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Georgia's stout defense faces major playoff test
December 3, 2017



You want a contrast in styles? The Rose Bowl between Georgia and Oklahoma in the semifinals of the College Football Playoff is just for you.


Led by Heisman Trophy frontrunner Baker Mayfield, who has completed 262 of 369 passes for 4,340 yards and 41 touchdowns with just five interceptions, the Sooners lead the country in total offense with 583.3 yards per game. They are seventh in passing (367.4) and 45th in rushing (215.9).


"He's entertaining to watch. He's unbelievably talented; he's got great athletic ability. It seems like he's been playing forever, and he's what college football is all about. He embraces it, he loves it," Georgia coach Kirby Smart said.


"I love the way the guy plays the game. He plays with talent and passion and he's a phenomenal player that we'll get to see and have a lot of sleepless nights over the next 30 days."


Georgia, meanwhile, is one of the nation's top defensive teams.


The SEC champion Bulldogs rank 12th nationally in rushing defense (112.6 yards per game), but more importantly -- and perhaps more pertinent -- are second in pass defense, allowing just 158.3 yards per contest.


Georgia and Big 12 champ Oklahoma (12-1) will be meeting for the first time, while the Bulldogs' Rose Bowl appearance will be the program's first since 1943, a 9-0 win over UCLA.


"I couldn't be more excited for our team and especially our seniors with the selection of our team to participate in the College Football Playoff," Smart said. "Playing in a venue with such rich tradition will be a rewarding experience and it represents another step for our team and program."


Like Oklahoma, Georgia (12-1) comes in on a roll, having defeated Auburn 28-7 to win the SEC Championship and move up to the third seed in the College Football Playoff. Oklahoma is seeded second.


The Sooners -- who have had defensive issues at times this year -- will have to deal with a powerful Bulldogs ground game, which ranks 17th nationally with 263.5 rushing yards per game, led by the three-headed monster of Nick Chubb (1,175 yards), Sony Michel (948 yards) and freshman D'Andre Swift (597 yards).


"I don't know if we've seen anybody with the caliber of the backs that they have there," said Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley. "Ohio State had two pretty good backs and ended up having good years, but the two backs or really the three backs they have there are all tremendous. ...


"That's definitely going to be a challenge. We've been lucky enough here over the last few years to have some great backs of our own. You realize how special those guys are and how difficult they can make it to defend."


Oklahoma can't overlook freshman quarterback Jake Fromm, who has completed 145 of 230 passes for 2,173 yards with 21 touchdowns, a Georgia record for freshmen.
 

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Playing in Rose Bowl a bonus for playoff-bound Oklahoma
December 3, 2017

NORMAN, Okla. -- There was no massive watch party for Oklahoma heading into the College Football Playoff announcement on Sunday.


The Sooners knew they were in after Saturday afternoon's 41-17 win over TCU in the Big 12 Championship Game. The only question was where and against which team.


So first-year Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley watched in his office with assistant coach Cale Gundy, athletic director Joe Castiglione and a few OU administrators.


"Seeing us come across there with a chance to go to the Rose Bowl was a great feeling," Riley said after the second-seeded Sooners were announced in the game, where they will play No. 3 Georgia.


It'll be Oklahoma's second appearance in the Rose Bowl. In 2003, the Sooners beat Washington State, 34-14.


"Probably the one, honestly just personally for me, I was kind of deep down hoping that some year we'd get a chance to play in," Riley said. "That's always been the one that, kind of looking from afar, that I haven't gotten a chance to be a part of yet that I was always hoping to get a chance to be in."


The Sooners have won eight consecutive games since losing to Iowa State in early October and have beaten their past six opponents by double figures, scoring at least 38 points in all but one game during the winning streak.


OU quarterback Baker Mayfield has vaulted past Heisman contender status and into the position of being a near lock for the award.


The Sooners' offense has been the nation's best for much of the season.


In Georgia, though, they will face a defense that is among the nation's best.


The Bulldogs have held 10 of their 13 opponents to 14 points or fewer.


"Obviously they're really, really good defensively," Riley said. "It doesn't take long to figure that out."


While Riley didn't think he had ever met Bulldogs coach Kirby Smart face to face -- though the two have spoken on the phone several times -- Georgia's offensive staff did spend a day in Norman during the spring.


"We just kind of generically shot some ideas," Riley said. "So hopefully I gave them some really, really terrible stuff."


Former Sooners coach Bob Stoops, whose retirement in June opened the way for Riley's ascension, visited Georgia earlier this season and spoke to the Bulldogs. Stoops has remained a frequent face around Norman and celebrated on the field with OU after the conference championship win.
 

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Clemson's Swinney: 'Fitting' to play Alabama in playoff


It's going to be Clemson vs. Alabama, Part III.


Top-ranked Clemson was paired with No. 4 Alabama in the Sugar Bowl when the College Football Playoff semifinalists were announced Sunday, marking the third time in three years that the Tigers and Crimson Tide will meet in the postseason.


Alabama defeated the Tigers 45-40 in the National Championship Game in 2015, then Clemson returned the favor last year, knocking off Alabama 35-31 in the title game to win its first national championship since 1981.


"Obviously they (the playoff selection committee) had a lot to consider, but they put the four best teams in there," Clemson coach Dabo Swinney said. "Alabama has been the standard for a long time. We've had a couple of huge battles with them.


"It's only fitting that to have a chance to advance to Atlanta, you've got to win a heavyweight matchup."


The Tigers (12-1) will play Alabama (11-1) on Jan. 1. The winner will advance to the title game against the winner of the Rose Bowl, which pits No. 2 Oklahoma against No. 3 Georgia.


Clemson, which is making a playoff appearance for a third straight year, clinched its postseason fate Saturday night by cruising past No. 7 Miami 38-3 in the ACC Championship Game.


The Tigers were dominant against the Hurricanes, jumping out to a 21-0 halftime lead and turning things over to a stingy defense that allowed only 214 total yards.


"Clemson is the measuring stick in the ACC and we didn't measure up," Miami coach Mark Richt said.


With the victory, Clemson's senior class earned its 50th win in the last four years, becoming the first team in ACC history to accomplish that.


Clemson has been to 41 bowls, but this will be just the second Sugar Bowl trip for the Tigers, who last played in the bowl in 1958, losing a 7-0 decision against LSU.


Swinney was a wide receiver on the 1992 Alabama team that defeated Miami for the national title at the Sugar Bowl. Now he's getting another shot at his alma mater in what amounts to the end of the Alabama-Clemson trilogy.


"There's changes on both sides," Swinney said. "And we've been playing them in the national championship game and this is a semifinal, so both teams will have more time to get ready for each other. It's going to be a heck of a game."
 

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5 reasons why Clemson can win it all
December 3, 2017



Clemson, making its third consecutive appearance in the College Football Playoff, is the defending national champion.


Check that.


"No, we're the attacking champs," coach Dabo Swinney said. "We're attacking for another one."


No. 1 seed Clemson and No. 4 Alabama, after meeting in the championship game in each of the past two years -- with Clemson winning last season -- will play in a semifinal game in the Sugar Bowl on Jan. 1.


