If you even worry about that small chance, it can't be a strong play. Since it seems to be for you, the push should have zero relevance on how you wager in this spot. It is a ML play or no play at all.
I've always completely disagreed w this notion. If u are laying large money down the security blanket always the way to go. There are so many crazy things that happen In sports. If u got the jing to place lay star even. I loved kc last wknd and paid extra juice to get it back to plus 1.5 bc I only laid 300 initially. I would of lost 470 on it instead I won 1000. Point given
Feel free & laugh as all it does is show that you are not a smart gambler. This is not a contest between you & I but between you & the book. I am offering you advice to help you make more money in the long run.