CBB Conference Tournaments 3/12/14

[Acebb]

Lots of games today! I have realized that letting go of biases and betting on the best ATS angles is a good thing. I missed 2 rather easy plays in the last week on Northeastern last weekend and Rice yesterday because they were 9 win teams. Those were easy wins (NE won SU) that I didn't play because the teams stink. Point taken.

Too many games for me to go through all of them. I will get to as many as I can and will post any plays. Good luck.

Atlantic Coast Conference Tournament - First Round
The SU winner of games in this tourney is 159-42-7 ATS since 1991 – but Dogs were 18-4 in '09 & '10. DD dogs are 26-13 last 8 years

1:00 PM
NOTRE DAME: 3-0 ATS as favorites with revenge (Wake beat ND on 1/25), 1-5 ATS off SU loss (lost at UNC last game). And, ND on a bad 4-12 ATS run.

WAKE FOREST: 0-7 SU/ATS Last 7 in this tournament; and 7-20 since 1995 here.

3:30 PM
MIAMI FL: on 9-1 ATS in Last 10 run here; 5-1 ATS with revenge (lost at VT on 2/15)

VIRGINIA TECH: 4-0 ATS off SU loss vs opponent off SU win; 4-1 ATS off SU/ATS Loss [both apply here]; dog 17-7 in VaTech tournament games

7:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE: 1-5 ATS dogs with revenge (lost to GT on 2/13)

GEORGIA TECH: 7-14 ATS in tournament openers

 

[Acebb]

Conference USA Tournament - Second Round

2:00 PM
TULANE: 0-5 ATS Last 5 in tourney; On a 6-1 ATS run as favorite.
NORTH TEXAS: 3-1 ATS as tourney dogs less than 3 points; NoTexas a nice 10-2 ATS as the traveling dog this year.

4:30 PM
OLD DOMINION: favorite is 10-4 ATS when Monarchs travel this year; ODU 4-10 ATS in tournament (formerly colonial) openers
MARSHALL: 1-4 ATS favorites < 7 points; 4-9 ATS off tourney win;

8:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA: 1-6 ATS vs opponent off SU win
UTEP: 16-7 ATS for the year; 8-2 ATS favs vs opponent off SU win; chalk 10-2 in Miner tourney games

 

[Acebb]

Pac-12 Conference Tournament - First Round
#10 seeds [Oregon St] are 2-7 SU/ATS Last 9

3:00 PM
UTAH: 8-12 ATS in tourney openers (1st 18 in MWC) but on a 4-0 ATS run
WASHINGTON: 0-5 ATS off SU loss, 1-4 ATS vs opp off SU loss; 1-4-2 last 3 years here.

5:30 PM
COLORADO: 1-4 ATS Last 5 as favorites in tourney; this season chalk 18-12 ATS in Colorado games
USC: 5-1 ATS tourney dogs less than 12 points & 7-3 ATS dog last 10.

9:00 PM
OREGON ST: 5-2 ATS Last 7 in tourney; chalk 10-4 when Beavers travel this season
OREGON: 8-2-1 ATS tourney favorite; on a 7-2 ATS run since Feb 1

11:30 PM
WASHINGTON ST: 1-5 ATS off SUATS win, 1-4 ATS with revenge, favorite 9-4 ATS in Wash State tourney games.

STANFORD: 2-0 ATS vs opp off SU dog win

 

[Acebb]

Mountain West Conference Tournament - First Round

5:00 PM
COLORADO ST: 5-1 ATS as dogs vs. opponent off SU/ATS win (Utah St won & covered last game)
UTAH ST: 0-3 ATS as tourney favs less than 7 points; 0-3 ATS in last 3 openers; but solid 15-6 ATS fav on the year

7:30 PM
Air Force: 3-0 ATS with revenge off SU win (beat Boise last week; double revenge game here), 5-1 ATS as dogs less than 12 points; 2-14 SU all-time
Fresno: 1-7 ATS tourney favorite; but 10-1 ATS season run

10:00 PM
BOISE ST: 3-1 ATS vs opponent of BB SU losses (SJSU has lost 4 in a row); 2-5 ATS vs opponent with revenge (Boise won only meeting this year)
San Jose St: a 14-7 ATS pup in tourney games; but current 2-10 ATS run

 

[AK_Bandito]

Good stuff, thanks for posting...BOL with your plays today.

 

[Acebb]

Conference USA Tournament - Second Round

2:00 PM
TULANE: 0-5 ATS Last 5 in tourney; On a 6-1 ATS run as favorite.
NORTH TEXAS: 3-1 ATS as tourney dogs less than 3 points; NoTexas a nice 10-2 ATS as the traveling dog this year.

