Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns 10/3/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Cincinnati Bengals winning 54% of simulations, and the Cleveland Browns 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Cincinnati Bengals commit fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 82% when they take care of the ball. The Cleveland Browns wins 68% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Cedric Benson is averaging 85 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (31% chance) then he helps his team win 78%. Peyton Hillis is averaging 89 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (38% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is CLE +3 --- Over/Under line is 37.5

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