The winner faces Oklahoma or Georgia on Jan. 8 in Atlanta for the national title.


Here are five reasons why the Tigers can win it all:


1. The defensive line is the best in the country.

The 2017 Clemson defensive line is the 2016 Alabama defensive line. Maybe better.


The Tigers' collection of future first-round picks includes a trio of first-team All-Atlantic Coast Conference players -- sophomore end Clelin Ferrell, sophomore tackle Dexter Lawrence and junior tackle Christian Wilkins. The "little brother" of the group -- junior end Austin Bryant -- was the top vote-getter on the second team.


So, Clemson has four of the top five defensive linemen in the ACC.


If anybody is going to slow down a powerful Alabama running game, it is these guys.

2. Kelly Bryant can move.



To beat Alabama, you must possess a quarterback who can improvise, create plays with his legs and make something out of nothing. That's Clemson QB Kelly Bryant.


He has rushed for 646 yards in his first season as the starter, replacing first-round pick Deshaun Watson.


Bryant is a better runner than Watson, although not as accomplished as a passer. Bryant, however, riddled Miami in the ACC title-game rout, completing 23 of 29 passes for 252 yards and a touchdown en route to the game's Most Valuable Player honor.


"He had all this hype, now he's proven he can play, and he hasn't let that go to his head," Wilkins said of his quarterback. "He's still the same goofy Kelly."

3. Hunter Renfrow is still on the team.

Renfrow, a former walk-on, has 14 career touchdown receptions, including six in the postseason. Two of those came last season against Alabama, as the 5-foot-10 Renfrow caught the game-winner with one second remaining.


"He's just a baller, man. He's a football player," Swinney said.


"That's what makes this game great. He don't really look like a football player, but football players come in all shapes and sizes, man, and boy, his heart is 6-4, 250."


4. Clemson has multiple weapons


Can't be one-dimensional against Alabama's defense. Not only does Bryant have individual versatility, but he has a great supporting cast that includes one of the best receiving groups in the country, with Renfrow, speedy Deon Cain and Ray-Ray McCloud, as well as emerging 6-5 freshman Tee Higgins.


"He can create some matchup problems," Swinney recently said about Higgins. "He's 6-5 and can run, and now he's gaining confidence."

5. The offensive line can win in the trenches, too.



Clemson doesn't face a deficit up front, no matter the opponent. The Tigers' offensive line features three players who were named first-team All-ACC -- tackle Mitch Hyatt, guard Tyrone Crowder and center Justin Falcinelli.


That is one reason why Clemson's rushing attack is more prolific than last season, allowing the Tigers to grind out games as needed.


*************************


5 reasons why Alabama can win it all
December 3, 2017



Alabama snuck into the College Football Playoff, somewhat controversially over Ohio State, but that is now old news.


The Tide is in it to win it.


That's what Nick Saban has done better than anyone recently, collecting four national titles in the past 10 seasons at Alabama and five overall. His fourth-seeded Crimson Tide will take on top-seeded Clemson in a juicy semifinal matchup in the Sugar Bowl.


Here are five reasons why Alabama can win that one ... and go on to win it all:


1. The Tide will be healthier.



Alabama struggled with health at linebacker all season, losing outside linebackers Christian Miller (biceps) and Terrell Lewis (elbow) in the opener. Each returned to make a brief appearance against Auburn in the regular-season finale and now have another month to get ready, providing a key upgrade to Bama's pass rush.


Middle linebacker Mack Wilson, who missed two games because of a foot injury, also played some in the Iron Bowl matchup and will benefit from the extra time before the semifinal.


"Getting some of these players back is going to be huge for us," Saban said on ESPN. "We were so depleted depth-wise because one position sort of got hammered. And you don't ever have that much depth at one position."


Alabama will still be without linebacker Shaun Dion Hamilton (injured vs. LSU) and safety Hootie Jones (injured against Auburn).


2. The Tide doesn't need anything fancy.


Alabama can play big-boy football, sending the fresh legs of Damien Harris (906 rushing yards), Bo Scarbrough (549) and Najee Harris (306) into the teeth of any defensive front, all complemented by the nifty feet of quarterback Jalen Hurts, who has rushed for 768 yards.


Even in a loss to Auburn, Alabama ran for 211 yards.


It should be a seismic event when the Tide's running game meets Clemson's all-star defensive front.

3. Jalen Hurts is ready.



He struggled with his passing in the postseason as a true freshman, but Hurts has been more efficient as a sophomore, with 15 touchdown passes and only one interception in 223 pass attempts. Hurts has the supporting weapons -- notably wideout Calvin Ridley -- to hit deep throws when defenses try to gang up on the run.


4. The defense is still salty.


The Tide no longer has anyone quite like Jonathan Allen on the defensive line, and the defense lacks an All-America pass rusher, but Alabama is still Alabama. The Tide has ranked in the national top 10 in rushing defense and scoring defense in each of the past nine seasons. Guess what? Alabama is third and first in those categories this season.

5. Did a bunch of people just doubt Alabama?



Alabama should have even more laser focus (is that humanly possible?) from Saban because of the regular-season-ending loss to Auburn and plenty of folks saying his team doesn't belong in the playoff. The biggest collection of recruiting talent in the country, the best coach, the best program in America over the past decade, AND a chip on its shoulder? Beware the Tide in early January.


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5 reasons why Georgia can win it all
December 3, 2017



Georgia is making its first appearance in the College Football Playoff, looking for the school's first national championship in football since the 1980 season.


The Bulldogs are the No. 3 seed, tasked with trying to stop No. 2 Oklahoma, which has a big-play offense and the sure-fire Heisman winner in quarterback Baker Mayfield.


But Georgia is certainly not defenseless and has counter-measures of its own.


Here are five reasons why Georgia can win it all:


1. Defense has been a major key to Georgia's success.



The Bulldogs should be up to the test from Oklahoma's offense in the Rose Bowl on Jan. 1 and then against Clemson or Alabama in the championship game. The semifinal between Georgia and Oklahoma will be a classic matchup of strength against strength.


The Sooners have the top-ranked offense in the nation and the Bulldogs are 12th nationally in rushing defense (112.6 yards per game) and second in pass defense (158.3 yards per game). Oklahoma didn't see a defense this good in the Big 12, that's for sure.


2. Linebacker Roquan Smith is perhaps the best defender in the country.


Smith was a beast in the SEC Championship Game against Auburn, accumulating 13 tackles, two tackles for loss, a sack and two fumble recoveries. His talent is being compared with Pro Football Hall of Famer Ray Lewis. Smith is a finalist for two national Defensive Player of the Year Awards, as well as the Butkus Award that goes to the nation's best linebacker.


Georgia has an all-star cast at linebacker, including Lorenzo Carter, but it's unclear whether linebacker Natrez Patrick will be available. The Bulldogs' sixth leading tackler was arrested late Saturday night after the SEC title game for marijuana possession.

