CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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LA LAKERS are 15-36 ATS (-24.6 Units) in home games after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

TORONTO is 13-2 Over (10.8 Units) in home games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 21-6 Under (14.4 Units) after a cover as a double digit favorite since 1996.

UTAH is 14-4 Under (9.6 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 6


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NBA

Sunday, November 6


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Trend Report
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Cleveland @ LA Lakers
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Chicago @ Toronto
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Toronto's last 12 games when playing at home against Chicago

Washington @ Memphis
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ LA Clippers
Utah
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Utah is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah


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SUNDAY, NOVEMBER 6

CLE at LAL 03:30 PM
CLE -4.5
U 222.0
+500 +500

WAS at MEM 06:00 PM
MEM -9.5
O 224.5 +500 +500

CHI at TOR 06:00 PM
CHI +2.0
O 220.5 +500 +500

UTA at LAC 10:00 PM
UTA +3.5
U 221.
0 +500 +500
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS....................40-33-1................54.79%...................+ 18.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50

11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00


TOTALS...................23-20-1.................53.48%................+5.00

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Monday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 10 spreads in the NFL:

— Falcons (-2.5) @ Carolina
— Seahawks vs Buccaneers (-1.5) (@ Munich)
— Lions @ Chicago (-2.5)
— Vikings @ Buffalo (-7.5)
— Jaguars @ Kansas City (-10)
— Saints (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“To get in this league and play who we play day after day, I would think it would be a tremendous awakening. You don’t get to make your own schedule in the Big 12.”
West Virginia hoop coach Bob Huggins, talking about Gonzaga potentially jumping to the Big 12 Conference from the WCC, where they’re a big fish in a very small pond.

Monday’s quiz
Where did Kawhi Leonard play his college basketball?

Sunday’s quiz
AJ Hinch was the Houston Astros’ manager, the other time they won a World Series, in 2017.

Saturday’s quiz
Tim Matheson appeared in Animal House, later played the Vice President on The West Wing.

*************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Chiefs 20, Titans 17 OT

— Chiefs tied game on TD/2-point play with 2:56 left.
— Kansas City ran 91 plays for 499 yards; Titans 48 plays, 229 yards.
— Mahomes had 63 of Chiefs’ 77 rushing yards.
— Last five games, Chiefs converted 37-68 (54.4%) third down plays.
— Kansas City is 7-12 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.

— Titans’ first 3 drives: 16 plays, 196 yards, 14 points.
— Rest of game: 32 plays, 32 yards, 3 points.
— Chiefs converted 8-19 on 3rd down, Tennessee 1-11.
— Willis is 11-26/135 passing (1 INT) in his first two NFL starts.
— Tennessee covered its last six games (5-1 SU)

Chargers 20, Falcons 17
— Falcons led 10-0 after the first quarter.
— Chargers drove 24 yards in 0:34, kicked GW FG at the gun.
— Chargers converted 8-16 third down plays.
— Bolts are 5-0 if they allow less than 37 points.
— Chargers won four of their last five games.

— Atlanta only scored 17 points on four red zone drives.
— Falcons first two drives: 22 plays, 145 yards, 10 points.
— Falcons next three drives: 9 plays, minus-10 yards, 3 punts.
— Last seven games, Falcons ran ball for 169 yards/game.
— Last five opponents converted 52-105 (49.5%) third down plays.

Dolphins 35, Bears 32
— Miami’s first 5 drives: 36 plays, 364 yards, 4 TD’s, missed FG
— Dolphins led 21-10 after scoring TD on a blocked punt.
— Last four games, Miami averaged 7.3/7.5/9.2/10.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Dolphins are 5-0 if they score more than 17 points.
— Miami is 5-0 this season in games decided by 6 or fewer points.

— Fields carried ball 15 times for 178 yards, threw for 123 yards, 3 TDs.
— Last four games, Bears ran ball for 238-243-240-252 yards.
— Chicago converted 10-16 third down plays.
— Bears scored 33-29-32 points in their last three games (1-2).
— Chicago lost five of its last six games SU.
— Bears allowed 10 TD’s on opponents’ last 17 drives.

Jets 20, Bills 17
— Bills in first half: 37 plays, 254 yards, 14 points.
— Bills in second half: 26 plays, 43 yards, 3 points.
— Allen threw red zone INT on Bills’ first drive of game.
— Buffalo averaged only 4.7 yards/pass attempt.
— All eight Buffalo games stayed under the total.

