Cnotes 2021-2022 nba trends, news, best bets and opinions thru the playoffs !

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MONDAY, DECEMBER 27
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

HOU at CHA 07:00 PM
O 234.0
+500

CHI at ATL 07:30 PM
ATL +4.0
O 212.0

+500 +500

BOS at MIN 08:00 PM
O 214.5
+500

UTA at SA 08:30 PM
SA +7.0
O 230.5

+500 +500

MEM at PHO 09:00 PM
MEM +8.5
U 221.0

+500 +500

DAL at POR 10:00 PM
DAL +1.0
+500

BK at LAC 10:30 PM
LAC +3.5
O 213.0

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/27/2021..........5-6-0.........44.45%..........-8.00
12/26/2021..........8-8-0.........50.00%..........-4.00
12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:.........105-115-5..........47.72%............-48.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/27/2021.............4-6-0................40.00%........-13.00
12/26/2021.............7-5-0................58.33%........+ 7.50
12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:.............93-107-1................46.50%...........- 123.50


UPDATED 12/27/2021
 

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Armadillo Sports

Tuesday’s 6-pack:

Interesting Week 17 NFL spreads
— LA Rams (-3.5) @ Baltimore
— Broncos @ LA Chargers (-6)
— Texans @ San Francisco (-15)
— Lions @ Seattle (-6.5)
— Vikings @ Green Bay (-6.5)
— Browns (-3) @ Pittsburgh

Quote of the Day
“The uncertainty surrounding what the market is going to look like post-lockout is the clearest reason why some of these fringe players are going overseas.”
Unnamed baseball agent, on why some big leaguers have signed to play in Asia

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series, Ray Donovan, what famous actor plays Ray’s father?

Monday’s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

Sunday’s quiz
Aaron Rodgers completed his first NFL pass against Dallas.

******************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

12) ACC plays its first bowl Tuesday, when Louisville/NC State take the field; over last two seasons, ACC teams are 4-13 SU in bowl games, 5-12 ATS (2-5 as favorites, 3-7 as dogs).

11) Last five games, Pittsburgh Steelers were outscored 97-9 in the first half.

Steelers offensive line coach Adrian Klemm left Pittsburgh to take the same job at Oregon, not exactly a positive career move, which makes you believe he was getting fired from the Steelers, so they let him leave gracefully.

10) As a basketball stats nerd, I’m a big believer that assists for 3-pointers should count as 1.5 assists, and that assist opportunities that lead to made free throws should count for half an assist apiece. Its a more accurate way of telling who the best playmakers are.

9) Nick Foles is the Bears’ 3rd-string QB, but he’s won a Super Bowl, has a 33-29 career won-lost record in the NFL. Why didn’t Chicago trade him for draft picks? Lot of teams could use him, and the Bears could sure as hell use the extra draft picks.

Think about it; how many current starting QB’s is he better than?

8) This week in the NFL, just this week, teams went for it on fourth down 54 times, getting the first down 34 times (63%).

7) NFL flip-flopped start times for two games this week; Rams-Ravens moves from 4:25 to 1:00, while Buccaneers-Panthers becomes a 4:25 game.

Does this mean Lamar Jackson isn’t going to play?

6) NFL turnover knowledge:
— Last four games, Green Bay is +9 in turnovers.
— Last three games, Raiders are minus-10 in turnovers.
— Last seven games, Kansas City is +14 in turnovers.

5) Western Michigan 52, Nevada 24:
— Broncos ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— Total yardage was 514-242.
— MAC teams improve to 2-5 in bowls this year.
— Nevada’s coach bolted, their QB bolted; this was 31-10 at halftime.
— Favorites have rallied, are now 8-8 ATS in bowls this year.

4) Apparently the Saints called Drew Brees, Philip Rivers last week, seeing if they were interested in making a comeback. They weren’t, so Ian Book/Blake Bortles were the Saints’ QB’s Monday night.

3) LA Clippers star Paul George hurt his right elbow, is out 3-4 weeks.

2) USC is #7 in the latest college basketball poll, highest they’ve been ranked since 1975.