3. Georgia can run the ball.

Perhaps no one in the nation has a better combination than Nick Chubb, Sony Michel and freshman D'Andre Swift. Chubb is the second-leading rusher in SEC history, trailing only Herschel Walker, with 4,591 yards. The senior ran for 77 yards on 13 carries against Auburn in the SEC title game.


Michel -- also a senior who considered the NFL Draft after last season -- left Saturday's game in the second half with a left knee injury that will bear watching in the pre-bowl prep. Chubb has rushed for 1,203 yards and Michel has 961 rushing yards this season, with each scoring 13 touchdowns.


Swift has 608 rushing yards and three touchdowns.


The Dawgs can flat-out wear teams out.


4. Georgia is prepared.


Georgia played a difficult non-conference schedule (at Notre Dame and at Georgia Tech), coming up with impressive victories in both games. The Bulldogs avenged their only loss -- at Auburn -- by dominating the Tigers 28-7 in the rematch in the SEC title game. Quarterback Jake Fromm was a true freshman to start the season, but a season's worth of experience has made him a reliable performer who doesn't usually make the big mistake.


5. The Bulldogs are experienced and hungry.


Georgia will be making its 21st straight bowl appearance -- the third longest active streak in the country -- and 53rd overall. The senior class has a four-year record of 40-12, with wins in each of its bowl games the past three years.


Georgia has the critical ingredients -- veteran leadership, powerful running game and top-notch defense -- upon which championships are built.


************************


5 reasons why Oklahoma can win it all
December 3, 2017



No. 2 Oklahoma is making its second appearance in the College Football Playoff, set to play Georgia in a semifinal game in the Rose Bowl.


Among the four teams in the playoff, the Sooners have the most prolific, dynamic offensive attack. Is that their only advantage?

Here are five reasons why Oklahoma could win the national title:


1. Quarterback Baker Mayfield is the best player in college football.



He's going to win the Heisman Trophy, is brash and confident (planting an Oklahoma flag at the 50-yard line in Ohio Stadium after a win over Ohio State, among other things), and the team reflects his personality.


And it helps that he's uber-talented, completing 262 of 369 passes for 4,340 yards and 41 touchdowns while throwing just five interceptions this season.


If there is one quarterback who can put his team on his back and carry it across the finish line, it's Mayfield.

2. Oklahoma has more than Mayfield.



The Sooners' dynamic offense, triggered by Mayfield, will present multiple challenges for Georgia's rugged defense. The Sooners rank No. 1 nationally in total offense with 583.3 yards per game. They're No. 1 in passing with 367.4 yards per game and also average 215.9 yards per game on the ground.


Rodney Anderson has averaged 125.4 rushing yards in the past seven games. Mark Andrews leads the country in receiving yards for a tight end with 848.


Wideouts Mykel Jones and Marquise Brown had scoring receptions of 55 and 52, respectively, in the Big 12 championship win over TCU. Brown has six touchdown catches this season.

3. The offensive line is large and in charge.

The big guys provide good protection for Mayfield and open holes for the running game. Orlando Brown was the Big 12 Offensive Lineman of the Year and ranks as the eighth-best prospect for the 2018 NFL Draft by NFLDraftScout.com. Brown and Erick Wrenn were first-team all-conference selections, and Ben Powers and Dru Samia made the second team. Oklahoma might be more built to battle in the trenches than you think.

4. First-year coach Lincoln Riley provided a seamless transition.



Bob Stoops' sudden retirement during the summer was supposed to be a setback. But Riley has validated Stoops' trust in him as the hand-picked successor for the high-profile job. The pressure hasn't seemed to affect Riley at all, and he's an offensive guru that is the architect for a prolific attack.


At age 34, Riley is young but has a good pulse on his team and relates well to the players. He said Sunday that he's excited personally about playing in the Rose Bowl and so are his players from the West Coast.


Riley is just the fifth person in FBS history with no head coaching experience to win 12 games in his first season.


5. Oklahoma's defense is suspect, but it has played well at times.


In the 41-17 victory in Big 12 championship game against TCU, the Sooners held the Horned Frogs to 95 yards and four first downs after halftime, holding TCU to its second -lowest point total this year.


In Oklahoma's biggest win of the year, a 31-16 victory at Ohio State in September, the Sooners' defense neutralized the Buckeyes' offense and held them to nearly 200 yards below their season average. Linebacker Ogbonnia Okoronkwo was the co-Defensive Player of the Year in the Big 12.
 

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Opening Line Report - Bowl Games
December 4, 2017



When the South Point posted the first College Football Playoff lines in Las Vegas on Sunday, sharp money showed up on Alabama at pick ‘em vs. Clemson in the Sugar Bowl (Jan. 1, 8:45 p.m., ESPN). Chris Andrews, sports book director at the South Point, was happy to take that action and moved the line to Alabama -1.


Other Vegas books opened Alabama as the slight chalk, the Westgate SuperBook hanging -1 and CG Technology going -2, and the Crimson Tide are now laying points at every shop in town.


Andrews thinks the betting market has it wrong.


“I really thought Clemson should be the favorite, but I opened pick, let them (sharp bettors) take me where they want to go, but I’m comfortable needing Clemson,” Andrews said. “If I go into the game needing them, that’s fine with me.”


There are many observers among the mainstream (non-gambling) college football punditry who questioned the Selection Committee’s decision to invite to Alabama to the playoffs, suggesting the Tide are in the final four because of reputation, not so much their 2017 resume. Andrews offered a similar notion regarding the betting line.


“This is probably one of those situations where we’re thinking of the historic Alabama rather than the current Alabama,” Andrews said. “I just think Clemson’s better than them right now.”


He added, “Alabama’s been exposed a little bit. It’s probably not Nick Saban’s best team. I predicted the Auburn win (over the Tide two weeks ago, 26-14). I just thought they weren’t that great of a team this year. They rely on (quarterback) Jalen Hurts an awful lot, their defense has clusters of injuries in linebacking, and if you look around the pros there’s tons of linebackers for Alabama, so it’s always been a key part of their defense.”


Over at CG Technology, sharp money grabbed Clemson +2, prompting a move to +1.5. But it’s likely that those early bettors were shopping for the best number, rather than expressing an opinion on the game, Jason Simbal, vice president of risk at the sports book operator, said.


Simbal, in fact, said his bookmaking team’s power ratings had Alabama a 3.5-point favorite, but that’s not a number they wanted to offer on a game certain to attract immediate high-volume action, particularly since betting opened Sunday as gamblers lined up to make their NFL wagers.


“In a normal week, where you’re not going to get a ton of attention on the game right away and nobody’s going to really bet it till the day of, you can hang 3 or 3.5 there,” Simbal said. “But in this case, it’s hard to hang that number because so many people are going to be betting this right away, fans and sharps alike, that you have to build in the perception.”


This, of course, is the third season in a row in which Alabama and Clemson will have met in the postseason. Clemson has covered the spread in the previous two meetings, winning outright 35-31 as 6.5-point dogs in last season’s championship game, and cashing as 6-point dogs in a 45-40 loss two years ago.


