC Irvine vs. Louisville (-8.5) 57-55 Underdog-Under (123)
Valparaiso vs. Maryland (-5) 65-62 Underdog-Over (123.5)


SESSION 3
Matchup Score ATS Result
Oklahoma State vs. Oregon (+1) 79-73 Underdog-Over (137.5)
Robert Morris vs. Duke (-22.5) 85-56 Favorite-Under (143.5)
Davidson vs. Iowa (-2.5) 83-52 Favorite-Under (145.5)
Albany vs. Oklahoma (-13) 69-60 Underdog-Under (131.5)


SESSION 4
Matchup Score ATS Result
Coastal Carolina vs. Wisconsin (-20) 86-72 Underdog-Over (131)
St. John's vs. San Diego State (-4) 76-64 Favorite-Over (122.5)
North Dakota State vs. Gonzaga (-17) 86-76 Underdog-Over (129)
Dayton (+3, +140) vs. Providence 66-53 Underdog-Under (130)


Third Round
SATURDAY, MARCH 21
Matchup Score ATS Result
UAB vs. UCLA (-5.5) 92-75 Favorite-Over (135.5)
Cincinnati vs. Kentucky (-15.5) 64-51 Underdog-Under (121.5)
Ohio State vs. Arizona (-10) 73-58 Favorite-Under (140)
Georgia State vs. Xavier (-6) 75-67 Favorite-Over (132)
N.C. State (+9.5, ML +450) at Villanova 71-68 Underdog-Over (138.5)
Utah (-4.5) vs. Georgetown 75-64 Favorite-Over (125.5)
Arkansas vs. North Carolina (-5) 87-78 Favorite-Over (158)
Butler vs. Notre Dame (-4) 67-64 (OT) Underdog-Under (135.5)


SUNDAY, MARCH 22
Matchup Score ATS Result
Michigan State (+4.5, ML +170) vs. Virginia 60-54 Underdog-Under (117.5)
San Diego State vs. Duke (-9) 68-49 Favorite-Under (130)
Wichita State (+1) vs. Kansas 78-65 Underdog-Over (134)
Dayton vs. Oklahoma (-4) 72-66 Favorite-Over (129)
Iowa vs. Gonzaga (-6) 87-68 Favorite-Over (137.5)
Oregon vs. Wisconsin (-12.5) 72-65 Underdog-Under (143)
West Virginia (-1.5) vs. Maryland 69-59 Favorite-Under (136.5)
Northern Iowa vs. Louisville (+2.5, ML +125) 66-53 Underdog-Push (119)


Sweet Sixteen
THURSDAY, MARCH 26
Matchup Score ATS Result
Wichita State vs. Notre Dame (+2, ML +115) 81-70 Underdog-Over (138.5)
North Carolina vs. Wisconsin (-6) 79-72 Favorite-Over (145.5)
West Virginia vs. Kentucky (-13) 78-39 Favorite-Under (135)
Xavier vs. Arizona (-11.5) 68-60 Underdog-Under (139)


FRIDAY, MARCH 27
Matchup Score ATS Result
UCLA vs. Gonzaga (-8.5) 74-62 Favorite-Under (144.5)
North Carolina State vs. Louisville (-2.5) 75-65 Favorite-Over (129)
Utah vs. Duke (-5.5) 63-57 Favorite-Under (133)
Michigan State (-1.5) vs. Oklahoma 62-58 Favorite-Under (137)


Elite Eight
SATURDAY, MARCH 28
Matchup Score ATS Result
Kentucky (-11.5) vs. Notre Dame 68-66 Underdog-Under (138.5)
Arizona vs. Wisconsin (+1.5, ML +110) 85-78 Underdog-Over (132)


SUNDAY, MARCH 29
Matchup Score ATS Result
Michigan State (-2) vs. Louisville 76-70 (OT) Favorite-Over (127)
Gonzaga vs. Duke (-2) 66-52 Favorite-Under (145)


Final Four & Championship
SATURDAY, APRIL 4 & MONDAY APRIL 6
Matchup Score ATS Result
Wisconsin vs. Kentucky - -
Michigan State vs. Duke - -
TBA vs. TBA -

 

[CNOTES]

NBA ATS


NBA > (739) UTAH@ (740) MINNESOTA | 03/30/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON UTAH using the against the spread in All games revenging a loss vs opponent
The record is 33 Wins and 13 Losses for the this season (+18.7 units)


NBA MONEYLINE


MILWAUKEE@ (738) ATLANTA | 03/30/2015 - 07:35 PM
Play AGAINST MILWAUKEE using the money line in Road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game - 2nd half of the season
The record is 2 Wins and 17 Losses for the last two seasons (-16.9 units)


NBA > (741) SACRAMENTO@ (742) MEMPHIS | 03/30/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play ON MEMPHIS using the money line in All games against Pacific division opponents
The record is 26 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (+20.05 units)


NBA FIRST HALF


NBA > (739) UTAH@ (740) MINNESOTA | 03/30/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play AGAINST UTAH in the first half in All games in a road game where where the first half total is 93 to 95.5
The record is 2 Wins and 15 Losses for the last three seasons (-14.5 units)


NBA > (743) PHOENIX@ (744) PORTLAND | 03/30/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST PORTLAND in the first half in All games when playing against a team with a winning record
The record is 11 Wins and 25 Losses for the this season (-16.5 units)


NBA TOTALS


NBA > (731) BOSTON@ (732) CHARLOTTE | 03/30/2015 - 07:05 PM
Play UNDER BOSTON on the total in All games versus the first half line in all games
The record is 21 Overs and 50 Unders for the this season (+26.9 units)


NBA > (737) MILWAUKEE@ (738) ATLANTA | 03/30/2015 - 07:35 PM
Play UNDER ATLANTA on the total in All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
The record is 16 Overs and 36 Unders for the this season (+18.4 units)


NBA > (741) SACRAMENTO@ (742) MEMPHIS | 03/30/2015 - 08:05 PM
Play UNDER MEMPHIS on the total in All games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game
The record is 12 Overs and 29 Unders for the this season (+15.8 units)


NBA POWERLINES


NBA > (731) BOSTON @ (732) CHARLOTTE | 03/30/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: CHARLOTTE -3.5 BTB PowerLine: CHARLOTTE -1
Edge On: CHARLOTTE (2.5)


NBA > (733) LA LAKERS @ (734) PHILADELPHIA | 03/30/2015 - 07:05 PM
Line: PHILADELPHIA -2.5 BTB PowerLine: PHILADELPHIA -1
Edge On: PHILADELPHIA (1.5)