1) Seeing those commercials for Olympic skiing on TV, I’m reminded of the three times I went skiing in my life. I despise cold weather, hate snow; skiing wasn’t my thing, but the bar in the ski lodge was fun.

As for the actual skiing, I enjoyed the chair lift; after that, it was all downhill!!!
 

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MILWAUKEE is 97-154 ATS (-72.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins since 1996.

WASHINGTON is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) on Tuesday nights in the last 3 seasons.

HOUSTON is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in home games when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 16-2 ATS (13.8 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in home games after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.
 

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Tuesday, December 28


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 8 games

Washington @ Miami
Washington
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Washington's last 15 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

Philadelphia @ Toronto
Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Toronto is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

LA Lakers @ Houston
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games

New York @ Minnesota
New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing New York
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

Cleveland @ New Orleans
Cleveland
Cleveland is 15-1 ATS in its last 16 games
Cleveland is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
New Orleans
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland

Denver @ Golden State
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
Golden State is 15-1 SU in its last 16 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Sacramento
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on the road
Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Sacramento's last 12 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Sacramento is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Oklahoma City


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 

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Dunkel

Tuesday, December 28


FrwF45u.png
 

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The Wizards are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games.
The Heat are 5-0 SU in their last five home games.
The Wizards are 3-8 SU in their last 11 matchups against Miami.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of the last 15 meetings between Washington and Miami.


The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games.
The Warriors are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games.
The total has gone OVER in 13 of the last 17 Nuggets' games.
The total has gone UNDER in six of the last seven matchups between Golden State and Denver.
 

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TUESDAY, DECEMBER 28
Game Time(ET) Pick Units

MIL at ORL 07:00 PM
MIL -14.5
U 216.0

+500 +500

PHI at TOR 07:30 PM
PHI -6.0
U 216.0
+500 +500

WAS at MIA 07:30 PM
WAS +6.5
U 208.5
+500 +500

LAL at HOU 08:00 PM
LAL -5.5
U 225.5
+500 +500

NY at MIN 08:00 PM
NY -4.5
U 211.0
+500 +500

CLE at NO 08:00 PM
CLE -3.5
O 213.0

+500 +500

OKC at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC -5.5
U 224.0
+500 +500

DEN at GS 10:00 PM
GS -7.5
U 217.5

+500 +500
 

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NBA DECEMBER'S BEST BETS & OPINIONS

Date W-L-T % Units

12/28/2021........6-10-0.........37.50%.........-25.00
12/27/2021..........5-6-0.........44.45%..........-8.00
12/26/2021..........8-8-0.........50.00%..........-4.00
12/23/2021........13-7-2.........65.00%.......+26.50
12/22/2021..........5-5-0.........50.00%..........-2.50
12/21/2021..........4-6-0.........40.00%.........-13.00
12/20/2021..........8-4-0.........66.67%........+18.00
12/19/2021..........6-5-0.........54.55%..........+2.50
12/18/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%..........+8.00
12/17/2021........5-11-0.........31.25%..........-35.50
12/16/2021..........5-3-0.........62.50%...........+8.50
12/15/2021........14-7-0.........66.66%..........+31.50
12/14/2021..........4-1-0.........80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021..........4-5-1.........45.00%.............-7.50
12/12/2021..........6-4-0.........60.00%............+8.00
12/11/2021..........4-4-0.........50.00%.............-2.00
12/10/2021..........6-6-1.........50.00%.............-3.30
12/09/2021..........2-4-0.........33.33%............-12.00
12/08/2021..........8-6-0.........57.14%.............+7.00
12/07/2021..........3-2-1..........58.33%............+4.00
12/06/2021........8-12-0..........40.00%............-26.00
12/05/2021..........3-5-0..........37.50%............-12.50
12/04/2021..........4-7-0..........36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021........5-11-0...........31.25%............-35.50
12/02/2021..........4-6-0...........40.00%............-13.00
12/01/2021..........7-3-0.......... 70.00%.......... +18.50

TOTALS:.........111-125-5..........47.03%............-73.30


****************************


BEST BETS:

12/28/2021.............5-5-0................50.00%........-2.50
12/27/2021.............4-6-0................40.00%........-13.00
12/26/2021.............7-5-0................58.33%........+ 7.50
12/23/2021.............7-4-0................63.63%........+13.00
12/22/2021.............2-5-0................28.57%.........-17.50
12/21/2021.............3-4-0................42.85%...........-7.00
12/20/2021.............4-2-0................66.66%..........+9.00
12/19/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%..........- 1.50
12/18/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/17/2021.............2-7-0................22.22%...........-28.50
12/16/2021.............5-1-0................83.33%..........+19.50
12/15/2021.............9-4-0................69.23%..........+23.00
12/14/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%..........+14.50
12/13/2021.............3-6-1................33.33%...........-18.00
12/12/2021.............4-3-0................57.14%...........+3.50
12/11/2021.............4-3-0................57.14..............+3.50
12/10/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%...........- 7.50
12/09/2021.............1-4-0................20.00%...........-17.00
12/08/2021.............4-4-0................50.00%............- 2.00
12/07/2021.............2-3-0................40.00%............- 6.50
12/06/2021.............4-5-0................44.44%............- 7.50
12/05/2021.............1-6-0................14.28%............-28.00
12/04/2021.............4-7-0................36.36%............-18.50
12/03/2021...........1-10-0................00.09%............-50.00
12/02/2021.............3-3-0................50.00%.............- 1.50
12/01/2021.............4-1-0................80.00%...........+14.50

TOTALS:.............98-112-1................46.66%...........- 126.00


UPDATED 12/28/2021
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in touchdowns
19— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
17— Austin Ekeler, LAC
16— Joe Mixon, Cin/James Conner, Az
14— Cooper Kupp, Rams
12— Elliott Dal, Samuel SF, Harris NE
11— Cordarrelle Patterson, Atl/Mike Evans, TB

Quote of the Day
“The road to Easy Street goes through the sewer.”
John Madden

Wednesday’s quiz
Where was the first Super Bowl played?

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray’s father.

Monday’s quiz
Bears coach Matt Nagy was once QB for the Carolina Cobras in the Arena League.

***********************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

13) Strange Stat of the Day: NFL quarterbacks who went to Notre Dame have lost their last 24 starts; last time a Notre Dame QB won an NFL game was Brady Quinn, in 2012.

12) Miami Dolphins are first NFL team ever to win seven games in a row and also lose seven games in a row, both in the same season.

11) Saw a clip on Twitter this week that showed Steph Curry making 105 three-point shots in a row, which is freakin’ impressive. He might be the greatest shooter ever.

Curry’s success has done a lot to improve basketball, making it cool for kids to work on their shooting. Passing/shooting makes for attractive basketball; the Warriors do lot of that, and now teams all over the country have been doing more of that.

10) Colts’ QB Carson Wentz isn’t vaccinated, now he has COVID and is likely to miss Sunday’s game against the Raiders. No bueno, unless you root for the Raiders.

Wentz is being paid $15.4M in base salary this year and also got a $10M signing bonus; as one of the most important people working for a franchise worth around $3B, you’d think he would get the vaccine, but no.

Getting your vaccine shots is like wearing a seat belt; you might get in a car accident, but you’re way more likely to survive it. This isn’t a political issue, it is a medical one.

Sam Ehlinger will be the Colts’ QB if Wentz doesn’t play; he’s taken 18 snaps in three games of mop-up duty, but hasn’t thrown his first NFL pass yet.

9) Boise State/Miami backed out of their bowl games, so Washington State-Central Michigan will face each other in the Sun Bowl in El Paso Saturday.

8) Air Force 31, Louisville 28:
— Air Force had TD passes of 61-64 yards, which is unlike them.
— Falcons completed 9-10 passed, for 225 yards. Go figure.
— Louisville ran a kickoff back 100 yards for a TD.
— ACC teams slip to 4-14 SU, 5-13 ATS in their last 18 bowls.
— Flyboys finish a very successful season 10-3.

7) San Diego State won its bowl game last week 38-24 over Texas-San Antonio; Aztecs’ QB Lucas Johnson threw threw for 333 yards and three TD’s. Aztecs finished the season 12-2, everyone is happy, right?