“I thought Alabama would be a really small favorite, but I’m hesitant to bet against Clemson in a big spot,” Simbal said. “Athletically, they have the ability to keep up with Alabama, one of the few teams that can do that, so we’ll see how they do without Deshaun Watson. If I had to bet that game I’d probably take Clemson.”


Rose Bowl - Georgia vs. Oklahoma (-1)
Jan. 1, 5 p.m. ET, ESPN

The early Rose Bowl betting sentiment has been on underdog Georgia, as the line opened between Oklahoma -2 and -2.5, before drifting to -1 at most shops and even to pick ‘em at MGM Resorts.


CG opened Oklahoma -2.5 but moved to -1.5 after writing a sharp money-line play on Georgia.


The most appropriate number on this game is Oklahoma -1.5, Andrews believes, although he opened -2.


“If a wiseguy bet me -2, I would have gone right to -3, and conversely, if a wiseguy bet me +2, I would have gone to 1,” Andrews said. “Just in that area off an opening number, you move things a little more quickly.” While no respected money showed up on either side, an abundance of smaller bets on the dog prompted the South Point to move to Oklahoma -1.


“We didn’t have any big bets on the dog, but it was just kind of trickling in,” Andrews said, “so it looked like at this point in time, people were either going to bet Georgia or they were going to pass.”


Simbal, though, expects most casual bettors to back Oklahoma as game day approaches.


“I think we’re going to end up needing Georgia because the public is in love with Oklahoma,” Simbal said. “(Baker) Mayfield is a pretty popular player and they’ve been so hot ever since the Iowa State loss, and in hindsight that Iowa State loss wasn’t as bad as we thought at the time.”


Here’s a peek at some other intriguing bowl matchups:


Cotton Bowl - USC vs. Ohio State (-6.5)
Dec. 29, 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

There’s a consensus on the Cotton Bowl, as Ohio State -6.5 is the number being dealt throughout Las Vegas, with no action significant enough for early adjustments.


Fiesta Bowl - Washington vs. Penn State (-3)
Dec. 30, 4 p.m. ET, ESPN



Penn State’s been as high as -4.5 and as low as -2 offshore, but the line has settled at a field goal in Vegas.


Orange Bowl - Wisconsin (-6.5) vs. Miami
Dec. 30, 8 p.m. ET, ESPN



Respect for the Big Ten continues, with the Badgers listed as substantial favorites in what’s essentially a home game for Miami.


Outback Bowl - South Carolina vs. Michigan (-10)
Jan. 1, 12 p.m. ET, ESPN2



There’s been a strong early move on Michigan, as the Wolverines opened -7 at the Wynn and have been bet to between -9.5 and -10 around town.


Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl - Central Florida vs. Auburn (-10)
Jan. 1, 12:30 p.m. , ESPN



Doubt abounds around unbeaten Central Florida as they take a major step up in class. Auburn can be found for -9.5 at some betting locales.


Citrus Bowl - LSU (-2.5) vs. Notre Dame
Jan. 1, 1 p.m. ET, ABC



Wiseguys are on LSU early, driving the line at the Wynn to Tigers -2.5 after Notre Dame opened the 1-point chalk. LSU is laying as many as 3 at some shops.
 

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: A quick scan thru the bowl schedule…….


13) UCF is getting ten points from Auburn in the Peach Bowl, the same stadium where Auburn just lost the SEC title game. Auburn’s coach just signed a $49M contract to stay on the Plains.


Central Florida is 12-0; two years ago, they were 0-12. Great season, but then their coach took the Nebraska job about 45 seconds after they won the AAC title game. Scott Frost and his staff will still coach their bowl game, but only because he needs the three hours of national TV exposure to remind people he is now the highly-paid coach of Nebraska.


12) Iowa State-Memphis is a good bowl between two upstart teams who had excellent seasons, and surprise!!!— neither coach has bolted yet.


Matt Campbell actually re-upped with the Cyclones, though contracts don’t always mean that much in today’s world. Mike Norvell is in his second year at Memphis; he could still wind up being a candidate at Tennessee, since just about everyone else already has been, but he also signed a contract extension this week to stay at Memphis.


11) Florida State is -15 over Southern Miss in the Independence Bowl in Shreveport; they’re hiring Willie Taggart as coach, but likely he won’t coach the bowl game. Now Derwin James, FSU’s best defensive player, has declared for the NFL Draft and is skipping the bowl game. Lay 15 points here at your own risk.


10) Holiday Bowl has long been the bowl with a tradition of wild, high-scoring games, so fitting that Mike Leach coaches there. Washington State-Michigan State is quite a contrast as far as coaches’ personality, with the offbeat Leach and the gruff Mark D’Antonio matching wits.


When he was at Texas Tech, Leach won ’04 Holiday Bowl 45-31 as an 11-point dog over Cal.


9) Normally, UAB-Ohio U wouldn’t catch my attention, but what a job UAB coach Bill Clark has done. UAB dropped football- they didn’t field a team the last two years, but due to outcry from alumni, they brought the team back this year and now they’re bowling in the Bahamas.


Meanwhile, while Nebraska fired their coach and hired Scott Frost, one of their old coaches, Frank Solich, has gone 88-67 at Ohio U— he went 58-19 as Nebraska’s coach but that wasn’t good enough. Bobcats are only 2-6 in bowls under Solich.


8) Kansas State-UCLA could be Bill Snyder’s last game as coach at K-State. Snyder is 78 and had a cancer scare last year— the job he’s done at K-State (209-110-1) is impossible to overstate.


Before he got to the Little Apple (K-State is in Manhattan, KS), the Wildcats were a joke, going 26-82-3 the previous 11 seasons— they were the welcome mat of college football. Snyder fixed all that, made them respectable, won a lot of games. Their stadium has been named after him for over a decade now.


7) There is a bowl called the “Academy Sports & Outdoors Texas Bowl”; it is played in Houston. Problem is, the Sports & Outdoor Bowl is in a domed stadium, where the Texans play.


Missouri-Texas are playing in the indoor Outdoors Bowl; Mizzou started this season 1-5 but won its last six games. Tigers fired their defensive coordinator during the 1-5 start; their OC just left for another opportunity, which could complicate their bowl preparation.


6) Fresno State went 10-28 the last three years, so they hired former Cal coach Jeff Tedford, who was Aaron Rodgers’ college coach. Fresno is 9-4 this season; they get their second trip to Hawai’i in two months when they play Houston in the Hawai’i Bowl on Christmas Eve, after a full day of NFL games. There is no NFL game that night, so hopefully this will be a fun game.


5) New Mexico State is in a bowl game for the first time since 1960— good for them!!! Aggies are playing Utah State (also the Aggies) in the Arizona Bowl in Tucson.


New Mexico State was 11-49 the last five years; great year for coach Doug Martin.


4) SMU won’t have to go too far for their bowl game; Mustangs are playing Louisiana Tech in the Frisco Bowl, being played in the Dallas Cowboys’ practice facility, which is roughly 25 miles from the SMU campus.


Louisiana Tech won its last three bowls, scoring 35-47-48 points. SMU is in its first bowl in five years.