— Jets drove 86 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 1:43 left for the win.
— Gang Green is 6-3, would be #5-seed in AFC if playoffs were today.
— Last five games, Jets allowed only seven TD’s on 58 drives.
— Last five weeks, Jets outscored foes 68-29 in second half.
— Jets won/covered five of last six games.

Bengals 42, Panthers 21
— Bengals in first half: 45 plays, 316 yards, 35 points.
— Mixon had 26 touches for 211 yards, five TD’s.
— Bengals are 6-3 ATS last nine games as a home favorite.
— Bengals converted 42 of last 80 (52.5%) third down plays.
— Cincinnati won five of last seven games (6-1 ATS).

— Carolina in first half: 17 plays, 32 yards, 1 first down, 2 turnovers.
— Down 35-0, QB Mayfield played 2nd half, led three TD drives in garbage time.
— Panthers are 4-12 ATS in last 16 games coming off a loss.
— Carolina is 3-7 ATS last ten games as a road underdog.
— Carolina lost three of four games since firing their coach.

Vikings 20, Commanders 17
— Vikings drove 44 yards, kicked 28-yard FG with 0:12 left for the win.
— Minnesota drove 78 yards for a TD on its opening drive.
— Vikings’ next 7 drives: 32 plays, 110 yards, no points.
— Vikings in 4th quarter: 3 drives, 26 plays, 124 yards, 17 points.
— Last five games, Jefferson caught 41 passes for 621 yards.
— Vikings won last six games SU (4-1-1 ATS)

— Washington led 17-7 with 11:00 left in game.
— Commanders converted only 15 of last 60 third down plays.
— Washington’s last four games (3-1) were decided by total of 11 points.
— Six of their last seven games stayed under the total.
— Last eight games, Commanders have been outscored 100-40 in first half

Lions 15, Packers 9
— Rodgers threw red zone INTs on Packers’ first two drives.
— Green Bay was in red zone four times, scored 3 points.
— Packers lost their last five games, scoring 15.8 ppg.
— Packers are 1-7-1 ATS last nine games as a road favorite.
— Green Bay went under its team total in seven of eight games.
— Packers are 7-13 ATS in last 20 NFC North road games.

— Packers are 0-6 ATS in last six trips to Detroit.
— Lions won despite losing field position by 10 yards.
— Packers started two drives in Detroit territory, didn’t scored on either one.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 5-19-1 SU, 15-9-1 ATS.
— Under Campbell, Lions are 8-2-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Patriots 26, Colts 3
— Patriots forced nine 3/outs on Colts’ 14 drives.
— New England is 5-0 when it allows less than 20 points.
— Last two games, Patriots scored 2 TD’s, kicked 9 FG’s on 25 drives.
— Last five games, Patriots outscored foes 70-32 in 2nd half.
— New England won four of last five games SU (5-1 ATS last six).

— Colts fired their offensive coordinator Tuesday; it didn’t help.
— Patriots sacked Ehlinger nine times, held Colts to 1.1 yards/pass attempt.
— Indianapolis was 0-14 on third down conversions.
— Eight of their nine games stayed under the total.
— Colts went under their team total in eight of nine games TY.
— Colts have trailed all nine games after the third quarter.

Jaguars 27, Raiders 20
— Raiders led 17-0 with 5:00 left in first half.
— Raiders in first half: 34 plays, 231 yards, 12 first downs, 20 points.
— Raiders in 2nd half: 25 plays, 65 yards, 4 first downs, no points.
— Adams caught 10 passes for 146 yards, two TD’s.
— Raiders are 2-10-1 ATS last 13 games as a road favorite.
— Las Vegas is 0-5 SU on road TY, giving up 25.8 ppg.

— Jaguars’ 1st three drives: 13 plays, 51 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Jaguars rest of game: 55 plays, 340 yards, 20 first downs, 27 points.
— Jacksonville converted 9-15 on third down, Raiders 3-12.
— Etienne carried ball 28 times for 109 yards, two TD’s.
— Last five games, Jacksonville ran ball for 175.8 yards/game.

Buccaneers 16, Rams 13
— Cooper Kupp caught 8 passes for 127 yards, Rams’ only TD.
— Rest of offense for the day: 47 plays, 79 yards.
— Rams lost four of their last five games SU.
— Rams were held to 10-9-10-14-13 points in their losses.
— In their losses, LA was outscored 68-9 in second half.
— Last five games, Rams ran ball for only 66 yards/game.

