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Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, April 7


NL games
Atlanta (0-4) @ Washington (1-0)

— Fried allowed two runs in five IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 5.09 in six games (5 starts) vs Washington.

— 2nd game will be a bullpen game

— Braves lost their first four games.
— Atlanta is 0-4 on the road.
— Under is 3-1 in their games.
— scored run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-3-1

— Strasburg is 14-12, 4.07 in 34 starts vs Atlanta.

— Fedde is 0-1, 12.56 in four games (3 starts) vs Atlanta.

— Washington won its season opener yesterday.
— Nationals are 1-0 at home
— Over 1-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-1
— record in first 5 innings: 0-0-1

Pittsburgh (1-4) @ Cincinnati (4-1)
— Kuhl gave up two runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first start.
— He is 2-2, 3.19 in seven starts vs Cincinnati, 0-2, 4.60 in three starts here.

— Pirates lost four of their first five games.
— Pittsburgh is 1-4 on the road.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Castillo gave up 10 runs in 3.1 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 2.64 in ten starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cincinnati won its last four games.
— Reds are 4-1 at home.
— Over 4-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

Milwaukee (2-3) @ Cubs (3-2)
— Woodruff allowed three runs in four IP (78 PT) in his first start.
— He is 0-1, 4.65 in eight games (6 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 4.76 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Brewers lost three of last four games.
— Milwaukee split its two road games.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

— Hendricks allowed three runs in three IP (63 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-6, 2.84 in 23 starts vs Milwaukee.

— Cubs won three of first five games.
— Chicago is 3-2 at home.
— Last four games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

Mets (1-1) @ Philadelphia (4-1)
— Peterson allowed five runs in two IP in his one start vs Philly.

— Mets split their first two games.
— Mets are 1-1 on the road.
— Over 2-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-2
— record in first 5 innings: 2-0

— Nola allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-2, 3.30 in 16 starts against the Mets.

— Phillies won four of their first five games.
— Phillies are 4-1 at home.
— Under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

San Francisco (2-3) @ San Diego (4-2)
— Gausman allowed one run in 6.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in 5.1 IP in two games (1 start) vs San Diego.

— Giants lost three of their first five games.
— Giants are 2-3 on the road.
— Last three games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Snell threw 4.2 shutout innings (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He’s never pitched against San Francisco.

— Padres won four of their first six games.
— San Diego is 4-2 at home.
— Last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

St Louis (3-2) @ Miami (1-4)
— Flaherty gave up six runs in 4.1 IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 5.25 in two starts vs Miami.

— Cardinals won three of first five games.
— St Louis is 3-2 on the road.
— Over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Lopez blanked the Rays for five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed two runs in seven IP in his one start vs St Louis.

— Marlins lost four of first five games.
— Miami is 1-4 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

Arizona (1-3) @ Colorado (1-3)
— Bumgarner gave up six runs in four IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 17-8, 3.20 in 36 starts vs Colorado, 6-6, 4.56 in 17 starts here.

— Arizona lost for first five games, all on road.
— home/away
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Senzatela allowed seven runs in 3.1 IP (70 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-6, 6.19 in 13 games (9 starts) vs Arizona.

— Colorado lost for first five games, all at home.
— home/away
— over 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

AL games
Kansas City (3-1) @ Cleveland (1-3)

— Junis is 3-7, 6.38 in 14 games (13 starts) vs Cleveland, 2-3, 4.19 in 7 starts here.

— Royals won three of their first four games.
— Royals are 1-0 on the road.
— over 2-1-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2

— Bieber allowed three runs in six IP (95 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-0, 3.70 in seven starts against the Royals.

— Cleveland lost three of their first four games.
— Indians are 0-1 at home.
— under 3-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-4

Minnesota (3-2) @ Detroit (3-2)
— Maeda gave up two runs in 4.1 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.88 in four starts vs Detroit, 0-2, 5.25 in two starts here.

— Twins won three of their first five games.
— Minnesota is 3-2 on the road.
— over 3-2
— scores run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1

— Boyd blanked the Indians for 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 8-7, 4.60 in 21 starts vs Minnesota.

— Detroit won three of their first five games.
— Detroit is 3-2 at home.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Tampa Bay (2-3) @ Boston (2-3)
— Yarbrough blanked Miami for 5.2 IP (65 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-2, 5.64 in 11 games (5 starts) vs Boston.

— Tampa Bay lost its last three games.
— Rays are 2-3 on the road.
— Last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-3

— Eovaldi allowed one run in 5.1 IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-5, 5.48 in 10 games (8 starts) vs Tampa Bay.

— Boston lost three of its first five games.
— Boston is 2-3 at home.
— Last three games went over
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1

Toronto (3-2) @ Texas (2-3)
— Ryu allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He has never pitched against Texas.

— Toronto won three of their first five games.
— Toronto is 3-2 on the road.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

— Gibson gave up five runs in 0.1 IP in his first start last week.
— He is 4-1, 4.61 in nine starts vs Toronto.

— Texas lost three of their first five games.
— Texas is 1-1 at home.
— over 3-1-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

White Sox (3-3) @ Seattle (2-3)
— Keuchel allowed six runs in four IP (69 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-8, 3.25 in 20 games (19 starts) vs Seattle.

— Chicago split its first six games.
— White Sox are 3-3 on the road.
— over/under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

— Dunn is 4-1, 4.13 in 14 MLB starts the last two years.
— He’s never pitched against the White Sox.

