Chases Starting 6-8 and 6-9

[SouthernMiss]

Record 180-11 +129 units

3 game money on St. Louie (Still pending chase that started saturday)


New Chase Starting Monday is on the

Oakland A's for 5 units

 

[kidman232]

is oakland the only new series from tonight ur betting on

 

[SouthernMiss]

is oakland the only new series from tonight ur betting on

yes it is, more to come tomorrow

 

[kidman232]

nice close out on the A's

 

[SouthernMiss]

loser with St. Louis Record now 180-12 Will calculate Cards loss later.


Closed oakland last night.

Huge card here we go....

All 5 units

Cleveland

Florida

Milwaukee

Cubs

Boston

Cincy

NYM

Seattle

 

[kidman232]

lets get them all

 

[WorldNumberOne]

so if you were trying to win 500 on the st louis series , you risked ( and lost ) roughly $ 5500 trying to do it ?

665/500

1480/1165

3350/ 2645

is that about right ?

 

[SouthernMiss]

so if you were trying to win 500 on the st louis series , you risked ( and lost ) roughly $ 5500 trying to do it ?

665/500

1480/1165

3350/ 2645

is that about right ?

actually tried to win $250 so i lost 11 units on St. Louis. Bringing my season record to 180-12 +118 units (not counting the Oakland close last night).@)

BOL to you:toast:

 

[WorldNumberOne]

actually tried to win $250 so i lost 11 units on St. Louis. Bringing my season record to 180-12 +118 units (not counting the Oakland close last night).@)

BOL to you:toast:

you tried to win 250 .. meaning a unit is 50 , cause you were trying to win 5 units.

if all 3 games were like -130 ( which is real close )

you would have risked

325/250

747/575

1719/1322

that means you lost $ 2791

that would be about 56 units . 2791 / 50

how did you count it as an 11 unit loss ?

just wondering about the math

 

[Degenerate7]

so these are series plays or single game plays?

 

[CHOPTALK]

Do you live in Hattisburg?

 

[SouthernMiss]

so these are series plays or single game plays?

yes series plays

 

[SouthernMiss]

you tried to win 250 .. meaning a unit is 50 , cause you were trying to win 5 units.

if all 3 games were like -130 ( which is real close )

you would have risked

325/250

747/575

1719/1322

that means you lost $ 2791

that would be about 56 units . 2791 / 50

how did you count it as an 11 unit loss ?

just wondering about the math

your correct sir... 180-12 +73 units

 

[SouthernMiss]

Do you live in Hattisburg?

Just ouside of Hattiesburg

 

[WorldNumberOne]

your correct sir... 180-12 +73 units

i'm wondering if your math on the other 11 series losses was correct.

not hating here , just wanting accurate info.

the 3 game chase needs to hit at an incredible 93 or 94 % rate to make a penny.

a typical 3 game chase involving a -130 fav would lose $ 1117 trying to win 100 .

which means even if you hit the next 11 in a row , you still havent broken even.

i would like to see you pick maybe 3 or 4 to chase instead of 8 to 10 .

good luck

 

[SouthernMiss]

i'm wondering if your math on the other 11 series losses was correct.

not hating here , just wanting accurate info.

the 3 game chase needs to hit at an incredible 93 or 94 % rate to make a penny.

a typical 3 game chase involving a -130 fav would lose $ 1117 trying to win 100 .

which means even if you hit the next 11 in a row , you still havent broken even.

i would like to see you pick maybe 3 or 4 to chase instead of 8 to 10 .

good luck

Other math was correct, because they were one unit plays. Easy calculations with one unit plays. Research if you may, all documented here. St Louis was the first 5 unit chase i lost. Bump my wagers up to 5 units cause i was hot and got cocky, now that I got hit in the nuts will scale units back to 1 and 2 unit plays. Not taking that your hating at all. I have scaled the plays back considerably as i have chased as money as 25 series. Yes, you are correct you must hit in the 90% range to make money, but I have put a ton of time and effort into this. Going to finish these 5 unit chases and then scale back the units.

Good Luck to you also:toast:

 

[WorldNumberOne]

1 unit plays at 180-12 would put you in the $ 4800 profit range

12 * $1100 ( avg loss at -130 ) = 13200

180 * 100 = 18000

180-12 is .937 . hard to keep that up playing so many.

 

[SouthernMiss]

1 unit plays at 180-12 would put you in the $ 4800 profit range

12 * $1100 ( avg loss at -130 ) = 13200

180 * 100 = 18000

180-12 is .937 . hard to keep that up playing so many.

Your right up close to 6,000 for the year. Hard to cut a system play. Then it becomes Russian Roulette. ^<<^

 

[WorldNumberOne]

Your right up close to 6,000 for the year. Hard to cut a system play. Then it becomes Russian Roulette. ^<<^

if you have a specific criteria you use to produce that many series , then proceed on .

here is a little tid bit for ya.

i was looking at home stands . every team in the majors with the exception of washington ( who i didnt track ) won a game by game 4 of a long home stand.

AL

GM1 30
GM2 11
GM3 4
GM4 3

NL
GM1 29
GM2 15
GM3 6
GM4 2

This was as of a week ago. As you can see its never lost . And out by game 3 94 % in the AL and 96 % in the NL.

 

[SouthernMiss]

if you have a specific criteria you use to produce that many series , then proceed on .

here is a little tid bit for ya.

i was looking at home stands . every team in the majors with the exception of washington ( who i didnt track ) won a game by game 4 of a long home stand.

AL

GM1 30
GM2 11
GM3 4
GM4 3

NL
GM1 29
GM2 15
GM3 6
GM4 2

This was as of a week ago. As you can see its never lost . And out by game 3 94 % in the AL and 96 % in the NL.

Yes, I did know that and i do use that criteria. Thankl goodness i was on vacation and did not play St. Louis Game 1. Thanks for the tip. any more tips? Kindly send them my way We all have the same objective:toast: ^<<^The Bookie