Cnotes 2021-2022 nhl trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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SUNDAY, APRIL 24
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


DET at NJ 01:00 PM
NJ -163
O 7.0
+500 +500

EDM at CLB 01:00 PM
EDM -234
O 6.5
+500 +500

CAR at NYI 01:00 PM
CAR -185
O 6.0
+500 +500

PIT at PHI 04:00 PM
PIT -241
O 6.5
+500 +500

BOS at MON 07:00 PM
BOS -305
O 6.0
+500 +500

COL at WIN 07:00 PM
COL -181
O 6.5
+500 +500

TOR at WAS 07:00 PM
WAS -120
O 7.0
+500 +500

TB at FLA 07:00 PM
TB +110
O 7.0

+500 +500

MIN at NAS 08:00 PM
MIN -114
O 6.5
+500 +500

STL at ANA 08:30 PM
STL -201
O 6.5
+500 +500

SJ at VEG 10:00 PM
SJ +283
O 6.5

+500 +500
 

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APRIL NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

04/24/2022..........13-8-1........61.90%...........+11.20
04/23/2022..........18-5-1.........77.08%..........+63.60
04/22/2022............4-4-0......50.00%%............-1.55
04/21/2022..........15-5-2.........72.73%..........+46.65
04/20/2022...........3-5-0..........37.50%...........-20.80
04/19/2022..........8-11-1.........42.50%...........-46.60
04/18/2022............4-7-1..........37.50%.........-33.70
04/17/2022............9-2-1..........79.17%.........+34.00
04/16/2022..........22-6-0..........78.57%.........+77.00
04/15/2022............3-0-1..........87.50%.........+15.00
04/14/2022.........14-10-0..........58.33%...........-6.65
04/13/2022............4-2-0..........66.67%...........+9.00
04/12/2022.........14-12-2..........53.57%..........-14.65
04/11/2022............2-0-0.........100.00%.........+10.00
04/10/2022............9-4-1...........67.86%.........+23.45
04/09/2022.........13-10-1...........56.52%........+10.00
04/08/2022.............6-3-1...........65.00%........+13.80
04/07/2022...........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-0.20
04/06/2022.............5-4-1...........55.00%...........-4.15
04/05/2022...........8-11-1...........42.10%..........-31.30
04/04/2022.............4-4-0............50.00%...........-2.90
04/03/2022...........8-10-0............44.44%..........-33.10
04/02/2022............9-7-0............56.25%...........+4.10
04/01/2022............7-7-0............50.00%............-9.45


TOTALS.........212-146-12............59.21%.........+ 112.25


BEST BETS:

04/24/2022.............9-3-1.............75.00%.......+ 38.15
04/23/2022.............7-6-1.............53.84%.........- 2.00
04/22/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%.........-11.55
04/21/2022.............6-4-2.............60.00%........+ 8.00
04/20/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%........-12.60
04/19/2022.............2-7-0.............30.00%........-23.50
04/18/2022.............3-5-1.............37.50%.........-12.50
04/17/2022.............3-2-1.............60.00%........+ 4.50
04/16/2022.............8-6-0.............57.14%........+12.00
04/15/2022.............1-0-1............100.00%.........+5.00
04/14/2021.............7-6-0.............53.84%.........+ 2.00
04/13/2022.............1-3-0.............25.00%...........-6.00
04/12/2022............10-6-1............62.50%........+17.65
04/11/2022.............2-0-0...........100.00%........+10.00
04/10/2022.............3-4-1............42.85%............-6.55
04/09/2022.............6-6-1............50.00%...........- 3.00
04/08/2022.............4-2-0............66.66%..........+11.75
04/07/2022.............4-6-1............40.00%...........-11.25
04/06/2022.............3-2-1............60.00%...........+7.10
04/05/2022.............5-6-1............45.45%............-8.00
04/04/2022.............2-2-0............50.00%............-1.00
04/03/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.50
04/02/2022.............5-6-0............45.45%...........- 0.55
04/01/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.05


TOTALS...........101-100-13...........50.24%...........+ 3.70

UPDATED ON 04/24/2022
 

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Monday’s 6-pack

Myrtle Beach has a good college hoop tournament in November:
— Boise State
— Charlotte
— Colorado
— Lipscomb
— UMass
— Murray State
— Texas A&M
— Tulsa

Quote of the Day
“Hell, yeah. We’re all waiting for that day.”
Missouri football coach Eli Drinkwitz, talking about the May 1 deadline for the transfer portal

Monday’s quiz
When the Lakers won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year, who did they beat in the Finals?

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Dolphins have won one playoff game since Dan Marino retired 22 years ago; Jay Fiedler was Miami’s quarterback in that game. Peyton Manning was the other team’s QB.

Saturday’s quiz
There were 15 QB’s drafted in 2016; Dak Prescott is the only one of those 15 who is still with the team that drafted him.

**********************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports weekend…….

13) Average salary in the major league this season is $4.41M; it was $4.17M last year.

Weird thing, though, is the top 100 highest-paid players earn 49% of all the salaries.

12) Median salary in the major leagues is $1.2M this year; that means half the players earn more than $1.2M, half earn less than $1.2M.

Seven years ago, the median salary was $1.65M, so in that sense, the players have gone backwards a little with their salaries.

USFL Week 2

11) New Jersey 10, Michigan 6:
— Thru two weeks, Jeff Fisher’s 0-2 Panthers have scored 18 points.
— Generals outgained Michigan, 258-183.
— Neither team scored in second half of this game.

10) Philadelphia 30, Pittsburgh 23:
— Each team had a pick-6 in first 8:00 of this game.
— Philly QB Scott threw for 272 yards, three TD’s.
— 0-2 Pittsburgh’s backup QB is Kyle Lauletta, who spent a year as the Giants’ backup QB. He isn’t better than Josh Love?

9) Birmingham 33, Houston 28:
— Stallions outgained Houston 391-285.
— Houston lost despite scoring a couple defensive touchdowns.
— Birmingham QB Smith threw for 229 yards, two TD’s.

8) New Orleans 34, Tampa Bay 3:
— QB Sloter threw for 266 yards, two TD’s.
— Breakers were +3 in turnovers; they outgained Bandits, 374-194.
— Tampa Bay completed only 11-28 passes, for 96 yards. Rough day.

7) New Orleans QB Kyle Sloter can write a hell of a book someday; quite a journey he is on.

Sloter first went to college at Southern Miss, then transferred after two years to Northern Colorado, where he threw 29 TD passes in his one season as the quarterback.

