Cnotes 4th of July MLB Best Bets !

[CNOTES]

Lincecum, Giants Entertain Padres On Fourth Of July

Interleague play is done, and now it's back to normal in the majors as MLB heads towards the All-Star break. Among the full slate of contests to begin the season's 14th week is an NL West battle in San Francisco between the defending champion Giants and San Diego Padres.

The Fourth of July clash begins at 2:05 p.m. (PT) from AT&T Park with an initial mound matchup of Padres lefty Clayton Richard (5-12, 4.09) against the Giants' Tim Lincecum (10-7, 3.04).

San Diego and San Francisco took the NL West race down to the final day of the 2010 season before the Giants grabbed the honors. The Padres were the surprise club of the division and the NL last year, but find themselves in a scrap with the Dodgers for the division basement this time around. San Fran's biggest challenger currently is Arizona, with the Diamondbacks among the top surprises in the big leagues this campaign.

It's just the second get-together for the two clubs this season, the first a quick 2-game set in San Diego back in early April. The teams split that series, a moral victory for the Giants who dropped 12 of 18 meetings with the Padres in 2010. San Diego won seven of the nine played at AT&T Park, the 'under' also going 7-2.

Richard is white-hot by his 2011 standards, winning his last two assignments after the Padres lost 12 of his first 15 trips to the bump. San Diego's weak offense gets part if not more of the blame. During a 6-start stretch from May 21 to June 17, all Padres losses, the lineup plated just 10 runs in Richard's efforts, half of those coming in one game.

This will be the first start against San Francisco this season for the former Michigan star. Richard faced the Giants five times a year ago, the Padres winning all five of his starts and the southpaw posting a fine 2.55 ERA in the outings. He was 3-0 in three tries at AT&T Park with a 3.43 ERA in 18 1/3 innings, but will be facing a Giants lineup that is a money-making 16-5 vs. lefties this year.

Lincecum is hoping July is kinder than June proved to be, the 2-time Cy Young winner going 1-2 with a 4.84 ERA in six starts last month. 'The Freak' will be making his second start of '11 vs. San Diego and was dominant in the first outing at Petco Park on April 6, working seven innings and allowing just three hits and a run while striking out 13.

San Francisco has won 10 of Lincecum's 14 career starts vs. the Padres, the right-hander fashioning an excellent 2.02 ERA over 93 1/3 frames.

The Giants have a long list of walking wounded heading into the second half of the season. They are close to the return of rookie first baseman Brandon Belt (wrist) and shortstop Mike Fontenot (groin), but are in wait-&-see mode for second baseman Freddy Sanchez (shoulder), the versatile Mark DeRosa (wrist) and left-hander Jonathan Sanchez (biceps).

Catcher Buster Posey was lost for the remainder of the season with a broken left leg in late-May.

San Diego is currently without starting pitcher Aaron Harang (foot) and first baseman Brad Hawpe (finger). Both are expected back after the midseason break.

Sunny skies and mild temps are in the forecast for Monday and the remainder of the 4-game series that continues Tuesday with Tim Stauffer in line for the Padres and Matt Cain the scheduled hurler for the Giants.

 

[CNOTES]

Cardinals Host Cueto, Reds On Independence Day

Two teams that battled for the National League Central division crown a year ago begin an important three-game series in St. Louis on Monday when the Cardinals host the Cincinnati Reds.

Game time is scheduled for 3:15 p.m. (PT) with St. Louis sending veteran Chris Carpenter (3-7, 4.00 ERA) to the mound against Cincinnati’s Johnny Cueto (5-2, 1.84).

The Cardinals finished five games behind the defending champion Reds in the NL Central last year but have done an outstanding job of competing for the title this season despite losing ace pitcher Adam Wainwright to a serious elbow injury that required Tommy John surgery and slugger Albert Pujols to a fractured left wrist.

Wainwright suffered the injury back in March and underwent season-ending surgery while Pujols has been out a little less than two weeks, putting tremendous pressure on the Cardinals to contend without two of their best players. The loss of both players did not keep their teammates from pulling into a tie for first place at the midway point of the season and Pujols could come back after the All-Star break.

Carpenter has been the ace of the staff in the past and will be counted on to keep the Cards in contention in the second half. He is coming off his best outing of the year at Baltimore on Wednesday, allowing just one run and seven hits with one walk and five strikeouts in earning a complete-game 5-1 victory against the Orioles. Carpenter rewarded bettors who backed him as a 120 favorite, and he has closed as an underdog just twice in 17 starts this season.

Meanwhile, Cueto missed the beginning of the year due to a shoulder injury but has been strong since returning on May 8. He has not given up more than three runs in any of his 10 starts but walked away with a no-decision last time out at Tampa Bay on Tuesday as Evan Longoria hit the game-winning homer for the Rays in the bottom of the ninth inning off of reliever Logan Ondrusek.

Cueto surrendered three runs and four hits in 7 2/3 innings against Tampa with Johnny Damon hitting a solo home run and two-run double off of him. He failed to win as a dog for the second time in three outings for the Reds but had allowed no more than two runs in each of his previous five starts, including one or less in his previous three.

Carpenter and Cueto were involved in an ugly brawl during their previous head-to-head meeting last August 10 at St. Louis with both teams tied for the division lead following that game. Cueto was suspended for seven games after kicking wildly at several Cardinals while he was trying to defend himself.

Cueto and Carpenter were pinned against the backstop screen following a confrontation between Cincinnati second baseman Brandon Phillips and St. Louis catcher Yadier Molina at home plate that ignited the brawl and Cardinals backup catcher Jason LaRue suffered a mild concussion and sore ribs as a result of the incident. Phillips, Molina, Carpenter and Reds relief pitcher Russ Springer were fined but not suspended.

However, St. Louis manager Tony LaRussa and Cincinnati’s Dusty Baker were each suspended two games. The Cardinals swept that three-game series but have dropped four of the six meetings between the teams this season, including three straight on the road in mid-May. They lost two of those six games with Carpenter on the hill as a favorite.

