Blue Bombers ML (-125) @ Tiger Cats -- 3.25 units: Records are meaningless in this tilt of two cellar dwellers. I've been hyping Moreno since he got deal, and I truly believe that with him the Bombers have the best middle linebacker in the league, and a clubhouse leader. It goes without saying that Moreno will be jacked to play against his old team... I'd even guess he'd like to get a shot or two in on Casey Printers, but that's mere speculation. Either way, the Blue Bomber's defence is much better with Moreno, a guy who probably knows a lot about Hamilton's offensive schemes, having been there two weeks ago. Offensively, Winnipeg is much better with Joe Smith, as opposed to an over the hill Charles Roberts. Smith is a Lumsden-type RB, who runs hard and is able to fight through tackles. It is way easier to find small, quick backs in the CFL than it is to find the next Sean Millington. Winnipeg has made some great moves, and with a passing attack that should get better as the weeks go on, they look to be solid on both sides of the ball. Conversely, you have the Tiger Cats, a team with two wins against the Argos, and nothing else to show for this season. Casey Printers is a selfish a-hole, so you know he's given up on this season and/or pissed off his teammates by this point in the year. By the way, did you notice that ever since Printers came back from injury, Lumsden gets hardly any carries at all? The guy is getting only a few carries a game. How stupid can this team be? They are bottom of the league, and to fix their problems they deal the best linebacker in the league and decide to no longer give the ball to the best RB in the league. I could even mention how Richie Williams is much more suited to run that team, but those first two points are shocking enough. This team is done, mentally and physically.
Lions +3 (-110) @ Roughriders -- 1.5 units: This game means absolutely everything for the Lions. If they lose this game, they lose almost any chance of hosting a playoff game, as they would now have lost the season series to both the Stampeders and Riders. However, win this game and the Leos will only be one game back of Saskatchewan, and on one heck of a roll. Yes, they will likely be without Jason Clermont. Yes, they will be in the toughest road venue in the league. However, it's not like they can't win in Saskatchewan. They took both games last year, including a thrilling win on a third down bomb from Jarious to Geroy Simon. However, this time around the key is Buck Pierce. Teams have quickly figured out Jackson, which is why he is on the bench, in favour of Pierce and his ball control style of play. With weapons Simon and P. Jackson still on the outside, Pierce still has way more firepower to work with than Michael Bishop. The Lions' defence has been playing great lately, as they held Saskatchewan to only 9 points in the first half of last week's game. I expect that dominating front four to spell havoc for Bishop and Cates. Overall, the Lions are clearly the better squad, with fewer injuries, and on a roll, having won two in a row, and having played well enough to win in each of Pierce's starts. This line has swung around roughly 9 points due to where it's being played... and that is too much to give a hot BC team. I'll take the 3!
BOL
BC Lions (homer) bets: 3-4, -1.66 units
Normal bets: 6-1, +6.96 units
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Overall: 9-5, +5.30 units
Lions +3 (-110) @ Roughriders -- 1.5 units: This game means absolutely everything for the Lions. If they lose this game, they lose almost any chance of hosting a playoff game, as they would now have lost the season series to both the Stampeders and Riders. However, win this game and the Leos will only be one game back of Saskatchewan, and on one heck of a roll. Yes, they will likely be without Jason Clermont. Yes, they will be in the toughest road venue in the league. However, it's not like they can't win in Saskatchewan. They took both games last year, including a thrilling win on a third down bomb from Jarious to Geroy Simon. However, this time around the key is Buck Pierce. Teams have quickly figured out Jackson, which is why he is on the bench, in favour of Pierce and his ball control style of play. With weapons Simon and P. Jackson still on the outside, Pierce still has way more firepower to work with than Michael Bishop. The Lions' defence has been playing great lately, as they held Saskatchewan to only 9 points in the first half of last week's game. I expect that dominating front four to spell havoc for Bishop and Cates. Overall, the Lions are clearly the better squad, with fewer injuries, and on a roll, having won two in a row, and having played well enough to win in each of Pierce's starts. This line has swung around roughly 9 points due to where it's being played... and that is too much to give a hot BC team. I'll take the 3!
BOL
BC Lions (homer) bets: 3-4, -1.66 units
Normal bets: 6-1, +6.96 units
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Overall: 9-5, +5.30 units