Not so much; Johnson entered the transfer portal Tuesday. Very curious where he will play his last year of college football. It just seems like teams are almost openly poaching players off of other rosters.

6) Carolina Panthers gave coach Matt Rhule $62M for seven years? Why?

Rhule went 47-43 as a college coach (Temple/Baylor); going 28-23 at Temple was impressive- they don’t win a lot at Temple. He went 1-11 his first year at Baylor, 11-3 his third/final year.

If Carolina were to fire Rhule after this season, it would be an expensive buyout, but Panthers owner David Tepper is the NFL’s wealthiest owner ($13B) so he can afford it.

5) Minnesota Vikings’ last 12 games were all decided by eight or less points.

4) When the TV show Law and Order started in 1990, the District Attorney character’s name was Adam Schiff, played by Steven Hill.

Still strikes me as weird how today, 31 years later, one of our most prominent Congressmen is also named Adam Schiff. Weird coincidence.

3) Long time ago, 2004 or so, I got to watch a Chiefs-Giants preseason game from the press box at Giants Stadium. Good way to watch a game.

Before the game, they have a free buffet for the press (yes, this website is considered press) and I was on line to eat- the Chiefs radio crew was right behind me.

I actually felt guilty that I was on line in front of Len Dawson, the Chiefs QB who led them to two of the first four Super Bowls. Not guilty enough to give up my spot on line, though.

That was a fun night; also met Dick Vermeil and Al Saunders that night; they were both coaches for the Rams when they won the Super Bowl a few years before that. All in all, a fun night.

2) If you have Showtime, Billions makes its season premiere January 23; the Ray Donovan movie premieres January 14.

1) RIP to coach John Madden, who passed away Tuesday at age 85.

Madden coached the Raiders for ten years, going 112-39-7. Oakland won Super Bowl XI over the Vikings. He was a Hall of Fame coach who became even bigger as a broadcaster and spokesman for the wildly popular video game bearing his name.

RIP, coach.
 

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NEW YORK is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus horrible offensive teams - scoring <=104 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

CHARLOTTE is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

BOSTON is 40-23 ATS (14.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=108 points/game in the last 3 seasons.

MEMPHIS are 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) after a game outrebounding opponent by 15 or more over the last 2 seasons.

ATLANTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) vs. winning teams in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-1 ATS (8.9 Units) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games in the current season.

UTAH is 12-2 ATS (9.8 Units) after failing to cover 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread in the last 3 seasons.

SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 40% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons.
 

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Wednesday, December 29


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York @ Detroit
New York
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
New York is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Detroit's last 11 games

Charlotte @ Indiana
Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Charlotte

LA Clippers @ Boston
LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Clippers's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Boston's last 9 games when playing LA Clippers
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

Atlanta @ Chicago
Atlanta
Atlanta is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

LA Lakers @ Memphis
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of LA Lakers's last 13 games when playing Memphis
Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Memphis's last 13 games when playing LA Lakers

Miami @ San Antonio
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 16 of San Antonio's last 21 games at home

Oklahoma City @ Phoenix
Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games on the road
Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
Phoenix is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home

Utah @ Portland
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Portland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games at home
Portland is 10-4 SU in its last 14 games when playing at home against Utah

Dallas @ Sacramento
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Dallas


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The Lakers are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last six Grizzlies games.
The total has gone OVER in four of the last five Lakers' games.
The Grizzlies are 5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Thursday’s 6-pack:

NFL leaders in points by kickers:
136— Matt Gay Rams/Nick Folk, NE
124— Greg Joseph, Minn
123— Tyler Bass, Buff
122— Daniel Carlson, LV
120— Evan McPherson, Cin
118— Greg Zuerlein Dal/Jake Elliott, Phil

Quote of the Day
“I understood their (initial) decision and I respected it. I really had to sit back and think and try to not become too emotionally attached to what they were deciding to do. I had to sit down and really evaluate things and see it from their perspective, meaning the organization and my teammates……..I knew the consequences. I wasn’t prepared for them, by no stretch of imagination.”
Kyrie Irving

Thursday’s quiz
Where did Patrick Mahomes play his college football?