There is a 40 percent chance of rain in St. Louis on the Fourth of July due to scattered thunderstorms in the area with a projected high temperature in the mid-80s.

 

[CNOTES]

Around the Horn - Monday

July 3, 2011

NATIONAL LEAGUE


Chicago at Washington - 1:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Coleman (2-4, 7.78 ERA) 4-6 L10 4-9 away off win
Zimmermann (5-7, 2.63 ERA) 2-5 L7 6-1 L7 home Game 1's

Cubs beat White Sox, 3-1 on Sunday
Nationals lost to Pirates, 10-2 on Sunday

Houston at Pittsburgh - 1:35 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Myers (3-7, 4.60 ERA) 2-8 L10 4-1 L5 away Game 1's
Maholm (4-9, 3.17 ERA) 8-4 L12 3-6 HF off win

Astros lost to Red Sox, 2-1 on Sunday
Pirates beat Nationals, 10-2 on Sunday

Arizona at Milwaukee - 4:10 PM EST Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Hudson (9-5, 3.49 ERA) 2-6 L8 4-2 L6 away off loss
Marcum (7-3, 3.16 ERA) 1-5 L6 13-2 home off loss

Diamondbacks lost to Athletics, 7-2 on Sunday
Brewers lost to Twins, 9-7 on Sunday

San Diego at San Francisco - 5:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Richard (4-9, 4.09 ERA) 5-2 L7 4-9 away Game 1's
Lincecum (6-6, 3.04 ERA) 9-3 L12 8-1 home vs LHP

Padres lost to Mariners, 3-1 on Sunday
Giants lost to Tigers, 6-3 on Sunday

Philadelphia at Florida - 6:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Worley (3-1, 2.57 ERA) 5-2 L7 6-3 L9 away Game 1's
Nolasco (5-4, 4.08 ERA) 5-5 L10 2-7 L9 home Game 1's

Phillies lost to Blue Jays, 7-4 on Sunday

Cincinnati at St. Louis - 6:15 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Cueto (5-2, 1.84 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-2 L7 away vs RHP
Carpenter (3-7, 4.00 ERA) 4-2 L6 OVER 5-0 L5 home vs RHP

Reds beat Indians, 7-5 on Sunday
Cardinals lost to Rays, 8-3 on Sunday

Colorado at Atlanta - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Jimenez (3-7, 4.35 ERA) 3-6 L9 6-2 L8 away off loss
Hanson (9-4, 2.62 ERA) 5-1 L6 3-6 L9 home Game 1's

Rockies lost to Royals, 16-8 on Sunday
Braves lost to Orioles, 5-4 on Sunday

N.Y. Mets at Los Angeles - 9:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Capuano (7-7, 4.27 ERA) 5-3 L8 OVER 5-2 L7 away off win
Lilly (5-8, 4.97 ERA) 3-6 L9 6-4 home vs LHP

Mets beat Yankees, 3-2 on Sunday

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Toronto at Boston - 1:35 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Morrow (4-4, 4.56 ERA) 2-5 L7 10-4 away Game 1's
Lackey (5-7, 6.81 ERA) 5-2 L7 10-4 home during day

Blue Jays beat Phillies, 7-4 on Sunday
Red Sox beat Astros, 2-1 on Sunday

Tampa Bay at Minnesota - 2:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Price (8-6, 3.43 ERA) 7-3 L10 10-2 L12 away during day
Duensing (5-7, 4.69 ERA) 3-8 L11 OVER 6-0 L6 home Game 1's

Rays beat Cardinals, 8-3 on Sunday
Twins beat Brewers, 9-7 on Sunday

Seattle at Oakland - 4:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Pineda (7-5, 2.65 ERA) 3-5 L8 UNDER 4-0 L4 away vs RHP
McCarthy (1-4, 3.39 ERA) 4-7 L11 4-2 L6 Game 1's off win

Mariners beat Padres, 3-1 on Sunday
Athletics beat Diamondbacks, 7-2 on Sunday

N.Y. Yankees at Cleveland - 6:35 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Burnett (8-6, 4.05 ERA) 7-1 L8 10-5 away off loss
Tomlin (9-4, 3.86 ERA) 4-2 L6 OVER 11-2 home Game 1's

Yankees lost to Mets, 3-2 on Sunday
Indians lost to Reds, 7-5 on Sunday

Kansas City at Chicago - 7:10 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Francis (3-9, 4.79 ERA) 1-5 L6 4-9 away Game 1's
Buehrle (6-5, 3.65 ERA) 7-4 L11 4-1 L5 home vs LHP

Royals beat Rockies, 16-8 on Sunday
White Sox lost to Cubs, 3-1 on Sunday

Baltimore at Texas - 8:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Jakubauskas (2-1, 5.68 ERA) 1-5 L6 OVER 6-0 L6 away off win
Lewis (7-7, 4.32 ERA) 5-5 L10 5-2 L7 home Game 1's

Orioles beat Braves, 5-4 on Sunday

Detroit at L.A. Angels - 9:05 PM EST (Game 1/3)
Teams Pitcher Notes Team Trends Betcha Didn't Know
Furbush (1-1, 2.49 ERA) 2-4 L6 9-4 away vs LHP
Pineiro (3-3, 4.14 ERA) 7-2 L9 UNDER 10-2 home Game 1's

Tigers beat Giants, 6-3 on Sunday

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's betting tips: Cubs scratch Dempster

Who’s hot

MLB: Tampa Bay has won 10 of its last 14 overall.

MLB: Philadelphia is 21-7 in its last 28 games against Florida.

Who’s not

MLB: Houston is 3-9 in Brett Myers’ last 12 starts.

MLB: Arizona has won three of its last 11 meetings with Milwaukee.

