CNOTES 2022-2023 NBA TRENDS, NEWS, BEST BETS AND OPINIONS THRU THE PLAYOFFS !

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Tuesday’s 6-pack
NBA leaders in assists:
10.8— James Harden, Phil
10.4— Tyrese Haliburton, Ind
9.9— Trae Young, Atl/Nikola Jokic, Den
9.1— Chris Paul, Phx
8.1— Luka Doncic, Dal/Ja Morant, Mem
7.8— Darius Garland, Clev

Tweet of the Day
“I got to live out my dream because of college basketball. Sure, I was a golfer and I went to Houston to be on the golf team. But, really, went to Houston to study communications and try to figure out a way to get trained to hopefully one day be noticed by CBS. That was what the goal was: to work for CBS.”
Jim Nantz

Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Wrigley Field/Fenway Park, what is the oldest stadium in the major leagues?

Monday’s quiz
Last 40 years, #8-seed Villanova is 1985 is the lowest seed to win the NCAA championship.

Sunday’s quiz
Jamie Foxx’s character Willie Beamon played QB for the Miami Sharks in Any Given Sunday; Beamon wore number 13 for the Sharks.

***************************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but……. (plus, XFL trends)

— UConn 76, San Diego State 59
Huskies were dominant, winning their tournament games by 24-15-23-28-13-17 points.

UConn has won five national titles, under three different coaches, all since 1999; they were a #1-seed only one of those five years, and that year, Huskies were a 9.5-point underdog in the final, in ’99 against Duke.

San Diego State had a great year, but they shot 32.2% from the floor in this game.

— Padres 5, Arizona 4— Dahl/Kim hit back/back homers in the bottom of the ninth, after Arizona took the lead in the top of the ninth. San Diego has now won three in a row.

— Guardians 12, A’s 11 (10)— Seth Brown hit a two-out, two-run homer in bottom of 9th to tie the game; Cleveland scored twice in the 10th to win it.

Oakland led this game 6-2 in 2nd inning, 8-5 after five innings. Oy.

— Tigers 7, Astros 5 (11)— Vierling went 4-5; his 11th inning home run was the game-winner. Abreu’s homer in the bottom of ninth sent the game to extra innings.

Astros are 2-3; in four of the five games, the winning run scored from the 7th inning on.

— Angels 7, Mariners 3— Angels’ bullpen got 13 outs, allowing only two baserunners. Ohtani hit another home run. Seattle has lost four in a row after winning their opener.

— Brewers 10, Mets 0
Anderson/Turang homered for Milwaukee, which didn’t homer in its first three games, which hadn’t happened since 1976.
Freddy Peralta tossed six shutout IP, allowing five baserunners.

— Giants 12, White Sox 3
San Francisco hit seven home runs in this game, four of them in one inning.
Giants’ first nine games this year are against American League teams; their first NL game is against the Dodgers next Monday.

— There are 1,200 names in the college basketball transfer portal; the season ended last night. There are 363 Division I basketball teams, which means an average of 3.31 players from every team in the country are bolting to another school. It is crazy, and it makes handicapping games really difficult, at least the non-conference games before Christmas.

— NBA’s Atlanta Hawks are 39-39; they’ve scored 9,209 points and given up 9,210. They are 24-24 against teams from the East and 15-15 against teams from the West. They have been within one game of .500 for 73 consecutive days, during which time they changed head coaches.

— Angels’ 3B Anthony Rendon loses $817,240 for his 4-game suspension after he got into an altercation with a fan in Oakland last week. Rendon makes $38M a year, more than Mike Trout makes; he should never get mad at anything.

— Here are trends for all eight XFL teams, seven weeks into a 10-game regular season.

Arlington Renegades (3-4)
Renegades lost three of their last four games.
Five of their last six games stayed under the total.
Last six games, scored 11.8 ppg.
All three wins were by 6 or less points.
1-6 ATS this season, 0-3 ATS as a favorite.

DC Defenders (6-1)
Won/covered first six games, then lost to 0-6 Orlando.
Six of their seven games went over the total.
Last five games, Defenders scored 33.4 ppg.
Last two weeks, they allowed 26-37 points.