— Seattle lost three of its first five games.
— Seattle is 2-3 at home.
— over 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3

Baltimore (3-2) @ Bronx (3-2)
— Means banked Boston for seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.17 in seven games (4 starts) vs New York.

— Orioles won three of their first five games.
— Baltimore is 3-2 on road.
— under 3-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-1

— Taillon is making his first start since 2019, when he started 7 games.
— He’s never pitched against the Orioles.

— New York won three of their last four games.
— New York is 3-2 at home.
— under 4-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-5
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1

Interleague game
Dodgers (5-1) @ Oakland (0-6)

— Bauer allowed four wins in 6.2 IP (96 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-4, 3.72 in eight starts vs Oakland.

— Dodgers won their last five games.
— Dodgers are 5-1 on the road.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

— Luzardo gave up five runs in five IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed three runs in three IP in a relief stint vs LA.

— A’s lost their first six games, all by 4+ runs.
— Oakland is already 0-6 at home.
— over 5-1
— scores run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6
 

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Wednesday, April 7


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Trend Report
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Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

Pittsburgh @ Cincinnati
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh's last 8 games when playing Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 13 games
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

Tampa Bay @ Boston
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Tampa Bay's last 9 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Kansas City @ Cleveland
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cleveland's last 13 games when playing at home against Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

Minnesota @ Detroit
Minnesota
Minnesota is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Toronto @ Texas
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Texas
Texas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Texas is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

Milwaukee @ Chi Cubs
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi Cubs
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chi Cubs's last 7 games

Atlanta @ Washington
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games on the road
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games at home

LA Dodgers @ Oakland
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Dodgers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games at home

NY Mets @ Philadelphia
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

St. Louis @ Miami
St. Louis
St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
St. Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 11 games

San Francisco @ San Diego
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games

Chi White Sox @ Seattle
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Chi White Sox is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Seattle
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Seattle's last 9 games when playing Chi White Sox
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games at home

Baltimore @ NY Yankees
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games when playing NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 17 of Baltimore's last 23 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
NY Yankees is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baltimore

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
Arizona is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona


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Thursday’s 6-pack
Odds to win The Masters:

19-2— Bryson Dechambeau, Dustin Johnson
11-1— Jordan Spieth, Justin Thomas
12-1— Jon Rahm
19-1— Rory McIlroy
22-1— Patrick Cantlay
25-1— Xander Schauffele

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,307
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“Winning helps, and losing doesn’t.”
Bill Parcells

Thursday’s quiz
What comedian played Lady Gaga’s father in A Star is Born?

Wednesday’s quiz
Art Fleming was the host of Jeopardy!, before Alex Trebek.

Tuesday’s quiz
Scott Drew coached Valparaiso for a year, before going to Baylor. He replaced his dad Homer Drew at Valpo and when he left, his dad went back and coached there some more, then was replaced by his other son, Bryce Drew.

***********************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Arizona Wildcats finally fired basketball coach Sean Miller, who spent 12 years in Tucson, going 150-68 in Pac-12 games, 13-8 in NCAA tourney games, but 0-3 in Elite 8 games, last of which was in 2015. Things were not headed in an upward direction, though.

Miller’s program wound up getting overwhelmed by problems with the NCAA:
— Academic fraud.
— Impermissible benefits.
— Bribery.

Not good. Where does Arizona turn from here? There are four candidates who played ball for the Wildcats; one of these guys is likely to get the nod:

Luke Walton, Damon Stoudamire, Josh Pastner. Miles Simon

12) One of the amusing parts of these job searches is that guys at other schools wind up getting their contracts extended, so they won’t consider bolting town for greener pa$ture$.

— Cal-Santa Barbara gave Joe Pasternack a 5-year contract extension.
— Maryland’s Mark Turgeon also got a 5-year extension.

11) Its hard to win at gambling:
— A’s 4, Dodgers 3 (10)— A’s were 0-6, looked terrible, so of course they win the game when Trevor Bauer starts against them. Go figure.
— Rangers 2, Blue Jays 1— Kyle Gibson didn’t get out of the first inning in his first start; he blanked Toronto for six innings here, which makes no sense.

10) I’m not a big fan of the new extra inning system, where the inning starts with a guy on 2nd base, but seeing how the A’s are 7-0 in extra innings this year and last, maybe I should be.

9) Braves were 0-4, then they swept a twinbill in Washington Wednesday; Huascar Ynoa tossed five shutout innings for Atlanta in the nightcap.

8) If one of the pitchers on your fantasy team is pitching and you see Jerry Layne is umping the plate, the next couple of hours might be fun. His strike zone is……..wide.

7) Cardinals’ pitcher Génesis Cabrera wears number 92; he is the first major leaguer EVER to wear #92 in a regular season game.

6) Mariners 8, White Sox 4— Seattle pitcher Justin Dunn allowed only one hit in 4.2 IP, but he also walked eight guys— he threw 48 strikes, 45 balls, allowed three runs.

Here are some of the better survey answers we got on the question:
What would you serve if you hosted The Masters champions’ dinner?

5) Pete from Rome (NY, not Italy)— Baked lasagna or baked ziti. Messy, but good.

4) Mr Dodger has an extensive menu:
— Appetizer: Buffalo chicken wings, Waldorf salad.
— Entree: New York strip steak
— Vegetable: green beans Almondine
— Dessert: New York cheesecake
— Wines from the Fingerlakes Region, craft beer from the Albany area.

3) G-squared— 16-ounce New York strip steak, with baked potatoes. Vegetatians can go back to the fairway and graze. ��

2) Billy C— Surf and turf!!!