NBA > (737) MILWAUKEE @ (738) ATLANTA | 03/30/2015 - 07:35 PM
Line: ATLANTA -7.5 BTB PowerLine: ATLANTA -9
Edge On: ATLANTA (1.5)


NBA > (741) SACRAMENTO @ (742) MEMPHIS | 03/30/2015 - 08:05 PM
Line: MEMPHIS -8.5 BTB PowerLine: MEMPHIS -6
Edge On: MEMPHIS (2.5)

 

[CNOTES]

CBB MONEYLINE


CBB > (745) LA-MONROE@ (746) LOYOLA-IL | 03/30/2015 - 08:00 PM
Play AGAINST LA-MONROE using the money line in All games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game
The record is 1 Wins and 9 Losses for the last three seasons (-11.5 units)


CBB FIRST HALF
CBB > (745) LA-MONROE@ (746) LOYOLA-IL | 03/30/2015 - 08:00 PM
Play AGAINST LA-MONROE in the first half in All games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=64 points/game
The record is 0 Wins and 7 Losses for the last two seasons (-7.7 units)


CBB TOTALS


CBB > (745) LA-MONROE@ (746) LOYOLA-IL | 03/30/2015 - 08:00 PM
Play UNDER LOYOLA-IL on the total in All games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game
The record is 3 Overs and 12 Unders for the this season (+8.7 units)


CBB POWERLINES


CBB > (745) LA-MONROE @ (746) LOYOLA-IL | 03/30/2015 - 08:00 PM
Line: LOYOLA-IL -5.5 BTB PowerLine: LOYOLA-IL -6
Edge On: LOYOLA-IL (0.5)

 

[CNOTES]

NHL MONEYLINE


NHL > (61) BUFFALO@ (62) ARIZONA | 03/30/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST BUFFALO using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 16 Wins and 57 Losses for the last two seasons (-33 units)


NHL > (57) LOS ANGELES@ (58) CHICAGO | 03/30/2015 - 08:35 PM
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the money line in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 14 Wins and 19 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.25 units)


NHL PUCKLINE


NHL > (61) BUFFALO@ (62) ARIZONA | 03/30/2015 - 10:05 PM
Play AGAINST BUFFALO using the in All games when playing against a team with a losing record
The record is 16 Wins and 57 Losses for the last two seasons (-33 units)


NHL > (57) LOS ANGELES@ (58) CHICAGO | 03/30/2015 - 08:35 PM
Play AGAINST CHICAGO using the in All games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season
The record is 14 Wins and 19 Losses for the last three seasons (-20.25 units)


NHL TOTALS


NHL > (57) LOS ANGELES@ (58) CHICAGO | 03/30/2015 - 08:35 PM
Play UNDER CHICAGO on the total in All games revenging a loss versus opponent
The record is 7 Overs and 23 Unders for the this season (+15.55 units)


NHL > (55) CALGARY@ (56) DALLAS | 03/30/2015 - 08:35 PM
Play UNDER CALGARY on the total in All games in a road game where where the total is 5.5
The record is 3 Overs and 16 Unders for the this season (+12.1 units)


NHL > (59) EDMONTON@ (60) COLORADO | 03/30/2015 - 09:05 PM
Play OVER COLORADO on the total in Home games after a win by 2 goals or more
The record is 7 Overs and 0 Unders for the this season (+7.3 units)

 

[CNOTES]

March totals


nba


*****....................................... 19 - 22
double play................................ 22- 21
triple play.................................. 14 - 8 - 1
slam dunk...................................12 - 10 - 1
gom...........................................0 - 1
pod parlay...................................0 - 1


ncaabb


*****........................................50 - 28
double play.................................44- 32
triple play...................................32 - 13 - 1
slam dunk...................................13 - 13 - 2
gom............................................0 - 9
god.............................................1 - 0
goy.............................................0 - 1


nhl


*****....................................14 - 22........................- 8.63
double play.............................21- 14.........................+18.32
triple play...............................10 - 7.......................... + 6.30
hat trick.................................17 - 9.........................+42.40

 

[CNOTES]

OVERALL PICKS BOTH RATED AND OPINONS FOR MARCH:


NBA Contest - Records by Date




Date WLT Pct Net Units Record


03/29/15 11-*5-*0 68.75% +*2750 Detail
03/28/15 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
03/27/15 9-*17-*0 34.62% -*4850 Detail
03/26/15 1-*1-*0 50.00% -*50 Detail
03/25/15 14-*9-*1 60.87% +*2050 Detail
03/24/15 4-*7-*1 36.36% -*1850 Detail
03/23/15 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1350 Detail
03/22/15 9-*10-*1 47.37% -*1000 Detail
03/21/15 7-*3-*0 70.00% +*1850 Detail
03/20/15 11-*12-*1 47.83% -*1100 Detail
03/19/15 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
03/18/15 13-*9-*0 59.09% +*1550 Detail
03/17/15 3-*7-*0 30.00% -*2350 Detail
03/16/15 12-*8-*0 60.00% +*1600 Detail
03/15/15 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail
03/14/15 7-*5-*0 58.33% +*750 Detail
03/13/15 8-*10-*0 44.44% -*1500 Detail
03/12/15 5-*5-*0 50.00% -*250 Detail
03/04/15 10-*15-*1 40.00% -*3250 Detail
03/03/15 4-*10-*0 28.57% -*3500 Detail
03/02/15 2-*7-*1 22.22% -*2850 Detail
03/01/15 9-*7-*0 56.25% +*650 Detail


Totals 164-*168-*6 49.40% -*10400








MLB Contest - Records by Date


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record


03/29/15 6-*4-*1 60.00% +*695 Detail
03/28/15 5-*4-*1 55.56% +*210 Detail
03/26/15 9-*3-*1 75.00% +*2835 Detail
03/25/15 5-*7-*1 41.67% -*1420 Detail
03/24/15 6-*6-*0 50.00% -*350 Detail
03/23/15 2-*4-*1 33.33% -*1000 Detail
03/22/15 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1290 Detail
03/21/15 6-*1-*1 85.71% +*2480 Detail
03/20/15 6-*5-*0 54.55% +*260 Detail
03/18/15 3-*5-*0 37.50% -*1305 Detail
03/15/15 3-*7-*1 30.00% -*2190 Detail
03/14/15 2-*5-*0 28.57% -*1615 Detail
03/13/15 2-*7-*2 22.22% -*2820 Detail
03/12/15 9-*3-*0 75.00% +*2880 Detail
03/05/15 7-*5-*0 58.33% +*915 Detail
03/04/15 3-*7-*0 30.00% -*2625 Detail