Houston Renegades (4-3)
Lost last three games, after a 4-0 start.
Scored 30.5 ppg in first four games, 18.7 ppg in last three.
3-1 SU/ATS at home, 1-2 on the road.
Favorite covered five of their seven games.
Last three home games stayed under the total.

Las Vegas Vipers (2-5)
Won two of last three games, after an 0-4 start.
Vipers are 1-5 ATS in their last six games.
Last five games, Las Vegas allowed 27 ppg.
Their last three games are all on the road.
Vipers are 0-4 when they score less than 26 points.

Orlando Guardians (1-6)
Orlando beat spread in four of last five games.
They were 0-6, then upset 6-0 Defenders last week.
Six of their seven games went over total.
Guardians are giving up 30.6 ppg.

St Louis Battlehawks (5-2)
Both their losses are to 6-1 Defenders (34-28/28-20)
St Louis allowed 18 or less points in its wins.
Battlehawks covered both times they were favored.
St Louis is 3-2 ATS as an underdog.
Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

San Antonio Brahmas (2-5)
San Antonio scored 12 points LW; they had a 97-yard kick return TD.
Brahmas were held to 15 or less points in six of seven games.
Six of their seven games stayed under the total.
Average total in their last four games: 25.8.
Their last three games are all at home.

Seattle Sea Dragons (5-2)
Seattle won its last five games, after an 0-2 start.
Sea Dragons covered four of their last five games.
Five of their seven games went over the total.
Their four road games all went over the total.
Last four games, they allowed only 13.5 ppg.
 

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DETROIT is 50-31 ATS (15.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses in the last 3 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread in the last 3 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher over the last 2 ...

MILWAUKEE is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

BROOKLYN is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders in the last 3 seasons.

Joe Mazzulla is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) (Coach of BOSTON)

ATLANTA is 15-4 ATS (10.6 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 70-42 Over (23.8 Units) after playing a home game in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 13-39 ATS (-29.9 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more in the last 3 seasons.

PORTLAND is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) as a dog in the last 3 seasons.

UTAH is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) in home games as a dog in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games in the current season.

PHOENIX is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games off a road win in the current season.
 

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Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 4


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MIAMI (41 - 37) at DETROIT (16 - 62) - 4/4/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
MIAMI is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
DETROIT is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 33-42 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 31-41 ATS (-14.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DETROIT is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (49 - 30) at ORLANDO (34 - 44) - 4/4/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-66 ATS (-27.6 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 44-32 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-24 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 4-4 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (39 - 39) at CHARLOTTE (26 - 53) - 4/4/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CHARLOTTE is 34-43 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 26-35 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in home games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (56 - 22) at WASHINGTON (34 - 44) - 4/4/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 43-31 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 47-34 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
WASHINGTON is 69-87 ATS (-26.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 5-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 7-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (39 - 40) at BROOKLYN (43 - 35) - 4/4/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 122-157 ATS (-50.7 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MINNESOTA is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MINNESOTA is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 73-88 ATS (-23.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 27-53 ATS (-31.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 4-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (54 - 24) at PHILADELPHIA (51 - 27) - 4/4/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-8 ATS (+14.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 97-81 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 53-37 ATS (+12.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in road games in April games since 1996.
BOSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 60-38 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 5-5 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (39 - 39) at CHICAGO (38 - 40) - 4/4/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 33-43 ATS (-14.3 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 48-34 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (47 - 31) at NEW ORLEANS (40 - 38) - 4/4/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-24 ATS (+12.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (52 - 26) at HOUSTON (19 - 60) - 4/4/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 28-42 ATS (-18.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
HOUSTON is 42-72 ATS (-37.2 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 40-65 ATS (-31.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 24-34 ATS (-13.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
HOUSTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more this season.
HOUSTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
HOUSTON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 7-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 9-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (33 - 45) at MEMPHIS (49 - 29) - 4/4/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 68-90 ATS (-31.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 37-63 ATS (-32.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
PORTLAND is 232-280 ATS (-76.0 Units) after a division game since 1996.
PORTLAND is 28-44 ATS (-20.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 95-72 ATS (+15.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 66-47 ATS (+14.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 52-34 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
MEMPHIS is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (40 - 38) at UTAH (36 - 42) - 4/4/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 18-32 ATS (-17.2 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
UTAH is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA LAKERS are 155-119 ATS (+24.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-3 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 41) at GOLDEN STATE (41 - 38) - 4/4/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) in home games this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 155-116 ATS (+27.4 Units) in April games since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 30-12 ATS (+16.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-33 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-20 ATS (+9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 46-32 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAN ANTONIO (20 - 58) at PHOENIX (43 - 35) - 4/4/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-46 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 30-46 ATS (-20.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) against Pacific division opponents this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
PHOENIX is 146-117 ATS (+17.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 116-87 ATS (+20.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 173-132 ATS (+27.8 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 452-385 ATS (+28.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-1 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Tuesday, April 4