— Tampa Bay drove 60 yards for game-winning TD with 0:09 left.
— Tampa Bay outgained Rams 323-206, held LA to nine first downs.
— Last three games, Bucs scored four TD’s on 42 drives.
— Last five weeks, Bucs ran ball 100 times for 285 yards (2.85/carry)
— Seven of nine Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.

Seahawks 31, Cardinals 21
— Smith threw pick-6 in 3rd quarter, Arizona led 14-10
— Seahawks’ 3 drives after that: 31 plays, 231 yards, 21 points.
— Last four weeks, Seattle outscored foes 61-35 in 2nd half.
— Seahawks won/covered five of their last six games.
— Seattle is 5-0 when it allows less than 27 points.
— Five of Seahawks’ last seven games went over the total.

— Seahawks converted 10-15 third down plays.
— Hopkins caught only four passes for 36 yards.
— Arizona is 1-6 when it scores less than 29 points.
— Arizona is 5-14 ATS last 19 games as a home favorite.
— Cardinals lost four of their last five games SU.
— Seahawks are 7-2-1 ATS in last ten visits to Arizona.
 

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CHARLOTTE is 16-3 ATS (12.7 Units) in home games after 2 straight games where they made 39% of their shots or worse since 1996.

HOUSTON is 24-46 ATS (-26.6 Units) as a dog of 3.5 to 9.5 in the last 3 seasons.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

NEW ORLEANS are 13-2 Under (10.8 Units) in road games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 47-24 ATS (20.6 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 11-2 Under (8.8 Units) in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 7-22 ATS (-17.2 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 18-2 ATS (15.8 Units) in home games as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 over the last 2 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

MINNESOTA is 19-4 Over (14.6 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

DENVER is 1-10 ATS (-10 Units) after 2 straight wins by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

DALLAS are 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) as a home favorite of 6 points or less over the last 2 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games in November games over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 56-30 ATS (23 Units) versus terrible 3 point shooting teams -making <=30% of their attempts since 1996.

LA CLIPPERS are 24-10 ATS (13 Units) after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Monday, November 7


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Trend Report
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Washington @ Charlotte
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

Houston @ Orlando
Houston
Houston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
Houston is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Detroit
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City

New Orleans @ Indiana
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 10 games
Indiana
Indiana is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Indiana's last 21 games at home

Phoenix @ Philadelphia
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 10 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 10 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games at home

Milwaukee @ Atlanta
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Milwaukee is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
Atlanta is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

Portland @ Miami
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games at home
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Portland

Toronto @ Chicago
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Toronto is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

Boston @ Memphis
Boston
Boston is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games when playing Memphis
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Memphis's last 15 games when playing at home against Boston

New York @ Minnesota
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against New York

Denver @ San Antonio
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
San Antonio is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Denver

Brooklyn @ Dallas
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games
Dallas is 16-3 SU in its last 19 games at home

Sacramento @ Golden State
Sacramento
Sacramento is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Utah
LA Lakers is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Cleveland @ LA Clippers
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games at home


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, NOVEMBER 7

WAS at CHA07:00 PMCHA -2.0
U 213.5
+500 +500
HOU at ORL07:15 PMORL -5.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
OKC at DET07:30 PMOKC -1.5
U 223.5
+500 +500
NO at IND07:45 PMNO -5.0
U 233.0
+500 +500
PHO at PHI08:00 PMPHO -2.5
U 215.0
+500 +500
MIL at ATL08:15 PMMIL -3.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
POR at MIA08:30 PMMIA -5.5
U 217.5
+500 +500
TOR at CHI08:45 PMCHI -2.0
U 221.0
+500 +500
BOS at MEM09:00 PMMEM +3.5
O 231.0
+500 +500
NY at MIN09:15 PMMIN -3.0
U 235.0
+500 +500
DEN at SA09:30 PMSA +7.5
O 234.5
+500 +500
BK at DAL09:45 PMDAL -6.0
U 216.5
+500 +500
SAC at GS10:00 PMGS -8.0
U 234.5
+500 +500
LAL at UTA10:15 PMUTA -6.5
U 226.0
+500 +500
CLE at LAC10:30 PMLAC +5.0
O 213.0
+500 +500
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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Good info as always Cnote....
 