Key stat

2-5: The Washington Nationals have won just two games since Davey Johnson assumed managerial duties. The Nats were red-hot before Johnson took the help but have been outscored 35-19 since then.

Injury that shouldn’t be overlooked

Jose Reyes, New York Mets – Reyes is dealing with a Grade 1 hamstring strain and is expected to sit out Monday’s game against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Reyes, who is hitting .354 with 30 stolen bases, doesn’t think he’ll miss more than a few days. The Mets are pegged as +100 underdogs against the Dodgers.

Game of the day

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians (+115, 8.5)

Notable quotable

“The most important contest for me is Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. For months, that’s the only thing I’m willing to think about. The first thing I see when I get up in the morning is what I have written on my mirror: Winning is the only option.” – Competitive eater Joey Chestnut on Monday’s Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest. Chestnut is set as a big -500 favorite.

Notes and tips

The Chicago Cubs have scratched Ryan Dempster from his scheduled start and will call up Casey Coleman to take the ball Monday against Washington. Dempster was hospitalized for a stomach virus Saturday and is also dealing with come back issues. The Cubs are 8-2 in his last 10 starts and will now have to hope some time in the minors did Coleman well. He was 2-4 with a 7.78 ERA in 10 appearances with Chicago earlier this season.

Already without its top two strikers, Peru may be without its best midfielder as well when the club plays its first Copa America match Monday. Juan Vargas is considered doubtful for the game with a calf injury. Jefferson Farfan and Claudio Pizarro have already been ruled up and the word is their replacements are also banged up.

​

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Monday, July 4

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Monday’s streaking and slumping starting pitchers
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STREAKING

Brandon Morrow (4-4, 4.56 ERA), Toronto Blue Jays

Everyone knows this guy’s got lights-out stuff, but his lack of control often gets him into trouble. Basically, he’s in good shape if he’s not giving free passes to first base via balls out of the strikeout.

Well, over his last three starts Morrow has walked just five batters compared to 25 strikeouts. Not surprising, the results have been positive for Blue Jay backers. Toronto is 3-0 in Morrow’s last three starts.

"Power pitchers sometimes take a little longer than others to hit their stride and he's clearly hit it," Blue Jays manager John Farrell said after Morrow held the Pirates to one run while striking out 10 in seven innings of work.

Jordan Zimmerman (5-7, 2.63 ERA), Washington Nationals

This young righty hurler must be said to see the calendar turn pages. Zimmerman was absolutely lights out in the month of June going 3-1 with a microscopic 0.85 ERA over the six-start stretch.

He was the ultimate hard-luck loser in his last outing, allowing just one run in eight innings of work but picking up the loss in a 1-0 setback against Dan Haren and the Los Angeles Angels.

Despite the loss, the Nats are still 5-1 in Zimmerman’s last six appearances and the under is 7-1 in his last eight trips to the bump.


SLUMPING

Shaun Marcum (7-3, 3.16 ERA), Milwaukee Brewers

A starting pitcher’s job is to eat innings and give his team a chance to win every time he takes the mound. Shaun Marcum hasn’t been doing either of those things lately.

The former Blue Jays ace hasn’t gotten past the fifth inning in any of this last three starts. The Brew Crew are 0-3 and Marcum sports a bloated 9.00 ERA and a 2.00 WHIP (walks + hits per inning).

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Monday, July 4

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MLB run report: This week's best betting trends
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Every week, we update you on who's hot, who's not and situational betting spots in Major League Baseball.

HOT TEAM: New York Yankees

THIS SEASON: 50-32.
LAST WEEK: 5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Indians for three, home to the Rays for four.
THE SKINNY: It wasn’t long ago when the red-hot Red Sox strolled into The Bronx, swept the Yankees and left doubts as to just how good this installment of the Bombers really was. Well, quietly, the Yankees have bounced back nicely. They are winning series, getting timely hitting and as they enter Monday’s game with the Indians, they are in first place in the American League East, ahead of that same Boston team we just mentioned. And here’s some more good news for Yankees bettors. Derek Jeter is scheduled to return from the disabled list on Monday vs. the Indians. Sure, Jeter (.260 average, two home runs, 20 RBIs) is not having a banner season, and yes, his pursuit of 3,000 hits might be a distraction for this club. But the more bats, the better as New York tries to keep the momentum rolling. As always, when dealing with the Yankees, you have to a pay a price each and every time you step up to the window but wins are wins. And as we hit the dog days of summer, perhaps it’s a good idea to keep the Yankees in your back pocket, for those times when you need one of those victories.

COLD TEAM: Milwaukee Brewers

THIS SEASON: 45-41.
LAST WEEK: 1-5.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Diamondbacks for three, home to the Reds for four.
THE SKINNY: Listen, the Brewers have big bats and just enough pitching to probably make them the favorite moving forward in the National League Central. But make no mistake - interleague play is not for them. Milwaukee ran into that aforementioned Yankees train in The Bronx last week, as the Brewers were swept out of New York. Then they were only able to salvage one of three games against Minnesota. That’s a bad stretch for a first-place team with aspirations of playing into October. In four of five losses last week, the Brewers scored two runs or less. And even though they scored 17 runs vs. the Twins, they left without much to show for it. Milwaukee has plenty of stars up and down the lineup, but the truth hurts lately, as outfielder Nyjer Morgan (.331) was the only one of them who owned a .300 or better average on Sunday night. Even in the weak NL Central, that might not be enough to get it done. A homestand against National League competition might be the right elixir this week, but you might want to let the Brewers show you something before jumping back on the wagon.

