Cnotes 2020 WNBA Season News,Trends,Picks !

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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack


Six interesting spreads for Week 4 NFL games:
— Denver (-3) @ NJ Jets
— Indianapolis (-2.5) @ Chicago
— New Orleans (-4) @ Detroit
— Arizona (-3.5) @ Carolina
— Jacksonville @ Cincinnati (-3)
— Cleveland @ Dallas (-4.5)


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 204,905
Please wear a mask when you go out.




**********


Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….


13) Chiefs 34, Ravens 20;
— Chiefs won their first three games, scoring 34-23 -34 points.
— KC kicker made two 58-yard FG’s last week; he missed a PAT and a FG in this game.
— Last 4+ years, Chiefs are 11-2 ATS as a road underdog.
— Chiefs won last four series games, by 20-3-5-14 points.


— Lamar Jackson is 0-3 against the Chiefs, 21-1 vs everyone else.
— Baltimore converted 3-9 on third down, Kansas City 10-13.
— Ravens are 9-16 ATS in last 25 games as a home favorite.


12) Tennessee Titans are 3-0 this season, but they haven’t covered a spread yet; their three wins are by a total of six points. Titans have turned ball over only once, are +4 in turnovers.


11) I’m not a big fan of NFL teams trading star players for draft picks:
— Houston traded WR DeAndre Hopkins to Arizona, they’re 0-3, scoring 19 ppg.
— Arizona is 2-1, scoring 29 ppg.


— Minnesota traded WR Stefon Diggs to Buffalo; they’re 0-3, despite scoring 25 ppg. Vikings have converted only 9-25 third down plays.
— Buffalo is 3-0, scoring 31 ppg.


10) Nick Foles will be Chicago’s starting QB when the 3-0 Bears host Indianapolis Sunday; he came off the bench Sunday and led the Bears to a 30-26 comeback win in Atlanta.


9) College football spread results in conference games so far:
— Home favorites 7-10-1 against the spread
— Home underdogs 7-5 against the spread


8) Arkansas landed Florida transfer Felipe Franks as its new QB this fall, ending a two-year debacle where eight (8!!!) different kids played QB for the Razorbacks- one of them is the grandson of Cowboys’ owner Jerry Jones.


Arkansas has lost its last 20 SEC games; Franks needs a lot of help.


7) Sam Pittman is the new football coach at Arkansas; like a lot of football coaches, Pittman has lived a little bit of a nomadic existence. Here are the coaching stops he’s made:


1984-85: Pittsburg State (GA)
1986: Offensive coordinator at a high school in Oklahoma
1987-88: Head coach at a high school in Missouri
1989-90: Head coach at a different high school in Missouri


1991: Offensive line coach at a junior college
1992-93: Head coach at that junior college
1994-95: Offensive line coach at Northern Illinois
1996: Offensive line coach at U of Cincinnati


1997-98: Offensive line coach at Oklahoma
1999: Assistant head coach, Western Michigan
2000: Offensive line coach, Missouri
2001: Offensive line coach, Kansas


2003-06: Offensive line coach, Northern Illinois
2007-11: Offensive line coach, North Carolina
2012: Offensive line coach, Tennessee
2013-15: Offensive line coach, Arkansas


2016-9: Offensive line coach, Georgia
2020: Head coach, Arkansas


This man must be great at packing; he’s paid his dues. Have to root for the guy.


6) I try to keep politics out of this space, but seriously? Donald Trump supposedly spent $70,000 on personal hairstyling “for television” and wrote it off on his taxes as a business expense. He paid $70,000 for that mess? I call BS on that.


As a bald man, I have to laugh; what a fraud he is.


5) Lakers-Heat NBA final is first time ever the NBA final is between two teams who both missed the playoffs the year before.


4) 5th-seeded Miami is lowest-seeded NBA team to make the finals since the 1995 Rockets, who beat Orlando in the finals that year.


