blue edwards said:
No, but it's a lot easier to "drive around my books" than it is gas stations. Plus, even with gas prices as they are now, I spend a lot less on that than I do on my wagers. It's +176 now and I see another at +177. I will be watching closely. It just steamed up though and I'm not one to get in front of a steam train. If folks wanna push it higher then be my guest.
Value is probably on the Padres, but I don't think we should be so concerned about Carpenter. The guy has never had sick stuff, he just knows how to pitch and get guys out. I think the mental lapse is probably dead on, and I think tomorrow he'll pitch a gem, now that the games count again. When you play exhibition games for 4 months, you are bound to breakdown mentally at some point. I'll be in the sea of red tomorrow, attending Busch Stadium for the last time. Go Cardinals!
Info regarding the RunLine for those so inclined by the bigger fave
Pads 25-5 in Peavy starts when graded vs +1.5; 10-3 in Away games
Cards 21-12 in Carpenter starts when graded vs -1.5; 10-8 in Home Games
Peavy only made three starts Away vs teams with winning records - Pads 2-1 with the +1.5 in those games
Carpenter made nine starts Home vs teams with winning records - Card 4-5 versus the -1.5 in those games
In short, no visible value either way in RunLine pricing, IMHO.
Steve
Pads 25-5 in Peavy starts when graded vs +1.5; 10-3 in Away games
Cards 21-12 in Carpenter starts when graded vs -1.5; 10-8 in Home Games
Peavy only made three starts Away vs teams with winning records - Pads 2-1 with the +1.5 in those games
Carpenter made nine starts Home vs teams with winning records - Card 4-5 versus the -1.5 in those games
In short, no visible value either way in RunLine pricing, IMHO.
Steve
The 1st round is the EASIEST of all the rounds to call...favorites dominate almost exclusively...St Louis in 3, no more than 4, very similar to last year when they stuck in in LA's ass.
More than once in the past 10 years i have parleyed the top teams in the 1st round, on the 1st day and made out like a bandit..
More than once in the past 10 years i have parleyed the top teams in the 1st round, on the 1st day and made out like a bandit..
The Padres winning 3 of 4 in St. Louis is meaningless. At that point in time, Cards already had a comfortable lead and NL West Dodgers had gotten off to best start in baseball where Padres were fighting not to be double digits out of first. Cardinals bats specifically Pujols,Walker,Eckstein,Sanders, and Grudzielanek are starting to get hot. Padres have a hard time scoring. Carpenter threw a lot of innings somewhere around 243 but I assure you that he will be ready tomorrow and the rest of the playoffs. Cards had nothing to play for awhile and simply did not care until final weekend as tuneup and to send Busch Stadium out a winner in regular season with all the festivities. Cards and the runline is the play tomorrow. I also want to add that Cards have owned this series for years with Padres besides 4 game series in STL this year. Cards are also undefeated in the Divisional Playoffs since its inception.
Carpenter has been lined more than -180 only 11/33 starts this season. Think about that, is this really among the easiest one-third of his starts? And incidentally, Peavy has only been a dog once all season, at +130. Line for this game ought to be along the lines of Cards -150 tops. It's at least 40 cents too high.