3) Since 1999, Utah is 13-1 in bowl games, 9-1 under Kyle Whittingham. Utes lost six of their last eight games this year after a 4-0 start- they head to Dallas to play West Virginia in the Heart of Dallas Bowl, played in the old Cotton Bowl stadium.


2) Boise State won six of its last eight bowl games, winning the Las Vegas Bowl three years in a row, from 2010-12; Broncos are back in Vegas this year, playing an Oregon team whose coach just jumped ship after one year, for the greener pa$ture$ of Florida $tate. Ducks lost the 2006 Las Vegas Bowl, 38-8 to BYU.


1) Marshall vs Colorado State in a bowl game in Albuquerque is a little weird; Thundering Herd won its last five bowl games- their last bowl loss was in 2004. Colorado State won 27-24 on this field October 20. Do kids get excited about going to a bowl in Albuquerque?


1a) Which raises the question I raise every year; what is the worst bowl game to go to?
— Pinstripe Bowl, played in the Bronx, where it is almost always damned cold.
— Famous Idaho Potato Bowl in Boise, where it often snows.
— Quick Lane Bowl in Detroit can’t be that much fun, but at least the game is indoors.
— Playing Navy in Annapolis probably isn’t that great a trip.
 

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Hawaii Bowl Matchup
December 3, 2017



Fresno State (9-4, Mountain West) vs. Houston (7-4, American Athletic), Dec. 24, 8:30 p.m. EST (ESPN)


LOCATION: Honolulu.

TOP PLAYERS



Fresno State: LB Jeffrey Allison, first-team All-MWC with 113 tackles.


Houston: DT Ed Oliver, American Athletic Conference defensive player of the year, 14.5 tackles for loss, 5.5 sacks.

NOTABLE



Fresno State: The Bulldogs have the nation's best win improvement, going from one win in 2016 to nine this season.


Houston: Houston is second among FBS schools in Texas with 37 wins since the start of 2014. TCU leads the way with 38 wins in that span.

LAST TIME



This will be the first meeting.

BOWL HISTORY



Fresno State: The Bulldogs are 10-13 in bowls and playing in one for the first time since 2014, when they lost to Rice in the Hawaii Bowl.


Houston: The Cougars are 11-13 in bowls and playing in one for the fifth straight year.
 

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Hawaii Bowl Matchup
December 3, 2017



Fresno State (9-4, Mountain West) vs. Houston (7-4, American Athletic), Dec. 24, 8:30 p.m. EST (ESPN)


LOCATION: Honolulu.

TOP PLAYERS



Fresno State: LB Jeffrey Allison, first-team All-MWC with 113 tackles.


Houston: DT Ed Oliver, American Athletic Conference defensive player of the year, 14.5 tackles for loss, 5.5 sacks.

NOTABLE



Fresno State: The Bulldogs have the nation's best win improvement, going from one win in 2016 to nine this season.


Houston: Houston is second among FBS schools in Texas with 37 wins since the start of 2014. TCU leads the way with 38 wins in that span.

LAST TIME



This will be the first meeting.

BOWL HISTORY



Fresno State: The Bulldogs are 10-13 in bowls and playing in one for the first time since 2014, when they lost to Rice in the Hawaii Bowl.


Houston: The Cougars are 11-13 in bowls and playing in one for the fifth straight year.
 

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College football bowl schedule: Matchups and betting odds for all of the games


The college football regular season is over but the FBS bowl season will keep NCAAF bettors busy during the winter holidays. The main course will be the two college football playoff games involving Clemson, Alabama, Oklahoma and Georgia, but there is plenty of college football bowl betting action before we get to the Rose and Sugar Bowl games on New Year’s Day.


Here’s a quick look at all the matchups, dates, times, locations, betting odds for all the bowl games right down to the lesser known goofy-named ones like the Cherlbundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl.


R+L Carriers New Orleans Bowl


Matchup: North Texas Mean Green vs. Troy Trojans



Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome – New Orleans, Louisiana
Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 1:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Troy -6.5
Moneyline: Troy (-270), North Texas (+190)
Total: NA


Autonation Cure Bowl


Matchup: Georgia State Panthers vs. Western Kentucky Hilltoppers



Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 2:30 PM ET on CBSSN


Pointspread: Western Kentucky -5
Moneyline: Western Kentucky (-215), Georgia State (+165)
Total: NA


Las Vegas Bowl


Matchup: Oregon Ducks vs. Boise State Broncos



Location: Sam Boyd Stadium – Las Vegas, Nevada
Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 3:30 PM ET on ABC


Pointspread: Oregon -9
Moneyline: Oregon (-365), Boise State (+255)


Total: NA


Gildan New Mexico Bowl


Matchup: Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Colorado State Rams



Location: Dreamstyle Stadium – Albuquerque, New Mexico
Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 4:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Colorado State -3
Moneyline: Colorado State (-175), Marshall (+135)
Total: NA


Raycom Media Camellia Bowl


Matchup: Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Middle Tennessee State Blue Raiders



Location: Cramton Bowl – Montgomery, Alabama
Date, time & TV: Dec. 16, 8 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Arkansas State -3.5
Moneyline: Arkansas State (-175), Middle Tennessee State (+135)
Total: NA


Cheribundi Tart Cherry Boca Raton Bowl


Matchup: Akron Zips vs. Florida Atlantic Owls



Location: FAU Stadium – Boca Raton, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 19, 7:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Florida Atlantic -17
Moneyline: Florida Atlantic (-1040), Akron (+540)
Total: NA


DXL Frisco Bowl


Matchup: Louisiana Tech Bulldogs vs. Southern Methodist Mustangs



Location: Toyota Stadium – Frisco, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 20, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Southern Methodist -7
Moneyline: SMU (-290), Louisiana Tech (+210)
Total: NA


Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl


Matchup: Florida International Golden Panthers vs. Temple Owls



Location: Tropicana Field – St. Petersburg, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 21, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Temple -7
Moneyline: Temple (-290), FIU (+210)


Total: NA


Bahamas Bowl


Matchup: UAB Blazers vs. Ohio Bobcats



Location: Thomas Robinson Stadium – Nassau, Bahamas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 22, 12:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Ohio -8.5
Moneyline: Ohio (-350), UAB (+250)
Total: 60


Famous Idaho Potato Bowl


Matchup: Central Michigan Chippewas vs. Wyoming Cowboys



Location: Albertson’s Stadium – Boise, Idaho
Date, time & TV: Dec. 22, 4:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Central Michigan -3
Moneyline: Central Michigan (-160), Wyoming (+120)


Total: NA


Birmingham Bowl


Matchup: Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. South Florida Bulls



Location: Legion Field – Birmingham, Alabama
Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 12:00 PM on ESPN


Pointspread: South Florida -3.5
Moneyline: South Florida (-175), Texas Tech (+135)
Total: NA


Lockheed Martin Armed Forces Bowl


Matchup: San Diego State Aztecs vs. Army Black Knights



Location: Amon G Carter Stadium – Fort Worth, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 3:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: San Diego State -5
Moneyline: San Diego State (-210), Army (+160)
Total: NA


