Cfl Week 4

[powerz]

Will post up my record in a bit when it I update it - however it is not good.

Was doing some research into last week's finals after being away from my office for a week and found some interesting stuff that is worth noting.

After 3 weeks:

TOTALS are dead even 6-6

DOGS are 9-3 ATS 75% - Very important will come back to this

AWAY Teams are 7-5 SU

LINE MOVES are 3-4 ATS 43%.....

TOTAL LINE MOVES are 5-4 56%.....* Last week they went 1-3 to bring their avg back from an 80% success rate.

So if you believe these numbers avg out over time (like I do) the dogs & Away teams will fade soon perhaps this week! Becasue this week we have all 4 home teams favoured!

So far the only line moves are CGY down a half point and TOR up a half point.


NO plays for me yet will be back in a day or two.

 

[Leafsfan34]

DOGS are 9-3 ATS 75%

This has to come back to Earth eventually. GL to you this week!

 

[powerz]

Lumsden out for the cats

Looks like tre smith will have to carry the load in calgary!


http://tsn.ca/cfl/story/?id=243534&lid=headline&lpos=secStory_main

powerz

 

[Leafsfan34]

Looks like tre smith will have to carry the load in calgary!


http://tsn.ca/cfl/story/?id=243534&lid=headline&lpos=secStory_main

powerz

Thanks for the info powers this is crucial news to know...has the line been affected yet?

 

[powerz]

total is dropping now 52.5 at the greek opened at 54.

 

[powerz]

<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=1 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">GAMES PLAYED IN CALGARY - LAST 3 SEASONS:

CALGARY is 1-1 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">CALGARY is 2-0 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons </TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">The average score in these games was CALGARY 30, HAMILTON 16</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">The average spread in these games was CALGARY favored by 8.8 points.</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">The average total in these games was 52.5 points

Which trend do you put more stock in?
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Taafe is 7-0 OVER (+7.0 Units) versus poor passing defenses - allowing 300 or more passing yards/game in all games he has coached since 1996.
The average score was Taafe 36.6, OPPONENT 25.3

Calgary allows 348 yrds passing per game overall.....on a completion % of 59.1% but a 9.5 PYA. looks like teams can beat Calgary long and Printers has the arm to do it!

Taafe is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) off a non-conference game as the coach of HAMILTON. The average score was HAMILTON 13.4, OPPONENT 29.8

Keep in mind that Taffe has not had a weapon like Printers at QB in Hamilton.

Back this aft with some plays

 

[powerz]

Going with these two plays:


HAMILTON PASSING YARDS O265.5 -1.15*

&

3 Team 9 point teaser:

CALGARY -.5
CALGARY O43
BC +.5.......... -1.10*


GL guys


powerz

 

[powerz]

ticats had 10 yards passing the 1st q and finish with 231.

Teaser lives on have bc in several picke m teasers this weekend.

Also like the Argos and Sask games on SAT and SUN see ya then

 

[ivan722]

Powerz, beside the conclusion to your 3-play teaser, are you leaning towards the Lions (-4.5) for a first half play this evening?
:howdy:

 

[powerz]

Funny you should ask I just punched in the LEOS ML -215 1st half to win a unit

 

[powerz]

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=matchupSubHeader>Pretty much even on posted plays this week although I have cashed some winners off the board...

I played the under in the Sask game when I saw KC on it so I tailed his picks at U51 for 2* and U25 1*

I have been really intrigued by the line in this game all week. I have a PR system that sez SASK should be -9, but the books open the game at -6 and the game drops a half point.

THEN I READ THIS:

Opening Line = -6, Closing Line = -5.5
</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Since 1996, the road underdog has covered the spread 24 times, while the home favorite covered the spread 13 times.</TD></TR><TR><TD class="matchupCells Text">Over the last 3 seasons, the road underdog has covered the spread 5 times, while the home favorite covered the spread 0 times.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

Now remember off the top I said Road Dogs are 9-3 ATS and Road teams were 7-5 SU...Well that has evened out a bit this week and DOGS are now 9-5 ATS and 7-7 SU....But I think this is the one road team that can upset this week.

Montreal has done well in SASK in the past and has the defense to keep the green riders in check. The Als always start games quickly with an attacking offense.

Will go with in addition to the TOTAL

MONT +5 -1.10*
MONT ML 1st Q +.6*
MONT ML 1st Half +.75*


GL guys

powerz

 

[VenomousSanction]

GL P.. on the same side tonight