OVER TEAM: Minnesota Twins

O/U THIS SEASON: 39-40-3.
O/U LAST WEEK: 5-1.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: Home to the Rays for three, at the White Sox for four.
THE SKINNY: One of the tougher teams to figure out this season, partly because they’ve been so good in the Ron Gardenhire Era, the injury-riddled Twins are showing some life of late. While it may be too late to contend, you might want to have them on your over radar going forward. The Twins scored 22 runs vs. the Brewers over the weekend, and gave up 19 to the Dodgers in a mid-week, three-game set. Those numbers were delightful to over players, and perhaps they might continue. Minnesota has five players with at least 20 RBIs, including Danny Valencia with 42, and its team ERA was at 4.29 through Sunday. That all adds up to some run-filled games and consider this for the upcoming week: In a 9-7 win over Milwaukee on Sunday, Gardenhire had to use six pitchers. If that’s not a tired staff headed into the Tampa Bay series, we don’t know what one is. More runs may be on the way.

UNDER TEAM: San Diego Padres

O/U THIS SEASON: 38-43-4.
O/U LAST WEEK: 1-5.
THIS WEEK'S SCHEDULE: At the Giants for four, at the Dodgers for three.
THE SKINNY: If there’s a more non-descript team in the majors, let us know. The Padres are well under .500, they’re on television far too late for most bettors to truly know theirs ins and outs, and they simply cannot score runs. But the latter part of that makes them appealing, at least, to the under buyers out there. San Diego is on a nice little under roll, and with San Francisco and Los Angeles up next, chances are good that will continue. The Padres scored two runs -- total -- in a three-game series vs. Seattle over the weekend and haven’t scored more than five runs in their last eight contests. That’s a tough stretch, folks. Their Sunday lineup vs. the Mariners featured one hitter that was over .300 -- Chase Headley (.307) -- and he was batting third. With all due respect to the player, when Headley is in your No. 3 hole, you have problems. The pitching, however, is still there, and that’s what should peak your interest. Through Saturday night, Mat Latos and the Padres had a team ERA of 3.29. They play in a big ballpark, they have quality arms and no bats. That might just be a decent under recipe for the rest of the year.

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Monday, July 4

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Hot lines: Monday’s best MLB bets
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Tampa Bay Rays at Minnesota Twins (+155, 7.5)

Interleague play was very good to the Tampa Bay Rays. With Sunday’s 8-3 win over the St. Louis Cardinals, the Rays finished with a 12-6 record against the National League.

They look to be a good bet to keep it going when they head to Minnesota.

Johnny Damon drove in four runs on Sunday and has seven hits over his last two games to pace the offense, but his value to this team goes well beyond his play between the lines.

"It's just everything that he does," Rays manager Joe Maddon said of Damon. "We need that kind of influence here. He just handles it as well as it possibly can be handled. The way he goes about his business."

James Shields is another guy who’s handling his business. Shields was just named to the AL All-Star squad along with teammates David Price and Matt Joyce and has allowed only five runs over his last four starts heading into Monday’s start.

We’ll eat the road chalk in this spot.

Pick: Rays


Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox (-130, 9.5)

The Boston Red Sox completed a three-game sweep of the Astros on Sunday and finished their road trip at 5-4 after dropping four out of their first five.

David Ortiz walked with the bases loaded in the top of the ninth inning Sunday to give Boston a 2-1 win after Josh Beckett threw eight strong innings.

Meanwhile, the Blue Jays showed a little more pop on Sunday with Eric Thames, Jose Bautista and Edwin Encarnacion homering in the eighth inning to push the Jays to a 7-4 win over Philadelphia, snapping Cliff Lee’s shutout streak in the process.

The Jays send Brandon Morrow to the hill and he’s been money lately, allowing just four runs over his three-game winning streak.

Nine of Toronto’s last 11 have played under the total and we could be in for a low-scoring battle at Fenway in Game 1 of this series.

Pick: Under

 

[CNOTES]

Monday's six-pack

-- Set-up men can't be All-Stars; if you're not a starter or a closer, you're not one of the best six best pitchers on your team, so you can't be on an All-Star team. Do pinch-hitters make the All-Star team? Exactly.

-- Doug Fister (2.11), Dustin Moseley (2.21) have received the worst run support of any starting pitcher; Padres have been blanked five times in Moseley's sixteen starts.

-- Ichiro Suzuki would be a cool addition to Home Run Derby. Really.

-- CC Sabathia should've been named an All-Star, even if he couldn't pitch because he's starting next Sunday. He deserves the honor.

-- President of the United States makes $400,000 a year; major league baseball's minimum salary is $414,000. Go figure.

-- Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest added a women's division for this year's competition; can't wait to see that debacle.


***************


Monday's List of 13: My National League All-Star ballot........

In a perfect world, where I made all the decisions, this would be the NL ALL-Star team in Phoenix on July 12.

C-- Brian McCann Atl—Knocking in 17.7% of his baserunners; hitting .311 with a .386 OB% with 14 HRs, 47 RBI.

1B Joey Votto Cin— 12 HR's, 51 RBI and a .436 OB%. Close call over Prince Fielder, but both were on team either way.

2B Todd Walker, Pitt— Is in top 10 in NL in RBI, knocking in 19.7% of his baserunners, one of big reasons Pirates have shot at their first winning season since 1992. Brandon Phillips is a close second here.

3B Chipper Jones Atl—No longer has much range defensively, but he’s knocked in 22.6% of baserunners, which makes him the top choice in a weak field. Injuries to Wright/Zimmerman make this a thin position.

SS Jose Reyes, NYM—Tulowitzki/Drew are both worthy candidates, but Reyes has single-handedly turned the Mets from a tabloid laughingstock into a spunky Wild Card contender. Too bad he got hurt Saturday and is now likely to miss the All-Star Game.

LF—Ryan Braun Mil— Has 16 HR's, 62 RBI, .402 OB%; he's knocked in 22% of his baserunners, but is hitting .338 with 42 RBI at home, .305 with 20 RBI on road, and he's had more AB's on the road.

CF Matt Kemp, LA— If Dodgers were any good, he’d be challenging Reyes for NL MVP. 22 HRs, 64 RBI, .410 OB%....very big year.

