Outkick Weighs In, Good read, now trying to get $99...
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Fresno State +43.5 vs. Bama (Now +43.5)
Can Fresno State score a single touchdown against Alabama? That’s basically what you’re betting on here because it’s unlikely Bama will score 50+ against a team this inferior. And if, be still my heart, Fresno State can score two touchdowns, then Bama would have to score nearly 60 to cover.
Not to mention, isn’t it fun to sometimes bet a huge underdog? I just love doing the math based on how much game is left and also how much you exult if your team can score at all. When you’ve got +43.5 every field goal or touchdown your side scores feels like they just won the Super Bowl.
I just don’t think Saban is going to care enough about rolling up the points in this game. Especially not coming off the massive game against Florida State. So take the Bulldogs +43.5.
Louisville -5.5 at UNC (Now Louisville -10)
This is a great example of why you should be signed up for Outkick VIP, you’re getting an extra 4.5 points if you check our message board on Sunday afternoon as opposed to the number you’re getting today.
After a suspect performance against Purdue on the road I think Louisville bounces back with a big win on the road at UNC. And I actually think UNC is pretty bad this year. That Cal performance was atrocious.
Meaning Bobby Petrino covers with ease.
Auburn +7 at Clemson (Now Auburn +5.5)
This is a massive game for the ACC, which went 0-3 against the SEC last weekend.
If Auburn rolls into Death Valley and emerges with a victory then the ACC fluffers are going to need truckloads of viagra to keep this conference up.
Last year Auburn played Clemson fairly close and they had nothing at quarterback. This year I think Jarrett Stidham comes out and is fantastic.
I’m still not sure which way it’s going to go, but Auburn will have the ball with a chance to win late in this one. But lucky for you Auburn doesn’t need to cover for the Gus Bus to bring a mountain of cash to your home.
Georgia +6.5 at Notre Dame (Now Georgia +4.5)
Georgia has better players than Notre Dame. I know, I know Touchdown Jesus and all that jazz, but when it gets right down to it I love when I can get a team as nearly a touchdown underdog and they have better players. That’s exactly what’s happening here.
If Kirby Smart is going to be as good as Georgia fans think he’s going to be, this should be a game he doesn’t just cover in, he should win it. And, no, I don’t think the drop off from Jacob Eason to Jake Fromm isn’t that big. In fact, it might not even be a drop off at all, which says a great deal about how well Georgia has recruited at the position.
So give me the Bulldogs with the points and we win this one with ease.
Oklahoma +7 at Ohio State (Now Oklahoma +7)
This is a tough decision for me because Oklahoma is clearly superior at the quarterback position, but Urban Meyer is the second best coach in college football, Lincoln Riley is totally unproven as a head coach, and Ohio State has better players than Oklahoma.
Ordinarily in college football I go with the better coach in situations like this — and I do think Ohio State will win — but seven points for the inferior quarterback is way too many for me. Put simply, I don’t believe in J.T. Barrett. And, yes, this means I believe in the quarterback who got crushed in a police tackle in Fayetteville.
But I think Oklahoma has a lot to prove after the way last year’s game went.
So give me the Sooners and the points. (Also, if you can get Oklahoma +7.5 I like that line, obviously, even better.)
Stanford +5 at USC (Now Stanford +6.5)
The last three years Stanford has rolled USC, establishing physical dominance at the line of scrimmage. Indeed, USC has not beaten Stanford by over a touchdown since 2008.
So why is this line so high?
Because Vegas is in love with USC.
I think USC is very good, but I don’t think this much love is justified against Stanford. Particularly not when USC is playing with an inferior coach. I love David Shaw in this game and in this situation. Cardinals cover with ease.
Mizzou -4 vs. South Carolina and the over 74.5 (Now Mizzou -2.5 and 73)
This line has moved against us, but I told you that was likely on the Outkick VIP message board. So what I would do here is double down on Mizzou on both the Mizzou side and the over.
Everyone is high on South Carolina, but if you examine the box score of their win over N.C. State you see that the Wolfpack ran up 415 yards passing. With Drew Lock under center for Mizzou he goes for 350+ and the Gamecocks will give up 40 points to this Mizzou offense.
But have you seen this defense for Mizzou?
They’re giving up 35 too.
So I see Mizzou winning this one 49-42. That means you get the cover and you get the over with ease.
In fact, get your blood loaded up boys and girls, the over is this week’s blood bank guarantee.