From that point, here is his career path:
2017— Denver Broncos practice squad
2017-18— Minnesota Vikings practice squad
2019— Arizona Cardinals practice squad
2019— Detroit Lions practice squad
2020— Chicago Bears practice squad.
2021— Las Vegas Raiders practice squad.
2021— Minnesota Vikings
2022— New Orleans Breakers, USFL

New Orleans looks really good early this season; can Sloter parlay that into a spot on an NFL roster this fall?

6) College sports is going nuts, with this NIL stuff where players can get paid. Read on the Interweb this weekend that a kid who will be playing quarterback at Tennessee this fall has an NIL deal worth $8M. Backup QB’s in the NFL might be jealous of that deal.

Texas A&M supposedly spent $25M on this year’s recruiting class. Coach better win, and win big, with that kind of money on the line.

5) Most sweeps in playoff series by NBA coaches:
17— Phil Jackson
12— Pat Riley
9— Gregg Popovich
8— Billy Cunningham

4) When Utah Jazz came from behind to nip Dallas the other day, they became only the 5th team in last ten years to win an NBA playoff game, after trailing by 4+ points in last 40 seconds. Teams had been 4-701 up until then; now they’re 5-706.

3) NBA playoff scores from Sunday:
— Bucks 119, Bulls 95 (Milwaukee leads, 3-1)
— Nuggets 126, Warriors 121 (Golden State leads 3-1)
— Heat 110, Hawks 86 (Miami leads 3-1)
— Pelicans 118, Suns 103 (series tied 2-2)

2) If the baseball playoffs started today (they don’t):
AL— Tor/NYY, Twins, Seattle. Wild Cards: Tor/NYY, Angels, Tampa Bay
NL— Mets, Cardinals, Dodgers. Wild Cards: Giants, Rockies, Brewers

1) 12 of 30 major league teams are hitting .225 or worse; this isn’t good. Offense is fun, so what if the games take a little longer. Oakland A’s just scored three runs total in a three-game series, and they actually won one of the games.

— Was putting a humidor in every ballpark a good idea?
— Are the baseballs less lively this season?
— Can we ban shifts starting on Memorial Day, instead of next year?
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) off a win against a division rival in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Monday, April 25


fxCaip1.png





NHL

Monday, April 25


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Chicago
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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MONDAY, APRIL 25
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


PHI at CHI 08:00 PM
CHI -130
O 6.5
+500 +500
 

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APRIL NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

04/25/2022............1-1-0........50.00%...........-0.50
04/24/2022..........13-8-1........61.90%...........+11.20
04/23/2022..........18-5-1.........77.08%..........+63.60
04/22/2022............4-4-0......50.00%%............-1.55
04/21/2022..........15-5-2.........72.73%..........+46.65
04/20/2022...........3-5-0..........37.50%...........-20.80
04/19/2022..........8-11-1.........42.50%...........-46.60
04/18/2022............4-7-1..........37.50%.........-33.70
04/17/2022............9-2-1..........79.17%.........+34.00
04/16/2022..........22-6-0..........78.57%.........+77.00
04/15/2022............3-0-1..........87.50%.........+15.00
04/14/2022.........14-10-0..........58.33%...........-6.65
04/13/2022............4-2-0..........66.67%...........+9.00
04/12/2022.........14-12-2..........53.57%..........-14.65
04/11/2022............2-0-0.........100.00%.........+10.00
04/10/2022............9-4-1...........67.86%.........+23.45
04/09/2022.........13-10-1...........56.52%........+10.00
04/08/2022.............6-3-1...........65.00%........+13.80
04/07/2022...........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-0.20
04/06/2022.............5-4-1...........55.00%...........-4.15
04/05/2022...........8-11-1...........42.10%..........-31.30
04/04/2022.............4-4-0............50.00%...........-2.90
04/03/2022...........8-10-0............44.44%..........-33.10
04/02/2022............9-7-0............56.25%...........+4.10
04/01/2022............7-7-0............50.00%............-9.45


TOTALS.........213-147-12............59.16%.........+ 111.75


BEST BETS:

04/25/2022.............0-1-0.............00.00%.........-5.50
04/24/2022.............9-3-1.............75.00%.......+ 38.15
04/23/2022.............7-6-1.............53.84%.........- 2.00
04/22/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%.........-11.55
04/21/2022.............6-4-2.............60.00%........+ 8.00
04/20/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%........-12.60
04/19/2022.............2-7-0.............30.00%........-23.50
04/18/2022.............3-5-1.............37.50%.........-12.50
04/17/2022.............3-2-1.............60.00%........+ 4.50
04/16/2022.............8-6-0.............57.14%........+12.00
04/15/2022.............1-0-1............100.00%.........+5.00
04/14/2021.............7-6-0.............53.84%.........+ 2.00
04/13/2022.............1-3-0.............25.00%...........-6.00
04/12/2022............10-6-1............62.50%........+17.65
04/11/2022.............2-0-0...........100.00%........+10.00
04/10/2022.............3-4-1............42.85%............-6.55
04/09/2022.............6-6-1............50.00%...........- 3.00
04/08/2022.............4-2-0............66.66%..........+11.75
04/07/2022.............4-6-1............40.00%...........-11.25
04/06/2022.............3-2-1............60.00%...........+7.10
04/05/2022.............5-6-1............45.45%............-8.00
04/04/2022.............2-2-0............50.00%............-1.00
04/03/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.50
04/02/2022.............5-6-0............45.45%...........- 0.55
04/01/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.05


TOTALS...........101-101-13...........50.00%...........- 1.80

UPDATED ON 04/25/2022
 

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Tuesday’s 6-pack

— Mets 5, Cardinals 2— Arenado’s throwing error opened door for Mets’ 5-run ninth.
— Dodgers 4, Arizona 0— Buehler throws this season’s first complete game.
— Raptors 103, 76ers 88— Series heads to Toronto, with 76ers up 3-2.
— Mavericks 102, Mavericks 77— Utah star Mitchell (hamstring) left in 4th quarter.
— Celtics 116, Nets 112— Boston sweeps series, 4-0
— Ben Simmons was listed as doubtful for Brooklyn’s season opener next October.

Quote of the Day
“Well, I wouldn’t mind it. I wouldn’t. I’ve always thought that umpires should be behind the pitcher. I think you’re much better there and you’re more protected.”
Joe Girardi, talking about robot umpires

Tuesday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick of the 2016 NFL Draft; who was the second pick?

Monday’s quiz
When the Lakers won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year, they beat the 76ers in the Finals.

Sunday’s quiz
Miami Dolphins have won one playoff game since Dan Marino retired 22 years ago; Jay Fiedler was Miami’s quarterback in that game. Peyton Manning was the other team’s QB.