Dollar General Bowl


Matchup: Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Toledo Rockets



Location: Ladd-Pebbles Stadium – Mobile, Alabama
Date, time & TV: Dec. 23, 7:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Toledo -7.5
Moneyline: Toledo (-290), Appalachian State (+210)
Total: NA


Hawaii Bowl


Matchup: Houston Cougars vs. Fresno State Bulldogs



Location: Aloha Stadium – Honolulu, Hawaii
Date, time & TV: Dec. 24, 8:30 PM on ESPN


Pointspread: Houston -2.5
Moneyline: Houston (-150), Fresno State (+110)


Total: NA


Zaxby’s Heart of Dallas Bowl


Matchup: Utah Utes vs. West Virginia Mountaineers



Location: Cotton Bowl – Dallas, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Utah -3.5
Moneyline: Utah (-165), WVU (+125)
Total: NA


Quick Lane Bowl


Matchup: Duke Blue Devils vs. Northern Illinois Huskies

Location: Ford Field – Detroit, Michigan
Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Duke -5
Moneyline: Duke (-210), NIU (+160)
Total: NA


Cactus Bowl


Matchup: Kansas State Wildcats vs. UCLA Bruins



Location: Chase Field – Phoenix, Arizona
Date, time & TV: Dec. 26, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Kansas State -2.5
Moneyline: Kansas State (-150), UCLA (+110)
Total: NA


Walk On’s Independence Bowl


Matchup: Southern Mississippi Golden Eagles vs. Florida State Seminoles



Location: Independence Stadium – Shreveport, Louisiana
Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Florida State -16
Moneyline: FSU (-855), Southern Miss (+485)
Total: NA


New Era Pinstripe Bowl


Matchup: Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Boston College Eagles



Location: Yankee Stadium – New York, New York
Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Iowa -3.5
Moneyline: Iowa (-170), Boston College (+130)
Total: NA


Foster Farms Bowl


Matchup: Arizona Wildcats vs. Purdue Boilermakers



Location: Levi’s Stadium – Santa Clara, California
Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 8:30 PM ET on FOX


Pointspread: Arizona -2.5
Moneyline: Arizona (-145), Purdue (+105)
Total: NA


Academy Sports + Outdoors Texas Bowl


Matchup: Texas Longhorns vs. Missouri Tigers



Location: NRG Stadium – Houston, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 27, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Texas -3.5
Moneyline: Texas (-170), Mizzou (+130)
Total: NA


Military Bowl presented by Northrop Brumman


Matchup: Virginia Cavaliers vs. Navy Midshipmen



Location: Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium – Annapolis, Maryland
Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 1:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Virginia -1.5
Moneyline: Virginia (-135), Navy (-105)
Total: NA


Camping World Bowl


Matchup: Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Oklahoma State Cowboys



Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 5:15 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Oklahoma State -5
Moneyline: OSU (-210), VT (+160)
Total: NA


Valero Alamo Bowl


Matchup: Stanford Cardinal vs. Texas Christian Horned Frogs



Location: Alamodome – San Antonio, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 9:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: TCU -3
Moneyline: TCU (-160), Stanford (+120)
Total: NA


San Diego County Credit Union Holiday Bowl


Matchup: Washington State Cougars vs. Michigan State Spartans



Location: SDCCU Stadium – San Diego, California
Date, time & TV: Dec. 28, 9:00 PM ET on FS1


Pointspread: Pick ‘em
Moneyline: WSU (-120), MSU (-120)


Total: NA


Belk Bowl


Matchup: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Texas A&M Aggies



Location: Bank of America Stadium – Charlotte, North Carolina
Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 1:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Wake Forest -5
Moneyline: Wake Forest (-215), Texas A&M (+165)
Total: NA


Hyundia Sun Bowl


Matchup: NC State Wolfpack vs. Arizona State Sun Devils



Location: Sun Bowl – El Paso, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 3:00 PM ET on CBS


Pointspread: NC State -6
Moneyline: NC State (-245), ASU (+175)
Total: NA


Music City Bowl


Matchup: Kentucky Wildcats vs. Northwestern Wildcats



Location: Nissan Stadium – Nashville, Tennesseee
Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 4:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Northwestern -10.5
Moneyline: Northwestern (-410), Kentucky (+290)
Total: NA


Arizona Bowl


Matchup: Utah State Aggies vs. New Mexico State Aggies



Location: Arizona Stadium – Tucson, Arizona
Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 5:30 PM ET on CBSSN


Pointspread: Utah State -7.5
Moneyline: Utah State (-285), New Mexico State (+205)
Total: NA




Cotton Bowl


Matchup: Southern California Trojans vs. Ohio State Buckeyes



Location: AT&T Stadium – Arlington, Texas
Date, time & TV: Dec. 29, 8:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Ohio State -6.5
Moneyline: OSU (-260), USC (+220)
Total: NA


Taxslayer Bowl


Matchup: Louisville Cardinals vs. Mississippi State Bulldogs



Location: Everbank Field – Jacksonville, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 12:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Louisville -5
Moneyline: Louisville (-210), Mississippi State (+175)
Total: NA


Liberty Bowl


Matchup: Iowa State Cyclones vs. Memphis Tigers



Location: Liberty Bowl Memorial Stadium – Memphis, Tennessee
Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 12:30 PM ET on ABC


Pointspread: Memphis -3
Moneyline: Memphis (-150), Iowa State (+130)
Total: NA


Fiesta Bowl


Matchup: Washington Huskies vs. Penn State Nittany Lions



Location: University of Phoenix Stadium – Glendale, Arizona
Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 4:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Penn State -2.5
Moneyline: Penn State (-135), Washington (+115)
Total: NA


Orange Bowl


Matchup: Miami Hurricanes vs. Wisconsin Badgers



Location: Hard Rock Stadium – Miami, Florida
Date, time & TV: Dec. 30, 8:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Wisconsin -6.5
Moneyline: Wisconsin (-255), Miami (+215)
Total: NA


Outback Bowl


Matchup: South Carolina Gamecocks vs. Michigan Wolverines



Location: Raymond James Stadium – Tampa Bay, Florida
Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2


Pointspread: Michigan -8.5
Moneyline: Michigan (-355), South Carolina (+265)
Total: NA


Peach Bowl


Matchup: Central Florida Knights vs. Auburn Tigers



Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium – Atlanta, Georgia
Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 12:30 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Auburn -9.5
Moneyline: Auburn (-355), UCF (+295)
Total: NA


Citrus Bowl


Matchup: LSU Tigers vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish



Location: Camping World Stadium – Orlando, Florida
Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 1:00 PM ET on ABC


Pointspread: LSU -2
Moneyline: LSU (-130), Notre Dame (+110)
Total: NA


Rose Bowl presented by Northwestern Mutual


Matchup: Georgia Bulldogs vs. Oklahoma Sooners



Location: Rose Bowl – Pasadena, California
Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 5:00 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Pick ‘em
Moneyline: Georgia (-110), Oklahoma (-110)
Total: NA


Sugar Bowl


Matchup: Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Clemson Tigers



Location: Mercedes-Benz Superdome – New Orleans, Louisiana
Date, time & TV: Jan. 1, 8:45 PM ET on ESPN


Pointspread: Alabama -2
Moneyline: Bama (-130), Clemson (+110)
Total: NA
 

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SATURDAY, DECEMBER 9
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS



ARMY at NAVY 03:00 PM


ARMY +3.5


O 45.0
 

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Army holds off Navy in the snow, 14-13
December 9, 2017



PHILADELPHIA (AP) Just when you thought Army-Navy couldn't get any more intense, it snowed.


