CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

[CNOTES]

Friday’s 7-pack:
Batters who hot 30+ home runs each of the last three years:
Pete Alonso
Aaron Judge
Shohei Ohtani
Cal Raleigh
Brent Rooker
Kyle Schwarber
Juan Soto

Quote of the Day
“Everyone needs to see a little bit of positivity in the game. We are human. We feed off a ton of things, including the good things. Of course everyone takes a collective breath.”
Tigers manager AJ Hinch

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, who was their manager?

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

Wednesday’s quiz
Right now, Memphis Tigers have the longest active winning streak in college football- they’ve won their last eight games.

********************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….​

— Seahawks 23, Cardinals 20
Seahawks kicked a 52-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
Seattle led 14-3 at halftime.
Seattle ran for 155 yards, outgained Cardinals, 384-253
Seahawks are 8-1 SU/5-3-1 ATS in last eight visits to Arizona.
Cardinals lost on a last-second field goal last week, too.
Arizona’s first nine drives: 46 plays, 147 yards, 6 points.
Arizona’s last two drives: 20 plays, 130 yards, 14 points.
Since 2019, Arizona is 6-13 ATS in NFC West home games.

— East Carolina 28, Army 6
Pirates led 21-0 in the first quarter.
ECU was 7-12 on third down, Army 2-15.
Pirates outgained Army, 431-290

— Reds 2, Pirates 1
RF Noelvi Marte made a HR-saving catch in 9th inning to preserve the win.
Nick Lodolo struck out 12 batters in 6.1 scoreless IP.
Reds are a game behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Mets 8, Cubs 5
Francisco Lindor homered, is a 30-30 guy for the second time.
Mets led this game 6-0 in the 4th inning.
Brett Baty went 2-for-4, with 3 RBI

— Dodgers 8, Diamondbacks 0
Shohei Ohtani hit his 54th home run.
Dodgers clinch NL West for 12th time in 13 years.
Arizona falls two games behind the Mets for the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Tigers 4, Guardians 2
Detroit used six pitchers in this win, tying Cleveland for AL Central lead.
Tigers hit three solo home runs.
This weekend, Cleveland hosts Texas, Tigers visit Boston.

— Obscure Fact of the Day: Actor Russell Johnson played the Professor on the old TV show Gilligan’s Island, but before he was an actor, Russell Johnson flew 44 combat missions as a WWII bombardier. His plane was shot down in 1945; he broke both his ankles.
He earned a Purple Heart, a Bronze Star and the admiration of Ginger and Mary Ann.

— Famous birthdays, September 26th:
Kent McCord, 83
Dave Duncan, 80
Mike Bragg, 79
Lucius Allen, 78
John Roche, 76
Melissa Sue Anderson, 63
Sean Doolittle, 39
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, 32
Shake Milton, 29

— Washington Nationals are hiring Paul Toboni as their new head of baseball operations. The 35-year old Toboni rose quickly in the Red Sox organization to become assistant GM and is widely regarded as one of the best young executives in MLB.

— Astros 11, A’s 5
Houston remains a game behind Detroit for the AL’s last playoff slot.
Christian Walker homered, had three RBI
Win ends Astros’ 7-game losing streak against the A’s.

— Blue Jays 6, Red Sox 1
Daulton Varsho hit his 5th career grand slam.
Toronto/New York remain tied atop the AL East; Blue Jays own tiebreaker.
Boston’s magic number to clinch a playoff spot is one.

— Phillies 1, Marlins 0
Only run of the game scored on a first inning ground out.
Walker Buehler pitched five shutout innings.
Surprising fact: This loss eliminated the Marlins, who have had a good year.

— Royals 9, Angels 4
Bobby Witt Jr went 4-for-5, scored two runs.
Mike Trout hit his 401st career home run.

— Random opinion: If a run scores because of an error on the pitcher, that should be an earned run. Why should the pitcher’s stats benefit because he made an error?

— Playoff picture with 3 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Mets
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers

 

[CNOTES]

Saturday’s 6-pack:
Josh Naylor’s stolen bases, the last six years:
2020— 1
2021— 1
2022— 6
2023— 10
2024— 6
2025— 30

Quote of the Day
“This is as exciting as it gets. To not admit that you’re nervous, I think that would be wrong. I’m nervous as hell.”
Reds manager Terry Francona

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, what QB has thrown for the most yards?

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

Thursday’s quiz
First time the Seattle Seahawks played in a Super Bowl, Matt Hasselbeck was their QB.

********************************************

Saturday’s Den: Wrapping up a busy Friday night…….​

— Reds 3, Brewers 1
Cincinnati bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a hit.
Gavin Lux went 2-for-4, scored two runs.
Reds take over the NL’s last Wild Card slot.

— Marlins 6, Mets 2
Sandy Alcantara threw 100 pitches, got a win in his last ’25 start.
Down 2-0, Marlins scored six runs in the fifth inning.
Connor Norby hit Miami’s 9th pinch-hit homer this season.

— Padres 7, Diamondbacks 4
Fernando Tatis hit a 4th inning grand slam that broke the game open.
Luis Arraez had four hits for San Diego.
Loss puts Arizona on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Red Sox 4, Tigers 3
Ceddanne Rafaela hit a walk-off triple off the centerfield fence.
Red Sox clinch their first playoff spot since 2021.
Detroit/Cleveland remain tied atop AL Central.

— Rangers 7, Guardians 3
Alejandro Osuna hit a 3-run homer in the first inning.
Jack Leiter struck out 10 hitters for Texas.
Guardians have lost consecutive games for first time since September 2nd.

— White Sox 10, Nationals 9
Colson Montgomery hit a 2-run homer in ninth inning.
White Sox led 8-2 after the fifth inning.
Luis Garcia Jr hit three home runs in a losing cause.

— Angels 4, Astros 3
Mike Trout homered twice, now has 403 career home runs.
Houston led 3-0 in the 4th inning.
Loss puts the Astros on the verge of missing the playoffs.

— Baseball has changed a lot thru the years; here are the numbers of pitchers these guys hit against in the season where they hit 60+ home runs:
1927 Babe Ruth 60 homers, faced 64 pitchers/7 teams
1961 Roger Maris 61 homers, faced 101 pitchers/9 teams
2022 Aaron Judge 62 homers, faced 256 pitchers/20 teams
2025 Cal Raleigh 60 homers, faced 290 pitchers/28 teams

— Famous birthdays, September 27th:
Dickie Post, 80
Ken Geddes, 79
Mike Schmidt, 76
Steve Kerr, 60
Rob Moore, 57
Gwyneth Paltrow, 53
Chris Herren, 50
Christian Wood, 30
Mitchell Parker, 26
The great actor Wilford Brimley was born 91 years ago today.

— Virginia 46, Florida State 38 OT
Virginia led 14-0 early in the second quarter.
FSU forced OT, scoring a TD with 0:36 left in regulation.
Seminoles ran for 256 yards, outgained Virginia 514-440.
Both teams turned the ball over three times.

— Arizona State 27, TCU 24
Sun Devils scored 10 points in the last 1:50 to pull off a comeback win.
TCU led 17-0 midway thru the second quarter.
ASU outscored the Horned Frogs, 497-269

— Washington Commanders are going with backup QB Marcus Mariota again the week, in Atlanta. Commanders beat Las Vegas 41-24 LW with Mariota under center. Star WR Terry McLaurin is also expected to miss Sunday’s game.

— In the last 25 years, the 2018 Houston Texans are the only team to start a season 0-3 and still make the playoffs.

— Over is 17-5 in Lamar Jackson’s last 22 starts.