1) Hoosier Mike:
— Home Run frozen pizza
— Pistachio pudding
— Fillet steak
— Mashed potatoes
— String beans/carrots mixed
— Hot bread rolls
— Ben and Jerry’s ice cream

0) Armadillo:
— pasta and meatballs
— cheesecake for dessert
 

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901MIAMI -902 NY METS
MIAMI is 24-8 SU (15.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-4 SU (13.3 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

903CHICAGO CUBS -904 PITTSBURGH
DEREK SHELTON is 18-4 SU (13.6 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

905ARIZONA -906 COLORADO
COLORADO is 433-540 SU (-161 Units) at home with a money line of -100 to -150 since 1996.

907MILWAUKEE -908 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 6-20 SU (-17.8 Units) vs. an NL team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

909BOSTON -910 BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 16-5 SU (10.5 Units) in day games over the last 2 seasons.

911SEATTLE -912 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 9-20 SU (-13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

913KANSAS CITY -914 CHI WHITE SOX
CHI WHITE SOX is 11-3 SU (9 Units) vs. AL teams allowing 4.9 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.

915LA ANGELS -916 TORONTO
TORONTO is 6-16 SU (-13.1 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better in the last 3 seasons.

917OAKLAND -918 HOUSTON
HOUSTON is 27-9 SU (17.1 Units) when playing with a day off in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Dunkel

Thursday, April 8


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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, April 8


NL games
Miami (1-5) @ Mets (1-2)

— Marlins haven’t announced a starting pitcher.

— Marlins lost five of first six games.
— This is their road opener.
— under 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-1-4

— Walker is making his Mets’ debut here.
— He allowed 7 runs (3 earned) in 3.2 IP, in his one start vs Miami.

— Mets lost two of their first three games.
— This is the Mets home opener.
— Over 3-0
— scored run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1

Cubs (3-3) @ Pittsburgh (1-5)
— Arrieta allowed one run in six IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 13-6, 2.87 in 24 starts vs Pittsburgh.

— Cubs split their first six games.
— This is Chicago’s road opener.
— Last five games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

— TAnderson allowed three runs in five IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.32 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost five of their first six games- they were outscored 25-5 the last two days.
— This is Pittsburgh’s home opener.
— Under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-4-1

Arizona (2-4) @ Colorado (2-4)
— Kelly allowed three runs in 94 PT in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.64 in three starts vs Colorado, 1-1, 7.71 in two starts here.

— Arizona lost four of first six games, all on road.
— Arizona is 2-4 on the road.
— under 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4

— Gray allowed one run in five IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-5, 5.34 in 12 starts vs Arizona.

— Colorado lost four of its last five games, all at home.
— Rockies are 2-4 at home.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

Milwaukee (3-3) @ St Louis (4-2)
— Burnes allowed one run in 6.1 IP (87 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 6.41 in seven games (4 starts) vs St Louis, 1-1, 5.40 in four games (1 start) here.

— Brewers split their first six games.
— Milwaukee won two of its three road games.
— Under 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2

— Wainwright allowed six runs in 2.2 IP (56 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 18-11, 2.50 in 44 games (37 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won four of first six games.
— This is the St Louis home opener.
— Over 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

AL games
Boston (3-3) @ Baltimore (4-2)

— Rodriguez is 9-5, 3.24 in 19 games (17 starts) vs Baltimore, 5-2, 2.60 in nine starts at Camden Yards.

— Boston won its last three games, after an 0-3 start.
— This is Boston’s road opener.
— Last four games went over
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-1

— Harvey allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-0, 1.69 in two starts vs Boston (10.2 IP).

— Orioles won four of their first six games.
— This is Baltimore’s home opener.
— under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

Kansas City (3-2) @ White Sox (3-4)
— Keller allowed six runs in 1.1 IP (51 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 3.20 in 12 games (9 starts) vs Chicago, 1-2, 5.04 in five starts here.

— Royals won three of their first five games.
— Royals are 1-1 on the road.
— over 2-2-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2

— Lynn allowed two runs in 4.2 IP (99 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-2, 4.36 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago lost four of its first seven games.
— This is White Sox home opener.
— over/under 4-3 over
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1

Seattle (3-3) @ Minnesota (4-2)
— Gonzales allowed five runs in six IP (99 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed six runs in five IP, in his one start vs Minnesota.

— Seattle split its first six games.
— This is Seattle’s road opener.
— over 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4

— Berrios blanked Milwaukee for six IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.02 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Twins won four of their first six games.
— This is Minnesota’s home opener.
— over 3-3
— scores run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

Angels (4-2) @ Texas (3-3)
— Canning is 0-2, 6.00 in three starts vs Texas; he allowed four runs (1 earned) in 3.2 IP in his one start here LY.

— Angels won four of their first six games.
— This is Angels’ road opener.
— over/under 3-3
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2

— Stripling allowed three runs in 3.1 IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 3.33 in five games (3 starts) against the Angels.

— Texas split their first six games.
— Texas is 2-1 at home.
— over 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

Oakland (1-6) @ Houston (5-1)
— Irvin gave up four runs in 4.1 IP (82 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— That was his only appearance against the Astros.