Then 60 minutes of bruising football came down to squinting through that snow to see where a long field goal attempt would land.


Wide left. Cue the celebration for Army. The Black Knights are back.


Bennett Moehring narrowly missed a 48-yard field goal on the final play and Army held off Navy 14-13 on Saturday to win the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy for the first time since 1996.


Army (9-3) earned its second straight win over Navy (6-6) following 14 straight losses in the series.


''We've got seniors in there that went 4-8 as freshmen and 2-10 as sophomores,'' Army coach Jeff Monken said. ''Now they've won 17 games in the last two years. Really an incredible change.''


After trailing most of the game, Ahmad Bradshaw pushed over the goal line on a quarterback sneak with 5:10 remaining and Blake Wilson kicked the extra point to put Army ahead.


But Navy's spectacular Malcolm Perry wasn't finished.


The quarterback, who ran for 250 yards on 30 carries and a 68-yard score in the second quarter, led Navy to the Army 31 with 3 seconds left.


Navy elected to try a field goal, and after about 10 players used their feet to clear the steady snow during a timeout, Moehring's kick was long enough but drifted barely left.


''Came up a couple of feet short,'' Navy coach Ken Niumatalolo said. ''This is a great rivalry. It was another classic game.''


Army cut its deficit in the series to 60-51-7 in a matchup of bowl-bound teams. The Black Knights claimed the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy thanks to an earlier victory over Air Force.


''That trophy hadn't been in our possession for 21 years,'' said Monken, in his fourth season. ''To be able to accomplish that with this team is a great source of pride.''


In a game that included only three passes - Army completed its lone toss - the Black Knights produced a 13-play, 65-yard drive to take a late lead. John Trainor tiptoed the sideline for 8 yards one play before Bradshaw's 12th touchdown of the season.


Bradshaw also scored the go-ahead touchdown in last year's victory over Navy.


''I actually don't think I would've gotten in if not for my fullback and my offensive line,'' said Bradshaw, who rushed for 94 yards on 21 carries. ''I kind of stopped, but I felt like (fullback) Andy (Davidson) picked me up and kind of walked me into the end zone.''


Navy took advantage of the ensuing kickoff going out of bounds and moved down the field. Perry dropped a shotgun snap on fourth down at the Army 37, but picked up the ball and ran for a first down. But Navy committed two false start penalties, making the final field goal attempt more difficult.


Snow started falling in the late morning on the 29-degree day. Workers used blowers to uncover the lines and hashmarks during timeouts as a light snow fell throughout.


The teams, both of whom run the triple-option, combined to complete only 59 passes all season. The snow made both coaches want to throw it even less as Navy went ahead 7-0 on Darnell Woolfolk's 3-yard run on the opening possession.


The first pass came with under 9 minutes left in the second quarter. Army completed its only pass, a 20-yard wobbler from Bradshaw to Calen Holt, midway through the third quarter.


The weather made one of sports' biggest rivalries an even more physical contest. Army's all-white uniforms - a nod to the 10th Mountain Division of World War II - served as almost camouflage in the snow.


Perry was the star through three quarters. Getting the start at quarterback ahead of Zach Abey, his long touchdown run in the second quarter was his third rushing TD of more than 65 yards this season.


Perry looked like he might have another long touchdown run, but he stumbled and fell at the Navy 11 early in the third quarter. Army senior John Voit chased him down.


''I'm not sure if I hit his foot or not,'' Voit said. ''But I think I got enough where he slipped slipped in the snow and thank God he went down down.''


Army then held Navy to a Moehring's second field goal, from 24 yards, to make it 13-7 and allow for their fourth quarter comeback.


''There was never a moment our guys doubted we were going to win the game,'' Monken said. ''When you love a group of people like I love them, I can tell when their emotions change. We never lost momentum.''


THE TAKEAWAY


Army: Monken has Army on a major upswing. This victory will do wonders for a program that had suffered through the longest losing streak by either team in this rivalry.


Navy: Perry was the fastest and most dangerous player on the field, and Niumatalolo indicated the quarterback job will be his next season. Navy outgunned Army 296-241, but were again hurt by costly penalties.


JASPER COACHES


Navy offensive coordinator Ivin Jasper coached after missing Wednesday's practice to be with his 14-year-old son. Jarren Jasper has had medical issues as he awaits a heart transplant.


MILESTONE


Simone Askew made history when she led the Corps of Cadets in the pregame march-on. Askew is the first black woman to be first captain, the highest student position at West Point.


TRUMP & TILLERSON: A year after attending the game as president-elect, Donald Trump tweeted that he would be watching on TV. ''On behalf of an entire Nation, THANK YOU for your sacrifice and service!'' the president wrote.


After the game, Trump tweeted: ''Great Army - Navy Game. Army wins 14 to 13 and brings home the COMMANDER-IN-CHIEF'S TROPHY! Congratulations!''


Secretary of State Rex Tillerson handled the opening coin toss.


UP NEXT


Army: Armed Forces Bowl vs. San Diego State on Dec. 23 in Fort Worth, Texas.


Navy: Military Bowl vs. Virginia on Dec. 28 in Annapolis, Maryland.
 

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4-team playoff is fine, but 8 is perfect
December 8, 2017



ATLANTA (AP) Naturally, the four coaches on the podium were happy with the system the way it is.


They've all got a shot at the national championship.


But, as Clemson's Dabo Swinney, Alabama's Nick Saban, Oklahoma's Lincoln Riley and Georgia's Kirby Smart gathered at the College Football Hall of Fame in Atlanta, it was clear that others should've been up there with them.


Ohio State's Urban Meyer, for sure.


Southern Cal's Clay Helton, too.


Central Florida's Josh Heupel , as well. (Or Scott Frost , if he had chosen to stay with the Knights a bit longer to take a run at a title.)


The final spot could've gone to either Paul Chryst of Wisconsin or Gus Malzahn of Auburn.


More isn't always better, but in this case it would be.


There's no good reason not to expand the College Football Playoff to eight teams.


''I'm not opposed to it,'' said Swinney, the only one who seemed open to the idea.


But, he quickly added, ''I kind of like what we have.''


An eight-team playoff makes so much sense, we're likely to go years before the inevitable happens.


But, rest assured, that day is coming.


Might as well get to it.


All five Power Five conference champions should get an automatic spot, which would make every one of their title games a playoff before the actual playoff. That was essentially the case this year, with Clemson (Atlantic Coast), Oklahoma (Big 12) and Georgia (Southeastern) all getting in by winning their respective leagues.