Totals 79-*80-*9 49.69% -*4340




NHL Contest - Records by Date


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record


03/29/15 7-*9-*0 43.75% -*1455 Detail
03/28/15 8-*4-*2 66.67% +*2880 Detail
03/27/15 3-*3-*0 50.00% +*55 Detail
03/26/15 9-*8-*5 52.94% +*645 Detail
03/25/15 2-*3-*1 40.00% -*655 Detail
03/24/15 10-*4-*2 71.43% +*4475 Detail
03/23/15 7-*7-*0 50.00% -*200 Detail
03/22/15 1-*7-*0 12.50% -*3150 Detail
03/21/15 10-*9-*1 52.63% -*35 Detail
03/20/15 5-*1-*0 83.33% +*2000 Detail
03/19/15 9-*10-*1 47.37% -*1570 Detail
03/18/15 2-*3-*1 40.00% -*765 Detail
03/17/15 9-*6-*3 60.00% +*2915 Detail
03/16/15 4-*4-*0 50.00% -*100 Detail
03/15/15 5-*7-*0 41.67% -*1345 Detail
03/14/15 13-*10-*1 56.52% +*805 Detail
03/13/15 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*590 Detail
03/12/15 14-*8-*0 63.64% +*2835 Detail
03/04/15 4-*4-*0 50.00% +*330 Detail
03/03/15 10-*8-*2 55.56% -*55 Detail
03/02/15 3-*3-*0 50.00% -*200 Detail
03/01/15 9-*3-*0 75.00% +*2625 Detail


Totals 150-*125-*19 54.55% +10625




NCAAB Contest - Records by Date


Date WLT Pct Net Units Record


03/29/15 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
03/28/15 3-*3-*0 50.00% -*150 Detail
03/27/15 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
03/26/15 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
03/25/15 5-*4-*1 55.56% +*300 Detail
03/24/15 3-*1-*0 75.00% +*950 Detail
03/23/15 6-*4-*0 60.00% +*800 Detail
03/22/15 4-*6-*0 40.00% -*1300 Detail
03/21/15 4-*8-*0 33.33% -*2400 Detail
03/20/15 10-*8-*0 55.56% +*600 Detail
03/19/15 11-*5-*1 68.75% +*2750 Detail
03/18/15 15-*9-*2 62.50% +*2550 Detail
03/17/15 11-*6-*0 64.71% +*2200 Detail
03/16/15 0-*1-*0 0.00% -*550 Detail
03/15/15 3-*2-*0 60.00% +*400 Detail
03/14/15 17-*8-*0 68.00% +*4100 Detail
03/13/15 24-*19-*0 55.81% +*1550 Detail
03/12/15 21-*20-*1 51.22% -*500 Detail
03/05/15 19-*21-*1 47.50% -*2050 Detail
03/04/15 18-*20-*0 47.37% -*2000 Detail
03/03/15 20-*8-*0 71.43% +*5600 Detail
03/02/15 5-*3-*0 62.50% +*850 Detail
03/01/15 7-*8-*0 46.67% -*900 Detail


Totals 221-*173-*6 56.09% +15350

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Short Sheet

Monday, March 30

Tampa Bay at Montreal, 7:35 ET
Tampa Bay: 36-19 SU after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Montreal: 48-70 SU after winning their previous game in overtime

Vancouver at St Louis, 8:05 ET
Vancouver: 35-46 SU second half of the season
St Louis: 26-9 SU after playing a home game

Calgary at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Calgary: 22-14 SU after playing a road game
Dallas: 3-8 SU in home games after playing 2 consecutive road games

LA Kings at Chicago, 8:35 ET
LA Kings: 14-22 SU in road games
Chicago: 14-3 SU at home when the money line is -100 to -150

Edmonton at Colorado, 9:05 ET
Edmonton: 9-26 SU after covering 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Colorado: 30-18 SU revenging a same season loss vs opponent

Buffalo at Arizona, 10:05 ET
Buffalo: 3-23 SU in March games
Arizona: 2-14 SU in home games when playing their 3rd game in 5 days

 

[CNOTES]

NHL

Monday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Game of the Day: Canadiens at Lightning
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens (-135, 5)

The Montreal Canadiens look to avoid a season-series sweep Monday and hand the visiting Tampa Bay Lightning their first three-game losing streak of the campaign. The Canadiens have been outscored 16-5 in four losses against the Lightning, including a 1-0 overtime defeat in the last meeting at Montreal on March 10. Tampa Bay, trailing the first-place Canadiens by three points in the Atlantic Division, comes in off Saturday’s 4-0 loss at Detroit when it lost two key performers to injuries.

Top-four defenseman Jason Garrison was sent back home to be evaluated after suffering an upper-body injury and physical forward Cedric Paquette sustained a lower-body injury Saturday. The Lightning’s magic number is two points to clinch a playoff spot and they need one victory to set a single-season franchise record. The game matches the league’s top scoring team (Tampa Bay) against the NHL’s top defensive team (Montreal) -- led by Hart and Vezina Trophy candidate goalie Carey Price.

LINE HISTORY: Most shops opened the Habs around -127, but it was sitting at -135 at the time of writing.

INJURY REPORT: TB - Paquette (Ques), Garrison (Out), Coburn (Early April), Ohlund (IR). MON - Gilbert (Ques)

ABOUT THE LIGHTNING (46-23-7): Tampa Bay was shut out for the first time since December of 2013 on Saturday and has been blanked on 11 power-play attempts over the last two contests. Captain Steven Stamkos has 40 goals – tied for second in the league with Rick Nash of the New York Rangers – has not scored in four games, but boasts five against the Canadiens this season. With veterans Garrison and Braydon Coburn (lower body) out, the Lightning must go with three defensemen with less than 120 NHL games of experience.

ABOUT THE CANADIENS (47-21-8): Max Pacioretty has posted five points in the last five games to match his career high (65) and his team-leading 36th goal beat Florida 3-2 in overtime Saturday, leaving him three from tying his all-time best. Tomas Plekanec has recorded eight points in eight contests to equal defenseman P.K. Subban for second in the team with 53 and is two shy of 200 career goals. Blue liner Tom Gilbert (jaw) is expected to miss his fourth straight game Monday, but could return next week.

TRENDS:

*Lightning are 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
*Over is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings.
*Lightning are 1-4 in their last 5 road games.
*Under is 6-1-2 in Canadiens last 9 home games.

 

[CNOTES]

NHL
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 30

Hot teams
-- Canadiens won their last three home games.
-- Dallas Stars won eight of their last ten games.
-- Kings won three of their last four games.
-- Edmonton won three of its last four games.