— A’s lost six of their first seven games.
— This is Oakland’s road opener.
— over 5-2
— scores run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 0-6-1

— Javier allowed two runs in 3.2 IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 6.94 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won five of their first six games.
— This is Houston’s home opener.
— over 5-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
 

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Thursday, April 8


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Trend Report
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Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets's last 5 games
NY Mets is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Miami

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
Boston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Boston's last 13 games
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

Arizona @ Colorado
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Arizona

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Toronto
LA Angels is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland


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Messages
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Friday’s 6-pack
Updated odds to win The Masters:

4-1— Justin Rose
15-2— Jordan Spieth
12-1— Patrick Reed, Jon Rahm
14-1— Justin Thomas
16-1— Hideki Matsuyama
18-1— Webb Simpson

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“There’s more talent around the league than there’s ever been. From a talent standpoint, the league is in a good space. But as pure basketball lovers — who love competition at the highest level — I think they gotta catch up in that department………They soft as hell……”
Draymond Green

Friday’s quiz
NBA’s Rockets were an expansion team in 1967; where did they play their first four seasons, before moving to Houston?

Thursday’s quiz
Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father in A Star is Born.

Wednesday’s quiz
Art Fleming was the host of Jeopardy!, before Alex Trebek.

******************************************************

Friday’s Den: Random stuff with weekend here……..

13a) Least shocking story of the month: After two seasons with Oklahoma State, assistant coach Cannen Cunningham and the program have mutually agreed to part ways.

Cannen Cunningham is Cade Cunningham’s brother; hiring Cannen and paying him a quarter million bucks is how Oklahoma State landed the best recruit in the country (Cade) last year. Now he is going to go help manage his younger brother’s career in the NBA. Go figure.

Where does the NCAA draw the line on stuff like this: can a recruit’s mother be hired as a secretary and be paid a six-figure salary? Could a sibling be hired as a personal trainer, at $125K a year? What is legal and what isn’t? Inquiring minds would like to know.

13) Early Thursday morning I’m sound asleep when I hear these very loud noises just outside my bedroom window. Some kind of machinery, lot of people talking. Awesome.

Turns out the nice lady across the street was getting her driveway resurfaced. At 8:06am.

Three trucks, some kind of a steamroller, and 4-5 guys chopping away at the old driveway, before the new surface could get put down. Lot of loud noises, not a lot of sleep.

They finished around 3:00 in the afternoon. Driveway looks nice; just wish they had done it later in the day.

12) Wednesday, Washington Nationals intentionally walked Freddie Freeman in both the first and second inning of their 7-6 loss to the Braves. I wondered how often that happens.

So I asked the great researcher Doug Kern on Twitter; turns out the last time that happened was in 2009, when Detroit walked Albert Pujols intentionally in both the 1st/2nd innings.

11) Hello friends, must be quite a week for Jim Nantz; college basketball national title game on Monday night, then off to Augusta for The Masters all weekend. Pretty good week.

I am told his backyard has a par-3 hole in it, but when is the guy ever home? He does NFL in the fall, golf in spring/summer, college basketball all winter. Its good to be him.

10) Mets 3, Marlins 2— Mets had bases loaded, two outs in 2-2 game, bottom of 9th, Miami pitcher throws a strike, Michael Conforto sticks his elbow out, lets the ball hit it and the Mets walk off with a controversial win.

None of the umpires had the onions to say Conforto let the ball hit him; Mets’ TV guys Keith Hernandez/Ron Darling even said he did. Play isn’t reviewable, which is embarrassing. Rule needs to be changed.

9) White Sox 6, Royals 0— Complete game for Lance Lynn, on 111 pitches. First CG of the young season; Chicago’s bullpen has been dismal so far- Tony LaRussa had to be glad to see this.

8) Shohei Ohtani won’t make his next start Sunday against Toronto; he has a blister on his pitching hand. Ohtani went 1-5 as the Angels’ DH Thursday night; he is hitting .280.

7) In 1969, when MLB first went to divisional play, they also added four expansion teams that year- Padres, Royals, Expos, Seattle Pilots. All four expansion teams won their first game that season. Expos are the Washington Nationals now; Pilots are the Milwaukee Brewers.

6) Rory Mcilroy shot +4 (76) in the first round of The Masters Thursday; not only that, on the 7th hole, he hit a shot that struck his dad on the leg. Not good.

5) Read Thursday that actor Don Johnson is re-booting his old TV show Nash Bridges for a run on USA Network, not sure if it is one movie or if it’ll be a series again. Nash Bridges ran on CBS from 1996-2001; Johnson played a San Francisco cop whose partner was played by Cheech Marin, who is also returning for the re-boot.

4) G-League’s Erie BayHawks are moving to Birmingham, AL next season.

3) Arizona State has already poached transfers this spring from Toledo, Boston College, Robert Morris; the kid from Toledo is Marreon Jackson- he scored 18.1 ppg, grabbed 6.1 rpg and dished out 5.9 assists/game. He is expected to be a big help for the Sun Devils, who had four players transfer out of Tempe after the season.

2) UCLA basketball coach Mick Cronin parlayed his Bruins’ run to the Final Four into a two-year contract extension.

1) Thursday would’ve been Catfish Hunter’s 75th birthday; he passed away in 1999, at age 53.

James Augustus Hunter was my boyhood hero; on his rookie baseball card, in 1965, they spelled his name wrong on the back (Tim, not Jim) and when 5-year old me saw that, I adopted him as my favorite player, prompting strange looks from my dad. In 1965, not many kids in upstate New York rooted for the Kansas City A’s.

Catfish Hunter won 233 career games, nine of them in the postseason; he threw a perfect game in 1968, and knocked in three of the four runs the A’s scored that game. He won five World Series rings and won inducted into the Hall of Fame in 1987.
 

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951COLORADO -952 SAN FRANCISCO
COLORADO is 203-221 SU (-82.8 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities since 1996.

