cashducats 2017 nfl picks thread

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under 44 kc titans 1100-1000
titans will keep clock running and chiefs have a way of moving the ball very methodically and settling for fg so i expect more of same. could see a 30-0, 27-13 type game.
 

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Jags bills halftime play
under 18.5 1250-1000
think thy both keep waiting for other team to make mistake
 

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wildcard weekend recap

sides 0-1
teaser 1-1
totals 2-0
halftime 1-1
plus 1750

overall: verall
sides 21-27
totals 9-3
teasers 15-17
moneyline 0-1
parlay 0-2
halftime 7-5-1
1st q 1-1
1st half 1-0
Plus 2575
 

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divisional round

philly/atl under under 41.5 1100-1000
defense rules in the playoffs. i see a very run heavy game plan by philly and their defense is one of the best. atl will go in the the road for the 2nd straight week and in what will most likely be bad weather conditions. atl offense was gifted 10 points by special teams fumbles against the rams. don't think philly will be that generous. also don't think philly will let foles lose the game for them.

jacksonville/pitt under 41 1150-1000
they played earlier this year at heinz field and the jags smoked them 30-9. ben r threw 5 int in believe. this time i think the steelers come out with a run heavy ball control style similar to the bills where they know they can shut down jags offense and just need to score 17 or 20 to win as long as they don't turn the ball over. see this as a 17-14 or 17-10 type game. tempted to take the jags plus 7.5 but will wait close to gametime to tempt myself. maybe i'll be able to get 9.5
 

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Eagles +3 1200-1000
atl didn’t play thaaaat well last week. They benefitted from pharaoh the punt/kick returner fumbling twice leading directly to 10 points. Even with that the rams had a chance to take the lead before halftime. I think Goff and gurley were a little skittish last week and it cost the rams. Playing in philly should be a little tougher than playing in LA. Also philly looked horrible on offense last two weeks but could be because they were playing vanilla scheme since they had homefield locked up. I think eagles will be able to effectively run on the falcons like the rams did and that they force a turnover or two and win by 7-10 points. A 20-13 final is what I think this game looks like
 

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1st quarter under 7.5 eagles falcons 750-500
just don’t see a lot of clock stoppage and unless there is a turnover cresting a short field should be like 0-0 or 3-0
 

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I’ve more for early game.
under 20 1st half eagles falcons 1200-1000
im heavily invested in this game going under. My feeling is at the beginning of the game neither teams wants to do anything risky that could immediately put them behind the 8 ball. So they basically waste a couple drives each at the beginning of the game to figure out how they want the rest of the game plan to go.
 

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Under 48 pats titans 550-500
only chance the titans have, also pats may start out slow and grind out a low scoring win, 27-14.

titans +14 550-500
ill look too get off this for a middle opportunity at halftime or maybe in game if titans are able to get the lead.
 

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Jags +7 1200-1000
Steelers are a popular team and everyone and their mom is teasing to -1. All week the talking heads are saying how bad bortles service is , yet line is only -7. Usually books go to -9 or -9.5 to protect against teasers. I’ll take jags.
 

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Jags +7 1200-1000
Steelers are a popular team and everyone and their mom is teasing to -1. All week the talking heads are saying how bad bortles service is , yet line is only -7. Usually books go to -9 or -9.5 to protect against teasers. I’ll take jags.
actually got 1150-1000 on this one
 

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divisional round recap
sides 2-1
totals 1-2
1st Q 1-0
1st half 1-0
plus 2300

overall
sides 23-28
totals 10-5
teasers 15-17
moneyline 0-1
parlay 0-2
halftime 7-5-1
1st q 2-1
1st half 2-0
Plus 4875
 

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championship weekend

eagles/vikings under 38 1100-1000
see a similar game to the eagles/falcons game. vikings might come out a little more aggressively on offense but i think they try to protect against keenum throwing balls up for grabs due to heavy pressure from the eagles d line. eagles will just try to survive on a defense or special teams td. i see a 20-10 or 20-13 type of game.
 

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Pats jags under 46 1150-1000
this Brady hand injury plus the good jags d will keep this game under. I don’t see jags scoring more than 17. Thinks it’s a 24-16 or 27-17 type of game
 

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vikings -3 1050-1000
i'm taking the team i believe is better here. There is a reason the odds makers made the line 3.5 and not 2.5. it's because the vikings are clearly the better team. minn defense supposedly wont be as good on the road but even if they are not, they will still be able to shut down the eagles offense. eagles offense has been absolutely putrid since foles became the man. the only way vikings lose if they give up a defensive or special teams td. i don't think that will happen. my only hesitation was the emotional let down from the type of win the vikings had last week but since the line is down to 3 and -105 i can't pass that up.eagles had not business being dogs to the falcons but the vikings are a much better team and a much better coached team.
 

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Eagles Vikings 1st quarter will not be the highest scoring quarter 3450-500
pats defeat Vikings in sb 500-900
vikings defeat pats in sb 500-1125
 

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Pats jags 1st half under 22 1100-1000
 

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Pts jags halftime under 23.5 1000-1000
 

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eagles plus 6 halftime bet 1150-1000
under 20.5 eagles halftime bet 1050-1000

hope i don't get polish middled but think eagles d clamps down and they bleed the clock
 

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championship weekend recap:
sides 0-1
totals 1-1
1st half 0-1
halftime 3-0
future sb bets 0-2
-250
 

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