CFL Week 17

PassTheBuck · Oct 16, 2008

Hamilton/Saskatchewan u54 (-110) -- 1.5 units: I have hit a bit of a slump lately, but fortunately the losses have been minimal. This game screams under for so many reasons. First, Saskatchewan just got some snow this week, and the temperature will be fairly cold on Sunday afternoon. It is getting to be that time of year where games in the prairies are going to be cold. Now add to that a Saskatchewan team that has been very inconsistant scoring points this year. One day they can give you 30+, while others they will put up less than 15. While they tend to put up fewer points on the road, their offence is undergoing some major surgery right now, as they look for the right combinations going into the playoffs. Darian Durant will get the start, and I do think that with the cold weather, he being a rookie, and this being his first start in a long time, it will take time to get adjusted to being the starter. Hamilton's defence is pretty piss poor right now, but I really think that if they keep Saskatchewan under 30 points, this game has a great chance to go under. This is because Hamilton's offence is really having trouble scoring points away from Ivor Wynne. In their last two road games they have put up 11 & 10 points. While in previous games they have managed to score a ton, I put a lot of emphasis on these last two games simply because this is when Porter took over as the starting QB. Now he goes into the most hostile road environement in Canada, in the cold, as a rookie, against arguably the best defence in the league... and he will be fortunate to get out of there alive. If I had to guess, I would say this game ends something like 29-11.... hopefully!

BOL

Note: There will be a play on the BC/Edm game. I'm just deciding which bet to make and how big it will be. Look at Powerz' October thread for great info on this game.

BC Lions (homer) bets: 6-6, -1.47 units
Normal bets: 7-3, +8.06 units
-----------------------------
Overall: 13-9, +6.59 units

Thomas · Oct 17, 2008

Pass the buck the weather here will be OK, the snow is about gone now and they're calling for seasonal temps with sunny skies, nice football weather.

I do like your under though as the riders turn back to Durant this weekend and the theme will be no stupid mistakes (hello Micheal Bishop). I think the cats struggle against the rider d and I don't see Sask scoring a lot of points either with all the player turnover but they have surprised the shit outa me more than once this season.

13.5 is a lot of points here as well in this game but I'm shying away I think this week as I got even with Sask last week losing to Calgary after totally fooling me beating them the week before in Regina. Tough team to read this year.

Quite a race we got out here in the west this year, should be fun and hopefully money. gl with your pk

PassTheBuck · Oct 17, 2008

Adding

Lions +3.5 (-110) @ Eskimos -- 1 unit: The Lions really need to win this game by 12 to hold the tie breaker over the Eskimos. However, if the Lions win this game by any margin, it should be enough to keep the Eskimos at bay for the rest of the season, seeing how there would only be 2 games left. The Lions come in a bit banged up, with Logan and Clermont both injured, and Pierce still not 100%. However, Logan has not handled the ball well this season, and Clermont will be replaced by a import WR, which should not take as much away from the offence as a non-import replacement. Pierce, coming off his worst performance of the year, will be ready to redeem himself. This starting job is by no means secure, and with the playoffs approaching, he could find himself on the bench if he struggles down the stretch. In addition to not wanting to lose b2b to the Eskies, there is some emotion coming in, sparked by Rob Murphy's conduct last game. I think the Lions will be fired up, and more than likely will take this game strait up. Edmonton puts up a ton of points at home, and the over was definitely tempting, but I will take the points instead.

BOL

PhilMoneyMargonis · Oct 17, 2008

good luck. on BC as well

PassTheBuck · Oct 17, 2008

Adding 1 more unit on the Lions +3.5 (-110).

powerz · Oct 17, 2008

congratulations - terrific win and maybe the tie breaker...

Awesome game by Buck Pierce.

What a stud

PhilMoneyMargonis · Oct 18, 2008

nice call on BC

PassTheBuck · Oct 18, 2008

Adding

Blue Bombers +12 (-110) @ Stampeders -- 1 unit: I'm not quite sure what has prompted this late line movement, but I don't think Calgary really has what it takes to beat an up and coming Bombers squad by 12. Perhaps it is people thinking that since the Bombers have clinched 2nd they will lay down in this one. I don't think this is the case, especially since this is a Bombers squad that still needs to make some improvement if they want any chance at beating the Eskies or Riders in the playoffs. This is the same Bombers squad that earlier in the season upset the Stamps. Current temperature is 6 degrees in Calgary, with a chance of a drizzle later on. If Winnipeg can pound the ball on the road, keep things simple, they can cover this spread. A win here, although even I don't think they can do it, would go a long way to boosting their confidence heading into the playoffs. They have got to learn to play better against these strong West teams....

BOL