953WASHINGTON -954 LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 4-13 SU (-15.1 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

955PHILADELPHIA -956 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 8-1 SU (6.9 Units) after batting .225 or worse over a 5 game span over the last 2 seasons.

957CINCINNATI -958 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 34-21 SU (15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

959NY YANKEES -960 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 79-48 SU (26.2 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

961LA ANGELS -962 TORONTO
TORONTO is 6-17 SU (-14.7 Units) vs. a team with a good bullpen whose ERA is 3.45 or better in the last 3 seasons.

963DETROIT -964 CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 21-7 SU (14.1 Units) vs. AL teams scoring 3.9 or less runs/game on the season in the last 3 seasons.

965OAKLAND -966 HOUSTON
OAKLAND is 82-97 SU (-24.7 Units) in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games since 1996.

967SAN DIEGO -968 TEXAS
TEXAS are 44-27 SU (14.3 Units) after having won 2 of their last 3 games in the last 3 seasons.
 

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MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, April 9



NL games
Washington (1-2) @ Dodgers (5-2)

— Ross is making his first start since 2019. He is 21-19, 4.29 in 78 games (57 starts).
— Ross is 0-2, 7.02 in four games (2 starts) vs Los Angeles.

— Washington lost two of its first three games.
— This is the Nationals’ road opener.
— Over 2-1
— scored run in first inning: 1-3
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-2

— Buehler allowed two runs in six IP in his first ’21 start (90 PT)
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers won five of their last six games.
— This is the Dodgers’ home opener.
— Under is 3-1 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1

Colorado (3-4) @ San Francisco (3-3)
— Gomber allowed three runs in three IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 7-4, 3.70 in 44 MLB games (16 starts), none vs SF.

— Colorado lost four of its last six games, all at home.
— This is the Rockies’ road opener.
— Under 3-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2

— Cueto allowed three runs in 5.2 IP (105 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 9-4, 3.18 in 18 starts vs Colorado.

— Giants split their first six games.
— This is the Giants’ home opener.
— Last four games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-1

Philadelphia (5-1) @ Atlanta (2-4)
— Wheeler allowed no runs, one hit in seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 7-5, 3.54 in 17 starts against the Braves, 1-3, 5.76 in five starts here.

— Phillies won five of their first six games.
— This is the Phillies’ road opener.
— Last three games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

— Morton three runs in five IP (76 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-4, 6.08 in eight starts vs Philadelphia.

— Braves lost four of their first six games.
— This is Atlanta’s home opener.
— Under is 4-2 in their games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-2

Cincinnati (5-1) @ Arizona (2-5)
— Mahle allowed two runs in five IP (84 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed five runs in 4.1 IP in his one start vs Arizona.

— Cincinnati won its last five games, scoring 51 runs.
— This is the Reds’ road opener.
— Over 5-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1

— Kelly allowed three runs in 94 PT in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 7.64 in three starts vs Colorado, 1-1, 7.71 in two starts here.

— Arizona lost five of first seven games, all on road.
— This is Arizona’s home opener.
— under 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5

AL games
Bronx (3-3) @ Tampa Bay (2-4)

— Kluber allowed two runs in four IP (74 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 5-2, 2.67 in 10 starts vs Tampa Bay, 2-1, 4.35 in five starts here.

— New York split its first six games, all at home.
— This is New York’s road opener.
— under 5-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2

— Hill allowed four runs in four IP (71 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.79 in 11 games (3 starts) vs New York.

— Tampa Bay lost last four games, all on road.
— This is the Rays’ home opener.
— Last five games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-3

Angels (5-2) @ Toronto (3-4)
— Heaney allowed seven runs in three IP (70 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-1, 9.00 in three starts vs Toronto.

— Angels won five of their first seven games.
— Yesterday was Angels’ road opener (1-0).
— over 4-3
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2

— Zeuch blanked New York for four IP (63 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-2, 3.32 in nine MLB games (5 starts).

— Toronto lost its last three games.
— Toronto lost home opener yesterday.
— under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5
— For now, Blue Jays are playing home games in Dunedin, FL

Detroit (3-3) @ Cleveland (2-3)
— Teheran allowed one run in five IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-1, 5.59 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Detroit lost three of their last four games.
— This is Detroit’s road opener.
— under 4-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1

— Plesac allowed two runs in six IP (94 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 1.14 in four starts against the Indians.

— Cleveland lost three of their first five games.
— This is the Indians’ home opener.
— under 4-1
— scores run in first inning: 1-5
— record in first 5 innings: 0-5

Oakland (1-7) @ Houston (6-1)
— Manaea allowed five runs in 4.2 IP (101 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-6, 3.66 in 14 starts against the Astros.

— A’s lost seven of their first eight games.
— All seven of their losses are by 4+ runs.
— over 5-3
— scores run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 0-7-1

— McCullers allowed one run in five IP (95 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 6-2, 3.83 in ten starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won six of their first seven games.
— Yesterday was Houston’s home opener (1-0).
— over 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1

Interleague games
San Diego (4-3) @ Texas (3-3)

— Musgrove blanked Arizona for IP (78 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-3, 4.76 in seven games (5 starts) vs Texas.

— Padres lost three of their last four games.
— This is San Diego’s road opener.
— Last six games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

— Arihara allowed three runs in five IP (73 PT) in his first MLB start.