RF Lance Berkman, StL-- Looks washed up LY, now has 21 HRs, 59 RBI and a .408 OB%. With Holliday/Pujols both missing lot of time because of injuries, Berkman has been the Cardinals' MVP.

DH—Prince Fielder, Mil—Another guy whose going to get wealthier after this season; really a toss-up at 1B with Votto, but would rather have Votto’s glove out there.

SP’s Cliff Lee, Phil— Had allowed one run in last 42 IP before losing in Toronto Sunday; allowed 130 baserunners in 122 IP this season. Lot like Roy Halladay, throws lot of innings, important in this day and age.

Roy Halladay, Phil—Takes lot of strain off his team’s shaky bullpen by going deep into just about every start, averaging 112.6 pitches/start. He throws strikes, keep fielders alert; like Lee, worth every penny.

Jair Jurrjens, Atl— 11-3, 1.89 in 15 starts. Not much else to say.

Closer: Joel Hanrahan, Pitt—No relation to opposing goalie in Slapshot, Bucs’ closer has yet to blow a save this season (22-22). Opponents hit .210 against him. The Pirates are contenders. Go figure.

Mgr: Kirk Gibson, Ariz—Has Snakes in contention. Only way he doesn’t win this award is if Pirates finish over .500 or Mets make the playoffs.

​

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Dunkel


Tampa Bay at Minnesota
The Twins look to take advantage of a Tampa Bay team that is 2-8 in James Shields' last 10 starts as a favorite from -150 to -200. Minnesota is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Twins favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145). Here are all of today's picks.

MONDAY, JULY 4

Game 951-952: Chicago Cubs at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Coleman) 15.935; Washington (Zimmermann) 14.693
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+130); Under

Game 953-954: Houston at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Myers) 13.937; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 16.045
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-135); Over

Game 955-956: Arizona at Milwaukee (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Hudson) 14.433; Milwaukee (Marcum) 15.623
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-135); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-135); Under

Game 957-958: San Diego at San Francisco (5:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 16.335; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.581
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-210); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+180); Over

Game 959-960: Philadelphia at Florida (6:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Worley) 15.934; Florida (Nolasco) 14.997
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-120); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-120); Over

Game 961-962: Cincinnati at St. Louis (6:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.630; St. Louis (Carpenter) 14.627
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+100); Under

Game 963-964: Colorado at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 14.804; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.365
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 965-966: NY Mets at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Capuano) 16.361; LA Dodgers (Lilly) 14.665
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+100); Over

Game 967-968: Toronto at Boston (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Morrow) 14.940; Boston (Lackey) 15.980
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Over

Game 969-970: Tampa Bay at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.290; Minnesota (Duensing) 16.051
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+145); Under

Game 971-972: Seattle at Oakland (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Pineda) 14.531; Oakland (McCarthy) 15.800
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Seattle (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+105); Under

Game 973-974: NY Yankees at Cleveland (6:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 17.491; Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.710
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-125); Over

Game 975-976: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Francis) 14.568; White Sox (Buehrle) 15.233
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-155); Under

Game 977-978: Baltimore at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Jakubauskus) 15.074; Texas (Lewis) 13.955
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-200); 10
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+170); Over

Game 979-980: Detroit at LA Angels (9:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Furbush) 16.437; LA Angels (Pineiro) 14.798
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+105); Under

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Write-Up


Monday, July 4

Hot pitchers
-- Washington won last five Zimmerman starts (3-0, 1.05).
-- Maholm is 2-1, 1.99 in his last five starts.
-- DHudson is 3-0, 2.10 in his last four starts.
-- Richard is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts. Lincecum is 2-1, 1.80 in his last three outings.
-- Nolasco is 1-1, 1.69 in his last couple starts. Worley is 2-0, 1.00 in his last three outings.
-- Cueto is 3-0, 1.77 in his last five starts. Carpenter is 2-0, 1.13 in his last couple starts.
-- Hanson is 4-0, 2.16 in his last four starts. Jimenez is 3-2, 3.57 in his last six starts- he pitched a no-hitter in Atlanta LY.
-- Capuano is 4-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.

-- Morrow is 2-0, 2.18 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 1-0, 2.30 in his last couple starts.
-- Tomlin is 2-0, 2.70 in his last three starts. Burnett is 2-2, 3.08 in his last four outings.
-- Buehrle is 3-1, 3.06 in his last five starts.
-- Lewis is 2-0, 1.77 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Coleman is 1-4, 8.64 in his last six starts.
-- Myers is 1-3, 4.63 in his last five starts.
-- Marcum is 0-1, 8.00 in his last three starts.
-- de la Rosa is 0-3, 5.60 in his last three starts.

-- Lackey has a 5.28 RA in five starts since coming off the DL.
-- Duensing is 2-2, 6.41 in his last four starts.
-- McCarthy was 0-3, 5.88 in his last five starts before going on DL. Pineda is 1-2, 4.38 in his last four starts.
-- Francis is 1-4, 5.97 in his last five starts.
-- Jakubauskus has a 6.64 RA in his last four starts.
-- Furbush is making first big league start; he is 1-1, 2.49 in his 12 relief (21.1 IP) appearances. He was 4-3, 2.91 in eight AAA starts. Pineiro is 1-3, 5.98 in his last eight starts.

Totals
-- Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs' last five road games.
-- Three of last four Myers starts stayed under total.
-- Under is 7-4-1 in last twelve DHudson starts.
-- Under is 4-0-1 in Giants' last five home games.
-- Six of Phillies' last nine games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine St Louis home games.
-- Five of last seven Atlanta home games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Capuano starts stayed under the total.

-- Over is 11-2-1 in last fourteen games at Fenway Park.
-- Six of last nine Tampa Bay road games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Seattle's last dozen road games.
-- Five of last six Cleveland home games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five White Sox home games stayed under total.
-- Six of seven Lewis home starts went over the total.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.