*****************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) NFL Draft starts Thursday; it is an interesting process. 32 teams, worth an average of $3B or so each, and some teams draft players a hell of a lot better than others. It is an inexact science, for sure:

— Aaron Rodgers was the 24th pick of the 2005 draft.
— Dan Marino was the 27th pick of the 1983 draft, the sixth QB taken that year.
— Aaron Donald was the 13th pick in the 2014 draft.

This isn’t supposed to be a great year for QB’s in the draft; we’ll see what happens.

12) Major league teams have to cut rosters from 28 to 26 players by Sunday.

11) So far this baseball season, Pittsburgh Pirates are 8-0 if they score 4+ runs, 0-8 if they score fewer than four runs.

10) Dodgers are 10-0 if they score 5+ runs, 2-4 if they do not.

9) San Diego Padres are 9-0 if they score 3+ runs; they ‘re 1-7 scoring 2 or fewer runs.

8) Cleveland Guardians are 6-0 if they score 6+ runs, 1-9 if they score fewer than six.

7) Detroit Tigers were held to three or fewer runs in 11 of their 15 games.

6) Milwaukee Brewers are 9-1 if they score 4+ runs, 1-5 if they score less than four.

5) Mets’ OF Michael Conforto turned down the team’s $17M qualifying offer this winter, then he got hurt while training in January, now he’s had shoulder surgery and won’t play this season. Whoops.

4) Can we agree that Angel Hernandez is a terrible umpire? He was behind the plate Sunday night, and called the game like he had a cab outside the stadium with the meter running. Lot of strikes called; Kyle Schwarber finally lost his mind after getting called out on strikes a second time and ESPN had a good highlight for SportsCenter.

Maybe Hernandez just has stock in robot umpires and wants them to became a thing.

3) Fairleigh Dickinson fired basketball coach Greg Herenda Monday; he was coach at FDU the last nine years, making NCAA Tournament in 2016/2019. Since making the ’19 tournament, Knights went 21-30 in NEC games, so now they’ll have a new coach.

FDU has financial issues; right now, their SID is a student at the school, which doesn’t happen very much. Good luck to the next coach.

2) Summing up the first two weeks of the USFL in one sentence: Defense is ahead of offense. In the games wheee lot of points were scored, the defense has scored a TD or two.

1) All five Duke starters have declared for the NBA Draft; four of North Carolina’s five starters are coming back to school. Ain’t going to be easy to follow Coach K at Duke.
 

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NY RANGERS are 13-4 ATS (10.1 Units) in home games against explosive offensive teams - scoring 3+ goals/game in the current season.

COLUMBUS are 8-1 Over (6.9 Units) revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 4 goals or more in the current season.

PITTSBURGH is 14-3 ATS (10.7 Units) revenging a loss where opponent scored 5 or more goals over the last 2 seasons.

OTTAWA is 7-2 ATS (4.8 Units) in home games after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.

NY ISLANDERS are 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 4 or more consecutive games in the last 3 seasons.

FLORIDA is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite in the current season.

DETROIT is 3-25 ATS (-24.5 Units) in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 4 or more goals in the last 3 seasons.

CALGARY is 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) in road games in April games over the last 2 seasons.

ARIZONA is 6-1 ATS (4.9 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home losses over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 8-0 ATS (8 Units) after 2 straight games where both teams scored 3 goals or more in the current season.

ST LOUIS are 7-0 ATS (7 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in home games after playing a road game in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 2-20 ATS (-20 Units) in road games revenging a blowout loss vs opponent of 3 goals or more in the last 3 seasons.
 

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NHL

Tuesday, April 26


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit @ Toronto
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Detroit is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

Florida @ Boston
Florida
Florida is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games
Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

Carolina @ NY Rangers
Carolina
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Rangers
Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Carolina
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

New Jersey @ Ottawa
New Jersey
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Jersey's last 6 games when playing on the road against Ottawa
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Ottawa
Ottawa is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games

Edmonton @ Pittsburgh
Edmonton
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Edmonton's last 5 games on the road
Edmonton is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing at home against Edmonton

Columbus @ Tampa Bay
Columbus
Columbus is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Tampa Bay
Columbus is 16-3 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games

NY Islanders @ Washington
NY Islanders
NY Islanders is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
Washington
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against NY Islanders
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing NY Islanders

Arizona @ Minnesota
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Arizona's last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arizona

Calgary @ Nashville
Calgary
Calgary is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Calgary is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Nashville
Nashville
Nashville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games

Vegas @ Dallas
Vegas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Vegas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Vegas's last 8 games
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing at home against Vegas

St. Louis @ Colorado
St. Louis
St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 5 games when playing Colorado
Colorado
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing St. Louis
Colorado is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Seattle @ Vancouver
Seattle
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home

Anaheim @ San Jose
Anaheim
Anaheim is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games when playing San Jose
San Jose
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Jose's last 5 games when playing Anaheim


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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TUESDAY, APRIL 26
Game Time(ET) Pick Units


EDM at PIT 07:00 PM
EDM +137
O 6.5

+500 +500

CAR at NYR 07:00 PM
CAR +105
O 5.5

+500 +500

FLA at BOS 07:00 PM
FLA -122
O 6.5

+500 +500

DET at TOR 07:00 PM
TOR -434
O 7.0

+500 +500

CLB at TB 07:00 PM
TB -357
O 6.5
+500 +500

NJ at OTT 07:00 PM
OTT -127
U 6.5

+500 +500

ARI at MIN 08:00 PM
MIN -569
O 6.5

+500 +500

CAL at NAS 08:00 PM
NAS +119
O 6.0

+500 +500

VEG at DAL 08:30 PM
DAL -116
O 5.5
+500 +500

SEA at VAN 10:00 PM
VAN -217
O 6.5
+500 +500

ANA at SJ 10:30 PM
SJ -132
O 5.5

+500 +500
 

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APRIL NHL OPINIONS AND BEST BETS !

