Cnotes 2022 Major League Baseball Transactions, News, Notes, Picks Etc. !!

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SATURDAY, OCTOBER 15​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
ATL at PHI02:07 PMPHI +112
O 9.0
+500 +500
HOU at SEA04:07 PMSEA +102
O 7.0
+500 +500
NYY at CLE07:37 PMNYY -115
U 6.5
+500 +500
LAD at SD09:37 PMSD +112
U 7.5
+500 +500
 

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OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS...............16-28-0...........36.35%.............-64.65

BEST BETS

10/15/2022.............3-4-0,.,.............42,85%.................-5.99
10/14/2022.............3-1-0.................75.00%................+10.55
10/13/2022.............0-2-0.................00.00%.................-10.50
10//12/2022............1-3-0.................25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022.............2-6-0.................25.00%.................- 18.35
10/09/2022............1-0-0.................100.00%...............+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BETS.......................+ 0.00
10/07/2022............2-4-0.................33.33%..................- 13.65

TOTALS................12-20-0................37.50%...................- 43.69
 

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Armadillo Sports

Sunday’s 6-pack

Interesting spreads for today’s NFL games
— Vikings (-3) @ Miami
— 49ers (-5.5) @ Atlanta
— Panthers @ LA Rams (-10)
— Cardinals (-2.5) @ Seattle
— Bills (-2.5) @ Kansas City
— Cowboys @ Philadelphia (-6)

Quote of the Day
“You’ve got to beat the champs to be the champs. That’s what we kind of talked about before. Coming in here with the best fans in all of baseball, I got chills, man. It’s so cool being back and being with this group of guys. I’m just really excited for the next round, really excited for the opportunity.”
Bryce Harper

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie My Cousin Vinny, who played the judge in the big trial?

Saturday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

Friday’s quiz
Mark Brunell was Washington’s QB the last time they won a playoff game, in 2005.

************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Tennessee 52, Alabama 49
— Vols WR Hyatt caught six passes for 207 yards, five TD’s.
— Tennessee led 21-7 after first quarter.
— Vols tied game on an 11-yard TD pass with 3:26 left.
— Tennessee won game on 40-yard FG at the gun.

— Penalties: Alabama 17 for 130 yards, Tennessee 6 for 39
— Total yardage was 569-567. Quite a game.
— Alabama QB Young threw for 455 yards, 2 TD’s.
— Tennessee ends a 15-game losing streak vs Alabama.

12) TCU 43, Oklahoma State 40 OT
— Oklahoma State led 24-7 with 4:00 left in first half.
— TCU outscored Cowboys 14-0 in 4th quarter to force OT.
— Horned Frogs ran for 224 yards (5.2 yards/carry)
— TCU outgained Cowboys, 510-387.

11) Michigan 41, Penn State 17
— Michigan ran ball for 418 yards, 7.6 yards/carry.
— Wolverines outgained Penn State 274-83 in first half, only led 16-14.
— Michigan converted 11-17 on third down, PSU 4-12.
— Total yardage: Michigan 563, Penn State 268

10) Utah 43, USC 42
— Utah scored TD/2-point conversion with 0:48 left.
— USC led 21-7 early in second quarter.
— Utah QB Rising threw for 415 yards, two TD’s.
— USC QB Williams threw for 381 yards, five TD’s.

9) Georgia Southern 45, James Madison 38
— Georgia Southern QB Vantrease threw for 578 yards, four TD’s.
— Georgia Southern also blocked a punt for a TD.
— James Madison had been ranked in top 25 for first time ever.

8) Syracuse 24, NC State 9
— Syracuse is 6-0 for first time since 1987.
— NC State QB Leary is out for the year (torn pec muscle)

7) Upsets of the Week:
— Stanford (+15.5) 16, Notre Dame 14
— Colorado (+14.5) 20, California 13 OT
— Old Dominion (+12.5) 49, Coastal Carolina 21
— Georgia Southern (+10.5) 45, James Madison 38
— Louisiana (+10.5) 23, Marshall 13
— Fresno State (+8) 17, San Jose State 10
— Tennessee (+7.5) 52, Alabama 49
— Michigan State (+7.5) 34, Wisconsin 28


6) East Carolina 47, Memphis 45 OT
— East Carolina led 17-7 with 1:00 left in first half.
— Memphis scored TD with 0:19 left to force OT.
— Pirates converted 10-15 third down plays, Memphis 8-15.
— Tigers averaged 11.0 yards/pass attempt.