— Playoff picture with 2 days left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers

 

[Udog]

Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers

Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Edmonton Elks

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday’s 6-pack:
— Tigers 2, Red Sox 1- Detroit clinches a playoff spot.
— Guardians 3, Rangers 2- Cleveland clinches a playoff spot.
— Reds 7, Brewers 4- Cincinnati’s magic number for playoffs: 1
— Mets 5, Marlins 0- Holmes allowed one hit in six IP.
— Twins 5, Phillies 0- Milwaukee clinches #1 seed in NL.
— One playoff spot left to decide; #3 Wild Card in NL.

Quote of the Day
“Love the way we competed for four quarters, playing the next play, playing the next series. Offensively, special teams, man there’s a whole lot that can be a lot cleaner. End of the day, it’s a win for who we consider to be the good guys. At the end of the day, love competing with these guys.”
Tennessee football coach Josh Heupel

Friday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; who was it against?

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.

Friday’s quiz
Last time the Detroit Tigers played in a World Series, Hall of Famer Jim Leyland was their manager.

***********************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…….​

— Ole Miss 24, LSU 19
QB Chambliss passed for 314 yards and a TD.
Last year, Chambliss was playing at D-II Ferris State.
Rebels led 17-7 at halftime.
Ole Miss outgained LSU, 480-254.

— Tennessee 41, Mississippi State 34 OT
Tennessee forced OT, scoring a TD with 1:55 left.
Vols’ QB Aguilar threw for 335 yards and a TD.
Miss State ran ball 57 times for 198 yards.

—Texas A&M 16, Auburn 10
Aggies are 4-0 for the first time since 2016.
Auburn gained total of 177 yards, was 0-12 on third down.
A&M outgained them 414-177; they were only 3-14 on third down.
Aggies ran the ball 47 times for 207 yards.

— Alabama 24, Georgia 21
Alabama led 24-14 at halftime.
Crimson Tide was 13-19 on third down, Georgia 2-8.
Kirby Smart is 1-7 as a head coach vs Alabama.
Georgia’s home winning streak ends at 33.

— Upsets of the Week:
Virginia Tech (+10.5) 23, NC State 21
Virginia (+6.5) 46, Florida State 38 OT
Illinois (+6.5) 34, USC 32
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
California (+6.5) 28, Boston College 24
Hawai’i (+6.5) 44, Air Force 35
Cincinnati (+4.5) 37, Kansas 34

— Illinois 34, USC 32
Illini kicked a 41-yard FG at the gun for a walk-off win.
USC had taken a 32-31 lead on a TD with 1:55 left.
Illinois QB Alymyer threw for 328 yards.
USC QB Maiava threw for 364 yards, two TD’s.

— Georgia Tech 30, Wake Forest 29, OT
Wake Forest led 17-3 at halftime.
Tech forced OT, kicking a 33-yard FG with 0:02 left in regulation.
Tech scored 7 points in OT; Wake scored a TD, but went for two points and the win- they didn’t get it.
Tech’s two ACC wins are by a total of four points.

— Cincinnati 37, Kansas 34
Bearcats drove 75 yards, scored on a 2-yard TD with 0:29 left.
Lot of offense; total yards- Cincy 603 yards, Jayhawks 597.
Cincinnati had four TD’s called back because of penalties.

— Oregon 30, Penn State 24 OT
Oregon led 17-3 with 11:00 left in the game.
Penn State tied it on a TD with 0:30 left.
Ducks outgained Penn State, 424-276.
Game was 3-3 at halftime.

— Memphis 55, Florida Atlantic 26
Tigers have won nine in a row, the country’s longest active win streak. Memphis’ lead was only 17-16 at halftime.
Tigers ran ball 46 times for 291 yards (6.3 yards/carry).

— Famous birthdays, September 28th:
Brigitte Bardot, 91
Steve Largent, 71
Todd Worrell, 66
Irving Fryar, 63
Johnny Dawkins, 62
Janeane Garofalo, 61
Mira Sorvino, 58
Ryan Zimmerman, 41
Chem Birch, 33
Tyler Shough, 26
Riley Greene, 25
Spencer Rattler, 25

— Vanderbilt 55, Utah State 35
#18 Commodores are 5-0 for first time since 2008.
QB Pavia threw for 321 yards, five TD’s, also ran for a TD.
Only 8 of Vanderbilt’s 65 plays came on third down.

— San Diego State 6, Northern Illinois 3
Aztecs kicked a 25-yard FG at the gun for the walk-off win.
Both teams kicked FG’s on their first drive, then no one scored again until the last play.
Total yardage: San Diego State 266, Northern Illinois 179

— Minnesota 31, Rutgers 28
Scarlet Knights led 14-0 early, 21-14 at halftime.
Gophers drove 72 yards, scored winning TD with 3:19 left.
Minnesota won despite running ball 18 times for only 35 yards.

— Playoff picture with one day left in the regular season:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Sunday, September 28

 

[Udog]

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Sunday’s games
Steelers vs Vikings (–2.5) (@ Dublin, Ireland)
Steelers (2-1)
Steelers scored 34-21 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 67 times for only 189 yards.
Pittsburgh is +5 in turnovers this season.
QB Rodgers is 166-98-1 as an NFL QB
Tomlin is 193-119-2 as an NFL head coach.


Tomlin won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2008.
Rodgers won a Super Bowl, but it was in 2010.
Pittsburgh is 10-6 ATS last 16 games vs NFC teams.
Steelers are 26-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Pittsburgh is 16-10-1 in last 27 games coming off a win.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Vikings (2-1)
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, lost 22-6 to Atlanta.
Vikinga beat Bengals (w/backup QB) 48-10 last week.
Backup QB Wentz is 48-47-1 as an NFL starter, for five different teams.
O’Connell is 36-20 as an NFL head coach.


Under O’Connell, Vikings are 8-10 ATS as a home favorite.
Vikings anew 8-3-1 ATS in last 12 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Minnesota is 14-6-2 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Minnesota is 10-3-2 ATS in last 15 games vs AFC teams.
Under O’Connell, Vikings are 27-9 SU in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split the last four series games.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.
Four of last six series games stayed under the total.


Chargers (–6.5) @ Giants
Chargers (3-0)
Chargers are 3-0, beating all three AFC West rivals.
Bolts held last two opponents to 218-265 total yards.
QB Herbert is 44-40 as an NFL starter.
Jim Harbaugh is 63-29-1 as an NFL head coach.


Chargers are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games as a road favorite.
Chargers are 12-9-2 ATS last 23 games vs NFC teams.
Under Harbaugh, Chargers are 8-3 ATS in games coming off a win.
Chargers have converted 19-41 third down plays.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Giants (0-3)
Giants lost 21-6, 40-37 in OT in their road games,
LW, Giants lost home opener 22-9 to Kansas City.
Rookie QB Dart is making his first NFL start here.
Daboll is 19-36-1 as an NFL head coach.


Under Daboll, Giants are 10-10-1 ATS as a home underdog
Under Daboll, Giants are 9-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Under Daboll, Giants are 17-15 ATS in games coming off a loss.
Giants have converted only 10-40 third down plays.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games, 0-2 as dogs.


Chargers won/covered last five meetings.
Chargers won 27-22/21-20 in last two visits here.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Titans @ Texans (-7.5)
Titans (0-3)
Tennessee is 0-3 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 34 drives.
Rookie QB Ward is 0-3 as an NFL starter.
Callahan is 3-17 as an NFL head coach.
Titans are switching play callers this week; the QB coach is calling plays now.


Titans were outgained by 184-187-83 yards in their games.
Last 4+ years, Tennessee is 12-15-2 ATS coming off a loss.
Titans are 3-11 ATS in last 14 games as an underdog.
Titans are 1-5 ATS in last six AFC South road games.