Date .................W-L-T..............%.................Unit

04/26/2022.........12-10-0........54.54%...........-17.05
04/25/2022............1-1-0........50.00%...........-0.50
04/24/2022..........13-8-1........61.90%...........+11.20
04/23/2022..........18-5-1.........77.08%..........+63.60
04/22/2022............4-4-0......50.00%%............-1.55
04/21/2022..........15-5-2.........72.73%..........+46.65
04/20/2022...........3-5-0..........37.50%...........-20.80
04/19/2022..........8-11-1.........42.50%...........-46.60
04/18/2022............4-7-1..........37.50%.........-33.70
04/17/2022............9-2-1..........79.17%.........+34.00
04/16/2022..........22-6-0..........78.57%.........+77.00
04/15/2022............3-0-1..........87.50%.........+15.00
04/14/2022.........14-10-0..........58.33%...........-6.65
04/13/2022............4-2-0..........66.67%...........+9.00
04/12/2022.........14-12-2..........53.57%..........-14.65
04/11/2022............2-0-0.........100.00%.........+10.00
04/10/2022............9-4-1...........67.86%.........+23.45
04/09/2022.........13-10-1...........56.52%........+10.00
04/08/2022.............6-3-1...........65.00%........+13.80
04/07/2022...........10-9-1...........52.50%...........-0.20
04/06/2022.............5-4-1...........55.00%...........-4.15
04/05/2022...........8-11-1...........42.10%..........-31.30
04/04/2022.............4-4-0............50.00%...........-2.90
04/03/2022...........8-10-0............44.44%..........-33.10
04/02/2022............9-7-0............56.25%...........+4.10
04/01/2022............7-7-0............50.00%............-9.45


TOTALS.........225-157-12............58.90%.........+ 94.70


BEST BETS:

04/26/2022.............9-9-0.............50.00%.........-32.05
04/25/2022.............0-1-0.............00.00%.........-5.50
04/24/2022.............9-3-1.............75.00%.......+ 38.15
04/23/2022.............7-6-1.............53.84%.........- 2.00
04/22/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%.........-11.55
04/21/2022.............6-4-2.............60.00%........+ 8.00
04/20/2022.............2-4-0.............33.33%........-12.60
04/19/2022.............2-7-0.............30.00%........-23.50
04/18/2022.............3-5-1.............37.50%.........-12.50
04/17/2022.............3-2-1.............60.00%........+ 4.50
04/16/2022.............8-6-0.............57.14%........+12.00
04/15/2022.............1-0-1............100.00%.........+5.00
04/14/2021.............7-6-0.............53.84%.........+ 2.00
04/13/2022.............1-3-0.............25.00%...........-6.00
04/12/2022............10-6-1............62.50%........+17.65
04/11/2022.............2-0-0...........100.00%........+10.00
04/10/2022.............3-4-1............42.85%............-6.55
04/09/2022.............6-6-1............50.00%...........- 3.00
04/08/2022.............4-2-0............66.66%..........+11.75
04/07/2022.............4-6-1............40.00%...........-11.25
04/06/2022.............3-2-1............60.00%...........+7.10
04/05/2022.............5-6-1............45.45%............-8.00
04/04/2022.............2-2-0............50.00%............-1.00
04/03/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.50
04/02/2022.............5-6-0............45.45%...........- 0.55
04/01/2022.............4-5-0............44.44%............-7.05


TOTALS...........110-110-13...........50.00%...........- 33.85

UPDATED ON 04/26/2022
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack

Major league leaders in batting average (minimum 30 AB’s):
.432— Owen Miller, Clev
.390— Eric Hosmer, SD
.389— Andrew Benintendi, KC
.368— Ty France, Sea
.364— Ke’Bryan Hayes Pitt/Nathaniel Lowe Tex
.362— Xander Bogaerts Bos/Joey Wendle Mia

Quote of the Day
“I had to remind everybody immediately: ‘Look, time out here, Lincoln Riley did not invent OU football. And everyone needed a little wakeup call because they kind of slipped into thinking he did.”
Former Oklahoma coach Bob Stoops

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford was the first player taken in the 2009 NFL Draft; the Jets took the next QB, with the 5th pick in the first round. Who was it?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick of the 2016 NFL Draft; Carson Wentz was the second pick.

Monday’s quiz
When the Lakers won the NBA title in 1980, Magic Johnson’s rookie year, they beat the 76ers in the Finals.

***************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) The ABA folded in 1976; four of its teams were absorbed into the NBA: Nets, Indiana, Denver and San Antonio. One of the teams that got left behind pulled off one of the greatest business deals ever.

Remember these dates:
— The ABA folded in 1976
— NBA didn’t become real popular until Magic/Bird’s rookie season, 1979-80.

Before 1979, the NBA was struggling financially.

Ozzie and Daniel Silna owned the Spirits of St Louis, who went went 67-101 in two seasons after moving to St Louis from North Carolina, where they were known as the Carolina Cougars.

Kentucky Colonels, Virginia Squires went out of business with the Spirits, but the Silna brothers cashed in big time.

The Silnas negotiated a deal where they got $5.5M up front to fold the Spirits, but also got this: they got 57.1% of an NBA team’s TV share, every season. As of 2014, the Silna brothers had received roughly $300M in revenue from the NBA, for literally doing nothing.

Then the NBA did this: they gave the Silnas another $500B to put this whole thing to bed, never to be heard from again. So they banked $800M for killing a franchise that wasn’t any good, anyway. Amazing.

12) Memphis 111, Minnesota 109:
— Ja Morant scored the last 13 points for Memphis.
— Morant scored 30 points, had 13 rebounds, nine assists.
— Timberwolves led 99-88 with 6:58 left.
— Grizzlies lead series, 3-2.

11) Monday night in Brooklyn, Nets’ big guy Nic Claxton went 1-11 on the foul line; he missed his first 10 free throws, in a game the Nets lost 116-112. Claxton was 6-6 from the floor, grabbed six rebounds, but a pro ballplayer needs to be better than 1-11 on the charity stripe.

10) This past winter, 6-7 freshman Norchad Omier led Arkansas State to an 18-11 record, was the Sun Belt Player of the Year, so of course he transferred this spring.

Omier will be playing for Miami in the ACC next season.

9) NFL Draft starts Thursday in Las Vegas; 8 of the 32 teams don’t have a first round pick, including the hometown Raiders.

8) 49ers’ star Deebo Samuel doesn’t want to play RB and WR anymore; says he takes too many big hits at RB, wants to play WR only, but part of his incredible production is because he plays both positions extremely well.

49ers apparently want two first round picks to move Samuel, but who would give up that much draft capital for a guy who only plays receiver, even one as good Samuel is?

7) Cal State-Fullerton’s baseball program has had 79 of their alumni make the major leagues; that’s a lot of big leaguers.

6) Twins 5, Tigers 4— One of the strangest endings ever.
— Miguel Sanó hit a line drive to right field, that Robbie Grossman just missed catching.
— The lead runner for Detroit, the tying run, stopped at third base.
— The runner behind him didn’t see him stop and also headed towards third.
— Detroit had a fairly easy chance to get the last out at third, but the catcher threw a wet baseball over the 3B’s head, and the tying/winning runs both scored.
— Ugly way to lose.