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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS................55-48-1................53.39%...................+ 11.00


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS................30-29-1.................50.84%................- 9.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack
Interesting Week 10 spreads in the NFL:

— Texans @ NJ Giants (-6.5)
— Browns @ Miami (-4)
— Broncos @ Tennessee (-3)
— Colts @ Las Vegas (-6)
— Cowboys (-5) @ Green Bay
— Cardinals @ LA Rams (-3)

Quote of the Day
“Nothing ends well, or else it wouldn’t end.”
Coughlin’s Law, from the movie Cocktail

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played at Davidson; where did his dad Dell Curry play his college basketball? He played 16 years in the NBA.

Monday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

Sunday’s quiz
AJ Hinch was the Houston Astros’ manager, the other time they won a World Series, in 2017.

**************************

Tuesday’s Den: Random stuff, and notes from the first night of college basketball

Notes from first night of college basketball:

— These teams started their season with losses to teams that aren’t Division I:
Cleveland State
Kansas City
Marshall
Northern Illinois


— Other upsets of note:
Sam Houston State (+17) 52, Oklahoma 51
SE Missouri State (+10) 64, South Florida 61
Western Illinois (+10) 71, Illinois State 68
Evansville (+8) 78, Miami OH 74
Cal-Davis (+5.5) 75, California 65


— A few other upsets:
Florida Gulf Coast 74, USC 61— Andy Enfield loses to his former employer.
Stetson 83, Florida State 74— Hatters made 14-35 on the arc.
Wagner 76, Temple 73 OT
NC-Asheville 98, UCF 95, 2OT
— UCF led by 10 with 3:15 left in regulation.
Quinnipiac 67, Rhode Island 62— Bobcats survived shooting 9-25 on the foul line.

Games of the Night:
Hofstra 83, Princeton 77
— Princeton led by 7 with 4:05 left to play.
Akron 81, South Dakota State 80 OT
Belmont 70, Ohio U 69
— Belmont hit a 3-pointer off a side out-of-bounds play with 0:01.1 left for the dramatic win.
Oregon State 73, Tulsa 70— Good start for Beavers after last year’s 3-28 debacle.

Ravens 27, Saints 13:
— Baltimore led 14-3 at halftime.
— Ravens converted 9-15 on 3rd down, New Orleans 3-11.
— Ravens are 11-1 ATS last 12 games with spread of 3 or less.
— Last six games, Ravens have run ball for 181.4 yards/game.
— Baltimore won four of its last five games.

— Saints’ first four drives: 13 plays, 36 yards, 2 first downs, no points.
— Only New Orleans TD came with 4:13 left, after issue had been decided.
— Saints have been outscored 53-18 in last 2:00 of each half.
— New Orleans is 1-4 when they score less than 27 points.
— Saints lost 6 of last 8 games; their turnover ratio is minus-11.

— Indianapolis Colts fired coach Frank Reich Monday; Colts are 3-5-1 this season, trailing all nine games after the 3rd quarter. Reich went 40-33-1 as coach of the Colts; he had a different starting quarterback every season.

Colts hired their former center Jeff Saturday as interim head coach; he was working on ESPN until now, and is first NFL head coach with zero college/NFL coaching experience since 1961, when Norm Van Brocklin went from QB of the Eagles to head coach of the expansion Vikings.

Saturday played 13 seasons with the Colts, and was a 6-time Pro Bowler and 4-time All-Pro.

— QB Sam Ehlinger has started two games for the Colts; they fired his offensive coordinator after last week’s game, fired his head coach after this week’s game. Perfectly normal.

— Carolina Panthers fired two more assistant coaches Monday; they fired head coach Matt Rhule and two other assistants a month ago. Panthers also activated QB Sam Darnold, but said that PJ Walker will start Thursday night’s game against the Falcons.

— Seattle Seahawks have started rookie offensive tackles in every game this year, first time that has happened in the NFL since 1982.

— Watching the Vikings play Sunday, WR Justin Jefferson is so good; if he is single-covered, QB Cousins will just throw a jump ball in that direction, figuring that Jefferson will win that battle and make a big play.

— New Jersey Giants safety Xavier McKinney went on vacation to Mexico during his bye week; he broke his hand there in an ATV accident. He went on IR, so he’ll miss at least four games.

