championship round nfl playoffs

[cashducats]

over 47.5 arizona/carolina
1. i missed 47 but i don't think this will even be close. carolina is definitely going to do their fair share of scoring and arizona/palmer shouldnt be as tight after getting that 1st playoff win for palmer and arians. in fact arians even said it in an interview, they were trying to be too careful in the 1st half.
2. we are told both of these defenses are good, but unimpressive when you look at the results. i mean gb is playing with practice squad wrs and a rb that will probably be on "the biggest loser" and they scored 20. they can't stop a 4th and 20 and then a hail mary.... are you serious???
3. carolina's d will allow a team to get back in games no matter how much they are up. off the top of my head, colts made a huge 2nd half comeback on a monday night, giants made a huge comeback to tie game, and seahawks last week. don't know if it's the play calling or just a bad defense but i'm pretty confident cards will be able to easily get their share of points.
4. i can see palmer getting sacked and fumbling at least once during the game creating a short field. there is always the possibility of pat peterson returning a punt for a td. ted gin is due for a couple of drops and a could of 50 yd plus tds as well..

this is the one play that has stuck out to me for the weekend. the sides are a little harder. i am leaning heavy on the pats but haven't pulled the trigger yet. want to look at a couple things before i do.

 

[cashducats]

pats -3
1. my immediate reaction was to slam the pats hard when the line came out. then i paused because it seems too easy. i gave it a couple days to see if there is something i overlooked. looked again.... looked again... read some more stuff.... there's nothing i see that makes any real sense to me as to why the broncos will even be competitive in this game.
2. i keep hearing and reading the stat of tom brady's record at denver which is poor. this is irrelevant to me. different times and different circumstances. the most recent meeting earlier this year was vs brock osweiler (who is better than manning imo and pats had a 2 td lead and then gronk got injured and the punt returner muffed a punt. (he was cut in two days lol)
3. coaching matchup: belicik owns kubiak going back to when kubiak was texans coach
4. weather (gee, who performs better in bad weather brady or peyton?????)
5. playoff scenario: (gee, who regularly chokes in the playoffs???)
6. chris harris and antonio smith popping off giving pats bulletin board material. the only team that has been able to do this and still win the game was the 2008 giants when they wore black suits on the team plan to symbolize going to a pats funeral)
7. pats just handled rather easily a better version of this bronco team last week. i was on the chiefs and lost.
8. pats have almost a full compliment of offensive players back from injury, minus the rb. but rb is inconsequential to the pats.
9. short passing game by pats will negate broncos pass rush.
10. only way broncos win is if they win the turnover battle. that is unlikely to happen.
11. peyton is due for about 2-3 int. he got lucky last week when steelers dropped a couple
12. peyton played "decently" last week because he had a week off. now he is playing only 7 days later. he is toast. he took some hard hits last week.
13. my only fear is that peyton plays bad enough to where they pull him and put in osweiler. i can see a scenario where the broncos cover if that happens.
14. people keep saying you always take the #1 defense at home with points. broncos d may have finished the regular season #1 but they were giving up chunk yardage and plays to the steelers last week. not a dominant type of #1 defense like the 85 bears, 2001 ravens, 2013 seahawks etc. #1 defenses don't give up 400 yards in a game. especially one where they trailed most of the game.

 

[bones1980]

Osweiler sucks ! If he was the starter pats would be favored by 6 or 7! If Denver catches the ball last week they win easily .

 

[cashducats]

Osweiler sucks ! If he was the starter pats would be favored by 6 or 7! If Denver catches the ball last week they win easily .

that's a big 'if'. broncos have been dropping balls all year. peyton's flutter balls don't help the situation

 

[memphis]

short money buys 47 @112 (pinny) I would really leave the hook hanging in a bigger game such as this. You'll see lower wherever you are at your book or at least you should next day or so. Or have more outs. Good luck broheimer

 

[cashducats]

short money buys 47 @112 (pinny) I would really leave the hook hanging in a bigger game such as this. You'll see lower wherever you are at your book or at least you should next day or so. Or have more outs. Good luck broheimer

47.5 is what my local had, my only other out is heritage. I'm not worried about the hook too much , I think it flies over. I guess I could be sorry if the game ends up 27-20 but I don't see either of these teams only getting 20 pts. I think they both get at least 24

 

[memphis]

47.5 is what my local had, my only other out is heritage. I'm not worried about the hook too much , I think it flies over. I guess I could be sorry if the game ends up 27-20 but I don't see either of these teams only getting 20 pts. I think they both get at least 24

i respect a confident wagermeister broheimer i do. the chances the hook affects your wager is slim to none. i had a couple bad hook beats and i never left one again if the price is short. again much respect and great luck to you and your plays i hope you get you some $$$$$ bangbang. bruddah!


Memphy

 

[cashducats]

been listening to the radio and some podcasts this week, it's interesting how many pundits are taking the #1 defense at home (broncos). makes me more confident in my pats pick.

 

[cashducats]

off top of my head i recall colin cowherd, ian fitzsimmons both liking broncos and ryan russillo doubting his 1st impression of taking the pats.

 

[cashducats]

weekend recap 1-1
ytd: 38-25-5

i was really surprised at how confused brady seemed in this game. the broncos offense played like i assumed it would, in a mediocre fashion. take away the brady int that gave them a shot field and their offense scored 13 pts. hats off to the broncos defense. they played like many of you on here said they would.

panther/az total was too easy. i though cards would get some more points on the board. figured palmer would give panthers a few short fields to work with but not to the extent he did. seems like the playoff lights are a little bright for him. pretty impressed with david johnson though.