Texans (0-3)
Texans lost first three games, by 5-1-7 points.
Texans have only three TD’s on 30 drives.
Houston has converted only 8-33 third down plays.
QB Stroud is 21-18 as an NFL starter.


Ryans is 22-19 in 2+ years as an NFL head coach.
Texans are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games as a home favorite.
Texans are 2-7 ATS in last nine AFC South home games.
Houston is 3-6 ATS in last nine games coming off a loss.


Texans won five of last seven series games.
Tennessee won five of its last six visits to Houston.
Under is 5-2 in last seven meetings.
NFL-wide, home teams are 8-11 ATS in divisional games.


Commanders (-1.5) @ Falcons
Commanders (2-1)
Home team has won/covered all three Washington games.
Washington (+3.5) lost only road game, 27-18 at Green Bay.
QB Daniels is 15-7 as an NFL starter (check status).
Backup QB Mariota (37-41 record) was 15-21/207 passing in LW’s win.
Quinn is 62-51 as an NFL coach, 5-3 in playoffs.


In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Since 2020, Commanders are 6-4 ATS as a road favorite.
Opponents have converted only 12 of 40 third down plays.
Under Quinn, Commanders are 7-5 ATS in games coming off a win.
Mariota was 5-8 as Atlanta’s QB in 2022.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Falcons (1-2)
Atlanta is 1-2 despite outgaining foes by 98-128-108 yards.
Falcons held first three opponents to 260-198-224 total yards.
QB Penix is 2-4 as an NFL starter.
Morris is 30-49 as a head coach.


Under Morris, Atlanta is 1-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Last two games, Falcons had one TD on 20 drives.
Under Morris, Atlanta is 6-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Dan Quinn was 46-44 coaching the Falcons from 2015-20
He led them to the Super Bowl after the 2016 season.
Commanders won/covered last four series games.
Commanders won 24-16/34-30 in last two visits to Atlanta.


Saints @ Bills (-15.5)
Saints (0-3)
Saints lost first three games, 20-13/26-21/44-13.
Saints have converted only 12-36 third down plays.
New Orleans has been outscored 71-23 in first half of games.
Since 2018, Saints are 18-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.


Kellen Moore is 0-3 as a head coach.
Rattler is 0-9 as an NFL starting QB.
Saints are 7-14 ATS in last 21 games coming off a loss.
Saints are 5-10 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Bills (3-0)
Buffalo won its first three games,. scoring 41-30-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-7-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
QB Allen is 86-40 as an NFL starter.
McDermott is 96-52 as an NFL head coach.


Buffalo held last two opponents to 154-276 total yards.
Last 5+ years, Bills are 21-17-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Bills are 17-10-1 ATS in last 28 games vs NFC opponents.
Buffalo is 10-6 ATS in last sixteen games coming off a win.


New Orleans won/covered six of last six series games.
Saints won last three visits to Buffalo, by 37-18-20 points.
Favorites covered four of last five meetings.


Eagles (-3.5) @ Buccaneers
Eagles (3-0)
Eagles beat Dallas 24-20, Chiefs 20-17, Rams 33-26.
Last two games, Eagles were held to 216-288 total yards.
QB Hurts is 54-23 as an NFL starter.
Sirianni is 56-23 as an NFL coach.


Philly blocked two field goals in their win last week.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Philly is 23-16-2 ATS in last 41 games coming off a win.
Last two games, opponents converted only 7-22 third down plays.
NFC East non-divisional favorites are 3-1 ATS


Buccaneers (3-0)
Tampa Bay is 3-0, with three last-minute wins.
Buccaneers have won games by 3-1-2 points.
Mayfield is 55-56 as an NFL starter, 23-17 with the Bucs.
Bowles is 57-68 as a head coach, 31-27 with Tampa Bay.


Tampa Bay is 3-6 ATS last nine games as a home underdog.
Bucs held their three opponents to 69-84-99 rushing yards.
Bucs are 4-7 ATS in last 11 games coming off a win.
Bucs are only team in last 55 years to start season 3-0, with all three wins coming on last-minute touchdowns.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Tampa Bay won six of last seven series games.
Eagles lost four of last five visits to Tampa Bay.
Under is 3-1 in last four meetings.


Browns @ Lions (-9.5)
Browns (1-2)
Browns scored 16-17-13 points in their three games.
Cleveland is minus-4 in turnovers.
Browns are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a win.
Cleveland is 8-16-1 ATS last 25 games as a road underdog.


Browns have held opponents to 141-242-230 total yards.
QB Flacco is 116-94 as an NFL starter (8-16 since 2020)
Stefanski is 42-48 as a head coach.
Last five years, Cleveland is 15-9-1 ATS vs NFC teams.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions (2-1)
Lions scored 52-38 points in their last two games.
Detroit gave up 27-21-30 points in its three games..
QB Goff is 87-58-1 as an NFL starter, 45-31-1 with Detroit.
Campbell is 49-38-1 as an NFL head coach.
.
Lions are 15-8 ATS last 23 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 14-7 ATS in last 21 games vs AFC teams
Detroit is 23-11 ATS last 34 games coming off a win.
Detroit has two new coordinators this season.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in non-divisional games.


Lions won/covered four of last five series games.
Browns lost 38-24/38-37 in last two visits to Detroit.
Over is 3-1 in last four meetings.
Browns DC Schwartz was the Lions’ head coach from 2009-13


Panthers @ Patriots (-5.5)
Panthers (1-2)
Panthers lost two road games, 26-22 (Jaguars), 27-22 (Arizona)
Carolina blanked Atlanta 30-0 LW, but was outgained 332-224.
QB Young is 7-24 as an NFL starter.
Canales is 6-14 as a head coach.


Panthers are 6-13-1 ATS last 20 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 11-11 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Carolina is 7-14 ATS in last 21 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC South teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Patriots (1-2)
Patriots were held to 13-14 points in losses; win was 33-27 (Miami)
LW, Patriots outgained Steelers 369-203, but lost 21-14.
QB Maye is 4-11 as an NFL starter.
Vrabel is 57-50 as an NFL head coach.


Last 2+ years, Patriots are 0-4 ATS as a home favorite.
NE has allowed only 181 rushing yards, on 65 attempts.
NE is 10-16 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
AFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Teams split last six series games.
Panthers covered five of those six games.
Carolina is 1-1 SU/2-0 ATS in last two visits to Foxboro.


Jaguars @ 49ers (-3.5)
Jaguars (2-1)
Home team won/covered all three Jacksonville games.
Jaguars held last two opponents to 48-87 rushing yards.
QB Lawrence is 25-40 as an NFL starter.
Liam Coen is 2-1 as an NFL head coach.


Jaguars are 6-5-1 ATS last 12 games as a road underdog.
Jaguars are 12-12 ATS last 24 games coming off a win.
Jags are 7-4 ATS in last 11 games vs NFC opponents.
In their loss, Jaguars gave up 302 PY to the Bengals.


49ers (3-0)
49ers won their first three games, by 1-4-5 points.
Mac Jones is 26-39/279 passing in relief of injured Purdy.
QB Purdy is 28-15 as an NFL starter; Jones is 22-30.
Shanahan is 81-66 as an NFL head coach


First three games, 49ers have allowed only 265.7 yards/game.
Since 2020, 49ers are 17-15-1 ATS as a home favorite.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-12-1 ATS in games coming off a win.
49ers are 5-10 ATS last 15 games vs AFC opponents.


49ers won/covered last five series games.
Jaguars lost 44-33/20-3 in last two visits to Santa Clara.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.