5) Marlins 5, Nationals 2:
— In bottom of 4th, trailing 3-1, Washington had consecutive runners thrown out at home after hits to the outfield. You don’t see that often, Nationals have lost six games in a row.

4) Arizona 5, Dodgers 3:
— David Peralta hit a 2-run homer in bottom of 8th.
— Diamondbacks won for just 5th time in last 29 games against LA.

3) New York 12, Baltimore 8:
— Anthony Rizzo hit three honers, knocked in six runs.

2) Milwaukee 12, Pittsburgh 8:
— Willie Adames hit two homers, knocked in seven runs.

1) Toronto 6, Boston 5 (10):
— Blue Jays tied game with three runs in bottom of 9th
— Springer tied game in 9th with a 2-out home run.
— Ramiel Tapia won game with 10th inning sac fly.
 

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PHILADELPHIA is 11-3 Over (7.7 Units) in road games when playing their 3rd game in 4 days over the last 2 seasons.

MONTREAL is 0-14 ATS (-15.4 Units) after allowing 5 goals or more 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 4-1 ATS (2.9 Units) in road games after failing to cover 12 or more of their last 15 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 12-26 ATS (-16.6 Units) in home games after a game where they covered the spread in the last 3 seasons.




NHL
Dunkel

Wednesday, April 27


hfcbPB4.png





NHL

Wednesday, April 27


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Philadelphia @ Winnipeg
Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing Winnipeg
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Philadelphia's last 19 games on the road
Winnipeg
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Winnipeg's last 5 games at home
Winnipeg is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

Montreal @ NY Rangers
Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 8 games when playing on the road against NY Rangers
NY Rangers
NY Rangers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Montreal
NY Rangers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Montreal

Vegas @ Chicago
Vegas
Vegas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Vegas is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games when playing Chicago
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Vegas
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Vegas

Arizona @ Dallas
Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Arizona's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
Dallas
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

Los Angeles @ Seattle
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 8-17 ATS in its last 25 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack

Major league leaders in on-base %age (minimum 30 AB’s):
.531— Taylor Ward, LAA
.500— Owen Miller, Clev
.491— Ji-Man Choi, TB
.476— Mike Trout, LAA
.463— Eric Hosmer, SD
.458— Seiya Suzuki, Cubs

Quote of the Day
“When I began this journey, I didn’t know really what to expect or where I’d be or how long I’d be around. So, it’s cool for me.”
Giancarlo Stanton, who hit his 350th career home run Wednesday

Thursday’s quiz
What famous actor played Ray’s father Mickey in the Showtime series Ray Donovan?

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford was the first player taken in the 2009 NFL Draft; the Jets took the next QB, with the 5th pick in the first round. Who was it?

Tuesday’s quiz
Jared Goff was the first pick of the 2016 NFL Draft; Carson Wentz was the second pick.

********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Hitting in the major leaguers is harder than it has ever been; big part of that is because these days, hitters just don’t see the same pitchers very often— starting pitchers don’t stay in games as long now.

Here is some data for you:

— This is Mike Trout’s 11th full season in the big leagues. Here are the pitchers he has faced the most in his career:
88— Felix Hernandez
53— Hisashi Iwakuma
48— Derek Holland, Dallas Keuchel
41— Yu Darvish
40— Justin Verlander
37— Sonny Gray

Hall of Famer Ralph Kiner played ten years in the majors (1946-55). Here are the pitchers he faced the most in his career:
131–- Russ Meyer
126— Larry Jansen
113— Robin Roberts
109— Johnny Sain
102— Jim Hearn
100— Warren Spahn
93— Ralph Branca

The more a hitter sees the same pitcher, advantage hitter.

12) Putting Ralph Branca on the list reminds me of a story, one of the most fun things I ever did.

1990 or so, a mall eight miles from here in the Albany area had former Dodger pitcher Ralph Branca appear to sign autographs; it was at a weird time, like 7:00 on a weeknight.

My dad grew up in New York City, was a huge Brooklyn Dodger fan; I knew more about the Dodgers by the time I was ten than a little kid should know. But the one story that stood out was the day that Bobby Thomson hit a walk-off home run against Branca in a 1951 playoff game. My dad explained that Branca was a very good pitcher who just had a bad moment.

I called my dad and told him to be ready at a certain time; we were going somewhere, but I didn’t tell him where. Just told him I promised he would enjoy it (I did tell my mother, so she would make sure he was ready).

Anyway, the mall is eight miles from his house, so on the way I tell him where we’re going, and when we get to mall, no one is near Mr Branca’s table. Perfect!!!

I introduce myself to Ralph Branca and tell him what a big Dodger fan my dad was, then I stepped back and for like 15 minutes, I just listened to the two of them talk about the old days. It was tremendous, like the two old friends meeting for the first time.

Ralph Branca confirmed a few of the stories my dad always told me, especially one about an old catcher named Ernie Lombardi and how hard he hit the ball. I had often scoffed at that story, so now the joke was on me.

Anyway after 15 minutes or so, some other people came up to the table, so we said our goodbyes and went home. I’m pretty sure my dad really enjoyed it, I know I did.

11) Back to Ralph Kiner for a second; David Cone was broadcasting the Baltimore-New York game Wednesday, he told a story about when he played for the Mets, he appeared on Kiner’s Korner, which was the post-game show after Mets’ games on Channel 9 back in the day.

Kiner was a great ballplayer who did Mets’ TV for a long time; he seemed like a genuinely nice person, especially for someone with his pedigree. He hit 369 homers in his 10-year career, was elected to the Hall of Fame in 1975. He also dated Elizabeth Taylor, so his life off the field was also Hall of Fame-ish

Anyway, Cone says his gift for appearing on Kiner’s Korner was a Weed Eater, those things that you use to cut the weeds in your backyard. “It even came in the original box” Cone is laughing.

Michael Kay asks him if he ever used the Weed Eater. “No, I lived in a high rise” and now they are both laughing. Cone was very respectful talking about Ralph Kiner, which was cool.

10) Angels 9, Guardians 5:
— Angels’ OF Taylor Ward has a .531 on-base %age right now; he is 15-38 with 11 walks, off to a tremendous start.
— Mike Trout had two doubles, knocked in two runs.
— Cleveland has lost six games in a row.

9) Cleveland’s Franmil Reyes is having a bad week; he struck out eight times in a row, then grounded into a double play, then struck out again. Slumps suck, but they do end.

8) Orioles’ Opening Day starter John Means had Tommy John Surgery this week, is done for a year or so.

