Mr.Lynn getting a wee bit excited?
ASHR chart is nuts.....wild.........
' Whereas the Wall Street markets were largely dominated by professional money managers, at least for the last 50 years, the Chinese market is very different. It is dominated by small, private investors — more than 10 million personal accounts have been opened in China since December alone. And it is heavily directed by the state, in a way the U.S. market never has been.'
WTF.....
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fo...market-to-watch-2015-04-22?link=mw_home_kiosk
Get up. Take shower. Brush teeth. Feed the cat or the dog. Check what the Shanghai market has been doing overnight.
For anyone in Europe who takes the markets seriously , that is now the regular morning routine. It is very much as it has always been, except with one big difference. Whereas once the standard reflex would have been to look at what had happened on Wall Street overnight, with perhaps a sideways glance at Tokyo, now it is Shanghai that investors look to.
What happens in China is now what dominates what happens in the rest of the world.
In the last few months, the Chinese equity indices have been roaring ahead. That is going to be the trigger for a big change. For at least 100 years, Wall Street has been the dominant global financial market, and it was from the Dow DJIA, +0.49% and the S&P 500 SPX, +0.51% that all the other bourses around the world took their lead.
From now onwards, that is likely to be Shanghai. Wall Street is about to be relegated into second place — and that is going to have big consequences for the way the markets in money work. Such as? Wall Street will become a regional bourse, more like London’s FTSE. The Chinese banks and brokers will dominate the markets.
And we will have to get used to a market dominated far more by private investors, and the state, and less by the professionals and the hedge funds.
No one can have failed to notice that the Chinese equity markets have been racing ahead this year. We have grown used over the last decade to the Chinese industrial machine swamping the world with manufactured goods, and we have become increasingly aware of the rise of a new breed of Chinese companies buying up assets around the world.
For years, however, its financial markets remained in the doldrums. Now it is acquiring the financial might to match its industrial muscle. The Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +2.44% has blown every other market out of the water in the past year, more than doubling in value. Since February alone, it has risen from 3,000 to 4,300, and keeps on going upwards. Like any market, once it gets on a roll, nothing seems to stop it. Chinese exports can fall, and its property market can wobble, but the Shanghai Composite simply shrugs bad news aside and keeps on climbing.
Of course, it might all be a bubble. The Chinese have always liked to gamble, and they are taking to stocks the same way they took to roulette — with spendthrift, reckless abandon.
Even veterans of the dot-com bubble of 15 years ago are likely to feel queasy at some of the valuations put on Chinese companies. Technology stocks are trading on price-to-earnings ratios of more than 220, compared with 156 for the Nasdaq indexCOMP, +0.42% at the peak of the Internet boom.
Just as with any boom, there are flimsy companies being chased up to ridiculous valuations. That said, just because price have risen does not necessarily mean the market has gone mad. China has grown hugely richer just in the last five years alone, and its stock market has not kept pace with that — so it might simply be playing catchup.
What it certainly means is that the Shanghai index is about to become one of the biggest in the world.
In November last year, it overtook Tokyo to become the second largest stock index measured by total capitalization. It is still only around a third of the size of the of the U.S. market. But when you take the number of initial public offerings — and keep in mind that a Deloitte report showed Chinese listings overtaking U.S. ones in both size and value in the first quarter of this year — and the run up in share prices, and it is not hard to speculate that the Chinese index will be the world’s largest by the end of this decade, and possibly before.
That is already making a big difference in the rest of the world.
For three or four generations, the most important thing every investor needed to know was what was happening on Wall Street. It was home to the world’s biggest companies, operating in the world’s biggest economy. If the Dow were up, then the FTSE UKX, -0.49% , the CAC-40 PX1, +0.36% and the DAX DAX, -0.60% would all rise the next day. If it were down, they would all fall. New York set the pace and the pulse of the markets elsewhere.
Now that is inevitably going to change. So much money is going to be cascading out of a booming Shanghai index, and it will be so influential, that it seems inevitable that it will soon match Wall Street and then eclipse it. Indeed, it may have already done so — it is already to its performance that most European investors look.
But it will make a difference in other ways as well. As Shanghai becomes the world’s biggest stock market, it is Chinese bankers and brokers that will dominate it. Already more than half of the top 20 brokers and investment banks by market value are from China. The likes of Citic Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan will soon be as familiar as Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley.
And the mood will be different. Whereas the Wall Street markets were largely dominated by professional money managers, at least for the last 50 years, the Chinese market is very different. It is dominated by small, private investors — more than 10 million personal accounts have been opened in China since December alone. And it is heavily directed by the state, in a way the U.S. market never has been.
If you think Wall Street was volatile, wait until you see what a market dominated by Shanghai is like.
Still, whether it is better or worse makes no difference. In the next few years, Wall Street will have been relegated to second place in the view of the rest of the world — and it is Shanghai that will have taken its place. Every investor will have to get used to that.
ASHR chart is nuts.....wild.........