— Miami Dolphins gave LB Bradley Chubb a 5-year, $110M deal, with $63.2M of that money guaranteed; Dolphins dealt RB Chase Edwards and two draft picks to Denver to acquire Chubb at the trade deadline.

If the playoffs started today, 6-3 Miami would be the #6-seed in the AFC.

— Texas A&M’s football is on a 5-game losing streak for first time since 1980; Green Bay Packers have also lost five in a row, for first time since 2008.

— I stumbled across this reality series on Amazon Prime about the Sierra Canyon High School basketball team; kids go there from all over the country to position themselves for scholarships in college. Lebron James’ son is on the team; Dwyane Wade’s son, Kenyon Martin’s son played there in previous years.

The show takes you behind the scenes of the team, which is interesting; how many high school basketball teams play games in eight different states in one season? It isn’t at all a normal high school team, but what I’ve seen of the program has been interesting so far.

— Why do NBA players sit games out at this time of year? They can’t play two nights in a row? Are they really going to play better in playoff games in April/May because they sat out a game on November 8th?

When they were kids, these guys played AAU ball, where teams might play couple of games in a the same day, and 5-6 games in a weekend.

— There is some conference shuffling going on again this year in college basketball; the WAC and Sun Belt have both added a bunch of teams. Next year, Jacksonville State, Liberty, New Mexico State and Sam Houston State are all going to Conference USA.

— Doing my prep work for college basketball the last couple weeks, remarkable how many kids are playing at their third different college. More than a few are playing for their fourth college; not a lot of continuity around the country, which makes handicapping early season games just an impossible task, a complete crapshoot.

— This is an oddity and speaks to how kids transfer all the time now; James Madison has four players on this year’s team who have been Freshmen of the Year in a conference. None of them did it while playing for James Madison.

— Last year, Murray State beat San Francisco 92-87 in OT in the NCAA tournament; both head coaches in that game parlayed their successful seasons into better jobs, so this year, when LSU plays Florida, it’ll be the same two coaches going up against each other- Matt McMahon, who went from Murray State to LSU and Todd Golden, who bolted from USF to Florida.
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack

Interesting Week 10 college football spreads:
— Kansas @ Texas Tech (-3.5)
— Kansas State @ Baylor (-2.5)
— Washington @ Oregon (-13.5)
— TCU @ Texas (-7)
— North Carolina @ Wake Forest (-3.5)
— Florida State (-6.5) @ Syracuse

Quote of the Day
“I cannot teach anybody anything. I can only make them think.”
Socrates

Wednesday’s quiz
Rams drafted QB Sam Bradford with the 1st pick of the 2010 NFL Draft; who was the only other QB taken in the first round that year?
Hints:
a) he doesn’t play in the NFL anymore
b) he later played professionally in another sport

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played college basketball at Davidson; his dad Dell Curry played at Virginia Tech.

Monday’s quiz
Kawhi Leonard played his college basketball at San Diego State

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: NBA trends

NBA trends (thru November 8)

Hawks (7-3):
— won/covered last three games SU.
— 3-1-1 ATS at home
— over 4-1 on road

Celtics (7-3):
— won four of last five games SU.
— they’re 4-6 ATS, 2-4 on road
— over 3-1 at home

Nets (4-7):
— 1-4 ATS at home.
— 2-3 ATS as favorite, 2-3 ATS as an underdog.
— last five games stayed under the total.

Hornets (3-8):
— lost their last five games SU.
— 1-4 ATS at home
— under 4-1 at home

Bulls (6-6)
— 3-0 ATS as a home favorite.
— have already played 4 back/backs: 1-3 ATS first nite, 2-2 2nd nite
— under 4-1 last five games

Cavaliers (8-2):
— won 7 of last 8 games SU
— 6-1 ATS as a favorite.
— over 3-1 home games

Mavericks (6-3):
— won last four games SU, last three by 3-1-2 points.
— 1-4-1 ATS at home, 2-1 on road
— over 6-3

Nuggets (7-3):
— 4-1 SU their last five games
— 3-1 ATS as home favorite, 1-3 as road favorite
— under 4-0 home games

Pistons (3-8):
— 1-4 ATS on the road
— 4-5 ATS as an underdog
— under 4-0 last four games.

Warriors (4-7):
— lost five of last six games SU
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite
— under 3-1 last four games.