Colts @ Rams (-3.5)
Colts (3-0)
Colts won first three games, scoring 32-29-41 points.
Colts have scored on 20 of 25 drives, punted only once.
Indy outgained first three opponents by 207-149-83 yards.
QB Jones is 28-45-1 is as an NFL starter.


Steichen is 20-17 SU in 2+ years as a head coach
Under Steichen, Indy is 6-5 ATS as a road underdog.
Colts are 5-10 ATS in last 15 games vs NFC opponents.
Under Steichen, Indy is 10-8 ATS in games coming off a win.
AFC South underdogs are 2-3 ATS in non-divisional games.


Rams (2-1)
Rams had two FGs blocked in LW’s 33-26 loss at Philly.
Rams outgained Eagles, 356-288, were cruddy in red zone (13 points/4 drives)
QB Stafford is 41-26 as the Rams’ starter (115-119-1 overall).
McVay is 90-58 as an NFL head coach.


LA held its three opponents to 265-252-288 total yards.
Rams are 12-13-1 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.
Rams are 8-13 ATS in last 21 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 8-3-1 ATS last 12 games vs AFC opponents.
NFC West favorites are 5-1 ATS in non-divisional games.


Rams are 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four meetings.
Last time these teams met here, Rams won 46-9 (McVay’s first game as HC)
Last six series games went over the total.


Ravens (-2.5) @ Chiefs
Ravens (1-2)
Ravens gave up 41-38 points in its two losses.
Last two games, Ravens ran ball for only 45-85 yards.
Ravens are 1-2, despite scoring 40-41-30 points.
Baltimore is 8-1 ATS last nine games coming off a loss.


QB Jackson is 74-31 as an NFL starter
John Harbaugh is 186-117 as an NFL head coach.
Baltimore is 13-7 ATS last 20 games as a road favorite.
Ravens are 20-7 ATS in last 27 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chiefs (1-2)
Chiefs lost 27-21/20-17, beat the Giants 22-9 last week.
Chiefs have gone under their team total in all three games.
QB Mahomes is 107-28 as an NFL starter.
Andy Reid is 302-165-1 as an NFL head coach


Last two games, Chiefs allowed only 216-281 total yards
Since 2020, Chiefs are 0-3 ATS as a home underdog.
Chiefs are 14-23 ATS in last 37 games coming off a win.
Chiefs are 10-7 ATS in last 17 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in non-divisional games.


Chiefs won six of last seven series games.
Ravens are 0-3 SU/1-2 ATS in last three visits to Arrowhead.
Four of last five meetings went over the total.


Bears (-1.5) @ Raiders
Bears (1-2)
Bears were +4 in turnovers LW, beat Dallas 31-14.
Chicago lost its only road game, 52-21 at Detroit.
Ben Johnson is 1-2 as an NFL head coach.
QB Williams is 6-14 as an NFL starter.


Chicago is a road favorite for first time since 2021.
Bears are 10-8-1 ATS in last 19 games vs AFC teams.
Bears are 7-12-3 ATS in last 22 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Chicago is 7-12-1 ATS in last 20 games coming off a win.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in divisional games.


Raiders (1-2)
Raiders lost last two games: 20-9 Chargers/41-24 Commanders.
Raiders have run ball 71 times for only 217 yards.
QB Geno Smith is 41-46 as an NFL starter.
Carroll is 182-133-1 as an NFL head coach.


Las Vegas has allowed 336-317-400 total yards this year.
Raiders are 14-15-1 ATS last 30 games as a home underdog.
Las Vegas is 19-25-1 ATS in last 45 games coming off a loss.
Raiders are 8-11-1 ATS in last 20 games vs NFC teams.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in divisional games.


Chicago won five of last seven series games.
Underdogs covered five of last seven series meetings.


Packers (-6.5) @ Cowboys
Packers (2-1)
Green Bay lost LW 13-10; they led 10-0 with 4:00 left to play
Packers have allowed only 193 yards on 60 running attempts.
QB Love is 21-18 as an NFL starter
LaFleur is 72-39 as an NFL head coach.


Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Packers are 9-11-1 ATS last 21 games coming off a loss.
Green Bay scored 27 points in both its wins this year.
Packers are 6-2 ATS in last eight games on artificial turf.
NFC North teams are 4-2 ATS in divisional games.


Cowboys (1-2)
Dallas allowed 37-31 points in its last two games.
Dallas scored 40 points in an OT win; 20-14 in its losses.
QB Prescott is 79-53 as an NFL starter.
Brian Schottenheimer is 1-2 as a head coach.


Last two weeks, Dallas allowed 506-385 total yards.
Since 2021, Cowboys are 3-6 ATS as a home underdog.
Cowboys are 3-7 ATS last 10 games coming off a loss.
Dallas is minus-5 in turnovers this season.
NFC East teams are 3-3 ATS in divisional games.


Cowboys traded Micah Parsons to Green Bay this summer.
Green Bay won/covered eight of last nine series games
Packers won/covered last four visits to Dallas.
Last four meetings went over the total.

 

[CNOTES]

Sunday, September 28​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
CAR at NE	01:00 PM	CAR +5.5 O 42.5	+500 +500
CLE at DET	01:00 PM	CLE +10.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
NO at BUF	01:00 PM	BUF -14.5 U 49.0	+500 +500
TEN at HOU	01:00 PM	HOU -7.5 U 39.5	+500 +500
PHI at TB	01:00 PM	TB +3.5 U 44.0	+500 +500
LAC at NYG	01:00 PM	NYG +6.0 O 43.0	+500 +500
WAS at ATL	01:00 PM	ATL -2.5 U 43.5	+500 +500
IND at LA	04:05 PM	LA -3.5 O 50.0	+500 +500
JAC at SF	04:05 PM	JAC +3.5 O 46.0	+500 +500
BAL at KC	04:25 PM	BAL -2.5 O 48.5	+500 +500
CHI at LV	04:25 PM	LV -1.5 O 48.0	+500 +500
GB at DAL	08:20 PM	GB -6.5 U 46.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL BEST BETS !

09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50

TOTALS.........................37 -41 - 1...................47.43%....................- 35.00

 

[CNOTES]

Monday’s 6-pack:
— Marlins 4, Mets 0- Cincinnati clinches NL’s last Wild Card slot
— Blue Jays 13, Rays 4- Toronto clinches AL East
— Guardians 9, Rangers 8 (10)- Cleveland wins AL Central
— White Sox 8, Nationals 0- Shane Smith took perfect game into 6th inning

Wild Card series, starting Tuesday:
— AL: Tigers @ Guardians, Boston @ New York
— NL: Padres @ Cubs, Reds @ Dodgers

Quote of the Day
“It’s hard to describe. I just got done addressing the team and there’s no word to describe what we’re going through. It’s pain. It’s frustration. You name it. We came in with a lot of expectations and here we are going home. Not only did we fall short, we didn’t even get into October.”
Mets’ manager Carlos Mendoza

Monday’s quiz
Where did Matthew Stafford play his college football?

Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.

Saturday’s quiz
In the history of the Rams, Jim Everett has thrown for the most yards.

***********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday…….​

Packers 40, Cowboys 40 OT
Green Bay led 13-0; PAT after 2nd TD was blocked, run back for 2 points.
Packers in 2nd half/OT: 47 plays, 329 yards, 27 points
Green Bay was 10-14 on third down, Dallas 4-11.
Packers are 4-12-1 ATS last 17 games as a road favorite.
Dallas won its first home game 40-37 in OT, then this happened.
Last three games, Cowboys allowed 506-385-489 total yards.
First three Dallas drives: 11 plays, 35 yards, 3 punts
Last seven Dallas drives: 57 plays, 406 yards, 38 points

Jaguars 26, 49ers 21
Jaguars are 3-1 for the second time in the last 18 years.
Jaguars have 13 takeaways already, are +9 in turnovers.
Jaguars ran punt back 87 yards for TD to grab a 26-14 lead.
Jacksonville held last three opponents to 48-87-83 rushing yards.
49ers turned ball over on two of first three series.
49ers were 8-13 on third down, Jacksonville 4-14
49ers had 12 penalties for 90 yards, Jaguars 5 for 54.
Last 2+ years, 49ers are 7-13-1 ATS in games coming off a win.

