Chicago Bears vs Buffalo Bills 11/7/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Chicago Bears winning 54% of simulations, and the Buffalo Bills 45% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Chicago Bears commit fewer turnovers in 35% of simulations and they go on to win 81% when they take care of the ball. The Buffalo Bills wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Matt Forte is averaging 62 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 81%. Fred Jackson is averaging 49 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (16% chance) then he helps his team win 72%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is BUF +2.5 --- Over/Under line is 40.5

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