Houston Texans Outlook
August 1, 2017
Shocker! O’Brien Likes His New Rookie Quarterback
In what can only amount to jaw dropping news, head coach Bill O’Brien of the Houston Texans showered praise on rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson. “He’s better than any other rookie quarterback I’ve been around,” said O’Brien. That’s high praise coming from a guy who’s been around highly touted rookies like Ryan Mallet.
The running gag in the NFL is that if the Houston Texans like a quarterback, then he can’t possibly be that good. This is a team that invested in Matt Schaub, Sage Rosenfels, T.J. Yates, Matt Leinart, Case Keenum, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Hoyer, Tom Savage and Brock Osweiler. Their track record for grading NFL quarterbacks is simply awful. You’d expect one of those guys to be at least serviceable, right?
That’s why it’s impossible to take O’Brien’s praise of Watson seriously. The guy’s a totally fine coach. He has a great team, and Watson is a super exciting talent. But assessing and developing quarterback talent haven’t been strength of this coaching staff (or the coach’s staff). So if you’re looking at the NFL futures markets with BetOnline.ag it’s very hard to figure out exactly where to pin your money when it comes to the Houston Texans.
The quarterback position is truthfully the only thing they’re actually missing. They were the top-ranked defence in terms of total yards allowed last season, and didn’t have any huge gaps to fill in that department. Where they struggled is with a quarterback, and the general hope is that Watson just has to be decent and that fixes everything. Right? Let’s dive a little deeper.
HOUSTON TEXANS REGULAR SEASON WIN TOTAL – 8 ½ GAMES (O/U -110)
In 2016, the Houston Texans stumbled to a 9-7 SU and 6-9-1 ATS record that saw them beat the Raiders (without Derek Carr) and then get obliterated by the New England Patriots. No matter which quarterback is at the helm, this sort of record seems to be their destiny. The Texans have finished 9-7 SU for the last three years straight.
It’s worth highlighting that they went 9-7 SU despite having Brock Osweiler on the field, and J.J. Watt of of it. So even if they get menial play out of the quarterback position, they are probably going to trip in to a 9-7 SU record. The main reason you bet the UNDER is because they got very, very lucky in some games last year including a 12-10 win over Cincinnati in Week 16 and a 20-13 win over Detroit in Week 8.
You can check out all the NFL regular season win totals at BetOnline.ag by clicking here.
NFL FINAL STANDINGS – HOUSTON +185 TO WIN AFC SOUTH
One of the standard markets in the NFL futures is division winners, but BetOnline.ag takes it a step further with NFL Final Standings. You can specifically bet on where the Texans will finish in the AFC South. Right now, they’re poised to win the division according to the oddsmakers.
Houston Texans Final Standings in AFC South
1st (+185)
2nd (+210)
3rd (+260)
4th (+450)
As always, no bet really lives in a vacuum. The Indianapolis Colts have seemingly stepped sideways while the Tennessee Titans are also emerging as a real threat to take the division with +215 to odds to finish first. The only team the oddsmakers are set on is the always-awful Jacksonville Jaguars, who are -110 favorites to finish dead last in the division.
So where do you fall on Houston?
DESHAUN WATSON IS NOT A SAVIOUR
We’ve seen rookie quarterbacks be amazing in their first season. Dak Prescott is a prime example of a player in a prime situation, but he also came from a program that ran a pro-style offence. Deshaun Watson did not, and that adjustment can be a massive one. Watson threw 17 interceptions in his last year at Clemson which should serve as a red flag. Those picks came because he was asked to run less in order to preserve his health for the important games.
Watson is an incredible athlete, which is a given. But O’Brien runs a traditional NFL offence that is predicated on a pocket passer. That is not Watson’s strength. He’s most hostile when he’s agile, and lobbing up passes to a freakishly large target like Clemson’s Mike Williams (now a Charger) bailed Watson out of some spotty throws. Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins need accurate gunslingers.
Now, mind you, scouting reports on Watson in general are a mixed bag and he doesn’t come in with the same sort of hype that guys like Newton, Mariota and Winston did. A lot of people believe that Houston reached for him in the first round, especially considering that they traded two first-round picks to get him.
There’s always a chance that Watson is a breakout star. But Houston of all places has a notoriously bad record of overpaying for under-qualified quarterbacks. If all of your NFL futures bets regarding the Texans are hinging on Watson becoming the second coming of Dak Prescott, then you’re taking a much bigger gamble than you think.