Hot Teams
-- Pittsburgh won eight of its last twelve games.
-- Giants won nine of their last twelve games. Padres won five of their last seven games.
-- Phillies won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Cardinals won four of their last six games.
-- Braves won ten of their last thirteen games.

-- Red Sox won their last four games, scoring 24 runs.
-- Minnesota won 11 of its last 13 home games. Tampa Bay is 11-4 in its last fifteen games overall.
-- Bronx won seven of its last eight games. Indians won four of their last six games, but are 5-10 in their last 15 home games.
-- Angels won eight of their last ten games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost five of its last seven games. Cubs lost seven of their last nine road games.
-- Astros lost six of their last nine road games.
-- Arizona lost six of its last eight games.
-- Dodgers lost seven of their last ten games. Mets lost three of their last four games.

-- Toronto lost five of its last seven games.
-- Oakland lost seven of its last eleven games. Mariners lost eight of their last twelve games.
-- Royals lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Orioles lost 14 of their last 19 road games.
-- Detroit lost five of its last seven road games.

​

 

[CNOTES]

MLB


Monday, July 4

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games when playing Washington
Chi Cubs are 11-4 SU in their last 15 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games at home

1:35 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
Toronto is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto

1:35 PM
HOUSTON vs. PITTSBURGH
Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 6 games at home

2:10 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing Tampa Bay

4:05 PM
SEATTLE vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Seattle's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Seattle is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oakland's last 11 games

4:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. MILWAUKEE
Arizona is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Arizona's last 16 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Milwaukee's last 16 games when playing at home against Arizona

5:05 PM
SAN DIEGO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
San Diego is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games at home

6:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. FLORIDA
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida
Philadelphia is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Florida's last 6 games at home
Florida is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games at home

6:15 PM
CINCINNATI vs. ST. LOUIS
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Cincinnati is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
St. Louis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Cincinnati

6:35 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
NY Yankees are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games on the road
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 8 games at home

7:10 PM
COLORADO vs. ATLANTA
Colorado is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Colorado's last 14 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Kansas City is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi White Sox's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi White Sox's last 5 games when playing Kansas City

8:05 PM
BALTIMORE vs. TEXAS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 9 games when playing Texas
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Baltimore's last 13 games
Texas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games when playing Baltimore

9:05 PM
DETROIT vs. LA ANGELS
Detroit is 8-16 SU in their last 24 games when playing on the road against LA Angels
Detroit is 6-2 SU in their last 8 games when playing LA Angels
LA Angels are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Angels's last 6 games when playing at home against Detroit

9:10 PM
NY METS vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
NY Mets are 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games at home

 

[CNOTES]

MLB
Long Sheet


Monday, July 4

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CHICAGO CUBS (35 - 50) at WASHINGTON (42 - 43) - 1:05 PM
CASEY COLEMAN (R) vs. JORDAN ZIMMERMANN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-50 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 52-66 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 35-50 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 74-96 (-21.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO CUBS are 9-26 (-17.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 50-62 (-27.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 42-43 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 24-15 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
WASHINGTON is 42-43 (+5.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 12-4 (+8.8 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CASEY COLEMAN vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
COLEMAN is 1-0 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 1.42 and a WHIP of 0.790.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JORDAN ZIMMERMANN vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
ZIMMERMANN is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 6.75 and a WHIP of 1.313.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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HOUSTON (29 - 56) at PITTSBURGH (43 - 41) - 1:35 PM
BRETT MYERS (R) vs. PAUL MAHOLM (L)
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 29-56 (-21.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 27-55 (-23.4 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
HOUSTON is 12-30 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PITTSBURGH is 43-41 (+12.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
PITTSBURGH is 16-10 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
PITTSBURGH is 41-40 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MAHOLM is 21-15 (+13.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 58-55 (+14.7 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-31 (+17.8 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 38-37 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MYERS is 17-9 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 26-23 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
MYERS is 18-13 (+9.2 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
PITTSBURGH is 76-126 (-36.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
PITTSBURGH is 25-57 (-30.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 5-1 (+4.3 Units) against HOUSTON this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.5 Units)

BRETT MYERS vs. PITTSBURGH since 1997
MYERS is 6-4 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 2.95 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 7-4 (+1.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-8. (-5.5 units)

PAUL MAHOLM vs. HOUSTON since 1997
MAHOLM is 10-6 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.295.
His team's record is 11-7 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 7-9. (-2.7 units)

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ARIZONA (45 - 40) at MILWAUKEE (45 - 40) - 4:10 PM
DANIEL HUDSON (R) vs. SHAUN MARCUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 24-45 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 29-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 29-11 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 23-8 (+12.9 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters this season.
MILWAUKEE is 13-2 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a loss this season.
MILWAUKEE is 22-14 (+9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ARIZONA is 45-41 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ARIZONA is 45-41 (+6.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-49 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 14-28 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

DANIEL HUDSON vs. MILWAUKEE since 1997
HUDSON is 1-0 when starting against MILWAUKEE with an ERA of 2.57 and a WHIP of 1.143.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

SHAUN MARCUM vs. ARIZONA since 1997
MARCUM is 1-0 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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SAN DIEGO (38 - 47) at SAN FRANCISCO (48 - 37) - 5:05 PM
CLAYTON RICHARD (L) vs. TIM LINCECUM (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-37 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 67-43 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 78-47 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 45-23 (+15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 or less over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 20-11 (+9.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 48-37 (+8.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 16-5 (+11.4 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 65-45 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 110-72 (+23.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 128-120 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 10-6 (+12.5 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 over the last 3 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 64-57 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 19-12 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
SAN DIEGO is 126-119 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 46-37 (+19.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 64-55 (+12.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons.
SAN DIEGO is 29-23 (+16.6 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN DIEGO is 1-1 (+0.2 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.1 Units, Under=-0.2 Units)