7) Further proof that the NFL is king of sports: There are 13 major league baseball games Thursday; 11 of them are day games, with the NFL Draft on TV at night.

6) Speaking of which, it makes me queasy that people bet on the NFL Draft; what exactly do people use for information to base their wagers on? Teams are deceitful on purpose so no one knows who they’re going to draft. Why would anyone bet on this?

5) Palms Hotel/Casino in Las Vegas opened this week, for first time in 2.5 years, so that is good news for Las Vegas.

4) Bad news for Las Vegas; the NHL’s Golden Knights lost their last three games, all three in shootouts. Knights went 0-17 in shootouts in those games, the first team since Florida in 2011 to lose three games in a row in shootouts, without scoring a goal in a shootout.

3) For tonight’s draft, the NFL has a red carpet stage that was built over the water in front of the fountains at the Bellagio. I’m guessing the next three days will be quite the production.

2023 draft is in Kansas City, 2024 in Detroit. This year will be a tough act to follow.

2) Arizona Cardinals picked up the 5th-year option in QB Kyler Murray; he will make $29.7M in 2023. Murray is 22-24-1 in three years as Arizona’s quarterback.

1) A’s 1, Giants 0:
— Chad Pinder led game off with a homer; that was the only run of the game.
— Last time this happened in the major leagues was when Arizona’s Gerardo Parra homered in Miami, May 18 2013, leading off a game that ended 1-0.
— Three weeks into the season, A’s are 10-9, showing spunk and surprisingly good pitching.
 

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NHL

Thursday, April 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Buffalo @ Boston
Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Buffalo

New Jersey @ Carolina
New Jersey
New Jersey is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Jersey is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Carolina
Carolina
Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Jersey

Florida @ Ottawa
Florida
Florida is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
Florida is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Ottawa
Ottawa is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ottawa's last 7 games at home

Tampa Bay @ Columbus
Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Columbus
Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Columbus
Columbus is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Columbus's last 5 games when playing at home against Tampa Bay

Washington @ NY Islanders
Washington
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against NY Islanders
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Islanders
NY Islanders
The total has gone OVER in 4 of NY Islanders's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Islanders's last 7 games when playing Washington

Calgary @ Minnesota
Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Calgary's last 8 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Calgary is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing at home against Calgary
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games

Nashville @ Colorado
Nashville
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Nashville's last 14 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Nashville's last 6 games
Colorado
Colorado is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 5 games when playing Nashville

San Jose @ Edmonton
San Jose
The total has gone OVER in 7 of San Jose's last 8 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
San Jose is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Edmonton
Edmonton
Edmonton is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Edmonton's last 8 games when playing at home against San Jose

Los Angeles @ Vancouver
Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 5 games on the road
Vancouver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vancouver's last 5 games at home


----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Friday’s 6-pack

— Dallas 98, Utah 96— Mavericks win series 4-2
— Phoenix 115, New Orleans 109— Suns win series 4-2
— Philadelphia 132, Toronto 97— 76ers win series 4-2
— Brewers 3, Pirates 2— McCutchen knocked in all three Brewer runs.
— Marlins 3, Nationals 2— Washington has lost eight in a row.
— Cardinals 8, Arizona 3— St Louis had 15 hits, all singles.

Quote of the Day
“(Lamar) Jackson lost his No. 1 wide receiver Thursday night in Hollywood Brown, who was traded to the Cardinals.”
Jordan Dajani

Friday’s quiz
In the movie Draft Day, Kevin Costner was GM of the Cleveland Browns; who played the Browns’ coach?

Thursday’s quiz
Jon Voight played Ray’s father Mickey in the Showtime series Ray Donovan.

Wednesday’s quiz
Matthew Stafford was the first player taken in the 2009 NFL Draft; the Jets took the next QB, with the 5th pick in the first round. Who was it?

*******************************

Friday’s Den: My running diary of the first round of the NFL Draft

If I never hear the term “mock draft” again, it’ll be too soon. Seriously.

Welcome to my running diary of the first round of the 2022 NFL Draft, which is being held in Las Vegas. Originally, Las Vegas was supposed to host the 2020 Draft and I was supposed to be there, but the world had a different idea, with the pandemic and all, so here we are. I’m in my living room, a good place to be and a lot more affordable than Las Vegas this week.

Jacksonville has the first pick, thanks to the Urban Meyer debacle.

I’m watching the NFL Network feed; I’ll watch ESPN on Day 3 Saturday, in deference to Mel Kiper Jr but I’ve lost some enthusiasm for ESPN the last few years.

There are A LOT of people outdoors by the stage where I’m assuming the picks will be announced. A lot, as in maybe 100,000 or so.

8:06— Roger Goodell takes the stage, to mixed reviews. Can we start this already?

8:17— Jacksonville is on the clock; they hired Doug Peterson as their new coach, a huge upgrade from last year. With the first pick, Jaguars take Georgia’s Travon Walker, an edge rusher.

Why does Goodell get booed all the time? So what he makes $30M a year, as a spokesman for 32 really rich people. He seems like a decent guy.

Goodell trivia: When Robert Kennedy was assassinated in 1968, Goodell’s father Charles Goodell took Kennedy’s place as a US Senator.

8:21— Detroit Lions take edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson from nearby Michigan; the last time defensive players were the first two players taken in a draft was in 2000.

Lions haven’t made the playoffs since 2016; in the 56 years of the Super Bowl era, Detroit is 1-12 in playoffs, with lone win in 1991.

8:27— Houston takes LSU CB Derek Stingley Jr, whose dad played Arena Football for the Albany Firebirds; his grandfather Darryl was a terrific WR for New England whose career ended tragically when he was paralyzed in a 1978 preseason game.

8:34— Jets are up next; they take Ahmad Gardner, a DB from Cincinnati. The green room for this draft seems more like an auditorium than a room. Gardner took a wrong turn going from the Green Room to the stage. He is 6-2, almost 6-3, very tall for a corner.

First four picks are defensive players.

Hey there is Hall of Famer Kurt Warner on NFL Network; he made the Hall of Fame despite not being drafted coming out of Northern Iowa.

8:41— Giants select another pass rusher, Kayvon Thibodeaux from Oregon, who Daniel Jeremiah comps to Shawne Merriman, the old Chargers star. Since 2015, Thibodeaux is the 5th Oregon Duck to be taken in the top 7 of the draft.

Random question: When do the Super Bowl champs pick? Oh yeah, the Rams don’t have a first round pick until 2024- their last first round pick was in 2016 (Jared Goff).