Cold teams
-- Lightning lost last two games, outscored 7-2.
-- Vancouver lost its last two games, 4-1/4-3ot. Blues lost four of last five games.
-- Flames lost five of their last eight games.
-- Chicago lost three of its last five games.
-- Colorado lost three of its last four games.
-- Arizona lost nine of last eleven games. Buffalo lost its last five games, outscored 19-10.

Series records
-- Lightning won their last four games with Montreal.
-- Canucks won their last five games with St Louis.
-- Dallas Stars won five of last six games with Calgary.
-- Kings won five of last eight games with Chicago.
-- Avalanche won three of last four games with Edmonton.
-- Sabres won seven of last nine games with Arizona.

Totals
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay-Montreal games went over.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Vancouver-St Louis games.
-- Eight of last nine Calgary-Dallas games went over.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight LA-Chicago games.
-- Under is 4-1 in Oilers' last five visits to Colorado.
-- Last three Buffalo games went over the total.

Back-to-back
-- Chicago is 7-5 if it played the night before.
-- Flames are 4-1 on road if they played on road night before.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 30

Hot Teams
-- Rockets won seven of their last eight games (3-0 last three AU). Toronto won three of last four home games (3-5 last eight HF).
-- Kings won four of their last five games (3-7 last ten AU).
-- Portland won its last three games, by 3-6-6 points (5-3 last eight HF).

Cold Teams
-- Celtics lost five of last seven games (5-1 last six AU). Charlotte lost six of its last eight games (4-8 last 12 HF).
-- Lakers lost 11 of their last 15 games (7-2 last nine AU). 76ers lost four of their last five games (2-0 HF).
-- Atlanta lost four of last six games; they've clinched home court thru the Eastern Conference playoffs. Bucks lost seven of their last eight games (4-1 last five AU).
-- Jazz lost four of their last five games (2-1 AF). Minnesota lost four of its last five games (0-3 last three HU).
-- Memphis lost last three games, by 22-23-14. (2-5 last seven HF).
-- Suns lost last three games, by 9-6-12 points (5-1 last six AU).

Series Records
-- Celtics lost three of last four visits to Charlotte.
-- 76ers lost seven of last ten games with Lakers.
-- Home side won last ten Houston-Toronto games.
-- Hawks won nine of last ten games with Milwaukee.
-- Road team won five of last six Utah-Minnesota games.
-- Kings lost nine of last ten games with Memphis.
-- Suns are 5-3 in their last eight games with Portland.

Totals
-- Seven of last eight Charlotte home games went over.
-- Last three Laker-Philly games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Toronto home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Milwaukee-Atlanta games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1 in Utah's last five visits to Minnesota.
-- Six of last seven King-Grizzlies games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Phoenix-Portland games stayed under.

Back-to-Backs
-- Celtics are 11-3 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Philly is 5-3 vs spread at home if they played night before. Lakers are 5-1 vs spread on road if they were on road night before.
-- Rockets are 6-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Memphis is 2-3 vs spread if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 2-5 vs spread at home if it played night before.

East vs West
SU: West 239-169 ATS: West 210-195-3
East teams HF vs West: 52-56
East teams HU vs West: 45-50
West teams HF vs East: 81-78-3
West teams HU vs East: 24-19

 

[CNOTES]

NBA

Monday, March 30


Raptors' PG Kyle Lowry, doubtful Monday

Lowry is dealing with back spasms and has missed the last two games. He is unlikely to return Monday against the Rockets.


Hawks' PG Jeff Teague, doubtful Monday

Teague has missed the last two games with an ankle injury and is unlikely to return Monday against the Bucks.


T-Wolves' PG Ricky Rubio, questionable Monday

Rubio has missed the last six contests with a sore right ankle and but could return Monday against the Jazz.


Cavaliers' PF Kevin Love, probable Thursday

Love suffered a lower-back injury Sunday but is expected to play Thursday against the Heat.


Favorites cash on the court Sunday

NBA favorites cashed for bettors Sunday night, going 6-2-1 against the spread.

Favorites were a decent bet all week going 30-22-1 ATS in the last seven days, hitting at a rate of 57.7 percent.


Wizards hit another ATS slump, are NBA's worst bet

The Washington Wizards lost 99-91 as 2-point dogs to the Houston Rockets Sunday and it was the sixth consecutive game they failed to cover the spread.

It is the third time this season the Wizards have been on a cold betting streak of at least six games or more. The two previous times, they went nine straight games without covering a spread.

The latest cold streak has the Wizards at 28-45-1 ATS on the season, the worst record in the NBA.

Washington is off until Wednesday when they host the Philadelphia 76ers.

 

[CNOTES]

NBA
Short Sheet

Monday, March 30

Boston at Charlotte, 7:05 ET
Boston: 40-32 ATS in all games
Charlotte: 6-15 ATS in a home game where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points

LA Lakers at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
LA Lakers: 21-12 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Philadelphia: 52-77 ATS in home games after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists

Houston at Toronto, 7:35 ET
Houston: 18-8 ATS after a non-conference game
Toronto: 7-15 ATS in home games after 1 or more consecutive wins

Milwaukee at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 322-389 ATS second half of the season
Atlanta: 44-27 ATS in all games

Utah at Minnesota, 8:05 ET
Utah: 19-8 ATS in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games
Minnesota: 6-14 ATS in home games after having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games

Sacramento at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Sacramento: 6-16 ATS when playing with 2 days rest
Memphis: 41-24 ATS after playing a game as a road underdog

Phoenix at Portland, 10:05 ET
Phoenix: 24-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points
Portland: 13-27 ATS in home games after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers

 

[CNOTES]

Hoop Trends - Monday

March 30, 2015


ATS TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hawks are 12-0 ATS (9.12 ppg) since Dec 28, 2011 with at most one day of rest after a game on the road in which they shot at least ten three-pointers and made at least half of them.

OU TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hawks are 0-12 OU (-9.00 ppg) since Nov 21, 2008 at home after a game in which they scored less than 25 points in the paint.

PLAYER TREND OF THE DAY:

-- The Hornets are 0-9-2 OU (-11.45 ppg) since Nov 06, 2013 at home after Kemba Walker was the Hornets’ high scorer in a win.

NBA BIBLE ACTIVE TREND:

-- The Suns are 2-10 ATS off a home loss in which they led by double digits at the end of the first quarter.