Rockets (2-9):
— 3-7-1 against the spread, all as an underdog
— 0-2 ATS first game of a back/back.
— over 4-1 last five home games

Pacers (5-5):
— won four of last five games (5-0 ATS).
— 6-3 ATS as an underdog
— over 3-1 last four home games

Clippers (6-5):
— won four of last five games SU
— 2-6 ATS as a favorite
— five of last six games stayed under

Lakers (2-8):
— 0-4 SU/ATS on the road
— 2-6 ATS as an underdog.
— under 3-1 on road

Grizzlies (7-4):
— won three of last four games SU
— 2-4 ATS on the road.
— under 4-1 last five games

Heat (4-7):
— 1-5 ATS as a home favorite
— 1-5 ATS last six games overall.
— under 3-1 last four games.

Bucks (9-1):
— covered eight of their ten games
— 6-1 ATS as a home favorite
— under 5-0 last five games.

Timberwolves (5-6):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 3-5 ATS at home
— under 3-0 road games

Pelicans (5-5):
— lost three of their last four games SU.
— 1-4 ATS as a favorite
— over 8-2

Knicks (5-5):
— lost four of last six games SU.
— 2-3 ATS at home, 3-2 on road
— under 3-1 last four games

Thunder (4-6):
— lost last three games SU.
— 3-1 ATS as a road underdog.
— last three home games went over

Magic (2-9):
— lost four of last five games SU
— 4-0 ATS as home dog, 0-4-2 as road dog
— over 4-1 home games.

76ers (5-6):
— won four of last six games SU
— 1-4 ATS as a home favorite.
— under 5-1 home, over 4-1 road

Suns (7-3):
— won six of last eight games SU
— 5-2 ATS as home favorite
— last four games stayed under total

Trailblazers (7-3):
— covered 8 of their 10 games.
— 2-0 ATS first night of back/back
— under 3-1 last four games

Kings (3-6):
— covered four of their last five games.
— 5-1 ATS as an underdog
— under 7-2

Spurs (5-6):
— lost their last four games SU
— 3-3 ATS as home dogs, 3-2 as road dogs.
— last three games stayed under total.

Raptors (6-5):
— split their last six games SU.
— 4-2 ATS on the road
— under 6-5

Jazz (9-3):
— won five of last six games SU (6-0 ATS)
— 8-1 ATS as an underdog
— under 4-1 last five road games

Wizards (5-6):
— lost five of last seven games SU
— 4-2 ATS on the road.
— last three games stayed under total.
 

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DENVER is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.

ORLANDO is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) in home games after having lost 4 or 5 of their last 6 games in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 15-40 ATS (-29 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 23-48 ATS (-29.8 Units) as a home favorite in the last 3 seasons.

DETROIT is 50-27 Under (20.3 Units) after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the last 3 seasons.

ATLANTA is 47-30 ATS (14 Units) in home games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game in the last 3 seas...

MEMPHIS are 12-1 ATS (10.9 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

PHOENIX is 8-0 Under (8 Units) in road games off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 24-10 Over (13 Units) in road games in non-conference games in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 33-18 Under (13.2 Units) versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 13-3 Under (9.7 Units) in home games after playing a road game over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS
are 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, November 9


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Orlando
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games

Portland @ Charlotte
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games

Denver @ Indiana
Denver
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

Detroit @ Boston
Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 10 games when playing at home against Detroit
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Houston @ Toronto
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Toronto is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Utah @ Atlanta
Utah
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Utah
Atlanta is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home

New York @ Brooklyn
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
New York is 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games on the road
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games

New Orleans @ Chicago
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games on the road
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans

Milwaukee @ Oklahoma City
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Oklahoma City is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Phoenix @ Minnesota
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Phoenix is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Phoenix

Memphis @ San Antonio
Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of LA Lakers's last 23 games on the road
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing LA Lakers

Cleveland @ Sacramento
Cleveland
Cleveland is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Cleveland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
104,556
Tokens
WEDNESDAY, NOVEMBER 9