— Texas won three of its first four games.
— Texas is 2-1 at home.
— over 3-2-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2




 

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MLB

Friday, April 9


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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 5 games on the road
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Washington @ LA Dodgers
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 9 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games at home

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
LA Angels is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
LA Angels is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Angels
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Angels

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
Detroit is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Detroit's last 9 games
Cleveland
Cleveland is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home

San Diego @ Texas
San Diego
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas's last 5 games when playing San Diego
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 7 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Oakland's last 14 games
Houston
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oakland

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
Arizona is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------





 

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Messages
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Updated odds to win The Masters:

4-1— Jordan Spieth
6-1— Justin Rose, Justin Thomas
8-1— Will Zalatoris
12-1— Tony Finau, Brian Harman
16-1— Hideki Matsuyama, Xander Shauffele
18-1— Marc Leishman

Americans who have died from COVID-19: 556,529
PLEASE wear a mask (over your nose/mouth) when you go out.


Quote of the Day
“That was the one thing I didn’t want to break, the superstition of it. I didn’t want to have to go use the bathroom in the middle of a start.”
San Diego’s Joe Musgrove, who apparently drank 12 bottles of water during his no-hitter

Saturday’s quiz
Joe Musgrove is a life-long Padres’ fan who wears #44 to honor which former San Diego pitcher?

Friday’s quiz
NBA’s Rockets were an expansion team in 1967; they played their first four seasons in San Diego, before moving to Houston.

Thursday’s quiz
Andrew Dice Clay played Lady Gaga’s father in A Star is Born.

**********************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Padres 3, Texas 0:
— Joe Musgrove threw a no-hitter for San Diego.
— Padres have played 8,206 games; this was their first no-hitter.
— San Diego has thrown 30 one-hitters, been no-hit 10 times themselves.
— Only Texas baserunner was a hit batsman.
— Musgrove grew up in San Diego, is a lifelong Padre fan.

12) Way back when, July 21, 1970; Padres were playing the Mets at home. San Diego’s 2nd year in the major leagues. Clay Kirby was throwing a no-hitter through 8 innings, but San Diego still trailed 1-0; they pinch-hit for Kirby in the bottom of the 8th (future Toronto manager Cito Gaston was the pinch-hitter).

The relief pitcher gave up two runs in the top of the 9th, Padres lost 3-0, but 51 years later, they finally get their first no-hitter.

11) Victor Caratini was San Diego’s catcher last night.

Last season, there were two no-hitters in the major leagues, Lucas Giolito for the White Sox, Alec Mills for the Cubs.

Catcher for Alec Mills’ no-hitter? Victor Caratini.

10) Seattle got four outs from newly acquired P James Paxton this season, before his arm blew out and now he needs Tommy John surgery and is out for the next year-plus.

9) 41-year old Rich Hill pitches for Tampa Bay: he’s had an interesting career:

2005-08— 18-17, 4.37 in 64 games (54 starts) for the Cubs.
2009— 3-3, 7.80 in 14 games (13 starts) for Baltimore
2010-12— allowed four runs in 31.2 total IP in relief, for Boston.
2013— allowed 30 runs in 38.2 IP in 63 relief stints for Cleveland.

2014— faced four batters for the Angels, didn’t get any of them out
2014— allowed one run in 5.1 IP in 14 relief stints for Bronx.
2015— 2-1, 1.55 in four starts for Boston
2016— 9-3, 2.25 in 14 starts for the A’s

2016-19— 30-16, 3.16 in 68 starts for the Dodgers
2020— 2-2, 3.03 in eight starts for Minnesota.
2021— Now he pitches for Tampa Bay. Quite a career.

8) Tejay Antone is a relief pitcher for the Reds; his father played football at Oklahoma, was on the Sooners’ 1975 national title team.

7) Cincinnati Bearcats fired basketball coach John Brannen Friday; this season a lot of players complained about the coach, some of them transferred and when you go 12-11 at a school that is used to winning, people aren’t very loyal.

Brannen went 32-21 in two years at Cincinnati, after going 81-51 in four years at Northern Kentucky.

I read a fairly long article about the situation, which didn’t name any specific complaints that the players had, other than Brannen had rules about what players could/couldn’t wear at team functions— stuff like that appears to have turned the players against him.

This season was probably lot harder on the players than we realize— they were basically alone all the time, even when they ate. Tensions ran high; apparently at Cincinnati, they boiled over.

6) Clippers’ defensive stalwart Patrick Beverley broke a bone in his left hand, had surgery on it, is out a minimum of 3-4 weeks.

5) Duncan Robinson is in his third year in the NBA, scoring 13.1 ppg for Miami; he’s scored 12.2 ppg in his pro career, is a career 42.5% shooter behind the arc. Not bad for a kid who played his freshman year of college at Division III Williams College.

He transferred from Williams to Michigan after one year; this almost never happens. D-3 basketball is good quality, but there is generally a huge gap in size/athletic ability between those levels. Kids in Division III are paying to go to college, plus they play ball.

Robinson actually scores more now than he did in college; he scored 9.3 ppg in three years at Michigan. Shooting is at a premium in the NBA, especially 6-7 guys who can shoot.

4) Hawks 120, Bulls 108:
— Chicago’s Zach LaVine scored 39 points in first half, but Chicago’s whole team was outscored 67-42 in the second half.
— Much-improved Atlanta has spurted since hiring Nate McMillan as its coach; they’re 28-25 and are the #5-seed in the East.

3) Dodgers 1, Nationals 0— Justin Turner’s 6th-inning homer was the only run, as LA won its home opener, and got its World Series rings, which are very large.

2) Angels 7, Toronto 1— Shohei Ohtani knocked in four runs for the 6-2 Angels.