Wednesday’s quiz
First Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Tuesday’s quiz
In the Showtime series Ray Donovan, Jon Voight plays Ray’s father.

**********************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud……..

13) Pittsburgh Steelers social media has been buzzing this week; the Steelers are 7-7-1 with two weeks left, Ben Roethlisberger looks to be retiring, things aren’t looking up in Steel City.

Some fans are clamoring for Mike Tomlin to be fired; the guy has never had a losing season. Meanwhile, Bill Cowher was inducted into the Hall of Fame last summer.

A comparison:
Bill Cowher:
regular season 149-90-1
playoffs 12-9
Super Bowl 1-1

Mike Tomlin:
regular season 152-84-2
playoffs 8-8
Super Bowl 1-1

Looks pretty similar to me.

12) Last seven weeks, teams are 7-0 SU/ATS the week after playing the Denver Broncos. Denver played the Raiders last week.

11) Oklahoma City Thunder rookie Josh Giddey had a game last week where he grabbed ten rebounds, dished out 10 assists, but didn’t score any points. None. Zero, Bupkis.

He’s the first player with a double-double on zero points since Norm Van Lier in 1971.

10) Auburn 70, LSU 55:
— First loss in 13 games for LSU.
— Auburn sprinted out to a 21-4 lead.
— LSU shot 28.6% for the game.

9) Alabama 73, Tennessee 68:
— Tennessee played without two starters.
— Teams combined to make only 14-60 3-pointers.
— Gurley scored 20 points in 32:00 off bench for Alabama.

8) Air Force 49, Utah State 47:
— Falcons were a 13-point home underdog in their Mountain West opener.
— Bad loss for 9-5 Utah State (now has losses to teams #198/#278)

7) Oklahoma 47, Oregon 32:
— Sooners led 30-3 at halftime, coasted to an easy win.

— Oklahoma ran ball for 322 yards.
— Bob Stoops’ son Drake caught a TD pass.
— Favorites have covered last nine bowl games.

6) Clemson 20, Iowa State 13:
— Clemson converted 9-18 third down plays.
— This snaps 12-game bowl losing streak for ACC teams.
— Cheez-Its make enough $$$ to sponsor a bowl? Never liked them much.

5) Maryland 54, Virginia Tech 10:
— Maryland opened scoring with a 92-yard punt return.
— Terps outscored Va Tech 30-0 in second half.
— Taulia Tagovailoa (Tua’s brother) was 20-24/265 passing.

4) NFL tidbits:
— Sam Darnold will start at QB for Carolina this week.
— Sam Ehlinger (no NFL passes) will start for the Colts if Carson Wentz doesn’t.
— Vikings’ WR Adam Thielen (ankle) is out this week.

3) I belong to AARP; you can save some money by belonging (15% off every time you eat at Denny’s, for example), so the AARP Magazine comes to my house every month.

Felt really old this week when the magazine came and Michael J Fox was on the cover; Alex Keaton is over 55 too? I think George Clooney was on last month’s cover.

Oy.

2) Former Seattle Mariners’ 3B Kyle Seager retired Wednesday; he hit 35 homers LY, knocked in 101 runs, but hit only .212, with a .285 OB%.

Seager played his entire 11-year big league career with the Mariners.

1) Sports handicapping has never been easy, but the COVID era has made it way harder; you never know who is going to play, from game-to-game. Right now, there are five NBA coaches on the COVID list.

Handicapping bowls has always been kind of random; which team is motivated to win, what players/coaches have one foot out the door to their next destination. Throw in the COVID issues and it is often a guessing game. Proceed at your own risk.
 

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BROOKLYN is 14-2 ATS (11.8 Units) after 2 consecutive non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

CLEVELAND is 10-2 ATS (7.8 Units) versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=108 points/game in the current season.

MILWAUKEE is 28-15 ATS (11.5 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half in the last 3 seasons.

GOLDEN STATE is 14-4 ATS (9.6 Units) after playing a home game in the current season.