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Trend Report
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Toronto @ Charlotte
Toronto
Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games

Cleveland @ Orlando
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games on the road
Orlando
Orlando is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Washington
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 14-2 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Milwaukee is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Washington
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Miami @ Detroit
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Miami

Minnesota @ Brooklyn
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Brooklyn is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 9 games
Chicago
Chicago is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Atlanta

Portland @ Memphis
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing Memphis
Portland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
Memphis is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Portland

Sacramento @ New Orleans
Sacramento
Sacramento is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Sacramento is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
New Orleans
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
New Orleans is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

Denver @ Houston
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

Boston @ Philadelphia
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Boston

LA Lakers @ Utah
LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Utah
Utah is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

Oklahoma City @ Golden State
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games on the road
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

San Antonio @ Phoenix
San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Phoenix
San Antonio is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games


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TUESDAY, APRIL 4​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
MIL at WAS07:00 PMWAS +13.5
O 230.0
+500 +500
MIA at DET07:00 PMDET +13.5
O 218.0
+500 +500
CLE at ORL07:00 PMCLE -5.0
U 222.0
+500 +500
TOR at CHA07:00 PMCHA +14.5
O 223.0
+500 +500
MIN at BK07:30 PMMIN -2.0
U 224.0
+500 +500
POR at MEM08:00 PMPOR +17.5
O 228.5
+500 +500
DEN at HOU08:00 PMHOU +9.0
O 230.0
+500 +500
SAC at NO08:00 PMSAC +4.0
O 236.0
+500 +500
ATL at CHI08:00 PMCHI -3.5
O 235.0
+500 +500
BOS at PHI08:00 PMPHI -2.0
U 227.5
+500 +500
LAL at UTA09:00 PMUTA +9.0
O 237.5
+500 +500
OKC at GS10:00 PMOKC +8.0
U 242.5
+500 +500
SA at PHO10:00 PMSA +19.0
O 236.5
+500 +500
 

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Messages
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BEST BETS FOR APRIL

04/04/2023......................3 - 5.....................37.50%.......................- 12.50
04/02/2023......................1 - 0......................100.%...................... .+ 5.00
04/01/2023......................2 - 0......................100%....................... + 10.00

TOTALS..............................6 - 5....................54.54%..................... ..+ 2.50
 

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Armadillo Sports

Wednesday’s 6-pack

Active college basketball coaches who have won a national title:
Tony Bennett, Virginia
John Calipari, Kentucky
Scott Drew, Baylor
Dan Hurley, UConn
Tom Izzo, Michigan State
Rick Pitino, Kentucky/Louisville (now at St John’s)
Bill Self, Kansas

Tweet of the Day
“That’s not our style of play as far as the effort, rounding the bag there. It’s unacceptable.”
St Louis manager Oliver Marmol, criticizing OF Tyler O’Neill after he got thrown out at the plate in the 7th inning of Tuesday’s 4-1 loss to Atlanta.

Wednesday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played 15 years in the NBA; 13 with the Bulls, two with what other team?

Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Wrigley Field/Fenway Park, Dodger Stadium is the oldest ballpark in the major leagues.

Monday’s quiz
Last 40 years, #8-seed Villanova is 1985 is the lowest seed to win the NCAA championship.

*******************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings……..

— I’m hoping to start posting daily baseball knowledge this Friday; in the meantime, I started doing some NFL research for the 2023 season on Tuesday, some of which I’ll post here in the next few days.

Weird Stat of the Day: over the last 22 years, under is 17-4-1 in Seahawks’ home openers- they are 18-2 SU/15-5 ATS in their last 20 home openers.