3) If Seattle has a WNBA team, why can’t they have an NBA team? One of the great injustices in pro sports history was Seattle losing the SuperSonics- they supported the team, but they refused to build a new arena they didn’t need, so the league took their team away.


12 years later, Seattle has a new arena (they’re getting an NHL team); next time an NBA team needs to move, Seattle should be the first option.


2) Surprising news: LA Clippers told coach Doc Rivers to take a hike after seven years; Clippers lost to Denver in the playoffs, blowing a 3-1 series, when they led by 10+ points in each of those last three losses.


Rivers had a 356-208 regular season record with the Clippers , was 27-32 in playoff games; he won the 2008 NBA title coaching Boston. If he still wants to coach, he won’t be unemployed for long.


1) If the baseball playoffs started today (they do):
AL East: Tampa Bay, New York
AL Central: Minnesota, Cleveland
AL West: Oakland, Houston
AL wild cards: Chicago, Toronto


NL East: Atlanta, Miami
NL Central: Chicago, St Louis
NL West: Los Angeles, San Diego
 

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WNBA
Dunkel


Tuesday, September 29


Connecticut @ Las Vegas


Game 627-628
September 29, 2020 @ 7:30 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Connecticut
116.233
Las Vegas
114.927
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 1 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Las Vegas
by 4
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(+4); Under









WNBA
Long Sheet


Tuesday, September 29



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


CONNECTICUT (14 - 14) vs. LAS VEGAS (20 - 6) - 9/29/2020, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 158-119 ATS (+27.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAS VEGAS is 6-6 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 6-6 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
8 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------







WNBA


Tuesday, September 29



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Connecticut @ Las Vegas
Connecticut
Connecticut is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Connecticut is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Las Vegas is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games
 

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TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 29


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



CONN at LV 07:30 PM


CONN +3.5


O 157.0

 

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COMPLETED PICKS


Past Completed Picks.....REVISED TOTAL 09/27/20


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD



09/29/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/27/2020 4-0-0 100.00% +2000 Detail
09/24/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/22/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/20/2020 0-2-0 0.00% -1100 Detail
09/17/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/15/2020 2-2-0 50.00% -100 Detail
09/13/2020 2-4-0 33.33% -1200 Detail
09/12/2020 1-3-0 25.00% -1150 Detail
09/11/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/10/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/09/2020 3-3-0 50.00% -150 Detail
09/08/2020 1-5-0 16.67% -2250 Detail
09/07/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
09/06/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/04/2020 3-2-0 60.00% +400 Detail
09/03/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/02/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail
09/01/2020 4-2-0 66.67% +900 Detail


Totals......44-41-0........51.76%.....-13.50.
 

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Armadillo: Friday's six-pack


Odds to win the college hoop national title next April:
10-1— Gonzaga
12-1— Baylor
14-1— Villanova
16-1— Kentucky
18-1— Virginia
20-1— Duke, Texas Tech


Americans who have died from COVID-19: 206,005
Please wear a mask when you go out.




**********


Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a busy Thursday


13) From James Logan: This week’s NFL games come with an average over/under of 49.9 points; since 2006, that would be the highest average over/under for any NFL weekend.
48.7- Week 11, 2018
48.2- Week 3, 2020
48.0- Week 10, 2018
47.8- Week 8, 2018
47.7- Week 9, 2018
47.3- Week 5, 2018
47.3- Week 7, 2018
47.1- Week 13, 2018
46.9- Week 11, 2014
46.8- Week 2, 2019


Ironic thing is that in those ten weeks, under wound up going 85-59-1 (59%)


12) Penalties per game are down about 1.5 flags per game over the previous four years; holding calls are down roughly 40%. Another reason for more scoring, higher totals.


11) Reader named Greg sent me this stat Thursday morning: over last 33 NFL games, if you bet first half totals, over is now 26-7, 16-1 in the last 17 games played.


Good weather is part of it, but is it easier to run an offense with no crowd noise? Fair question.