Bears 25, Raiders 24
Bears drove 73 yards, scored game-winning TD with 1:34 left.
Bears blocked 54-yard FG on last play to preserve the win.
Chicago had four takeaways for second game in a row.
Chicago was 7-16 on third down, Las Vegas 2-8.
Raiders led 14-9 at halftime.
Las Vegas ran ball 31 times for 240 yards.
Ashton Jeanty carried ball 21 times for 138 yards.
Bears are 7-13-3 ATS in last 23 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Giants 21, Chargers 18
Rookie QB Dart threw for 111 yards, ran for 54 more in his first NFL start.
Giants’ first four drives: 34 plays, 154 yards, 13 points.
Giants’ last six drives: 36 plays, 107 yards, 8 points.
Under Daboll, Giants are 10-6-1 ATS vs AFC teams.
Giants were 7-15 on third down, Chargers 4-12.
Bolts held last three opponents to 218-265-250 total yards.
Chargers had 14 penalties for 107 yards, Giants 8 for 43
Rookie RB Hampton ran ball 12 times for 128 yards and a TD.

Eagles 31, Buccaneers 25
Eagles blocked punt for TD for the game’s first score.
Eagles led 24-6 at halftime, hung on for dear life.
Mayfield threw INT in red zone midway thru 4th quarter.
Eagles are 5-2 ATS in last seven games as a road favorite.
Buccaneers outgained Philly, 376-200.
Tampa Bay turned ball over on three of their last five drives.
Tampa Bay is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a home underdog.
NFC South teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

Rams 27, Colts 20
Stafford’s 88-yard TD pass to Atwell (1:33 left) was a game-winner.
Rams’ last two drives: 12 plays, 171 yards, 14 points.
Stafford threw for 375 yards, three TD’s.
Nucua caught 13 passes for 170 yards and a TD.
Rams had 13-play, 96-yard drive to take 13-10 lead at half.
Rams are 9-3-1 ATS last 13 games vs AFC opponents.
Colts had three turnovers, and 11 penalties for 88 yards.
Colts didn’t turn ball over in their first three games.

Famous birthdays, September 29th:
Ian McShane, 83
Tim Flannery, 68
Craig Lefferts, 68
Andrew Dice Clay, 68
Hersey Hawkins, 59
Erika Eleniak, 56
Zachary Levi, 45
Calvin Johnson, 40
Kevin Durant, 37
Tyler Mahle, 31
Ashley Frangipane, 31 (Halsey)
Lucas Havrisik, 26

Chiefs 37, Ravens 20
Ravens gave up 41-38-37 points in their three losses.
Star QB Jackson left game with an ankle injury.
AFC North teams are 4-7 ATS in non-divisional games.
Chiefs’ first four drives: 34 plays, 223 yards, 20 points.
Mahomes threw for 270 yards, 4 TD’s, to four different guys.
Chiefs won seven of last eight games vs Baltimore.
Chiefs are 11-7 ATS in last 18 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.

Steelers 24, Vikings 21
Steelers led 14-6 at halftime of first-ever game in Ireland.
Steelers scored 34-21-24 points in wins, 17 in their loss.
Steelers have run ball 87 times for only 259 yards.
Steelers are 27-14-1 ATS last 41 games with spread of 3 or fewer points.
Rodgers threw an 80-yard TD pass to Metcalf.
Vikings QB Wentz threw for 350 yards, but also two INTs.
Vikings scored 27-48 points in their wins, 6-21 in losses.
WR Jefferson caught 10 catches for 126 yards,

Texans 26, Titans 0
Tennessee is 0-4 SU/ATS, losing by 8-14-21-26 points.
Titans have three TD’s, 10 FG’s on their 44 drives.
Tennessee is 3-12 ATS in last 15 games as an underdog.
Texans outgained Tennessee, 353-175.
Texans led this game 6-0 at halftime.
This was Houston’s first shutout since 2010.
Houston was 6-15 on third down, Tennessee 2-11.
Texans’ first four drives of 2nd half: 31 plays, 190 yards, 20 points.

Falcons 34, Commanders 27
QB Penix was 20-26/313 passing, with two TD’s.
Falcons’ first three drives: 28 plays, 181 yards, 17 points.
Atlanta led 17-10 at halftime.
Falcons outgained Washington, 435-294
Falcons were 6-12 on third down, Commanders 1-8.
Washington is 0-2 on road, losing 27-18/34-37.
In its wins, Commanders ran ball for 220-201 yards.
Its losses, Commanders ran 51-147 yards.

Bills 31, Saints 19
Saints’ first nine drives ended in Buffalo territory.
Bills led by only 14-10 at halftime.
Buffalo won its first four games,. scoring 41-30-31-31 points.
Last 3+ years, Bills are 3-8-1 ATS as a double digit favorite.
Saints lost first four games, 20-13/26-21/44-13/31-19.
Since 2018, Saints are 19-9-1 ATS as a road underdog.
Rattler is 0-10 as an NFL starting QB.
New Orleans has been outscored 85-33 in first half of games.

Lions 34, Browns 10
Detroit led this game 20-7 at halftime.
Lions scored 52-38-34 points in their last three games.
Lions are 16-8 ATS last 24 games as a home favorite.
Detroit is 15-7 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC teams
Browns scored 16-17-13-10 points in their four games.
Cleveland is minus-6 in turnovers this year.
Browns are 6-15-1 ATS last 22 games coming off a win.
Browns allowed only 277 yards, most they’ve given up this year.

Patriots 42, Panthers 13
Down 6-0, Patriots ran a punt back 87 yards for a TD.
Patriots also ran a punt back 61 yards to set up another TD.
NE’s first four drives: 21 plays, 151 yards, 21 points.
Patriots scored 33-42 points in wins, 13-14 points in losses.
Carolina drove 76 yards for a TD on first drive.
Carolina’s next five drives: 30 plays, 93 yards, no points.
Panthers are 6-14-1 ATS last 21 games as a road underdog.
Carolina is 7-15 ATS in last 22 games vs AFC opponents.

— Playoff picture with postseason starting Tuesday:
NL: Phillies, Brewers, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Cubs, Padres, Reds
AL: Blue Jays, Guardians, Mariners. Wild Cards: New York, Red Sox, Tigers

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Monday, September 29

NFL[/SIZE]
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 4

Monday’s games
Jets @ Dolphins (-2.5)
Jets (0-3)
Jets lost first two games, giving up 34-30-29 points.
Jets’ losses are by 2-20-2 points. (opponents over 3-0 team total)
Taylor is 28-30-1 as an NFL starter, Fields 14-32.
Aaron Glenn is 0-3 as a head coach.


In three games, Jets are minus-6 in turnovers.
Jets are 3-7-1 ATS in last 11 games as a road underdog.
Jets are 3-11-1 ATS last 15 AFC East road games.
Jets are 8-14-1 ATS in last 23 games coming off a loss.


Dolphins (0-3)
Dolphins lost their first two games,, giving up 33-33-31 points.
Miami is minus-5 in turnovers in its first three games.
QB Tagovailoa is 38-28 as an NFL starter.
McDaniel is 28-28 as a head coach.


Under McDaniel, Miami is 12-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 8-12-1 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.
Under McDaniel, Dolphins are 6-3-1 ATS in AFC East home games.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 11-11-1 ATS in games coming off a loss.