Also, Jacksonville Jaguars haven’t been favored in any of their home openers since 2010, and they made the playoffs twice since then, so they had a couple good teams.

— NFL Draft is still three weeks away; I’m not a big fan of reading mock drafts, it is just people guessing on picks, to try and draw attention to their work. Front office people aren’t going to spill the beans on who/what position they want to target, so writers have to guess, and if a guy does more than one mock draft, the guessing multiplies exponentially.

— Las Vegas Raiders signed former Patriots’ QB Brian Hoyer to back up Jimmy Garoppolo.

Speaking of Patriots’ QB’s, word has it that Mac Jones called coaches at Alabama during this past season, looking for help for the Patriots’ offensive struggles. Apparently Mr Jones doesn’t think much of Matt Patricia/Joe Judge, the New England assistants who were coaching Jones, a 2nd-year QB. Can’t say I blame him.

This ticked off Bill Belichick; now comes word that the Patriots shopped Jones around this winter, to the Bucs, Commanders, Raiders and Texans.

Former Alabama assistant Bill O’Brien is back in Foxboro now, which will makes Jones’ life a lot easier, assuming Belichick doesn’t trade him this spring.

— First six days of baseball season, over is 44-34-1, lot of offense. First five days of last season, under was 41-27-7. Banning the shifts has made the game more fun to watch.

— Weird that UConn was unranked in the preseason college basketball top 25, and they won the national title, while North Carolina was the preseason #1 team, and they even didn’t make the tournament.

Speaking of UConn, they’re in a 4-team tournament at Madison Square Garden in November with Louisville, Indiana and Texas. Pretty good preseason event.

— San Diego Padres have a payroll of $249,061,645 this season, a huge payroll; right now, their payroll obligations for the 2027 season is $145,545,455- that’s four years from now!!! And that doesn’t include Juan Soto, who will be a free agent after the 2024 season.

By way of comparison, Oakland A’s have a payroll of $59,265,000 this year; they have $13M on the books for 2024 (Aledmys Díaz/Jace Peterson) and beyond that, their obligations are $0, as in nothing, bupkis.

Arizona 8, Padres 6— San Diego led this game 5-1 after five innings, but Arizona scored four runs in 8th inning to snap the Padres’ 3-game winning streak.

Manny Machado was supposed to be San Diego’s DH; he got called out on strikes because of a pitch clock violation in the first inning, then got thrown out of the game for arguing. Not good.

His replacement, Nelson Cruz hit a home run, but it was a cruddy day for the Padres.

Marlins 1, Twins 0— Sandy Alcantara was masterful, throwing a 100-pitch complete game, allowing only four baserunners. Avasail Garcia homered for the Marlins’ only run. Game took 1:57 to play; I’m guessing that stadium vendors HATE the new pitch clock rules.

Mariners 11, Angels 2— Coming into the game, Teoscar Hernandez was 1-17 this season, but he hit two homers, knocked in four runs as Seattle snapped their 4-game losing skid. AJ Pollock also homered twice for the Mariners.

Brewers 9, Mets 0— Mets have a payroll of $357,763,333 this season, by far the biggest payroll in MLB; they lost their last two games by a combined 19-0, to a Milwaukee squad with a payroll of $121,884,960.

Newly-acquired Brian Anderson homered twice, knocked in six runs; Milwaukee’s play-by-play guy on TV is also named Brian Anderson.

A’s 4, Guardians 3— Tony Kemp’s walk-off single sent the announced crowd of 3,407 home happy. Oakland is 2-3 this season; the opposing starting pitchers in their wins were Ohtani and Bieber, couple of All-Stars. A’s have shown some spunk in the season’s first week.

By way of comparison, the A’s AAA team in Las Vegas drew 6,950 fans for their game Tuesday, a 7-6 loss to Oklahoma City.

The A’s franchise somehow turned a $29M profit last year; the owners are cheap bastards, but the front office, coaches and players are doing their very best. We’ll see how they make out.

Rays 10, Nationals 6— Tampa Bay scored five times in 9th inning to snatch a victory from the jaws of defeat; at 5-0, they’re the last unbeaten team in the big leagues.

Luke Raley tied the game with a 9th inning homer, then Josh Lowe put the Rays ahead 7-6 with a homer, and Yandy Diaz capped off the huge inning with a 3-run homer.