ACTIVE TRENDS:

-- The Suns are 0-7 OU (-15.64 ppg) since Feb 28, 2015 after Eric Bledsoe had at least 5 turnovers.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's Top Action

March 30, 2015


HOUSTON ROCKETS (50-23) at TORONTO RAPTORS (43-30)

Tip-off: Monday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Toronto -1.5, Total: 208

The Houston Rockets will attempt to extend their winning streak to five games when they head north and take on the Toronto Raptors this Monday night.

The Rockets have continued to be one of the elite teams out west as they have won seven of their past eight contests (6-2 ATS), winning by an average of 7.9 PPG over that period. Three of those victories came on the road as they put up 100+ points in all but two of the outings. They had a tough draw on Sunday when they traveled to Washington as 2-point favorites and came away with a 99-91 win. Six different players hit double-digits in points as they overcame a 19 turnover game with the defense holding the Wizards to 29-of-75 shooting (39% FG).

The Raptors certainly haven’t been the same since the All-Star break, going 7-13 both SU and ATS, but have been a little better of late with victories in five of their past nine games. The offense has made better than 46% of their shots in each of the past four contests as they put up 101.8 PPG. An easy opponent came into town on Friday when they hosted the Lakers as 8.5-point favorites and were victorious by a score of 94-83. They held L.A. to a putrid 34.5% shooting and the only reason it was as close as it was is because Toronto allowed the Lakers to grab 16 offensive rebounds. Houston has managed a solid 23-13 SU (20-15-1 ATS) when playing as the road team and will be facing a Raptors group which is 25-13 SU (16-22 ATS) at Air Canada Centre.

This is the second time that these teams have matched up on the year and it was all the Rockets in the first game as they dominated in a 98-76 win as 2-point home favorites. Neither team shot better than 42% from the floor as they each had 23 turnovers, but Toronto was worse with a mere 24-of-77 shots going in (33% FG). Trends show that Toronto has gone 8-18 ATS (31%) after a win by 10 points or more this year as Houston has managed a poor 13-24 ATS record (35%) in road games after having won five or six of its past seven games in the past two years. The Rockets will be quite thin with all their injuries as C Dwight Howard (Rest), PF Donatas Motiejunas (Back), PG Patrick Beverley (Wrist), PF Terrence Jones (Ribs) and SF Kostas Papanikolaou (Ankle) are all expected to be out while PG Kyle Lowry (Back) is listed as doubtful for the Raptors.

Houston has been a great offensive team for the past few years and is once again as it is putting up 103.4 PPG (6th in league) on 44.1% shooting (10th-worst in league). On the defensive side of things, the Rockets are letting opponents get 100.1 PPG (16th in league) with 44.1% of shots going in (10th in league). SG James Harden (27.2 PPG, 7.0 APG, 5.8 RPG, 1.9 SPG) has made just 40.4% of his shots in the past five contests but is still averaging 28.4 PPG as he made 10 free throws per game. He had a sub-par performance, by his standards, the last time he met Toronto with 20 points on 5-of-12 shooting as he added seven assists, five rebounds and two steals.

SF Trevor Ariza (12.6 PPG, 5.6 RPG, 1.9 SPG) has been doing better from the field recently with 47% of his shots dropping in the month of March but he had just nine points and five rebounds against the Raptors in February. SG Corey Brewer (11.6 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 1.5 SPG) has been vital in this team’s success and has hit double-digit points in four of the past five games despite shooting a mere 39% from the field. He had one of his best performances of the year in the win over Toronto with 26 points, 10 rebounds and five steals.

The Raptors are the best offensive group in the Eastern Conference as they are netting 104.2 PPG (3rd in league) and making 45.4% of their shots (13th in league). They haven’t been able to do much on defense, though, with their opposition scoring 101.2 PPG (9th-worst in league) behind 46.1% shooting (4th-worst in league). SG DeMar DeRozan (19.1 PPG, 4.6 RPG, 1.2 SPG) has been playing a ton of minutes in March (38.2 MPG) but is coming off a 1-for-10 shooting performance with six points, 10 rebounds and seven assists in the win over the Lakers. He was also poor in the loss against Houston earlier in the season with 10 points (4-for-14 FG), three steals and a block.

SG Louis Williams (15.1 PPG, 1.1 SPG) has been one of the most explosive offensive bench players this year and has scored 18.3 PPG over the past three outings. He did not play in the one game facing the Rockets this year and had six points with eight assists in a single contest off the bench last season. C Jonas Valanciunas (12.1 PPG, 8.7 RPG, 1.2 BPG) had one of his better recent offensive showings against L.A. with 19 points on 8-of-12 shooting as he added seven rebounds and a block. He had 11 points, seven rebounds and three steals when his team was dismantled in the last matchup with Houston.

MILWAUKEE BUCKS (36-37) at ATLANTA HAWKS (55-18)

Tip-off: Monday, 7:30 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Atlanta -8.5, Total: 194

The Bucks continue to fight for playoff positioning when they head to Atlanta Monday and face a Hawks team that has already clinched the top seed in the Eastern Conference.

The Bucks hosted the Warriors on Saturday and lost 108-95 as 5-point home underdogs. Milwaukee had won two straight games coming into that one and will now look to turn things around quickly against Atlanta. The team is allowing 107.5 PPG over the past two contests and must find a way to play better defense moving forward.

The Hawks, meanwhile, lost their most recent game 115-110 as 6.5-point underdogs in Charlotte. They had won-and-covered in two straight games before that loss and the difference was that they held their opponents to just 84.5 PPG in the victories. The Hawks will need to be better defensively against Milwaukee and they’ll also need to get back to playing their efficient brand of offense.

These teams have met three times this season and Atlanta is 2-1 SU and 1-1-1 ATS in those games. The home team has not won a single game SU in this series. Over the past three seasons, however, the Hawks are 9-1 SU and 6-3 ATS against the Bucks. They are 3-1 SU but just 1-3 ATS when playing as the host in that time.

Milwaukee is 15-6 ATS in road games after one or more consecutive Unders this season and 19-10 ATS as a road underdog as well. Atlanta, however, is 24-11 ATS after two straight games with 10 or less offensive rebounds this season. SF Jared Dudley (Back) is doubtful for the Bucks, who are already without SF Jabari Parker (Knee) and SF Damien Inglis (Foot) for the season. PG Jeff Teague (Ankle) is doubtful for the Hawks, who are without PF Mike Scott (Toe) indefinitely.

The Bucks are still playing to determine where they’ll be seeded in the Eastern Conference playoffs and they need PG Michael Carter-Williams (14.5 PPG, 6.8 APG, 5.4 RPG, 1.6 SPG) to play much better. He had just eight points and three assists in 22 minutes against Golden State last game, picking up three personal fouls and also turning the ball over three times in the process. He has not been able to avoid foul trouble recently and his lack of ball security is alarming. Carter-Williams needs to slow down and start playing much more efficiently moving forward.