5) North Carolina 38, Duke 35
— Tar Heels scored TD with 0:16 left for the win.
— Duke led 21-10 with 1:00 left in first half.
— Carolina was 8-13 on third down, Duke 4-9.

4) Houston 1, Seattle 0 (18)
Pena homered in the 18th inning for game’s only run.
Astros advance to ALCS for sixth year in a row.
Teams were combined 0-19 with men in scoring position.
There were 96 swing/misses in this game.

3) Cleveland 6, New York 5
Guardians scored three runs in bottom of ninth.
Cleveland had 15 hits; 13 singles, two doubles.
New York had five hits, three of them home runs.
Cleveland leads series 2-1.

2) Phillies 8, Braves 3:
Phillies win series 3-1, advance to NLCS for first time since 2010.
JT Realmuto hit an inside-the-park home run.
Brandon Marsh hit a 3-run homer.

1) Padres 5, Dodgers 3
San Diego scored four runs in bottom of 7th.
Dodgers’ bullpen gave up five runs in three IP.
Padres-Phillies in NLCS; the Nola brothers face off.
San Diego is in NLCS for first time since 1998.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Sunday, October 16


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MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 16


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 16

New York @ Cleveland (Guardians lead, 2-1)

Cole is 3-1, 4.79 in his last six starts.
He is 8-3, 3.81 in 17 road starts.
He is 9-5, 2.83 in 15 playoff starts.
He is 5-2, 3.15 in eight starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 25-8 in their last 33 games.
They blew a 5-3 lead in 9th inning of last night’s loss.
New York is 42-40 on road.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Quantrill is 2-1, 2.86 in his last four starts.
He is 9-0, 3.28 in 19 home starts this year.
He is 0-1, 5.06 in two playoff games (1 start).
He is 0-0, 3.38 in four games (1 start) vs New York.

Cleveland is 27-7 in their last 34 games.
Guardians are 49-35 at home.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Cleveland is 3-6 vs New York this year, 2-2 at home.




MLB

Sunday, October 16


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY Yankees @ Cleveland
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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NY YANKEES are 45-71 SU (-33.1 Units) as a road favorite of -125 or more in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Interesting spreads for Week 7 NFL games
— Saints @ Arizona (-1.5)
— Browns @ Baltimore (-6)
— Buccaneers (-10) @ Carolina
— Falcons @ Cincinnati (-6)
— Lions @ Dallas (-7)
— Giants @ Jacksonville (-3)

Quote of the Day
“Anybody that is great at anything, does it for their own approval.”
Gil Grissom, CSI

Monday’s quiz
Which college football team plays their home games in Autzen Stadium?

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie My Cousin Vinny, Fred Gwynne played the judge in the big trial; he is best known for playing Herman Munster in The Munsters TV show.

Saturday’s quiz
Steph Curry played his college basketball at Davidson.

***************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday……..

Bills 24, Chiefs 20

— Bills drove 76 yards for game-winning TD with 1:04 left.
— Buffalo scored TD in last 2:00 of each half.
— Bills survived two empty trips to the red zone.
— All six Buffalo games stayed under the total.
— Bills are 10-1 ATS last 11 games with spread of 3 or less.

— Last three weeks, Chiefs gave up 28 ppg.
— Four of their last five games were decided by 4 or less points.
— In his career, Mahomes is now 7-1-1 ATS as an underdog.
— Bills averaged 7.8 yards/pass attempt, Chiefs 7.4.
— Chiefs are 11-17-1 ATS last 29 games coming off a win.

Bengals 30, Saints 26
— Burrow hit Chase with 60-yard TD pass with 1:57 left for the win.
— Chase caught seven passes for 132 yards, two TD’s.
— First four drives: 23 plays, 103 yards, 7 points.
— Last four drives: 31 plays, 250 yards, 23 points.
— Last three games, Bengals converted 25-49 on 3rd down.
— Cincy is 13-6 ATS last 19 games coming off a loss.