CLAYTON RICHARD vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
RICHARD is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.248.
His team's record is 5-2 (+4.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.2 units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. SAN DIEGO since 1997
LINCECUM is 6-3 when starting against SAN DIEGO with an ERA of 2.03 and a WHIP of 1.189.
His team's record is 10-4 (+5.3 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 8-6. (+1.2 units)

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PHILADELPHIA (53 - 32) at FLORIDA (38 - 46) - 6:10 PM
VANCE WORLEY (R) vs. RICKY NOLASCO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 466-431 (+47.8 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.
FLORIDA is 295-309 (+55.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997.
PHILADELPHIA is 112-67 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 (+12.7 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
FLORIDA is 16-24 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
FLORIDA is 16-24 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field this season.
FLORIDA is 13-19 (-9.6 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.
FLORIDA is 73-101 (-28.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
FLORIDA is 28-43 (-18.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NOLASCO is 6-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 6-14 (-12.2 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NOLASCO is 5-14 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-2 (+4.2 Units) against FLORIDA this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.5 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

VANCE WORLEY vs. FLORIDA since 1997
WORLEY is 0-1 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.400.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

RICKY NOLASCO vs. PHILADELPHIA since 1997
NOLASCO is 6-2 when starting against PHILADELPHIA with an ERA of 2.83 and a WHIP of 1.095.
His team's record is 6-4 (+4.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-6. (-2.4 units)

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CINCINNATI (43 - 42) at ST LOUIS (45 - 40) - 6:15 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. CHRIS CARPENTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 17-25 (-12.2 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
ST LOUIS is 34-15 (+15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 17-4 (+12.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 173-163 (+33.6 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 549-628 (+54.8 Units) against the money line in road games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 73-44 (+22.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CINCINNATI is 486-572 (+38.8 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 363-406 (+42.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 73-72 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 131-116 (-22.6 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 55-52 (-24.4 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 128-113 (-22.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-2 (+2.6 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CUETO is 4-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.47 and a WHIP of 1.471.
His team's record is 5-5 (+0.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-2. (+5.9 units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CARPENTER is 12-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 2.42 and a WHIP of 0.870.
His team's record is 14-6 (+4.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 8-12. (-4.9 units)

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COLORADO (41 - 43) at ATLANTA (49 - 36) - 7:10 PM
UBALDO JIMENEZ (R) vs. TOMMY HANSON (R)
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 41-43 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
COLORADO is 50-71 (-25.7 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 41-43 (-15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
COLORADO is 78-85 (-28.5 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 26-32 (-16.1 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
JIMENEZ is 4-11 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
JIMENEZ is 4-11 (-12.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ATLANTA is 57-28 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in home games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

UBALDO JIMENEZ vs. ATLANTA since 1997
JIMENEZ is 2-3 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.458.
His team's record is 2-4 (-2.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

TOMMY HANSON vs. COLORADO since 1997
HANSON is 0-0 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 7.20 and a WHIP of 1.600.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

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NY METS (42 - 42) at LA DODGERS (37 - 48) - 9:10 PM
CHRIS CAPUANO (L) vs. RUBBY DE LA ROSA (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY METS are 23-20 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
NY METS are 23-20 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in road games in games played on a grass field this season.
NY METS are 18-15 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters this season.
LA DODGERS are 37-48 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
LA DODGERS are 19-24 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
LA DODGERS are 37-48 (-13.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY METS is 2-1 (+1.0 Units) against LA DODGERS this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CAPUANO vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
CAPUANO is 2-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.52 and a WHIP of 1.283.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-5. (-3.6 units)

RUBBY DE LA ROSA vs. NY METS since 1997
No recent starts.

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TORONTO (41 - 44) at BOSTON (49 - 34) - 1:35 PM
BRANDON MORROW (R) vs. JOHN LACKEY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 11-23 (-12.8 Units) against the money line in day games this season.
BOSTON is 34-15 (+13.6 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TORONTO is 126-122 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 57-47 (+16.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 58-59 (+9.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 100-91 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 50-42 (-18.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LACKEY is 15-22 (-17.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 9 to 9.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 (+1.5 Units) against TORONTO this season
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+4.0 Units)

BRANDON MORROW vs. BOSTON since 1997
MORROW is 0-2 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 12.38 and a WHIP of 2.500.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.3 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-0. (+4.2 units)

JOHN LACKEY vs. TORONTO since 1997
LACKEY is 5-6 when starting against TORONTO with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.339.
His team's record is 7-10 (-4.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-11. (-6.8 units)

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TAMPA BAY (47 - 37) at MINNESOTA (36 - 46) - 2:10 PM
DAVID PRICE (L) vs. BRIAN DUENSING (L)
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 21-14 (+10.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 26-16 (+12.1 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
TAMPA BAY is 23-14 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
TAMPA BAY is 27-15 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
TAMPA BAY is 16-8 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
TAMPA BAY is 30-9 (+21.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PRICE is 17-6 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 6-1 (+4.8 Units) against MINNESOTA this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+2.7 Units)

DAVID PRICE vs. MINNESOTA since 1997
PRICE is 1-1 when starting against MINNESOTA with an ERA of 1.74 and a WHIP of 1.064.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

BRIAN DUENSING vs. TAMPA BAY since 1997
DUENSING is 1-0 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 3.46 and a WHIP of 1.308.
His team's record is 1-1 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-1. (-0.1 units)

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SEATTLE (41 - 43) at OAKLAND (38 - 47) - 4:05 PM
MICHAEL PINEDA (R) vs. BRANDON MCCARTHY (R)
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 103-143 (-37.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 26-49 (-22.0 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 100-137 (-36.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 41-60 (-23.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 272-260 (-79.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season since 1997.
OAKLAND is 51-36 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 31-19 (+11.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
SEATTLE is 7-0 (+7.9 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 7 or less this season.
OAKLAND is 38-47 (-13.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 37-45 (-12.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 25-36 (-14.4 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 14-21 (-10.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-3 (+1.7 Units) against OAKLAND this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