— Last week, Major League Baseball decided to voluntarily recognize minor league ballplayers as part of the Players’ Union; here are some of the changes.

Triple A salaries go from $17,500 a year to $35,800
Double A salaries go from $13,800 a year to $30,250
High Single A salaries go from $11,000 a year to $27,300
Single A salaries go from $11,000 a year to $26,200
Complex league salaries go from $4,800 a year to $19,800
 

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NEW YORK is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) when playing 6 or less games in 14 days in the current season.

DETROIT is 17-5 Over (11.5 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games versus terrible defensive teams - shooting pct defense of >=48% in the current season.

ATLANTA is 14-30 ATS (-19 Units) off an upset win as an underdog in the last 3 seasons.

MILWAUKEE is 15-4 Over (10.6 Units) in home games after playing a road game in the current season.

NEW ORLEANS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in home games vs. division opponents in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games after scoring 120 points or more 3 straight games in the current season.

LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NBA

Wednesday, April 5


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Trend Report
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New York @ Indiana
New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
Indiana is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 8 games when playing at home against New York

Brooklyn @ Detroit
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Detroit
Brooklyn is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

Toronto @ Boston
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games when playing Boston
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Toronto
Boston is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home

Washington @ Atlanta
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 25 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Atlanta is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Washington

Chicago @ Milwaukee
Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
Chicago is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Milwaukee's last 8 games when playing at home against Chicago
Milwaukee is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games when playing Chicago

Memphis @ New Orleans
Memphis
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing New Orleans
New Orleans
New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis
New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Memphis

Sacramento @ Dallas
Sacramento
Sacramento is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Sacramento is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games on the road
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 10 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 13 games

LA Lakers @ LA Clippers
LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
LA Lakers is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers


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NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, April 5


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NEW YORK (46 - 33) at INDIANA (34 - 45) - 4/5/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 43-33 ATS (+6.7 Units) in all games this season.
NEW YORK is 37-28 ATS (+6.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
NEW YORK is 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
NEW YORK is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
INDIANA is 14-31 ATS (-20.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (43 - 36) at DETROIT (16 - 63) - 4/5/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 73-89 ATS (-24.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 56-72 ATS (-23.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 35-60 ATS (-31.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
BROOKLYN is 96-64 ATS (+25.6 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 143-96 ATS (+37.4 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
DETROIT is 34-42 ATS (-12.2 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 32-41 ATS (-13.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
DETROIT is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
BROOKLYN is 7-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (40 - 39) at BOSTON (54 - 25) - 4/5/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) after allowing 100 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 98-81 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 37-22 ATS (+12.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 372-314 ATS (+26.6 Units) in road games after allowing 105 points or less since 1996.
TORONTO is 50-35 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (34 - 45) at ATLANTA (40 - 39) - 4/5/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 70-87 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 34-43 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all games this season.
ATLANTA is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 8-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (38 - 41) at MILWAUKEE (57 - 22) - 4/5/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 36-26 ATS (+7.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MILWAUKEE is 39-22 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
MILWAUKEE is 41-28 ATS (+10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 226-291 ATS (-94.1 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 9-6 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 11-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (50 - 29) at NEW ORLEANS (40 - 39) - 4/5/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
MEMPHIS is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in road games this season.
MEMPHIS is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games vs. division opponents this season.
MEMPHIS is 95-73 ATS (+14.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 77-59 ATS (+12.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 230-174 ATS (+38.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-5 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (48 - 31) at DALLAS (37 - 42) - 4/5/2023, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 123-92 ATS (+21.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
DALLAS is 653-558 ATS (+39.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
SACRAMENTO is 45-34 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 230 this season.
SACRAMENTO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 27-13 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 30-45 ATS (-19.5 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 16-32 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games this season.
DALLAS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing with 2 days rest this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 6-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (41 - 38) at LA CLIPPERS (41 - 38) - 4/5/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 248-298 ATS (-79.8 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 19-35 ATS (-19.5 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
LA LAKERS are 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 155-120 ATS (+23.0 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 124-159 ATS (-50.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 9-1 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 10-0 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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WEDNESDAY, APRIL 5​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
NY at IND07:00 PMIND +8.5
O 233.0
+500 +500
BK at DET07:00 PMBK -11.5
U 220.5
+500 +500
WAS at ATL07:30 PMWAS +11.0
O 233.5
+500 +500
CHI at MIL07:30 PMMIL -7.0
U 230.0
+500 +500
TOR at BOS07:30 PMTOR +4.0
O 224.5
+500 +500
MEM at NO08:00 PMMEM +5.0
O 229.5
+500 +500
SAC at DAL08:30 PMSAC +6.0
O 241.5
+500 +500
LAL at LAC10:00 PMLAL +4.5
O 231.5
+500 +500
 