Dolphins won nine of last 11 series games.
Jets are 0-9 SU/1-5-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.
Over is 4-1 in last five series games.


Bengals @ Broncos (-7.5)
Bengals (2-1)
Bengals won their first two games, by 1-4 points.
Cincinnati lost 48-10 at Minnesota LW, with a backup QB.
Backup QB Browning is 4-4 as an NFL starter (7 starts in 2023).
Taylor is 53-55-1 as a head coach.


Last two games, Cincinnati is minus-6 in turnovers.
In three games, Bengals have run ball 61 times for only 147 yards.
Bengals are 8-5-1 ATS last 14 games as road underdogs.
Bengals are 22-13-1 ATS last 36 coming off a loss.
AFC North teams are 3-5 ATS in divisional games.


Broncos (1-2)
Denver lost last two games, 29-28 Colts/23-20 Chargers.
Denver beat Titans 20-12 in its only home games.
QB Nix is 11-10 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-116 as an NFL head coach, 19-19 with Denver.


Last two games, Denver converted 6-22 third down plays.
QB Nix is 11-9 as an NFL starter.
Payton is 180-115 as an NFL head coach, 19-18 with Denver.
Denver is 25-20-1 ATS in last 46 games coming off a loss.
AFC West teams are 2-4 ATS in divisional games.


Cincinnati won three of last four series games.
Bengals won 15-10/20-17 in last two visits to Denver.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Monday, September 29​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
NYJ at MIA	07:15 PM	NYJ +2.5 O 44.5	+500 +500
CIN at DEN	08:15 PM	CIN +7.5 U 44.5	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

NFL BEST BETS !

09/29/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%...................- 1.00
09/28/2025.......................9 - 8 - 0..................52.94%....................+ 1.00
09/22/2025.......................1 - 1 - 0...................50.00%...................- 0.50
09/21/2025.....................11 - 7 - 1...................61.11%..................+ 16.50
09/18/2025......................2 - 0 - 0..................100.00%..................+ 10.00
09/15/2025......................2 - 2 - 0....................50.00%..................- 1.00
09/14/2025.....................4 - 12 - 0..................25.00%...................- 40.50
09/11/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/08/2025......................0 - 2 - 0...................00.00%...................- 11.00
09/07/2025......................8 - 7 - 0...................53.33%....................+ 1.50

TOTALS.........................38 -42 - 1...................47.50%....................- 36.00

 

[CNOTES]

Tuesday’s 6-pack:
Week 5 NFL trends:
— 49ers @ LA Rams (-5.5)
— Vikings (-3.5) vs Browns (@ London)
— Texans @ Baltimore (-3.5)
— Giants @ New Orleans (-1.5)
— Broncos @ Philadelphia (-4.5)
— Cowboys (-2.5) @ Jets

Quote of the Day
“I believe Carlos (Mendoza) has all the same traits and assets that I believed [he had] when we hired him two years ago. And I think over the course of his tenure here, he has demonstrated that. We had a tough year this year. There’s no question. We are all disappointed. We were all frustrated — Mendy, as much or more than anybody else. But I still believe he’s a very good manager, and I think he’s going to demonstrate that.”
Mets’ general manager David Stearns

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, who has thrown for the most yards?

Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

Sunday’s quiz
Milwaukee Brewers have played in one World Series; it against the Cardinals, in 1982.

******************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..​

— Dolphins 27, Jets 21
Jets ran ball for 197 yards, but had 13 penalties for 101 yards.
Jets lost first four games, giving up 34-30-29-27 points.
Only one of their four losses was by more than six points.
Jets are 3-12-1 ATS last 16 AFC East road games.
Miami’s first five drives: 42 plays, 235 yards, 24 points.
Under McDaniel, Miami is 13-8-2 ATS as a home favorite.
Dolphins won 10 of last 12 series games.
Jets are 0-10 SU/1-6-3 ATS in last nine visits to Miami.

— Broncos 28, Bengals 3
Broncos dominated game, outgaining Cincy 512-159.
Denver is 2-0 at home; they didn’t allow a TD either game.
JK Dobbins ran ball 16 times for 101 yards.
Bo Nix threw for 326 yards, two TD’s.
Zac Taylor is 45-32-1 SU when Joe Burrow plays, 8-24 when he doesn’t.
In four games, Bengals have run ball 76 times for only 200 yards.
Denver was 8-14 on third down, Bengals 2-11.
AFC North teams are 5-7 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Future Hall of Famer Bruce Bochy will not return as manager of the Texas Rangers; he won the World Series with Texas in 2023, went 78-84/81-81 the last two years. Texas had an awful lot of injuries this past year.
Overall, Bochy has won four World Series titles, three with the Giants.

— Speaking of the Giants, they fired Bob Melvin Monday, a few weeks after they extended his contract thru next year. Giants went 81-81 this year, but new GM Buster Posey didn’t hire him. Lot of times GM’s want to hire “their guy” as manager.
A 3-time Manager of the Year who won the award in both leagues, Melvin has a career regular-season record of 1,678-1,588 with 8 postseason appearances for five different teams. Melvin made the playoffs six times in 10 years with the A’s; he is a very good manager.

— Minnesota Twins fired manager Rocco Baldelli after they went 70-92 this year, while the team was going a tumultuous season in the front office, owner-wise. Baldelli made the playoffs three times in seven seasons managing the Twins.

— How the five biggest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$350,300,236- Dodgers won NL West
$342,377,486- Mets went 83-79, missed the playoffs
$300,187,616- Bronx is #1 Wild Card in AL
$290,286,320- Phillies won NL East
$255,380,936- Blue Jays won AL East

— How the five smallest baseball payrolls made out this season:
$67,950,708- Marlins went 79-83, 41-40 on the road
$78,824,978- White Sox went 60-102, 19 games better than last year.
$79,118,043- A’s went 76-86, seven games better than last year.
$84,423,338- Pirates went 71-91; they were 44-37 at home.
$87,629,788- Rays went 77-85 playing home games on a minor league field.

— Famous birthdays, September 30th:
Angie Dickinson, 94
Dave Magadan, 63
Eric Piatkowski, 55
Jenna Elfman, 54
Jamal Anderson, 53
Kenley Jansen, 38
Aaron Holiday, 29
Jesus Luzardo, 28

— After the Jaguars upset San Francisco 26-21 Sunday, 49ers defensive coordinator Robert Saleh accused Jacksonville and its head coach, Liam Coen, of using a sign-stealing system.
In the week leading up to the game, Saleh claimed that Coen and the Jaguars use an “advanced” legal sign-stealing system while speaking with reporters.
After Sunday’s win, all Coen said was; “Not a big deal. We’ll keep that between us.”

— Arkansas Razorbacks fired football coach Sam Pittman Monday, named Bobby Petrino their interim coach. Arkansas was 32-34 under Pittman, losing their last three games, including a loss to Memphis when the Razorbacks blew an 18-point lead.
Petrino is 119-56 as a college coach; he was Lamar Jackson’s coach at Louisville. He also was 34-17 as coach of Arkansas, back from 2008-11.

— Weird college football stat: Under Lincoln Riley, USC is 0-12 ATS as a road favorite, in games not played in California.

— Houston Astros missed the baseball playoffs this year for the first time since 2016.

— Baseball is a long season, lot of ups and downs:
Cleveland Guardians made the playoffs, despite a 10-game losing streak from June 26-July 6.

— Detroit Tigers also made the playoffs.
From July 9th-26th, Tigers went 1-12…..from September 16-24, they went 0-8.