MICHAEL PINEDA vs. OAKLAND since 1997
PINEDA is 1-0 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 1.167.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.0 units)

BRANDON MCCARTHY vs. SEATTLE since 1997
MCCARTHY is 1-2 when starting against SEATTLE with an ERA of 5.51 and a WHIP of 1.163.
His team's record is 4-2 (+2.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-2. (+2.0 units)

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NY YANKEES (50 - 32) at CLEVELAND (44 - 38) - 6:35 PM
A.J. BURNETT (R) vs. JOSH TOMLIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 89-75 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
BURNETT is 21-30 (-21.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 9-16 (-11.0 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 20-26 (-18.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 3-8 (-8.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 5-17 (-18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BURNETT is 0-9 (-11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 45-38 (+12.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 24-14 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 42-35 (+11.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-24 (+11.5 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
CLEVELAND is 33-27 (+9.5 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
CLEVELAND is 28-25 (+7.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
TOMLIN is 12-2 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 12-2 (+11.3 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 10-2 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
TOMLIN is 7-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 43-17 (+20.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 27-7 (+20.2 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 24-10 (+10.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY YANKEES is 3-1 (+1.3 Units) against CLEVELAND this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.8 Units)

A.J. BURNETT vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
BURNETT is 3-5 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 4.47 and a WHIP of 1.474.
His team's record is 4-5 (-1.9 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-2. (+3.8 units)

JOSH TOMLIN vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
TOMLIN is 1-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.333.
His team's record is 1-1 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.1 units)

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KANSAS CITY (34 - 50) at CHI WHITE SOX (42 - 43) - 7:10 PM
JEFF FRANCIS (L) vs. MARK BUEHRLE (L)
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS CITY is 109-168 (-40.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 4-22 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in road games against left-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
KANSAS CITY is 23-55 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
FRANCIS is 0-12 (-14.1 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 11-1 (+9.7 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -150 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 122-63 (+36.1 Units) against the money line in home games since 1997. (Team's Record)
BUEHRLE is 29-19 (+10.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CHI WHITE SOX are 39-52 (-22.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHI WHITE SOX is 1-1 (-0.2 Units) against KANSAS CITY this season
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.0 Units)

JEFF FRANCIS vs. CHI WHITE SOX since 1997
FRANCIS is 0-1 when starting against CHI WHITE SOX with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.607.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-2. (-2.4 units)

MARK BUEHRLE vs. KANSAS CITY since 1997
BUEHRLE is 21-11 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 3.67 and a WHIP of 1.260.
His team's record is 32-14 (+8.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 22-23. (-3.6 units)

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BALTIMORE (36 - 45) at TEXAS (44 - 41) - 8:05 PM
CHRIS JAKUBAUSKAS (R) vs. COLBY LEWIS (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BALTIMORE is 30-43 (-13.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 10-27 (-16.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 52-52 (+14.6 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.
BALTIMORE is 30-29 (+18.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TEXAS is 17-22 (-12.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TEXAS is 15-21 (-20.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
LEWIS is 22-27 (-14.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS is 2-1 (+0.9 Units) against BALTIMORE this season
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)

CHRIS JAKUBAUSKAS vs. TEXAS since 1997
No recent starts.

COLBY LEWIS vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
LEWIS is 0-2 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 5.30 and a WHIP of 1.607.
His team's record is 0-3 (-3.8 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-0. (+3.0 units)

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DETROIT (45 - 40) at LA ANGELS (44 - 41) - 10:05 PM
CHARLIE FURBUSH (L) vs. JOEL PINEIRO (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 107-168 (-48.7 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 since 1997.
DETROIT is 83-120 (-33.1 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 28-50 (-18.0 Units) against the money line in road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 29-56 (-24.7 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 34-57 (-21.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a win over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 73-49 (+22.1 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 587-576 (+48.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
LA ANGELS are 115-122 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 81-92 (-22.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.
LA ANGELS are 55-67 (-21.9 Units) against the money line after a win over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

CHARLIE FURBUSH vs. LA ANGELS since 1997
No recent starts.

JOEL PINEIRO vs. DETROIT since 1997
PINEIRO is 6-3 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.21 and a WHIP of 1.300.
His team's record is 6-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 7-4. (+2.9 units)

 

[CNOTES]

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record
07/03/11 15-*15-*0 50.00% -*370 Detail
07/02/11 13-*12-*1 52.00% +*250 Detail
07/01/11 16-*13-*0 55.17% +*915 Detail
Totals 44-*40-*1 52.38% +795

Monday, July 4

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Chi. Cubs - 1:05 PM ET Washington -140 500
Washington -

Toronto - 1:35 PM ET Boston -131 500
Boston - Over 9.5 500

Houston - 1:35 PM ET Pittsburgh -125 500
Pittsburgh - Over 7.5 500

Tampa Bay - 2:10 PM ET Minnesota +143 500
Minnesota - Over 7.5 500

Seattle - 4:05 PM ET Oakland -102 500
Oakland - Under 6.5 500

Arizona - 4:10 PM ET Arizona +126 500
Milwaukee - Over 7.5 500

San Diego - 5:05 PM ET San Francisco -204 500
San Francisco - Under 6 500

Philadelphia - 6:10 PM ET Florida -104 500
Florida - Over 8 500

Cincinnati - 6:15 PM ET Cincinnati +109 500
St. Louis - Over 7.5 500

NY Yankees - 6:35 PM ET Cleveland +116 500
Cleveland - Over 8.5 500

Kansas City - 7:10 PM ET Kansas City +141 500
Chi. White Sox - Over 9 500

Colorado - 7:10 PM ET Colorado +122 500
Atlanta - Over 7 500

Baltimore - 8:05 PM ET Texas -198 500
Texas - Over 10 500

Detroit - 9:05 PM ET Detroit +116 500
LA Angels - Under 8 500

NY Mets - 9:10 PM ET NY Mets +105 500
LA Dodgers - Over 7.5 500