4:30 PM
OLD DOMINION: favorite is 10-4 ATS when Monarchs travel this year; ODU 4-10 ATS in tournament (formerly colonial) openers
MARSHALL: 1-4 ATS favorites < 7 points; 4-9 ATS off tourney win;

8:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA: 1-6 ATS vs opponent off SU win
UTEP: 16-7 ATS for the year; 8-2 ATS favs vs opponent off SU win; chalk 10-2 in Miner tourney games

Missed this one:

Conference USA Tournament - Second Round

10:30 PM

CHARLOTTE: 1-5 ATS Last 6 here, 3-8 ATS with revenge (UAB won @ Charlotte on 2/22); on 2-9 ATS losing streak

UAB: 1-11 ATS Last 12 tourney games! 1-9 ATS favs less than 6 pts; dog is 10-3 ATS when Uab travels this season

 

[Acebb]

Mid-American Conference Tournament - Second Round - Quicken Loans Arena - Cleveland, OH

Favs 29-21 in quarters (tomorrow), semis, finals last 7 yrs
This Season: Dogs profitable 54-41 ATS

6:30 PM

Miami OH: Teams with same-season double revenge are 15-31 ATS off a SU win

OHIO: 1-6 ATS Last 7 here; dog 8-2 when Ohio U travels this season; the dog is 15-10 in Miami games this season

9:00 PM

EASTERN MICHIGAN: 1-8 ATS Last 9 here, 1-7 ATS away in tourney; chalk is 8-5 when Eastern Mich travels this season.

NORTHERN ILLINOIS: 8-3 Single Digit dog or favorite in tournament; NIU covered ATS both match ups against the Eagles this year.

 

[Acebb]

Southeastern Conference Tournament - First Round - Georgia Dome - Atlanta, GA
Favorites 59-37 ATS in opening round

7:00 PM
AUBURN: 4-1 ATS favs vs opp with revenge (the beat SC on 2/26), jsut 1-6 ATS Last 7 here

SOUTH CAROLINA: 1-7 ATS dogs off DD ATS win, 1-4 ATS Last 5 tourney games but 11-6 ATS in openers

9:25 PM
MISSISSIPPI ST: 9-2 ATS Last 11 here; 3-8 ATS away this season

VANDERBILT: 5-1 ATS run Last 2 yrs; 4-1 ATS favorites 7 > points; 1-6 ATS vs opp off SU/ATS loss

 

[Acebb]

Big 12 Conference Tournament - First Round - Sprint Center - Kansas City, MO

Favs of greater than 4½ points are 9-2 Last 2 years

7:00 PM
OKLAHOMA ST: 17-6 ATS in openers; 5-1 ATS off SU/ATS loss, 19-5 ATS as #5 seeds or lower, 8-2 ATS vs #9 seeds or lower, 0-5 ATS vs opp off SU dog win

TEXAS TECH: 9-4 ATS tourney dog of 4+ points

9:30 PM

BAYLOR: 5-1 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 0-3 ATS vs #10 seed or lower, 1-4 ATS as favs; dog 15-6 ATS in Baylor tourney games; On 8-3 ATS run since Feb 1

TCU: 5-1 ATS off DD SU loss; 4-1 ATS with revenge (double revenge here), 7-2 ATS dogs off SU loss; Mediocre 10-14 ATS tourney; dog is 10-6 when TCU travels this season

 

[Acebb]

American Athletic Conference Tournament - First Round - FedEx Forum - Memphis, TN

First year of tournament…

7:00 PM
RUTGERS: (BigEast) has only won just 4 tourney games SU since 1999!

USF: (BigEast) 0-3 ATS vs #8 seed or higher, 1-4 ATS as dogs, 1-4 ATS w/revenge

9:30 PM

TEMPLE (A-10): hasn't covered more than 2 straight all season (won last 2 ATS)

UCF (Conf USA): 1-4 ATS off DD SU win, 1-4 ATS vs opp off SU win; on a 4-13 ATS run

 

[Acebb]

Atlantic 10 Conference Tournament - First Round - Barclays Center - Brooklyn, NY

7:00 PM

GEORGE MASON: 1-5 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 1-4 ATS off SU dog win; 8-8-1 tourney ATS since 2006; dog 10-3 when GeoMason is away

FORDHAM: 0-7 ATS L7 dogs > 3 pts, 0-4 ATS Last 4 tournament games

 

[Acebb]

Posted Record: 5-2 (+$286)

Play: #629 North Texas -2½ (-103)

 

[Acebb]

Good stuff, thanks for posting...BOL with your plays today.

Thanks. Hope you are doing well, I am suffering from information overload!

 

[Acebb]

Well the UNT defense gave away the game and so that is that. No more favorites.

With the North Texas loss my record falls to: 5-3 (+$183)

Have to find some good dogs the rest of the week.

 

[Acebb]

Big East Conference Tournament - First Round - Madison Square Garden - New York, NY

Chalk 19-9 ATS Last 2 years (14-2 1st 2 rounds)

7:00 PM
BUTLER: (A-10 LY): 4-0 ATS vs opp off SU loss, 7-2 ATS Last 9 tournament games (and 10-4 run) 0-5 ATS as dogs; favorite 19-6 ATS in Bulldog tournament games;

SETON HALL: 9-5 tourney favorite; weak 6-11 ATS tourney run. Dog 10-2 ATS when Seton Hall travels & 20-7 in all Pirate games this season.


Back tomorrow.

Good luck