8:46— Carolina Panthers have the wealthiest owner in the NFL, David Tepper, who is worth $16B or so. Thats billion, with a B. Carolina doesn’t have another pick until the 4th round; with the 6th pick, they take Ikem Ekwonu, an offensive tackle from NC State.

If you bet over 3.5 in quarterbacks drafted in first round, you might be in trouble.

8:53— Giants are up again, the first of eight teams with multiple first round picks; they take Evan Neal, a tackle from Alabama, so he is used to winning. Giants have made the playoffs once since 2011; they need guys who are used to winning.

Giants got this pick from Chicago last year, when the Bears wanted to draft Justin Fields.

Eight teams don’t have a first round pick tonight, including the hometown Raiders.

9:00— Atlanta Falcons are 35-46 since losing the Super Bowl in overtime 5+ years ago; they take USC WR Drake London, giving newly-acquired QB Marcus Mariota a target. They show London dunking a basketball in high school; he probably shoots free throws better than Ben Simmons.

Charles Davis comps him to Larry Fitzgerald, a pretty huge compliment.

Words you hear on draft night, but rarely any other time:
— Upside
— Catch radius
— Physicality
— creating separation

9:09— Seattle Seahawks are up next; right now their QB would be Drew Lock, but they obviously don’t have a game for four months. If I was a Seahawks fan, would I be happy that they traded Russell Wilson? I’m not a Seahawks fan, so its none of my business.

Seattle takes Charles Cross, another SEC tackle (Mississippi State); he goes from playing for Mike Leach to Pete Carroll. Maybe they should’ve drafted offensive linemen when they had Wilson, who is a Hall of Fame quarterback.

I like it better when the people in a team’s draft room aren’t all in shirts/ties; Seattle’s people are all dressed casually. It is a football team, not a damn hedge fund operation.

9:13— Jets are up again; 4 of the first 13 picks go to the Garden State. Jets were minus-13 in turnovers last year, which isn’t good. Jets made AFC title game in 2009 and 2010, the Rex Ryan era; they haven’t made the playoffs since then.

Jets take WR Garrett Wilson, a WR from Ohio State. Are teams in cold weather areas more likely to draft a player who has played in cold weather in college?

Good Lord, I forgot that the Saints gave Jameis Winston $28M for two years; no wonder Sean Payton quit. They have Andy Dalton as a backup, but Dalton is better than Winston.

9:21— New Orleans just traded into #11 slot; they traded a 3rd/4th round pick to Washington to move up from 16th to 11th, so whoever they pick here is a guy they really want.

Saints took WR Chris Olave, another WR from Ohio State; Buckeyes threw for 361+ yards in each of their last five games last year. Olave caught 65 passes for 936 yards, 13 TD’s; the guy the Giants drafted (Garrett Wilson) caught 70 passes for 1,058 yards, 12 TD’s.

NFL Network just had a commercial touting the 2022 schedule release, which is two weeks away. That’ll be a busy night for me, starting my handicapping. Thursday night games will be on Amazon Prime, which I actually never heard of until they announced that.

Tony Gonzalez just announced that Chiefs at Chargers is the Week 2 Thursday game, the first Amazon Prime game.

9:30— Lions just traded with NFC North rival Minnesota, dealing an extra 3rd-round pick to the Vikings, to move up from 32nd to 12th- they select WR Jameson Williams from Alabama. The 32nd pick Detroit dealt to Minnesota was the Rams’ pick that the Lions acquired in the Matthew Stafford trade.

It isn’t often division rivals make trades like that, but Detroit GM Holmes/new Minnesota coach O’Connell worked together with the Rams, so maybe that facilitated the deal.

9:40— Eagles traded with Houston to move up to #13, hopping over the Ravens; Texans get a 4th-round pick and two 5th-round picks to fall back two slots. Philly drafts Jordan Davis, a very large defensive tackle from Georgia.

This is Pete Prisco’s analysis of the Giants’ selection Kayvon Thibodeaux:
“He is the best pure pass rusher in this draft. He has the explosive ability the Giants badly need. The question with him now is his character. Does he love the game? But I think he will get past any of that talk and become a dominant edge player. I love this pick.”

Whenever I see scouts questioning a player’s love of the game, I get queasy.

9:47— Baltimore is up next; they take Kyle Hamilton, a safety from Notre Dame. He is 6-4, 220, a big safety. Ravens also traded with Arizona to acquire the 23rd pick.

Baltimore traded WR Marquise Brown and a 3rd-round pick to Arizona for the 23rd pick; Brown played college ball with Kyler Murray.
 

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9:50— Houston has the 15th pick; they took G Kenyon Green from Texas A&M, who can play multiple spots on the offensive line. Texans went 8-25 the last two years; they need lot of help, which is why they dealt with the Eagles to get extra mid-round picks.

9:57— Washington has the 16th pick; they take Penn State WR Jahan Dotson, who Jeremiah says has the best hands in this draft. Catching the ball is important for a receiver. They traded for Carson Wentz; now they’re giving him targets to throw to.

Dotson played for three offensive coordinators during his time at Penn State.

9:59— Chargers take OL Zion Johnson, who started his career at I-AA Davidson, but wound up at Boston College. They have a great young QB in Herbert; now they need to protect him.

10:02— We have another trade; Tennessee traded WR AJ Brown to the Eagles, for the 18th pick, plus a 3rd-round pick. Titans traded for Robert Woods, wouldn’t pay Brown, so he goes off to Philadelphia. Brown gets four years, $100M from the Eagles.

Someone posted a pic of AJ Brown working out with Eagles’ QB Jalen Hurts four days ago, so this obviously has been in the works.

With that 18th pick, Tennessee takes WR Treylon Burks from Arkansas, whose comp on NFL Network, ironically, is AJ Brown.

New Orleans is up again; will be weird seeing them without Sean Payton on the sidelines. Last year, Saints threw for their fewest yards/game since 1997. Quarterback is an important position.

10:12— Saints select T Trevor Penning from Northern Iowa.

Steelers are up now; no quarterbacks have been taken yet.

Used to know a guy who openly mocked me for watching/enjoying the NFL Draft; never quite understood why it bothered the guy. Everyone likes different stuff, but this is an industry with 32 teams worth an average of $3B each, and some teams are just so much better than others in this process, which makes it fascinating, at least to me.

By the way, Patrick Mahomes has a career record of 58-16; he was THE TENTH PICK in the 2017 draft. Mitch Trubisky was the #2 pick; that is why this is also interesting.