1) A’s 6, Houston 2— Sean Manaea pitched six stellar innings, as Oakland got a much-needed win. Lowrie, Olson, Canha homered for the A’s.
 

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901MIAMI -902 NY METS
NY METS are 8-18 SU (-13.8 Units) vs. poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the last 3 seasons.

903MILWAUKEE -904 ST LOUIS
MILWAUKEE is 12-29 SU (-20.6 Units) vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

905COLORADO -906 SAN FRANCISCO
COLORADO is 203-221 SU (-82.8 Units) in road games vs. a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities since 1996.

907CHICAGO CUBS -908 PITTSBURGH
PITTSBURGH is 18-5 SU (12.2 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons.

907CHICAGO CUBS -908 PITTSBURGH
DEREK SHELTON is 18-5 SU (12.5 Units) with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) (Coach of PITTSBURGH)

909PHILADELPHIA -910 ATLANTA
ATLANTA is 101-83 SU (32.4 Units) in home games vs. excellent defensive catchers - allowing <=0.35 SB's/game since 1996.

911CINCINNATI -912 ARIZONA
ARIZONA is 34-21 SU (15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the last 3 seasons.

913WASHINGTON -914 LA DODGERS
WASHINGTON is 4-13 SU (-15.1 Units) in road games vs. a team with a bad bullpen whose ERA is 4.70 or worse over the last 2 seasons.

915NY YANKEES -916 TAMPA BAY
NY YANKEES are 79-48 SU (26.2 Units) against division opponents in the last 3 seasons.

917SEATTLE -918 MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 15-3 SU (11.7 Units) in home games after having won 2 of their last 3 games over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, April 10


NL games
Miami (1-6) @ Mets (2-2)

— Rogers allowed three runs in four IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-0, 2.00 in two starts vs New York.

— Marlins lost six of first seven games.
— Miami lost its road opener Thursday.
— under 3-0-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-2-4

— deGrom blanked Philly for is IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 10-9, 3.00 in 26 starts vs Miami.

— Mets split their first four games.
— Mets won their home opener Thursday.
— Over 3-1
— scored run in first inning: 0-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1

Milwaukee (3-4) @ St Louis (4-2)
— Houser allowed two runs in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-2, 4.91 in nine games (4 starts) vs Chicago, 0-1, 6.23 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Brewers lost four of their first seven games.
— Milwaukee split its first four road games.
— Under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2

— Martinez allowed four runs in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 6-5, 2.23 in 29 games (15 starts) vs Milwaukee.

— Cardinals won their last four games.
— St Louis won its home opener Thursday.
— Under 3-0-1 last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

Colorado (3-5) @ San Francisco (4-3)
— Gonzalez is making his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 5.31 in five games (4 starts) vs San Francisco, 0-1, 5.23 in two starts here.

— Colorado lost five of its last seven games.
— Rockies lost their road opener Friday.
— Under 4-1 last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2-1

— Webb allowed three runs in 5.1 IP (97 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-0, 4.02 in three games (2 starts) vs Colorado.

— Giants are 4-3 in their first seven games.
— Giants won their home opener Friday.
— Last five games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2

Cubs (4-3) @ Pittsburgh (1-6)
— Davies allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 5-5, 4.34 in 15 starts vs Pittsburgh, 2-3, 4.29 in seven starts here.

— Cubs are 4-3 in their first seven games.
— Chicago won its road opener Thursday.
— Last six games stayed under the total.
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-1

— Keller allowed three runs in three IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-3, 7.20 in four starts vs Chicago.

— Pirates lost six of their first seven games.
— Pittsburgh lost its home opener Thursday.
— Under 4-3
— scored run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

Philadelphia (5-2) @ Atlanta (3-4)
— Eflin allowed one run in seven IP in his first ’21 start.
— He is 5-3, 3.22 in ten starts against the Braves, 3-1, 4.43 in four starts here.

— Phillies won five of their first seven games.
— Phillies lost their road opener Friday.
— Last four games went over.
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3

— Anderson allowed one run in five IP (88 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He allowed one run in five IP in his one start vs Philadelphia.

— Braves won their last three games.
— Atlanta won its home opener Friday.
— Over is 3-1 in their last four games.
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-3-2

Cincinnati (6-1) @ Arizona (2-6)
— Hoffman allowed one run in five IP (77 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-3, 9.79 in 10 games (5 starts) vs Arizona, 0-1, 6.94 in five games (2 starts) here.

— Cincinnati won its last six games, scoring 57 runs.
— Reds won their road opener last night.
— Over 6-0-1
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-1

— Riley Smith is making his first MLB start; he allowed three runs (2 earned) in five IP in relief at San Diego last Saturday.

— Arizona lost six of first eight games.
— Arizona lost its home opener last night.
— under 5-2 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 2-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6

Washington (1-3) @ Dodgers (5-2)
— Nationals haven’t named a starting pitcher.

— Washington lost three of its first four games.
— Nationals lost their road opener Friday, are still missing guys.
— Over 2-2
— scored run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 0-1-3

— Urias allowed one run in seven IP (79 PT) in his first ’21 start
— He is 0-0, 2.25 in three games (2 starts) vs Washington.

— Dodgers won six of their last seven games.
— Dodgers won their home opener Friday.
— Under is 4-1 in their last five games.
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-2

AL games
Bronx (3-4) @ Tampa Bay (2-4)

— German allowed three runs in three IP (68 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 3-0, 5.73 in five games (4 starts) vs Tampa Bay, 1-0, 8.10 in three games (2 starts) here.