Made for a pretty thrilling day, didn't it?


But Ohio State (Big Ten) and Southern Cal (Pac-12) were left out. Instead, the selection committee handed the fourth playoff spot went to once-beaten Alabama, which didn't even win the SEC West.


Now, this isn't a knock on the Crimson Tide, which has been college football's dominant program for the past decade and very well could win the fifth national title of the Saban era. Alabama (11-1) was ranked No. 1 all year by The Associated Press - until a 26-14 loss at Auburn in the regular-season finale , which was enough to knock the Tide out of the SEC championship game as well.


On paper, at least, Bama probably deserved the nod over Ohio State (11-2) and certainly Southern Cal (11-2).


But conference titles should be the first point of entry for any playoff system, and that has always been the most glaring flaw with a four-team playoff and five major conferences.


''There's never going to be a magic number. If we have eight, (Nos.) 9 and 10 are going to be upset. If we have 16, 17 and 18 are going to be upset,'' Riley said. ''I think the final four has been great. I think the biggest thing to me is people need to have realistic expectations. You're not going to go to the playoff every single year. Only four teams can do it.''


But let's envision how much better an eight-team playoff would be.


The five Power Five champions would be in automatically, seeded 1 through 5. This season, that would've been Clemson, Oklahoma, Georgia, Ohio State and Southern Cal. The best of the rest, from the so-called Group of Five, would also be guaranteed a berth. What a story that would've been with Central Florida (or, as they prefer to be called, UCF), who won the American Athletic Conference with a perfect 12-0 mark just two seasons after going 0-12 .


Wouldn't it have been great to see the Knights get a shot at the big boys, just like those Cinderella teams that add so much appeal to the NCAA basketball tournament?


That still leaves room for two wild-card berths. Alabama would've been an easy choice, and Wisconsin (12-1) likely would've gotten the last spot after a perfect regular season was marred only by a loss to Ohio State in a Big Ten title game that went right to the wire.


Auburn (10-3), which had victories over both Georgia and Alabama in the past month, also could've made a pretty strong case.


As Riley said, there's always going to be plenty of room for debate and controversy no matter how many teams you take.


Nothing wrong with that.


''I don't care if we have 68 teams in it,'' Saban said. ''We'll still have a two-hour show on who shouldn't have got in it, just like they do in basketball.''


An eight-team playoff would hardly dilute the postseason product, other than making the bowls even more irrelevant than most of them already are. Frankly, we consider that another huge plus (sorry, fans of the Bad Boy Mowers Gasparilla Bowl).


Holding the quarterfinals around Christmas (this year, Dec. 23 would've been the date) seems to work just fine within the constraints of the academic calendar, since everyone has completed exams and gone on their holiday break anyway. If an extra round of games is deemed too much to ask of the players (yeah, like that's ever been a concern), eliminate one of those meaningless regular-season games (Alabama vs. Mercer we could do without).


If the six major bowls - Rose, Sugar, Cotton, Orange, Peach and Fiesta - want to have a truly meaningful game every season, they could divvy up the quarterfinals and semifinals instead of settling for a semi once every three years. Or, if three rounds of neutral-site games is deemed unfeasible, hold the quarterfinals at campus sites, with the top four seeds getting home games.


This season, it would've looked like this in the opening round: Clemson vs. Central Florida, Oklahoma vs. Wisconsin, Georgia vs. Alabama, and Ohio State vs. Southern Cal.


Sounds like a plan.


Let's get to it.
 

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CFP Betting Notes
December 10, 2017



The College Football Playoff was probably surrounded with more controversy this year than ever before. Though there was never a doubt that Clemson, Oklahoma and Georgia were going to get into the CFP, Alabama's inclusion over Big Ten winner, Ohio State was definitely something that still has fans buzzing a week after the bracket was released.


Whether you support the Crimson Tide and their inclusion into the playoff or loathe the decision, the one thing we can all agree upon is that we've got no problem watching Alabama/Clemson Act III. These two teams put on two bonanzas in the National Championship Games of the last two seasons, and we're all hoping that the semifinal between the Tide and Tigers in the Sugar Bowl will provide just as much drama.

Here We Go Again



The way the college bowl system works, it's practically impossible to have the same two teams play against each other in consecutive years. When Alabama and Clemson met in the National Championship Game last season, it was the first time that two Power Five teams met in consecutive postseason games since 1992 and 1993 when Florida State beat Nebraska in consecutive Orange Bowls.


The fact that we're getting Clemson and Alabama for a third straight postseason is in unheralded territory. In fact, it's only happened once before in FBS history that two teams have met in three straight postseasons. The only other time it happened was during a dominant run for USC and Ohio State between 1972 and 1974.


The Trojans played in 10 of the 14 Rose Bowls from 1966 through 1979 while Ohio State or Michigan represented the Big Ten every single season from 1968 through 1980.


The Trojans won two of the three straight matchups with Ohio State with both wins resulting in National Championships. The Buckeyes opened as 7-point favorites at BookMaker.eu.

Title Defenses



The College Football Playoff has been around for four seasons, and this is the third time that a defending national champ is going to be playing in the CFP.


Florida State was the first national champion to put its title on the line in the playoff, getting blasted by Oregon 59-20 in the first ever playoff game at the Rose Bowl.


After Ohio State didn't reach the CFP in 2015, Alabama reached the National Championship Game by beating Washington 24-7 at the Georgia Dome.


Remember, though, that no team has gone on to win back-to-back national championships since Alabama won the title in 2011 and 2012. The Crimson Tide are the only ones to go back-to-back since Nebraska in 1994 and 1995.


Needless to say, the odds are stacked against Clemson (3-point underdog currently at BookMaker.eu) in spite of the fact that it's the No. 1 seed in the playoff.


The Favorite/Under Parlay


History will tell you that the deeper you get into the bowl season, the lower-scoring the games tend to be. Teams have weeks upon weeks to study up on each other, and the end result is that the defenses are sometimes a bit ahead of the offenses.


The favorite/under parlay in the College Football Playoff games has been massive over the course of the last two years. Not only have all four of the favored teams won and covered their semifinal games in the last two seasons, but all four games have gone under the total as well.


Then again, the four losing teams in the semifinals these last two seasons combined to score just 24 points, so perhaps this shouldn't be surprising.


A New Day for Underdogs


The No. 1 and No. 2 seeds have been favored in all six of the previous national semifinals. All of that is out the door this year.


The SEC is painted to be the best conference in America, and not only is it the first league to ever put two teams into the playoff, but it now has both of the favorites even though Georgia and Alabama are No. 3 and No. 4 respectively. There's definitely a lack of respect for No. 1 Clemson and No. 2 Oklahoma, though the spreads are so close in these games that it's entirely possible there's a flip in the betting action before these games kick off on New Year's Day.


College Football Playoff Odds


#3 Georgia -1
#2 Oklahoma +1
Over/Under 59


#4 Alabama -2
#4 Clemson +2
Over/Under 47
 

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