10:18— Steelers, who haven’t won a playoff game since 2016, take Pitt QB Kenny Pickett, who sat out his team’s bowl game, so he wouldn’t get hurt. Mitch Trubisky/Mason Rudolph are also Steeler QB’s. I wouldn’t have taken Pickett under any circumstance. Quarterbacks have to lead their team into battle, not opt out of a game to avoid injury.

Steeler great Franco Harris announced this pick; this fall will be with 50th anniversary of the Immaculate Reception, which I remember because it happened on my birthday. My 8th grade basketball team also lost 34-17 that day- I had nine of our 17 points, which tells you how bad our team was (we finished 1-13).

10:23– Chiefs just traded up with New England, to move up from 29th to 21st; Kansas City takes Trent McDuffie, a CB from Washington. Raiders added Davante Adams, Denver added Russell Wilson; pass defense is more important now than it was in the AFC West.

10:28— Green Bay is up; they select LB Quay Walker from Georgia, who helped the Dawgs win a national title last year. Aaron Rodgers probably just tossed his remote.

Last time Packers drafted a WR in the first round was 2002; NFL Network guys are referencing a scene from A Few Good Men, because all the top WR prospects have already been taken. “I’m not Markinson, are you Markinson?”

10:35— Lot of trades; Ravens traded into this slot, then just dealt the pick to Buffalo, which takes Kaiir Elam, a CB from Florida.

Ravens get an extra 4th-round pick to drop down two slots. Everyone is Buffalo’s draft room is wearing shirt/tie. No bueno.

10:38— Dallas is up; Jerry Jones’s grandson is sitting there in the Cowboys draft room. He’ll probably own the Cowboys long after I’m dead and gone. Must be nice to be rich.

Watching Hard Knocks last summer, I was totally unimpressed with Mike McCarthy; this is the best guy the Cowboys can get as head coach? He has a good record, but he also coached Aaron Rodgers and Dak Prescott, two pretty good quarterbacks.

There are so many people in Las Vegas for this; has to be a great night to be a pickpocket.

10:43— Dallas takes Tyler Smith, a tackle from Tulsa, who apparently got called for a lot of penalties in college. Tyler the tackle from Tulsa; say that three times fast.

Just saw a sign on TV for the Mirage Casino and I got hungry; they have a Carnegie Deli in there, where they make the best sandwiches ever. They were so big I asked for extra bread and made two sandwiches out of each one. They also have Dr Brown’s cream soda, which is tremendous.

10:50— They just showed the Ravens’ draft room; you could see their white board, with all the players’ names listed. Surprised they allowed that to be shown. Baltimore finished last in their division for first time since 2007; they lost so many close games— I’d make them a candidate for a big bounce back season this year.

10:53— Ravens took C Tyler Lindenbaum from Iowa; long time ago, Hawkeyes coach Kirk Ferentz was OL coach of the Browns, before they moved to Baltimore and became the Ravens. This guy was also a wrestler, which helps offensive linemen.

Jets just dealt a 5th-round pick to Tennessee to move up to 26th in this draft; this will be their third first round pick. It has been 22 years since the Jets had this many first round picks.

Jets take edge rusher Jermaine Johnson from Florida State; Daniel Jeremiah had him as a top 10 player, and he was the 26th pick. He transferred from Georgia to Florida State in college, now he’s a first round pick.

11:01— Jacksonville just traded with Tampa Bay to move up a few slots; Bucs get the first pick in tomorrow’s second round. Jaguars select Devin Lloyd, a linebacker from Utah who has been wearing sunglasses in the green room for the last three hours.

Stanford coach David Shaw has high praise for Lloyd, so good pick for Jacksonville. His comp on NFL Network is 49ers’ LB Fred Warner.

11:14— Green Bay has another pick; coach Matt LaFleur is 39-10 in regular season games, 2-3 in the postseason. Packers take Devonte Wyatt, a DT from Georgia. Both of Green Bay’s first round picks come from national champion Georgia.

Green Bay won the Super Bowl after the 2010 season; since then, they’re 7-9 in playoff games.

11:20— New England is up now; they take G Cole Strange, who played at I-AA Chattanooga. Daniel Jeremiah said he thought he was a 3rd round pick. New England thinks differently than other teams. Rich Eisen just made a Boston reference from Good Will Hunting; it is getting late.

11:22— Chiefs just took edge rusher George Karlaftis from Purdue, which is nice, seeing how he is actually there. It would suck to sit there for four hours and not get picked.

He used to be on the under-16 team for Greece’s national water polo team. Seriously. He has only been in this country for eight years, which is interesting.

I can’t really swim and I can’t see a damn thing without my glasses, so water polo has no appeal to me.

11:26— Cincinnati has the next pick, the second/last pick tonight; they take Daxton Hill, a safety from Michigan who is versatile.

News: Giants are not picking up QB Daniel Jones’ 5th-year option, which helps prove that the new regime in New Jersey knows what they’re doing.

11:33— Last pick of the night belongs to Minnesota; they select Lewis Cine, a safety from Georgia. Do the Dawgs have any players left in Athens? Five defensive players from Georgia have already been taken.

Only one quarterback got taken. Unusual.

Damn, what are all these people at the draft going to do now? It is 8:40 on a Thursday night in Las Vegas. Hopefully they can find some fund stuff to do or some good food to eat.
 

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Tokens
BUFFALO is 3-15 ATS (-13.5 Units) in home games when playing 5 or less games in 14 days in the last 3 seasons.

NY RANGERS are 13-1 ATS (11.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs in the current season.

DETROIT is 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) off a road loss against a division rival in the current season.

PHILADELPHIA is 10-3 ATS (6.7 Units) after getting shutout in their previous game in the last 3 seasons.

BOSTON is 13-2 Under (10.8 Units) in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the current season.

MONTREAL is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored in the last 2 seasons.

COLUMBUS are 11-2 Over (8.8 Units) revenging a loss where team scored 1 or less goals in the current season.

NY ISLANDERS
are 9-1 Under (7.9 Units) on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

VEGAS are 7-1 Over (5.9 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent of 2 goals or more in the current season.

MINNESOTA is 11-1 ATS (9.9 Units) after 3 straight games with 33 or more shots on goal in the current season.

WINNIPEG is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in home games after scoring 3 goals or more in 2 straight games in the last 3 seasons.

ANAHEIM is 22-50 ATS (-33 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days in the last 3 seasons.

VANCOUVER is 30-23 ATS (4.7 Units) revenging 2 consecutive losses to opponent as a favorite in the last 3 seasons.

ARIZONA is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games off a road win by 1 goal in the last 3 seasons.

WINNIPEG is 9-2 ATS (6.8 Units) on Sunday games in the current season.
 

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