— Five trips to red zone: one TD, four field goals.
— Saints led 23-14 with 4:00 left in third quarter.
— Saints lost 4 of last 5 games; they gave up 38-32-30 points last 3 weeks.
— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Since 2020, New Orleans is 2-5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Giants 24, Ravens 20
— Up 20-17, Jackson threw horrendous INT in his own territory with 2:50 left.
— Ravens in red zone: three drives, one TD, two FG’s.
— Giants in red zone: four drives, three TD’s, one FG.
— Ravens led by 10+ points in all three of their losses.
— Ravens are 5-9 ATS last 14 games as a road favorite.

— Giants are 5-1; they trailed by 10+ in three of the five wins.
— Giants outscored opponents 87-49 in second half of games.
— Ravens outgained Big Blue, 406-238 in this game.
— Giants had huge 22-yard advantage in field position.
— Last three games, Big Blue converted 19-39 on third down.

Jets 27, Packers 10
— Jets blocked punt for TD that made score 17-3.
— Jets ran ball for 179 yards (5.4 yards/carry).
— Jets are 3-0 on road, scoring 31-24-27 points.
— Jets won/covered four of their last five games.
— AFC East teams are now 9-2 ATS in non-divisional road games.

— Packers lost last two games, outscored 41-9 in second half.
— Green Bay converted only 4-16 third down plays.
— Packers averaged only 4.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Packers went under their team total in five of six games.
— Green Bay has only three takeaways (minus-5 in turnovers)

Falcons 28, 49ers 14
— Falcons are only 11th team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 ATS.
— Atlanta converted 9-14 on third down, 49ers 3-8.
— Atlanta ran for 168 yards; they scored 3 TD’s on 3 red zone drives.
— Falcons outscored last five foes 68-34 in second half.
— Last 2+ years, Falcons are 14-9 ATS coming off a loss.

— Game was 14-14; 49ers didn’t score on their last six drives.
— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses.
— 49ers are +5 in turnovers in their wins, minus-7 in losses.
— Since 2018, 49ers are 8-10 ATS as a road favorite. 1-3 TY.
— NFC West teams are 2-6 ATS as a non-divisional favorite.

Patriots 38, Browns 15
— Patriots had TD drives of 40-19-8 yards, short drives.
— New England averaged 8.4 yards/pass attempt.
— Patriots outscored last two opponents 41-9 in second half.
— New England gave up 20-37-27 points in losses; 14-0-15 points in wins.
— AFC East teams are 12-6 ATS in non-divisional games.

— Browns turned ball over four times, lost field position by 13 yards,
— Cleveland converted 4-15 third down plays, Patriots 7-14.
— Five of six Cleveland games went over the total.
— Cleveland is 6-11-1 ATS in last 18 games as a home favorite.
— Browns are 9-15-2 ATS in last 26 games coming off a loss.

Colts 34, Jaguars 27
— Ryan threw 32-yard TD pass with 0:17 left for the win.
— Colts’ first four drives: 29 plays, 145 yards, one field goal
— Colts’ last five drives: 47 plays, 298 yards, 4 TD’s, one FG.
— Indy is 3-2-1, despite being outscored 115-58 in quarters 1-3.
— Jaguars lost last five visits to Indy (1-2-2 ATS)

— Colts converted 10 of their 15 third down plays.
— Jaguars ran ball for 243 yards, but were outgained 434-379,
— Last 2+ years, Jaguars are 9-21-1 ATS coming off a loss.
— Jacksonville is 10-20-1 ATS last 31 games as a road underdog.
— Home side won last nine series games.

Vikings 24, Dolphins 16
— Vikings won despite going 3/out on 10 of their 14 drives.
— Minnesota was +3 in turnovers, won field position by 15 yards,
— Vikings won last four weeks, scoring 28-28-29-24 points.
— Last three games, Jefferson caught 28 passes for 408 yards.
— Since 2014, Vikings are 23-11 ATS against AFC opponents.

— Dolphins outgained Minnesota 458-234, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
— Bridgewater came off bench, was 23-34/329 passing, with 2 TD’s/2 INTs.
— Miami lost last three games, outscored 91-48— 48-19 in 2nd half.
— Last four games, Dolphins are minus-8 in turnovers (1-9)
— Dolphins stayed under their team total in five of six games TY.