August 1, 2017
Shocker! O’Brien Likes His New Rookie Quarterback
In what can only amount to jaw dropping news, head coach Bill O’Brien of the Houston Texans showered praise on rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson. “He’s better than any other rookie quarterback I’ve been around,” said O’Brien. That’s high praise coming from a guy who’s been around highly touted rookies like Ryan Mallet.
The running gag in the NFL is that if the Houston Texans like a quarterback, then he can’t possibly be that good. This is a team that invested in Matt Schaub, Sage Rosenfels, T.J. Yates, Matt Leinart, Case Keenum, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Brian Hoyer, Tom Savage and Brock Osweiler. Their track record for grading NFL quarterbacks is simply awful. You’d expect one of those guys to be at least serviceable, right?
That’s why it’s impossible to take O’Brien’s praise of Watson seriously. The guy’s a totally fine coach. He has a great team, and Watson is a super exciting talent. But assessing and developing quarterback talent haven’t been strength of this coaching staff (or the coach’s staff). So if you’re looking at the NFL futures markets with BetOnline.ag it’s very hard to figure out exactly where to pin your money when it comes to the Houston Texans.
The quarterback position is truthfully the only thing they’re actually missing. They were the top-ranked defence in terms of total yards allowed last season, and didn’t have any huge gaps to fill in that department. Where they struggled is with a quarterback, and the general hope is that Watson just has to be decent and that fixes everything. Right? Let’s dive a little deeper.
HOUSTON TEXANS REGULAR SEASON WIN TOTAL – 8 ½ GAMES (O/U -110)
In 2016, the Houston Texans stumbled to a 9-7 SU and 6-9-1 ATS record that saw them beat the Raiders (without Derek Carr) and then get obliterated by the New England Patriots. No matter which quarterback is at the helm, this sort of record seems to be their destiny. The Texans have finished 9-7 SU for the last three years straight.
It’s worth highlighting that they went 9-7 SU despite having Brock Osweiler on the field, and J.J. Watt of of it. So even if they get menial play out of the quarterback position, they are probably going to trip in to a 9-7 SU record. The main reason you bet the UNDER is because they got very, very lucky in some games last year including a 12-10 win over Cincinnati in Week 16 and a 20-13 win over Detroit in Week 8.
You can check out all the NFL regular season win totals at BetOnline.ag by clicking here.
NFL FINAL STANDINGS – HOUSTON +185 TO WIN AFC SOUTH
One of the standard markets in the NFL futures is division winners, but BetOnline.ag takes it a step further with NFL Final Standings. You can specifically bet on where the Texans will finish in the AFC South. Right now, they’re poised to win the division according to the oddsmakers.
Houston Texans Final Standings in AFC South
1st (+185)
2nd (+210)
3rd (+260)
4th (+450)
As always, no bet really lives in a vacuum. The Indianapolis Colts have seemingly stepped sideways while the Tennessee Titans are also emerging as a real threat to take the division with +215 to odds to finish first. The only team the oddsmakers are set on is the always-awful Jacksonville Jaguars, who are -110 favorites to finish dead last in the division.
So where do you fall on Houston?
DESHAUN WATSON IS NOT A SAVIOUR
We’ve seen rookie quarterbacks be amazing in their first season. Dak Prescott is a prime example of a player in a prime situation, but he also came from a program that ran a pro-style offence. Deshaun Watson did not, and that adjustment can be a massive one. Watson threw 17 interceptions in his last year at Clemson which should serve as a red flag. Those picks came because he was asked to run less in order to preserve his health for the important games.
Watson is an incredible athlete, which is a given. But O’Brien runs a traditional NFL offence that is predicated on a pocket passer. That is not Watson’s strength. He’s most hostile when he’s agile, and lobbing up passes to a freakishly large target like Clemson’s Mike Williams (now a Charger) bailed Watson out of some spotty throws. Will Fuller and DeAndre Hopkins need accurate gunslingers.
Now, mind you, scouting reports on Watson in general are a mixed bag and he doesn’t come in with the same sort of hype that guys like Newton, Mariota and Winston did. A lot of people believe that Houston reached for him in the first round, especially considering that they traded two first-round picks to get him.
There’s always a chance that Watson is a breakout star. But Houston of all places has a notoriously bad record of overpaying for under-qualified quarterbacks. If all of your NFL futures bets regarding the Texans are hinging on Watson becoming the second coming of Dak Prescott, then you’re taking a much bigger gamble than you think.