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BEST BETS FOR APRIL

04/05/2023......................4 - 2.....................66.66%.......................+ 9.00
04/04/2023......................3 - 5.....................37.50%...................... .- 12.50
04/02/2023......................1 - 0......................100.%...................... .+ 5.00
04/01/2023......................2 - 0......................100%....................... + 10.00

TOTALS............................10 - 7....................58,82%.................... ..+ 11.50
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Six top prospects from the Boston Red Sox
1) Marcelo Mayer, SS
2) Triston Casas, 1B
3) Ceddanne Rafaela, OF/SS
4) Masataka Yoshida, OF
5) Miguel Bleis, OF
6) Mikey Romero, SS/2B

Tweet of the Day
“I think the last several weeks I’ve been able to reflect on a lot of things. The one thing I can tell you without question: I missed my job. I love my job and I want to do my job for a long time. That’s what is positive. Now, for me to be effective doing that, I think I have to wake up a little bit and maybe do some things from a lifestyle standpoint, a personal habit standpoint, that I’ve been very, very, very inconsistent with my entire adult life.

And I said that jokingly earlier, can you imagine a doctor telling you to lose weight, eat right and exercise? I’ve been told that a long time, but I’m taking that serious for the first time I probably have in my life.”
Bill Self

Thursday’s quiz
Oakland A’s have won four World Series titles, under which three managers?
Hint: Two of them are in the Hall of Fame

Wednesday’s quiz
Michael Jordan played 15 years in the NBA; 13 with the Bulls, two with the Washington Wizards.

Tuesday’s quiz
Other than Wrigley Field/Fenway Park, Dodger Stadium is the oldest ballpark in the major leagues.

******************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Early season trends for AFC teams………

Ravens
Last seven years, they’re 6-1 ATS in Week 1
5-2 ATS last seven home openers
Last three years, scored 38-36-38 points in home openers
10-5 ATS last 15 road openers

Bills
10-5 SU in last 15 home openers, 7-4 ATS in last 11
Three of last four home openers stayed under total.
4-0 SU/3-1 ATS in last four road openers.
Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.
7-3 ATS in last ten Week 1 games.

Bengals
2-5 ATS in last seven home openers
6-2 ATS last eight road openers, but lost last four SU
Three of last four road openers stayed under total.

Browns
6-18 ATS in home openers (0-4 last four years)
0-9 ATS as a favorite in home openers.
Last three years, scored 35-31-30 points in home opener.
Over is 7-2 in last nine home openers.
Covered four of last five road openers.
Under is 5-2 in last seven road openers.

Broncos
Last 34 years, Denver is 29-5 SU in home openers (9-5 ATS in last 14)
Last four home openers stayed under total.
1-5 SU/2-4 ATS in last six road openers.
Four of last five road openers stayed under total.

Texans
2-1-1 SU in last four home openers
Lost seven of last eight road openers SU, but…….
…..they covered five of last six road openers.
Under is 6-2 in their last eight road openers.

Colts
Covered three of last four home openers
Last three home openers stayed under the total
1-6-1 ATS in last eight road openers.
Last nine years, Colts are 2-6-1 ATS in Week 1.

Jaguars
Covered three of last five home openers.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven home openers.
Covered four of last six road openers
Last three road openers went over the total.
Jaguars are 2-6 ATS as a favorite in road openers.

Chiefs
7-0 SU/4-3 ATS in last seven home openers.
Over is 5-1-2 in last eight home openers.
5-1 SU/4-2 ATS in last six road openers.
Over is 5-1 in last six road openers.
Last seven years, Chiefs scored 33+ points in Week 1.