Steelers 20, Buccaneers 18
— Down 20-12, Bucs scored TD with 4:38 left, failed on tying 2-point play.
— Four drives in red zone, Tampa scored one TD, kicked three FG’s.
— Bucs’ only touchdown came on their last drive of game.
— Last four opponents converted 31-61 third down plays.
— Five of six Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

— QB Trubisky came off bench, was 9-12/144 passing, with a TD.
— Steelers converted 7-15 third down plays, Tampa Bay 4-14.
— Steelers have no turnovers in their two wins, nine in four losses.
— Last 4+ years, Steelers are 7-1 ATS as a home underdog.
— Claypool caught seven passes for 96 yards and a TD.

Rams 24, Panthers 10
— Panthers have now lost 25 games in a row when they allow 17+ points.
— Carolina’s only TD was a pick-6 late in 1st half- they led 10-7 at halftime.
— Panthers in second half: 19 plays, 86 yards, 3 first downs, no points.
— Carolina is 2-6 ATS in last eight games as a road underdog.
— Backup QB Walker was KO’d, 3rd-stringer Eason was 3-5/59 passing.

— Rams in 1st half: 24 plays, 98 yards, 7 points and a pick-6.
— Rams in 2nd half: 33 plays, 230 yards, 15 first downs, 17 points.
— LA picked off pass in 4th quarter, their first takeaway in four games.
— Matthew Stafford threw a pick-6 for third game in a row.
— Rams outgained Carolina 360-203, converted 6-12 on third down.

Seahawks 19, Cardinals 9
— Cardinals’ only TD was scored by defense late in 3rd quarter.
— Arizona drove 76 yards on first drive, kicked FG; offense didn’t score again.
— Arizona’s last five opponents went under their team total.
— Cardinals have been outscored 89-29 in first half this year.
— Arizona is 0-4 when it scores less than 26 points.

— Seahawks kicked field goals on four of first seven drives.
— Seattle converted 4-14 on third down, Arizona 4-16.
— Lot of sacks; Seahawks had six, Arizona five.
— Last four Arizona games stayed under the total.
— Under is 6-2 in last eight Arizona-Seattle games.

Eagles 26, Cowboys 17
— Philly won its first six games, scoring 26.8 ppg (4-2 ATS).
— Eagles outscored first six opponents 126-48 in first half.
— Eagles were +3 in turnovers, had 17-yard edge in field position.
— Eagles covered their last six games as a home favorite.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.

— First five Dallas drives: 18 plays, 52 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Down 20-0 in 2nd quarter, Cowboys got within 20-17, but didn’t score again.
— Rush completed only 18-38 passes, with three INT’s.
— Cowboys have converted only 25-78 third down plays.
— Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

New York 4, Cleveland 2
— Harrison Bader hit a 2-run homer for New York.
— Cole got 21 outs on 110 pitches, allowed two runs.
— Decisive Game 5 is Monday night in the Bronx.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Monday, October 17


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MLB
Dunkel

Monday, October 17


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, October 17

Cleveland @ New York (series tied, 2-2)

Civale is 3-0, 3.68 in his last four starts.
He is 1-3, 5.88 in 11 road starts this year.
He has never pitched in the postseason.
He is 1-3, 4.78 in five starts vs New York.

Cleveland is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
Guardians are 47-36 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-2, 3.47 in 16 home starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 1-2, 3.94 in three starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 26-8 in their last 34 games.
New York is 58-25 at home.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Cleveland is 3-7 vs New York this year, 1-4 in the Bronx.




MLB

Monday, October 17


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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CLEVELAND is 19-4 SU (14.6 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack

Interesting spreads for Week 7 NFL games
— Colts @ Tennessee (-2.5)
— Packers (-5.5) @ Washington
— Jets @ Denver (-3)
— Texans @ Las Vegas (-7)
— Seahawks @ Chargers (-7)
— Chiefs (-3) @ San Francisco

Quote of the Day
“It is impossible for a man to learn what he thinks he already knows.”
Epictetus

Tuesday’s quiz
Who was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series?

Monday’s quiz
Oregon Ducks play their home games in Autzen Stadium.

Sunday’s quiz
In the movie My Cousin Vinny, Fred Gwynne played the judge in the big trial; he is best known for playing Herman Munster in The Munsters TV show.