NBA

Thursday, December 30


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Trend Report
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Philadelphia @ Brooklyn
Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

Cleveland @ Washington
Cleveland
Cleveland is 15-2 ATS in its last 17 games
Cleveland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
Washington
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

Milwaukee @ Orlando
Milwaukee
Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Milwaukee is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

Golden State @ Denver
Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games when playing Denver
Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State


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The Sixers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games.
The Nets are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games.
The Sixers are 1-4 ATS in their last five matchups against Brooklyn.
The total has gone OVER in five of the last six Nets' games.


The Warriors are 7-2 ATS in their last nine games against Denver.
The Nuggets are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
The Warriors are 4-1 SU in their last five road games.
The total has gone UNDER in four of the last five Nuggets' games.
 

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Armadillo Sports

Friday’s 6-pack:
NFL leaders in rushing yards:
1,626— Jonathan Taylor, Ind
1,159— Joe Mixon, Cin
1,143— Nick Chubb, Clev
1,067— Dalvin Cook, Minn
984— Najee Harris, Pitt
937— Derrick Henry, Tenn

Quote of the Day
“I don’t ever speak in definites or guarantees. That’s just not what I’ve ever done or who I am. But looking at the bigger picture, I would say that all signs are pointing that this could be it.”
Ben Roethlisberger, hinting at his retirement

Friday’s quiz
Who was the Steelers’ starting QB before Ben Roethlisberger?

Thursday’s quiz
Patrick Mahomes played his college football at Texas Tech.

Wednesday’s quiz
First Super Bowl was played in the Los Angeles Coliseum.

**************************************

Friday’s Den: Some suggestions to make the (sports) world better

It is easy to sit here and criticize everything, so before I sit here and criticize everything, here are some good ideas that have been put into play:

— NHL, NFL moving their drafts around the country— Anything that gets the fans closer to the league is a good thing. NHL started this; NFL kind of stumbled into it, but it helps them.

I’m guessing the NFL Draft in Las Vegas this spring should be fun.

— Hard Knocks in season— Brilliant idea they’re doing this year for the first time. The more people see behind the curtains, the better for the league’s business. Plus, the Colts are hot now, so it makes the show more interesting.

— Whoever put the TV camera in the end zone pylon deserves a raise; gives us an interesting view of the action.

— Baseball adding the Wild Card needed to happen, now they want to expand the playoffs further, maybe to 14 teams.

Why? To make more money from the networks (that’s the answer to every question)

Some suggestions to make the (sports) world a better place:
Non-sports stuff:
— More game shows, less of these BS talk shows where the hosts stage arguments so they can yell at each other. Game shows were excellent, made people at home think some.

— We need to respect each other more; just because we disagree about something doesn’t mean we have to hate each other. Agree to disagree, but maintain respect for each other. Debating stuff can be fun.

Sports stuff
Baseball

— Universal DH is a must. Why?
a) Pitchers suck at hitting
b) Pitchers get hurt hitting/running bases
c) DH’s make more $$$ than relief pitchers; the players’ union likes the DH.
d) More offense equals a more interesting game.

— Banning shifts. Why?
a) Line drives in the gap are more fun to watch than having every guy swing for the fences.
b) More balls in play equals quicker games, more action.
c) Great fielding plays make for better highlights, which attract fans.

— Allow draft picks to be traded.
a) This will give smart teams (maybe with less $$$) to outwit rich, impatient teams.
b) Gives fans/media more stuff to talk about.
c) Anything that keeps baseball in the forefront of conversation is a good thing.

— Market the game better. How?
a) Create an NFL Films-type group that produces a Hard Knocks show where we can see some of the inner workings of baseball. It would be great.
b) Imagine last cuts in spring training? Would be good television.
c) Trade negotiations at the deadline? It would be like watching Moneyball all over again.
d) Show Winter League games from Central America.
e) Get rid of all TV blackouts; you WANT people to watch baseball.

— Geographic realignment. Why?
a) Create more local rivalries— Padres TV guys were complaining that every time they visit Dodger Stadium, they pass thru Anaheim, yet they rarely play the Angels.

b) More rivalries mean bigger crowds, better TV ratings, more $$$
c) Reduce travel costs.
e) All five California teams in one division; those teams would play 119 of their 162 games in California.