PF Ersan Ilyasova (11.1 PPG, 4.9 RPG) had a bad game against the Warriors, scoring just eight points (1-for-10 FG, 0-for-5 3PT) in 23 minutes of action. He had been on a tear for the team, scoring 15+ points in five of the six games before losing to Golden State. He should be able to play a little better in this one, as it’s unlikely that a good outside shooter (37% 3PT) will be that inaccurate two games in a row.

SG Khris Middleton (13.1 PPG, 4.4 RPG, 1.5 SPG) is averaging 14.0 PPG in three games against the Hawks this season. Middleton will really need to step it up in this one if Ilyasova were to somehow not find his touch. With Dudley out, Middleton is one of the only reliable shooters on the team (42% 3PT).

SF Giannis Antetokounmpo (12.8 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 2.5 APG, 1.1 BPG. 1.0 SPG) has really struggled against the Hawks this season, averaging just 10.3 PPG on 36.7% shooting from the field in three meetings. He’ll need to find a way to be more effective in this one.

C Zaza Pachulia (8.2 PPG, 6.7 RPG, 2.4 APG, 1.0 SPG) comes into this meeting with his former team on a tear. He’s now scored in double figures in 10 straight games and will need to do the same against Al Horford Monday.

The Hawks have been one of the best teams in basketball all season long, but they have not looked that way in recent weeks. The team needs to get back on track heading into the playoffs or it will be very prone to an early round upset.

PG Dennis Schroder (9.9 PPG, 4.2 APG) has been playing outstanding over the past five games for the Hawks. He’s averaging 15.8 PPG, 6.8 APG and 3.2 RPG in 26.8 MPG in those contests. Schroder’s play is crucial for this Hawks team because PG Jeff Teague (16.3 PPG, 7.0 APG) is out with an injured ankle.

C Al Horford (15.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG, 3.3 APG, 1.3 BPG) was given the game off against the Hornets on Saturday and will now be fresh for this meeting with his old teammate, Zaza Pachulia. Horford is averaging 16.0 PPG, 7.3 RPG and 2.0 BPG against the Bucks this season and will need to play the same brand of two-way basketball on Monday.

PF Paul Millsap (17.2 PPG, 7.9 RPG, 1.8 SPG, 1.0 BPG) is coming off of a day off as well and had been scorching hot before resting. He was averaging 21.8 PPG in the four games before not playing against the Hornets. The Bucks don’t defend power forwards that well and Millsap should be able to take advantage of that.

SG Kyle Korver (12.3 PPG, 4.1 RPG, 2.5 APG) also got the game off against Charlotte Saturday. Korver has struggled against Milwaukee this season, averaging just 7.0 PPG on 25% shooting in three meetings with the team. He’ll need to knock down his outside shots in this one or the Hawks might not have the spacing they need to win.

PHOENIX SUNS (38-36) at PORTLAND TRAIL BLAZERS (47-25)

Tip-off: Monday, 10:00 p.m. ET
Sportsbook.ag Line and Total: Portland -8.5, Total: 199.5

The Blazers look to win their fourth straight game when they host the struggling Suns Monday.

The Suns hosted the Thunder on Sunday and lost 109-97 as 2.5-point favorites. Phoenix has lost three straight games both SU and ATS and has failed to score 100 or more points in four straight contests. This is a team that wins games because of its offense and it will need to start putting up points or it will miss the playoffs once again.

The Blazers, on the other hand, have now won three straight games after beating the Nuggets 120-114 as 9-point home favorites. These teams have met three times this season and the Blazers are 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS in those contests. They blew out the Suns 108-87 in the only home game they’ve played against the team this season and are 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS when hosting Phoenix over the past three seasons.

The Suns are an impressive 48-25 ATS in road games over the past two seasons, and are also 29-16 ATS in road games after playing a game as a favorite in that time. The Blazers are 14-1 ATS after three straight wins by six points or less since 1996. SG Brandon Knight (Ankle) and SG Marcus Thornton (Toe) are questionable for Phoenix and SG Wesley Matthews (Achilles) is out for the season for Portland.

The Suns have struggled recently and they’ll need to string together a big winning streak or they will miss the playoffs this season. PG Eric Bledsoe (17.2 PPG, 6.0 APG, 5.4 RPG, 1.7 SPG) has done everything he can to will his team to victories, averaging 20.2 PPG, 5.6 APG, 4.6 RPG and 1.4 SPG over the past five contests. Bledsoe will need to have a good game against the Blazers on Monday. He struggled with just 13 points and seven rebounds on 5-for-20 shooting from the floor against Portland last Friday and can’t afford to do it again in this one.

PF Markieff Morris (15.6 PPG, 6.0 RPG, 1.3 SPG) and SF Marcus Morris (10.6 PPG, 4.6 RPG) combined to rack up 34 points and 21 rebounds in that game against Portland. The two of them were able to find their shots offensively, but neither had an answer for LaMarcus Aldridge on the defensive end. One of them will need to step it up and defend at a high level on Monday.

SG Brandon Knight (17.0 PPG, 5.2 APG, 3.9 RPG, 1.4 SPG) returned from his eight game absence to face Oklahoma City on Sunday. He was awful in the game though, finishing with just three points (1-for-10 FG, 0-for-6 3PT) and four assists in 22 minutes. He is questionable in this game, but he’ll really need to find his stroke if he plays. He is not a great defender, so his presence can hurt the team when he is not knocking down shots.

The Blazers have gotten themselves on track recently, winning three straight games after a five game losing streak. PF LaMarcus Aldridge (23.6 PPG, 10.4 RPG, 1.0 BPG) was a monster against the Nuggets on Saturday, pouring in 32 points and also grabbing 11 boards in 35 minutes of action. The last time he faced the Suns, he could not miss in crunch time and was ultimately the reason Portland came away with a road victory. He’ll need to continue to use his size to his advantage against a small Suns frontcourt.

PG Damian Lillard (21.1 PPG, 6.3 APG, 4.8 RPG, 1.3 SPG) struggled against the Suns last game, finishing with just 11 points (4-for-15 FG) and four assists in what was a very off game for the All-Star. Lillard is just 8-for-26 over the past two games and needs to find his stroke soon because the playoffs are quickly approaching.