***************************


Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……..

Chargers 19, Broncos 16 OT

— Broncos in first half: 25 plays, 201 yards, a TD and two field goals
— Broncos in 2nd half/OT: 33 plays, 72 yards, 6 punts, one field goal.
— Wilson completed 10-10 passes in first quarter.
— From 2nd quarter on, Wilson completed 5-18 passes.
— Five of six Denver games stayed under the total.

— Chargers kicked FG in OT, after Denver muffed a punt.
— Chargers ran 83 plays, only two of which gained 20+ yards.
— Chargers converted 11-22 third down plays.
— Bolts averaged 3.8 yards per pass attempt.
— In overtime, two teams combined to run 16 plays for 16 yards.

— Carolina Panthers traded disgruntled WR Robbie Anderson to Arizona; they get a 6th and 7th round draft pick in return. Panther coaches sent Anderson to the locker room during Sunday’s loss in Los Angeles, after he got into a spat with Carolina’s WR coach.

Anderson has caught 13 passes for 206 yards this year, but over half those yards came in Week 1. Cardinals need WR help after Marquise Brown got hurt Sunday; they also get DeAndre Hopkins back from his six-game suspension this week.

— Panthers scored six TD’s in their last four games; problem is, Carolina’s offense only scored three of them- their defense scored the other three.

— Washington QB Carson Wentz is out 4-6 weeks with a broken finger on his passing hand; Taylor Heinicke (7-9 as an NFL starter) takes his place under center for the Commanders.

Maybe the change will help; Commanders have converted only 8 of last 37 third down plays.

— Cincinnati Bengals are only team in NFL that hasn’t given up a second half touchdown this season; they’ve outscored opponents 71-30 in second half this year.

Football players are really, really tough; Bengals’ left tackle Jonah Williams dislocated his kneecap in the Week 5 loss at Baltimore, but he returned to that game, then played Sunday in New Orleans.

— Cleveland Browns are only the third team in last 58 years that led each of their first five games after three quarters, yet lost more than half those games.

1999 Saints, 2015 Seahawks are other two teams on that list.

Streak ended for the Browns Sunday, when they got waxed 38-15 at home by New England.

— College quarterbacks take harder hits than NFL QB’s; lot fewer roughing the passer calls in the college game.

— In case you’re wondering, the record for most punts with one team: Sam Koch punted 1,168 times for the Ravens, from 2006-21.

— Illinois football coach Bret Bielema is a throwback; Saturday, Illini RB Chase Brown carried the football 41 times for 190 yards in their 26-14 win over Minnesota. 41 carries is a lot for two games, even moreso for one.

Long time ago, USC coach John McKay was asked why his tailback was carrying the ball so much. “Why not?” McKay replied. “The ball isn’t very heavy. And besides, he doesn’t belong to a union.”

— So far in Sun Belt conference games this season, underdogs are 18-6 against the spread; they were 5-0 ATS this past weekend.

— Penn State coach James Franklin is a very good coach; how do I know this? The freakin’ guy won at Vanderbilt. In three years with the Commodores, Franklin went 6-7, then 9-4/9-4- he went 11-13 in SEC games at Vanderbilt, won two of three bowl games.

These days, Vanderbilt has lost its last 24 SEC games; they haven’t played in a bowl game since 2018, haven’t won a bowl since 2013. Tough job.

— Since 2015, Alabama has scored 56 touchdowns on special teams/defense, most in the country; San Diego State is next on that list, with 38.

— Five oldest I-A college football players are all 29+ years old; they’re all Australian punters. They punt for East Carolina, Illinois, Miami, Oklahoma State, TCU.

— NBA season begins tonight; all the major sports overlap starting this week.

—- Last two years, Seattle Mariners went 67-41 in one-run games, but then they got swept in the playoffs by Houston, losing the three games by total of four runs. Great year for Seattle, making the playoffs for first time since 2001.

— With the Braves getting bounced from the playoffs, 2009 Phillies remain the last defending World Series champ to get back to the World Series the following season.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Tuesday, October 18


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CLEVELAND is 19-4 SU (14.6 Units) in road games after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 13-1 SU (11.9 Units) after scoring 7 runs or more 2 straight games in the current season.



MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, October 18


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 18

Cleveland @ New York (best-of-5 series tied, 2-2)

Civale is 3-0, 3.68 in his last four starts.
He is 1-3, 5.88 in 11 road starts this year.
He has never pitched in the postseason.
He is 1-3, 4.78 in five starts vs New York.

Cleveland is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
Guardians are 47-36 on road.
Cleveland is in playoffs for 4th time in six years- they missed LY.

Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-2, 3.47 in 16 home starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 1-2, 3.94 in three starts vs Cleveland.

New York is 26-8 in their last 34 games.
New York is 58-25 at home.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Cleveland is 3-7 vs New York this year, 1-4 in the Bronx.

Philadelphia @ San Diego (Game 1, NLCS)
Wheeler is 1-1, 1.32 in his last five starts.
He is 6-4, 3.84 in 13 road starts.
He is 0-1, 2.19 in two playoff starts.
He is 3-1, 2.06 in seven starts vs San Diego.

Phillies are 5-1 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 71-47 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 43-42 on road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Darvish is 5-1, 2.13 in his last six starts.
He is 7-3, 2.60 in 13 home starts this year.
Darvish is 4-5, 4.60 in nine playoff starts.
He is 2-1, 2.23 in seven starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 5-3 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 46-37 at home this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Phillies are 4-3 vs San Diego this year; road team won 5 of the 7 games. Phillies got shut out in all three losses.




MLB

Tuesday, October 18


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Cleveland
Cleveland is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Cleveland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
NY Yankees is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games at home

Philadelphia @ San Diego
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego
San Diego is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS............18-30-0............37.50%.............-65.05

BEST BETS
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...........14-22-0...........38.88%................- 40.09
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack

Teams ranked in top 25 of both college football/basketball:
— Alabama
— Illinois
— Kentucky
— Michigan
— North Carolina
— Oregon
— Tennessee
— Texas
— TCU
— UCLA

Quote of the Day
“I tell ya, I don’t get a break with nothing. I joined Gamblers Anonymous, they gave me two-to-one I don’t make it.”
Rodney Dangerfield

Wednesday’s quiz
What was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack?

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

Monday’s quiz
Oregon Ducks play their home games in Autzen Stadium.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

Philadelphia 2, San Diego 0
Wheeler allowed one hit in seven IP
Harper, Schwarber homered for the Phillies.

New York 5, Cleveland 1— Bronx wins series, 3-2, heads to Houston for the ALCS, which starts Wednesday night.

Disappointing but not surprising to see Will Little working the plate for Game 4 of the New York-Cleveland series. Since 2013, New York is 16-6 when Little is behind the plate.

Remember an A’s game in New York in 2017, when I was sitting at a bar having lunch during the game. Jed Lowrie/Bob Melvin both got tossed because Little was doing his thing, helping out the home team. It was Lowrie’s first career ejection. It wasn’t good for my blood pressure.

— Forgot to mention this last week, but AJ Pierzynski does a nice job as a TV analyst; he was a good MLB catcher. He offers opinions, and mostly just talks ball, which is a positive thing.

— Surprising stat: Last 10 years, Detroit Lions are 9-1 ATS in the game after their bye week.

Celtics 126, 76ers 117
Tatum/Brown both scored 35 points.
Boston’s bench outscored Philly’s subs, 34-11

— Great to hear analyst Stan Van Gundy on this game; listening to him talk ball is like taking a master class in basketball. Always learn a lot from him.

— Golden State Warriors paid Jordan Poole $140M for four years, Andrew Wiggins $110M for four years as they solidify their future.

— NBA retired number 6 throughout the league, in honor of the great Bill Russell, who passed away this summer. Active players who wear number 6 now can still wear it, but no one else will be issued number 6.

Russell played 13 years in the NBA, won 11 titles; he missed the Finals once in 13 years.

— With NBA starting this week, we point out that Kentucky has 27 alums on NBA rosters at the start of the season, Duke has 25.

— Added Hulu to my TV last week, meaning unlimited CSI and M*A*S*H late at night for me, two of my all-time favorite TV shows.

— Big 14 hasn’t won a national title in college basketball since Michigan State in 2000.

