Add:
NE - 13 (-115) - 1 unit
LAR/NE OVER 44 - 1 units
I am aware of the Gronk injury and worry about his career, but I still think the Pat's are well equipped to survive without him this year. And, BB hates Fisher (who has been a BB adversary in committee issues/league issues) and if you look at his recent games against him he runs up the score. He scored 45 vs last game vs Rams and 59 vs Titans. I also think the Pat's will want to send message that they still have the best offense, even without Gronk.
I also like NYG and Detroit but I am wondering if the line may move in my favor (especially Detroit, as I know public is all over NO).
NE - 13 (-115) - 1 unit
LAR/NE OVER 44 - 1 units
I am aware of the Gronk injury and worry about his career, but I still think the Pat's are well equipped to survive without him this year. And, BB hates Fisher (who has been a BB adversary in committee issues/league issues) and if you look at his recent games against him he runs up the score. He scored 45 vs last game vs Rams and 59 vs Titans. I also think the Pat's will want to send message that they still have the best offense, even without Gronk.
I also like NYG and Detroit but I am wondering if the line may move in my favor (especially Detroit, as I know public is all over NO).
I just saw Zimmer is out tonight. Hadn't seen that. I am buying out at 5 Dimes (at least for now) as I made this wager without considering this. So I am buying out by playing
Dal -3.5 + 105 (5 Dimes) - 1 unit
Because the line is a good price at 5 dimes I shouldn't lose too much juice from buying out. I need to re-think this.
Correction:
Thanks to Hot Rocks for noting an error in my record (the unit count was right, but I erred on the math on the record). I appreciate Hot Rocks, earlier this year he corrected an error (I understated my record in that case, this time I gave myself too many wins). So he pays closer attention to my record than I do ,and it is appreciated. If anyone ever sees an error feel free to let me know!
The correct record after week 12 was: (YTD) 61 - 36 + 15.6
(for some reasons I had 64-35 -- I think I just added the 8-4 record to a YTD calculation made mid-week, but I don't know for sure. Apologies!This was before TNF, when Minny covered.
For the week: 1-0 + 1 unit (so now TYD is: 62-36 + 16.6)
Thanks to Hot Rocks for noting an error in my record (the unit count was right, but I erred on the math on the record). I appreciate Hot Rocks, earlier this year he corrected an error (I understated my record in that case, this time I gave myself too many wins). So he pays closer attention to my record than I do ,and it is appreciated. If anyone ever sees an error feel free to let me know!
The correct record after week 12 was: (YTD) 61 - 36 + 15.6
(for some reasons I had 64-35 -- I think I just added the 8-4 record to a YTD calculation made mid-week, but I don't know for sure. Apologies!This was before TNF, when Minny covered.
For the week: 1-0 + 1 unit (so now TYD is: 62-36 + 16.6)
I am adding 1 unit to NE -13 (-110). Reflected in updated card (which corrects times of games as well).
Reminder all bets are -110 unless otherwise notes.
TNF
Min + 3.5 + 1 unit (WINNER)
1 pm
Mia + 3.5 (-120) 2 units
Hou + 7 (-120) - 1 unit
Det + 6 - 1 unit
NE - 13 - 2 units
LAR/NE OVER 44 - 1 unit
4 pm
NYG + 6.5 - 2 units
Ari - 2 (-115) - 2 units
Reminder all bets are -110 unless otherwise notes.
TNF
Min + 3.5 + 1 unit (WINNER)
1 pm
Mia + 3.5 (-120) 2 units
Hou + 7 (-120) - 1 unit
Det + 6 - 1 unit
NE - 13 - 2 units
LAR/NE OVER 44 - 1 unit
4 pm
NYG + 6.5 - 2 units
Ari - 2 (-115) - 2 units
3-3 for the week.
Add
4-4 for the week, so I just down some juice (.8 units)
Indy/NYJ (1st Half) UNDER 24.5 (-115)- 2 units
I lean Jets too but I don't like either of these teams enough to feel good about a side. But the reverse line movement is pretty dramatic, especially on a Monday night, so I am tempted to bet Jets (1st half) +.5 (-120) or just take them at a PK for the game. I will stick with this for now.
Add
4-4 for the week, so I just down some juice (.8 units)
Indy/NYJ (1st Half) UNDER 24.5 (-115)- 2 units
I lean Jets too but I don't like either of these teams enough to feel good about a side. But the reverse line movement is pretty dramatic, especially on a Monday night, so I am tempted to bet Jets (1st half) +.5 (-120) or just take them at a PK for the game. I will stick with this for now.