— Mets had a lot of expectations this year with such a big payroll- that put a lot of pressure on them, and they wound up missing the playoffs, losing 2 of 3 games in Miami over the weekend. Mets finished 83-79.
Mets were 45-25 on June 13th; rest of the season, they went 38-54.
After Sunday’s win, Miami’s team had a team picture taken in front of their dugout, like they were celebrating something. Marlins finished 79-83, going over their season over/under win total by 15.5 games. They had a very good season.

 

[Udog]

WEEK 5

 

[Udog]

NFL

Week 5

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 2
8:15 PM ET
San Francisco VS Los Angeles
San Francisco is 3-10 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games.
San Francisco is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games.
San Francisco is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games against LA Rams.
LA Rams is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
LA Rams is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Rams' last 5 games against San Francisco.
LA Rams is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

Sunday, October 5
9:30 AM ET
Minnesota VS Cleveland
Minnesota is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
Minnesota is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games.
Minnesota is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games against Cleveland.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road.
Cleveland is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games.
Cleveland is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
New York VS New Orleans
NY Giants is 4-12 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Giants' last 5 games.
NY Giants is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games.
NY Giants is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games against New Orleans.
New Orleans is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games.
New Orleans is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans' last 5 games against NY Giants.

1:00 PM ET
Houston VS Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games.
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Houston is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Baltimore.
Houston is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games against Baltimore.
Baltimore is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games.
Baltimore is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Baltimore's last 5 games against Houston.

1:00 PM ET
Miami VS Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
Miami is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games.
Miami is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Miami is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games against Carolina.
Carolina is 9-4 ATS in its last 13 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Carolina's last 8 games.
Carolina is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Carolina's last 6 games against Miami.

1:00 PM ET
Las Vegas VS Indianapolis
Las Vegas is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Las Vegas' last 10 games.
Las Vegas is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games.
Las Vegas is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games against Indianapolis.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indianapolis' last 7 games.
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indianapolis' last 7 games against Las Vegas.
Indianapolis is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Dallas VS New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Dallas' last 12 games.
Dallas is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games.
Dallas is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games against NY Jets.
Dallas is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road.
NY Jets is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Jets' last 6 games.
NY Jets is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games.
NY Jets is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home.

1:00 PM ET
Denver VS Philadelphia
Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games.
Denver is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games against Philadelphia.
Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games against Philadelphia.
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
Philadelphia is 10-0 SU in its last 10 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games against Denver.

4:05 PM ET
Tennessee VS Arizona
Tennessee is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-10 SU in its last 10 games.
Tennessee is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Tennessee is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games against Arizona.
Arizona is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games against Tennessee.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games at home.

4:05 PM ET
Tampa Bay VS Seattle
Tampa Bay is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 19 games.
Tampa Bay is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Tampa Bay is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Seattle's last 12 games against Tampa Bay.
Seattle is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay.

4:25 PM ET
Washington VS Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games.
Washington is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games.
Washington is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games against LA Chargers.
LA Chargers is 12-4 ATS in its last 16 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Chargers' last 9 games.
LA Chargers is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Chargers' last 6 games against Washington.

4:25 PM ET
Detroit VS Cincinnati
Detroit is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 10 games.
Detroit is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games.
Detroit is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games against Cincinnati.
Cincinnati is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Cincinnati's last 20 games.
Cincinnati is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati's last 8 games at home.

8:20 PM ET
New England VS Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New England's last 11 games.
New England is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games.
New England is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Buffalo.
New England is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games against Buffalo.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games.
Buffalo is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games against New England.
Buffalo is 13-0 SU in its last 13 games at home.

Monday, October 6
8:15 PM ET
Kansas City VS Jacksonville
Kansas City is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games.
Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
Kansas City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games against Jacksonville.
Jacksonville is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games.
Jacksonville is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games against Kansas City.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville's last 6 games at home.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

[Udog]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 5

 

[CNOTES]

Wednesday’s 6-pack:
Most receiving yards in NFL, Week 4:
170— Puka Nucua, Rams
134— George Pickens,
126— Justin Jefferson, Vikings
126— DK Metcalf, Steelers
114— Jordan Addison, Vikings
110—Drake London, Falcons

Quote of the Day
“It’s a challenge that it doesn’t matter how difficult it is, no one [outside the building] really cares. You have to find a way to get yourself to continue to get better, like all teams, for you to stay in the win column.”
Dolphins coach Mike McDaniel

Wednesday’s quiz
When was the last time the World Series went to seven games?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.

Monday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford played his college football at Georgia.

****************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….​

— Tigers 2, Guardians 1
Cleveland had tying run on third, no one out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.
Tarik Skubal struck out 14 guys in 7 IP, throwing 107 pitches.
Zach McKinstry knocked the game-winning run in with a sac bunt in 7th inning.

— Cubs 3, Padres 1
Chicago’s bullpen got 14 outs, didn’t allow a baserunner.
Suzuki/Kelly hit back/back home runs in fifth inning.
Top three hitters in San Diego’s lineup were a combined 0-11.

— Red Sox 3, Bronx 1
Yoshida’s 7th inning pinch-hit single was a game-winner.
Max Fried got 19 outs, didn’t allow a run.
New York’s bullpen gave up three runs in 2.2 IP.
Bronx had bases loaded, none out in 9th inning, but didn’t score.

— Dodgers 10, Reds 5
Hernandez, Ohtani both homered twice for the Dodgers.
Pitching in his hometown, Reds P Greene gave up 5 runs in three IP
Blake Snell allowed four hits in seven IP.

— Since the current best-of-three Wild Card series began in 2022, road teams have won 8 of 12 series including three of four last year.
How big is Game 1? The winner of Game 1 has won all 12 series, 10 of those in a 2-game sweep.

— Toronto Blue Jays have a bye this week; they’re hosting intrasquad games at Rogers Centre this week, to keep their players sharp. Fans can attend for $10.
First pitch is 4:00, with gates opening at 3:15. Games “will be four to five innings and structured as informal scrimmages, featuring players from the Blue Jays and AAA Buffalo Bisons”

— Angels parted ways Tuesday with manager Ron Washington, interim manager Ray Montgomery. 73-year old Washington was 99-137 managing the Angels; he had health issues this year and missed most of the season.

— Giants’ SS Willie Adames hit 30 home runs this year, the first player to hit 30 homers in one season for San Francisco since Barry Bonds, in 2004.

— Famous birthdays, October 1st
Julie Andrews, 90
Rod Carew, 80
Mark McGwire, 62
Zach Galifianakis, 56
Matt Cain, 41
Brie Larson, 36
Dustin Hopkins, 35
Robbie Ray, 34
Xander Bogaerts, 33
Cedric Mullins, 31
Otto Lopez, 27
Jordan Whittington, 25

— College football conference ATS trends:
American- Home teams 1-7 ATS in conference play.
ACC- Non-conference home favorites are 6-11 ATS
Big 18- Underdogs are 9-4 ATS in conference games.
Big X- Home favorites are 6-3 ATS in conference games.
C-USA- Home teams are 6-3 ATS in non-conference games.
MAC- Home teams are 5-0 ATS in conference games.
Mountain West- Teams are 21-10 ATS in non-conference games.
SEC- Underdogs are 8-4 ATS in conference games.
Sun Belt- Home teams are 4-1 ATS in conference games.

— NFL divisional ATS trends:
AFC East- home teams 1-3 ATS in divisional games.
AFC North- teams are 4-8 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC South- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
AFC West- teams are 5-5 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC East- teams are 6-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC North- home teams are 4-1 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC South- home teams are 1-4 ATS in non-divisional games.
NFC West- teams are 7-3 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Dolphins WR Tyreek Hill dislocated his left knee Monday night, is out for the rest of this year and maybe longer- he’ll need multiple surgeries.