— Odd fact: Justin Herbert threw 57 passes in the Chargers’ 19-16 win Monday night, but he didn’t throw a TD pass. It was the most passes ever thrown in an NFL game by a QB who didn’t throw a TD, and whose team won that game.

— Indianapolis Colts’ owner Jim Irsay spoke out Tuesday against Washington owner Daniel Snyder, calling for his removal as the Commanders’ owner.

NFL teams go for $3-4B each, so if Snyder has to sell, he’ll make a boatload of $$$, but rich people don’t like to be told when to come and go.

— In 2010, Joe Jacob bought the Golden State Warriors for $450M; this season, the Warriors’ payroll plus their payroll tax might be more than $450M.

— Reggie Miller was talking about the scuffle Golden State had in practice during training camp; Miller said stuff like that happens in the NBA, but it happens more on good teams than bad teams, because good teams have more accountability. Bad teams don’t care as much.
 

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MLB
Weather Report

Wednesday, October 19


LpQdJhi.png





SAN DIEGO is 56-33 Over (19.7 Units) after a 5 game span with an OBP of .285 or worse in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 18-3 SU (17.1 Units) vs. teams outscoring opp by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season in the current season.




MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, October 19


MIDm0ST.png





MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 19

Philadelphia @ San Diego (Phillies lead, 1-0)

Nola is 4-1, 1.44 in his last five starts.
He is 5-9, 3.00 in 16 road starts.
He is 2-0, 0.71 in two playoff starts.
He is 2-4, 3.11 in eight starts vs San Diego.

Phillies are 6-1 in playoff games this month.
Phillies are 72-47 since they changed managers.
Phillies are 44-42 on road this year.
Phillies are in the playoffs for first time since 2011.

Snell is 3-1, 1.34 in his last six starts.
He is 4-8, 3.56 in 15 home starts this year.
Snell is 3-3, 2.89 in nine playoff starts.
He is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts vs Philadelphia.

Padres are 5-4 in their playoff games so far this month.
San Diego is 46-38 at home this year.
Padres are in the playoffs for 2nd time since 2006 (2020 other time)

Phillies are 5-3 vs San Diego this year; road team won six of the eight games. Phillies got shut out in all three losses.

New York @ Houston (Game 1 of ALCS)
Taillon is 14-5, 3.92 in 31 starts this year.
He is 7-3, 4.36 in 16 road starts this year.
He gave up hits to all three batters he faced in his only playoff appearance.
He is 0-1, 4.58 in three starts vs Houston.

New York is 27-8 in their last 35 games.
New York is 43-40 on road.
New York is in playoffs for sixth year in row- their last World Series title was 2009.

Verlander is 2-1, 3.21 in his last five starts.
He is 10-1, 1.64 in 15 home starts.
He is 14-11, 3.62 in 31 playoff starts.
He is 9-7, 3.44 in 23 starts vs New York.

Houston is 9-3 in their last 12 games.
Astros are 57-26 at home.
Houston is in playoffs for 6th year in row- they were in World Series three of last five years.

Astros are 5-2 vs New York this year, 3-0 at home.




MLB

Wednesday, October 19


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ San Diego
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Diego's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 11 games

NY Yankees @ Houston
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
NY Yankees is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 19

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
PHI at SD04:35 PMSD -114
O 7.0
+500 +500
NYY at HOU07:37 PMHOU -177
U 7.0
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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OCTOBER MLB PLAYOFF OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%...........+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%...........+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%............-10.50
10/15/2022............3-5-0...........37.50%............-11.05
10/14/2022............3-1-0............75.00%...........+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0............00.00%............-10.50
10/12/2022............1-3-0............25.00%............-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0............25.00%............-18.35
10/09/2022............2-0-0...........100.00%...........+11.25
10/08/2022............2-6-0.............25.00%...........-24.40
10/07/2022...........3-5-0.............37.50%............-14.15

TOTALS............22-30-0............42.30%.............-45.05

BEST BETS

10/19/2022............4-0-0..........100.00%..............+20.00
10/18/2022............2-0-0..........100.00%..............+10.10
10/16/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10/15/2022............3-4-0,.,........42,85%..................-5.99
10/14/2022............3-1-0...........75.00%...............+10.55
10/13/2022............0-2-0...........00.00%................-10.50
10//12/2022...........1-3-0...........25.00%..................-8.00
10/11/2022............2-6-0...........25.00%...............- 18.35
10/09/2022...........1-0-0..........100.00%................+ 6.25
10/08/2022....................NO BEST BE..................+ 0.00
10/07/2022...........2-4-0............33.33%...............- 13.65

