CFB Week 4 Plays

[OTK]

Record YTD: 18-17, 51% (+1.03 units)

Pending season win total plays

Georgia U 9.5 (-105) 5 units [3-0]
Notre Dame U 7 (-115) 5 units [2-0]
Fresno St U 8.5 (-155) 5 units [1-1]
Ole Miss O 5.5 (-120) 5 units [2-1]
Iowa O 7 (-140) 5 units [3-0]

Week 4 Plays

Mississippi -5.5 (-105)

Just getting this one in early to make sure I don't wait too long and it gets to 6. I actually expect the public to be on Vanderbilt, but you never know and I don't want to risk the big half point.

There's a lot I'm liking right now. I'm leaning hard on Arizona, Wyoming, Iowa, Wake Forest and will definitely be on Tennessee once that number hits 7.5 (that cost me big in the UGA/SC game). Keep giving me a TD with the decent home team in the SEC and I'll keep taking it. UT is better than SC and Georgia is arguably better than UF.

 

[Harvey Dent]

Like the play

 

[GoSooners]

Great pick OTK!:toast:

 

[gazoo]

Record YTD: 18-17, 51% (+1.03 units)

Pending season win total plays

Georgia U 9.5 (-105) 5 units [3-0]
Notre Dame U 7 (-115) 5 units [2-0]
Fresno St U 8.5 (-155) 5 units [1-1]
Ole Miss O 5.5 (-120) 5 units [2-1]
Iowa O 7 (-140) 5 units [3-0]

Week 4 Plays

Mississippi -5.5 (-105)

Just getting this one in early to make sure I don't wait too long and it gets to 6. I actually expect the public to be on Vanderbilt, but you never know and I don't want to risk the big half point.

There's a lot I'm liking right now. I'm leaning hard on Arizona, Wyoming, Iowa, Wake Forest and will definitely be on Tennessee once that number hits 7.5 (that cost me big in the UGA/SC game). Keep giving me a TD with the decent home team in the SEC and I'll keep taking it. UT is better than SC and Georgia is arguably better than UF.

Sell me on the Vol +pts idea. I'm a Vol fan and don't like it. Don't think Crompton can think faster than Gator D runs. Like Auburn new offense leaves them short and D on field a lot.

 

[OTK]

Sell me on the Vol +pts idea. I'm a Vol fan and don't like it. Don't think Crompton can think faster than Gator D runs. Like Auburn new offense leaves them short and D on field a lot.

Week 1 they were working out some kinks against a pretty good UCLA defense (even if they got slaughtered by BYU). Crompton is good though, and is more than capable of sustaining some drives against UF. Their defense is improved, but it's not top tier. I'd say teams like Auburn and LSU have better defenses. SC probably has a better defense than UF. If Tennessee can get the ground game going consistently they could easily win this game. Florida will get their points, but Tennessee should be able to keep up to keep it close. A TD is a lot to give a home team in the SEC. It's not like this is UF vs Vanderbilt or Arkansas. This is a pretty good Tennessee team and I personally think UF is a bit overrated (definitely a top 5 team, but I hear a lot of people saying they'll win the NC, which they won't).

This game is pretty much exactly like UGA vs SC. The worse, but still good team at home catching a TD against a top tier conference rival. Both teams first SEC game also. Big difference between Hawaii/Miami-Fla and Tennessee IMO. Florida's first road game also.

Tennessee +7.5 (-105)

 

[OTK]

Arizona -1.5 (+101)

Arizona St +7 (-107)

 

[Furmanski]

OTK, you are always betting against my Dawgs aren't you??

:lol:

 

[OTK]

OTK, you are always betting against my Dawgs aren't you??

:lol:

lol, Just as big road favorites against good teams. I'll say UGA wins 27-24.

 

[SaltyVeteran]

I was ready to fade Vandy this last week but thankfully laid off at the last minute. I don't think I'll back off this week. I like that Miss play.

Good Luck and Great Line..

 

[gazoo]

Week 1 they were working out some kinks against a pretty good UCLA defense (even if they got slaughtered by BYU). Crompton is good though, and is more than capable of sustaining some drives against UF. Their defense is improved, but it's not top tier. I'd say teams like Auburn and LSU have better defenses. SC probably has a better defense than UF. If Tennessee can get the ground game going consistently they could easily win this game. Florida will get their points, but Tennessee should be able to keep up to keep it close. A TD is a lot to give a home team in the SEC. It's not like this is UF vs Vanderbilt or Arkansas. This is a pretty good Tennessee team and I personally think UF is a bit overrated (definitely a top 5 team, but I hear a lot of people saying they'll win the NC, which they won't).

This game is pretty much exactly like UGA vs SC. The worse, but still good team at home catching a TD against a top tier conference rival. Both teams first SEC game also. Big difference between Hawaii/Miami-Fla and Tennessee IMO. Florida's first road game also.

Tennessee +7.5 (-105)

Thanks OTK, Another opinion never hurts. Home in the SEC is always an advantage. Hope you're right about Crompton. A few 3 and outs and it will turn bad fast. Good luck!

 

[VoiceofReason101]

I'm either already on or going to be on every play your on (get it).


GL

 

[seriousaddiction]

you can always tell the few good minds on here...im looking miss st, arizona st, texas am (if McGee plays), NC State, Tennessee, Air Force, Navy and a couple more

 

[ICC]

:eyeroll:

The good minds that drop 12 units on a team total simply on a coaches reputation.

 

[seriousaddiction]

I do believe im a good mind...sorry if you followed me...id play that again if it was on the card this week...Bo Levi didnt help throwing 5 picks at mid field or better

 

[seriousaddiction]

that had little to do with June Jones reputation also...SMU is one of the teams I follow very closely...know them fairly well...turnovers are a motherfucker...what can I say...on to next week...still up 12+ units in three weeks...Ill gladly take that


no more OTK..sorry to jack ur thread in my defense

 

[ICC]

I didnt follow you. I just thought tooting your own horn should be saved for weeks that dont happen like that.

 

[seriousaddiction]

I complimented OTK's picks and called him a good mind...if thats tooting then sorry

 

[OTK]

Appreciate the comment sa, like almost all the leans too. I'll be A&M with you.

Added around 5 or 6 plays. This should be my full card unless a total really jumps out at me.

Updated card

Oregon -10 (-110) *2 units

Tennessee +7.5 (-105) *2 units

Mississippi -5.5 (-105) *2 units

Texas A&M +4.5 (-105) *2 units

Arkansas St -5 (-105) *2 units

Tulsa -10 (-108)

Buffalo +34 (-105)

Arizona -1.5 (+101)

Arizona St +7 (-107)

Colorado +3 (-105)

 

[FearTheRaven]

GL OTK, card looks good to me.

I'm sure you know but want to make sure you are aware that the Starting QB for Oregon is out this week.

 

[OTK]

GL OTK, card looks good to me.

I'm sure you know but want to make sure you are aware that the Starting QB for Oregon is out this week.

Yeah I know Roper's gone for 2-4 weeks. I like their backups though. Both Masoli and Harper will get playing time this weekend I'm guessing and that should work out well. Masoli is probably the better passer, but Harper has the running threat. Roper was no Heisman, so it's not a huge step down, if one at all. Oregon is pretty stacked at the QB position this year. No Heismans like Dixon, but a bunch of very good college QB's.