10) A’s 6, White Sox 4 (Oakland wins series 2-1)
— 17 pitchers were used in this game; none of them got more than six outs.
— Chicago led 3-0 after third inning.
— A’s win their first playoff series since 2006.
— For season, White Sox wound up 15-0 vs lefty starters, 23-27 vs righties.
— Tim Anderson had nine hits in three games for Chicago.


9) Braves 5, Reds 0 (Atlanta wins series 2-0):
— Cincinnati scored zero runs in 22 innings in this series. Zero. None. Bupkis.
— Rookie Anderson threw six shutout innings for Atlanta.
— Ozuna, Duvall both homered in a 4-run 8th inning.


8) Padres 11, Cardinals 9 (series 1-1):
— St Louis led 4-2 after five innings, before the Padres’ bats exploded.
— Fernando Tatis homered twice, knocked in five runs.
— 17 pitchers were used in this game, too.


7) Dodgers 3, Brewers 0 (LA wins series 2-0)
— Kershaw threw eight shutout innings, struck out 13.
— Milwaukee had a guy picked off first when they were down 3-0 in 8th inning; no bueno.
— At no point this season were the Brewers ever over .500.


6) Sunday’s Steeler-Titans game was postponed until later this season, after more Tennessee players tested positive for COVID.


5) Marlins’ OF Starling Marte broke his pinkie Wednesday; he can still pinch-run or play the field, but he can’t swing a bat for a while.


4) Philadelphia 76ers acted quickly, named Doc Rivers their new head coach.


3) Week or so ago, New York catcher Gary Sanchez was called for catcher’s interference three times in a 5-game stretch; he is the first major league catcher to do that since Vic Roznovsky of the Cubs, on September 28-29, 1965.


2) Philadelphia Eagles have been outscored 49-16 in second half of games this year.


1) Denver 37, NJ Jets 28:
— McManus drilled a 52-yard FG with 3:08 left for the win.
— Rookie QB Rypien was 19-31/242 in his first NFL start, but he did throw three INT’s.
— AFC West teams are 7-3-1 ATS outside their division.


— Jets had six personal fouls in this game, four in the first half.
— Jets lost their first four games, allowing 32.5 ppg.
— Jets are 6-11-1 ATS in their last 18 home games.
 

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Dunkel


Friday, October 2


Seattle @ Las Vegas


Game 601-602
October 2, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
121.590
Las Vegas
115.157
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 6 1/2
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 4 1/2
164 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-4 1/2); Over









WNBA
Long Sheet


Friday, October 2



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


SEATTLE (21 - 4) vs. LAS VEGAS (21 - 6) - 10/2/2020, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
LAS VEGAS is 5-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------







WNBA


Friday, October 2



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Seattle @ Las Vegas
Seattle
Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games at home
Las Vegas is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games
 

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FRIDAY, OCTOBER 2


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



SEA at LV 07:00 PM


LV +5.5


O 163.5
 

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WNBA CHAMPIONSHIP RECORD:


DATE W-L-T % UNITS RECORD


10/02/2020 1-1-0 50.00% -50 Detail
 

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Dunkel


Tuesday, October 6



Las Vegas @ Seattle


Game 605-606
October 6, 2020 @ 7:00 pm


Dunkel Rating:
Las Vegas
109.615
Seattle
127.132
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 17 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 8 1/2
170 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-8 1/2); Over









WNBA
Long Sheet


Tuesday, October 6



--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


LAS VEGAS (21 - 8) vs. SEATTLE (23 - 4) - 10/6/2020, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LAS VEGAS is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LAS VEGAS is 20-31 ATS (-14.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
SEATTLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
SEATTLE is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
SEATTLE is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
SEATTLE is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
SEATTLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
SEATTLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
SEATTLE is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 6-3 against the spread versus LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 5-5 straight up against LAS VEGAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------







WNBA


Tuesday, October 6



------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Las Vegas @ Seattle
Las Vegas
Las Vegas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
Las Vegas is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Seattle
Seattle is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
Seattle is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
 

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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 6


GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



LV at SEA 07:00 PM
LV +8.5
O 170.5

+500 +500
 

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