TOTALS...........18-22-0...........45.00%................- 20.09
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

NFL leaders in passing yardage:
1,980— Josh Allen, Buff
1,765— Matt Ryan, Ind
1,736— Patrick Mahomes, KC
1,716— Justin Herbert, LAC
1,652— Tom Brady, TB
1,616— Joe Burrow, Cin

Quote of the Day
“I feel a lot more comfortable, a lot more confident. I was a little overwhelmed last year; it was my first time starting 15 games and it gets to you a little bit.”
Washington Commanders’ QB Taylor Heinicke

Thursday’s quiz
In the TV show The West Wing, what state was President Bartlet from?

Wednesday’s quiz
Bushwood was the name of the country club in the classic movie Caddyshack.

Tuesday’s quiz
Phil Garner was the Astros’ manager when they lost the 2005 World Series.

******************************

Thursday’s Den: Quick Notes on NFC teams

Arizona Cardinals
— On each team’s first drive of the game, Cardinals have been outscored 27-3. On their first drives, Arizona has run 30 plays for 122 yards, opponents 57 plays for 308 yards.

Atlanta Falcons— Falcons are only 11th NFL team since 1989 to start a season 6-0 against the spread. Falcons are 11-6 ATS last 17 games as a road underdog.

Carolina Panthers— Panthers have gone 3/out on 22 of 62 drives (35.5%); they’ve given up 24 plays of 20+ yards (-7). On 38 drives that started 75+ yards from goal line, they scored 29 points.

Chicago Bears— Bears have been outscored 84-39 in first half this season; on their first drive of 3rd quarter, Chicago has scored four TD’s, kicked a field goal (39 plays, 373 yards).

Dallas Cowboys— In their two losses, Cowboys lost field position by 12-17 yards; they’ve converted only 25-78 third down plays. Under is 5-0-1 in their games this season.

Detroit Lions— Lions have forced only nine 3/outs, tied for least in NBA (Seattle); under Campbell, Lions are 4-17-1 SU, 14-8 ATS. Over is 5-2 in Detroit’s last seven games.

Green Bay Packers— Green Bay went under its team total in five of six games; they’ve converted only 8 of last 26 third down plays. Packers have forced 23 3/outs, T2 in league.

Los Angeles Rams— Rams allowed a defensive TD in their last three games; they’ve gone 3/out on 20 of 59 drives (33.9%). Rams allowed 47 points on 12 red zone drives (3.92).

Minnesota Vikings— Vikings have TD drives of 78-75-86 yards on their first possessions; they outscored opponents 21-10 on first drives. They’re 5-1, scoring 27.3 ppg in last four games.

New Jersey Giants— 5-1 Giants have trailed by 10+ points in three of five wins; they have only 13 plays of 20+ yards, three less than any other team. Giants have outscored foes 87-49 in second half of games.

New Orleans Saints— Saints are 0-4 when they score less than 27 points; they’ve been outscored 75-54 in first half. Saints have been outscored 31-12 in last 2:00 of each half.

Philadelphia Eagles— Last five games, on their first drive, opponents ran total of 18 plays for 41 yards. Eagles have forced 24 3/outs, gone 3/out only nine times themselves, best ratio in NFL.

San Francisco 49ers— 49ers were held to 10-10-14 points in their losses; they’ve forced 23 3/outs, gone 3/out only 12 times. SF has 25 plays of 20+ yards; they’ve allowed 13 (+12).

Seattle Seahawks— Seahawks on first drive of game: 47 plays, 357 yards, 27 points. Seahawks on first series of second half: 32 plays, 167 yards, no points.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers— Opponents in first drive of game: 54 plays, 281 yards, 23 points. Opponents on first series of second half: 33 plays, 89 yards, 6 points.

Washington Commanders— They’ve gone 3/out 22 times on 65 drives (33.8%), allowed 29 plays of 20+ yards (minus-7). Last five games, Commanders have been outscored 77-20 in first half.
 

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