SF Nicolas Batum (9.4 PPG, 5.9 RPG, 4.8 APG, 1.1 SPG) had just five points in 32 minutes the last time he faced Phoenix. He did have nine rebounds and five assists in that game though, and followed it up with 15 points and seven assists in a win over Denver the following night. Batum is averaging 17.3 PPG, 7.7 RPG and 5.7 APG in three games against the Suns this season and will need to be more effective as a scorer than he was in the most recent meeting.

C Robin Lopez (9.6 PPG, 6.9 RPG, 1.5 BPG) was big in the victory over Phoenix Friday, finishing with 12 points, 10 boards and a block in 29 minutes. He’ll need to continue to to protect the rim moving forward.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, March 30

Louisiana-Monroe vs Loyola-Chicago

Game 745-746
March 30, 2015 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Louisiana-Monroe
51.610
Loyola-Chicago
60.832
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Loyola-Chicago
by 9
126
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Loyola-Chicago
by 5 1/2
131 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Loyola-Chicago
(-5 1/2); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA-MONROE (24 - 12) at LOYOLA-IL (22 - 13) - 3/30/2015, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOYOLA-IL is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOYOLA-IL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
LA-MONROE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
LA-MONROE is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
LA-MONROE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
LA-MONROE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
LA-MONROE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games this season.
LA-MONROE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.
LA-MONROE is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 30

CBI games (best-of-3 series, 0-0)
Loyola is 13-2 in non-conference games, winning first three games in this event by 3-8-15 points; Ramblers won six of last seven games, losing to Northern Iowa in Arch Madness- they've been helped by Doyle's return; he scored 15 ppg last three games. UL-Monroe won last three games by 4-2-6 points, after going 3-4 in previous seven games; Warhawks are 5-5 non-conference D-I games- they had four non-D1 wins. Sun Belt teams are 6-1 vs spread this postseason, 4-1 as underdogs; MVC teams are 5-5 against the spread as a favorite this postseason.




NCAAB

Monday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

8:00 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. LOYOLA OF CHICAGO
Louisiana-Monroe is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Loyola of Chicago's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Loyola of Chicago's last 6 games

 

[CNOTES]

NIT Semifinals Tips

March 30, 2015

This year’s NCAA Tournament starts back up this Saturday with the Final Four, but college hoops bettors will have plenty of action to keep them busy this Tuesday night with a pair of matchups in both the semifinals of the National Invitational Tournament and the College Insider Tournament.

NIT Semifinal - No. 2 Miami (FL) vs. No. 1 Temple (ESPN, 7 p.m.)
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Location: New York City, NY
Betting Odds: Temple -1 ½, Total 141

The Miami Hurricanes made their way to the NIT semifinals as the No. 2 seed in Region 2. After failing to cover against the spread in an opening round 75-71 victory against No. 7 North Carolina Central as 8 ½-point favorites, the Hurricanes went on to knockoff No. 6 Alabama 73-66 as 4 ½-point favorites and No. 1 Richmond 63-61 as 2 ½-point underdogs. Miami is now 7-2 straight-up in its last nine games while going 4-5 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in three of its last five games.

The Hurricanes were dealt a blow when their second-leading scorer Angel Rodriguez was lost to a wrist injury, but both Manu Lecomte and JaQuan Newton are listed as probable for Tuesday night. Junior guard Sheldon McClellan has led the way all season with 14.4 points per game and he had the hot hand in last Tuesday’s victory against Richmond with 16 points while going 6-for 13 from the field.

Temple’s run through Region 1 on the NIT as the top seed included victories against No. 8 Bucknell and No. 5 George Washington, but its best effort came in last Wednesday’s 77-59 win against No. 3 Louisiana Tech as a four-point favorite. The Owls are now 7-1 SU in their last eight games with a 5-3 record ATS. The total stayed UNDER the closing 146 ½-point line in last Wednesday’s win after it had gone OVER in four of their previous six games.

Three of five Temple starters scored in double figures against Louisiana Tech led by junior guard Quenton DeCosey’s game-high 21 points. He also pulled down 11 of the Owls 39 rebounds to help pace the win. Temple is shooting just 38.4 percent from the field this season, but in that game it made good on 49. 1 percent of its 55 shots.

Betting Trends:

-- The Hurricanes are 7-4 ATS this season in 11 previous games as underdogs, but they are 4-6 ATS in their last 10 nonconference games. The total has stayed UNDER in six of their last eight games following a SU win.

-- The Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last five games outside the their conference and 11-2 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last eight games against a team from the ACC.

-- These two last met in the 2005/2006 regular season with Temple coming away with a 73-56 victory as a 3 ½-point home favorite.

NIT Semifinal - No. 2 Stanford vs. No. 1 Old Dominion (ESPN, 9 p.m.)
Venue: Madison Square Garden
Location: New York City, NY
Betting Odds: Stanford -2 ½, Total 138

Stanford came into this year’s NIT as the No. 2 seed in Region 3. It started things off with a 77-64 victory over No. 7 UC Davis while covering as an 8 ½-point favorite. The Cardinal also covered as five-point favorites in a 74-65 win against No. 3 Rhode Island, but they came up short as 4 ½-point favorites in last Tuesday’s 78-75 victory against No. 5 Vanderbilt. Before this tournament, Stanford was just 1-4 SU in its previous five contests while failing to cover in all five games.

The duo of senior guards Chasson Randle and Anthony Brown have done much of the damage for Stanford in this tournament. Randle leads the team in scoring with 19.3 PPG, but he has averaged 23 points in his last three games. Brown is second on the team with 15 PPG and he led the way against Vanderbilt with 26 points. On the injury front, both Grant Verhoeven and Michael Humphrey remain questionable for Tuesday night after missing their last several games.

The Monarchs came into the NIT as the top seed in Region 4 after going 13-5 SU in Conference USA this season. They failed to cover in victories against No. 8 Charleston Southern and No. 4 Illinois State, but a buzzer-beater against No. 3 Murray State propelled them into this round after pulling-out a thrilling 72-69 victory as 1 ½-point favorites. ODU is now 9-1 SU in its last 10 games while going 7-3 ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in 10 of its last 13 games.

Junior guard Trey Freeman hit the game winner against Murray State as part of his game-high 25 points on the night. He has been the Monarchs leading scorer this season with 17.5 PPG. ODU is averaging 65.4 PPG and at the other end of the court it is holding its opponents to 56.8 points a game.

Betting Trends:

-- The Cardinal are 6-1 ATS in their last seven nonconference games, but they have failed to cover in four of their last five games played at a neutral site. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of their last 10 games following a SU win.

-- The Monarchs are 12-4 ATS in their last 16 out of conference games and they are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games following a SU win. The total has stayed UNDER in their last five neutral-site games.