— Market ALL the teams, not just New York, Boston and the Dodgers.
a) Every team has to appear on Sunday Night baseball every so often.
b) Mike Trout is really good; put the Angels on national TV more.

c) Houston/San Diego are big cities; show the Astros/Padres more on national TV.

— Make Wild Card playoffs best-of-3. One game just doesn’t cut it; you fight for six months to make the playoffs, then lose one game and you’re out. 2 out of 3 would be better, plus it gives the other playoff teams a few days to rest up for their playoffs.

— Showing games from Japan/Korea in the mornings wouldn’t be a bad idea, either.

Basketball
— Let kids go straight from high school to the NBA, the way it was when Lebron James was in high school. Kids going to college for one year is a farce.

— They’ve turned college basketball into a glorified version of AAU; players transfer at the drop of a hat. Kid at a mid-major makes two layups in a row, he wants to play in the ACC. Not too sure how to fix it, but having obvious pro prospects skip college altogether would help.

— Shorten NBA playoff series, make series best-of-5, increase the drama. Upsets now and then are a good thing, like the NCAA tournament.

— I’m curious to see how this play-in tournament is going to work. It’ll shorten the regular season by four games

— Big East should host their conference tournament at Butler’s Hinkle Fieldhouse one year, the gym where they filmed the end of Hoosiers. You have Butler in your league, take advantage of it.

Football
— No more Thursday Night Football, except for Week 1 and Thanksgiving. Instead, they should have Monday night doubleheaders, 7:00/10:30 kickoffs. It would be popular. Football wasn’t meant to be played on three days’ rest.

— Add a second bye week for each NFL team, play a 19-week schedule with 17 games, and have the Super Bowl on Sunday of Presidents’ Day weekend, when everyone is off on Monday.

— Add the AAF’s onside kick rule, when instead of an onside kick, the kicking team gets the ball on their own 35-yard line, 4th-and-15. They get the first down the keep the ball; the onside kick rule they use now isn’t good. Too hard for a recovery by the kicking team.

— If a kickoff goes thru the goal posts, the kicking team gets one point.

— Higher seed in playoffs chooses their opponent in playoffs; they do this in the G-League and it is a good idea. Would make for a good TV show when they choose their opponents.

— College football needs to change their recruiting calendars, to end the insanity of the coaching carousel before bowl season. What happened this fall was embarrassing, schools throwing $$$ at coaches, just before the early recruiting period.

Too many bowl games with lame duck coaches and quarterbacks transferring as soon as they’re not the starter anymore.

— College football playoffs should be 12 teams; cut out some of these low-level bowl games which mean nothing.

These are just suggestions, but they would improve things.
What do you think? Have any ideas?
 

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BOSTON is 24-7 ATS (16.3 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game in the last 3 seasons.

CHICAGO is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

SACRAMENTO is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games after 2 straight wins by 6 points or less since 1996.

MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (7.6 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=13 turnovers/game in the current season.

CLEVELAND is 9-1 ATS (7.9 Units) in home games versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-4 ATS (8.6 Units) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting <=21 free throws/game in the current season.

SAN ANTONIO is 8-0 ATS (8 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 2 seasons.

UTAH is 13-2 ATS (10.8 Units) in home games after 5 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

LA LAKERS are 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in home games versus poor teams - outscored by their opponents by 3+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
 

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NBA

Friday, December 31


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Trend Report
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Phoenix @ Boston
Phoenix
Phoenix is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games
Phoenix is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Boston
Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games

Chicago @ Indiana
Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 16 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago

Dallas @ Sacramento
Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

Miami @ Houston
Miami
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
Houston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games at home

Atlanta @ Cleveland
Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Atlanta is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA Clippers @ Toronto
LA Clippers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games
Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers

San Antonio @ Memphis
San Antonio
San Antonio is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Memphis
Memphis is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 7 games at home

New York @ Oklahoma City
New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing New York
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

Minnesota @ Utah
Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
Minnesota is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

Portland @ LA Lakers
Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Portland


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