— There is a survivor pool at the Circa Sportsbook in Las Vegas that has over 12,000 entries; this past week, 784 people got knocked out when the Chargers lost to the Giants.

— Sunday was Davante Adams’ 64th career game with 50+ receiving yards and a receiving touchdown.
That is 5th-most in the last 25 years, behind:
73- Larry Fitzgerald
69- Antonio Gates
68- Terrell Owens
66- Mike Evans

— Tampa Bay kicker Chase McLaughlin kicked a 65-yard field goal, the longest outdoor field goal in NFL history.

— Random trivia: Jesse Owens won four gold medals at the 1936 Olympics in Germany, one of which was in the 200-meter sprint, where he set a new Olympic record.
The person who won the silver medal in the 200-meter sprint was Matthew Robinson, who also broke the Olympic record in that race. He had a younger brother who was became a lot more famous, baseball player Jackie Robinson.

 

[Udog]

NFL
Weather Report

Thursday, October 2

NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Week 5

Thursday
49ers @ Rams (–5.5)
49ers (3-1)
49ers’ four games were all decided by 5 or fewer points.
Last three games, SF ran ball for 77-73-83 yards.
Unclear whether Jones/Purdy will start at QB.
QB Purdy is 28-16 as an NFL starter; Jones is 22-30.
Shanahan is 81-67 as an NFL head coach


First four games, 49ers have allowed only 280.5 yards/game.
Last two games, 49ers were minus-5 in turnovers.
Since 2022, 49ers are 0-3 ATS as a road underdog.
49ers are 6-8 ATS in last 14 games coming off a loss.
49ers are 7-2-1 ATS last 10 NFC West road games.


Rams (3-1)
Rams allowed 9-19-20 points in wins, 33 in their one loss.
Rams won both their home games, 14-9/27-20.
QB Stafford is 42-26 as the Rams’ starter (116-119-1 overall).
McVay is 91-58 as an NFL head coach.


Rams have allowed only 285.8 yards/game.
Rams are 14-7-1 ATS in last 22 games coming off a win.
Rams are 9-13 ATS in last 22 games as a home favorite.
Rams are 3-2-1 ATS last six NFC West home games.
NFL-wide, home favorites are 9-5 ATS in divisional games.


Rams won three of last four series games.
49ers won five of last seven visits to Los Angeles.
Underdogs are 4-0-1 ATS in last five series games.
Under is 4-2 in last six meetings.

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday, October 2​

Game	Time(ET)	Pick	Units
SF at LA	08:15 PM	SF +8.5 U 44.0	+500 +500

 

[CNOTES]

Thursday’s 6-pack:
Best college football teams against the spread this year:
5-0— Louisiana Tech
5-0— Memphis
5-0— Mississippi State
5-0— Utah State
4-0— James Madison
3-0-1— Ohio State

Quote of the Day
“From the second he’s (Dillon Gabriel) been here, he’s been working very hard. He’s a very intelligent young man. He’s done a nice job throughout practice, and this whole season he’s been learning how to get yourself ready and understand the rhythm of an NFL week and what that looks like as a backup. Obviously, now feel like he’s ready to go as a starter.”
Browns coach Kevin Stefanski

Thursday’s quiz
Which major league team has gone the longest since the last time they won a playoff series?

Wednesday’s quiz
2019 was last time the World Series went to seven games, when Washington beat Houston.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the history of the New York Jets, Joe Namath has thrown for the most yards.

************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….​

— ESPN had a good day Wednesday; three of the four Wild Card series are tied 1-1, so we have three winner-take-all games Thursday. Winner-take-all games get good ratings.
Here is the schedule:
3:00 Tigers @ Cleveland
5:00 Padres @ Chicago
8:00 Red Sox @ New York
This is the first time since 1981 there are three winner-take-all games on the same day.

— Guardians 6, Tigers 1
Cleveland scored five runs in the bottom of the 8th.
Rocchio, Naylor homered in that 8th inning.
Flaherty vs Cecconi is Thursday’s matchup.

— Padres 3, Cubs 0
San Diego bullpen got 16 outs, allowed one baserunner.
Machado hit a 2-run homer in the fifth inning.
Darvish vs Taillon is Thursday’s matchup.

— New York 4, Red Sox 3
Austin Wells had game-winning hit, in the 8th inning.
Trevor Story knocked in all three Boston runs.
Early vs Schlittler is Thursday’s matchup.

— Dodgers 8, Reds 4
Mookie Betts went 4-for-5, with three RBI
Spots 7-9 in Dodger batting order went 7-12 with five runs scored.
Dodgers move on to play the Phillies in the next round.

— Monday in New York City, Mets’ president of baseball operations David Stearns hosted a press conference the day after the Mets’ season ended without the Mets making the playoffs, even though their payroll was $340,085,003.
What went wrong? Mets were 45-25 on June 13th, then went 38-54 the rest of the season.
Lot of tough questions at the news conference, Stearns kept his cool, it is all part of the job, but it had to be a rough couple of hours for him.
Juan Soto, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso earned a combined $125,975,000 this year, that’s $126M for three guys, but three really good guys, money well spent. Some of the other high-paid players didn’t do so well.
$22,009,731- Sean Manaea
$20,250,000- Brandon Nimmo
$19,500,000- Starling Marte
$17,000,000- Frankie Montas
$7,500,000- Jesse Winker
These are the guys that Stearns has to answer for; the Marlins had a payroll of $69,510,827 and they went 79-83, only four games behind the Mets.
By way of comparison, Stearns’ old team, the Milwaukee Brewers had the #23 payroll this year, $115,136,217, and they got a first round bye in the playoffs.

— Famous birthdays, October 2nd:
Lorraine Bracco, 71
Dave Beard, 66
Mark Rypien, 63
Kelly Ripa, 55
Aaron McKie, 53
Tyson Chandler, 43
Joe Ingels, 38
Lance McCullers Jr, 32

— Brian Snitker won’t be back as manager of the Atlanta Braves next year; he went 835-691 in 10 years managing the Braves, winning the 2021 World Series, but Snitker is going to be 70 in a couple weeks, and the Braves went 76-86 this year, their first losing season since 2017.

— Colorado Rockies went 43-119 this year; they fired GM Bill Schmidt this week, largely because their team really sucks- the last three years, they’ve lost 323 games. Colorado had winning years as recently as 2017-2018, but that seems like a long time ago.

— Red Sox P Garrett Crochet threw 100+ pitches in 16 games this season, the most of any major league pitcher this year.

— Movie of the Day: Hustle (2022)- A basketball scout discovers a great ballplayer in Spain, and sees the prospect as his chance to move up from scouting to being an assistant coach.
Adam Sandler is the scout, Queen Latifah is his wife, Robert Duvall has a cameo as the owner of the 76ers, and a lot of NBA players appear in the movie.
If you like basketball, you’ll like this movie. It is really good.

— Cleveland Browns will start rookie QB Dillon Gabriel Sunday when they play the Vikings in London; Browns scored only 14 ppg in their 1-3 start.
Gabriel will become the 41st different quarterback the Browns have started since returning to the NFL in 1999, the most in the league during that time.

— Last 25 years, 2018 Houston Texans are the only team that started a season 0-3 and made the playoffs that year.

— Pitches thrown by the starting pitchers the last couple days:
Tigers- Skubal 107, Mize 62
Guardians- Williams 88, Bibee 87
Red Sox- Crochet 117, Bello 28
Bronx- Fried 102, Rodon 91
Padres- Pivetta 85, Cease 69
Cubs- Boyd 58, Imanaga 67 (opener Kittredge threw 20)
Reds- Greene 65, Littell 52
Dodgers- Snell 91, Yamamoto 113