-- The only time these two teams played one another was all the way back in 2000 with Stanford rolling to an 84-60 victory as a 19-point home favorite.

College Insider Tournament

The first of two matchups in Tuesday’s College Insider Tournament pits the Tennessee-Martin Skyhawks against the Evansville Purple Aces as 6 ½-point road underdogs with the total set at 150. The Skyhawks are 21-12 SU this season with a 16-10 record ATS. They have won their last three games both SU and ATS.

The Purple Aces come into this matchup with a SU record of 22-12 while going 17-13-1 ATS. They are 6-4 (SU and ATS) in their last 10 games and 2-1 ATS in this tournament. These two have not faced one another since 2009, but Evansville has a 6-1 SU edge in seven previous meetings and it is 2-1 ATS in the last three games.

The second game on Tuesday’s slate sends the New Jersey Tech Highlanders on the road to face the Northern Arizona Lumberjacks as 4 ½-point underdogs. The total for the game has been set at 144 ½. New Jersey Tech brings a SU six-game winning streak into this contest and it has covered in its first three games of this tournament. The total has gone OVER in those three games.

Northern Arizona (22-14 SU) is 8-2 SU in its last 10 contests and it has covered ATS in four of its last five games as part of an overall record of 17-11-4 ATS. The total has gone OVER in its last two games. This will be the first meeting between these two in recent memory.

 

[CNOTES]

NCAA Tournament Opening Betting Line Report: Inside the Final Four odds

After two weekends of wall-to-wall basketball, full of heart-pounding wins and losses – for teams, bettors and sportsbooks alike – the NCAA Tournament is down to the Final Four. And it should be just as much of a screamer as the rest of the Big Dance.

You’ve got top overall seed Kentucky (38-0 SU, 19-17-2 ATS) aiming to complete a perfect season, something that hasn’t been done since Indiana accomplished the feat in 1976. The Wildcats got arguably their sternest test all season when they held off No. 3 seed Notre Dame 68-66 as an 11-point favorite in the Midwest Region final Saturday. That gave Kentucky a date with fellow top seed Wisconsin (35-3 SU, 20-17-1 ATS), which bested No. 2 seed Arizona 85-78 as a 1.5-point underdog in the West final.

On Sunday, No. 1 seed Duke (33-4 SU, 22-14-1 ATS) stifled No. 2 seed Gonzaga 66-52 laying 1.5 points in the South final, and No. 7 seed Michigan State (27-11 SU, 22-16 ATS) – a 2-point chalk – topped No. 4 seed Louisville 76-70 in overtime in the East final.

So how do things shape up for the Final Four? John Avello, executive director of race and sports for The Wynn, and John Lester, senior lines manager for bookmaker.eu, provide Covers with their insights.

No. 1 Wisconsin vs. No. 1 Kentucky (-6.5)

It’s a rematch from last year’s Final Four, which Kentucky won 74-73 to push as a 1-point fave.

“This is one of the lower numbers Kentucky’s had through the whole year,” Avello told Covers, and in fact, the ‘Cats have been double-digit chalk in all their postseason games – in the SEC and NCAA tourneys. “Wisconsin is a quality team, with good shooters outside and great players inside. Now, they need to beat the big dog to have a chance to win the title.

“In my ratings, I had Kentucky at 5.5 or 6, but that just felt a little light to me.”

Lester said his crew batted around a range of numbers before going with Avello’s initial feeling, making Kentucky a 5.5-point favorite at Bookmaker.

“Many believed these were the best two teams in the country coming into the tournament, and you could easily make that argument now,” Lester told Covers. “Kentucky has been a public darling all year of course, but the Badgers have had a lot of square and sharp support throughout the Big Dance.

“Our guys were between 4 to 7 points for this matchup. We shaded toward the favorite because we will need to attract some money on Wisconsin.”

No. 7 Michigan State vs. No. 1 Duke (-5.5)

Duke is no surprise in the matchup. Michigan State is, to a degree.

“You’ve got a team nobody expected to get there this year,” Avello said. “Michigan State has a history of getting through the tournament, but this year didn’t seem like their year. Hats off to Coach Tom Izzo again for the way he gets his team ready to win it all – not to win the Big Ten, but to win it all.”

So what about the number?

“At the beginning of the tournament, Duke would have been favored by 8 to 9 points over Michigan State,” Avello said. “My adjustment has been made. Michigan State is better now than at the beginning of the tournament, but is Duke worse? I don’t think so.”

As with the Wisconsin-Kentucky line, Lester came in a little tighter, with Michigan State opening at +4.5. But he entertained 5.5 and fully expects the number to jump.

“The Spartans just feel like that team of destiny, like UConn last year. But they are overmatched from a personnel perspective here,” Lester said. “Michigan State claws to come back and win games, while the Blue Devils grind to preserve wins.

“I felt like we could’ve made this a point higher, and I’m expecting the number to jump throughout the week.”

 

[CNOTES]

NHL


Monday, March 30


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Tampa Bay - 7:30 PM ET Tampa Bay +120 500 *****
Montreal - Over 5 500


Vancouver - 8:00 PM ET Vancouver +127 500 *****
St. Louis - Under 5 500


Los Angeles - 8:30 PM ET Los Angeles -117 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Chicago - Over 5 500


Calgary - 8:30 PM ET Dallas -155 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Dallas - Over 5.5 500


Edmonton - 9:00 PM ET Edmonton +175 500 *****
Colorado - Under 5.5 500


Buffalo - 10:00 PM ET Buffalo +165 500 *****
Arizona - Over 5.5 500

 

[CNOTES]

NBA


Monday, March 30


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Boston - 7:00 PM ET Boston +3 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Charlotte - Under 196.5 500


L.A. Lakers - 7:00 PM ET L.A. Lakers +4.5 500 *****
Philadelphia - Under 191.5 500


Milwaukee - 7:30 PM ET Milwaukee +8.5 500 *****
Atlanta - Over 194.5 500


Houston - 7:30 PM ET Houston +2 500 SLAM DUNK
Toronto - Over 208.5 500


Sacramento - 8:00 PM ET Sacramento +10 500 TRIPLE PLAY
Memphis - Over 198 500


Utah - 8:00 PM ET Minnesota +7.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY
Minnesota - Under 186.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Phoenix - 10:00 PM ET Portland -8.5 500 *****
Portland - Under 199 500

 

[CNOTES]

CBB


Monday, March 30


Game Score Status Pick Amount


Louisiana-Monroe - 8:00 PM ET Loyola-Chicago -5.5 500 DOUBLE PLAY


Loyola-Chicago - Over 129 500 DOUBLE PLAY