I'm done overthinking this shit and would lean OVER... Pistons defense has been bad. It's just gonna come down to if they can put up enough points themselves. Only way it stays under is if Cavs roll 95-76 or something..
Completely agree. The biggest fear that I have is the Pistons playing one of "those" games where they just basically show up and fail to even drop 80 points. Hopefully it will be closer, I've got a lot of money on the game going over because it just seemed to easy. Hopefully I'm right.
The more I think about it, the more worried I get. The trend has definitely been over, but the chances of the Pistons failing to reach 85+ are pretty high the way they have been playing. It really depends on the pace of the game and how things are by the fourth quarter. We'll just have to wait and see. I'd put money on Houston-Portland going over 184 before I would the Pistons-Cavaliers.
you hit the nail on the head.
Raw stats favor the UNDER. Simply put, the series average has been 171 with a 164 when playing in Cleveland, not counting the last playoff game.
The last playoff game ended at 186. When looking at the series stats, the 186 becomes an aberration, (a state markedly different than the norm) and has a good chance of being the highest scoring game in this series.
Majority of bettors have a one game memory.
Without overanalyzing, betting the best D in the league game's OVER is usually not a wise thing to do.
Why am I not on the UNDER today? I like the Atlanta/Miami UNDER tomorrow better. GL