— New York lost four of its first seven games.
— New York lost its road opener Friday.
— under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3

— Archer is making his first start since 2019.
— He is 6-7, 3.14 in 18 starts vs New York.

— Tampa Bay lost four of its last four games.
— Rays won their home opener Friday.
— Last six games went over
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-2-3

Kansas City (3-3) @ White Sox (3-4)
— Minor allowed four runs in six IP (93 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-2, 2.89 in seven games (2 starts) vs Chicago, 0-2, 3.38 in three games (2 starts) here.

— Royals split their first six games.
— Royals are 1-2 on the road.
— last three games under
— scores run in first inning: 1-6
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3

— Cease allowed three runs in 4.2 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.22 in four starts vs Kansas City.

— Chicago won three of its last four games.
— White Sox won their home opener Thursday.
— over/under 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-1

Seattle (3-4) @ Minnesota (5-2)
— Kikuchi allowed three runs in six IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He hasn’t pitched against Minnesota

— Seattle lost three of its last four games.
— Seattle lost its road opener Thursday.
— over 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 0-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-5

— Former Mariner Pineda allowed one run in five IP (81 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 2-1, 4.50 in five starts vs Seattle.

— Twins won five of their last six games.
— Minnesota won its home opener Thursday.
— over 4-3
— scores run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1

Oakland (2-7) @ Houston (6-2)
— Montas allowed seven runs in 2.2 IP (90 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-3, 4.50 in nine games (7 starts) against the Astros.

— A’s lost seven of their first nine games.
— All seven of their losses are by 4+ runs.
— under 4-0 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-9
— record in first 5 innings: 0-7-2

— Urquidy allowed two runs in 4.1 IP (101 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-1, 2.93 in three starts vs Oakland.

— Astros won six of their first eight games.
— Astros split their first two home tilts.
— over 5-3
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2

Detroit (3-4) @ Cleveland (3-3)
— Skubal allowed two runs in 5.1 IP (87 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 0-0, 3.52 in two starts vs Cleveland.

— Detroit lost four of their last five games.
— Detroit lost its road opener Friday.
— under 5-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 5-2

— Civale allowed three runs in seven IP (91 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 4-0, 2.67 in five starts against the Tigers.

— Cleveland split their first six games.
— Indians won two of first three home games.
— under 5-1
— scores run in first inning: 2-6
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5

Boston (4-3) @ Baltimore (4-2)
— Richards allowed six runs in two IP (61 PT) in first ’21 start.
— He is 0-3, 6.82 in nine games (5 starts) vs Baltimore, 0-2, 3.50 in four games (2 starts) here.

— Boston won its last four games, after an 0-3 start.
— Red Sox won their road opener.
— Last five games went over
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 2-4-1

— Zimmerman allowed three runs in six IP (73 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 1-0, 3.60 in two games (1 start) vs Boston.

— Orioles lost three of their last four games.
— Baltimore lost its home opener Thursday.
— under 4-3
— scored run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-2-1

Angels (6-2) @ Toronto (3-5)
— Quintana allowed four runs in 3.1 IP (86 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He is 7-2, 1.88 in ten starts vs Toronto.

— Angels won six of their first eight games.
— Halos won their first two road games.
— over 4-4
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-3-2

— Matz allowed one run in 6.1 IP (92 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— Matz has never faced the Angels.

— Toronto lost its last four games.
— Toronto lost their first two home games.
— under 6-2
— scored run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 2-6
— For now, Blue Jays are playing home games in Dunedin, FL

Interleague games
San Diego (5-3) @ Texas (3-4)

— Paddack allowed three runs in four IP (89 PT) in his first ’21 start.
— He gave up one run in six IP in his one start vs Texas.

— Padres lost three of their last five games.
— San Diego won its road opener Friday- Musgrove threw a no-hitter.
— Last seven games stayed under
— scored run in first inning: 1-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1

— Lyles allowed two runs in 5.2 IP (76 PT) in his first ‘21 start.
— He is 3-5, 5.34 in 15 games (11 starts) vs San Diego.

— Texas won three of its last five games.
— Texas is 2-2 at home.
— under 3-1 last four games
— scored run in first inning: 3-7
— record in first 5 innings: 4-3
 

Member
Joined
Jun 22, 2009
Messages
17,234
Tokens
MLB

Saturday, April 10


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Trend Report
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Miami @ NY Mets
Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games on the road
NY Mets
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Mets's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Mets's last 5 games at home

NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
NY Yankees
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of NY Yankees's last 9 games
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
Tampa Bay is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

Kansas City @ Chi White Sox
Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 8 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City
Chi White Sox is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

Seattle @ Minnesota
Seattle
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Seattle
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Milwaukee @ St. Louis
Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

Oakland @ Houston
Oakland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oakland's last 8 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games at home
Houston is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Colorado @ San Francisco
Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Colorado's last 6 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 5 games
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Detroit @ Cleveland
Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games

Chi Cubs @ Pittsburgh
Chi Cubs
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi Cubs's last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs

Boston @ Baltimore
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 7 games at home
Baltimore is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Boston

San Diego @ Texas
San Diego
San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Diego's last 5 games
Texas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Texas's last 7 games when playing San Diego
Texas is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games at home

LA Angels @ Toronto
LA Angels
LA Angels is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Toronto
LA Angels is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Toronto
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Toronto's last 11 games at home

Philadelphia @ Atlanta
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games at home
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Cincinnati @ Arizona
Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games
Arizona
Arizona is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Arizona's last 6 games at home

Washington @ LA Dodgers
Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Dodgers
Washington is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers
LA Dodgers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home


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