DAL at ORL05:30 PMORL +7.5
O 214.0
+500 +500
DEN at IND07:00 PMDEN -5.5
U 235.5
+500 +500
POR at CHA07:00 PMCHA +3.0
O 219.5
+500 +500
NY at BK07:30 PMNY +3.0
O 220.5
+500 +500
UTA at ATL07:30 PMATL -4.0
O 229.0
+500 +500
HOU at TOR07:30 PMHOU +10.5
O 224.5
+500 +500
DET at BOS07:30 PMDET +12.5
O 226.0
+500 +500
MIL at OKC08:00 PMOKC +1.5
U 213.0
+500 +500
MEM at SA08:00 PMMEM -5.5
U 234.0
+500 +500
PHO at MIN08:00 PMMIN -1.5
U 222.5
+500 +500
NO at CHI08:00 PMCHI +1.5
U 232.5
+500 +500
LAL at LAC10:00 PMLAC -3.0
O 219.5
+500 +500
CLE at SAC10:00 PMSAC +4.5
O 226.5
+500 +500
 

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Sep 26, 2005
Messages
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NBA NOVEMBER'S OPINION'S AND BEST BETS !

11/09/2022.............9-17-0...................34.61%..................- 48.50
11/07/2022...........15-15-0...................50.00%..................- 7.50
11/06/2022...............2-4-0...................33.33%..................- 12.00
11/05/2022...............8-8-0...................50.00%..................- 4.00
11/04/2022.............14-10-0................58.33%...................+ 15.00
11/02/2022...............11-8-1................57.89%...................+ 11.00
11/01/2022................5-3-0.................62.50%...................+ 8.50

TOTALS................64-65-1................49.61%..................... -37.50


*********************************************

BEST BETS

11/09/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/07/2022................7-9-0.................43.75%................- 14.50
11/06/2022................3-3-0.................50.00%................- 1.50
11/05/2022................5-7-0.................41.66%...............- 13.50
11/04/2022................5-4-0.................55.55%................+ 3.00
11/02/3033................6-4-1.................60.00%................+ 8.00
11/01/2022................4-2-0.................66.66%................+ 9.00

TOTALS................35-33-1.................52.94%................- 6.50

*************************************************

OCT'S RECORD OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !
TOTALS............95-102-0..................48.22%................-85.50
BEST BETS !
TOTALS..............55-59-2...................48.24%...............- 49.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack

NFL leaders in passes caught:
76— Tyreek Hill, Mia
72— Cooper Kupp, Rams
60— Stefon Diggs Buff/Austin Ekeler LAC
59— Justin Jefferson, Minn
57— Travis Kelce, KC
54— Michael Pittman, Ind

Quote of the Day
“That’s the most absurd thing I’ve ever heard, that we’re tanking. That’s bullshit. We’re in this thing; 9-7-1 gets us (into the playoffs), no question about it. … We’re not tanking the season.”
Colts owner Jim Irsay

Thursday’s quiz
In 1972, Robert Irsay traded the NFL team he owned for the Baltimore Colts; which NFL team did Irsay own before he owned the Colts?

Wednesday’s quiz
Rams drafted QB Sam Bradford with the 1st pick of the 2010 NFL Draft; Tim Tebow was the only other QB taken in the first round that year.

Tuesday’s quiz
We know that Steph Curry played college basketball at Davidson; his dad Dell Curry played at Virginia Tech.

***********************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

— ESPN used to have this great thing, a college basketball marathon that went 24-28 hours straight, something like that, a terrific way to start the season.

Remember playing video poker in Las Vegas at 3am while watching a game from Hawai’i; it was a little mind-numbing, but in a fun way. The 6-8am games from the east coast were bizarre.

These days, ESPN only cares about the NBA, which is too bad. College basketball needs a way to launch its season the right way.

Bellarmine 67, Louisville 66
Bellarmine is also in Louisville; Knights are in their 3rd year in D-I. They won a national title at the D-II level. They scored 1.08 points/possession in this game, very good.

Bellarmine led by 14 in first half, by 11 at the half; they only turned ball over 11 times.

This is an upset, but not a huge upset; Louisville was favored by 7.5 points.

— Hell of a week so far for the Atlantic Sun Conference:
Bellarmine 67, Louisville 66
Florida Gulf Coast 74, USC 61
Stetson 83, Florida State 74


Davidson 102, Wright State 97, 2OT
Wright State led 48-27 with 2:50 left in first half.
Wright State led 63-47 with 12:56 left in the game.
Davidson was 22-36 on foul line, Wright State 11-15.

South Dakota State 68, Boise State 66
Jackrabbits lost in OT at Akron Monday, get solid road win here.

Providence 66, Rider 65 (Tuesday)
Rider led this game 32-17 with 5:51 left in first half.
Broncs shot 34.1% inside arc, made 9-14 outside arc.
Friars were 26-43 on foul line, Rider 8-10, in a one-point game.

