Chargers -4 At Home This Game Is More Important With A Win With Play- Off Hopes Then The Patriots

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

San Diego is actually little better than New England Offense and Defensively with stats. J.J. power rating has this game even.This is too many points for the Pats to be laying, and the value on San Diego will increase as we get closer to kickoff and the spread grows to the -4... -4 1/2 range. Its now -4 New England, Chargers will keep this game close and may have a chance to win outright by J.J. power rating. Ryan Mathews is the x-factor in this game.[ When they run the ball 25+ times as a team, they’re 15-3. When they run less than 20 plays on the ground, they’re 1-6]. With Mathews healthy, this is a team that will aim to run heavily. now tied with the Denver at 9-3, the Patriots no longer have any margin for error in the race for home-field advantage. While New England still controls its own destiny, playing a third road game in four weeks is a difficult situation to face.The last time the Pats endured that stretch, they flopped in the final leg, suffering the indignation of a 41-14 loss to the KC on Monday Night football. Rivers compiled an 84.5 % accuracy rate in San Diego's three games since the bye, the second-best mark in the league over that span. Playing their third road game in four weeks, it's very possible that on the road Pats come out flat and falls behind a desperate Chargers.This game is more important with a win with play- off hopes then the Patriots. Chargers -4 at home


Hårr¥THëHÄT

 

[JohnBlue123]

Hat,

I like it!

BOL,
JB

 

[Broham]

So if you have chargers -4, I'll definitely take them at +4

 

[Cheddarforme]

Brady rolls

 

[kapsroff]

Brady - Belichick -4 on the road -7 at home ....... Give me the PATS -4 Brady 325 yds 3 TD 0 INT

Final Score NE 27 SD 18

just my my take but you Mr HAT have been some true wisdom, it's been one of my greatest reads even when we are on opposite sides. I'm coming to Vegas for SB.

 

[stander]

GL Harry!

 

[Broham]

I'm on the Pats all day long.

 

[TheComputerGroup]

So why not take Chargers ML??

 

[Cheddarforme]

I'm on the Pats all day long.

Whoa. You literally just said you'd take San Diego plus 4

 

[Coaster]

NE has the 5th toughest schedule compared with SD at 17
This may reflect the O and D numbers you posted!
Good post...not sure what to do yet.
GL

 

[Broham]

Whoa. You literally just said you'd take San Diego plus 4

I was kidding with him because he said SD -4, it's SD +4

 

[Broham]

I think Brady and company crush this weak SD defense.

 

[tmader7]

Harry, tell Benny my hat's (pun intended) off to him for the Carolina play. He managed to hit Payton's second worst game coaching the Saints, and Carolina's best first half since 2012, and their best game this season. Congrats to him. BOL has NE -3+ btw, they haven't dropped two in a row since Nov. 2012 I believe, so might have to tease them to the plus side, they get a big D player back tonight, don't think Mathews will make a difference. GLTU and all at the RX.

~T~

 

[ARUKIDNME]

Undecided at this time.

But if they're in the lead and in control of the game and clock then "When they run the ball 25+ times as a team, they’re 15-3. When they run less than 20 plays on the ground, they’re 1-6" which maybe why they win those games

However, if Brady is up 14+.... we will not see the run for long and SD will be playing catch up.

BOL

 

[RussellPeters]

Good luck Harry, but NE -4 is the right play. Don't bet against Brady and Pats off a loss! Very simple! Good luck to you and boys!

 

[Cheddarforme]

I was kidding with him because he said SD -4, it's SD +4

Copy that!

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Harry, tell Benny my hat's (pun intended) off to him for the Carolina play. He managed to hit Payton's second worst game coaching the Saints, and Carolina's best first half since 2012, and their best game this season. Congrats to him. BOL has NE -3+ btw, they haven't dropped two in a row since Nov. 2012 I believe, so might have to tease them to the plus side, they get a big D player back tonight, don't think Mathews will make a difference. GLTU and all at the RX.

~T~

Benny is incoherent right know waked out drinking scotch here at sportsbook with me. When he sobers up I will tell him tmader7 ///LOL!!!LOL!!!LOL!!!

 

[MR.HARRYtheHAT]

Undecided at this time.

But if they're in the lead and in control of the game and clock then "When they run the ball 25+ times as a team, they’re 15-3. When they run less than 20 plays on the ground, they’re 1-6" which maybe why they win those games

However, if Brady is up 14+.... we will not see the run for long and SD will be playing catch up.

BOL

Thanks for reply and constructive criticism, however I have to go with J.J. power rating this time at even. You have to also consider taking SD is important of winning this game vs Pats for a playoff shot and getting 4 points is a value. Defense wins game and SD is a lot better on paper and a hometown dog. It's not the dog in the fight; it's the fight in the dog when it comes to football. Certainly that's how upsets can happen," "You get a big play here and there, you get a loose fumble, pick it up and score, things like that. You generally need to get one or two big breaks to get a big upset. I think this will happen in this great match-up

 

[RussellPeters]

Thanks for reply and constructive criticism, however I have to go with J.J. power rating this time at even. You have to also consider taking SD is important of winning this game vs Pats for a playoff shot and getting 4 points is a value. Defense wins game and SD is a lot better on paper and a hometown dog. It's not the dog in the fight; it's the fight in the dog when it comes to football. Certainly that's how upsets can happen," "You get a big play here and there, you get a loose fumble, pick it up and score, things like that. You generally need to get one or two big breaks to get a big upset. I think this will happen in this great match-up

It already did lol didn't you see that fumble return for a TD?

 

[ChiefMuzz]

I cant thank you enough Mr. H.T.H. you my friend are my new HERO!!!!!