' Whereas the Wall Street markets were largely dominated by professional money managers, at least for the last 50 years, the Chinese market is very different. It is dominated by small, private investors — more than 10 million personal accounts have been opened in China since December alone. And it is heavily directed by the state, in a way the U.S. market never has been.'
WTF.....
http://www.marketwatch.com/story/fo...market-to-watch-2015-04-22?link=mw_home_kiosk
Get up. Take shower. Brush teeth. Feed the cat or the dog. Check what the Shanghai market has been doing overnight.
For anyone in Europe who takes the markets seriously , that is now the regular morning routine. It is very much as it has always been, except with one big difference. Whereas once the standard reflex would have been to look at what had happened on Wall Street overnight, with perhaps a sideways glance at Tokyo, now it is Shanghai that investors look to.
What happens in China is now what dominates what happens in the rest of the world.
In the last few months, the Chinese equity indices have been roaring ahead. That is going to be the trigger for a big change. For at least 100 years, Wall Street has been the dominant global financial market, and it was from the Dow DJIA, +0.49% and the S&P 500 SPX, +0.51% that all the other bourses around the world took their lead.
From now onwards, that is likely to be Shanghai. Wall Street is about to be relegated into second place — and that is going to have big consequences for the way the markets in money work. Such as? Wall Street will become a regional bourse, more like London’s FTSE. The Chinese banks and brokers will dominate the markets.
And we will have to get used to a market dominated far more by private investors, and the state, and less by the professionals and the hedge funds.
No one can have failed to notice that the Chinese equity markets have been racing ahead this year. We have grown used over the last decade to the Chinese industrial machine swamping the world with manufactured goods, and we have become increasingly aware of the rise of a new breed of Chinese companies buying up assets around the world.
For years, however, its financial markets remained in the doldrums. Now it is acquiring the financial might to match its industrial muscle. The Shanghai Composite SHCOMP, +2.44% has blown every other market out of the water in the past year, more than doubling in value. Since February alone, it has risen from 3,000 to 4,300, and keeps on going upwards. Like any market, once it gets on a roll, nothing seems to stop it. Chinese exports can fall, and its property market can wobble, but the Shanghai Composite simply shrugs bad news aside and keeps on climbing.
Of course, it might all be a bubble. The Chinese have always liked to gamble, and they are taking to stocks the same way they took to roulette — with spendthrift, reckless abandon.
Even veterans of the dot-com bubble of 15 years ago are likely to feel queasy at some of the valuations put on Chinese companies. Technology stocks are trading on price-to-earnings ratios of more than 220, compared with 156 for the Nasdaq indexCOMP, +0.42% at the peak of the Internet boom.
Just as with any boom, there are flimsy companies being chased up to ridiculous valuations. That said, just because price have risen does not necessarily mean the market has gone mad. China has grown hugely richer just in the last five years alone, and its stock market has not kept pace with that — so it might simply be playing catchup.
What it certainly means is that the Shanghai index is about to become one of the biggest in the world.
In November last year, it overtook Tokyo to become the second largest stock index measured by total capitalization. It is still only around a third of the size of the of the U.S. market. But when you take the number of initial public offerings — and keep in mind that a Deloitte report showed Chinese listings overtaking U.S. ones in both size and value in the first quarter of this year — and the run up in share prices, and it is not hard to speculate that the Chinese index will be the world’s largest by the end of this decade, and possibly before.
That is already making a big difference in the rest of the world.
For three or four generations, the most important thing every investor needed to know was what was happening on Wall Street. It was home to the world’s biggest companies, operating in the world’s biggest economy. If the Dow were up, then the FTSE UKX, -0.49% , the CAC-40 PX1, +0.36% and the DAX DAX, -0.60% would all rise the next day. If it were down, they would all fall. New York set the pace and the pulse of the markets elsewhere.
Now that is inevitably going to change. So much money is going to be cascading out of a booming Shanghai index, and it will be so influential, that it seems inevitable that it will soon match Wall Street and then eclipse it. Indeed, it may have already done so — it is already to its performance that most European investors look.
But it will make a difference in other ways as well. As Shanghai becomes the world’s biggest stock market, it is Chinese bankers and brokers that will dominate it. Already more than half of the top 20 brokers and investment banks by market value are from China. The likes of Citic Securities and Shenwan Hongyuan will soon be as familiar as Goldman Sachs or Morgan Stanley.
And the mood will be different. Whereas the Wall Street markets were largely dominated by professional money managers, at least for the last 50 years, the Chinese market is very different. It is dominated by small, private investors — more than 10 million personal accounts have been opened in China since December alone. And it is heavily directed by the state, in a way the U.S. market never has been.
If you think Wall Street was volatile, wait until you see what a market dominated by Shanghai is like.
Still, whether it is better or worse makes no difference. In the next few years, Wall Street will have been relegated to second place in the view of the rest of the world — and it is Shanghai that will have taken its place. Every investor will have to get used to that.