Georgetown 99, Coppin State 89 OT
Hoyas lost their last 21 games LY; they escape here with a narrow win.
Coppin State hit a late 3-pointer to force overtime.

— There are reports that “……..Gonzaga has been exploring its conference options” as in switching from the WCC to the Big X, a much bigger league.

This would be a terrible mistake.

Right now, the Gonzaga program is a big fish in a very small pond; they dominate the WCC, they get lot of national attention in March, and they get lot of high profile recruits because they win so much. If they go to the Big X, they’re a smaller fish in a deeper pond; mediocrity will set in, and they’ll be flying from Spokane to Lubbock, Morgantown or Kansas to get their butts kicked.

Gonzaga today is where UNLV was in the late 80’s, and that is a very good place to be. UNLV was in a cruddy league, the Big West. Cal-Santa Barbara, New Mexico State gave them enough competition to get their games on ESPN at midnight, but those UNLV teams were built to win in March, and they won a lot.

Gonzaga’s administration needs to be happy pummeling the WCC; they’ve been a 1-seed in four of last five NCAA tournaments. That should be good enough.

— Brooklyn Nets named interim coach Jacque Vaughn their new head coach, replacing the fired Steve Nash. It was a rumored that the Nets were going to hire former Celtics coach Ime Udoka, but that didn’t happen.

Orlando 94, Dallas 87— Magic held Luka Doncic to 24 points on 9-29 shooting, first time in 10 games this season he scored less than 30 points.

Wilt Chamberlain holds all-time record, scoring 30+ points in his first 23 games of the 1962-63 season.

Warriors 116, Kings 113— Golden State snapped its 5-game losing skid Monday night, with Steph Curry scoring 47 points in an impressive display— he shot 17-24 from floor, 7-12 on the arc. Kings led this game by nine points after the third quarter.

30 or so years ago, when we first started going out on Sundays to watch NFL games on a satellite dish, I remember saying one day that the whole thing was worth it, just to watch Barry Sanders run with the football every week— he was that good.

Thats how I feel about Steph Curry; it is freakin’ awesome to watch him pass/shoot and make his teammates better. He and Klay Thompson have made shooting cool to a whole generation of young ballplayers. He really has elevated the game.

— So far this NFL season, under is 79-55-2, as lot of offenses seem stuck in the mud.

— Matthew Stafford is in concussion protocol, Kyler Murray tweaked his hamstring last week, making this week’s Cardinal-Ram game a mystery between two struggling teams.

— 1B Anthony Rizzo apparently has turned down his $16M option for next season, making him a free agent. Rizzo hit 32 homers, knocked in 75 runs, but hit .224— he is 33 years old.

— Atlanta Braves traded P Jake Odorizzi to Texas for lefty P Kolby Allard, who the Braves took in the first round of the 2015 draft. Odorizzi has a $6.5M deal for next year, with a $3.25M buyout.

— California voted against legalizing sports betting this week; the election wasn’t close, which I’m assuming is good news for Las Vegas casinos.

— Coastal Carolina QB Grayson McCall is out 3-6 weeks; he’s thrown 21 TD’s with only one INT this season for the 8-1 Chanticleers.

— Surprising stat; Tulane Green Wave is 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.

— Indianapolis Colts now have a head coach (Jeff Saturday) who has never coached in college or the NFL. He played a long time in the NFL, was a high school coach for three years, but Sunday is going to be very different for him.

Not only that, but 30-year old Parks Frazier, the assistant quarterbacks coach, is going to call plays this week. Colts don’t have any coaches who have ever called plays in an NFL game. Frazier played quarterback at Murray State.
 

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DALLAS are 60-33 Over (23.7 Units) in road games after 3 consecutive non-conference games since 1996.

PHILADELPHIA is 25-12 ATS (11.8 Units) when playing 4 or less games in 10 days in the last 3 seasons.

MIAMI is 10-1 Under (8.9 Units) in home games after having lost 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.

PORTLAND is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots over the last 2 seasons.




NBA

Thursday, November 10


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Dallas @ Washington
Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Washington
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing Dallas

Charlotte @ Miami
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Miami is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
Atlanta is 17-4 SU in its last 21 games at home

Portland @ New Orleans
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Portland's last 10 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Portland


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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