Raiders

Covered four of last six home openers (last two went to OT)
Over is 7-2 in last nine home openers
Covered five of last seven road openers.
Under is 4-2 in last six road openers.
Raiders started 1-0 in five of last seven years.

Chargers
Started 1-0 the last four years.
Lost four of last six home openers.
Under is 3-0 in their home openers at SoFi.
8-2-1 ATS in last 11 road openers.
Lost SU in six of last nine road openers.
Last four road openers stayed under the total.

Dolphins
Covered four of last six home openers.
Four of last five home openers went over total
6-2 ATS in last eight road openers
Last 19 years, under is 17-2 in their road openers.
Last three years, they played New England in Week 1.

Patriots
Lost 17-16/37-26 in last two home openers.
Four of last five home openers stayed under total.
Favorites covered their last four road openers.
Under is 3-1 in their last four road openers.

Jets
Last four years, Jets started season 0-1.
0-5 SU/ATS in last five home openers.
Under is 5-1 in last six home openers.
7-3 ATS in last ten road openers.
Over is 4-1 in their last five road openers.

Steelers
Started season on the road the last eight years
5-1-1 SU/4-3 ATS last seven road openers/Week 1 games
Last six road openers stayed under the total.
1-4 SU/0-5 ATS in last five home openers.
Under is 5-2 in last seven home openers.

Titans
2-7 SU/ATS in last nine home openers (0-4 last four years).
Five of their last six home openers stayed under the total.
8-2 SU/7-3 ATS last ten road openers
Four of their last six road openers went over the total.
 

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Messages
16,818
Tokens
ORLANDO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after successfully covering the spread in 5 or more consecutive games in the current season.

MIAMI is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 9-0 ATS (9 Units) in home games after having lost 3 of their last 4 games in the current season.

UTAH is 7-0 ATS (7 Units) as a home underdog of 6 points or less in the current season.

PHOENIX is 117-87 ATS (21.3 Units) as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.




NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, April 6


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NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, April 6


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CLEVELAND (50 - 30) at ORLANDO (34 - 45) - 4/6/2023, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 45-67 ATS (-28.7 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 40-60 ATS (-26.0 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
ORLANDO is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
ORLANDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (42 - 37) at PHILADELPHIA (52 - 27) - 4/6/2023, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 28-49 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
MIAMI is 15-24 ATS (-11.4 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MIAMI is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 46-33 ATS (+9.7 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-22 ATS (+10.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) after allowing 105 points or less this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 9-6 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 8-7 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (33 - 46) at SAN ANTONIO (20 - 59) - 4/6/2023, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 69-90 ATS (-30.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 22-38 ATS (-19.8 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 903-785 ATS (+39.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 627-543 ATS (+29.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 111-77 ATS (+26.3 Units) in home games against Northwest division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 452-386 ATS (+27.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 625-534 ATS (+37.6 Units) after scoring 100 points or less since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 32-47 ATS (-19.7 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 116+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 5-5 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (38 - 42) at UTAH (36 - 43) - 4/6/2023, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in April games over the last 3 seasons.
UTAH is 44-32 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
UTAH is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
UTAH is 31-12 ATS (+17.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-34 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 48-31 ATS (+13.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-2 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (52 - 27) at PHOENIX (44 - 35) - 4/6/2023, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 147-117 ATS (+18.3 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 98-76 ATS (+14.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 73-59 ATS (+8.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) in a home game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 74-50 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games in April games since 1996.
PHOENIX is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
DENVER is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 8-5 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 8-5 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NBA

Thursday, April 6


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
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Cleveland @ Orlando
Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Orlando
Orlando is 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10 games
Orlando is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Miami @ Philadelphia
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Miami
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Portland @ San Antonio
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 6 games
Portland is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
San Antonio
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Utah
Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Utah
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Utah
Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Utah's last 9 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

Denver @ Phoenix
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
Phoenix
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Phoenix is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Messages
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THURSDAY, APRIL 6​

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
CLE at ORL07:00 PMORL -9.5
O 217.5
+500 +500
MIA at PHI07:30 PMPHI -3.0
U 220.0
+500 +500
POR at SA08:00 PMSA -4.0
O 228.0
+500 +500
OKC at UTA09:00 PMUTA +6.5
O 239.5
+500 +500
DEN at PHO10:00 PMPHO -7.5
O 224.0
+500 +500
 

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